Wind Turbine Market in India & South East Asia Outlook Update- Q3 2020 August 2020 - Eninrac
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Quarterly Market Observatory Wind Turbine Market in India & South East Asia Outlook Update – Q3 2020 August 2020
The Eighty – 20 of Industry: What Matters? Share of Wind capacity in total renewable generation in Q2 2020 (%) Leading Edge - India 1% 1% 21% As India pushing for greater industrial self-sufficiency, Government plans to 136 MW Wind Solar withdraw customs duty concessions in phased manner for wind-turbine Only 136 Mw of Wind Bio components to encourage the use of local equipment capacity added in Q1 2020 77% reduced by 82% as Small Hydro Wind installations levels in India have significantly declined in first half of year compared to addition in Q2 2019. 2020 due to outbreak of Covid-19 crisis back in China. Consequently, the outbreak has effected the supply chains that further inflicted the wind energy Source: eninrac consulting, CEA & Channel checks segment in India. India installed only 136 MW of wind capacity in Q2 2020 which is well below the anticipated addition. Statistically, wind installation in Q2 2020 decline 82% compared to 743 MW in the same period last year, and a 28% Unlike the solar energy sector, 80-85% of fall from 187 MW in the previous quarter (Q1 2020). Moreover, The government Major vital wind-turbine manufacturing takes place in is likely to withdraw customs duty concessions for wind-turbine components to parts India. However, some vital parts such as gear encourage the use of local equipment and reduce imports from China and other imported box, yaw components, blades for rotor, sub- countries as India is pushing towards greater industrial self-sufficiency. Although, from China parts of such blades are imported, mostly 80-85% of wind-turbine manufacturing takes place in India unlike the solar from China. energy sector, where about 90% of the modules come from China. However, some vital parts for setting up wind power projects are imported, mostly from China. Consequently, The import duty imposed on components varies widely The removal of concessions will affect wind turbine manufacturers in and the removal of concessions will affect manufacturers to different degrees. India. Consequently, With input costs going up, wind tariffs may also be affected.
The COVID-19 pandemic has impacted clean energy in South East Asia Round Up Monitor – Region South East Asia Revenues from existing wind projects have proven largely resilient to COVID-19 impacts; however, projects in the pipeline have Renewable Projects in pipeline have Wind energy project experienced slowdowns due to supply chain disruption energy project experienced developers that were revenues have slowdowns due to completing their Recent policy changes and stepped-up efforts from policymakers proven to be the supply chain disruption, projects during this have lifted growth rates for non-hydro renewables in the region. most resilient regulatory delays, pandemic have incurred Thailand, an early mover on renewables in the region, saw nearly 5 generation source workforce issues & are additional costs and GW of cumulative wind and solar installations by the end of 2019. due to first in the expected to rebound in delays that could affect However, The COVID-19 pandemic has impacted clean energy in the merit order of 2021 project milestones region which was already behind the renewable capacity addition dispatch target. Revenues from existing wind projects have proven largely resilient to COVID-19 impacts; however, projects in the pipeline have experienced slowdowns due to supply chain disruption, regulatory Share of SEA Countries in % as on 2019 delays, and workforce issues. Many of these projects will be delayed Total Installed Capacity of 10.2% 6.4% Indonesia Wind Power (GW) in South but will come online and are expected to rebound in 2021. East Asia as on Dec 2019 Philippines Moreover, energy project developers that were completing their 18.5% 2.31 projects during this pandemic may have incurred additional costs Thailand and delays that could affect their anticipated returns or project 64.9% Veitnam milestones. Source: NREL, eninrac consulting, Channel Checks
Numbers to Focus Key Features Deployment Upon – Q2 2020 Expected Trends - Projects Wind Power Installations in Second 01 Another Deadline Extension for Quarter of CY 2020 Shrink by 82% YoY SECI’s 5 GW Tender The Solar Energy Corporation of India (SECI) Siemens Gamesa leads the way in has extended the bid submission deadline India installed 136 MW of wind power projects India with the launch of its next for its tender to procure 5 GW of renewable in the second quarter (Q2 2020) of the generation wind turbine power on a round-the-clock (RTC) basis calendar year. This was a whopping 82% complemented with thermal power projects. decline in installations compared to 743 MW in the same period last year, and a 28% fall from The company continues to shape the 187 MW in the previous quarter (Q1 2020). market with this new generation wind 02 Sembcorp completes turbine in the 3MW segment, which is 800MW of SECI wind power specifically designed for the Indian winds. projects Gujarat added 97% of the total wind The new SG 3.4-145 can operate at up to 3.6 MW with flexible rating strategy and Sembcorp Energy India Limited (SEIL), installation in Q2 2020 in India announced the completion of its 800MW delivers 48% more Annual Energy Production (AEP). wind power projects awarded by the Solar Energy Corporation of India (SECI). Of the 136 MW of wind Wind capacity installed in Q2 2020 in India power capacity added 03 Contracts awarded to support during the quarter, Gujarat Gujarat installed 132 MW, while 97% 4 projects in Vietnam’s emerging Karnataka installed about 4 Western Region offshore wind sector MW. These were the only two states that added wind Southern Region AFRY has been awarded an owner's capacity in the country 132 engineering services assignment for Tra Vinh Rest of during this period. India Offshore Wind Farm, a 48 MW wind farm 3% project located in Tra Vinh Province, Numbers in MW Vietnam. AFRY will provide a full scope of owner's engineering services for the Source: MNRE, eninrac consulting implementation phase
QUARTERLY MARKET OBSERVATORY Quarterly Update Wind power installed capacity is expected to bounce back in Q3 2020 – Q3 CY 2020 1000 800 ▪ The capacity additions rate at the Capacity (mw) 600 beginning of 2020 was looking optimistic 400 with the industry gearing up to add more capacities in FY 2020/21 but with 200 COVID19 impacting the entire world. 0 Athough, the recovery to business as Q2 2019 Q3 2019 Q4 2019 Q1 2020 Q2 2020 Q3 2020 usual is expected in Q3 2020. Source: CEA, eninrac consulting Key Investments – Key Trends – Key Signpost – Q3 2020 Wind Turbine Market in Wind Turbine Market Q3 India Q3 2020 2020 ▪ Renewable energy developer Greenko and analytics ▪ India’s Ministry of New and Renewable Energy has • India is looking at plans to end duty concessions and engineering firm ONYX Insight announced they issued guidelines for round-the-clock supply of for turbine component imports in a bid to have signed an agreement to modernise 500 wind electricity by bundling solar and thermal power. further ease reliance on China. The Indian turbines. Under the new guidelines, power project developers government could start a phased withdrawal of can sign power purchase agreements with the the concessions from 2021 and has started discoms for 24×7 supply containing at least 51% talks with wind OEMs over the implications of ▪ Global wind turbine major Siemens Gamesa renewable power the move. The import duty imposed on Renewable Energy will start making the 3.4 MW components varies widely and the removal of wind turbine at its Indian plant in Tamil Nadu. The concessions will affect manufacturers to new machine will be the highest capacity wind ▪ India's wind installation for 2020 likely to fall different degrees. Moreover, With input costs turbine in India will be manufactured at its Indian drastically. It is expected wind energy capacity India going up, tariffs may also be affected. The plant in Tamil Nadu will add in 2020 to 1.95GW from an earlier forecast intent is to increase the current domestic of 2.56GW due to the nation wide lockdown amidst manufacturing to 95%. the Covid-19 crisis
QUARTERLY MARKET OBSERVATORY Wind Turbine Market in India & Contents & Coverage – South East Asia Outlook Update – Q3 2020 Q3 2020 01 This Quarter 02 Key Features 03 Leading Edge The section shall showcases the major Key features shall cover the major The current affairs leading business impacts highlights for wind turbine segment in strengths and development map on Wind turbine market with insightful data India and South East Asia including that the industry has shown over analytics & our exclusive “Knowledge Grid” investments, project developments, the quarter feeds covered in the section. Our analyst's policy & regulatory interface, M&A etc. viewpoints with sharp edged objectives shall be central to the section 05 The Eighty - 20 of Industry – 04 Numbers to Learn 06 Key Signposts What Matters? All wind power capacity additions with a split In this section the major factors which are The business factors which shall govern the on ownership wise, & state wise break up shall acting as the growth catalysts / barriers in course of coming quarters of business and the be included. Moreover, the numbers for deals the Wind turbine segment are industry response to the changes shall be the secured by wind turbine manufacturers in India highlighted inclusive of policies, focus area of this segment as well as South East Asian countries regulations etc. 08 Technology & 09 Industry Activities & 07 Deployment Trends Price Trends Corporate Strategies The pace of deployment of projects at wind This section shall cover all the latest All the industry order track & merger’s and turbine manufacturers levels covering issues technology implementation and trends, acquisition activities shall be tracked. Fresh like investments, tenders and capacity price benchmarks of wind turbines in investments in wind turbine sector as per additions shall form part of this section India and South Asia players profiles shall also be tracked in this section
QUARTERLY MARKET OBSERVATORY Wind Turbine Market in India & Must South East Asia Outlook Update – Q3 2020 Buy For Companies ▪ Power Transmission Utilities ▪ Power Distribution Utilities (DISCOMs) Mentioned ▪ Original Equipment Manufacturers ▪ Power Traders ▪ Banks/Financial Institutions/Project Financing Agencies ▪ General Electric ▪ EPC Service Providers ▪ Vestas India ▪ Consultants ▪ Suzlon ▪ Research Firms/Research Institutions ▪ Inox Wind ▪ Regulatory Bodies ▪ Wind World ▪ Government Agencies ▪ Indowind Energy Limited ▪ Siemens Gamesa ▪ Envision Energy For ▪ Acciona Nordex Queries ▪ ReNew Power ▪ Regen Powertech Pvt. Ltd. ▪ Enercon India Pvt. Ltd. Research : Write to: connect@eninrac.com and alternatively you may reach our consultant at ▪ Orient Green Power Ltd. sumit.sethi@eninrac.com ▪ Enel Green Power India Pvt Ltd ▪ Senvion India Pvt Ltd Sales: Write to sales@eninrac.com for more ▪ Continuum Wind Energy India Pvt Ltd information ▪ Hero Future Energies Pvt Ltd Please call at +91 120 – 4147 000 for any other ▪ Indian Wind Turbine Manufacturers Association queries
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