What we know about Lagos State Finances - BudgIT

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What we know about Lagos State Finances - BudgIT
What we know about
Lagos State Finances
What we know about Lagos State Finances - BudgIT
About BudgIT

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© 2018

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What we know about Lagos State Finances - BudgIT
Overview
What we know about Lagos State Finances - BudgIT
History                                                           Land Mass
                                                                2797.72 Sq Km
                                                                                             Water Area
                                                                                            779.56 Sq Km

Lagos State was created by virtue of the State         600,000 per annum, with a density of
(Creation and Transitional Provisions) Decree          approximately 4,193 persons per sq. km. In the
No. 14 of 1967 on 27 May 1967, which                   urban areas of the Lagos metropolis, the
restructured Nigeria into 12 States. Prior to          average population density is over 20,000
this, Lagos Municipality had been                      people per sq. km.
administered by the federal government (FG),
through the Federal Ministry of Lagos Affairs          Current demographic trend analysis reveals
as the regional authority, while the Lagos City        that Lagos’ population growth rate of 8% has
Council governed the City of Lagos.                    resulted in its harbouring 36.8% (an estimated
                                                       49.8 million) of Nigeria’s 150 million urban
The metropolitan areas (previously referred to         population (World Bank, 1996).
as Colony Provinces) of Ikeja, Agege, Mushin,
Ikorodu, Epe and Badagry were administered             The implication is that whereas Nigeria’s
by the then Western Region. The State                  population growth is approximately 4-5% and
became an administrative entity on 11 April            stands globally at 2%, Lagos’ population is
1968, with Lagos Island serving the dual role of       growing ten times faster than that of New
State and Federal Capital.                             York and Los Angeles (USA), with grave
                                                       implications for urban sustainability1.
However, in 1976, Lagos Island ceased to be
the capital; Ikeja assumed that role. The seat
of the federal government was subsequently                    Estimated Population Figures
relocated to Abuja on 12 December 1991, and
Lagos also ceased to be Nigeria’s political            2012                              11,042,686
capital.

Lagos nevertheless remains Nigeria’s                   2013                                11,401,767
economic, manufacturing, financial and
commercial hub, also ranking among Africa’s
top cities along the same yardsticks.                  2014                                  11,772,524

POPULATION                                             2015                                    12,155,337
According to the 2006 census conducted by
the National Population Commission (NPC),              2016                                      12,550,598
Lagos has a population of over nine million, of
a national estimate of 150 million.                           Source: Nigerian Bureau of Statistics (NBS),
                                                              Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN)

The population growth has a rate of about

                                                   4
What we know about Lagos State Finances - BudgIT
Motor Vehicles Registration Statistics
            Motor Cycles
     2010                                  105,147

     2015                25,958

            Motor Vehicles
     2010                                               936,604

     2015                                            833,957

                Number of Boats by
            Ownership & Passengers (2015)

                 Boats                Passengers
                 136                  1,403,100

                Number of Ferries by
            Ownership & Passengers (2015)

              Ferries                 Passengers
                 167                25,676,923

                 Source: Lagos State Government

             5
What we know about Lagos State Finances - BudgIT
Finances
                                      Lagos is a State every other in Nigeria may envy,
                                      considering the size of its tax revenue relative to
                                      its centrally-collected revenue. Compared to
                                      many of its peers, Lagos is highly industrialised,
             Lagos Telecommunications being the nation’s economic capital and home to
             Statistics as at Q4 2017 a booming port system. The State government
                                      relies on statutory allocations to undertake
                                      projects and implement programmes, as
                                      highlighted in its budget. Statutory allocations
                                      make up about 21.67% of Total revenue for the
                     Active Voice     state government, while the balance is
                     19,417,181       generated internally.

                                              The economic structure of Lagos state gives it a
                                              considerable advantage, in terms of internally-
                      13.39%                  generated revenue (IGR) uptake. In 2016, Lagos
                  of total active voice       accounted for approximately 37% of Total IGR
                     lines in Nigeria         collected by all States, reinforcing the optimal
                                              financial position Lagos enjoys.

                                              It is important to note at this point that more
                         Active               details on Lagos’ financial statements are
                                              notoriously kept opaque, with scant useful
                     Internet Lines           information.
                     13,631,562
                                              The State does not publish its detailed budget,
                                              budget implementation reports, audited
                                              statements and other critical documents
                       13.81%                 needed for holistic, independent assessment.
                 of total active internet
                     lines in Nigeria         The low level of transparency in Lagos’ finances
                                              is reflected in the quality of service and abysmal
                    Source: NCC, NBS          range of infrastructure in the state; the paradox
                                              of Lagos is its reality as a place where rubbish
                                              dumps grow on streets, in tandem with six-figure
                                              skyscrapers. Despite its huge revenue uptake,

1
 https://www.fmdqotc.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/07/LASG-Series-2-Bond-Prospectus.pdf
2
 https://www.cbn.gov.ng/Out/2017/SD/eCopy%20of%202016%20Statistical%20Bulletin_Real%20Sector%20
 Statistics_Final.xlsx (Tab C5.2)
3
  Telecoms Data: Active Voice and Internet per State, Porting and Tariff Information (Q4 2017) - ppg 59
http://www.nigerianstat.gov.ng/download/729
4
    Telecoms Data: Active Voice and Internet per State, Porting and Tariff Information (Q4 2017) - ppg 60

                                               6
the condition of Lagos’ road and drainage                                               disconcerting. Furthermore, the Overhead
systems are overwhelmingly sub-optimal.                                                 costs of running the office of the governor of
Lagos is still some way from achieving crucial                                          Lagos in 2017 was N6bn, a figure significantly
schemes, including a light rail system, and                                             higher than the N1.32bn allocated for
lagging behind in terms of road infrastructure,                                         Overhead costs for maintaining the office of
drainage construction and the provision of fire                                         the President of Nigeria, in the 2018 budget.
stations.
                                                                                        It is therefore a matter of legal and moral
The condition of schools and hospitals, when                                            principle for Lagos state to open up its books
juxtaposed with the State’s revenue is just as                                          to public scrutiny.

     http://www.nigerianstat.gov.ng/download/729
     5
      http://www.budgetoffice.gov.ng/index.php/2017-approved-budget?task=document.viewdoc&id=647

                                                                                    7
Lagos 2018 Budget
Fiscal Framework
Fiscal Framework
Lagos’ 2018 spending plans suggest she may                  through Oke-Ira in Eti-Osa to Epe-Lekki
be borrowing heavily through the year. The                  Expressway; the construction of an 8km
southwestern Nigerian State is planning to                  Regional Road to serve as an alternative route
spend approximately N1.046tn, with 66.8% (or                to connect Victoria Garden City (VGC) with
N699.082bn) going into Capital items, while                 Freedom Road in Lekki Phase 1; the
the balance will be spent on Recurrent items,               completion of the ongoing reconstruction of
including the servicing of public debts,                    Oshodi International Airport Road into a 10-
payment of salaries and emoluments of                       lane road and the construction of a Bus Rapid
workers and other associated Overhead costs                 Transit (BRT) lane from Oshodi to Abule-
                                                            Egba.
At N1.046tn, Lagos’ expansionist spending
plan for fiscal year 2018 is up 28.65%, from                According to a sectoral breakdown of the
2017 levels of N813bn. Capital expenditure                  budget, General Public Services are
projections in 2018 stand at N699.082bn, a rise             earmarked to gulp N171.623bn, representing
from N436.26bn in 2017.                                     16.41%; Public Order and Safety comes to
                                                            N46.612bn (4.46%); Economic Affairs at
What and how the State will spend the                       N473.87bn (45.3%); Environmental
N1.046tn on is locked away from public debate               Protection at N54.582bn (5.22%), while
and assessment. Lagos is hoping for a                       Housing and Community Amenities got
Revenue uptake of N897bn, which is                          N59.904bn (5.73%).
significantly higher than 2017 projections of
N642bn. Disaggregated information on the                    The Health sector got N92.676bn (8.86%);
State’s revenue projections for 2018 has again              Recreation, Culture and Religion got
not being made public.                                      N12.511bn (1.2%) Education was pegged at
                                                            N126.302bn (12.07%), while Social Protection
In 2017, Lagos’ budget was anchored on                      got N8.042bn (0.77%).
Internally-generated Revenue projections of
N450.87bn, Federal transfers of N166.54bn                   Under the budget, there are provisions for the
and Capital receipts of N25.44bn.                           completion of five new Art Theatres;
                                                            establishment of a Heritage Centre at the
With revenue projected at N897bn and the                    former Federal Presidential State House
2018 spending plan built around N1.046tn, the               recently handed over to the State
deficit for Lagos is pegged at N149bn, which                Government; a world class museum between
will most likely be closed by borrowing, and                the former Presidential Lodge and the State
sales of government properties. Preliminary                 House, Marina; construction of four new
information released to the public on the 2018              stadia in Igbogbo, Epe, Badagry and Ajeromi
budget states that the projects therein include             Ifelodun (Ajegunle) and completion of the
the construction of the Agege Pen Cinema                    ongoing Epe and Badagry Marina projects. On
flyover; construction of alternative routes

6
https://www.premiumtimesng.com/regional/ssouth-west/257126-lagos-assembly-passes-n1-046-trillion-budget-2018.html

                                                        9
Housing, there are provisions that include the completion of projects, particularly those at
 Gbagada, Igbogbo, Iponri, Igando, Omole Phase I, Sangotedo and Ajara-Badagry under the Rent-
 to-Own policy.

 However, the breakdown of the budget, and amounts voted for each project, along with total
 amounts spent in periods past remain unclear and unaccessible by the wider public.

                            2018 Lagos State Budget
                                   Deficit

                                   N149bn

                                                                      Capital
                                                                    Expenditure

                                                                    N699.08bn
                                      Budget Size
Revenue N897bn                      N1.046tn

                                                           N347.04bn

                                                           Recurrent
  Source: Lagos State Government                          Expenditure

                                              10
Revenue
A History of Lagos State Revenue
Revenue
Lagos’ Revenue projection for the 2018                               1998     N13.5bn
financial year is set at N897bn, a 39.72%
increase over 2017 estimates.                                        1999      N22.2bn
The State’s projected Revenue for 2016 was                           2000      N27.1bn
N542.9bn, while Actual Revenue for Lagos in
2015, 2014, 2013 and 2012 was N384.4bn,                              2001      N39.8bn
N408.1bn, N316.2bn and N310.4bn respectively.
                                                                     2002      N41.8bn
Cumulatively, Lagos’ Revenue between 1999
and 2006 was N419.4bn; the State collected a                         2003      N52.3bn
total of N2.44tn between 2007 and 2015.                              2004       N62.8bn
Currently, data on actual collections in 2016                        2005        N79.7bn
and 2017 remains unavailable.
                                                                     2006         N93.7bn
Composition of Lagos State Revenue
based on 2015 Actual Receipt
                                                                     2007          N118.8bn
                                                                     2008             N179.3bn
                          8.66%
                                                                     2009                N220.9bn
                         N33.27bn
                            Other                                    2010                 N221.7bn
                           Revenue
            N74.08bn                                                 2011                   N281.1bn
 19.27%     Other                         N175.43bn
            Revenue                           PAYE
            (IGR)                                      45.64%
                                                                     2012                     N310.4bn
                                                                     2013                     N316.2bn

                      N82.9bn                                        2014                            N408.1bn
                      Federal
          21.57%
                      Transfers                                      2015                        N384.4bn
                                                                     2016                                  N542.9bn*
                                       N9.197bn Direct
                      Road Tax N9.52bn
                               2.48%    2.39% Assessment
                                                                     2017                                       N642bn*
 Source: Lagos State Government, OAGF
                                                                     2018                                                 N897bn*
                                                                            Source: Lagos State Government, BudgIT Research
                                                                            *Budget Figures

                                                                12
Internally Generated Revenue
  Lagos’ Internally-generated Revenue (IGR),                   Lagos State officially notes that there are 12
  when compared to most of its peers, is                       taxes and levies collectable by the
  relatively high. Her IGR as at the end of 2016               government, namely: Personal Income Tax,
  was N302.4bn, from 2015 levels of N276.6bn.                  Withholding Tax (from individuals only), Capital
  Previous financial reports from the                          Gains Tax (individuals only) and Stamp Duties
  government show that IGR amounted to                         on instruments executed by individuals.
  N219.2bn and N277.12bn in 2013 and 2014
  respectively. Between 2007 and 2017, Lagos’                  The State also collects tax on Pools Betting
  IGR came to N2.38tn.                                         and Lotteries; Gaming and casino taxes; Road
                                                               Taxes; Business premises registration fee;
           History: Internally Generated                       Development Levy (individuals only), Naming
           Revenue 1999-2017                                   of Streets registration in the State capital and
                                                               Right of Occupancy fees on lands owned by
                                                               the State Government in urban areas of the
1999      N14.6bn                                              State.
2000      N11.6bn
                                                               Other revenue sources include Market taxes
 2001     N17.9bn                                              and levies where the State Finance is involved
2002      N20.8bn                                              in the construction of the market, as well as
                                                               Hotel Occupancy and Restaurant
2003       N27.5bn                                             Consumption Tax.
2004        N33.9bn
2005         N40.6bn
2006           N61.7bn
2007             N83.0bn                                               Breakdown of Internally-Generated Revenue
2008                  N129.6bn
2009                      N178.5bn
2010                      N173.4bn                                   19.27%
                                                                                  N74.1bn
                                                                                  Other Revenue
 2011                        N199.9bn
                                                                N9.52bn                             N175.43bn
 2012                        N202.8bn                           Road Tax                                        45.64%
                                                                                                    PAYE
2013                          N219.2bn                             2.48%

2014                                N277.1bn
                                                                      2.39%
2015                                N276.6bn
                                                                   N9.19bn
2016                                   N302.4bn                    Direct Assessment

2017                                     N341.0bn
2018                                                N680.1bn*
        Source: Lagos State Government, NBS, BudgIT Research
        *Budget Figures

                                                          13
Personal Income Tax
PAYE                                                   Direct Assessment

Pay As You Earn (PAYE) is a form of personal           Direct Assessment may relate to a form of
income tax that refers to tax deducted directly        personal income tax used to assess tax for
from the wages and salaries of employees               self-employed individuals. With the self-
operating in the formal sector.                        assessed tax scheme, a new taxpayer can
                                                       assess him/herself, and pay the calculated
Lagos’ total receipt under personal income tax         amount. Direct assessment may also relate to
(on incomes of individuals), which was                 those taxes imposed on businesses, especially
N190.66bn in 2016, accounted for                       (informal) by the State authorities, based on the
approximately 63.3% of Total IGR that year. In         size of their activities.
2010, 2011 and 2012, receipts under personal
income tax (PAYE) was N104.68bn,                       Lagos’ total receipt under direct assessment -
N120.25bn, N172.44bn respectively. Figures for         was pegged at N6.62bn in 2016. In 2010, 2011
2018 remain outstanding and unclear.                   and 2012, revenue gotten under direct
                                                       assessment was N7.51bn and N7.97bn
On average, 64.8% of IGR for Lagos state               respectively.
came from PAYE between 2010 and 2016.

History: PAYE                                          History: Direct Assessment collected

2010               104.68bn                            2010           N7.51bn
2011                     N120.25bn                     2011            N7.97bn
2012                        N172.44bn                  2012 N/A
2013 N/A                                               2013      N1.89bn
2014                      N153.61bn                    2014                     N9.39bn
2015                          N175.43bn                2015                 N9.197bn
2016                             N190.66bn*            2016           N6.616bn*
       Source: NBS
                                                              Source: NBS
       *Jan-June, 2016
                                                              *Jan-June, 2016

                                                  14
Road Tax                                               Other Taxes

Road taxes are daily levies paid by commercial         These include various taxe such as levies on
transporters operating within Nigeria’s states.        market traders, land registration and other land-
                                                       related fees, as well as development levies on
In Lagos, total receipt under Road Tax was             individuals, pool betting/lottery/gaming fees
approximately N9.54bn in 2016, accounting for          and stamp duties on individuals.
about 3.16% of total Internally-generated
Revenue.

In 2010, 2011, 2012 and 2015 receipts from Road History: Other Taxes
Tax was N7.51bn, N7.97bn, N4.36bn and
N9.516bn respectively.                          2010               N37.78bn
Preliminary reports from the Nigeria Bureau of         2011                        N74.54bn
Statistics show that revenue from Road tax in          2012                N40.51bn
Lagos was N9.54bn, between January and
June 2016.                                             2013 N/A
                                                       2014 N/A
History: Road Tax Collection
                                                       2015                        N74.08bn
2010                 N7.51bn
                                                       2016            N21.56bn*
2011                   N7.97bn                         *Jan-June, 2016
                                                       Source: Lagos State Government, BudgIT Research
2012               N4.36bn
2013 N/A
2014                   N4.58bn
2015                    N9.52bn
2016                      N9.54bn*
*Jan-June, 2016
Source: Lagos State Government, BudgIT Research

                                                  15
Federal Transfers Under FAAC

The States received about N89.69bn in 2017
from the federation account, facilitated via the
Federal Account Allocation Committee
(FAAC). In 2014, 2015 and 2016, the total
amount received from FAAC came in at
N105.57bn, N82.91bn, N76.77bn respectively.

The composition of federal transfers includes
revenue from company income tax, tariffs on
import, Value Added Tax and revenue for the
oil sector.

        History: Net FAAC Allocations
2007                  N48.62bn

2008                        71.35bn

2009                         N75.0bn

 2010                            N87.89bn

 2011                                  N111.66bn

 2012                                    N118.59bn

 2013                                    N117.72bn

2014                                  N105.57bn

 2015                           N82.91bn

 2016                         N76.78bn

 2017                            N89.69bn

 2018
        *Budget Projection
                                               \        N177bn*

        Source: Office of the Attorney General of the
        Federation (OAGF); BudgIT Research
                                                             16
Breakdown
Value Added Tax                                   due to structural and policy challenges.

Value Added Tax (VAT) was introduced in           With regards to VAT figures, Lagos State
France in 1968; since then, over 150 countries    received approximately N80.23bn in 2017.
worldwide have adopted some form of VAT.
                                                  For 2015 and 2016, Lagos received a total of
On average, countries from the Organisation       N65.8bn and N75.43bn respectively.
for Economic Co-operation and Development
(OECD) cohort collect about 32% of their total    History: Value Added Tax
revenue from VAT and 27% from personal
income taxes. This relatively new tax has         2007      N22.64bn
become a crucial revenue source among
OECD-member countries.                            2008        N32.17bn
                                                  2009          N39.96bn
Nigeria is projecting a VAT uptake of
N207.86bn in fiscal year 2018; but the federal    2010           N47.29bn
government's share of VAT revenue was
                                                   2011           N51.02bn
N106.74bn and N104.66bn in 2014 and 2015
respectively. Clearly, expectations for revenue   2012             N61.39bn
collection numbers appear to be way beyond
the actual reality, in terms of what the          2013                 N68.84bn
government receives.
                                                  2014                   N72.62bn
On one hand, revenue from VAT seems to be         2015               N65.82bn
growing, despite Nigeria recently crawling out
of economic recession. However, the               2016                    N75.44bn
perception in the wider economy is that                                     N80.23bn
                                                  2017
Household Consumption expenditure is
declining, with salaries paid out to employees    2018                              N103.2bn*
also plumbing lower depths, while the
                                                  *Budget Projection
economy's capacity to create jobs is strained,
                                                  Source: Office of the Attorney General of the
                                                  Federation (OAGF), Lagos State Government, BudgIT Research
Statutory Revenue                                      becomes Statutory revenue, which is then
                                                       shared among the federal, state and local
Statutory revenue allocation to Lagos state in         governments, using a composite sharing
2017 was approximately N43.19bn; a rise of             formular.
27.5%, from N33.87bn in 2016.
                                                       Lagos state is entitled to some share of oil
In 2015, 2014 and 2013, Statutory revenue was          revenue, company income tax, revenue from
N45.03bn, N59.85bn and N70.94bn                        tariff on incomes and other categories of
respectively.                                          revenue that are federally-collected and
                                                       allocated, at the monthly FAAC meetings.
Statutory revenue for any State is the money it
is entitled to from the Federation Account. Oil
revenue, Company income tax , Customs-
related revenue (excluding VAT) are paid
directly into the Federation Account.

History of Statutory Revenue

2007               N35.76bn
2008                   N47.99bn
2009                N37.64bn
2010                   N48.21bn
 2011                    N69.86bn
2012                    N66.99bn
2013                     N70.94bn
2014                   N59.85bn
2015                 N45.03bn
2016              N33.87bn
2017                 N43.19bn
2018                    N57.5bn*
        Source: OAGF, Lagos State Government
        *Budget Projection

After a deduction of 13% of the revenue
accruing to the Federation Account directly
from any natural resources, what is left

                                                  18
Why is Lagos' FAAC
Reducing?
Why is Lagos' FAAC Reducing?
Bonds issued by Nigerian States are usually       Lagos' allocation. However, Total deductions
assisted by Irrevocable Standing Payment          from the state's FAAC account in 2017 rose to
Orders (ISPOs), which legally empower the         N33.73bn, from 2016 deductions worth
Accountant General of the Federation (AGF)        N32.54bn. In 2015, 2014 and 2013, a total of
to withdraw sums due to debt holders directly     N27.95bn, N26.9bn and N22.06bn was
from State governments' revenue accounts          deducted from Lagos' FAAC allocation
with the federal government, including interest   respectively, reinforcing the State's increasing
and capital repayments.                           debt profile.

Also, almost all external debt have some form     History: Deductions from Lagos' FAAC Allocations
of ISPOs, which enables the federal
                                                  2007        N9.78bn
government to deduct interest and capital
repayments as due, on behalf of the States.       2008       N8.80bn
Lagos has been issuing bonds and increasing
its stock of external debt, with its Domestic     2009    N2.59bn
debt leaping from N157.34bn in 2011, to           2010      N7.60bn
N311.76bn in 2016; figures for 2017 are
unavailable.                                       2011       N9.22bn

External debt has also grown from 2011 figures    2012         N9.79bn
of $400.5mn, to $1.45bn in 2017. The              2013                   N22.06bn
implication is that the federal government is
making deductions to ensure Lagos meets its       2014                    N26.90bn
debt obligations. These deductions at source
have therefore resulted in a reduction in the     2015                     N27.95bn
total revenue Lagos gets via the FAAC                                       N32.54bn
                                                  2016
allocations.
                                                  2017                       N33.73bn
In 2007, only N9.78bn was deducted from           Source: OAGF, Budget Research
Debt
DEBT
       Debt
       Domestic Debt Profile                                       External Debt

       Lagos has the highest domestic debt profile                Between 2012 and 2014, Lagos' external debt
       among all 36 States in Nigeria; Total debt was             rose by 89.85%, from $611m, to $1.16bn. The
       N311bn, as at year-end 2016. Debt in 2015, 2014            State's total external debt in 2015 and 2016 was
       and 2013 amounted to N218.54bn, N268.07bn,                 at $1.2bn and $1.17bn respectively. Lagos State
       N278.87bn respectively.                                    has the highest foreign debt profile among its
                                                                  equals, followed by Kaduna, Edo and Cross River
                                                                  States.
       History: Domestic Debt Profile                             History: External Debt Profile
       2011                     N157.54bn                         2011                  $491.85m
       2012                           N230.43bn                   2012                       $611.25m
       2013                                 N278.87bn             2013                             $938.14m
       2014                              N268.07bn                2014                              $1.17bn
       2015                  N218.54bn                            2015                                $1.21bn
       2016                                   N311.76bn           2016                                  $1.38bn
       2017                                           N363.29bn   2017                                   $1.47bn
                                                                         Source: DMO, CBN, Budget Research
              Source: Debt Management Office (DMO),
              CBN, Budget Research
Expenditure
Personnel Costs
                                                                History: Actual Personnel Costs
Lagos spent approximately N91bn in 2015, or
22.89% of Total expenditure, on the salaries          1998          N8.5bn
and remuneration of its civil workers; up from
                                                      1999         N9.4bn
N78.8bn in 2014 and N75.6bn in 2013.
                                                  2000              N12.9bn
Between 2005 and 2015, these personnel                2001           N13.9bn
costs for Lagos grew by 386.7%.
                                                      2002           N15bn
Actual spending on personnel costs for 2016           2003           N14.5bn
and 2017 are as yet unavailable.
                                                  2004               N16.5bn
                                                      2005             N18.7bn
                                                      2006             N21.2bn
                                                      2007                  N30.5bn
                                                      2008                     N40.5bn
                                                      2009                       N42.8bn
                                                      2010                            N57.7bn
                                                      2011                               N66.4bn
                                                      2012                             N62.4bn
                                                      2013                                   N75.6bn
                                                      2014                                    N78.8bn
                                                      2015                                         N91bn
                                                      2016                                                     N125.2bn*
                                                      2017                                         N104.7bn*
                                                      2018                                           N112.2bn*
                                                             *Budget Projection
                                                             Source: Lagos State Government; BudgIT Research

                                                 24
Public Debt Servicing                                      History: Public Debt Servicing
The cost of servicing debt taken on by the        1998 N400m
Lagos government, relative to its revenue, is
more or less flat.                                1999 N200m
                                                  2000 N300m
About 12.9% of Lagos' revenue was spent
servicing outstanding debt in 2015; public debt   2001          N7.3bn
servicing costs have risen from N4.5bn in
2009, to N35.9bn in 2018.
                                                  2002       N2.6bn
                                                  2003            N8.8bn
Public debt servicing costs came to N22.9bn,
N17bn, N33.2bn and N1.9bn in 2014, 2013, 2012     2004                N12.2bn
and 2011 respectively. Actual cost of servicing   2005                  N14bn
outstanding debts for Lagos state in 2016 and
2017 remains unclear, due to the State            2006                 N13.3bn
neglecting to publish its budget
                                                  2007                             N28.2bn
implementation reports.
                                                  2008                       N20.9bn
                                                  2009        N4.5bn
                                                  2010         N5.2bn
                                                  2011      N1.9bn
                                                  2012                                 N33.2bn
                                                  2013                    N17bn
                                                  2014                              N22.9bn
                                                  2015                             N20.8bn
                                                  2016                N13.2bn*
                                                  2017                                 N30.9bn*
                                                  2018                                         N35.9bn*
                                                         Source: Lagos State Government; BudgIT Research
                                                         *Budget Projection
Overhead costs and Subvention                                  History: Overhead costs and
                                                               subvention
Available data suggests the Overhead costs of
maintaining Lagos' government has somewhat             2001         N14.3bn
exhibited a downward trend, from 2014 levels of
N104.1bn to N96.9bn in 2015.
                                                       2002         N15.8bn
Lagos spent N105.1bn, N138.2bn, N80.8bn and
N83.2bn on Overheads in 2013, 2012, 2011 and 2003                   N15.3bn
2010 respectively, while figures for 2016 and
2017 are unknown. Furthermore, the 2004                              N20.2bn
breakdown of Lagos’ 2018 overhead cost
projections is not publicly available.
                                                       2005             N26.8bn
Essentially, what the State plans to spend on
stationery and computer consumables, 2006                                      N47.6bn
newspapers and periodicals, international and
domestic travels, utility bills and general
                                              2007                             N49.3bn
maintenance remains secret.

                                                       2008                    N45.2bn

                                                       2009                           N73.5bn

                                                       2010                              N83.2bn

                                                       2011                               N80.8bn

                                                       2012                                                N138.2bn

                                                       2013                                     N105.1bn

                                                       2014                                     N104.1bn

                                                       2015                                   N96.9bn

                                                       2016                                     N103.7bn*

                                                       2017                                                 N170.4bn*

                                                       2018                                                      N198.9bn*
                                                              Source: Lagos State Government; BudgIT Research
                                                              *Budget Projection
                                                  26
Capital Expenditure                                        History: Capital Spending
The Capital expenditure portion of Lagos'
                                                  1998 N5.7bn
2015 spendings was N160bn; a N5bn increase
over 2014 capital spending, which accounted       1999 N3.3bn
for 40.24% of Actual spending.
                                                  2000 N8.1bn
Capital spending in 2013, 2012, 2011 and 2010     2001 N3.9bn
was N274.6bn, N268.5bn, N230.8bn and
N245.2bn respectively. Information on the         2002 N6.1bn
2016 and 2017 budget implementation report is
not available, and the breakdown of the State's   2003 N8.5bn
2018 budget remains excluded from public          2004     N9.7bn
knowledge.
                                                  2005      N19.2bn
Preliminary information released to the public    2006              N50.1bn
on Lagos' 2018 budget included proposed
spending on projects such as the construction     2007                 N78.4bn
of the Agege Pen Cinema flyover;
construction on alternative routes through        2008                             N155.2bn
Oke-Ira in Eti-Osa to Epe-Lekki Expressway;       2009                                         N235.7bn
the construction of an 8km Regional Road to
serve as alternative route to connect Victoria    2010                                          N245.2bn
Garden City (VGC) with Freedom Road in
                                                  2011                                        N230.8bn
Lekki Phase 1; the completion of the ongoing
reconstruction of Oshodi International Airport    2012                                              N268.5bn
Road into a 10-lane road and the construction
of a BRT Lane from Oshodi to Abule-Egba.          2013                                               N274.6bn
                                                  2014                              N165bn
                                                  2015                             N160bn
                                                  2016                                              /      N386.9bn*
                                                  2017                                                     /       N507.8bn*
                                                  2018
                                                         Source: Lagos State Government; BudgIT Research
                                                                                                               /    N699.1bn*
                                                         *Budget Projection

                                                     27
History: Capital Expenditure as a
Transportation                  Percentage of Total Spending

   Statistics         1998                 28.06%
                      1999               17.46%
                      2000                   30.92%
                      2001       9.90%
                      2002            15.44%
                      2003               18.05%
     LAGBUS           2004            16.55%
      1309            2005                  24.40%
                      2006                     37.90%
                      2007                        42.06bn
                      2008                           59.28%
                      2009                              66.12%
    Passengers        2010                              62.66%
   62,387,434          2011                          60.75%
                      2012                          53.45%
                      2013                          58.14%
                      2014                        40.79%
                      2015                        40.42%
                              Source: Lagos State Government,
                              BudgIT Research

     Routes
       57

                 28
Conclusion

From the foregoing, the unequivocal, recurring        budget documents and budget
theme is that Lagos State's finances and              implementation reports, away from the public
specifically its utilisation and spending of          is widely regarded as an attempt to nurture and
taxpayers funds remain mainly opaque,                 foster a corrupt system for the benefit of the
uncoordinated, and brazen. The government             ruling elite and their cronies.
has persistently shown an inability to
acknowledge the presence or wishes of the             Over the last decade, Lagos State's accounts
same Lagosians in whose names these                   have taken on a worrisome trend; the amount
monies are disbursed and collected.                   of public funds being handled has grown, but
                                                      so has secrecy and an outright refusal to
This situation is exacerbated by the non-             adhere to the basic tenets of democracy that
capacity of the Lagos Assembly to encourage           state the public has a right to know.
or enforce conditions that mandate the Lagos
state government to articulate its policies,          With over N3.8tn spent by Lagos State
present a detailed budget and/or submit               governments between 1999 and 2015 amid
standardised performance measurement                  little or no documentation and verifiable trails
indicators. Lawmakers have presided over a            backing such spendings, we use this medium
sustained culture where governors appear to           to call for a holistic audit of the State's
sit back and routinely award contracts without        finances.
accountability.
                                                      We urge the Lagos government to submit to
A wanton disregard for the sanctity of public         the fundamental principles of democracy,
funds in Nigeria's richest state by total             which include publishing key budget
government revenue means that even when               documents, including the detailed proposed
tax revenues climb to all-time highs and              budget for Lagos State, the enacted budget,
outgrow agreed benchmarks, Lagos will                 budget implementation reports, financial
rather continue to agitate for more tax,              statements for Lagos, and the Audit reports. It
drawdown on previous savings, or resort to            is equally necessary for Lagos to publish all
heavy debts accumulation - debts which will           contract agreements entered into and carried
be paid in years to come by children currently        over within each relevant financial year.
under the age of five.
                                                      We reiterate that it is important for taxpayers,
Worldwide, transparency is increasingly               civil society organisations, development
viewed by leaders and the led as central to           partners, international organisation to take
curbing corruption and other dysfunctions             note and be aware. Lagos is increasingly
within developing countries.                          normalising opacity in governance, despite
                                                      being a prominent State; a development that
A deliberate attempt by any government to             could set dire precedents for other States, and
keep key information, including its detailed          contribute to a devastating retardation of
                                                      Nigeria's hard-won democracy.

                                                 29
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