Viruses in The News: Ebola, Influenza and Enterovirus 68 - Todd F Hatchette MD FRCPC Division Head and Service Chief Microbiology, DPLM, CDHA ...
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Viruses in The News: Ebola, Influenza and Enterovirus 68 Todd F Hatchette MD FRCPC Division Head and Service Chief Microbiology, DPLM, CDHA October 2, 2014
Outline • Ebola • What is it and where did it • Influenza come from • Enterovirus 68 • How do Humans Get it? • What is the Current Situation and what Does the Future Hold? • Are We Prepared? • How do you protect yourself
What is Ebola 1) Marburg virus 2) Ebola Zaire 3) Ebola Sudan Source: CDC 4) Ebola Ivory Coast 5) Ebola Reston 6) Ebola Bundibugyo http://viralzone.expasy.org/all_by_species/23.ht ml
Where Does The Virus Come From http://elitedaily.com/news/world/ebola-traced-back- fruit-bat/725153/ http://www.thetimes.co.uk/tto/news/world/africa source: cdc.gov /article4054794.ece
How are Humans Infected • Bats have high titrs in feces • Used as food http://squathole.wordpress.com/2014/03/28 • Bush meat trade alive /sorry-bats-off/ and well Photo: WSPA/K.AMMANN / REX http://www.telegraph.co.uk/health/healthnews/11006343/Ebola- crisis-why-is-there-bush-meat-in-the-UK.html
How are Humans Infected • direct contact with – blood or secretions – Urine, – feces, – semen, – breast milk • exposure to objects that have been contaminated with infected secretions. • Mucosal surface / breaks in skin / parentral
Ways it is NOT Transmitted • Animal data to suggest aerosol transmission is possible but not seen in the field • Patients DO NOT transmit when asymptomatic.
What is the Current Situation?
Current Situation (map as of Sept 6) Started March 2014 http://www.nejm.org/action/showMedia Player?doi=10.1056%2FNEJMoa14111 00&aid=NEJMoa1411100_attach_1&ar ea=aop
WHO Update - (Sept 26, 2014) Country Case Deaths (confirmed/prob/susp) Guinea 1074 648 (60%) Liberia 3458 1830 (53%) Sierra Leone 2021 605 (30%) Nigeria 20 8 (40%) Senegal 1 0 Total 6574 3091 (47%) Dem Rep Congo 70 42 (60%)
Symptoms of the Current Outbreak (NEJM; September 23, 2014) Presentation is non-specific • Fever – 87% • Incubation period 2-21 days • Fatigue – 76% (ave 11 days) • Loss of appetite – 65% • Serial interval 15 days • Vomiting – 68% • Diarrhea – 66% • conjunctival injection – 21% • Unexplained Bleeding –18% • Rash – 6% • Cough not common - 30%
EARLY LATE DEATH OR RECOVERY http://cdn.zmescience.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/08/ebola_outbreak.jpg Death from Hypovolemic shock and Multiorgan failure - 6-16 days
What Is The Natural History of Ebola Virus Infection In Humans? • Nonfatal cases – fever for 5-9 days and then improve – coincident with humoral antibody response – Complete recover can take weeks • Weakness / arthralgias / headaches / hairloss • Mortality: 30 -90% • Death occurs 4 days from hospitalization – NEJM 2014 • Current outbreak is approx 54%
How does it kill • Cytokine storm • Capillary leakage • Direct endothelial damage http://o.canada.com/news/africas-ebola-outbreak- the-worst-crisis-weve-ever-had
Patient Management CCCS / CSEP / AMMI guidelines • Protect HCW • Minimize testing • Rule out other common infections • Supportive care • Point of care equipment http://www.ammi.ca/media/69846/Ebola% 20Clinical%20Care%20Guidelines%202% 20Sep%202014.pdf
How Can HCW protect themselves • Use the appropriate PPE – contact and droplet – N95 for aerosol generating procedures www.pathogenperspectives.com www.cdc.gov
Why Are HCWs being Infected http://rt.com/news/ebola-virus-outbreak-guinea-941/
Are We Prepared? http://www.marciliroff.com/new/be-prepared/
Screening Tool • Present with fever > 38.6 and other symptoms • Travel to one of the affected regions in th least 21 days – Probe a little more can stratify risk • 811 / EHS / ED all aware and will use to determine if potential case • Notify MOH – trigger a teleconference – ID / Micro /EHS
What is the NS Plan • CDHA / IWK will be site for clinical assessment • Medical Officer of Health coordinates • Dedicated equipment • Visitor restriction • Dedicated HCWs
What Does the Future Hold?
The Risk to NS is Low Gomes et al., PLOS current outbreaks Sept 2014
Predictions. Where Are We Headed Source: WHO Sept 12, 2014 Source: Science: Aug 31 2014 • Estimated Ro – 1.7 – 2.02 • Estimated doubling time – 15 – 30 days
Predictions? Source: based on WHO data http://www.abovetopsecret.com /forum/thread1025400/pg1 • Based on WHO models (NEJM Sept 25) • By Nov 2 – over 20,000 cases: – 5740 Guinea / 9890 Liberia / 5000 Sierra Leone
How Do We Stop It? This is NOT an African Problem It Is A Global Problem • Early diagnosis • Contact tracing • Isolation • Infection Prevention and Control • Safe burial practices http://www.directrelief.org/tag/2014-west-africa-ebola- outbreak/
What treatment/prevention optins are on the horizon • Convalescent serum • ZMAPP Source: CBC.ca – Humanized monoclonal antibodies • Novel vaccines • Novel antivirals – TKM Fukijilm Holdings / Associated Press http://www.usnews.com/news/articles/2014/09 /02/ebola-vaccine-trials-to-begin-this-week
What is Influenza and Where Does it Come From?
The Virus 18 HA ; 11 NA subtypes
Influenza Dogma • Feral aquatic birds are natural host • “evolutionary stasis” in natural H1N1 host H3N2 • Evolve quickly when cross H1N1 species High path. Low path. H3N2
“Pandemic Influenza” • An outbreak of influenza infection that spreads throughout the world. • Requirements: – Must be able to readily infect humans. – Novel strain to which the population lacks immunity: • A high percentage of individuals are infected resulting in increased mortality rates. – Readily transmissible between hosts: • Spread by respiratory secretions in the form of droplets expelled during coughing or sneezing.
Generation of Pandemic Influenza “Antigenic Shift”
PB2 PB1 PA HA NP NA M NS H1N1 H2N2 H3N2 pH1N1 1918 lineage 1957-1958 1968 – 1969 2009 - present 20 million worldwide “Asian Flu” “Hong Kong flu” “swine flu” (550,000 US) 1 million worldwide 1 million worldwide (70,000 US) (34,000 US) 2009 1957 1968 1977 H1N1 H3N2 H2N2 H1N2 H1N1 H1N1 1918 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010
Why Does the Seasonal Influenza Vaccine Change Every Year?
Immune System Forces “Antigenic Drift” Mutation Globe and Mail; Oct. 19 2012
Catch me if you can
Transmission - Person to person • Droplet spread – Influenza • Contaminated fingers/hands • Fomites (Objects) • Aerosol is controversial
Treatment Neuraminidase Inhibitors Amantidine (NAI) Moscona. 2005. NEJM. 353:1363 Nature reviews
How To Protect Yourself and Others Prevent Infection Prevent Transmission
The Influenza Vaccine It is Safe and Effective! • Most effective in < 65yrs • Reduces hospitalization and death in elderly • Serious side effects are rare The best protection against annual flu is vaccination
What other “Flus” are out there
vH3N2 H7N9
Enterovirus 68
Enterovirus 68 • First isolated in California in 1962 from four children with bronchiolitis and pneumonia CNN.com • 79 cases from 2009 – 2013 in US • 82 cases in Canada since 1999 • type D enteroviruses and is almost exclusively respiratory
What are the symptoms • Mild to severe respiratory illness. • Most have mild symptoms – fever, runny nose, sneezing, cough, and body and muscle aches. • Severe symptoms can occur in asthmatics, immune comprimised, very young – Parents should seek immediate medical attention if their children have trouble breathing and children not eating • Can be seen in adults (25% of cases in previous outbreaks)
Closely Related to Rhinovirus (common cold) EV68
It is Wide Spread at the Moment • 472 cases in US • 41 States • BC / Alberta • Potential underestimate because of challenges with detection
How Is it Spread • Respiratory Secretions • Oral secretions • Stool – “fecal oral route” • Enterovirus season is commonly in the fall
How can I protect myself? • Wash hands often • Avoid touching eyes, nose and mouth. • Avoid kissing, hugging, and sharing cups or utensils with sick. • Disinfect frequently touched surfaces, especially if someone is sick.
What if Your Child Has Asthma • They are higher risk for respiratory illnesses in general – regularly take medicines to control asthma – Get your influenza vaccine – Watch for unusual respiratory distress with a cold
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