VACA MUERTA FIELD TRIP - Bolsar
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IMPORTANT IMPORTANTNOTICE NOTICE Safe harbor statement under the US Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. This document contains statements that YPF believes constitute forward-looking statements within the meaning of the US Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These forward-looking statements may include statements regarding the intent, belief, plans, current expectations or objectives of YPF and its management, including statements with respect to YPF’s future financial condition, financial, operating, reserve replacement and other ratios, results of operations, business strategy, geographic concentration, business concentration, production and marketed volumes and reserves, as well as YPF’s plans, expectations or objectives with respect to future capital expenditures, investments, expansion and other projects, exploration activities, ownership interests, divestments, cost savings and dividend payout policies. These forward-looking statements may also include assumptions regarding future economic and other conditions, such as future crude oil and other prices, refining and marketing margins and exchange rates. These statements are not guarantees of future performance, prices, margins, exchange rates or other events and are subject to material risks, uncertainties, changes and other factors which may be beyond YPF’s control or may be difficult to predict. YPF’s actual future financial condition, financial, operating, reserve replacement and other ratios, results of operations, business strategy, geographic concentration, business concentration, production and marketed volumes, reserves, capital expenditures, investments, expansion and other projects, exploration activities, ownership interests, divestments, cost savings and dividend payout policies, as well as actual future economic and other conditions, such as future crude oil and other prices, refining margins and exchange rates, could differ materially from those expressed or implied in any such forward-looking statements. Important factors that could cause such differences include, but are not limited to, oil, gas and other price fluctuations, supply and demand levels, currency fluctuations, exploration, drilling and production results, changes in reserves estimates, success in partnering with third parties, loss of market share, industry competition, environmental risks, physical risks, the risks of doing business in developing countries, legislative, tax, legal and regulatory developments, economic and financial market conditions in various countries and regions, political risks, wars and acts of terrorism, natural disasters, project delays or advancements and lack of approvals, as well as those factors described in the filings made by YPF and its affiliates with the Securities and Exchange Commission, in particular, those described in “Item 3. Key Information—Risk Factors” and “Item 5. Operating and Financial Review and Prospects” in YPF’s Annual Report on Form 20- F for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2018 filed with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. In light of the foregoing, the forward-looking statements included in this document may not occur. Except as required by law, YPF does not undertake to publicly update or revise these forward-looking statements even if experience or future changes make it clear that the projected performance, conditions or events expressed or implied therein will not be realized. These materials do not constitute an offer to sell or the solicitation of any offer to buy any securities of YPF S.A. in any jurisdiction. Securities may not be offered or sold in the United States absent registration with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission or an exemption from such registration. Cautionary Note to U.S. Investors — The United States Securities and Exchange Commission permits oil and gas companies, in their filings with the SEC, to separately disclose proved, probable and possible reserves that a company has determined in accordance with the SEC rules. We may use certain terms in this presentation, such as resources, that the SEC’s guidelines strictly prohibit us from including in filings with the SEC. U.S. Investors are urged to consider closely the disclosure in our Form 20-F, File No. 1-12102 available on the SEC website www.sec.gov. Our estimates of EURs, included in our Development Costs, are by their nature more speculative than estimates of proved, probable and possible reserves and accordingly are subject to substantially greater risk of being actually realized, particularly in areas or zones where there has been limited history. Actual locations drilled and quantities that may be ultimately recovered from our concessions will differ substantially. Ultimate recoveries will be dependent upon numerous factors including actual encountered geological conditions and the impact of future oil and gas pricing. 2
AGENDA 01 INTRODUCTION 02 YPF SHALE ACTIVITY 03 SHALE OIL PROJECTS 04 INFRASTRUCTURE 05 MILESTONES & FUTURE CHALLENGES 3
VACA MUERTA STRATEGY Achieve all these objectives with the Accelerate development activity highest standards in in Loma Campana safety and sustainability Replicate the success in La Amarga Chica and Bandurria Sur ACREAGE (MM ACRES) Expand the boundaries of VM Acreage Vaca Muerta oil through pilots 3.4 YPF Gross 2.7 Prepare next wave of developments YPF Net 1.7 1.3 1.2 Evaluate different alternatives to 0.7 unlock shale gas potential Oil Gas 4
VACA MUERTA LEARNING CURVE OIL PRODUCTION / DRILLING RIGS 70 OPTIMIZATION 30 Rigs - RHS Oil Production (Kbbl/d) 27 59 26 26 60 2525 25 25 25 242424 2424 24 2424 MIGRATION 25 23 23 TO 2222 22 HORIZONTAL 21 WELLS 50 191919191919 20 18 17 40 16 15 15 15 14 15 1313 30 12 121212 12 11 111111111111 11 1010 10 10 101010 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 10 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 20 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 6 6 6 5 5 4 4 5 10 3 0 0 Jan-12 Jul-12 Jan-13 Jul-13 Jan-14 Jul-14 Jan-15 Jul-15 Jan-16 Jul-16 Jan-17 Jul-17 Jan-18 Jul-18 Jan-19 5
REFERENCES PBN Exploration Operated VACA MUERTA ACTIVITY Exploration & Pilots Non Op. ChS PH Pilots FMo Este Development N BDT LdM TOTAL PRODUCTION STRATEGIC SDH PARTNERS Operated Gross YPF (Avg. June 2019) Mm3/d CLMi PY I LaMa 61.4 Kbbl/d Oil 9.6 Gas CA San EOR PY II Roque OPERATED ACTIVE WELLS VM wells 720 June 2019 LACh ADLA BAñ 2019 CAPEX ~2bn AdC BS Operated USD APE Gross YPF LC LCa APO LRi I LLL Sur Embalse OPERATED DRILLING RIGS (1) 17 RDM LRi II LLL Embalse June MUSD O (1) Include 1 Spudder Rig 2019 Cha MBE Lindero LTa Atravesado LLL-SB LLL-SB AVi AND CBN 6
SHALE OIL AS OUR MAIN GROWTH DRIVER SHALE OIL PRODUCTION SHALE OIL INVESTMENT (Kbbl/d)* (MUSD)* 3500 350 3000 300 2500 250 2000 200 Net YPF Net 1500 150 YPF 100 1000 50 500 0 0 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 Operated Non-operated * Strategic Plan 2018 7
AGENDA 01 INTRODUCTION 02 YPF SHALE ACTIVITY 03 SHALE OIL PROJECTS 04 INFRASTRUCTURE 05 MILESTONES & FUTURE CHALLENGES 8
VACA MUERTA VS. OTHER UNCONVENTIONAL RESOURCE PLAYS Vaca Muerta Barnett Haynesville Marcellus Eagle Ford Wolfcamp Desired TOC (%) >2 3-10 4-5 0.5 - 4 2 - 12 3-5 3 Thickness (m) > 30 30-450 60 - 90 60 - 90 10 - 60 30 - 100 200 - 300 Reservoir Pressure (psi) High 4,500 - 9,500 3,000 – 4,000 7,000 – 12,000 2,000 – 5,500 4,500 – 8,500 4,600 9
EXPLORATION ACTIVITY IN VACA MUERTA 2018-19 Expansion 7 WELLS of Vaca Muerta boundaries 84 743 WELLS MUSD NET YPF 2012-17 Pilots: LAC, BS, Lri, BdA, PdY Payún Oeste 61 WELLS Initial development phase of LC and EOr Start of shale gas exploration ChSN Narambuena Bajo del Toro S. Huitrín Apon/La Banda 2011 Delineation of Loma Campana Cerro Avispa Cerro Las Minas Loma Amarilla 14 WELLS Expansion of shale oil window Pampa de las YeguasSan I Roque Cerro Arena El Orejano Exploration drills the 1º hz well (500 m) B. De Añelo La Amarga Chica Aguada de Castro Bandurria Sur REFERENCIA Aguada Pichana Loma Campana Horizontal exploration well La Calera La Ribera I Vertical exploration well 2010 2007 – 2010 VM exploration block La Ribera II del Rincón Mata Mora Exploitation NOC: Pilots Mangrullo MBE Loma de la Lata Lindero Atravesado 2 WELLS Geological studies Exploitation NOC: Development Las Tacanas Shale Oil Window Discovery of shale gas and shale oil Wet Gas Window 10 Dry Gas Window
YPF LEADING THE DEVELOPMENT IN VACA MUERTA YPF AS SHALE YPF AS OPERATOR(1) PRODUCER IN ARGENTINA (2) 250 100% 91% 89% 87% 86% 90% 78% 200 22 80% 70% 75% 23 59% OIL 150 60% 53% 114 % Wells 100 29 17 41% 39% 50% 40% 26% YPF 160 178 45 GAS 30% # Wells operated by others 50 104 103 20% 22 80 64 # Well 10% 2 operated 25 11 20 by YPF 7 0 0% 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 (1) Source: "Activity at Vaca Muerta Play" - February 2019 - G&G Energy Consultants - Daniel G. Gerold / (2) G&G Energy Consultants 11 11
INVESTMENTS IN VACA MUERTA TOTALED ~9BUSD IN THE LAST 6 YEARS GROSS OPERATED INVESTMENT VACA MUERTA (IN MILLIONS OF USD) DRILLING FACILITIES 2,109 ~2,000 1,981 382 320 ~500 1,398 1,175 330 1,099 1,083 120 169 119 1,662 1,727 ~1,500 1,055 1,068 964 930 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 E 12
AGENDA 01 INTRODUCTION 02 YPF SHALE ACTIVITY 03 SHALE OIL PROJECTS 04 INFRASTRUCTURE 05 MILESTONES & FUTURE CHALLENGES 13
PBN CLUSTER OIL N°2 EXPANDING SHALE OIL BOUNDARIES ChS PH FMo Este N CLUSTER Loma Campana – Bandurria BDT OIL N° 1 Sur – La Amarga Chica SDH LdM DEVELOPMENT Future expansion to LLL Sur CLMi LaMa PY I CA San EOR Roque CLUSTER Bajo del Toro – PY II OIL N° 2 Narambuena – ChSN CLUSTER OIL N°1 LACh DELINEATION Future expansion BA AdC ADLA ñ BS to Las Manadas and APE Puesto Hernandez LC LCa APO LRi I LLL Sur CLUSTER Sierra Barrosa Embalse RDM LRi II LLL Embalse OIL N° 3 Al Norte de la Dorsal O Cha MBE Lindero EXPLORATION LTa LLL-SB LLL-SB Atravesado Cerro Bandera AVi CBN AND CLUSTER OIL N°3 14
ACCELERATING OUR SHALE OIL DEVELOPMENTS LOMA LA AMARGA BANDURRIA CAMPANA CHICA SUR 2019 2019 2019 GROSS PRODUCTION (KBBL/D) GROSS PRODUCTION (KBBL/D) GROSS PRODUCTION (KBBL/D) 25 60 50.9 20.0 12 10.3 50 20 10 40 15 8 30 6 10 20 4 10 5 2 0 0 0 Jul-19 Apr-19 Oct-19 Jan-19 Feb-19 Mar-19 May-19 Jun-19 Aug-19 Sep-19 Nov-19 Dec-19 Jul-19 Apr-19 Oct-19 Jan-19 Feb-19 Mar-19 May-19 Jun-19 Aug-19 Sep-19 Nov-19 Dec-19 Jul-19 Apr-19 Oct-19 Jan-19 Feb-19 Mar-19 May-19 Jun-19 Aug-19 Sep-19 Nov-19 Dec-19 GROSS CAPEX 2019 GROSS CAPEX 2019 GROSS CAPEX 2019 ~670 MUSD ~560 MUSD ~290 MUSD RIGS Dic-19: 4 RIGS Dic-19: 4 RIGS Dic-19: 3 Full Field Development Full Field Development Full Field Development Plateau (10 years) 100 kbbl/d Plateau (12 years) 65 kbbl/d Plateau (10 years) 58 kbbl/d WELLS 1,488 WELLS 734 WELLS 578 GROSS CAPEX +15 BUSD GROSS CAPEX +7.5 BUSD GROSS CAPEX +6.7 BUSD 15
PRODUCTIVITY IMPROVEMENT TIMELINE LOMA CAMPANA LA AMARGA CHICA BANDURRIA SUR – SE ZONE (KBbl) (KBbl) (KBbl) 375 Avg. Campaign 2016 375 Avg. Campaign 2016 375 2 wells Avg. Campaign 2017 Avg. Campaign 2017 Avg. Campaign 2018 Avg. Campaign 2018 300 300 300 66 wells 37 wells 56 wells 9 wells 225 30 wells 225 225 2 wells Avg. Campaign 2017 11 wells Avg. Campaign 2018 150 150 150 75 75 75 0 0 0 0 6 12 18 24 30 36 0 6 12 18 24 30 36 0 6 12 18 24 30 36 Months Months Months EUR 905 kboe EUR 800 kboe EUR 980 kboe 2018 campaign 2018 campaign 2018 campaign 16
COST IMPROVEMENT TIMELINE DEVELOPMENT COST – HORIZONTAL WELL (USD/BOE) 40 (1) 34 Loma Campana La Amarga Chica 35 30 25 20 19 20 15 15 18 12 15 10 11 9 5 0 2015 2016 2017 2018 Q1 2019 (1) Loma Campana development costs have been recalculated based on new information 17
AGENDA 01 INTRODUCTION 02 YPF SHALE ACTIVITY 03 SHALE OIL PROJECTS 04 INFRASTRUCTURE 05 MILESTONES & FUTURE CHALLENGES 18
BUILDING AN EFFICIENT PLATFORM TO FACILITATE OUR PRODUCTION GROWTH 2014 2015 2016 PSU-GAS PIPELINE RDM LLL LOGISTIC CENTER NOC OFFICE CONTROL ROOM PRODUCTION BATTERIES WATER NETWORK PROPPANT PLANT CONTROL ROOM DRILLING-GEOST
BUILDING AN EFFICIENT PLATFORM TO FACILITATE OUR PRODUCTION GROWTH 2017 2014 2018 2019 2020 BATTERIES LOMA CAMPANA OIL LA AMARGA CHICA OIL BANDURRIA SUR OIL LC-PELLEGRINI OIL PIPELINE 20 TREATMENT FACILITY TREATMENT FACILITY TREATMENT FACILITY
OIL TREATMENT FACILITIES 2019 - 2020 LOMA CAMPANA Loma Campana Construction: Start-up: Expand current capacity 2014-2016 Dec-2016 to 113.2 kboe/d Start-up: 4Q-2019 Capex: Current capacity: MMUSD 200 62.9 kboe/d La Amarga Chica Main contractor: Construction: 2019 AESA Investment: MUSD 75 Start-up: 2Q-2020 • Blocks using the plant: Loma Campana, Capacity: 50.2 kboe/d La Amarga Chica, Bandurria Sur and Bajada de Añelo (operated by Shell) • Dedicated control systems for process safety Bandurria Sur • Control room Construction: 2020 • Possibility to operate remotely Investment: MUSD 75 Start-up: 2Q-2021 Capacity: 50.2 kboe/d 21
LC – LP PIPELINE MAIN CHARACTERISTICS From: Loma Campana crude treatment plant To: Pellegrini Lake refueling station PTC LC (Medanito-Allen Oldelval pipeline) Length: Diameter: 88 Km 18” CABO LLL Transportation capacity: PLANTA 25,000 m3/d (157 Kbbl/d) PELLEGRI NI New pump station in Loma Campana Simultaneous operation to the current system SCHEDULE Construction: CAPEX February 2018 Total: ~ 65 MUSD(1) Start-up: PLANTA CENTENARI PLANTA ALLEN O April 2019 (1) Includes taxes and others 22
PROPPANT PLANT: CURRENT INFRASTRUCTURE & PLANNED EXPANSION Initial investment: 150 MUSD Current capacity: 360,000 tn/year Expansion estimated for 2019 New capacity: 1,000,000 tn/year Required investment for expansion: 46 MUSD 23
AGENDA 01 INTRODUCTION 02 YPF SHALE ACTIVITY 03 SHALE OIL PROJECTS 04 INFRASTRUCTURE 05 MILESTONES & FUTURE CHALLENGES 24
INDUSTRIALIZATION + WORKING IN HUBS = EFFICIENCY, SINERGIES AND COST REDUCTIONS FACTORY The goal is reducing well MODEL construction costs and improving productivity in a consistent manner Seeks to industrialize the production of unconventional wells • Standardized designs and practices • Repetitive execution of activities • Learning curve acceleration 25
LOMA CAMPANA EVOLUTION: KEY MILESTONES 2010-2011 2012-2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 & Onwards BATCH HIGH DISSOLVABLE PLUGS NEW TECH DRILLING PERFORMACE RSS MOTORS FRAC: RIG LOCK / HOT REFUELING GEONAVEGATION NEW GEN SPUDDER UBD + CWD DRLG. RIGS PLUG & PERF RIGS (WALK – SKID) 7500 PSI CALIPER, PRESSURE RIGS TEST AND ADMISION RSS # FIRST TEST (CPA SYSTEM) HORIZONTAL MUD MOTORS SNUBBING DRILLING RIGS SOIL-2H UNIT FACTORY MODE STRUCTURE IDENTIFICATION OF PAY ZONES WITHIN VM FRAC BUNDLE CONTRACT EXPLORATION PILOT + GROWTH INFRASTRUCTURE DEVELOPMENT FACTORY MODE DEV. COST FACTORY MODEL RIGS: 01 RIGS: 05 RIGS: 05 26
OPTIMIZING SAND AND WATER SUPPLY LAST MILE FLEXIPIPES SAND BOX 27
SETTING THE BAR HIGHER RATE OF PENETRATION (ROP) YTD Performance: 30 days Last Pad: 27.5 days (LLL1564) • 6 ¾” architecture Record: 26.1 days (SOil391) • BHA design and new technologies • Optimization support room • Performance based contract incentives • Flexible geo-navegation window DRILLING TIME (DAY/ WELL) FLAT TIMES 31 ROP Flat times • 6 ¾” architecture & casing run times • BHA design and set-up times NPT ~23 • Backreaming • Performance based contract incentives NON-PRODUCTIVE TIME (NPT) • BHA design and new technologies • Diversify BHA providers • Performance based contract incentives • LEAN execution 2018 2020 E AVERAGE 28
FUTURE CHALLENGES Increase activity while maintaining a safety track record Replicate the success of Loma Campana in new developments Confirm the productivity of new hubs Plan for new developments in those new hubs Keep the portfolio with optionality Ensure evacuation of future production Evaluate alternatives to unlock shale potential 29
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