Use of repurposed and adjuvant drugs in hospital patients with covid-19: multinational network cohort study

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                                      Use of repurposed and adjuvant drugs in hospital patients with
                                      covid-19: multinational network cohort study

                                                                                                                                                            BMJ: first published as 10.1136/bmj.n1038 on 11 May 2021. Downloaded from http://www.bmj.com/ on 29 January 2022 by guest. Protected by copyright.
                                      Albert Prats-Uribe,1 Anthony G Sena,2,3 Lana Yin Hui Lai,4 Waheed-Ul-Rahman Ahmed,5,6
                                      Heba Alghoul,7 Osaid Alser,8 Thamir M Alshammari,9 Carlos Areia,10 William Carter,11
                                      Paula Casajust,12 Dalia Dawoud,13,14 Asieh Golozar,15,16 Jitendra Jonnagaddala,17
                                      Paras P Mehta,18 Mengchun Gong,19 Daniel R Morales,20,21 Fredrik Nyberg,22 Jose D Posada,23
                                      Martina Recalde,24,25 Elena Roel,24,25 Karishma Shah,5 Nigam H Shah,23 Lisa M Schilling,11
                                      Vignesh Subbian,26 David Vizcaya,27 Lin Zhang,28,29 Ying Zhang,19 Hong Zhu,30 Li Liu,30
                                      Jaehyeong Cho,31 Kristine E Lynch,32 Michael E Matheny,33,34 Seng Chan You,35
                                      Peter R Rijnbeek,3 George Hripcsak,36 Jennifer CE Lane,5 Edward Burn,1,24 Christian Reich,37
                                      Marc A Suchard,38 Talita Duarte-Salles,24 Kristin Kostka,37,39 Patrick B Ryan,2,40
                                      Daniel Prieto-Alhambra1

For numbered affiliations see         Abstract                                                  in Spain), azithromycin (from 15 (4.9%) in China to
end of the article.                   Objective                                                 1473 (57.9%) in Spain), combined lopinavir and
Correspondence to: P B Ryan           To investigate the use of repurposed and adjuvant         ritonavir (from 156 (
RESEARCH

            ventilation, and duration of hospital stay.5 Other           database from February to August 2020), Optum (Eden
            drugs, such as interferon and lopinavir combined with        Prairie, MN) deidentified electronic health record

                                                                                                                                         BMJ: first published as 10.1136/bmj.n1038 on 11 May 2021. Downloaded from http://www.bmj.com/ on 29 January 2022 by guest. Protected by copyright.
            ritonavir have also been shown to be ineffective.5 7         dataset (Optum-EHR, February to October 2020),
               In the absence of approved antivirals for the             Tufts Medical Center Clinical Academic Research
            treatment of covid-19, the cornerstone of management         Enterprise Trust (Tufts Research Data Warehouse
            has been supportive care, with adjunctive treatments         (TRDW), February to May 2020), and the Department
            playing a major role. The two recognised drug classes        of Veterans Affairs (VA-OMOP, February to June
            used for adjunctive treatment are corticosteroids and        2020). Data for South Korea came from nationwide
            anticytokines (eg, tocilizumab). A large randomised          claims recorded in the Health Insurance Review and
            controlled trial and meta-analysis showed that the           Assessment (HIRA, February to April 2020).21 Inpatient
            glucocorticosteroid dexamethasone and corticoste­            electronic health record data from Spain was obtained
            roids reduced mortality among patients receiving             from HM Hospitales (March to April 2020) and
            mechanical ventilation or oxygen.8 9 Tocilizumab was         Hospital del Mar (February to August 2020). Data from
            found to significantly reduce mortality in patients          China was extracted from nine hospitals in Honghu,
            admitted to hospital with covid-19.10 Although               supported by Nanfang Hospital and Southern Medical
            additional adjunctive treatments are recognised in           University, and contained full electronic health record
            2020 guidelines, including antithrombotics, statins,         data (NFHCRD database, January to April 2020). Data
            and antihypertensives,11-15 recommendations for              on drug use in patients receiving intensive care were
            covid-19 treatment in clinical guidelines have varied        available from IQVIA Hospital CDM, Premier, Optum-
            both geographically and temporally.16                        EHR, VA-OMOP, HM Hospitales, and Hospital del Mar.
               Regulators and public health agencies need to keep        Supplementary table 1 provides a detailed description
            up with trends in covid-19 clinical practice. Tweets         of the databases.
            and press conferences have been shown to influence
            entire practice patterns but based on little evidence        Study participants
            for the utility of treatments. Although attention has        Patients admitted to hospital with a recorded diagnosis
            shifted to vaccine surveillance since December 2020,         of covid-19 or a positive polymerase chain reaction test
            there is still a need to understand what treatments are      result for SARS-CoV-2 between January and December
            effective for individual patients and at what harm This      2020 were included. A second cohort of patients who
            body of evidence is critical for comparative purposes        received intensive care was identified as a subset of
            as more data become available during the pandemic.           the former, defined by the initiation of mechanical
            With known problems in the supply chain for certain          ventilation, extracorporeal membrane oxygenation,
            drugs, an understanding of what drugs are being used         or tracheostomy. Index dates for the two cohorts were
            to treat covid-19 at different stages of the disease could   the date of admission to hospital and the date intensive
            help resource constrained environments.                      care started, respectively.
               We investigated the use of repurposed and adjunctive
            drugs among patients admitted to hospital with               Drugs of interest
            covid-19 and among patients receiving intensive care         We obtained information on all drugs prescribed or
            in the United States, South Korea, Spain, and China.         dispensed during hospital admission. For the study
                                                                         of treatments used for covid-19, we assessed all drugs
            Methods                                                      included in at least two randomised controlled trials
            This multinational network cohort study was based on         according to the covid-19 clinical trial tracker.22 The
            hospital electronic health records and claims data. We       resulting list was circulated to stakeholders with a role
            mapped data from different sites to the Observational        in drug development and research (eg, key opinion
            Medical Outcomes Partnership (OMOP) Common Data              leaders, pharmaceutical industry) and drug regulatory
            Model (CDM).17 This approach allowed contributing            agencies. All their suggestions were added to the final list
            centres to execute analytical code in a distributed or       of medicines under study. We classified the drugs into
            federated fashion, where each site runs the analyses         two groups: repurposed drugs—those with alternative
            separately in-house and returns a results dataset            indications but thought to be efficacious as antivirals;
            without sharing patient level data. The study protocol       and adjuvant drugs—those used to treat pneumonia
            and analytical package were released on 11 June 2020,        or prevent or treat complications from covid-19.23
            and iterative updates are continually released through       Supplementary table 3 lists the drugs considered.
            GitHub.18 Our study was also published as a preprint.19      For the main results, we focused on drugs covered in
                                                                         the living World Health Organization guideline for
            Data sources                                                 drugs—hydroxychloroquine, lopinavir combined with
            Data were obtained from the US, South Korea, Spain,          ritonavir, remdesivir, and dexamethasone.7
            and China. Electronic health record data from the US
            were obtained from Columbia University Irving Medical        Statistical analysis
            Center (CUIMC, February to December 2020), IQVIA             We summarise age, sex, and history of medical
            Hospital CDM (February to October 2020), STAnford            conditions as proportions (the number of participants
            medicine Research data Repository (STARR-OMOP                within a category, divided by the total number of
            database20 from February to May 2020, and Premier            participants). Supplementary table 2 shows the

2                                                                               doi: 10.1136/bmj.n1038 | BMJ 2021;373:n1038 | the bmj
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                                 clinical codes and time windows used to identify                      supplementary appendix provides time series graphs
                                 medical conditions.                                                   for all drugs and groupings.

                                                                                                                                                                           BMJ: first published as 10.1136/bmj.n1038 on 11 May 2021. Downloaded from http://www.bmj.com/ on 29 January 2022 by guest. Protected by copyright.
                                    Drug use was calculated from the index date
                                 (admission date or initiation of intensive care) to 30                Patient and public involvement
                                 days after, or discharge, or death, when these dates                  No funding was available for patient or public
                                 were available in the database. We calculated use for                 involvement in this project. Urgency because of the
                                 each drug and major drug class. Prevalence of drug use                covid-19 pandemic and restrictions also prevented
                                 was determined by the proportion of participants with                 us from actively involving patients, although the
                                 any active prescription or dispensation of a certain                  Observational Health Data Sciences and Informatics
                                 drug or drug during hospital admission or the period                  community welcomes members of the public to engage
                                 of intensive care. Figure 1 provides a timeline of the                with its work. No patients were involved in setting the
                                 study. Supplementary figure 1 shows which drugs                       research question or the outcome measures. Patients
                                 could potentially have been prescribed in the month                   were not invited to comment on the study design, not
                                 before hospital admission.                                            consulted to develop patient relevant outcomes or
                                    All drugs and additional time windows (previous                    interpret the results, and not invited to contribute to
                                 year, previous month, and on index date) are                          the writing or editing of this document for readability
                                 reported in full and will be updated in a dedica­                     or accuracy.
                                 ted interactive website (https://data.ohdsi.org/
                                 Covid19CharacterizationCharybdis/) as more data                       Results
                                 become available. All (aggregated) data can be                        A total of 303 264 patients identified from 11 databases
                                 downloaded from this website.                                         were included: 290 131 participants were from the US
                                    To better visualise drug use, we generated rainbow                 (744 from California, 326 from Massachusetts, 7353
                                 plots for each database. These plots display the                      from New York, 10 951 from US-wide Veterans Affairs,
                                 proportion of users of each drug using Anatomical                     and 270 757 from US-wide databases: Premier, IQVIA
                                 Therapeutic Chemical groupings. We also created                       Hospital CDM, and Optum-EHR), 7599 from South
                                 lollipop plots of drug use to show the heterogeneity                  Korea, 5230 from Spain, and 304 from China, Of these
                                 for all selected repurposed and adjuvant drugs                        303 264 participants, 62 963 (from VA-OMOP, Premier,
                                 (see supplementary file). On the basis of drug use                    Optum-EHR, IQVIA Hospital CDM, Hospital del Mar,
                                 proportions, we determined the top five most used                     and HM Hospitales) received intensive care.
                                 repurposed drugs and top 10 most used adjuvant                           The results of this study are available in an
                                 drugs for each database and setting; use of the focused               interactive       website       (https://data.ohdsi.org/
                                 medicines are depicted by gauge plots.                                Covid19CharacterizationCharybdis/). This website
                                    We calculated use of the selected drugs by month of                contains both the summary results presented here and
                                 index date (admission to hospital or start of intensive               further details, including all drugs and comorbidities
                                 care). To ensure enough time points, we selected                      recorded for the two cohorts.
                                 databases with two or more months of data available                      Table 1 presents the baseline characteristics of
                                 for each drug. Drug use was plotted for each calendar                 the patients admitted to hospital with covid-19.
                                 month in the study period. A timeline of selected                     Supplementary table 4 shows the results for patients
                                 relevant events, such as regulatory decisions or trial                who received intensive care. Age varied slightly across
                                 results for the selected medicines, was added. The                    data sources, but most patients were within the age

                                                                                                                                        End of follow-up,
                                                         Admission                                                                      30 days, or death,
 No admission to                                         to hospital                                                                      or discharge
 hospital for covid-19
 in previous six months                                       Positive test result for, or diagnosis of, covid-19

                                                                               Active drug use on patients admitted to hospital

                            Baseline covariates                                   Mechanical ventilation,                                          End of follow-up,
                                                                                 extracorporeal membrane                                          30 days, or death,
                             Baseline drug use                                 oxygenation, or tracheostomy                                            or discharge

                                                                                                      Active drug use on those requiring intensive care

 Days from        D-30    D-21                       D-1 D0                                                                                    D30
 index date
 Days from                                               Intensive                                                                                        Intensive
 admission to                                              care0                                                                                            care30
 intensive care

Fig 1 | Timeline of study

the bmj | BMJ 2021;373:n1038 | doi: 10.1136/bmj.n1038                                                                                                                 3
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 Table 1 | Baseline characteristics of patients admitted to hospital with covid-19, stratified by data source. Data are numbers (percentages)
                                          South       Spain: HM       Spain:       USA: IQVIA                                                  USA:

                                                                                                                                                                                    BMJ: first published as 10.1136/bmj.n1038 on 11 May 2021. Downloaded from http://www.bmj.com/ on 29 January 2022 by guest. Protected by copyright.
                            USA:          Korea:      Hospitales      Hospital     Hospital       China:      USA:            USA:             STARR-      USA:        USA:
                            CUIMC         HIRA        (Spain;         del Mar      CDM            NFHCRD      Optum-EHR       Premier          OMOP        TRDW        VA-OMOP
 Characteristics            (n=7353)      (n=7599)    n=2544)         (n=2686)     (n=77 853)     (n=304)     (n=36 717)      (n=156 187)      (n=744)     (n=326)     (n=10 951)
 Sex:
   Female                   3897 (53)    4483 (59)    1043 (41)      1424 (53)     38 139 (49)    149 (49)    18 359 (50)     74 970 (48)      372 (50)   140 (43)     767 (7)
 Age (years):
   0-4                      221 (3)      76 (1)       25 (1)         13 (0.5)      2335 (3)
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                                                                                                                                                                                    CUIMC (n=7353)
                                                                                                                                                                              100
       Prevalence (%) Prevalence (%) Prevalence (%) Prevalence (%) Prevalence (%) Prevalence (%) Prevalence (%) Prevalence (%) Prevalence (%) Prevalence (%) Prevalence (%)

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             BMJ: first published as 10.1136/bmj.n1038 on 11 May 2021. Downloaded from http://www.bmj.com/ on 29 January 2022 by guest. Protected by copyright.
                                                                                                                                                                              50

                                                                                                                                                                               0
                                                                                                                                                                                    HIRA (n=7599)
                                                                                                                                                                              100

                                                                                                                                                                              50

                                                                                                                                                                               0
                                                                                                                                                                                    HM Hospitales (n=2544)
                                                                                                                                                                              100

                                                                                                                                                                              50

                                                                                                                                                                               0
                                                                                                                                                                                    Hospital del Mar (n=2686)
                                                                                                                                                                              100

                                                                                                                                                                              50

                                                                                                                                                                               0
                                                                                                                                                                                    IQVIA hospital CDM (n=77 853)
                                                                                                                                                                              100

                                                                                                                                                                              50

                                                                                                                                                                               0
                                                                                                                                                                                    NFHCRD (n=304)
                                                                                                                                                                              100

                                                                                                                                                                              50

                                                                                                                                                                               0
                                                                                                                                                                                    Optum-EHR (n=36 717)
                                                                                                                                                                              100

                                                                                                                                                                              50

                                                                                                                                                                               0
                                                                                                                                                                                    Premier (n=156 187)
                                                                                                                                                                              100

                                                                                                                                                                              50

                                                                                                                                                                               0
                                                                                                                                                                                    STARR-OMOP (n=744)
                                                                                                                                                                              100

                                                                                                                                                                              50

                                                                                                                                                                               0
                                                                                                                                                                                    TRDW (n=326)
                                                                                                                                                                              100

                                                                                                                                                                              50

                                                                                                                                                                               0
                                                                                                                                                                                    VA-OMOP (n=10 951)
                                                                                                                                                                              100

                                                                                                                                                                              50

                                                                                                                                                                               0
                                                                                                                                                                                                Alimentary tract and metabolism                        Musculoskeletal system                                                 Drug use
                                                                                                                                                                                                Anti-infectives for systemic use                       Nervous system
                                                                                                                                                                                                Antiparasitic products, insecticides, and repellents   Respiratory system
                                                                                                                                                                                                Blood and blood forming organs                         Sensory organs
                                                                                                                                                                                                Cardiovascular system                                  Systemic hormonal preparations, excluding sex hormones and insulins
                                                                                                                                                                                                Dermatologicals                                        Uncategorised
                                                                                                                                                                                                Genitourinary system and sex hormones                  Various

Fig 2 | Percentage of any use (one day or more) of all drugs (rainbow plot) on days 0 to 30 after hospital admission in patients with a positive
test result for or diagnosis of covid-19. CUIMC=Columbia University Irving Medical Center; HIRA=Health Insurance Review and Assessment;
OMOP=Observational Medical Outcomes Partnership; Optum-EHR=Optum deidentified electronic health record dataset; STARR=STAnford medicine
Research data Repository; TRDW=Tufts Research Data Warehouse; VA=Veterans Affairs

the bmj | BMJ 2021;373:n1038 | doi: 10.1136/bmj.n1038                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   5
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 Table 2 | Top five most used repurposed drugs in each data source in patients admitted to hospital with covid-19 on days 0 to 30 after hospital
 admission. Data are treatment (percentage of patients admitted to hospital who received the medicine)

                                                                                                                                                                                          BMJ: first published as 10.1136/bmj.n1038 on 11 May 2021. Downloaded from http://www.bmj.com/ on 29 January 2022 by guest. Protected by copyright.
                                            Spain: HM       Spain:          USA: IQVIA
             USA:          South Korea:     Hospitales      Hospital        Hospital       China:          USA:                             USA:                             USA:
             CUIMC         HIRA             (Spain;         del Mar         CDM            NFHCRD          Optum-EHR      USA: Premier      STARR-OMOP       USA: TRDW       VA-OMOP
 Ranking     (n=7353)      (n=7599)         n=2544)         (n=2686)        (n=77 853)     (n=304)         (n=36 717)     (n=156 187)       (n=744)          (n=326)         (n=10 951)
 1          HCQ (22.3)     L-R (34.9)       HCQ (85.1)      HCQ (40.2)     AZM (47.4)      UMF (78.3)     AZM (37.0)      AZM (46.6)       AZM (8.7)         AZM (28.5)     AZM (33.0)
 2          AZM (21.4)     HCQ (27.4)       AZM (57.9)      AZM (7.9)      HCQ (9.3)       RBV (21.1)     HCQ (20.5)      HCQ (22.8)       HCQ (3.2)         HCQ (19.9)     HCQ (13.5)
 3          RMD (7.7)      AZM (13.7)       L-R (50.5)      L-R (4.4)      RMD (7.3)       OST (13.2)     L-R (1.2)       OST (0.5)        OST (1.1)         OST (
RESEARCH

                                     China      South              Spain                                                    USA
                                                Korea

                                                                                                                                                                               BMJ: first published as 10.1136/bmj.n1038 on 11 May 2021. Downloaded from http://www.bmj.com/ on 29 January 2022 by guest. Protected by copyright.
                                   NFHCRD       HIRA          HM      Hospital        CUIMC      IQVIA   Optum-EHR Premier STARR-OMOP TRDW                   VA-OMOP
                                   Jan-Apr     Feb-Apr     Hospitales del Mar        Feb-Dec hospital CDM Feb-Oct  Feb-Aug   Feb-May Feb-May                  Feb-Jun
                                   (n=304)    (n=7599)      Mar-Apr   Feb-May       (n=7353) Feb-Oct (n=36 717) (n=156 187) (n=744)   (n=326)               (n=10 951)
                                                           (n=2544) (n=2686)                  (n=77 853)
 Hydroxychloroquine

 Dexamethasone

 Azithromycin

 Tocilizumab

 Ritonavir

 Remdesivir

Fig 3 | Percentage of any use (one day or more) of selected drugs on days 0 to 30 after hospital admission in patients with a positive test result for
or diagnosis of covid-19. CUIMC=Columbia University Irving Medical Center; HIRA=Health Insurance Review and Assessment; OMOP=Observational
Medical Outcomes Partnership; Optum-EHR=Optum deidentified electronic health record dataset; STARR=STAnford medicine Research data
Repository; TRDW=Tufts Research Data Warehouse; VA=Veterans Affairs

                                         at the start of the pandemic in South Korea and Spain,                Discussion
                                         with a downward trend over time. Remdesivir was only                  This study reports on the use of repurposed and
                                         recorded in CUIMC and IQVIA Hospital CDM, and it                      adjunctive drugs for the treatment of patients admitted
                                         showed a slight upward trend from June onwards.                       to hospital with covid-19, including those who received

                    February 2020
                    4 February Wang et al - Remdesivir and chloroquine effectively inhibit covid-19 in vitro
                                      March 2020
                                      9 March Yao et al - Hydroxychloroquine shows superior in vitro activity to chloroquine
                                      19 March President Trump promotes hydroxychloroquine in press conference
                                      20 March Gautret et al - Open-label non-randomized clinical trial shows effectiveness
                                      28 March US Food and Drug Administration issues an emergency use authorisation
                                      31 March Chen et al - Preprint of a randomised controlled trial suggests that hydroxychloroquine reduces time to clinical recovery
                                                     April 2020
                                                     10 April Lane et al - Observational data show that azithromycin combined with hydroxychloroquine may increase
                                                              cardiovascular mortality
                                                     24 April FDA and European Medicines Agency caution against the use of hydroxychloroquine owing to potential
                                                              heart rhythm problems
                                                                   May 2020
                                                                   7 May Geleris et al - Lack of effectiveness of hydroxychloroquine on observational data
                                                                   28 May WHO halts hydroxychloroquine arm of Solidarity trial
                                                                                June 2020
                                                                                8 June Recovery trial press note shows that hydroxychloroquine has no effect on
                                                                                          covid-19
                                                                                15 June FDA revokes emergency use ruling for hydroxychloroquine

              100
 Percentage

                                                                                             South Korea                   USA
               80                                                                                HIRA (n=7599)                 IQVIA Hospital CDM (n=77 853)
                                                                                             Spain                             CUIMC (n=7353)
               60                                                                                HM Hospitales (n=2544)        Optum-EHR (n=36 717)
                                                                                                 Hospital del Mar (n=2686)     Premier (n=156 187)
               40                                                                                                              STARR-OMOP (n=744)
                                                                                                                               VA-OMOP (n=10 951)
               20

                0
              February       March           April          May            June          July         August        September     October      November      December

Fig 4 | Time trends in hydroxychloroquine use on days 0 to 30 after hospital admission in patients with a positive test result for or diagnosis of
covid-19 by month. CUIMC=Columbia University Irving Medical Center; HIRA=Health Insurance Review and Assessment; OMOP=Observational
Medical Outcomes Partnership; Optum-EHR=Optum deidentified electronic health record dataset; STARR=STAnford medicine Research data
Repository; VA=Veterans Affairs

the bmj | BMJ 2021;373:n1038 | doi: 10.1136/bmj.n1038                                                                                                                     7
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                    February 2020
                    4 February Wang et al - Remdesivir and chloroquine effectively inhibit covid-19 in vitro

                                                                                                                                                                              BMJ: first published as 10.1136/bmj.n1038 on 11 May 2021. Downloaded from http://www.bmj.com/ on 29 January 2022 by guest. Protected by copyright.
                                                             May 2020
                                                             22 May Beigel et al - ACTT-1 trial shows remdesivir shortens time to recovery in patients admitted to hospital
                                                                                                                     October 2020
                                                                                                                     15 Oct Solidarity trial preprint shows no effect of
                                                                                                                            remdesivir on mortality, ventilation, or
                                                                                                                            hospital stay in patients admitted to hospital

               25
 Percentage

                    USA
               20         IQVIA Hospital CDM (n=77 853)
                          CUIMC (n=7353)
               15

               10

                5

                0
              February        March          April          May           June            July        August        September       October      November       December

Fig 5 | Time trends in remdesivir use on days 0 to 30 after hospital admission in patients with a positive test result for or diagnosis of covid-19 by
month. ACTT-1=Adaptive COVID-19 Treatment Trial 1; CUIMC=Columbia University Irving Medical Center

                                          intensive care, as recorded in electronic medical                    from covid-19, including antibiotics, anticoagulants,
                                          records and claims data across three continents. A total             corticosteroids, vitamin D supplements, and, to a
                                          of 303 264 patients were admitted to hospital of whom                lesser degree, antihypertensives, antacids, statins,
                                          62 963 received intensive care for covid-19 in the US,               and metformin. The use of adjunctive drugs increased
                                          South Korea, Spain, and China.                                       among patients who required intensive care.
                                             We observed high heterogeneity in the use of                         Hydroxychloroquine has been given much publicity
                                          repurposed drugs, with great variability in the use                  since the start of the pandemic. Its use has been
                                          of hydroxychloroquine both geographically and                        supported or endorsed on the basis of misleading
                                          temporally. Similar trends were observed for azithro­                evidence from flawed but heavily publicised
                                          mycin. Use of antiretrovirals also varied greatly, with              studies.24-26 Numerous randomised controlled trials
                                          lopinavir-ritonavir use ranging from 0% in the US (VA-               have, however, shown no benefit. The Recovery
                                          OMOP) to 35% in South Korea (HIRA), and highest at                   trial of 1542 hospital patients with covid-19 treated
                                          50% in Spain (HM Hospitales).                                        with hydroxychloroquine showed no effects on 28
                                             Adjunctive treatments have been extensively used                  day mortality compared with usual care.27 Another
                                          for the prevention of or treatment for complications                 randomised controlled trial studied the efficacy of

                                                                                         June 2020
                                                                                         29 June Recovery trial press note shows no clinical benefit from the
                                                                                                 use of lopinavir-ritonavir in patients admitted to hospital
                                                                                                                   October 2020
                                                                                                                   15 Oct Solidarity trial preprint shows no effect of
                                                                                                                          lopinavir-ritonavir on mortality, ventilation,
                                                                                                                          or hospital stay in patients admitted to hospital

               75
 Percentage

                                                                                             South Korea                   USA
               60                                                                                HIRA (n=7599)                 IQVIA Hospital CDM (n=77 853)
                                                                                             Spain                             CUIMC (n=7353)
               45                                                                                HM Hospitales (n=2544)        Optum-EHR (n=36 717)
                                                                                                 Hospital del Mar (n=2686)     Premier (n=156 187)
               30                                                                                                              VA-OMOP (n=10 951)

               15

                0
              February        March          April          May           June            July        August        September       October      November       December

Fig 6 | Time trends combined lopinavir and ritonavir use on days 0 to 30 after hospital admission in patients with a positive test result for
or diagnosis of covid-19 by month. CUIMC=Columbia University Irving Medical Center; HIRA=Health Insurance Review and Assessment;
OMOP=Observational Medical Outcomes Partnership; Optum-EHR=Optum deidentified electronic health record dataset; VA=Veterans Affairs

8                                                                                                                    doi: 10.1136/bmj.n1038 | BMJ 2021;373:n1038 | the bmj
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                South Korea                   USA
                    HIRA (n=7599)                 IQVIA Hospital CDM (n=77 853)

                                                                                                                                                                         BMJ: first published as 10.1136/bmj.n1038 on 11 May 2021. Downloaded from http://www.bmj.com/ on 29 January 2022 by guest. Protected by copyright.
                Spain                             CUIMC (n=7353)
                    HM Hospitales (n=2544)        Optum-EHR (n=36 717)
                    Hospital del Mar (n=2686)     Premier (n=156 187)          June 2020
                                                  STARR-OMOP (n=744)           16 June Recovery trial press note shows that dexamethasome reduces death by
                                                                                       up to one third in patients admitted to hospital with severe respiratory
                                                  VA-OMOP (n=10 951)                   disease
                100
   Percentage

                 80

                 60

                 40

                 20

                  0
                February       March          April         May           June          July        August      September      October      November      December

Fig 7 | Time trends in dexamethasone use on days 0 to 30 after hospital admission in patients with a positive test result for or diagnosis of covid-19
by month. CUIMC=Columbia University Irving Medical Center; HIRA=Health Insurance Review and Assessment; OMOP=Observational Medical
Outcomes Partnership; Optum-EHR=Optum deidentified electronic health record dataset; STARR=STAnford medicine Research data Repository;
VA=Veterans Affairs

                                          hydroxychloroquine as post-exposure prophylaxis                 patients. Umifenovir in China was the most prescribed
                                          in 821 asymptomatic participants but was found not              repurposed drug, consistent with Chinese guidelines
                                          to prevent covid-19 illness after high or moderate              and research.34 35
                                          exposure to covid-19.28 Hydroxychloroquine use                     Adjunctive drugs used to prevent covid-19 or treat
                                          increased rapidly when these studies appeared and               complications differed noticeably worldwide. Use of
                                          were heavily publicised and politically endorsed.               corticosteroids ranged from about 10% of admitted
                                          During March and April 2020, more than 50% of                   patients in South Korea (HIRA) to 67% of patients in
                                          patients admitted to hospital with covid-19 were                Stanford (California, US).
                                          prescribed hydroxychloroquine. After several papers                Before results were available from the Recovery trial,
                                          and regulatory agencies warned about potential side             there was a wide debate on whether corticosteroids
                                          effects, especially when hydroxychloroquine was                 have a role in mitigating inflammatory organ
                                          combined with azithromycin, the use of hydroxy­                 injury.36 37 Most clinical guidelines did not recommend
                                          chloroquine began to decline. Finally, after the                the use of corticosteroids to treat covid-19,31 with
                                          Solidarity trial halted its hydroxychloroquine arm and          notable exceptions.24 38 The use of dexamethasone
                                          the Recovery trial presented definitive evidence against        was low in almost all settings in our study until June
                                          the use of hydroxychloroquine, the FDA revoked its              2020, when the Recovery trial showed its efficacy in
                                          approval for emergency use and prescribing decreased            reducing death in patients admitted to hospital with
                                          to almost 0% in all settings.29 30                              severe covid-19 related disease receiving respiratory
                                             We found that azithromycin, a macrolide antibiotic           support.39 Corticosteroid use in general appeared to
                                          with alleged antiviral efficacy against covid-19, was           increase slowly during the study period.
                                          also widely prescribed. Although several guidelines in             The use of anticoagulants in our study was higher
                                          2020 recommended the use of empirical antimicrobial             than expected. Heparin use was widely prescribed
                                          treatment, not all advocated its use.31 In mid-December         in the US and Spain, but not in China or South
                                          the Recovery trial showed no benefit from azithromycin          Korea. Severe covid-19 has been associated with a
                                          in patients admitted to hospital with covid-19.32 We            coagulopathy, which when untreated leads to poor
                                          were not able to see the impact in trends as we only            clinical outcomes.40 Although several randomised
                                          had data until December 2020.                                   controlled trials are ongoing to evaluate the value of
                                             Combined use of the protease inhibitors lopinavir            anticoagulation in patients with covid-19, interim
                                          and ritonavir was high in South Korea and Spain, with           guidelines recommend the use of anticoagulants
                                          the other databases showing a much lower use. This              for prophylaxis against thromboembolism.12 41 The
                                          was consistent with Korean and Spanish guidelines at            use of antibiotics also varied widely, as did the use
                                          the time of our study, which recommended protease               of statins. Traditional Chinese medicines were not
                                          inhibitors as antiviral treatments,11 12 probably based         widely prescribed (
RESEARCH

           endorsements are aligned with changes in practice           settings during 2020. Our study cohorts included both
           patterns and potentially influence the decisions of         academic hospitals (eg, at Columbia University and

                                                                                                                                                BMJ: first published as 10.1136/bmj.n1038 on 11 May 2021. Downloaded from http://www.bmj.com/ on 29 January 2022 by guest. Protected by copyright.
           regulators.42 Retrospective evaluation of management        Stanford University) as well as nationwide data sources
           and treatment practices during the pandemic are             and including other less specialised treatment centres
           necessary43 to safeguard against the increase in use of     (eg, HIRA, IQVIA Hospital CDM). Owing to the varied
           unproven and potentially harmful treatments, during         settings we decided not to provide drug use by country
           future waves of the pandemic and public health crises.      or overall because it would not be representative of the
                                                                       underlying populations.
           Limitations of this study
           Our study was based on routinely collected real world       Conclusions
           data (electronic health records and claims data), with      Great interest has been shown in the safety and efficacy
           the potential for misclassification of disease and          of drugs used to treat covid-19, but little evidence
           treatments. We only included patients with a clinical       exists on the prescribing patterns for repurposed and
           diagnosis of covid-19 or a positive polymerase chain        adjuvant drugs in routine clinical practice. Our study
           reaction test result during hospital admissions or 21       shows how unproven drug treatments were used
           days previously; therefore, patients without a coded        during the first months of the pandemic, with great
           diagnosis would have been excluded even if they were        heterogeneity between centres, and that they were
           suspected of having covid-19. The number of patients        quickly replaced by proven treatments.
           with covid-19 might also be underreported in clinical
           settings with scarce testing resources, especially when     Author affiliations
                                                                       1
           volumes of patients are high. In addition, medical           Pharmaco- and Device Epidemiology, Centre for Statistics in
                                                                       Medicine, Nuffield Department of Orthopaedics, Rheumatology, and
           conditions might be underreported because the               Musculoskeletal Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
           absence of a medical code for the disease is interpreted    2
                                                                        Janssen Research and Development, Titusville, NJ, USA
           as absence of the disease. Exposure misclassification       3
                                                                        Department of Medical Informatics, Erasmus University Medical
           is also possible; participating data sources varied in      Center, Rotterdam, Netherlands
           how drugs were captured (eg, hospital billing records,      4
                                                                        Division of Cancer Sciences, School of Medical Sciences, University
           prescription orders, dispensing data).                      of Manchester, Manchester, UK
                                                                       5
              Estimates for drug use on the date of hospital            Nuffield Department of Orthopaedics, Rheumatology, and
                                                                       Musculoskeletal Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
           admission are particularly sensitive to misclassification   6
                                                                        College of Medicine and Health, University of Exeter, Exeter, UK
           and could conflate baseline concomitant drug history        7
                                                                        Faculty of Medicine, Islamic University of Gaza, Gaza City, Palestine
           with immediate treatment on admission. We further           8
                                                                        Massachusetts General Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston,
           explored this (see supplemental figure 1) and found         MA, USA
           that the drugs we focused on were not typically used        9
                                                                        College of Pharmacy, Riyadh Elm University, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
           before hospital admission according to the data             10
                                                                         Critical Care Research Group, Nuffield Department of Clinical
           sources.                                                    Neurosciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
                                                                       11
              We did not differentiate between drugs prescribed          University of Colorado Anschutz Medical Campus, Aurora, CO, USA
                                                                       12
           on the day of hospital admission from those in                Real-World Evidence, Trial Form Support, Barcelona, Spain
                                                                       13
           the following days or in the context of worsening             Faculty of Pharmacy, Cairo University, Cairo, Egypt
                                                                       14
           disease. This could also mean that some drugs used            National Institute for Health and Care Excellence, London, UK
                                                                       15
           at discharge (or those prescribed after discharge)            Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Tarrytown, NY, US
                                                                       16
           could have appeared as being prescribed to patients           Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of
                                                                       Public Health, Baltimore, MD, USA
           during hospital admission. To avoid this, we censored       17
                                                                         School of Population Health, UNSW Sydney, Sydney, Australia
           on discharge when this information was available.           18
                                                                         College of Medicine, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ, USA
           Additionally, in most of the databases where this date      19
                                                                         DHC Technologies, Beijing, China
           was not available, only inpatient data were provided,       20
                                                                         Division of Population Health and Genomics, University of
           so these drugs would not be recorded.                       Dundee, Dundee, UK
              Another limitation of our study was the lack of          21
                                                                         Department of Public Health, University of Southern Denmark,
           information on dose and duration of drug treatments.        Odense, Denmark
                                                                       22
           These are important factors that would have added             School of Public Health and Community Medicine, Institute
                                                                       of Medicine, Sahlgrenska Academy, University of Gothenburg,
           value to our understanding of the trends in prescribing,    Gothenburg, Sweden
           especially among those in high risk groups or those         23
                                                                         Department of Medicine, Stanford University School of Medicine,
           with greater susceptibility to drug related adverse         Stanford, CA, USA
           events.                                                     24
                                                                         Fundació Institut Universitari per a la recerca a l’Atenció Primària
              Although our study adds valuable information to          de Salut Jordi Gol i Gurina (IDIAPJGol), Barcelona, Spain
                                                                       25
           the understanding of prescribing patterns for covid-19        Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain
                                                                       26
           in 2020, it only provides a snapshot of drug use in           College of Engineering, University of Arizona Tucson, AZ, USA
                                                                       27
           clinical practice. As new evidence continually emerges        Bayer Pharmaceuticals, Sant Joan Despí, Spain
                                                                       28
           over time, drug use in covid-19 is likely to evolve           School of Population Medicine and Public Health, Chinese
                                                                       Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College,
           rapidly. Although possibly not representative of global     Beijing, China
           treatment patterns, our data provide a good oversight of    29
                                                                         School of Population and Global Health, University of Melbourne,
           inpatient treatment for covid-19 in real world practice     Melbourne, VIC, Australia

10                                                                              doi: 10.1136/bmj.n1038 | BMJ 2021;373:n1038 | the bmj
RESEARCH

                                 30
                                   Nanfang Hospital, Southern Medical University, Guangzhou, China           Competing interests: All authors have completed the ICMJE uniform
                                 31
                                   Department of Biomedical Informatics, Ajou University School of           disclosure form at www.icmje.org/coi_disclosure.pdf and declare:
                                 Medicine, Suwon, South Korea                                                support from Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation for the submitted

                                                                                                                                                                                           BMJ: first published as 10.1136/bmj.n1038 on 11 May 2021. Downloaded from http://www.bmj.com/ on 29 January 2022 by guest. Protected by copyright.
                                 32                                                                          work; AP-U reports grants from Fundacion Alfonso Martin Escudero
                                   VA Informatics and Computing Infrastructure, VA Salt                      and the Medical Research Council, outside the submitted work; AGS
                                 Lake City Healthcare System, Salt Lake City, Utah, USA;                     reports personal fees from Janssen Research and Development,
                                 Department of Internal Medicine, University of Utah School                  during the conduct of the study and personal fees from Janssen
                                 of Medicine, Salt Lake City, UT, USA                                        Research and Development, outside the submitted work; W-U-RA
                                 33
                                   VA Informatics and Computing Infrastructure,                              reports funding from the National Institute for Health Research
                                 Tennessee Valley Healthcare System, VA Medical Center, Nashville,           (NIHR) Oxford Biomedical Research Centre, Aziz Foundation,
                                 TN, USA                                                                     Wolfson Foundation, and the Royal College Surgeons of England; AG
                                 34
                                   Department of Biomedical Informatics, Vanderbilt University               reports personal fees from Regeneron Pharmaceuticals and full time
                                 Medical Center, Nashville, TN, USA                                          employment at Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, outside the submitted
                                 35                                                                          work; DRM reports funding support from the Wellcome Trust, NIHR,
                                   Department of Preventive Medicine and Public Health, Yonsei
                                                                                                             Scottish Chief Scientist Office, and Tenovus Scotland for research
                                 University College of Medicine, Seoul, South Korea
                                 36
                                                                                                             unrelated to this work; FN was an employee of AstraZeneca until
                                   Department of Biomedical Informatics, Columbia University, New            2019, before the conduct of this study, owns some AstraZeneca
                                 York, NY, USA                                                               shares, and has other relationships or activities that could appear
                                 37                                                                          to have influenced the submitted work; VS reports funding from the
                                   IQVIA, Cambridge, MA, USA
                                 38
                                   Department of Biostatistics, UCLA Fielding School of Public               US National Science Foundation, Agency for Healthcare Research
                                 Health, University of California, Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA, USA         and Quality through the University of Utah, and Arizona Board of
                                 39
                                                                                                             Regents; DV reports personal fees from Bayer, outside the submitted
                                   OHDSI Center at The Roux Institute, Northeastern University,              work, and full time employment at Bayer; JC reports grants from the
                                 Portland, ME, USA                                                           Korean Ministry of Health and Welfare and the Korean Ministry of
                                 40
                                   Columbia University Irving Medical Center, New York, NY, USA              Trade, Industry, and Energy, during the conduct of the study; SCY
                                 We thank Scott L DuVall from the Department of Veterans Affairs for         reports grants from the Korean Ministry of Health and Welfare and
                                 his contribution to this paper; the Korean Health Insurance Review          the Korean Ministry of Trade, Industry, and Energy, during the conduct
                                 and Assessment Service for providing the data; HM Hospitales for            of the study; PRR reports grants from Innovative Medicines Initiative
                                 making its data publicly available as part of the COVID Data Save Lives     and Janssen Research and Development, during the conduct of the
                                 project; and the COVID-HMAR Study Group for making Hospital del             study; GH reports grants from the US National Institutes of Health
                                 Mar data available: Juan Pablo Horcajada, Roberto Güerri, Judith Villar,    (NIH) National Library of Medicine, during the conduct of the study;
                                 Luisa Sorlí, Milagro Montero, Silvia Gómez-Zorrilla, Inmaculada López-      grants from Janssen Research, outside the submitted work; CR is an
                                 Montesinos, Mar Arenas-Miras, Joan Gómez-Junyent, Itziar Arrieta,           employee of IQVIA; MAS reports grants from the US National Science
                                 Elena Sendra, Silvia Castañeda, Emili Letang, Iván Pelegrín, Abora Rial,    Foundation, US NIH, and IQVIA, personal fees from Janssen Research
                                 Jaime Rodríguez, Carmen Gimenez, Jade Soldado, Eloi García, and             and Development, during the conduct of the study; KK is an employee
                                 Jordi Martínez Roldán.                                                      of IQVIA; PR is an employee of Janssen Research and Development
                                                                                                             and shareholder of Johnson & Johnson; DP-A reports grants and
                                 Contributors: All authors designed the study, interpreted the results,      other from Amgen; grants, non-financial support, and other from UCB
                                 and reviewed the manuscript. AGS designed and prepared the                  Biopharma; and grants from Les Laboratoires Servier, outside the
                                 statistical package and set up the web app. AP-U, LYHL, AGS, and DP-A       submitted work; and Janssen, on behalf of the Innovative Medicines
                                 wrote the first draft of the manuscript. AP-U produced and designed         Initiative (IMI) funded European Health Data and Evidence Network
                                 the figures and tables. AP-U and AGS are joint first authors. The           (EHDEN) and European Medical Information Framework (EMIF)
                                 corresponding author attests that all listed authors meet authorship        consortiums, and Synapse Management Partners have supported
                                 criteria and that no others meeting the criteria have been omitted. AGS,    training programmes organised by DP-A’s department and are open
                                 GH, SCY, TDS, CR, KK, MG, PBR, JDP, KEL, and MM are the guarantors.         for external participants.
                                 Funding: The European Health Data and Evidence Network has                  Ethical approval: All the data partners received institutional review
                                 received funding from the Innovative Medicines Initiative 2 Joint           board (IRB) approval or exemption. STARR-OMOP had approval
                                 Undertaking under grant agreement No 806968. This initiative                from IRB panel #8 (RB-53248) registered to Leland Stanford Junior
                                 receives support from the European Union’s Horizon 2020 research            University under the Stanford Human Research Protection Program
                                 and innovation programme and the European Federation of                     (HRPP). The use of Veterans Affairs data was reviewed by the
                                 Pharmaceutical Industries and Associations (EFPIA). This research           Department of Veterans Affairs Central IRB and was determined to
                                 received partial support from the National Institute for Health             meet the criteria for exemption under Exemption Category 4(3) and
                                 Research (NIHR) Oxford Biomedical Research Centre, US National              approved the request for waiver of the Health Insurance Portability
                                 Institutes of Health (R01 LM00691), US Department of Veterans               and Accountability Act of 1996 authorisation. The research was
                                 Affairs, Janssen Research and Development, and IQVIA. This work             approved by the Columbia University IRB as an Observational Health
                                 was also supported by the Bio Industrial Strategic Technology               Data Sciences and Informatics network study. The IRB number for use
                                 Development programme (20001234) funded by the Ministry of                  of HIRA data was AJIB-MED-EXP-20-065). The use of HM Hospitales
                                 Trade, Industry, and Energy (MOTIE, Korea) and a grant from the             data as approved by the Clinical Research Ethics Committee of the
                                 Korea Health Technology R&D Project through the Korea Health                IDIAPJGol (project code: 20/070-PCV). The collection and usage of
                                 Industry Development Institute (KHIDI), funded by the Ministry of           the data for clinical research in NFHCRD was approved by the IRB of
                                 Health and Welfare, Republic of Korea (grant No HI16C0992). This            Nanfang Hospital. The use of data from the Hospital del Mar database
                                 study was supported by the National Key Research and Development            (HMAR) was approved by the Parc de Salut Mar Clinical Research
                                 programme of China (project No 2018YFC0116901). Personal                    Ethics Committee.
                                 funding included Versus Arthritis (21605), Medical Research                 Data sharing: Analyses were performed locally, and the patient
                                 Council Doctoral Training Partnership (MRC-DTP) (MR/K501256/1)              level data are not readily available to be shared. The analytic
                                 (JL); MRC-DTP (MR/K501256/1, MR/N013468/1) and Fundación                    code is, however, available at: https://github.com/ohdsi-studies/
                                 Alfonso Martín Escudero (FAME) (APU); Innovation Fund Denmark               Covid19CharacterizationCharybdis and results are available at https://
                                 (5153-00002B) and the Novo Nordisk Foundation (NNF14CC0001)                 data.ohdsi.org/Covid19CharacterizationCharybdis/
                                 (BSKH); VINCI (VA HSR RES 13-457) (SLD, MEM, KEL); and NIHR senior
                                 research fellowship (SRF-2018-11-ST2-004, DPA). The University of           The lead authors (AP-U and AGS) affirm that the manuscript is
                                 Oxford received funding related to this work from the Bill and Melinda      an honest, accurate, and transparent account of the study being
                                 Gates Foundation (investment ID INV-016201 and INV-019257).                 reported; that no important aspects of the study have been omitted;
                                 No funders had a direct role in this study. The views and opinions          and that any discrepancies from the study as planned have been
                                 expressed are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect           explained.
                                 those of the Clinician Scientist Award programme, NIHR, Department          Dissemination to participants and related patient and public
                                 of Veterans Affairs or the US government, the Ministry of Science           communities: No public or lay dissemination activities have been
                                 and Technology of China, and the UK National Health Service or              organised to date. The Observational Health Data Sciences and
                                 Department of Health, England. The funders had no role in considering       Informatics community and contributing academic institutions, including
                                 the study design or in the collection, analysis, interpretation of data,    the University of Oxford, will issue a press release for general media and
                                 writing of the report, or decision to submit the article for publication.   the lay audience once the manuscript is available to the public.

the bmj | BMJ 2021;373:n1038 | doi: 10.1136/bmj.n1038                                                                                                                                11
RESEARCH

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