Unlocking the Door Consultation Project - Real Estate, Property Development and Construction Sector Workshop Report (Workshop Review Draft) ...
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Unlocking the Door Consultation Project – Real Estate, Property Development and Construction Sector Workshop Report Unlocking the Door Consultation Project Real Estate, Property Development and Construction Sector Workshop Report (Workshop Review Draft) April, 2017 MEMBER OF THE NORTHERN AUSTRALIA ALLIANCE 1
Unlocking the Door Consultation Project – Real Estate, Property Development and Construction Sector Workshop Report Disclosure and Disclaimer This report has been prepared by Australian Venture Consultants Pty Ltd (ACN: 101 195 699) (‘AVC’). AVC has been commissioned to prepare this report by Broome Future Limited, and has received a fee from Broome Future Limited for its preparation. While the information contained in this report has been prepared by AVC with all reasonable care from sources that AVC believes to be reliable, no responsibility or liability is accepted by AVC for any errors, omissions or misstatements however caused. Any opinions or recommendations reflect the judgment and assumptions of AVC as at the date of the document and may change without notice. AVC, its officers, agents and employees exclude all liability whatsoever, in negligence or otherwise, for any loss or damage relating to this document to the full extent permitted by law. Any opinion contained in this report is unsolicited general information only. AVC is not aware that any recipient intends to rely on this report or of the manner in which a recipient intends to use it. In preparing this information it is not possible to take into consideration the information or opinion needs of any individual recipient. Recipients should conduct their own research into the issues discussed in this report before acting on any recommendation. 2
Unlocking the Door Consultation Project – Real Estate, Property Development and Construction Sector Workshop Report Contents 1. Background ......................................................................................................................................... 4 1.1. Broome Future and the Unlocking the Door Consultation Project .................................... 4 1.1.1. Broome Future Limited ........................................................................................................ 4 1.1.2. Unlocking the Door Consultation Project ....................................................................... 4 1.2. The Unlocking the Door Real Estate, Property Development and Construction Workshop ................................................................................................................................................. 4 1.2.1. Purpose .................................................................................................................................. 4 1.2.2. Workshop Agenda and Materials .................................................................................... 5 1.2.3. Workshop Attendees .......................................................................................................... 5 2. Workshop Deliberations ..................................................................................................................... 7 2.1. Status and Trends in Real Estate, Property Development and Construction Markets in Broome and the Kimberley Region ..................................................................................................... 7 2.1.1. A Small But Important Sector ............................................................................................ 7 2.1.2. Shire of Broome .................................................................................................................... 9 2.1.3. Shire of Derby-West Kimberley ........................................................................................ 13 2.1.4. Shire of Halls Creek ............................................................................................................ 17 2.1.5. Shire of Wyndham – East Kimberley ............................................................................... 20 2.1.6. Market Drivers ..................................................................................................................... 23 2.2. Broome Growth Centre Plan .................................................................................................. 32 2.3. Nyamba Buru Yawuru .............................................................................................................. 40 2.4. Shire of Broome ......................................................................................................................... 41 2.5. Workshop Deliberations ........................................................................................................... 41 2.5.1. Real-estate market outlook ............................................................................................. 42 2.5.2. Property Development ..................................................................................................... 42 2.5.3. Construction Sector .......................................................................................................... 42 2.6. Priorities for Advocacy ............................................................................................................. 43 Appendix 1: Workshop Agenda ............................................................................................................ 45 Appendix 2: Nyamba Buru Yawuru Property Portfolio ...................................................................... 49 3
Unlocking the Door Consultation Project – Real Estate, Property Development and Construction Sector Workshop Report 1. Background 1.1. Broome Future and the Unlocking the Door Consultation Project 1.1.1. Broome Future Limited Broome Future Limited (Broome Future) is a not-for-profit organisation, founded and funded by individuals and organisations with interests in the environmentally sustainable social, cultural and economic development of Broome, the West Kimberley and the wider Kimberley Region. More information on Broome Future can be viewed at www.broomefuture.com. In 2015, Broome Future released its inaugural study, Unlocking the Door: A Study into the Feasibility of Broome as a Logistics and Commercial Hub for the Kimberley Region. Undertaken by Australian Venture Consultants, this study is widely recognised as one of the most comprehensive analyses of development opportunities and challenges facing Broome and the wider Kimberley Region. This report can be downloaded at http://broomefuture.com/unlocking-the-door-report. 1.1.2. Unlocking the Door Consultation Project Rather than making recommendations as to how the Kimberley community might address these opportunities and challenges, the abovementioned report recommends a comprehensive and deep consultation process designed to result in: A clear and detailed articulation of the opportunities and challenges facing specific aspects of Broome and the Kimberley society and economy; Agreed priorities for action; and Ultimately a development plan and development decision framework that underpins better planning for and prosecution of regional development in the Kimberley Region. Reports from consultation workshops that have been completed thus far can be downloaded at http://broomefuture.com/unlocking-the-door-report-consultation-project. 1.2. The Unlocking the Door Real Estate, Property Development and Construction Workshop 1.2.1. Purpose As illuminated by the Unlocking the Door Small Business Sector Workshop (http://broomefuture.com/unlocking-the-door-report-consultation-project), the real estate, property development and construction sectors accounts for a very significant portion of the businesses in Broome and the other main population centres of the Kimberley Region. There is also a significant number of Aboriginal owned and operated businesses, particularly in the construction sector. These sectors are critically important to meeting the real estate transaction and management, as well as construction needs of local residents and businesses. They also face number of challenges that are common to real estate, property development and construction in other 4
Unlocking the Door Consultation Project – Real Estate, Property Development and Construction Sector Workshop Report rural and regional areas such as significant market volatility, high cost structures and competition from non-local contractors and service providers. In the Kimberley, both the real- estate and construction sectors are particularly sensitive to major new projects (particularly outside of Broome) and construction sector challenges are exacerbated with operating constraints imposed by the wet season. The specific purpose of the Unlocking the Door Real Estate, Property Development and Construction Workshop is to: Serve as the principle mechanism through which the opinions and views of operators of real-estate, property development and construction enterprises in the Kimberley are integrated into the Unlocking the Door Consultation project; Identify key issues, challenges and opportunities facing the Kimberley real-estate, property development and construction sectors; and Identify key advocacy and investment priorities for the Kimberley real-estate, property development and construction sectors. The workshop was held on 6th April 2017 at the Mangrove Hotel, Broome. 1.2.2. Workshop Agenda and Materials The following materials were provided to participants in the Workshop as background material: Workshop Agenda, which is contained in Appendix 1; and Online access to the Unlocking the Door study and Report from the Unlocking the Door Small Business Workshop. 1.2.3. Workshop Attendees Table 1 below lists invitees to and participants in the workshop. Invitee Representation Attended 1. Russell Barnett Broome Future Limited Yes 2. Denis Ryan Broome Future Limited Yes 3. Tim Bray Kimberley Development Corporation Yes 4. Chris Forbes Nyamba Buru Yawuru Yes 5. Ron Johnston Shire of Broome Yes 6. Tony Hutchinson Hutchinson Real Estate Yes 7. Allan Griffiths First National Real Estate Yes 8. Andrew Blackley PRD Nationwide Yes 9. Clare Cowen Ray White Yes 10. Giles Tipping Ray White Yes 11. Robert Sweet Broome Builders Yes 12. Michael Smyth Custom Lifestyle Homes Yes 5
Unlocking the Door Consultation Project – Real Estate, Property Development and Construction Sector Workshop Report Invitee Representation Attended 13. Patches Fiorenza CWD Builders Yes 14. Scott Elson IP &ST Elson Yes 15. Joe Giancono McKeno Blocks & Pavers Yes 16. Rob Menzies Roebuck Estate Yes 17. Mike Carrigg Orrcon Steel Yes 18. Darren Cross DWA Industrial Resources Yes 19. Glenn Schluter Ricon Yes 20. Christian Joder Acor Consultants Yes 21. Peter Burns Hutchinson Real Estate No 22. Andrew Black Andrew Black Construction No 23. Meagan Black Andrew Black Construction No 24. Steven Lydeamore Buildmore Constructions No 25. Harold Tracey H&M Tracey Construction No 26. Jeffrey White Kullarri Building No 27. Paul White Tjallara Building Company No 28. Karl Plunkett Eco Constructions No TABLE 1 – UNLOCKING THE DOOR REAL ESTATE , PROPERTY D EVELOPMENT AND C ONSTRUCTION S ECTOR F ORUM A TTENDEES 6
Unlocking the Door Consultation Project – Real Estate, Property Development and Construction Sector Workshop Report 2. Workshop Deliberations 2.1. Status and Trends in Real Estate, Property Development and Construction Markets in Broome and the Kimberley Region The Workshop Facilitator commenced the workshop by delivering a presentation that, based on high-level statistics, demonstrated recent trends in the real estate, property development and construction sectors in the Kimberley and the key local markets that they serve. This presentation is summarised in the following subsections. Additional data pertaining to the Kimberley real-estate and rental markets is presented in Section 2.2. 2.1.1. A Small But Important Sector Since 2002-03, the Kimberley Region has accounted for approximately 1.5 percent of all new dwelling and other residential approvals in Western Australia. Just under half of the 5,169 approvals that were granted in in the Kimberley during that period have been in the Shire of Broome, with the Shires of Derby-West Kimberley and Wyndham-East Kimberley each accounting for approximately 20 percent and the Shire of Halls Creek accounting for 13 percent. This is illustrated in Figure 11 below. Kimberley (1.5%) Rest of Western Australia (98.5%) Broome (0.7%) Derby-West Kimberley (0.3%) Wyndham-East Kimberley (0.3%) Halls Creek (0.2%) 352,248 Approvals 5,169 Approvals F IGURE 1- NEW D WELLING AND OTHER R ESIDENTIAL APPROVALS (2002-03 TO 2015-16) 1 Australian Bureau of Statistics (2017), Building Approvals, Australian Government, Canberra 7
Unlocking the Door Consultation Project – Real Estate, Property Development and Construction Sector Workshop Report In the building construction sector, the Kimberley Region accounted for 2.0 percent of the value of all building construction2 in the State over the same time period. Of the $2.9 billion of building construction expenditure that took place in the Kimberley over that time period, just under half occurred in the Shire of Broome, 20 percent in each of the Shire of Derby-West Kimberley and Wyndham-East Kimberley and 10 percent in the Shire of Halls Creek. This is illustrated in Figure 23 below. Kimberley (2.0%) Rest of Western Australia (98.0%) Broome (0.9%) Derby-West Kimberley (0.5%) Wyndham-East Kimberley (0.5%) Halls Creek (0.2%) $132.2 billion $2.9 billion F IGURE 2 – TOTAL BUILDING C ONSTRUCTION (2002 TO 2015-16) Despite only accounting for a small portion of the State market, real-estate, property development and construction businesses comprise a very significant portion of the business community in the Region. As an indication, in recent times businesses operating in the Kimberley Region in the construction, rental, hiring and real-estate4 sectors have accounted for 34 percent of all small businesses5 in the Region. This is illustrated in Figure 36 below. 2 Building construction includes all residential, commercial and industrial buildings, but excludes infrastructure. 3 Australian Bureau of Statistics (2017), Building Approvals, Australian Government, Canberra 4 This classification includes businesses in operating in all aspects of hiring and rental. 5 The vast majority of businesses in the region are categorised as small businesses. 6 Australian Bureau of Statistics (2016), Counts of Australian Businesses, Australian Government Canberra 8
Unlocking the Door Consultation Project – Real Estate, Property Development and Construction Sector Workshop Report 2,500 2,000 1,500 1,000 500 34 percent of small - 2,013 2014 2015 businesses in Construction Rental, Hiring and Real Estate Services Retail Trade the Region Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing Professional, Scientific and Technical Services Transport, Postal and Warehousing Other Services Financial and Insurance Services Accommodation and Food Services Administrative and Support Services Manufacturing Health Care and Social Assistance Currently Unknown Wholesale Trade Information Media and Telecommunications Arts and Recreation Services Education and Training Electricity, Gas, Water and Waste Services Public Administration and Safety Mining F IGURE 3 – N UMBER OF SMALL BUSINESSES IN THE KIMBERLEY REGION 2.1.2. Shire of Broome Businesses operating in the construction, rental, hiring and real-estate services sectors account for 38 percent of all small businesses operating in the Shire of Broome. As illustrated in Figure 4 7below, these businesses range in size from small owner-operator businesses turning over less than $50,000 to businesses generating in excess of $2.0 million per annum. 7Australian Bureau of Statistics (2016), Counts of Australian Businesses, Australian Government Canberra 9
Unlocking the Door Consultation Project – Real Estate, Property Development and Construction Sector Workshop Report Construction Rental, Hiring and Real Estate Services 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 Zero to $50k $50k to less than $100k $100k to less than $200K $200k to less than $500k $500k to less than $2m $2m or more F IGURE 4 – B ROOME BASED C ONSTRUCTION AND REAL -ESTATE S MALL BUSINESSES (2015) As illustrated in Figure 58 below, new dwelling approvals in the Shire of Broome have been relatively volatile over the past 15 years, with a significant spike in activity in 2012-13, which was likely associated with sentiment associated with the potential progress of the James Price Point onshore LNG project. 8 Australian Bureau of Statistics (2017), Building Approvals, Australian Government, Canberra 10
Unlocking the Door Consultation Project – Real Estate, Property Development and Construction Sector Workshop Report 400 350 300 No. of Dwellings 250 200 150 100 50 0 Houses Other residential F IGURE 5 – N EW D WELLING A PPROVALS – SHIRE OF B ROOME As illustrated in Figure 69 below, this volatility has been reflected in the value of building construction in the Shire over the same period. Compared to the rest of the Kimberley Region, commercial and industrial building construction expenditure comprises a significant portion of total building construction expenditure in most years. $200 $180 $160 $140 A$ million $120 $100 $80 $60 $40 $20 $0 Housing Other Residential Commercial & Industrial F IGURE 6 – VALUE OF B UILDING CONSTRUCTION – SHIRE OF BROOME 9 Australian Bureau of Statistics (2017), Building Approvals, Australian Government, Canberra 11
Unlocking the Door Consultation Project – Real Estate, Property Development and Construction Sector Workshop Report There has been a general decline in housing prices in the Shire of Broome since 2012. This is illustrated in Figure 710 below. This is consistent with property markets across most of the State. $800,000 $700,000 $600,000 $500,000 Median Price $400,000 $300,000 $200,000 $100,000 $0 CY2012 CY2013 CY2014 CY2015 CY2016 Broome Cable Beach - median Djugan Bilingurr F IGURE 7 – MEDIAN H OUSE PRICES – SHIRE OF BROOME However, as illustrated in Figure 811 below, turnover in key suburbs of Broome has been reasonably consistent. 10Landgate (2017, Suburb Sales Report & Real Estate Institute of Western Australia (2017) Suburb Profiles. 11Landgate (2017, Suburb Sales Report & Real Estate Institute of Western Australia (2017) Suburb Profiles. 12
Unlocking the Door Consultation Project – Real Estate, Property Development and Construction Sector Workshop Report 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 CY2012 CY2013 CY2014 CY2015 CY2016 Broome Cable Beach Djugan Bilingurr F IGURE 8 – R EAL -ESTATE TURNOVER – SHIRE OF BROOME 2.1.3. Shire of Derby-West Kimberley Businesses operating in the construction, rental, hiring and real-estate services sectors account for 33 percent of all small businesses operating in the Shire of Derby-West Kimberley. Businesses operating in the construction sector range in size from small owner-operator businesses turning over less than $50,000, to businesses generating revenue in excess of $2.0 million per annum. There are no real-estate businesses in the Shire of Derby-West Kimberley turning over more than $2.0 million per annum. This is illustrated in Figure 912 below Australian Bureau of Statistics (2016), Counts of Australian Businesses, Australian 12 Government Canberra 13
Unlocking the Door Consultation Project – Real Estate, Property Development and Construction Sector Workshop Report Construction Rental, Hiring and Real Estate Services 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 Zero to $50k $50k to less than $100k $100k to less than $200K $200k to less than $500k $500k to less than $2m $2m or more F IGURE 9 – CONSTRUCTION AND REAL ESTATE SMALL BUSINESS – SHIRE OF DERBY -WEST KIMBERLEY (2015) New dwelling approvals in the Shire of Derby-West Kimberley have been volatile over the course of the past 15 years, with a major increase during the period 2010-11 to 2012-13 which was the result of housing demand associated with the establishment of a new prison and detention centre. This is illustrated in Figure 1013 below. 13 Australian Bureau of Statistics (2017), Building Approvals, Australian Government, Canberra 14
Unlocking the Door Consultation Project – Real Estate, Property Development and Construction Sector Workshop Report 250 200 No. of New Dwellings 150 100 50 0 Houses Other residential F IGURE 10 – NEW D WELLING A PPROVALS – SHIRE OF D ERBY-WEST KIMBERLEY Similar volatility is evident in the value of building construction over the same period, with significant increases, particularly in commercial and industrial buildings, associated with the prison and detention centre over the period 2009-10 to 2012-13. This is illustrated in Figure 1114 below. $140 $120 $100 A$ million $80 $60 $40 $20 $0 Housing Residential Commerical and Industrial F IGURE 11 – VALUE OF BUILDING C ONSTRUCTION – SHIRE OF DERBY -W EST K IMBERLEY 14 Australian Bureau of Statistics (2017), Building Approvals, Australian Government, Canberra 15
Unlocking the Door Consultation Project – Real Estate, Property Development and Construction Sector Workshop Report While there is limited data on which to establish trends in Fitzroy Crossing and Camballin, median house prices in the Shire of Derby-West Kimberley have declined dramatically over the past four years. This is illustrated in Figure 1215 below. $600,000 $500,000 $400,000 Median Price $300,000 $200,000 $100,000 $0 CY2012 CY2013 CY2014 CY2015 CY2016 Derby F IGURE 12 – MEDIAN HOUSE P RICES – T OWN OF DERBY Furthermore, any turnover in the real-estate market in the Shire of Derby-West Kimberley has been almost exclusively restricted to the town of Derby. This is illustrated in Figure 1316 below. 15 Landgate (2017, Suburb Sales Report & Real Estate Institute of Western Australia (2017) Suburb Profiles. 16 Landgate (2017, Suburb Sales Report & Real Estate Institute of Western Australia (2017) Suburb Profiles. 16
Unlocking the Door Consultation Project – Real Estate, Property Development and Construction Sector Workshop Report 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 CY2012 CY2013 CY2014 CY2015 CY2016 Camballin Derby Fitzroy Crossing F IGURE 13 - REAL-ESTATE TURNOVER – SHIRE OF DERBY -WEST KIMBERLEY 2.1.4. Shire of Halls Creek Compared to the rest of the Kimberley, at 22 percent, the portion of all businesses operating in the construction, rental, hiring and real-estate services sector operating in the Shire of Halls Creek is much smaller than is the case for the rest of the Kimberley. There is also comparatively a much smaller number of, typically smaller construction and real-estate operations in the Shire of Halls Creek. This is illustrated in Figure 1417 below. Australian Bureau of Statistics (2016), Counts of Australian Businesses, Australian 17 Government Canberra 17
Unlocking the Door Consultation Project – Real Estate, Property Development and Construction Sector Workshop Report Construction Rental, Hiring and Real Estate Services 0 2 4 6 8 10 Zero to $50k $50k to less than $100k $100k to less than $200K $200k to less than $500k $500k to less than $2m $2m or more F IGURE 14 – C ONSTRUCTION AND REAL-ESTATE S MALL B USINESS – SHIRE OF HALLS CREEK (2015) As illustrated in Figure 1518 below, new dwelling approvals have, like the rest of the Kimberley, been volatile in Halls Creek over the past 15 years, with a spike of activity in 2011-12 and 2012- 13. 18 Australian Bureau of Statistics (2017), Building Approvals, Australian Government, Canberra 18
Unlocking the Door Consultation Project – Real Estate, Property Development and Construction Sector Workshop Report 80 70 No. of New Dwellings 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 Houses Other residential F IGURE 15 – NEW D WELLING A PPROVALS – SHIRE OF HALLS CREEK This volatility has been reflected in the value of building construction over the same period. This is illustrated in Figure 1619 below, with relatively significant activity in the period 2009-1 to 2014-15 and a dramatic decline in 2015-16. $35 $30 $25 A$ million $20 $15 $10 $5 $0 Housing Other Residential Commerical and Industrial F IGURE 16 – VALUE OF BUILDING C ONSTRUCTION – SHIRE OF HALLS CREEK This analysis was unable to source any data pertaining to real-estate market trends in the Shire of Halls Creek. 19 Australian Bureau of Statistics (2017), Building Approvals, Australian Government, Canberra 19
Unlocking the Door Consultation Project – Real Estate, Property Development and Construction Sector Workshop Report 2.1.5. Shire of Wyndham – East Kimberley The Shire of Wyndham-East Kimberley hosts the second largest number of businesses operating in the construction, rental, hiring and real-estate sectors in the Kimberley, but does not host any real-estate businesses turning over more than $2.0 million. This is illustrated in Figure 1720 below. The businesses operating in these sectors account for 30 percent of all small businesses in the Shire. Construction Rental, Hiring and Real Estate Services 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 Zero to $50k $50k to less than $100k $100k to less than $200K $200k to less than $500k $500k to less than $2m $2m or more F IGURE 17 – C ONSTRUCTION AND REAL-ESTATE S MALL B USINESSES – SHIRE OF WYNDHAM -EAST K IMBERLEY Other than a specific spike of activity during the period 2009-10 to 2010-11, new dwelling approvals in Wyndham-East Kimberley have been slightly less volatile than they are in the other shires. This is illustrated in Figure 1821 below. 20 Australian Bureau of Statistics (2016), Counts of Australian Businesses, Australian Government Canberra 21 Australian Bureau of Statistics (2017), Building Approvals, Australian Government, Canberra 20
Unlocking the Door Consultation Project – Real Estate, Property Development and Construction Sector Workshop Report 180 160 140 No. of Dwellings 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 Houses Other residential F IGURE 18 – NEW D WELLING A PPROVALS – WYNDHAM – EAST KIMBERLEY As illustrated in Figure 1922 below, this general stability is reflected in the value of building construction in the Shire. The spike in 2010-11 is associated with the construction of a new Court House in Kununurra. $200 $180 $160 $140 A$ million $120 $100 $80 $60 $40 $20 $0 Housing Other Residential Commercial and Industrial F IGURE 19 – VALUE OF BUILDING C ONSTRUCTION – SHIRE OF WYNDHAM-EAST KIMBERLEY Generally speaking, real-estate values have also been more stable in the Shire of Wyndham- East Kimberley. This is illustrated in Figure 2023 below. 22Australian Bureau of Statistics (2017), Building Approvals, Australian Government, Canberra 23Landgate (2017, Suburb Sales Report & Real Estate Institute of Western Australia (2017) Suburb Profiles. 21
Unlocking the Door Consultation Project – Real Estate, Property Development and Construction Sector Workshop Report $500,000 $450,000 $400,000 $350,000 Median Price $300,000 $250,000 $200,000 $150,000 $100,000 $50,000 $0 CY2012 CY2013 CY2014 CY2015 CY2016 Kununurra Wyndham F IGURE 20 – MEDIAN HOUSE P RICES – SHIRE OF WYNDHAM -EAST K IMBERLEY While real-estate turnover has been lower in more recent years, it is also relatively stable. This is illustrated in Figure 2124 below. 24Landgate (2017, Suburb Sales Report & Real Estate Institute of Western Australia (2017) Suburb Profiles. 22
Unlocking the Door Consultation Project – Real Estate, Property Development and Construction Sector Workshop Report 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 CY2012 CY2013 CY2014 CY2015 CY2016 Kununurra Wyndham F IGURE 21 – REAL -ESTATE TURNOVER – SHIRE OF WYNDHAM -EAST K IMBERLEY 2.1.6. Market Drivers As illustrated in Figure 2225 below, all of the Shires that comprise the Kimberley Region have enjoyed strong population growth over the past decade that has, to varying degrees, underpinned activity in the real-estate, property development and construction sectors. However in recent years populations have stabilised in the Shires of Broome and Wyndham- East Kimberley and begun to decline in the Shires of Derby-West Kimberley and Halls Creek. 25Australian Bureau of Statistics (2016), Regional Population Growth, Australia: Estimated Resident Population, Local Government Area, Western Australia, Australian Government, Canberra 23
Unlocking the Door Consultation Project – Real Estate, Property Development and Construction Sector Workshop Report Shire of Broome Shire of Derby-West Kimberley 20,000 12,000 18,000 10,000 16,000 14,000 Number of Persons Number of Persons 8,000 12,000 10,000 6,000 8,000 4,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 2,000 - - 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012r 2013r 2014r 2015p 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012r 2013r 2014r 2015p Shire of Halls Creek Shire of Wyndham-East Kimberley 4,000 8,800 3,950 8,600 3,900 8,400 Number of Persons Number of Persons 3,850 8,200 3,800 8,000 3,750 7,800 3,700 7,600 3,650 7,400 3,600 7,200 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012r 2013r 2014r 2015p 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012r 2013r 2014r 2015p F IGURE 22 – TRENDS IN RESIDENTIAL P OPULATION IN THE KIMBERLEY REGION Figure 23 below illustrates the contribution that the main sectors of the Kimberley economy made to Gross Regional Product (GRP) and employment in 2013. While the mining sector was a major driver of GRP, its contribution to employment was substantially less. The main drivers of employment in the region are government services and tourism, which in this data set includes all aspects of accommodation, catering and retail. Given that since 2013, the three iron ore projects that were operating in the Kimberley at the time have ceased production, it is highly likely that the mining sectors contribution is less. 24
Unlocking the Door Consultation Project – Real Estate, Property Development and Construction Sector Workshop Report 40.0% ? 2013 40.0% 35.0% 35.0% Contribution to Kimberley Employment 30.0% 30.0% Contribution to Kimberley GRP 25.0% 25.0% 20.0% 20.0% 15.0% 15.0% 10.0% 10.0% 5.0% 5.0% 0.0% 0.0% Mining Government Other services Construction Logistics Tourism Agriculture, Other sectors service and Forestry and delivery ownership of Fishing dwellings Percentage of GRP Percentage of Employment What does it look like now? F IGURE 23 – C OMPOSITION OF THE KIMBERLEY E CONOMY (2013) Resources Industry Project Drivers As summarised in Table 2 below, the Nicholson’s Find, Central Tanami and Argyle mines will likely continue to provide employment, with immediate opportunities for growth associated with the commissioning and ongoing operations of the Ichthys and Prelude offshore petroleum projects and potential development of the Brown’s Range and Thunderbird minerals projects. 25
Unlocking the Door Consultation Project – Real Estate, Property Development and Construction Sector Workshop Report Minerals Project Status Petroleum Project Status Ridges (KMG) Care & Browse (Woodside Pre-development Maintenance Savannah (Panorama Care & Ungani, Valhalla, Asgaard & Exploration & Resources) Maintenance Yulleroo (Buru Energy Development Cockatoo Island (Pluton Care & Ichthys (INPEX) Development Resources) Maintenance Koolan Island (Mt Gibson) Suspended Prelude (Shell) Development Browns Range (Northern Pre-development Minerals) Thunderbird (Sheffield Pre-development Resources) Irvine Island (Pluton Pre-development Resources) Nicholson’s Find (Niugini) Operational Central Tanami (Tanami Operational Gold) Argyle (Rio Tinto) Operational TABLE 2 – CURRENT STATUS OF M AJOR K IMBERLEY RESOURCES PROJECTS For more information on the status and potential of the resources industries in the Kimberley see the Unlocking the Door Resources Industry Workshop Report (http://broomefuture.com/unlocking-the-door-report-consultation-project) Agricultural Industry Development Drivers There has been a strong push by government and industry over the past decade for the progressive development of irrigated agriculture in the Kimberley Region. Combined, the Western Australian and Commonwealth Government have invested approximately $700 million in agricultural initiatives in the Kimberley since 2010. The focus of this investment has primarily been in studies and infrastructure to support the development of horticulture, cropping and pastoral operations based on irrigation. As summarised in Table 3 below, the main focus of this investment has been the Ord River Irrigation Area (ORIA) with most additional capacity expected to come on stream by 2025 being associated with ORIA. However, there is also some growth expected in the West Kimberley. 26
Unlocking the Door Consultation Project – Real Estate, Property Development and Construction Sector Workshop Report Area (ha) Operational Potentially Potentially Operational Potential Potential Operational by 2025 beyond 2025 Unscheduled Total La Grange 800 3,000 5,000 Up to an additional 13,800 5,000 Broome 480 1,000 1,480 Derby outskirts 110 350 460 Knowsely/Curtin Up to 22,000 22,000 Airbase Fitzroy Valley Up to 23,000 23,000 WEST KIMBERLEY 1,390 4,350 5,000 Up to 50,000 60,740 ORD RIVER 17,000 46,250 41,000 104,250 PRECINCT NORTHERN 14,000 14,000 TERRITORY TOTAL 18,390 64,600 46,000 Up to 50,000 178,990 TABLE 3 – EXPECTED D EVELOPMENT OF IRRIGATED AGRICULTURE IN THE KIMBERLEY Figure 24 below illustrates the expected roll-out of additional irrigated agriculture capacity in the ORIA. 70,000 60,000 50,000 40,000 30,000 20,000 10,000 0 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 Ord Stage 1 Gooimg Carlton Hill Mantinea West Bank East Bank Packsaddle Knox Plain NT stage 3b (Weaber) NT stage 3a (Knox South) Cockatoo Sands - Vic Hwy Cockatoo Sands - Carlton NT stage 3c (Keep) F IGURE 24 – EXPECTED EXPANSION OF AREA (HA ) UNDER IRRIGATION – ORD RIVER IRRIGATION S CHEME 27
Unlocking the Door Consultation Project – Real Estate, Property Development and Construction Sector Workshop Report Figure 25 below, illustrates areas in which irrigated agriculture could take place in the West Kimberley. F IGURE 25– EXPECTED AREAS OF IRRIGATED A GRICULTURE – WEST KIMBERLEY Agricultural development will create opportunities for the construction sector in establishing irrigated agriculture operations, as well as the development downstream infrastructure such as feedlots and cold chain logistics systems. For more information on the status and prospects of irrigated agriculture in the Kimberley see the Unlocking the Door Pastoral and Agriculture Sector Workshop Report (http://broomefuture.com/unlocking-the-door-report-consultation-project) Aquaculture Industry Development Drivers Western Australia has the second largest seafood industry in Australia. However, the State’s ratio of aquaculture to wild-catch production is the lowest in the Nation. Western Australia’s aquaculture industry is dominated by the $60 million per annum Pinctada maxima (South Sea Pearl) industry, which is located almost entirely in the Kimberley Region. Of the remaining approximate $20 million of GVP produced by the Western Australian aquaculture industry, 50 percent is attributable to Marine Produce Australia’s Cone Bay Barramundi operation, also located in the Kimberley Region. This is illustrated in Figure 2626 below. Department of Agriculture and Water Resources (2015), Australian Fisheries and 26 Aquaculture Statistics, Australian Government, Canberra 28
Unlocking the Door Consultation Project – Real Estate, Property Development and Construction Sector Workshop Report 800,000 Australian wild-catch and aquaculture Total Aquaculture value of production 2013-14 Total Wild-catch 700,000 600,000 Other aquaculture ~50% Kimberley 500,000 Pearl Aquaculture 95+% Kimberley (A$'000) 400,000 Other wild-catch 300,000 200,000 Western Rock Lobster Wild-catch 100,000 - Tasmania South Australia Queensland New South Wales Victoria Northern Western Territory Australia F IGURE 26 – WESTERN A USTRALIAN AQUACULTURE IN THE N ATIONAL C ONTEXT Furthermore, a specific aquaculture development zone has been declared in the Buccaneer Archipelago designed to de-risk further development of a marine finfish aquaculture industry in the Kimberley. The location of the Kimberley Aquaculture Development Zone is illustrated in Figure 27 below. F IGURE 27 – KIMBERLEY A QUACULTURE D EVELOPMENT Z ONE Tourism Industry Development Drivers Tourism is a cornerstone industry and major employer in the Kimberley Region with considerable opportunity for growth, albeit the sector faces some significant challenges (see the Unlocking the Door Tourism Workshop Report - http://broomefuture.com/unlocking-the- door-report-consultation-project). 29
Unlocking the Door Consultation Project – Real Estate, Property Development and Construction Sector Workshop Report As illustrated in Figure 2827 below, compared to other icon tourism destinations in Western Australia Broome and the Kimberley suffers from a lack of density of tourism assets. This implies that if Broome and the Kimberley are to prosper as tourism destinations, investment in additional tourism infrastructure will be required. This implies opportunity for the construction sector. Broome Margaret River Region Albany Region Kimberley Perth Ningaloo Region Density Diversity Uniqueness F IGURE 28 – BROOME AND THE K IMBERLEY C OMPARED TO OTHER I CON WESTERN AUSTRALIAN T OURISM D ESTINATIONS Aboriginal Community Development Drivers There are over 200 discrete Aboriginal communities in the Kimberley. As illustrated in Figure 29 below, many of these are located in the West Kimberley. : TNS Global Market Research (2015), Broome Tourism Leadership Group and Tourism 27 Western Australia 30
Unlocking the Door Consultation Project – Real Estate, Property Development and Construction Sector Workshop Report F IGURE 29 – KIMBERLEY ABORIGINAL C OMMUNITIES As a result of an evolving policy landscape with respect to the resourcing of remote Aboriginal communities, the future of some of these communities is currently uncertain. Nevertheless, there will continue to be demand for construction services that is associated with maintenance, asset renewal and new capital creation in larger sustainable communities. Importantly, and is discussed in greater detail in subsequent sections of this study, the economic empowerment of the residents of these communities is the greatest opportunity to substantially grow real-estate, property development and construction markets in the Kimberley Region. Government Service Delivery As illustrated in Figure 23 above, government agencies are the main employer in the Kimberley Region. As illustrated in Figure 30 below, there are 26 Western Australian and 21 Commonwealth government agencies delivering services into the Kimberley Region, most of which have offices in Broome. While any substantial growth in this sector is unlikely, it will remain a major underwrite of current demand and derived demand for real-estate and construction services. 31
Unlocking the Door Consultation Project – Real Estate, Property Development and Construction Sector Workshop Report Civic Services & Economic Development & Environmental and Scientific Health Services Education Services National Security Amenities Regulation Services Department of Aboriginal Affairs Disability Services Commission Department of Education Department of Defence Department of Agriculture and Food Department of Training & Workforce Immigration and Australian Customs Department of the Attorney General Department of Health and Border Protection Development Department of Child Protection Department of Commerce Department of Parks & Wildlife Education Department Department of Corrective Services Australian Institute of Marine Science Department of Culture & the Arts Bureau of Meteorology Department of Fire and Emergency Department of Finance, Building CSIRO Services Management and Works Department of Housing Department of Fisheries Department of Lands Department of Mines & Petroleum Department of Local Government & Department of Agriculture Communities Cotton Research and Development Department of Planning Corporation Western Australian Police Service Tourism Western Australia Department of Regional Development Department of the Environment Department of Sport and Recreation Indigenous Business Australia Department of Industry (Geoscience Department of Transport Australia and NOPSEMA) Department of Water Meat and Livestock Australia Attorney General’s Department Indigenous Land Corporation CommCare Tourism Australia Department of Communications Department of Employment Department of Human Services - Centrelink Department of Infrastructure and Regional Development Department of Prime Minister and Cabinet State Government Departments and Agencies Commonwealth Government Departments and Agencies F IGURE 30 – WESTERN A USTRALIAN AND C OMMONWEALTH G OVERNMENT OFFICES IN THE K IMBERLEY Infrastructure Plateauing or decreasing residential populations, combined by normalising industrial activity suggests that major investments in new infrastructure in the Kimberley Region is likely to be limited in the immediate future, most likely confined to some incremental improvements to logistics infrastructure such as: Some road upgrade projects such as the sealing of the Cape Leveque Road, upgrade of the Tanami Highway between Halls Creek and Alice Springs, and various improvements to the Great Northern Highway; Incremental improvements to some port infrastructure; and Incremental improvements to some airport infrastructure. 2.2. Broome Growth Centre Plan Tim Bray, Director – Regional Planning and Project Delivery, Kimberley Development Commission, delivered a presentation outlining the Broome Growth Centre Plan and its current status. The Broome Growth Centre Plan is a component of the Western Australian Government’s Regional Growth Centre Program. As illustrated in Figure 31 below, this program has identified a series of population centres of Western Australia that will perform a major role in facilitating regional growth. 32
Unlocking the Door Consultation Project – Real Estate, Property Development and Construction Sector Workshop Report F IGURE 31 – REGIONAL GROWTH C ENTRES The partners in the Broome Growth Centre Plan are Shire of Broome, Nyama Buru Yawuru, Landcorp, Kimberley Development Commission and Department of Planning, with Creating Communities acting as the lead consultant in the program. A range of other organisations provide ongoing specialist input to the process in areas such as agriculture (AgKnowledge), arts & culture (Fulsky Consulting), economic cluster analysis (Pracsys Consulting), economics (Urbis), Environmental Impact (RPS), health and wellbeing (Marella Health Consulting), investment analysis (Ernst & Young), infrastructure assessment (GHD), migrations and perception survey (Painted Dog), scenario modelling (Curtin University Integrated Futures) and scenario planning (AEC Consulting). 33
Unlocking the Door Consultation Project – Real Estate, Property Development and Construction Sector Workshop Report The Growth Plan is designed to achieve the following: A Vision – set shared goals, strategies and actions to drive long term economic development; A Plan – set agile business strategy and action plan for the partnership Communicate – the strategies/conditions for business development and investment attraction Align – investment and effort at all levels especially in government The Broome Growth Centre Plan brings together a range of planning exercises including the Yawuru Cultural Management Plan, Shire of Broome Strategic Community Plan, Western Australian State Planning Strategy, Kimberley Regional Investment Blueprint, Kimberley Infrastructure and Investment Framework and the Broome Future Unlocking the Door Project. In the context of being a Growth Centre, Broome has the following characteristics: A role and responsibility as a major service centre for the Region; A modern thriving services sector; A diverse economy with all sectors represented; All sectors are very small in the State, national and global context; The climate, distance and basic infrastructure remain challenging; Fundamentals are strong with functional health, housing and education services; determined Native Title; and good liveability; and Is ready for sustainable, planned and steady growth. So far the Growth Plan process in Broome has highlighted strong commonality of basic community values and aspirations across the community. For example, Figure 32 below illustrates the alignment of the organisational values of the Shire of Broome and Yawuru. F IGURE 32 – A LIGNMENT OF C OMMUNITY VALUES Analysis of the local and global economy conducted by the Broome Growth Plan identifies a number of comparative and competitive advantages attributable to Broome: Proximity to Asia; Sound logistics and infrastructure; Diverse community and industry base; Abundant natural and cultural resources; Determined native title in much of the Shire and over all key town areas; and Strong global markets in agriculture and tourism product that match out unrealised potential for employment and economic growth. A major focus of the Broome Growth Plan is economic growth that creates jobs. The current ‘trend’ economy cannot deliver enough jobs or the right jobs to enable full employment. The 34
Unlocking the Door Consultation Project – Real Estate, Property Development and Construction Sector Workshop Report aspirational population target of 39,348 residents by 2026 requires the creation of 19,670 new jobs. This is illustrated in Figure 33 below. F IGURE 33 – NEW J OB C REATION REQUIRED TO SUPPORT A SPIRATIONAL P OPULATION TARGET The Broome Growth Plan’s strategy for driving this growth revolves around the activation of opportunity in agriculture, tourism and Aboriginal participation in the mainstream economy. Of these activation targets, the fact that over 40 percent of the population of the Kimberley are Aboriginal people and that significant areas of land are the subject of determination (including large areas of land in and around Broome) or claims under the Native Title Act, means that advancing the economic prosperity of Aboriginal people in the region will likely have the largest impact of all the activation targets. To achieve the population, employment and GRP targets of the Growth Plan, the population of Broome must grow at 4 percent per annum, new jobs at 5 percent per annum and GRP at 7 percent per annum. This is illustrated in Figure 34 below. 35
Unlocking the Door Consultation Project – Real Estate, Property Development and Construction Sector Workshop Report F IGURE 34 – BROOME GROWTH P LAN A SPIRATIONAL TARGET The main function of the Broome Growth Plan is to achieve the alignment of regional development strategies and private sector investment with the community endorsed direction of development. In doing this activity will focus on four key areas: Building Small Enterprise – small to medium enterprise and start-ups are the drivers of investment, diversity and innovation; Connecting to the Enablers – health, education, environmental, cultural, training and employment enhancers and enablers capture the local benefit and support the community; Infrastructure – clearly understanding the requirements of industry to help manage the long lead of critical infrastructure; and Government and policy – disciplined approaches to common problems and shared challenges to support long-lived growth. Initiatives and activation strategies that are making early progress are: Activating the Dampier Peninsula – an entire tourism sub-region on Broome’s doorstep to drive a support tourism growth with careful and foresighted investment; Activating the Traded Economy – providing the linkages and opportunities for private sector investment and trade, especially import and export; Activating the Precincts of Broome – supporting and developing the precincts that support tourism and community activity and function; Activating the Economic Fundamentals – Broome’s broad and diverse economy supports and sustains the above trend growth of other sectors; Activating Broome’s Human Capital – Local capacity drives and captures the maximum local benefit from growth and development. 36
Unlocking the Door Consultation Project – Real Estate, Property Development and Construction Sector Workshop Report Table 4 below lists some specific projects that have either attracted investment, or are at advanced stages of planning. Project Investment China Town Revitalisation $12.6 million North West Aboriginal Housing $200 million Kimberley Schools $25 million Aboriginal Short Stay Hostel $26 million Broome Wharf Extension of Life $25 million Broome Hospital Upgrade $14 million West Kimberley Transition Housing $33 million Broome North Industrial Estate Kimberley Meats Abattoir Roebuck Plains Irrigated Agriculture Yawuru Shared Equity Housing Broome Urban Renewal Cape Leveque Activation Precincts Schools TABLE 4 – A DVANCED P ROJECTS This presentation also presented some additional information pertaining to the status of the real-estate and rental markets in the Kimberley Region. Table 5 below compares the current average days that a house is on the market in major Kimberley population centres with Perth and a selection of other regional centres in Western Australia. 37
Unlocking the Door Consultation Project – Real Estate, Property Development and Construction Sector Workshop Report Town Average Days on the Market Broome 70 Derby 77 Kununurra 123 Karratha 81 Margaret River 135 Perth 75 TABLE 5 – A VERAGE DAYS ON THE MARKET Table 6 below summarises the current median house price in major Kimberley towns according to house type. Town 1 Bedroom 2 Bedroom 3 Bedroom 4 Bedroom 5+ Bedroom Broome $250,000 $340,000 $499,000 $600,000 $1,025,000 Derby $129,500 $259,000 $350,000 $475,000 $575,000 Kununurra $559,500 $350,000 $344,500 $449,500 $875,000 TABLE 6 – MEDIAN H OUSE P RICE Figure 35Table 7 below summarises the recent trend in real-estate markets in Broome, Derby and Kununurra. 38
Unlocking the Door Consultation Project – Real Estate, Property Development and Construction Sector Workshop Report $800,000 250 $700,000 200 Number of Houses for Sale $600,000 Asking Prices $500,000 150 $400,000 100 $300,000 $200,000 50 $100,000 $- 0 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Broome Number for Sale, RHS Derby Number for Sale, RHS Kununurra Number for Sale, RHS Broome Asking Price, LHS Derby Asking Price, LHS Kununurra Asking Price, LHS F IGURE 35 – RECENT REAL E STATE MARKET TRENDS – BROOME , DERBY AND KUNUNURRA Figure 36 below illustrates the recent trend in the rental market in Broome, Derby and Kununurra. $900 180 $800 160 Rental Properties Available $700 140 $600 120 Rental Price $500 100 $400 80 $300 60 $200 40 $100 20 $- 0 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Broome Rental Availability, RHS Derby Rental Availability, RHS Kununurra Rental Availability, RHS Broome Rental Price, LHS Derby Rental Price, LHS Kununurra Rental Price, LHS F IGURE 36 – RECENT RENTAL M ARKET TRENDS – BROOME , D ERBY AND K UNUNURRA 39
Unlocking the Door Consultation Project – Real Estate, Property Development and Construction Sector Workshop Report 2.3. Nyamba Buru Yawuru Chris Forbes, Manager – Economic Development with Nyamba Buru Yawuru (NBY) delivered a presentation outlining NBY’s property development portfolio and aspirations. By virtue of the global agreement on Native Title settlement and Indigenous Land Use Agreement (ILUA) between the Yawuru Traditional Owners, the State of Western Australia and the Shire of Broome, NBY is the single largest land-holder in Broome. The vision of NBY is ‘to create and grow Yawuru assets and investments to ensure the Yawuru community has sustainable sources of income for future generations.’ In achieving this, NBY supports heritage and language so culture is maintained, builds on its economic assets for strong economic growth, and manages country so that cultural connections are maintained and the environment is preserved. This vision and purpose governs decisions made with respect to NBY’s land holdings. The NBY board is governed by a board of six directors, including two independent directors. The Yawuru Prescribed Body Corporate Board, to which NBY is ultimately accountable has 12 directors, including six Lore Bosses and ensures that land manage decisions are aligned with NBY’s vision and purpose. The NBY property portfolio includes: Over 130 hectares of industrial development land; Over 168 hectares of residential development land, with 45 housing lots; Over 275,000 hectares of agricultural and grazing land; Over 8.5 hectares of commercial/town centre land; Over 830 hectares of rural development land; and A portfolio of natural and cultural assets for tourism development. A major focus in developing this portfolio is creating economic opportunity and empowerment of Aboriginal people. Not only is this fundamental to NBY’s vision and purpose, but transforming Aboriginal people to an average level of economic wealth will create demand and build value into NBY’s property portfolio. The portfolio is comprised of properties that have been transferred to NBY and properties that have not as yet been transferred from the ILUSA or the Rubibi Settlement as a result of a dispute as to the local government ratings that will apply to those properties. The various properties that comprise the NBY portfolio are listed in Table 7 below and described in more detail in Appendix 2. While the portfolio includes significant in-town properties, a reasonable portion of the portfolio is located in rural areas without services and is therefore dependent on Regional growth for value creation. 40
Unlocking the Door Consultation Project – Real Estate, Property Development and Construction Sector Workshop Report Properties currently under NBY Lot 2082 Cable Beach Road East ownership and management Lots 100 & 484 Chapple Street Lot 586 Broome Road Part Lot 587 Crab Creek Road 12 Bernard Way Birragun Buru Residential Subdivision Lots 71 & 72 Frederick Street Lot 3144 Clementson Street Properties yet to be transferred under Lot 300 Port Drive the ILUA Lot 703 Cable Beach Road Lots 610 & 620 Fairway Drive Lots 522 & 526 Fairway Drive Lots 555 & 557 Crab Creek Road Lot 502 Cable Beach Road Lot 604 Cementson Street Lot 350 Gubinge Road Lots 400 & 401 Gantheaume Point Road Lots 2790 & 2791 Cable Beach Road Lots 611 & 612 Lawrence Road (Coconut Wells) Properties yet to be transferred under 20 Dickinson Drive (Bran Nu Dae) the Rubibi settlement 2 & 4 Haas Street, 30, 34, 36 & 45 Carnarvon Street 15 Chapple Street (Morgan’s Camp) Lot 462 Broome Road (Skuthorpe) Lot 300 Reid Road TABLE 7 – NYAMBA BURU YAWURU P ROPERTY PORTFOLIO 2.4. Shire of Broome Ron Johnston, Shire of Broome President, delivered a brief address supporting the sentiments of the previous presentations and highlighting the main development focus of the Shire of Broome. The Shire of Broome is focused on facilitating the following three key urban renewal and development projects in the town of Broome: Town Beach Redevelopment, which will involve a redevelopment and reactivation of the entire Town Beach Area China Town Redevelopment, which currently has $12 million allocated, including $2.0 million from the Shire of Broome. Safe Boat Harbour, which is planned to be located between Redell and Entrance Point and designed so that it can service cruise-liners with platform technology, accommodate fishing, Customs and Border Protection and RAN patrol vessels, and eventually be expanded to a locked marina. 2.5. Workshop Deliberations Russell Barnett facilitated a workshop discussion exploring opportunities and challenges facing the real-estate, property development and construction sectors in Broome and the Kimberley Region. 41
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