UNIVERSITY OF MARYLAND COLLEGE PARK - STUDENT HOUSING MARKET ANALYSIS June 2017
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UNIVERSITY OF MARYLAND COLLEGE PARK S T U D E N T H O U S I N G M A R K E T A N A LY S I S June 2017
P LAN N IN G P ROC ESS PROJECT OBJECTIVES Quantify unmet demand for undergraduate on-campus housing Identify off-campus market dynamics that will impact the UMD housing system Understand the demand for Fraternity and Sorority housing and recommend a program that satisfies their need In the context of the 2014 Housing Master Plan, provide recommendations that allow UMD to position its housing assets to satisfy housing demand and have the greatest impact on the advancement of the University
P L A N N I N G P RO C E S S S T U D E N T H O U S I N G M AR K E T AN ALY S I S Strategic Asset Valuation Financial Analysis Demand Analysis Demographic Analysis Student / Parent / House Corp. Survey (Over 3,100 respondents) Project Definition & Housing Strategy Existing Conditions Analysis Focus Groups (60+ Participants) Off-Campus Analysis
P LAN N IN G P ROC ESS STUDENT HOUSING PLANNING Get the Asset Right Acquire Capital Advantageously Operate to Maximize Institutional Interest
P L A N N I N G P RO C E S S S T R AT E G I C A S S E T VA L U E A N A LY S I S C R I T E R I A Inclusion Curriculum Enhancement • Housing for all first and second-year • Direct integration of living-learning students, and transfer students programs • Housing for all fraternity and sororities • Enhanced & increased living-learning who desire to have a chapter house programs • Housing continuum discipline Market Responsive Financially Prudent • Unit mix • Occupancy Coverage Ratio (OCR) • Competitive amenities increases with age • Differential pricing • Debt Coverage Ratio (DCR) 1.0:1 to 1.2:1 • Housing market supplement • Public-private partnerships (P3’s) should be considered where appropriate
U N D E R P I N N I N G S & I M P L I C AT I O N S THE UMD RESIDENT LIFE STORY Undergraduate Academic profile of Campus Housing is an Enrollment has grown students has integral component of the 13% since 2007 increased UMD Experience for 1st and 2nd year students Students’ housing Housing has been decision is driven by Significant demand for additional 100%+ occupied proximity to classes, with an average cost, and a quiet housing waiting list of 538 environment. since 2012 Off-campus market UMD needs to does not fully meet develop housing students needs Unmet Demand that aligns with for 1,400 beds market demand in a multiphase program Active off-campus market targeting UMD students with an additional 500+ 2014 Housing units under Master Plan Demo. construction + Reno. decreases bed count by 1,894
U N D E R P I N N I N G S & I M P L I C AT I O N S D E M O G R A P H I C A N A LY S I S 28,462 Total undergraduate enrollment for fall 2016 4.20 Avg. incoming first year student high school GPA (Increase of 5%) 94% Five year average freshman retention rate (Increase of 3%) 85% Average six year Increase in graduation rate 13% undergraduates since 2007 12% Increase in transfers since 2007 (increase of 5%) Demographic data provided by University of Maryland
U N D E R P I N N I N G S & I M P L I C AT I O N S I M P O R TA N C E O F R E S I D E N T L I F E & S AT I S F A C T I O N 67% Housing was an important factor in decision to attend UMD 74% Of Respondents indicated on-campus housing was at least satisfactory when compared to other institutions On-campus satisfaction is impacted by the aging facilities while off-campus satisfaction is impacted by the lack of community and residential experience.
U N D E R P I N N I N G S & I M P L I C AT I O N S I M P O R TA N C E O F R E S I D E N T L I F E & S AT I S F A C T I O N Living on campus… 88% 60+ Helped me adjust to life at UMD 81% Introduced me to new friends Number of Engaged Students who Believed 76% Provided me a sense of community Housing was Enough of a Priority to Attend a Focus 76% Made it easier to be involved in campus life Group Session 75% Provided me with a safe, secure “I wish housing was environment available all four years” 71% Provided me with convenient living options near classrooms -Student Survey Enhanced my overall Comment 70% experience “I would have loved to live 66% Made me feel like a Terp on campus this year, but I was waitlisted for housing and not offered housing 64% Provided me with opportunities to get involved until after I signed my lease.” 60% Had a positive influence on my academic performance -Student Survey Comment
U N D E R P I N N I N G S & I M P L I C AT I O N S I M P O R TA N C E O F R E S I D E N T L I F E & S AT I S F A C T I O N Satisfaction Living Learning Programs are key to the UMD residential experience
U N D E R P I N N I N G S & I M P L I C AT I O N S HOUSING SATISFACTION Cambridge 87% 74% Of on-campus Leonardtown South Hill 82% 81% residents are satisfied with Denton 79% their living conditions Ellicot 77% North Hill 62% Satisfaction Level of Students Living on Campus by Community 77% Proximity to UMD Campus 64% Size of Unit Satisfaction Proximity to UMD Level of Factors 70% Amenities 61% Size of Bedroom for Students Total Cost of Living on Campus 67% Physical Condition 39% Rent + Utilities 67% Access to Fitness Facilities programmanagers.com
UND ER P IN N IN GS & IM P LICATIONS F R AT E R N I T Y & S O R O R I T Y L I F E Living in a Chapter House Provided… 93% Sense of Community 85% Safe and Secure Environment 83% Enhanced Overall Experience at UMD 80% Introduced Me to New Friends 74% Provided Opportunities for Leadership Development 69% Cost Effective Living Option programmanagers.com
U N D E R P I N N I N G S & I M P L I C AT I O N S EXISTING HOUSING PORTFOLIO 7 Residential Communities 9,475 Denton Community Ellicott Cambridge UMD Owned Beds Community Community 2,899 P3 Beds 1,272 F&SL Beds North Hill Community South Hill Fraternity Community Row Dining/Community Facilities Traditional Semi-Suite Full-Suite South Suite / Apartment Campus Apartment Commons Graham Fraternity & Sorority Crackers programmanagers.com
U N D E R P I N N I N G S & I M P L I C AT I O N S EXISTING HOUSING PORTFOLIO Gross Square Feet Residential: 3.5M Non-Residential: 10.8M Average Building Age Residential: 57 Non-Residential: 41 Average Building Renovation Residential: 24 Non-Residential: 26 New Construction Value* Residential: $170M Non-Residential: $198M * New Construction value is replacement cost
U N D E R P I N N I N G S & I M P L I C AT I O N S EXISTING HOUSING PORTFOLIO Campus housing is an integral component of the UMD student experience. Students’ awareness of functional obsolescence of UMD housing facilities presents a potential occupancy risk for the future. The dynamic off-campus market is influencing students’ housing preferences and expectations. “ Many halls need to be remodeled, they are so old, and bathrooms are ugly and disgusting… Also air conditioning during the summer “ Current dorms, while livable, are below par. The price is high “ My experience overall with housing on campus is that it was fairly poor (low quality, broken elevators, old for living in conditions that are would be a nice addition… This cramped, and old. buildings - bad AC) and dorm has potential of being really Renovation/new buildings would expensive. When something nice because it's in a nice location greatly improve this problem. is more expensive you on south campus, but since it's so old it's hardly pleasant. ” ” expect a certain level of quality. ”
U N D E R P I N N I N G S & I M P L I C AT I O N S FUTURE HOUSING Reasons for Moving Off Campus
U N D E R P I N N I N G S & I M P L I C AT I O N S O F F - C AM P U S M AR K E T AN ALY S I S Surveyed 8 purpose- built properties 2-mile radius from campus Average rent is $823 - $961 / month / student Nearly all require 12-month lease Amenity-rich market Low vacancy rates 1,075 units in the pipeline – not purpose- built student housing 7,125 Beds Available Within 1.6 Miles of Campus
U N D E R P I N N I N G S & I M P L I C AT I O N S O F F - C AM P U S M AR K E T AN ALY S I S The The Mazza Varsity University University Domain Landmark Terrapin Row Enclave at Grandmarc College Club View 8700 Park Unit Amenities Dishwasher Furnished Garbage Disposal Granite Countertops Cable Internet In-unit W/D Microwave Building Amenities Compuer Lab Concierge Courtyard Fitness Center Game Room Parking Restaurants / Retail Shuttle Service Study Room Utilities Included 78% 83% 72% 94% 83% 94% 83% 83%
U N D E R P I N N I N G S & I M P L I C AT I O N S SURVEY ANALYSIS 64% Live in apartments or condominiums 74% Live with other students 3.6 Average number of bedrooms in 25% Live in single- family houses or duplexes unit 74% $789 $518 Are satisfied Average per Average per person, with their person, per per month rental rate current living month rental in single-family conditions rate in house apartment programmanagers.com
U N D E R P I N N I N G S & I M P L I C AT I O N S SURVEY ANALYSIS Off-Campus Housing Costs for Students Off-Campus Students Average Personal $789 Monthly Rent $429 Average per person + $65 Average Personal Monthly Utilities share of security deposits by respondents $854 Average Personal Monthly Cost of Housing St ud io 1BR 2BR 3BR 4 BR $ 80 0 $ 84 2 $ 733 $ 717 $ 730 Average Rent Students Pay by Unit Type The average monthly rent per person reported by respondents was slightly less than the off-campus market analysis. programmanagers.com
U N D E R P I N N I N G S & I M P L I C AT I O N S SURVEY ANALYSIS Off-Campus Students Lease Terms Electric 67% Water 47% Internet 42% Cable 28% 83% Gas / oil 28% Students Reported 12 Not applicable 21% Month Leases Off Campus Parking 21% Trash & recycling 8% Sewer 7% Utilities Students Pay For in Addition to Lease Respondents that reported having a lease indicated that it rarely followed the academic year or semester and typically did not include many utilities other than trash pick-up and programmanagers.com sewer.
U N D E R P I N N I N G S & I M P L I C AT I O N S MARKET DYNAMICS 1.5M Sq. Ft. of Commercial and Residential Development in Construction and Pipeline $2B Public and Private Investment Dollars 1.2K Number of New Student- Focused Beds Online in Last Two Years = Projects in the Pipeline 10+ Food Destinations Source: Greater College Park
U N D E R P I N N I N G S A N D I M P L I C AT I O N S O P E R AT I N G PA R A D I G M S Commercial Real Estate Higher Education Focused on trends and fashion Grounded on permanent ideals Entire student population must be Niche market segments targeted accounted for Focused on non-financial and Short-term capital repositioning indirect financial benefits Market cycle perspective Institutional life-cycle perspective Asset specific underwriting Institutional / Portfolio underwriting Landmark Domain College Park Emory University Tulane University
U N D E R P I N N I N G S A N D I M P L I C AT I O N S O P E R AT I N G PA R A D I G M S Commercial Real Estate Higher Education Focused on trends and fashion Recruitment / Retention Niche market segments targeted Developmental outcomes Short-term capital repositioning Well-being outcomes Market cycle perspective Relationship Outcomes Asset specific underwriting Highest + best use based on Market Segment Solutions residual land value
U N D E R P I N N I N G S & I M P L I C AT I O N S HOUSING DEMAND On-Campus Residents: Assumptions – All students in residence – Based on Fall 2016 halls full-time undergraduate – All students in P3 properties enrollment (26,350) – Flat enrollment scenario Off-Campus Residents: – “Occupancy Coverage – Enrolled full-time Ratio” to mitigate risk – Age 18-24 (undergrad) – Renting off campus (not with family, partner, or dependent) Those not meeting this – Paying more than $800 per criteria are excluded from month in rent the demand analysis
U N D E R P I N N I N G S & I M P L I C AT I O N S HOUSING DEMAND Traditional Pods (S) $3,575-$3,825 / (S) $4,175-$4,425 / Semester Semester (D) $4,175-$4,425 / (D) $3,575-$3,825 / Semester Semester
U N D E R P I N N I N G S & I M P L I C AT I O N S HOUSING DEMAND Studio APT Semi-Suite Full Suite (S) $5,675-$5,925 / (S) $6,175-$6,425 / (S) $7,175-$7,425 Semester Semester / Semester (D) $5,425-$5,675 / (D) $5,565-$5,925 / Semester 1BR / 1BA APT 2BR /Semester 1BA APT 4BR / 2BA APT (S) $6,925-$7,145 / (S) $6,425- (S) $7,675-$7,925 / Semester Semester $6,675 / Semester
U N D E R P I N N I N G S & I M P L I C AT I O N S HOUSING DEMAND Recommended Additional Beds Freshman & Sophomore 259 Junior & Senior 1,183 Fraternity & Sorority Life 206 Total Demand: 1,648 The UMD Resident Life experience cannot be replicated off campus.
U N D E R P I N N I N G S & I M P L I C AT I O N S P L A N N E D B E D L O S S B Y C L A S S I F I C AT I O N 1,260 Denton Community Ellicott Community Cambridge Freshman + Sophomore Community Bed Loss 634 Junior + Senior Bed Loss North Hill Community -577 Beds South Hill 1,894 Community Total Bed Loss programmanagers.com
U N D E R P I N N I N G S & I M P L I C AT I O N S HOUSING DEMAND & REPLACEMENT NEED Demand Replacement Beds Total (Demolition, Renovation, De-densification) Freshman & Sophomore 259 1,260 1,519 Junior & Senior 1,183 634 1,817 Fraternity & Sorority Life 206 206 Total Need: 3,542 The UMD Resident Life experience cannot be replicated off campus. programmanagers.com
U N D E R P I N N I N G S & I M P L I C AT I O N S SURVEY ANALYSIS Physical Features UMD Should Consider When Updating Housing 54% Convenient Location 49% In Room Wireless Internet Access 33% In Unit Full Kitchen 32% Full Sized Beds 26% Laundry Facilities in the Building 26% Individual Temperature Controls in Living Units programmanagers.com
U N D E R P I N N I N G S & I M P L I C AT I O N S SURVEY ANALYSIS Factors to Consider for Improvement 94% Keep Housing Costs Affordable 85% Improve the Physical Condition of Existing Campus Housing 82% Improve Amenities in Existing Campus Housing 79% Modern and Attractive Living Environments 72% Change Existing Housing Policies programmanagers.com
RECOMMENDATIONS
R E C O M M E N DAT I O N S S U M M A R Y O F R E C O M M E N D AT I O N S Update and refine the phasing of systematic renovation of existing residence halls Align unit types with market demand Develop up to 2,600 beds of new housing – 1,350 beds on the Varsity Practice Field Site – Up to 1,050 beds of suite or apartment units – 200 beds of Fraternity and Sorority housing Undertake a Strategic Plan for Fraternity and Sorority Housing – Determine the future scope and scale of F&S Housing with a sustainable funding model
R ECOM M ENDATION S NORTH CAMPUS Location – Varsity Practice Field Program – Maximize density – 1,350 beds appears feasible – Semi-suite or pod-style units Target Market – 1st and 2nd Year students Opportunities – Student-athlete recruitment – Adjacency to Athletics – Students interested in convenience, flexibility, and high quality options
R ECOM M ENDATION S NORTH CAMPUS Building 1 – Pod Style Housing – Building Footprint: 15,300 GSF – Assumed 330 SF/Bed – Approx. 278 Beds at 6 Stories – Expansion (1a) • Footprint: 8,250 GSF • Approx. 150 additional beds at 6 Stories 3 Building 2 – Pod Style Housing – Building Footprint: 16,800 GSF 1a – Assumed 330 SF/Bed Dining 2a – Approx. 305 Beds @ 6 Stories Facility – Expansion (2a) 1 • Footprint: 9,000 GSF 2 • Approx. 160 additional beds at 6 Stories Building 3 – Pod Style Housing – Building Footprint: 24,800 GSF – Assumed 330 SF/Bed – Approx. 450 Beds @ 6 Stories Site images are artistic illustrations and are not drawn to scale.
CAP ITAL P ROJEC T TIM ELINE 2 0 1 4 H O U S I N G S T R AT E G I C P L A N Hagerstown Caroline Cumberland Bel Air -127 Beds Carroll New North La Plata Easton -121 Beds Hill 450 Beds Lot 1 Phase 1 Wicomico Worcester South Hill Cambridge Chestertown 800 Beds (P3) -163 Beds -166 Beds Community Center 12,484 13,686 14,082 14,632 14,389 13,873 beds beds beds beds beds beds 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 12,487 13,248 13,214 14,324 14,600 14,287 beds beds beds beds beds beds Practice Field Dorchester Ellicott Denton Elkton Centerville 880 Beds Lot 1 Phase 2 New Ellicott Triple/Quad New Cecil 700 Beds (P3) 350 Beds Conversions Leonardtown -400 Beds Old Leonardtown -234 Beds *Includes 2,899 P3 beds, Does not include F&SL beds New Construction Vacate / Demolish HVAC / Maintenance / Reno Maintenance / Reno
CAP ITAL P ROJEC T TIM ELINE 2 0 1 4 H O U S I N G S T R AT E G I C P L A N – B E D C O U N T *Includes 2,899 P3 beds, Does not include F&SL beds
CAP ITAL P ROJEC T TIM ELINE 2 0 1 7 H O U S I N G S T R AT E G I C P L A N U P D AT E Leonardtown Replacement Ph I 550 Beds Leonardtown -634 Beds Ellicott Practice Field- Ph I Triple/Quad 893 Beds Conversions Worcester Chestertown Easton -166 Beds Wicomico Bel Air Centerville Elkton -163 Beds 12,087 12,112 12,092 12,397 12,811 beds beds beds beds beds 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 12,073 12,061 12,106 12,376 12,325 beds beds beds beds beds Dorchester Cumberland Hagerstown La Plata Denton Caroline Leonardtown Cecil Replacement Ph II -127 Beds 500 Beds Carroll -121 Beds Practice Field- Ph II 450 Beds *Includes 2,899 P3 beds, Does not include F&SL beds New Construction Vacate / Demolish HVAC / Maintenance / Reno Maintenance / Reno
CAP ITAL P ROJEC T TIM ELINE 2 0 1 7 H O U S I N G S T R AT E G I C P L A N U P D AT E *Includes 2,899 P3 beds, Does not include F&SL beds
NEXT STEPS
NEXT STEPS STUDENT HOUSING PLANNING Incorporate Feedback Final Documentation Institutional Commitment – Ongoing Systematic Renovations – Practice Field Development • Detailed Program • Rental Rate Analysis – F&SL Strategic Plan programmanagers.com
UNIVERSITY OF MARYLAND COLLEGE PARK S T U D E N T H O U S I N G M A R K E T A N A LY S I S June 2017 programmanagers.com
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