Transaction Trends Danish M&A Update - Q1 2021 - EY

Page created by Russell Tate
 
CONTINUE READING
Transaction Trends Danish M&A Update - Q1 2021 - EY
Transaction Trends

Danish M&A Update – Q1 2021
Very high deal activity in Denmark in Q1 2021
After a remarkable year following the COVID-19 outbreak, the                                Last twelve months number of transactions by industry in Denmark                                                 Last three years EV/EBITDA by industry in Denmark (median)
                                                                                            Source: Mergermarket                                                                                             Source: Mergermarket
market is at a very high level of deal activity. The number of
announced deals has increased significantly by c. 72% compared
                                                                                                 Automotive &                                                                                                         Automotive &
to Q1 2020. Increase in number of deals is mainly driven by                                                                            28                                                                                                                                         9.6x
                                                                                                Transportation                                                                                                       Transportation
significant increase in the TMT sector, where deal activity has                               Business & Prof.                                                                                                     Business & Prof.
                                                                                                                                         31                                                                                                                                    9.0x
increased by c. 79%.                                                                                 Services                                                                                                             Services
                                                                                                       Consumer                                                                                                            Consumer
During the first quarter of 2021, 119           The overall number of deals in the Danish                                              29                                                                                                                                                11.3x
                                                                                                        Products                                                                                                            Products
transactions involving Danish companies         market   in   LTM    Q1    2021   was 371        Engineering &                                                                                                        Engineering &
                                                                                                                                                     53                                                                                                                                       12.7x
have been announced. This is four deals         compared to 290 in LTM Q1 2020. Q1                Ind. Products                                                                                                        Ind. Products
more than the previous quarter and 50           2021 hence confirmed the trend of high                 Financial                                                                                                             Financial
                                                                                                                                  20                                                                                                                                6.2x
                                                                                                        Services                                                                                                              Services
deals more than last year’s first quarter       deal activity post the COVID-19 slowdown
                                                                                                    Life Sciences                           35                                                                         Life Sciences       n.a.
signalling that the high activity level in Q4   in the 1st half of 2020.
2020 continues and is not only a timing
                                                Deal activity in 2021 is expected to          Power & Utilities                        29                                                                          Power & Utilities                         4.4x
effect from the Covid-19 slowdown in Q2
                                                remain at a high level, especially given
2020.                                                                                                Real Estate                    23                                                                                    Real Estate                                                        12.3x
                                                the expected vaccination progressions
While the domestic and inbound deals            throughout Europe and associated easing                       TMT                                                                        113                                       TMT                                                               14.3x
both increased significantly since Q4           of COVID-19 restrictions by governments.
                                                                                             Travel, Leisure &                                                                                                    Travel, Leisure &
2020, respectively by 14% and 19%, there                                                                                    10                                                                                                                                                        10.7x
                                                According to Kevin Brunner, who co-leads
                                                                                                      Tourism                                                                                                              Tourism
is a decline in outbound deals of c. 25%.
                                                Americas M&A at Bank of America, deal                                                                                                                        Note: EV/EBITDA by industry are only considering deals where target is based in Denmark.
                                                                                             Number of transactions by transaction type                                                                      EV/EBITDA multiple is not available for Life Science due to low sample size.
In terms of transactions by industry, TMT       making has become more efficient due to      Source: Mergermarket
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        LTM
had the highest deal activity with 43           video conferencing. “You can do three or                                                                                                                                                                                      115              119
                                                                                            120                                             112                                                                                                                                                            400
deals compared to 30 deals last quarter.        four meetings in a day without having to    100            91
                                                                                                                           83                               89                                                                                                                 36               41
                                                                                                                                            48                                                                                                                 79                                           300
Life Sciences was the industry with             travel,” he said “and more importantly it     80                                                                             73              74              74               69
                                                                                                           38              25                               29
second most deal activity with 12 deals in      has allowed key decision makers to attend                                                                                                                                                     58               30
                                                                                              60                                                                             29              28              25               21                                               43                           200
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                51
Q1 2021, which is double up on the              and participate.”                             40           26              34               36              39                                                                                27
                                                                                                                                                                             24              25              30               29                               32                                           100
activity compared to 6 deals in Q4 2020.                                                      20                                                                                                                                              13
                                                                                                           27              24               28                                                                                                                                 36               27
                                                                                                                                                            21               20              21              19               19              18               17
                                                                                                0                                                                                                                                                                                                           0
  Transaction Trends, published by EY Strategy and Transactions, is a                                    2Q18            3Q18             4Q18            1Q19             2Q19            3Q19            4Q19             1Q20            2Q20             3Q20            4Q20             1Q21
  quarterly publication that aims to identify trends in the Danish                                                                                                                  310                                                               321
  transactions market. Data presented in this newsletter covers all
                                                                                                                                                                        Domestic            Inbound            Outbound             LTM
  transactions announced and registered in Mergermarket where Danish
                                                                                            Note: Domestic deals refer to deals where both, target and buyer are based in Denmark. Inbound and outbound deals, on the oth er hand, refer to deals where a Danish target was acquired or Danish buyers acquired a
  companies have participated as either target, buyer or vendor.                            foreign target respectively.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Transaction Trends 2nd edition 2021 | 2
Q1 2021 saw two TMT deals in Top 5
Target region – Danish Buyers                                                           Top announced transactions last quarter (by deal value, USDm)
Source: Mergermarket                                                                    Source: Mergermarket, CVR Virk, Capital IQ

                 Q1 2021                                           LTM                                                                                                                                                                                             Target
                                                                                        Ann. Date                  Target                        Vendor                              Buyer                      Deal dom. Industry                Deal value*
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Turnover
                 3%                                              1%
                                                           8%     2%
                   2%                                                                   8 Jan          Stark Group A/S               Lone Star Funds                    CVC Capital Partners Limited    Real Estate, Hospitality & Construction   USD 3,060m    USD 4,822m
          11%
                                                                                                                                     EQT Partners AB; IDInvest
                                                                                                                                     Partners; Balderton Capital (UK)
                                                 19%                                    28 Jan         Peakon ApS                                                       Workday, Inc.                   TMT                                       USD 700m      Not disclosed
                                                                                                                                     LLP; Sunstone Life Science
   13%                                                                                                                               Ventures A/S; Atomico

                                                                                 56%    23 Mar         LEO Pharma A/S                The LEO Foundation                 Nordic Capital                  Life Sciences                             USD 535m      USD 1,663m
                                    58%
                                                                                                       Vestjysk Bank A/S (67.6%      Nykredit Realkredit A/S; AP
                                                                                        24 Mar                                                                          Arbejdernes Landsbank A/S       Financial Services                        USD 458m      Not disclosed
      13%                                                                                              Stake)                        Pension Livsforsikrings A/S
                                                     15%
                                                                                                                                     Accel; Trifork A/S; Dell
                                                                                        18 Feb         Humio Ltd.                    Technologies Capital; West Hill    CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc.      TMT                                       USD 400m      Not disclosed
                                                                                                                                     Capital LLP

          Denmark                         Europe (excl. Nordics)         Asia-Pacific   *Mergermarket definition

          Nordics (excl. Denmark)         Americas                       Other
                                                                                         On 8 January 2021, CVC Capital Partners has agreed to acquire Stark Group,                      treatments of thromboembolisms, from The LEO Foundation. The LEO
Buyer region – Danish Targets                                                            a Denmark-based leading distributor of heavy building materials in Northern                     Foundation will remain as the majority owner.
Source: Mergermarket                                                                     Europe, from Lone Star Funds. With the acquisition, CVC Capital Partners will
                                                                                                                                                                                         On 24 March 2021, Arbejdernes Landsbank A/S has agreed to acquire a
                 Q1 2021                                           LTM                   contribute with industry expertise and strategic insights to develop and
                                                                                                                                                                                         67.6% stake in Vestjysk Bank A/S from Nykredit Realkredit A/S and AP
                                                                                         expand Stark Group.
                   3%                                         3%                                                                                                                         Pension Livsforsikrings A/S. The acquisition will enable Arbejdernes
                    0%                                     7%  1%
          15%                                                                            On 28 January 2021, a consortium of investors in Peakon ApS, a Denmark-                         Landsbank to expand its geographical presence and strengthen its financial
                                                                                         based worker survey software firm, have agreed to sell their stakes to                          position.

                                    41%                                                  Workday, a California-based provider of enterprise cloud applications for
                                                 23%                                                                                                                                     On February 18 2021, CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc. has agreed to acquire
                                                                                  46%    finance and human resources. The acquisition of Peakon allows Workday to
                                                                                                                                                                                         Humio Ltd., a UK-based company engaged in providing real-time log analysis
                                                                                         provide organisations with a continuous listening platform, including real-time
                                                                                                                                                                                         platform for on-premises and cloud infrastructures, from group shareholders.
    24%                                                                                  visibility into employee experience, sentiment and productivity.
                                                                                                                                                                                         The acquisition enables CrowdStrike to expand its existing capabilities.
                                                                                         On 23 March 2021, Nordic Capital agreed to acquire a minority stake in LEO
                                                           21%                           Pharma A/S,          a Denmark-based pharmaceutical               company focused on
                       16%
                                                                                         developing, manufacturing and marketing dermatology and parenteral
          Denmark                         Europe (excl. Nordics)         Asia-Pacific
          Nordics (excl. Denmark)         Americas                       Other
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   Transaction Trends 2nd edition 2021 | 3
Increasing trend in the share of public deals
Transaction type by number of transactions                                                                                                               Transaction arena by number of transactions
Source: Mergermarket                                                                                                                                     Source: Mergermarket
                                   Domestic                                             Inbound                                    Outbound                                                          Public                                                                      Private

    Q1 2021                           34%                                                  43%                                         23%                Q1 2021                                     45%                                                                         55%

          LTM                           36%                                              37%                                        26%                         LTM                                42%                                                                           58%

 2016 - YTD                            36%                                                39%                                        25%                2017 - YTD                           33%                                                                           67%

Note: Domestic deals refer to deals where both, target and buyer are based in Denmark. Inbound and outbound deals, on the oth er hand, refer to deals    Note: Public deals refer to deals where either target, bidder or seller are public, i.e. a listed company.
where a Danish target was acquired or Danish buyers acquired a foreign target respectively.

Activity by target industry
Source: Mergermarket

                                                                                                                                                                                    Number of transactions

                                        Target industry                                                                Last quarter                      LTM                                                 2020                                        Avg. 2016 - 2020                  LTM trend

 Automotive & Transportation                                                                                                  6                           28                                                  33                                                      21

 Business & Professional Services                                                                                            10                           31                                                  40                                                      36

 Consumer Products                                                                                                            8                           29                                                  33                                                      41

 Engineering & Industrial Products                                                                                           10                           53                                                  62                                                      63

 Financial Services                                                                                                           7                           20                                                  23                                                      17

 Life Sciences                                                                                                               12                           35                                                  41                                                      24

 Power & Utilities                                                                                                           11                           29                                                  30                                                      16

 Real Estate, Hospitality & Construction                                                                                      8                           23                                                  31                                                      22

 TMT                                                                                                                         43                          113                                                  137                                                     83

 Travel, Leisure & Tourism                                                                                                    4                           10                                                  10                                                      12

 Total                                                                                                                       119                         371                                                  440                                                 335

Note: Trend indicators refer to the comparison between the LTM vs. the avg. 2016 – 2020 number of transactions.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Transaction Trends 2nd edition 2021 | 4
Four new listings on First North in Q1 2021
New Listings at Nasdaq Copenhagen                                      Issues by Value, Nasdaq Copenhagen                                                   Foreign exchange rates (indexed)
Source: Nasdaq Nordics                                                 Source: Capital IQ, Mergermarket                                                     Source: Capital IQ

       Main market                                                                                                                                          1.2
                                                          3                                                 Private Placement      IPO
       First North
                                                                                                            SEO                    Spin-Off/Split-Off       1.1
                                            2                                                               Buyback                                                                                                            DKK/USD
                                                                                                                                                            1.0
                                                                                                                                                                                                                               DKK/SEK
                                                                       80                    76.4
                                                                                                                                         68.1               0.9                                                                DKK/GBP
                                                                                                                                                  60.8
                                                                       60                            56.4
                                                          11                                                                                                0.8
                                                                                                              48.5              47.1
                              3      3      9                                                                          38.1
                                                   2             0     40      36.1                                                                         0.7

 2                                                               4     20                                                                                   0.6
                              3      3             3
            2            2
 1
            0            0                                              0                                                                                   0.5
                                                                               2014          2015    2016     2017    2018      2019     2020     2021        2015          2016   2017    2018      2019      2020     2021
2013       2014      2015    2016   2017   2018   2019   2020   2021

OMX C20 Index                                                           Avg. multiples of listed Danish companies
Source: Capital IQ                                                      Source: Capital IQ
                                                                                                                                                            Nasdaq Copenhagen (“CSE”) saw four new listings on First North and no new

 1,600                                                                                                                                                      listings on the main market in the first quarter of 2021.
                                                                                                                                                    35.7x
 1,500
                                                                                                                                                   35.4x    The companies listed on First North in the first quarter of 2021 are Nexcom A/S
 1,400                                                                                                                                                      (27 January), BactiQuant A/S (5 February), Valuer A/S (22 February) and Risma
                                                                        P/E                                                                     33.6x
 1,300                                                                                                                                                      Systems A/S (23 March).
                                                                                                                                          30.8x
                                                                                                                                                            Nexcom, Valuer and Risma Systems are all software companies, whereas
 1,200
                                                                                                                                            32.3x
                                                                                                                                                            BactiQuant has developed a product for automated monitoring of the bacterial
 1,100
                                                                                                                                                  Q1 2021   content in water to support managing water in a greener and more sustainable
 1,000                                                                                   4.0x                                                     2020      way, as well as increasing the safety of drinking water production.
     900                                                                                 4.1x                                                     2019
                                                                       P/BV                  4.2x                                                 2018      The OMX C20 decreased slightly by 1.1% during the first quarter of 2021, but
     800
       Jan/20 Mar/20 May/20 Jul/20 Sep/20 Nov/20 Jan/21 Mar/21                                                                                    2017      showed a rather stable trend throughout the first quarter of 2021 with an
                                                                                             4.4x
                                                                                                                                                            absolute volatility of DKK 149 ranging between DKK 1,365 and DKK 1,513.
                                                                                             4.5x                                                           Compared to first quarter of 2020, the index has since increased by 37.1%.

                                                                                                                                                                                                       Transaction Trends 2nd edition 2021 | 5
Contact list – EY Strategy and Transactions
Strategy                                 Transaction Diligence                                                           Corporate Finance

             Nicolai Strate                       Søren P. Krejler                      Lars Lyster                                Peter Vejlgaard                        Martin Wiig Nielsen
             Nicolai.Strate@dk.ey.com             Søren.P.Krejler@dk.ey.com             Lars.Lyster@dk.ey.com                      Peter.Vejlgaard@dk.ey.com              Martin.Wiig.Nielsen@dk.ey.com
             +45 22 70 64 88                      +45 25 29 37 26                       +45 30 70 04 12                            +45 20 40 80 41                        +45 91 97 66 66

             Morten Hvidt                         Frank Etmann                          Marcus Jacobsson                           Jon Skjernov
             Morten.Hvidt@dk.ey.com               Frank.Etmann@dk.ey.com                Marcus.Jacobsson@dk.ey.com                 Jon.Skjernov@dk.ey.com
             +45 25 29 35 69                      +45 25 29 34 91                       +45 51 58 29 31                            +45 30 93 52 17

             Mads K. Steensen
                                         Operations and Tech                  Transaction Tax                            Valuation, Modelling & Real Estate
             Mads.k.steensen@dk.ey.com
             +45 25 29 31 27                      Anders L. Tuxen                       Carina Maria G. Korsgaard                  Michael Bruhn                          Jacob Erhardi
                                                  Anders.L.Tuxen@dk.ey.com              Carina.M.G.Korsgaard@dk.ey.com             Michael.Bruhn@dk.ey.com                Jacob.Erhardi@dk.ey.com
                                                  +45 25 29 44 62                       +45 25 29 37 64                            +45 25 29 31 35                        +45 25 29 39 05

  Complete and integrated services
   covering preparation to closing

                                                                                                                                   Torben Hartz                           Peter Frische
                                                                                                                                   Torben.Hartz@dk.ey.com                 Peter.Frische@dk.ey.com
                                                                                                                                   +45 25 29 34 85                        +45 28 19 66 77

  Global reach and local presence with
   16,000 transaction professionals

               Strategy                             Corporate                               Buy and                                   Sell and                              Reshaping
                                                     Finance                               Integrate                                  Separate                               Results
                                                                                                                                                               Transaction Trends 2nd edition 2021 | 6
About this publication                                                                                                                EY | Assurance | Tax | Strategy and Transactions | Consulting
Transaction Trends is a quarterly publication that aims to identify trends in the Danish transactions market. Transactions co vered
in this publication are public and private transactions announced by all Danish companies, defined as a transaction where either      About EY
the buyer, target or vendor company is a Denmark based company. Public transactions are defined as transactions where either          EY is a global leader in assurance, tax, transaction and advisory services. The
the buyer, target or vendor company is listed on a public stock exchange. All other transactions have been classified as private.     insights and quality services we deliver help build trust and confidence in the
Domestic transactions are defined as transactions conducted within a national boundary, i.e. deals involving two or more              capital markets and in economies the world over. We develop outstanding
incumbent nationals, while cross border transactions involve companies from at least two different nationalities. Deal Value is       leaders who team to deliver on our promises to all of our stakeholders. In so
taken as the sum of the consideration paid by the acquirer for the equity stake in the target plus the value of the net debt in the   doing, we play a critical role in building a better working world for our people,
target, where applicable. Inclusion of net debt in the deal value will depend on the stake acquired or the target company typ e.      for our clients and for our communities.

Transaction Statistics are based on Mergermarket and EY data. Public market data are sourced from S&P Capital IQ and Nasdaq.          EY refers to the global organization, and may refer to one or more, of the
                                                                                                                                      member firms of Ernst & Young Global Limited, each of which is a separate
Transaction Trends is published by EY Strategy and Transactions.                                                                      legal entity. Ernst & Young Global Limited, a UK company limited by
                                                                                                                                      guarantee, does not provide services to clients. For more information about
                                                                                                                                      our organization, please visit ey.com.

                                                                                                                                      © 2021 EY Godkendt Revisionspartnerselskab
                                                                                                                                      CVR no. 30700228
                                                                                                                                      All Rights Reserved.
                                                                                                                                      This material has been prepared for general informational purposes only and is not intended to be relied
                                                                                                                                      upon as accounting, tax, or other professional advice. Please refer to your advisors for specific advice.

                                                                                                                                      ey.com/dk
You can also read