Attracting Quality Shareholders Lawrence Cunningham
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“Companies obtain the shareholder constituency they seek and deserve. If they focus on short-term results or short-term stock market consequences, they will attract shareholders who focus on the same factors. And if they are cynical in their treatment of investors, eventually that cynicism is likely to be returned by the investment community.” --Warren Buffett 1979
“Through our policies and communications—our ‘advertisements’—we try to attract investors who understand our operations, attitudes and expectations. We want those who think of themselves as business owners and invest in companies with the intention of staying a long time. We want those who keep their eyes focused on business results, not market prices.” --Warren Buffett (1983)
Shareholder 70 Demographics Index Transient Quality 45 45 40 40 35 35 25 20 15 5 5 Low Median High Berkshire
“Together with our dividend policy (no dividends),* investor relations department (none) and lack of emphasis on short term (quarterly) earnings, we have instituted policies that cater to the long-term investor, i.e. investors who buy and hold our shares for the long-term.” --Prem Watsa 1995 * Dividend policy later changed.
Seeking The Right Owners: long-term, cool amid market disruptions, no false objectives Offering the Markel Menu: insurance underwriting discipline, capital allocation prudence, merchant investment model. Time: “We think in two distinct yet completely connected time horizons: forever and right now.” --Tom Gayner (2016)
“Proxy advisory firms believe executives should have the bulk of their compensation determined by stock price over very short periods (three years, typically). While we recognize that the proxy advisory industry serves an institutional investor community judged on short-term performance, the system is not structured to judge businesses where long-term risk/reward dynamics are paramount.” --Weston Hicks (2018)
“Almost half of our shares trade each year, which suggests that many of our shareholders are not long-term oriented. Another class of shareholders are indexers. They buy our stock because we are part of whatever index they are emulating. Their actions are formulaic. Another class of long-term Constellation shareholders invest time and effort to get to know our company. We are fortunate to have [many of these].” Mark Leonard (2017)
“[W]e include no narrative with our quarterly reports. Our owners and managers both have very long time- horizons in regard to this business, and it is difficult to say anything new or meaningful each quarter about events of long-term significance.” --Warren Buffett (1978)
“What starts as an ‘innocent’ fudge in order to not disappoint “the Street” can become the first step toward full-fledged fraud. Playing with the numbers “just this once” may well be the CEO’s intent; it’s seldom the end result. If it’s okay for the boss to cheat a little, it’s easy for subordinates to rationalize similar behavior.” --Warren Buffett (2018)
“The focus on quarterly growth accentuated by quarterly conference calls has made the stock market hypersensitive to short term results.” --Prem Watsa 2018
AGMs
Pro Virtual Virtual ● little happens anyway AGMs? ● enables indexers to attend more ● quality as good as conference calls
Pro Virtual Virtual ● little happens anyway AGMs? ● enables indexers to attend more ● quality as good as conference calls Con Virtual ● look around! ● problem with indexing note meetings ● so vaping is as healthy as smoking
Varied Voting Rights Tenured Voting Current: Aflac Carlisle Dual Class J.M. Smucker Quality Voting Berkshire Quaker Chemical Length & Depth Fairfax Synovus Financial Google Past: Facebook CenturyTel Church & Dwight Cincinnati Milacron Roper Shaw Group French (CAC-40 Opt-Out) Air Liquid LVMH
CORPORATE Benefits • Curb Activism • Check Proxy MARKET Adviser Power • Rational Pricing • Offset Short Term Pressure • Compensation • Acquisitions • Ownership PERSONAL • Brain Trust • Sandy Gottesman • Steve Scotchmer • Sir John Templeton
Meals Menus & Investors Five Star: Gourmets QUALITY Fast Food: Eaters on the Run TRANSIENTS Smorgasbords: Tasters INDEXERS
THANKS!
SUPPLEMENTAL SLIDES
Selected Quality Shareholders AKO Capital Budros Ruhin & Roe Findlay Park Jolley Asset Mgmt. Speece Thorson Akre Capital Burgundy Capital First Manhattan Kahn Brothers Sprucegrove Allen Holding Inc. Check Capital First Pacific Klingenstein Fields Stearns Financial Aristotle Capital Clarkston Flood Gable Lafayette Investments Timucuan Asset Mgmt. Arlington Value Consulta Ltd. Flossbach Von Storch Lee, Danner & Bass Tweedy Browne Cortland Advisers Fort Washington London Co. of Virginia Wallace Capital Atlanta Investment D.F. Dent Franklin Mutual Lourd Capital Water Street Capital Baillie Gifford & Co. Gardner Russo Baldwin Investment Dane Falb Stone M. A. Greenwood Wedgewood Partners Giverny Capital Barrow Hanley Davis Selected Advisers Mackenzie Financial Weitz Inv. Mgmt. Greenbrier Beck, Mack & Oliver Douglass Winthrop Mar Vista Whalerock Point Greylin Inv. Bislett Mgmt. E. S. Barr Markel Corporation Wintergreen Advisers Hartford Funds Boulder Inv. Advisers Eagle Capital Mraz, Amerine Robert Robotti Hartline Investment Southeastern Bridges Inv. Mgmt. EdgePoint Capital Neuberger Berman Everett Harris & Co. Henry H. Armstrong T. Rowe Price Broad Run Punch Card Capital Fairholme Capital Hikari Tsushin Inc. Ruane Cunniff Timucuan Brown Brothers W. H. Reaves Fenimore Hotchkiss & Wiley Sleep, Zakaria Harriman Westport Jackson National Asset Smead Capital
Selected Attractors of Quality Abbott Labs Constellation Software Morningstar Accenture Credit Acceptance Nestlé Activision Blizzard Danaher O’Reilly Automotive Alleghany Corp. Fairfax Financial Post Holdings Alphabet (Google) Graham Holdings Progressive Corporation Amazon IAC SEACOR Amazon Illinois Tool Works Sherwin Williams AutoNation Jefferies (Leucadia) Texas Instruments Berkshire Hathaway Johnson & Johnson Transdigm Brookfield Liberty Media Unilever Carmax Loews Corporation Verisign Cimpress Markel Corporation
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