INVESTOR PRESENTATION - THIRD QUARTER 2019 - Kimco Realty ...
←
→
Page content transcription
If your browser does not render page correctly, please read the page content below
INVESTOR PRESENTATION THIRD QUARTER 2019
SAFE HARBOR
The statements in this presentation, including targets and assumptions, state
the Company’s and management’s hopes, intentions, beliefs, expectations or
projections of the future and are forward-looking statements. It is important to
note that the Company’s actual results could differ materially from those
projected in such forward-looking statements. Factors that could cause actual
results to differ materially from current expectations include the key
assumptions contained within this presentation, general economic conditions,
local real estate conditions, increases in interest rates, foreign currency
exchange rates, increases in operating costs and real estate taxes. Additional
information concerning factors that could cause actual results to differ
materially from those forward-looking statements is contained from time to
time in the Company’s SEC filings, including but not limited to the Company’s
Annual Report on Form 10-K. Copies of each filing may be obtained from
http://investors.kimcorealty.com/ or the SEC.
Cover: Lincoln Square, Philadelphia, PA Suburban Square, Ardmore, PA
KIMCO’S 2020 VISION
High-quality assets, tightly clustered in major metro markets
PORTFOLIO QUALITY that provide multiple growth levers
Increase net asset value (NAV) through redevelopment, select
NAV CREATION ground-up development and active investment management
FINANCIAL STRENGTH Maintain a strong balance sheet and financial flexibility
3
REITS AND KIMCO TODAY
Suburban Square, Ardmore, PA
REITS AND KIMCO TODAY
Kimco is Positioned for Success as Retail Transforms
Consumer Preference Profile: Kimco Asset Profile:
Instant need for everyday goods ✓ 77% of ABR comes from grocery anchored centers
In-person services ✓ 64% of ABR from small shops is from service-based tenants
Experiences in a social environment ✓ 58% of ABR comes from Service & Experiential Tenants
Technology to ease pain points of shopping ✓ 38% of ABR comes from Omni-Channel Players
Convenient location ✓ 81% of ABR comes from top Major Metro Markets
ABR is defined as Annual Base Rent 5
REITS AND KIMCO TODAY
Net Store Openings Weighing in Favor of Shopping Center Tenants
Over 6,000 Net New
Store Openings in 2019*
” *Creditntell; June 2019 6
REITS AND KIMCO TODAY
Brick and Mortar Remains a Critical Component of Retail Strategy
FY2019:
+975 store openings +58 Marmaxx
+1,000 store remodels +65 new locations +700 stores by the end of 2022
+98 new stores in 2019 +94 HomeGoods
+100 store relocations +16 relocations
in 2019 FY2020:
planned for FY2019 +60 Marmaxx
+80 HomeGoods
+260 new locations in 2018 +145 to 150 new stores in 2019 +250 to 260 stores in 2019 +80 stores in 2019
+75 new stores in 2019
+Same pace in 2019 (unit growth of 19 to 20%) (a record for our brand) +75 stores in 2020
+70 stores in 2021
Dollar General Press Release 3/14/19 TJX 2018 Annual Report - page 6 Five Below Earnings Call 3/17/19
National Vision Holdings Press Release 8/6/19
Hobby Lobby Press Release 2/6/19
Ross Dress for Less Press Release 10/14/19
Aldi Press Release 9/18/18
Orangetheory Fitness Chain Store Age article 10/9/18. Planet Fitness Press Release 8/6/19 7
Ulta Press Release 5/31/19
REITS AND KIMCO TODAY
Retailers Use Stores as Hubs
Delivery from Store Drive Up Free expedited shipping Order Pickup Same Day Delivery
Michaels
partnered with
UPS to offer 40% cost reduction from store fulfillment;
customers 90% for same-day offerings2
package Pick up &
Stores fulfilled more than 80% of
Drop off at 1,100+
Target’s Q1 digital sales3
stores1
~50% of online orders are picked up in store4
1. Michaels press release 10/7/19 3. Target 1Q19 Earnings Press Release; May 2019
2. Target 1Q19 Earnings Call Transcript; May 2019 4. Home Depot 2Q19 Earnings Call transcript; August 2019 8
REITS AND KIMCO TODAY
Kimco Tenants Successfully Implement Omni-channel Retailing / BOPIS
Grocery orders can be picked Nearly 90% of all
up at about 2,700 stores BOPIS orders are filled
and delivery covers ~75% of and ready for pickup
the U.S. population1 within 30 minutes4
Restaurants experienced digital Online
sales growth of 88% year over 40% of online orders
year through delivery, order are picked up in store5
ahead and catering2 In-store
24% of BOPIS customers make Mobile payments for in
an additional purchase in store pick up have
store, effectively doubling their grown to 42% of total
original order3 tender in the U.S.6
1. Walmart fiscal 2Q FY20 Quarterly Results: Management Commentary; August 2019 4. Dick’s Sporting Goods 2Q FY20 Earnings Call transcript; August 2019
2. Chipotle 3Q19 Earnings Call transcript (SeekingAlpha.com); October 2019 5. Best Buy 1Q FY20 Earnings Call; May 2019
3. Duluth Trading 1Q19 Earning Call; June 2019 6. Starbucks.com Supplemental Data: Mobile Dashboard; October 2019 9
PORTFOLIO QUALITY
Lincoln Square, Philadelphia, PAPORTFOLIO QUALITY
Over 80% of Annual Base Rent comes from our top Major Metro Markets*
Denver Chicago
Seattle
Portland Major Metro Markets
ABR Contribution
Boston
New York 79% Coastal and Sun Belt Markets
San Francisco Philadelphia
Sacramento
San Jose Baltimore 2% Other Major Metro Markets
Washington D.C.
Los Angeles Raleigh-Durham
Charlotte 81% Major Metro Markets
Orange County
San Diego Population growth of 6.3 million
projected within the next 5 years
Phoenix
Orlando
Miami
Fort Lauderdale
Austin Dallas Houston Atlanta Tampa
*Markets noted on the map are Kimco’s top major metropolitan markets by percentage of pro-rata ABR as of 9/30/2019 11PORTFOLIO QUALITY
Tenant Diversity
3.8%
Only 14 tenants with ABR exposure greater than 1.0%
• Scale: 7,700 leases with 3,500 tenants
• Stability: Fixed, contractual rents with bumps
• Security: Average lease term of 10 years for anchors and 5 years for small shops
• Safety: No peer has more investment grade tenants in their Top 25 Tenant List*
2.4%
2.2%
1.9%
1.8%
1.6% 1.5% 1.4%
1.2%
1.1%
Data as of 9/30/2019, Percentages noted reflect pro-rata annual base rent (ABR)
*Peers that report a Top 25 Tenant lists are: FRT, REG, WRI, UE, BRX, KRG, and SITC 12PORTFOLIO QUALITY
96% of Kimco’s Portfolio Composed of Retailers Thriving in the New Landscape
Service and Experiential Tenants Omni-Channel Players Remaining
58% 38% 4%
of ABR of ABR of ABR
14% Restaurants 10% Home Improvement/ Home Decor Only 4% of our ABR comes
14% Grocery/ Warehouse Clubs 6% Other (i.e. pet, party, accessories) from tenant-types that are
10% Off-Price 5% Sporting Goods/ Hobbies still finding their ‘sweet
9% Service 5% Pharmacy/ Personal Care spot’ in this environment
5% Other (i.e. wireless, dollar store) 4% Apparel
4% Health Clubs/ Fitness 4% Banking/ Finance
2% Medical 3% Mass Merchandiser Did You Know…
1% Electronics 64% of non-anchor ABR comes from Service based tenants
77% of ABR comes from Grocery Anchored Centers
Data as of 9/30/2019, Percentages reflect pro-rata annual base rent (ABR)
13PORTFOLIO QUALITY
Strength of our Grocers Equates to Strength in our Portfolio
Average Grocer Sales PSF at Percent of KIM ABR from
KIM Shopping Centers Grocery Anchored Centers
$700M
$677 $675 77.3%
76.7%
$645 73.8%
75%
72.2%
71.7%
$597
$600M 65.8%
$570
65%
$555
58.6%
$500M 55%
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 3Q19
PSF is defined as Per Square Foot 14PORTFOLIO QUALITY
Strong Portfolio Fundamentals
ALL TIME HIGH
96.4% ANCHOR OCCUPANCY
RENT PER SQUARE FOOT
ALL TIME HIGH
U.S. OCCUPANCY 98.7% $16.63
SIGNED RENTAL RATES FOR NEW
LEASES INCREASED OVER
1,318 RENTAL RATES FOR 10%
LEASES TOTALING OVER NEW LEASES UP FOR THE 23RD
8.1M SF *
27.2% CONSECUTIVE QUARTER
All figures are at Kimco’s share, for the third quarter
*During the trailing twelve months 15PORTFOLIO QUALITY
New Leases Reflect Changing Consumer Preference
Home
Improvement &
Furnishings,
11% Off-Price &
Health, Wellness Dollar Store,
& Beauty, 23% 11%
New Grocery &
Leases Warehouse
Clubs, 10%
Signed*
Restaurant, Other Services,
Specialty Foods 8%
& Entertainment,
Dedicated
24%
Merchandisers,
8%
Apparel/
Shoes,
5%
*During the trailing twelve months
Data as of 9/30/2019, Percentages reflect pro-rata annual base rent (ABR) 16PORTFOLIO QUALITY
Building Blocks of NOI Growth
Same Property NOI Growth
Organic Growth
Ground-Up
(Rent Bumps)
Development
Leasing and
Redevelopment
Mark to Market
Pipeline
Opportunities
17PORTFOLIO QUALITY
Unmatched Mark to Market Opportunities
Anchor Mark Anchor Mark
to Market to Market
Seattle-Portland Boston
15 89k +69% 16 188k +42%
sites population sites population
San Francisco, Sacramento,
New York
San Jose
21 173k +28% 63 188k +50%
sites population sites population
Los Angeles, Orange County, Philadelphia, Baltimore,
San Diego Washington D.C.
45 170k +57% 64 111k +94%
sites population sites population
Texas Atlanta Florida Raleigh-Durham, Charlotte
24 92k +36% 7 80k +47% 43 125k +55% 13 67k +30%
sites population sites population sites population sites population
Data as of 9/30/2019
Population is a weighted average (based on pro-rata annual base rent (ABR)) of estimated populations within a 3-mile radius of Kimco sites 18PORTFOLIO QUALITY
Growth through Leasing & Value Creation
$17
Anchor Lease Spreads/Mark To Market
$15.74
$15.10 ▪ Mark to Market Spread on Anchor Leases: ~60%
$15 $14.12
▪ Total Average RPSF up 32% since 2013
+31.1%
▪ 23 Consecutive quarters of new leasing spreads
$ABR/SF
+33.6%
$13
exceeding 10%
+39.3%
$12.00
▪ 36% of Anchor Leases are “Legacy Leases” (20 years
$11
$11.30
or older); 66% mark to market
▪ Leased vs. Economic Occupancy; 270bp spread
$10.14
$9
2013-2015A 2016-2018A 2016-2020E
New Rent Expiring Rent Projected Rent
19NAV CREATION
Dania Pointe, Dania Beach, FLNAV CREATION
Active Projects: De-Risked for Success
Projected
1 Projected Total Investment to Date
. Project Market Project Type Projected ROI Completion /
Investment (% Complete)2
Stabilization Year
Redevelopment
1 Suburban Square – Phase III Philadelphia Mixed-Use $18.2M $12.2M (67%) 7.50 to 7.80% 2019 / 2019
2 Pentagon Centre – Phase I Washington D.C. Mixed-Use $164.5M3 $164.2M (100%) 6.00 to 6.50% 2019 / 2020
3 The Boulevard New York Retail $213.5M $124.5M (58%) 6.00 to 6.50% 2020 / 2020
4 Kentlands Market Square – Phase I Washington D.C. Retail $23.1M $16.0M (69%) 13.00 to 13.50% 2020 / 2020
5 Pocono Plaza Eastern PA Retail $21.2M $10.8M (51%) 9.50 to 11.00% 2020 / 2020
Projected Total Investment for Redevelopment Projects 1 $440.5M
Development
6 Dania Pointe – Phase II & III Ft. Lauderdale Mixed-Use $256.0M $196.9M (77%) 6.00 to 7.00% 4 2020 / 2021
7 Mill Station Baltimore Retail $108.0M $94.2M (87%) 7.25 to 7.75% 2019 / 2019
Projected Total Investment for Development Projects $364.0M
Projected Total Investment for Redevelopment and Development Projects 1 $804.5M
1. Select investments >$15MM stated based on Q3 2019 Supplemental
2. Investment to Date reflects activity through 9/30/19
3. Stated as gross investment. Kimco owns 55% of Pentagon Centre 21
4. Returns for this project are stated on a combined/blended basis for multiple phasesNAV CREATION
Development and Redevelopment Investment
Total Investment ($M)
$418
400
$275 to $350
$296 $191 Development
300
Redevelopment
$115- $200 to $250 $200 to $250
$212 $130
200 $160
$70-
$143 $85
$125
100 $41 $200-
$227 $160- $250
$220 $130-
$136 $165
$102 $87
0
2015A 2016A 2017A 2018A 2019E 2020E 2021E & beyond*
All figures are at Kimco’s share
*Annually 22NAV CREATION
Development Projects: Exciting Progress
Dania Pointe – Ph. I
Dania Beach, FL
330K sf of retail
Anchors: TJMaxx, Ulta, BrandsMart,
Hobby Lobby, YouFit Health Club,
Lucky’s Market
Completed: Q4 2018
Dania Pointe – Ph. II & III
Dania Beach, FL
417K sf of retail (64% pre-leased)
Anchors: Bowlero, Lindbergh, Tommy
Bahama, B. Young, Regal Cinema, Saito
Japanese Steakhouse
Est. costs/completion:
$256M/2020
23NAV CREATION
Development Projects: Exciting Progress
Lincoln Square
Philadelphia, PA
100K sf of retail & 322 residential units
Anchors: Target, Petsmart, Sprouts
Farmers Market
Residential: open, over 90% leased
Completed: Q4 2018
Mill Station
Owings Mills, MD
621K sf of retail (93% pre-leased)
Open Anchors: Costco, Lowe’s, AMC,
Giant Food, Burlington, HomeSense,
Marshalls
Est. costs/completion:
$108M/2019
24NAV CREATION
Redevelopment Projects: Exciting Progress
Pentagon Centre – Ph. I
Arlington, VA
Across from Amazon’s HQ2
Residential tower - 440 units (open, Headquarters
79% leased)
Interior renovation and parking Pentagon Centre
Pentagon
structure complete Centre
Headquarters
Est. costs/completion:
$164.5M/2019
The Boulevard
Staten Island, NY
~400K sf of retail (89% pre-leased)
Anchors: ShopRite, Alamo Drafthouse,
Marshalls, Ulta
Est. costs/completion:
$213.5/2020
25NAV CREATION
Redevelopment Projects: Exciting Progress
Suburban Square – Ph. III
Station Row
Ardmore, PA
Two story Building
Mixed-use Retail/Office
Est. costs/completion:
$18.2M/2019
Kentlands – Ph. I
Gaithersburg, MD
Redevelop to create a
placemaking environment
Anchors: Cinepolis, Whole Foods
(open)
Est. costs/completion:
$23.1M/2020
Kentlands photo credit: Om Khurjekar
26NAV CREATION
Completed Projects: Value Creation Realized
Redevelopment Activity Since 2015 2019 Highlights
86 PROPERTIES
W/ PROJECTS
$435.6M
GROSS INVESTMENT COMPLETED
9.9% 15
BLENDED ROI
REDEVELOPMENT
PROJECTS
WITH
A BLENDED RETURN
OF
9.1%
27NAV CREATION
Future Opportunities
26 POTENTIAL
PROJECTS
INFORMATION AS OF NOVEMBER 2019
FUTURE –26
26 PROJECTS
1.7M SF
MIXED-USE20
– 20 PROJECTS
MASTER PLANNING – 6 PROJECTS
RETAIL GLA IN SCOPE*
>6,000
RESIDENTIAL UNITS*
*Excludes Retail GLA in Scope and Residential Units for 6 projects in Master Planning 28NAV CREATION
Select Future Opportunities
Entitled Projects
Project Market Retail Scope Residential Scope Hotel Scope Office Scope Potential Commencement Horizon
Camino Square Ft. Lauderdale 40,000 SF 350 Units 1 to 3 Years
Kentlands Market Square - Phase 2 Washington D.C. 12,000 SF 245 Units 1 to 3 Years
Pentagon Centre - Phase 2 Washington D.C. 16,000 SF 253 Units 1 to 3 Years
Dania Pointe - Phase 4 & 5 Ft. Lauderdale 48,000 SF 400 Units 506,000 SF 1 to 3 Years
Westlake S.C. San Francisco 34,500 SF 179 Units 1 to 3 Years
Jericho Commons / Milleridge New York 93 Rooms 1 to 3 Years
Cupertino Village San Jose 185 Rooms 1 to 3 Years
Suburban Square - Phase 4 Philadelphia 19,000 SF 150 Units 1 to 3 Years
Kentlands Market Square – Phase 3 Washington D.C. TBD1 1,384 Units TBD1 TBD1 10+ Years
Pentagon Centre – Phase 3 Washington D.C. 346,5002 200 Rooms 705,500 SF 15+ Years
Total 516,000 SF 2,961 Units 478 Rooms 1,211,500 SF
Projects Undergoing Entitlement3
Project Market Retail Scope Residential Scope Hotel Scope Office Scope Potential Commencement Horizon
The Marketplace at Factoria Seattle 10,000 SF 295 Units 1 to 3 Years
Kissena Blvd. S.C. New York 75,500 SF 215 Units 1 to 3 Years
Fremont Hub San Jose 57,000 SF 255 Units 4 to 6 Years
North County Plaza San Diego 5,500 SF 260 Units 4 to 6 Years
Hickory Ridge Baltimore 34,000 SF 230 Units 4 to 6 Years
Washington Street Plaza Boston 44,000 SF 270 Units 4 to 6 Years
Memorial Plaza Boston 57,000 SF 215 Units TBD 7 to 10 Years
Total 283,000 SF 1,740 Units
1. Approved for 1.2M sf (breakdown for use has not yet been determined)
2. Reworked existing retail sf
3. Residential scope rounded for Projects Undergoing Entitlement
29FINANCIAL STRENGTH
Mill Station, Owings Mills, MDFINANCIAL STRENGTH
Financial Flexibility is Financial Strength
FLEXIBILITY
= STRENGTH
▪ Maintain a strong liquidity position ▪ Committed to strong investment grade ratings
$2.25B unsecured line of credit BBB+ S&P
Baa1 Moody’s
▪ Extend WAVG debt maturity profile
BBB+ Fitch
10.8 yrs
▪ Lower Net Debt / Adjusted EBITDA leverage levels
▪ Growing unencumbered asset pool 6.4x consolidated
~80% of our properties 7.4x Pro-rata (including JV’s and preferred stock)
(up from 51% in 2014)
▪ Sustain Fixed Charge Coverage of 3.0+
~80% of our Total NOI
(up from 62% in 2014) 3.3x
As of 9/30/2019 31FINANCIAL STRENGTH
Strong Capital Structure
Balance Sheet Highlights Total Capitalization
▪ Issued $350M of 3.70% notes maturing
October 1, 2049, with an effective yield of 3%1%
3.765% 5%
▪ Redeemed $175M of 6.000% Class I and
$175M of 5.625% Class K Preferred Stock on Common Equity
September 13, 2019; Recognized a $11.4M Unsecured Debt
non-cash charge in 3Q19
32%
▪ Fitch affirmed BBB+ ratings with a stable $14.9B Preferred Stock
outlook 59% Mortgage Debt
▪ No consolidated debt due in 2019 and Non-controlling Interest
minimal debt due in 2020
▪ Weighted average debt maturity profile at
10.8 years, one of the longest in the REIT
industry
32FINANCIAL STRENGTH
Well-Staggered Debt Maturities
Consolidated and Pro-rata Joint Venture Debt
27%
1,600
Consolidated Debt Joint Venture Debt
1,400
Debt in Millions
Fixed Rate 3.62%* Fixed Rate 4.18%*
1,200 16% Floating Rate 3.41%* Floating Rate 3.55%*
WAVG Term 10.8 Yrs WAVG Term 4.30 Yrs
1,000
12%
800
9% 9% 9%
600
8% 7%
No Debt
400 due in
3%
2019
200 0%
0
2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 Thereafter
One of the longest debt maturity profiles in the REIT industry Debt is shown as Kimco’s pro-rata share
2022 includes the expiration of a $2.25B line of credit 33APPENDIX Pentagon Centre, Arlington, VA
CORPORATE SUSTAINABILITY
Established Priorities Tangible Results Transparency & Leadership
Awards 2018 Corporate Responsibility Report
Operational Tenant
Leadership Partnerships
Global 1200 ESG Index
Stakeholder
Engagement
Quality Team Community
35RECONCILIATION OF NON GAAP MEASURES
FFO to Net Income Available to the Company’s Common Shareholders
2019E 2019E
($M) FFO/Share (1)
FFO as Adjusted $616 - $620 $1.46 - $1.47
Transactional income, net (8) – (4) (0.02) – (0.01)
FFO $608 - $616 $1.44 - $1.46
Depreciation and amortization real estate related (276) - (287) (0.65) - (0.68)
Depreciation and amortization real estate JVs (2) (38) - (43) (0.09) - (0.10)
Gain on sale of properties/change in control of interests 50 – 68 0.12 - 0.16
Gain on disposition of JV properties/change in control of interests 16 – 21 0.04 - 0.05
Impairment charges (46) – (46) (0.11) - (0.11)
Profit participation from other real estate investments, net 10 – 10 0.02 – 0.02
Loss on marketable securities 1–1 0.00 – 0.00
Noncontrolling interests (3) 1–2 0.00 – 0.01
Net income available to common shareholders $326 - $342 $0.77 - $0.81
(1) Reflects diluted per share basis and the operational impact if certain units were converted to common stock at the beginning of the period
(2) Net of non-controlling interests
(3) Related to gains, impairments and depreciation on operating properties, where applicable 36RECONCILIATION OF NON GAAP MEASURES
Net Income to EBITDA & Net Debt/EBITDA Calculations
37KIMCO NOTES
38You can also read
