INVESTOR PRESENTATION - THIRD QUARTER 2019 - Kimco Realty Corporation
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SAFE HARBOR The statements in this presentation, including targets and assumptions, state the Company’s and management’s hopes, intentions, beliefs, expectations or projections of the future and are forward-looking statements. It is important to note that the Company’s actual results could differ materially from those projected in such forward-looking statements. Factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from current expectations include the key assumptions contained within this presentation, general economic conditions, local real estate conditions, increases in interest rates, foreign currency exchange rates, increases in operating costs and real estate taxes. Additional information concerning factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those forward-looking statements is contained from time to time in the Company’s SEC filings, including but not limited to the Company’s Annual Report on Form 10-K. Copies of each filing may be obtained from http://investors.kimcorealty.com/ or the SEC. Cover: Lincoln Square, Philadelphia, PA Suburban Square, Ardmore, PA
KIMCO’S 2020 VISION Increase net asset value (NAV) through a curated High-quality assets, tightly clustered in major metro markets NAV CREATION collection of mixed-use projects, redevelopments and that provide multiple growth levers active investment management High-quality assets, tightly clustered in major metro markets PORTFOLIO QUALITY that provide multiple growth levers FINANCIAL STRENGTH Maintain a strong balance sheet and financial flexibility 3
NAV CREATION Active Projects: De-Risked for Success Projected 1 Projected Total Investment to Date . Project Market Project Type Projected ROI Completion / Investment (% Complete)2 Stabilization Year Redevelopment 1 Suburban Square – Phase III Philadelphia Mixed-Use $18.2M $12.2M (67%) 7.50 to 7.80% 2019 / 2019 2 Pentagon Centre – Phase I Washington D.C. Mixed-Use $164.5M3 $164.2M (100%) 6.00 to 6.50% 2019 / 2020 3 The Boulevard New York Retail $213.5M $124.5M (58%) 6.00 to 6.50% 2020 / 2020 4 Kentlands Market Square – Phase I Washington D.C. Retail $23.1M $16.0M (69%) 13.00 to 13.50% 2020 / 2020 5 Pocono Plaza Eastern PA Retail $21.2M $10.8M (51%) 9.50 to 11.00% 2020 / 2020 Projected Total Investment for Redevelopment Projects 1 $440.5M Development 6 Dania Pointe – Phase II & III Ft. Lauderdale Mixed-Use $256.0M $196.9M (77%) 6.00 to 7.00% 4 2020 / 2021 7 Mill Station Baltimore Retail $108.0M $94.2M (87%) 7.25 to 7.75% 2019 / 2019 Projected Total Investment for Development Projects $364.0M Projected Total Investment for Redevelopment and Development Projects 1 $804.5M 1. Select investments >$15MM stated based on Q3 2019 Supplemental 3. Stated as gross investment. Kimco owns 55% of Pentagon Centre 2. Investment to Date reflects activity through 9/30/19 4. Returns for this project are stated on a combined/blended basis for multiple phases 5
NAV CREATION Development and Redevelopment Investment Total Investment ($M) $418 400 $275 to $350 $296 $191 Development 300 Redevelopment $115- $200 to $250 $200 to $250 $212 $130 200 $160 $70- $143 $85 $125 100 $41 $200- $227 $160- $250 $220 $130- $136 $165 $102 $87 0 2015A 2016A 2017A 2018A 2019E 2020E 2021E & beyond* All figures are at Kimco’s share *Annually 6
NAV CREATION Development Projects: Exciting Progress Dania Pointe – Ph. I Dania Beach, FL 330K sf of retail Anchors: TJMaxx, Ulta, BrandsMart, Hobby Lobby, YouFit Health Club, Lucky’s Market Completed: Q4 2018 Dania Pointe – Ph. II & III Dania Beach, FL 417K sf of retail (64% pre-leased), +850 residential units, +350 hotel rooms, +506K sf office space Anchors: Bowlero, Regal Cinema, Lindbergh, Tommy Bahama, Saito Japanese Steakhouse, B. Young Est. Retail costs/completion: $256M/2020 7
NAV CREATION Development Projects: Exciting Progress Lincoln Square Philadelphia, PA 100K sf of retail & 322 residential units Anchors: Target, Petsmart, Sprouts Farmers Market Residential: open, over 90% leased Completed: Q4 2018 Mill Station Owings Mills, MD 621K sf of retail (93% pre-leased) Open Anchors: Costco, Lowe’s, AMC, Giant Food, Burlington, HomeSense, Marshalls Est. costs/completion: $108M/2019 8
NAV CREATION Redevelopment Projects: Exciting Progress Pentagon Centre – Ph. I Arlington, VA Across from Amazon’s HQ2 Residential tower - 440 units (open, Headquarters 79% leased) Interior renovation and parking Pentagon Centre Pentagon structure complete Centre Headquarters Est. costs/completion: $164.5M/2019 The Boulevard Staten Island, NY ~400K sf of retail (89% pre-leased) Anchors: ShopRite, Alamo Drafthouse, Marshalls, Ulta Est. costs/completion: $213.5/2020 9
NAV CREATION Redevelopment Projects: Exciting Progress Suburban Square – Ph. III Station Row Ardmore, PA Two story Building Mixed-use Retail/Office Est. costs/completion: $18.2M/2019 Kentlands – Ph. I Gaithersburg, MD Redevelop to create a placemaking environment Open Anchors: Cinepolis, Whole Foods Est. costs/completion: $23.1M/2020 Kentlands photo credit: Om Khurjekar 10
NAV CREATION Completed Projects: Value Creation Realized Redevelopment Activity Since 2015 2019 Highlights 86 PROPERTIES W/ PROJECTS $435.6M GROSS INVESTMENT COMPLETED 9.9% 15 BLENDED ROI REDEVELOPMENT PROJECTS WITH A BLENDED RETURN OF 9.1% 11
NAV CREATION Future Opportunities 26 POTENTIAL PROJECTS INFORMATION AS OF NOVEMBER 2019 FUTURE –26 26 PROJECTS 1.7M SF MIXED-USE20 – 20 PROJECTS MASTER PLANNING – 6 PROJECTS RETAIL GLA IN SCOPE* >6,000 RESIDENTIAL UNITS* *Excludes Retail GLA in Scope and Residential Units for 6 projects in Master Planning 12
NAV CREATION Mixed-Use Project Detail Retail Residential Office Project Market Hotel Scope Status Timeline Scope Scope Scope The Shoppes at Wilde Lake Baltimore, MD 32,000 SF 230 Units 15,000 SF Completed Q3 2016 Lincoln Square Philadelphia 101,226 SF 322 Units Completed Q4 2018 Pentagon Centre - Phase I (The Witmer) Washington D.C. 346,5002 SF 440 Units Active 2019 Dania Pointe - Phase II & III Ft. Lauderdale 417,000 SF 850 Units 350 Rooms 506,000 SF Active Retail: 2020 Camino Square Ft. Lauderdale 40,000 SF 350 Units Entitled Potential Commencement: 1 to 3 Years Kentlands Market Square - Phase II Washington D.C. 12,000 SF 245 Units Entitled Potential Commencement: 1 to 3 Years Pentagon Centre - Phase II Washington D.C. 16,000 SF 253 Units Entitled Potential Commencement: 1 to 3 Years Dania Pointe – Future Phases Ft. Lauderdale 150 Units Entitled Potential Commencement: 1 to 3 Years Westlake S.C. San Francisco 34,500 SF 179 Units Entitled Potential Commencement: 1 to 3 Years Jericho Commons / Milleridge New York 93 Rooms Entitled Potential Commencement: 1 to 3 Years Cupertino Village San Jose 185 Rooms Entitled Potential Commencement: 1 to 3 Years Suburban Square - Phase IV Philadelphia 19,000 SF 150 Units Entitled Potential Commencement: 1 to 3 Years Kentlands Market Square – Phase III Washington D.C. TBD1 1,384 Units TBD1 TBD1 Entitled Potential Commencement: 10+ Years Pentagon Centre – Phase III Washington D.C. 346,5002 SF 200 Rooms 705,500 SF Entitled Potential Commencement: 15+ Years Total 1,364,726 SF 4,553 Units 828 Rooms 1,226,500 SF 1. Approved for 1.2M sf (breakdown for use has not yet been determined) 2. Reworked existing retail sf 13
NAV CREATION Select Mixed-Use Projects Undergoing Entitlement Residential Office Potential Commencement Project Market Retail Scope Hotel Scope Scope Scope Horizon The Marketplace at Factoria Seattle 10,000 SF 295 Units 1 to 3 Years Kissena Blvd. S.C. New York 75,500 SF 215 Units 1 to 3 Years Fremont Hub San Jose 57,000 SF 255 Units 4 to 6 Years North County Plaza San Diego 5,500 SF 260 Units 4 to 6 Years Hickory Ridge Baltimore 34,000 SF 230 Units 4 to 6 Years Washington Street Plaza Boston 44,000 SF 270 Units 4 to 6 Years Memorial Plaza Boston 57,000 SF 215 Units TBD 7 to 10 Years Total 283,000 SF 1,740 Units Residential scope rounded 14
REITS AND KIMCO TODAY Redevelopment Project @ Suburban Square, Ardmore, PA
REITS AND KIMCO TODAY Positioned for Success as Retail Transforms Consumer Preference Profile: Kimco Asset Profile: Instant need for everyday goods ✓ 77% of ABR comes from grocery anchored centers In-person services ✓ 64% of ABR from small shops is from service-based tenants Experiences in a social environment ✓ 58% of ABR comes from Service & Experiential Tenants Technology to ease pain points of shopping ✓ 38% of ABR comes from Omni-Channel Players Convenient location ✓ 81% of ABR comes from top Major Metro Markets ABR is defined as Annual Base Rent 16
REITS AND KIMCO TODAY Net Store Openings Weighing in Favor of Shopping Center Landlords Over 6,000 Net New Store Openings in 2019* ” *Creditntell; June 2019 17
REITS AND KIMCO TODAY Brick and Mortar Remains a Critical Component of Retail Strategy FY2019: +58 Marmaxx +51 stores in 2019 +65 new locations +700 stores by the end of 2022 +98 new stores in 2019 +94 HomeGoods +16 relocations in 2019 FY2020: +60 Marmaxx +80 HomeGoods +260 new locations in 2018 +145 to 150 new stores in 2019 +250 to 260 stores in 2019 +80 stores in 2019 +75 new stores in 2019 +Same pace in 2019 (unit growth of 19 to 20%) (a record for the brand) +75 stores in 2020 +70 stores in 2021 Burlington Store Press Release 11/26/19 TJX 2018 Annual Report - page 6 Five Below Earnings Call 3/17/19 National Vision Holdings Press Release 8/6/19 Hobby Lobby Press Release 2/6/19 Ross Dress for Less Press Release 10/14/19 Aldi Press Release 9/18/18 Orangetheory Fitness Chain Store Age article 10/9/18. Planet Fitness Press Release 8/6/19 18 Ulta Press Release 5/31/19
REITS AND KIMCO TODAY Retailers Use Stores as Hubs Delivery from Store Drive Up Free expedited shipping Order Pickup Same Day Delivery Free technology consultations both 40% cost reduction from store fulfillment; in-store and on-site Select products offered in store 90% for same-day offerings2 Same-day delivery options Free 2-hour delivery for members Stores fulfilled more than 80% of Embracing showrooming effect with Discounts in-store for members Target’s Q1 digital sales3 price-matching policy ~50% of online orders are picked up in store4 1. Target 1Q19 Earnings Call Transcript; May 2019 2. Target 1Q19 Earnings Press Release; May 2019 3. Home Depot 2Q19 Earnings Call transcript; August 2019 19
REITS AND KIMCO TODAY Kimco Tenants Successfully Implement Omni-channel Retailing / BOPIS Grocery orders can be picked Nearly 90% of all up at about 2,700 stores BOPIS orders are filled and delivery covers ~75% of and ready for pickup the U.S. population1 within 30 minutes4 Restaurants experienced digital Online sales growth of 88% year over 40% of online orders year through delivery, order are picked up in store5 ahead and catering2 In-store 24% of BOPIS customers make Mobile payments for in an additional purchase in store pick up have store, effectively doubling their grown to 42% of total original order3 tender in the U.S.6 1. Walmart fiscal 2Q FY20 Quarterly Results: Management Commentary; August 2019 4. Dick’s Sporting Goods 2Q FY20 Earnings Call transcript; August 2019 2. Chipotle 3Q19 Earnings Call transcript (SeekingAlpha.com); October 2019 5. Best Buy 1Q FY20 Earnings Call; May 2019 3. Duluth Trading 1Q19 Earning Call; June 2019 6. Starbucks.com Supplemental Data: Mobile Dashboard; October 2019 20
PORTFOLIO QUALITY Development Project @ Lincoln Square, Philadelphia, PA
PORTFOLIO QUALITY Over 80% of Annual Base Rent comes from our top Major Metro Markets* Denver Chicago Seattle Portland Major Metro Markets ABR Contribution Boston New York 79% Coastal and Sun Belt Markets San Francisco Philadelphia Sacramento San Jose Baltimore 2% Other Major Metro Markets Washington D.C. Los Angeles Raleigh-Durham Charlotte 81% Major Metro Markets Orange County San Diego Population growth of 6.3 million projected within the next 5 years Phoenix Orlando Miami Fort Lauderdale Austin Dallas Houston Atlanta Tampa *Markets noted on the map are Kimco’s top major metropolitan markets by percentage of pro-rata ABR as of 9/30/2019 22
PORTFOLIO QUALITY Tenant Diversity 3.8% Only 14 tenants with ABR exposure greater than 1.0% • Scale: 7,700 leases with 3,500 tenants • Stability: Fixed, contractual rents with bumps • Security: Average lease term of 10 years for anchors and 5 years for small shops • Safety: No peer has more investment grade tenants in their Top 25 Tenant List* 2.4% 2.2% 1.9% 1.8% 1.6% 1.5% 1.4% 1.2% 1.1% Data as of 9/30/2019, Percentages noted reflect pro-rata annual base rent (ABR) *Peers that report a Top 25 Tenant lists are: FRT, REG, WRI, UE, BRX, KRG, and SITC 23
PORTFOLIO QUALITY 96% of Portfolio Composed of Retailers Thriving in the New Landscape Service and Experiential Tenants Omni-Channel Players Remaining 58% 38% 4% of ABR of ABR of ABR 14% Restaurants 10% Home Improvement/ Home Decor Only 4% of our ABR comes 14% Grocery/ Warehouse Clubs 6% Other (i.e. pet, party, accessories) from tenant-types that are 10% Off-Price 5% Sporting Goods/ Hobbies still finding their ‘sweet 9% Service 5% Pharmacy/ Personal Care spot’ in this environment 5% Other (i.e. wireless, dollar store) 4% Apparel 4% Health Clubs/ Fitness 4% Banking/ Finance 2% Medical 3% Mass Merchandiser Did You Know… 1% Electronics 64% of non-anchor ABR comes from Service based tenants 77% of ABR comes from Grocery Anchored Centers Data as of 9/30/2019, Percentages reflect pro-rata annual base rent (ABR) 24
PORTFOLIO QUALITY Strength of our Grocers Equates to Strength in our Portfolio Average Grocer Sales PSF at Percent of KIM ABR from KIM Shopping Centers Grocery Anchored Centers $700M $677 $675 77.3% 76.7% $645 73.8% 75% 72.2% 71.7% $597 $600M 65.8% $570 65% $555 58.6% $500M 55% 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 3Q19 PSF is defined as Per Square Foot 25
PORTFOLIO QUALITY Strong Portfolio Fundamentals ALL TIME HIGH 96.4% ANCHOR OCCUPANCY RENT PER SQUARE FOOT ALL TIME HIGH U.S. OCCUPANCY 98.7% $16.63 SIGNED RENTAL RATES FOR NEW LEASES INCREASED OVER 1,318 RENTAL RATES FOR 10% LEASES TOTALING OVER NEW LEASES UP FOR THE 23RD 8.1M SF * 27.2% CONSECUTIVE QUARTER All figures are at Kimco’s share, for the third quarter *During the trailing twelve months 26
PORTFOLIO QUALITY New Leases Reflect Changing Consumer Preference Home Improvement & Furnishings, 11% Off-Price & Health, Wellness Dollar Store, & Beauty, 23% 11% New Grocery & Leases Warehouse Clubs, 10% Signed Restaurant, Other Services, Specialty Foods 8% & Entertainment, Dedicated 24% Merchandisers, 8% Apparel/ Shoes, 5% During the trailing twelve months Data as of 9/30/2019, Percentages reflect pro-rata annual base rent (ABR) 27
PORTFOLIO QUALITY Building Blocks of NOI Growth Same Property NOI Growth Organic Growth Ground-Up (Rent Bumps) Development Leasing and Redevelopment Mark to Market Pipeline Opportunities 28
PORTFOLIO QUALITY Growth through Leasing & Value Creation $17 Anchor Lease Spreads/Mark To Market $15.74 $15.10 ▪ Mark to Market Spread on Anchor Leases: ~60% $15 $14.12 ▪ Total Average RPSF up 32% since 2013 +31.1% ▪ 23 Consecutive quarters of new leasing spreads $ABR/SF +33.6% $13 exceeding 10% +39.3% $12.00 ▪ 36% of Anchor Leases are “Legacy Leases” (20 years $11 $11.30 or older); 66% mark to market ▪ Leased vs. Economic Occupancy; 270bp spread $10.14 $9 2013-2015A 2016-2018A 2016-2020E New Rent Expiring Rent Projected Rent 29
PORTFOLIO QUALITY Corporate Sustainability Established Priorities Tangible Results Transparency & Leadership Awards 2018 Corporate Responsibility Report Operational Tenant Leadership Partnerships Stakeholder Engagement Quality Team Community Global 1200 ESG Index 30
FINANCIAL STRENGTH Mill Station, Owings Mills, MD
FINANCIAL STRENGTH Financial Flexibility is Financial Strength FLEXIBILITY = STRENGTH ▪ Maintain a strong liquidity position ▪ Committed to strong investment grade ratings $2.25B unsecured line of credit BBB+ S&P Baa1 Moody’s ▪ Extend WAVG debt maturity profile BBB+ Fitch 10.8 yrs ▪ Lower Net Debt / Adjusted EBITDA leverage levels ▪ Grow unencumbered asset pool 6.4x consolidated ~80% of our properties 7.4x Pro-rata (including JV’s and preferred stock) (up from 51% in 2014) ▪ Sustain Fixed Charge Coverage of 3.0+ ~80% of our Total NOI (up from 62% in 2014) 3.3x As of 9/30/2019 32
FINANCIAL STRENGTH Strong Capital Structure Balance Sheet Highlights Total Capitalization* ▪ Announced it will redeem $225M of 5.500% Class J Preferred Stock on December 31, 2019 3% 1% 5% 3%1% 5% ▪ Issued $350M of 3.70% notes maturing October 1, 2049, with an effective yield of 3.765% Common Equity ▪ Redeemed $175M of 6.000% Class I and Unsecured Debt $175M of 5.625% Class K Preferred Stock on 32% 32% September 13, 2019 $14.9B Preferred Stock 59% 59% Mortgage Debt ▪ Fitch affirmed BBB+ ratings with a stable outlook Non-controlling Interest ▪ No consolidated debt due in 2019 and minimal debt due in 2020 ▪ Weighted average debt maturity profile at 10.8 years, one of the longest in the REIT industry *As of 9/30/2019 33
FINANCIAL STRENGTH Well-Staggered Debt Maturities Consolidated and Pro-rata Joint Venture Debt 27% 1,600 Consolidated Debt Joint Venture Debt 1,400 Fixed Rate 3.62%* Fixed Rate 4.18%* Debt in Millions Floating Rate 3.41%* Floating Rate 3.55%* 1,200 16% WAVG Term 10.8 Yrs WAVG Term 4.3 Yrs Secured Debt 9% Secured Debt 95% 1,000 Unsecured Debt 91% Unsecured Debt 5% 12% 800 9% 9% 9% 600 8% 7% No Debt 400 due in 3% 2019 200 0% 0 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 Thereafter Percentages are annual maturities of total pro-rata debt stack One of the longest debt maturity profiles in the REIT industry 2022 includes the expiration of a $2.25B line of credit *Weighted average 34
FINANCIAL STRENGTH Significant Improvement in Credit Metrics Consolidated NOI % Unencumbered Consolidated NOI 90% $1,200 80% 86.8% 87.1% $1,000 90.0% 92.4% 95.3% 98.5% 86.3% 86.1% 86.3% 86.3% 76.0% 83.6% 86.9% 89.8% 83.6% $800 70% 78.0% 75.0% $600 60% 62.2% $400 50% $200 2010 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2010 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 % of Consolidated NOI Unencumbered Encumbered % Unencumbered Net Debt/ Recurring EBITDA Debt Coverage Metrics 8.5x 5.0x 7.5x 4.0x 3.8x 3.9x 6.5x 3.0x 3.7x 3.7x 3.2x 3.2x 3.4x 6.3x 6.5x 6.4x 2.8x 3.0x 5.5x 6.0x 6.0x 2.0x 5.9x 5.9x 5.9x 5.5x 4.5x 1.0x 2010 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2010 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 Consolidated Pro-Rata Including Preferreds Fixed Charge Debt Service 35
APPENDIX Redevelopment Project @ Pentagon Centre, Pentagon Arlington, Centre, VAVA Arlington,
RECONCILIATION OF NON-GAAP MEASURES FFO to Net Income Available to the Company’s Common Shareholders 2019E 2019E ($M) FFO/Share (1) FFO as Adjusted $616 - $620 $1.46 - $1.47 Transactional income, net (8) – (4) (0.02) – (0.01) FFO $608 - $616 $1.44 - $1.46 Depreciation and amortization real estate related (276) - (287) (0.65) - (0.68) Depreciation and amortization real estate JVs (2) (38) - (43) (0.09) - (0.10) Gain on sale of properties/change in control of interests 50 – 68 0.12 - 0.16 Gain on disposition of JV properties/change in control of interests 16 – 21 0.04 - 0.05 Impairment charges (46) – (46) (0.11) - (0.11) Profit participation from other real estate investments, net 10 – 10 0.02 – 0.02 Loss on marketable securities 1–1 0.00 – 0.00 Noncontrolling interests (3) 1–2 0.00 – 0.01 Net income available to common shareholders $326 - $342 $0.77 - $0.81 (1) Reflects diluted per share basis and the operational impact if certain units were converted to common stock at the beginning of the period (2) Net of non-controlling interests (3) Related to gains, impairments and depreciation on operating properties, where applicable 37
RECONCILIATION OF NON GAAP MEASURES Net Income to EBITDA & Net Debt/EBITDA Calculations 38
KIMCO NOTES 39
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