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The Informed Board Winter 2021 The business world confronts a host of shifting challenges in 2021. To help boards navigate these, Skadden is launching The Informed Board, a package of concise articles that provide broad insights about key issues directors face. We aim to help flag potential challenges that may not be obvious, explain trends, share our observations and give directors practical tips without a lot of legal jargon. These are based not just on Skadden’s deep knowledge of the law, but on our front-line experience inside boardrooms. We look forward to our continuing discussions with you. 01 Why Does the Brand 12 Audio Interview: How of My Phone Affect My Far Can the SEC Go? Credit Rating? 14 New Tactics and ESG 04 A Practical Guide to Themes Take Shareholder the Role of Directors in Activism in New Directions Fighting Ransomware 17 Get Used to the New Normal 07 The Brexit Deal Leaves in US-China Trade Relations Some Mighty Big Holes 09 ESG: Many Demands, Few Clear Rules
The Informed Board / Winter 2021 Why Does the Brand of My Phone Affect My Credit Rating? To capitalize on the promise of artificial intelligence and alternative data, boards need to anticipate and mitigate various risks. −− Hidden biases need The Potential may prove to be a predictor of, say, to be prevented. the likelihood you will default on a Alternative data and artificial loan or that you will perform well in a −− Neither regulators intelligence (AI) have generated job you are applying for. nor the public will be tremendous excitement in the business world. The technology To the companies that use such satisfied with “black box” offers the potential for faster, more models, this may seem like brilliant decisions. data mining — unearthing nonob- efficient and more reliable decisions. Banks and fintech platforms already vious predictors that outperform −− Reputational risk must use them to make credit decisions, conventional ones. But to regulators be weighed alongside and they show promise in other and those harmed by AI-based legal requirements. decisions whose rationales cannot areas, from fraud prevention to hiring decisions. be fully explained, the process may seem capricious. But the surprising predictive success of AI-based decision models is AI models are the subject of precisely what makes them tricky particularly lively debate in the legally. Often, the developers of such lending sphere, both because lending models cannot explain the relation is a heavily regulated activity and between a variable and its predictive because the technology may turn out value. Anything from where you shop to be more reliable than traditional to the type of mobile phone you use credit bureau factors (number of or the first letter of your last name tradelines, average balance, debt-to- income, etc.). The latter have proven 1 Skadden, Arps, Slate, Meagher & Flom LLP and Affiliates
Why Does the Brand of My Phone Affect My Credit Rating? less effective in predicting defaults it excluded any candidate from two If predictive value were the only over the past year, particularly during women’s colleges. That could violate factor, the brand variable might the pandemic. employment nondiscrimination laws satisfy “safety and soundness” bank in jurisdictions where it’s not neces- rules. But regulations often require Alternative data may also benefit sary to show discriminatory intent. more than predictive value. U.S. consumers who have not estab- banking regulators require that finan- lished the kind of borrowing track This sort of unforeseen bias is on the cial models be “conceptually sound.” record typically relied on by credit minds of bank regulators, because And banking rules in the U.S., EU bureaus. It could therefore expand it could violate fair lending rules. and Hong Kong all generally require the population qualifying for credit. This hiring example was cited by lenders to be able to explain to an Similar benefits and problems arise in Federal Reserve Bank Governor Lael applicant why credit was denied. recruiting and other areas where AI Brainard in a recent speech about models based on alternative data are AI in financial services. Regulators Hence, “explainability” — the ability being explored. may demand proof that a similar to articulate the relationship between nonobvious variable is not a proxy for a variable and the attribute being Hidden Biases another, forbidden factor such as the predicted — has become a buzzword race or gender of the applicant. in AI, and is particularly central to The appeal of AI is that the tech- fintech regulation and the growth nology can make predictions using The hiring example also underscores of AI in finance. In the U.S., regu- offbeat data that humans cannot that companies cannot blindly accept lators may also ask if a prospective make or explain. But the fact that AI AI-based recommendations as tech- borrower could anticipate that a uncovers new and surprising predic- nical wizardry. The predictions based lender would consider a certain factor tors by poring through hundreds of on novel data may be quite explain- in its decision, so the applicant can types of data poses a basic problem: able if you dig deep enough. take action to avoid being denied The most valuable variables may credit. If the model uses, say, the have no obvious relation to the thing Predictors That Aren’t first letter of an applicant’s surname, being predicted, such as a borrower’s Understood the consumer would have few ability to pay its debts. options. (And, of course, if the phone An AI model’s “black box” quality brand proved to be correlated with In the worst cases, outcomes of itself poses a problem, apart from race, gender or some other factor these models may be both surpris- any biases. To illustrate this, assume lenders cannot consider, that would ing and problematic. For example, one variable in a lender’s underwrit- pose fair lending and other problems.) one AI-based recruiting model for ing model is whether the applicant software developers relied on the uses an Apple or a Samsung mobile success of previous hires. They were phone, because that (hypothetically) Potential for Bad Publicity almost entirely male, however, and has been shown to be highly predic- Finally, reputational risk needs to be the model turned out to have a strong tive of an applicant’s risk of default. weighed. If it becomes public that an bias against women — so strong that institution makes decisions based on 2 Skadden, Arps, Slate, Meagher & Flom LLP and Affiliates
Why Does the Brand of My Phone Affect My Credit Rating? complex “black box” models relying on puzzling alternative data, it could lead to bad publicity. Several years A Checklist for Boards ago, a lender drew criticism for scor- ing applicants based in part on the Key steps companies can take to identify and miti- chain stores where they shopped. As gate the risks of using alternative data and artificial a result, the company stopped using intelligence models: that factor. Make sure the company has Document the results of these Explain Yourself reviewed each variable used analyses and any action plans in the model through a com- that grow out of them. In many cases, the best approach pliance lens. For model vari- will be the common sense one: Make ables that are not intuitively Make sure that the use of al- sure your business can explain the associated with the decision ternative data does not violate relationship between each type of at issue, management should data privacy laws, contractual data used and the decisions that challenge modelers to explain restrictions on its use (e.g., result. That will be necessary to why the variable nondisclosure agreements) satisfy regulators, customers and is predictive. or intellectual property rights. For instance, “scraping” data the public at large. Conduct statistical analyses of from public websites with- models to determine whether out permission may infringe some variables serve as a intellectual property rights or Authors proxy for prohibited biases violate terms of use. Brian D. Christiansen / Washington, D.C. (race, gender, ethnicity, etc.), and explore less discriminato- Ken D. Kumayama / Palo Alto ry alternatives. Sven G. Mickisch / New York Sonia K. Nijjar / Palo Alto Confirm the accuracy of Simon Toms / London alternative data points on a regular basis and validate Austin K. Brown / Washington, D.C. that the model is operating as expected with respect to the data to avoid “model drift.” Perform periodic risk as- sessments, with a focus on the impact of such data on outcomes for groups that are protected by law. 3 Skadden, Arps, Slate, Meagher & Flom LLP and Affiliates
The Informed Board / Winter 2021 A Practical Guide to the Role of Directors in Fighting Ransomware Ransomware is such a major threat to businesses that directors need to take an active role overseeing cybersecurity programs. −− Boards need to take an The biggest cyberthreat most Two legal developments bear directly active role overseeing companies face is not attacks backed on directors’ roles in dealing with cybersecurity measures. by nation-states like the recent the problem: SolarWinds hacking episode. It is Officers and directors may face −− Directors may be held ransomware, a type of malware that encrypts its victims’ data and holds personal liability in the event of personally responsible it hostage until a ransom is paid in a cyber attack. Lawsuits arising for lapses that result in from other kinds of data breaches attacks. untraceable bitcoin. reflect an emerging expectation These attacks have grown more that directors must play an active −− U.S. money laundering frequent and sophisticated at the role in cybersecurity planning and and sanctions rules may same time that more people cannot delegate the issue entirely to prohibit some ransom are working remotely and are more management. Those cases suggest payments. reliant on corporate IT systems. that directors may be held personally According to BitDefender’s analysis liable for (a) failing to ensure proper of the cyberthreats, there was a policies were in place to protect a 715% increase in detected and company or (b) issuing misleading blocked ransomware attacks in the statements about their companies’ first half of 2020 versus that period preparedness. For example: in 2019. Many of these are never publicly disclosed. In some recent –– A class action complaint against attacks, sensitive data was stolen one company alleges that its board before it was encrypted, and the knew of an initial data breach attackers threatened to leak it if the whose scope only became clear victims failed to pay. two years later but “failed to act 4 Skadden, Arps, Slate, Meagher & Flom LLP and Affiliates
A Practical Guide to the Role of Directors in Fighting Ransomware sufficiently upon the full extent U.S. anti-money-laundering and of knowledge known internally sanctions laws may bar some by the company’s information ransom payments. Boards need to be security team.” aware that the Treasury Department requires ransomware victims and –– In litigation over the theft of their financial institutions to perform consumer credit information from due diligence on those to whom Equifax, a federal judge found they plan to pay ransom. Because that the company “relied upon several prolific ransomware groups The Growing Role of a single individual to manually are subject to U.S. sanctions, Trea- Boards in Cybersecurity implement its [software] patching sury rules may prohibit some ransom Planning across its entire network” and payments. That leaves the victims that person “had no way to know with no choice but to rebuild their where vulnerable software in 25% systems from scratch and suffer the need of patching was being run on consequences of having their data Equifax’s systems.” That “failed disclosed publicly. Share of financial services firms whose boards discussed to meet the most basic industry cybersecurity more than once standard,” the court found, and a year in 2017 therefore “it was false, or at least Authors misleading, for Equifax to tout its advanced cybersecurity protec- Michael E. Leiter / Washington, D.C. 95% tions” in public filings. Maxim Mayer-Cesiano / New York William Ridgway / Chicago Share of those whose boards The implication: Directors need to or committees discussed cybersecurity at least four take this threat seriously and play times a year in 2020 an active oversight role in implement- ing protections. 48% Share that involve their boards in cybersecurity exercises Source: McKinsey 5 Skadden, Arps, Slate, Meagher & Flom LLP and Affiliates
A Practical Guide to the Role of Directors in Fighting Ransomware A Checklist for Managing Ransomware Risks Boards should discuss cybersecurity regularly. A Procedures need to be in place to deal with such recent McKinsey survey of financial services com- a situation. At a minimum, secure communica- panies suggests best practices. Nearly 95% of the tion alternatives need to be in place, and records firms reported that one of their board committees required to respond to a crisis must be accessible discussed cybersecurity and technology risks four even if primary IT systems are down. times or more per year. Almost half the companies involved the board in cybersecurity exercises, and Cybersecurity needs to be assessed within nine in 10 provided regular updates on cybersecu- a larger risk management framework. Given rity to the full board. the potentially catastrophic impact of an attack, cybersecurity risks need to be evaluated as part of Financial services firms furnish a good model a company’s overall risk management. Budgets because they have long been targets of attacks for risk mitigation need to factor in the damages and have advanced cybersecurity programs.Their an attack could cause, including its impact on approach hints at what shareholders, regulators customers and suppliers. Companies should find and others are likely to demand from boards in metrics to monitor their progress in mitigating other industries. cyberrisks. Objective metrics will also be needed to back up any claims the company makes about its Responsibilities need to be defined in advance. cybersecurity practices, especially those aimed at The inevitable disruption of an attack can be com- investors. pounded by uncertainty about who should handle different aspects of the response. For instance, Consider hiring outside vendors to test your sys- CIOs/CTOs, general counsels and communications tems and people. A survey of directors last year chiefs will each have roles, sometimes overlap- by the University of California, Berkeley and Booz ping, so their responsibilities need to be spelled Allen Hamilton showed that many companies seek out in advance.The board should also consider regular third-party advice to ensure that manage- pressure-testing management’s plans and lay ment is keeping up with the latest evolving threats. down procedures to ensure the board plays an That may be essential for the board to fulfill its appropriate oversight role during an incident. oversight role. Prepare a response playbook in advance. Corpo- Even for companies that follow established proce- rate networks are often disabled by ransomware. dures, such as the National Institute of Standards Since attackers typically demand payment within andTechnology’s Cybersecurity Framework, third days, victims can find themselves scrambling parties can help verify that those are being ad- to engage outside experts (e.g., a digital foren- hered to. For example, the American Institute of sics consultant, ransomware negotiator, outside Certified Public Accountants has set standards for counsel and public relations specialist) and make companywide audits of cyberrisk measures. strategic decisions while the company’s e-mail system is inoperable and vital records are inacces- sible. It may be impossible, for example, to fulfill contractual obligations to notify customers about the incident because contact or contract informa- tion has been locked up by encryption. 6 Skadden, Arps, Slate, Meagher & Flom LLP and Affiliates
The Informed Board / Winter 2021 The Brexit Deal Leaves Some Mighty Big Holes The Brexit agreement covered goods but not financial or other services, creating uncertainty for many businesses. −− Goods trade was pro- The Christmas Eve agreement That includes financial services, vided for, at the cost of between the United Kingdom and state aid and subsidies, data flows much new paperwork. the European Union to settle their and mutual recognition of profes- relationship now that the U.K. has sional services. Since services −− Crucial rules for banking withdrawn from the union was hailed make up the majority of the U.K.’s and other services were by both parties as a successful economic output, this leaves signif- left unresolved. conclusion to their protracted, conten- icant uncertainty surrounding the tious talks. future trade relationship. The goods news. The Trade and Take financial services, which Cooperation Agreement (TCA) allows account for nearly 7% of the U.K. goods trade without tariffs or quotas, economy. The parties committed to something the EU has not agreed implement international standards, to so comprehensively with other such as the Basel Committee’s rules nations. But goods will need to meet for the banking sector, to which both complex rules-of-origin requirements, sides are already party. There is also and businesses will have to adapt to a commitment to establish a struc- a new regime of customs paperwork ture for regulatory cooperation. But that was unnecessary when the U.K. that is a long way from establishing was part of the EU. concrete rules. Financial services and other Significantly, the TCA does not omissions. Other key areas of trade cover “passporting rights,” which were not addressed by the agree- have allowed U.K. financial firms to ment or rules were not finalized. operate in the EU under their U.K. 7 Skadden, Arps, Slate, Meagher & Flom LLP and Affiliates
The Brexit Deal Leaves Some Mighty Big Holes licenses. Options such as “enhanced In the meantime, many facets of equivalence” or mutual recognition the future economic trade between remain to be discussed, but the U.K. the EU and U.K. remain up in the air. may conclude that the price of agree- ing to an equivalence regime, which would allow firms to operate under Author their home state regulation for certain Simon Toms / London financial services, is too high. This could lead to significant regulatory divergence in coming years. 8 Skadden, Arps, Slate, Meagher & Flom LLP and Affiliates
The Informed Board / Winter 2021 ESG: Many Demands, Few Clear Rules Regulators and investors are pressing companies to act on ESG issues, but there are few agreed standards. What is a board to do? −− Boards can expect inves- Environmental, social and governance warming is limited to well below tors and regulators to issues (ESG) rose to the top of many 2ºC,” and to disclose how those demand increased disclo- agendas in 2020. Long-standing plans are “incorporated into … long- sure of ESG metrics. concerns about environmental issues term strategy and reviewed by your continued to be important, but the board of directors.” −− With no uniform set “S” in ESG came to the fore as the world faced COVID-19 and the Growing demand for disclosure of ESG standards, and a lack of uniform reporting companies with global issues raised by the Black Lives Matters movement. standards. The continuing growth operations may face a of ESG-focused investing, as well as hodgepodge of disclosure A focus on customers, employees, the increased emphasis that asset requirements. communities and other stakeholders managers and institutional investors will continue in 2021. We also expect are placing on ESG issues, is driving −− Investors will push for environmental issues to remain demand for ESG metrics. Nonprofit ESG to play a role in a significant topic with the Biden groups, governments and regulators executive compensation. administration’s recommitment to the have drafted or endorsed varying Paris Agreement and the upcoming approaches. But the proposed disclo- −− Directors need to be U.N. Climate Change Conference of sure regimes have varied by region fluent in these topics the Parties (COP26) in November. and there is a lack of consensus as when engaging with to which metrics are most relevant shareholders. For example, on January 26, asset or useful. With asset managers such manager BlackRock announced that as BlackRock putting their weight it will ask “companies to disclose a behind a move toward common plan for how their business model global standards, a core set of report- will be compatible with a net zero ing standards is likely to emerge in economy — that is, one where global the coming years. 9 Skadden, Arps, Slate, Meagher & Flom LLP and Affiliates
ESG: Many Demands, Few Clear Rules The United States: Asset manag- Meanwhile, Nasdaq has proposed ers BlackRock, State Street and amending its listing standards to Vanguard, among others, have require companies to enhance encouraged companies to follow their disclosures regarding director reporting standards set by the diversity. In addition, companies Sustainability Accounting Standards eventually would be required to have Board and the framework established at least one female director and at by the Task Force on Climate-related least one director from a racially or Financial Disclosures (TCFD), which ethnically diverse background or the was formed under the Basel, Switzer- LGBTQ community, or explain why land-based Financial Stability Board. their board lacks them. The United Kingdom and European Union: A proposal pending in the There is no company whose business model won’t U.K. would force more than 650 be profoundly affected by the transition to a net zero public companies, including all of economy — one that emits no more carbon dioxide those in the FTSE 100, to make the than it removes from the atmosphere by 2050 … environmental disclosures in line As the transition accelerates, companies with a well- with the TCFD recommendations by articulated long-term strategy, and a clear plan to the end of 2022. The rules would be address the transition to net zero, will distinguish extended to all large private compa- nies in the U.K. by 2023. themselves with their stakeholders — with customers, policymakers, employees and shareholders — by In the EU, new rules will require inspiring confidence that they can navigate this global fund managers to demonstrate how transformation. But companies that are not quickly ESG factors are being integrated into investment decisions. The European preparing themselves will see their businesses and Commission has also produced valuations suffer … " guidelines for companies on reporting –– Larry Fink / Chairman and CEO, BlackRock / 2021 Letter to CEOs, January 2021 climate change information. A patchwork of standards will Many expect the Securities and make compliance challenging. For Exchange Commission under the companies operating in multiple Biden administration to consider jurisdictions, the hodgepodge of rules rules requiring ESG disclosures, and guidelines may impose extensive potentially addressing climate but differing disclosures. change, workforce diversity and corporate political contributions, but The upshot: Companies need to no new rules are imminent. (Listen to begin preparing to comply with a short interview about possible ESG different reporting requirements initiatives by the SEC.) around the world. 10 Skadden, Arps, Slate, Meagher & Flom LLP and Affiliates
ESG: Many Demands, Few Clear Rules Some investors want executive holder activists have placed on ESG point out boards with no more than compensation tied to ESG perfor- issues, see “New Tactics and ESG one woman director, and in 2022 it mance. Many investors subscribe to Themes Take Shareholder Activism in will recommend against nominating the view that you get the results that New Directions.”) committee chairs of boards with you measure and reward, and we fewer than two female directors if the expect some investors to continue to Diversity will likely feature board has at least seven members. argue for ESG to play a part in setting prominently in 2021. Investors executive compensation. The U.K. continue to advocate that new Get ahead of ESG and communicate Investment Association, representing directors and executives better your progress. Boards and manage- 250 asset managers, Norway’s $1.3 reflect the societies within which ment teams need to understand trillion national oil fund and the $400 their companies operate. For the ESG changes that institutional billion Dutch civil pension fund ABP example, the New York City investors, activists and regulators have said that companies should Employees’ Retirement System are seeking, and how the various consider whether their remuneration advocates policies to ensure that disclosure mandates are shaping systems promote sustainable busi- a diverse range of candidates are up so they can address shareholder ness practices and progress on ESG considered when directors and concerns and respond to new disclo- issues. BlackRock has adopted proxy executives are named. sure guidelines and requirements. voting guidelines for EMEA compa- Proxy advisory services in the U.S. Although disclosure may not be nies stating that ESG-driven metrics will continue to play a role on these required, and guidelines vary across for remuneration should be specific issues. For example, starting in 2021, jurisdictions, waiting for mandatory or and linked to the achievement of Institutional Shareholder Services consistent disclosure regimes is not strategic objectives. will monitor the boards of compa- an option for most companies. Those Expect increasing pressure on ESG nies in the Russell 3000 and S&P that fail to tell their own ESG story issues. Boards can expect more 1500 indices and flag those with no will do so at their own peril. They are demands for accountability on ESG apparent racial or ethnic diversity. at risk of third parties painting a less matters in 2021, from investors and In 2022, ISS will recommend voting flattering and less accurate picture. other stakeholders. For example, against nominating committee chairs in 2020, major oil companies in the of these companies where a board U.S. and Europe faced shareholder lacks diversity. Authors campaigns demanding reduced Marc S. Gerber / Washington, D.C. Already, Glass Lewis, another proxy emissions, some spearheaded by Simon Toms / London advisor, generally votes against nomi- new ESG-focused activist funds. (For nating committee chairs of all-male a look at the new emphasis share- boards. Starting this year, it will 11 Skadden, Arps, Slate, Meagher & Flom LLP and Affiliates
The Informed Board / Winter 2021 Audio Interview: How Far Can the SEC Go? Opponents of mandatory disclosures about climate risk and diversity will argue that they exceed the agency’s authority — a five-minute chat with ex-SEC general counsel Robert Stebbins. −− Listen to the recording Opponents of mandatory disclosures to require ESG disclosures across the about climate risk and diversity will board even when these disclosures argue that they exceed the agency’s are not necessarily material to an authority — a six-minute chat with investor’s understanding of a compa- Robert Stebbins, the SEC’s general ny’s business. counsel until January. Bob, to start off, many people expect more rulemaking generally from the Transcript commission once Gensler is in place. Ann Beth Stebbins: This is Ann Beth Is that what you foresee? Stebbins. I’m a partner in Skadden’s Bob Stebbins: I do. Then at that point M&A Group, and I’m joined here there will be a 3-2 majority for the this morning by Bob Stebbins. Bob Democratic commissioners, Demo- was until January the general coun- cratically appointed commissioners. sel of the Securities and Exchange And I do think you’ll see rulemaking Commission, and he also happens obviously and at the focus, he hasn’t to be my husband. We’re going to really foreshadowed what his theo- discuss what direction the SEC might ries of emphasis are going to be yet, take under Gary Gensler, President but I think one could expect given Biden’s nominee for chairman. what we’ve been reading about There’s been a lot of speculation that for a good while now that ESG and a Democratic-controlled SEC may specific climate issues could be implement rules requiring corporate something, prescriptive requirements disclosures on ESG issues — every- relating thereto could be something thing from climate risks to diversity that they focus on. in the workplace. What I want to discuss today is the SEC’s authority 12 Skadden, Arps, Slate, Meagher & Flom LLP and Affiliates
Audio Interview: How Far Can the SEC Go? Ann Beth Stebbins: Right now the Ann Beth Stebbins: The other thing of reasons but it’s unrelated to the SEC does require under its current I’ve been thinking about is “how far SEC’s mission, that gets much trick- rules companies to disclose informa- can the SEC go in its rulemaking?” ier for the SEC and the courts. tion about climate. How are we going Clearly climate — and let’s just take to see a shift from what’s currently that for example, since we’ve been Ann Beth Stebbins: Some of these required to what we might expect to talking about it — is important to areas we are talking about are a little see required of companies? President Biden, and he will have gray. I mean investors obviously are legislative initiatives. He has already very interested in climate from a big Bob Stebbins: The big picture, rejoined the Paris climate accord. picture macro perspective. And you the way we view disclosure is we So you can expect executive-level have the BlackRocks, Vanguard, State think it’s important to a company to actions, which we’ve seen. You can Street all putting out white papers disclose everything that’s material expect bills to be introduced in the on climate and the importance of about their business and take a look legislature. But, how does the SEC’s climate. You have the big institutional at, think about when they think about rulemaking work alongside the legis- investors taking a stand on board their business, what’s material to lative and executive actions that we diversity. So it’s clearly important them and make sure that’s getting may see in this area? to big institutional investors, but I disclosed somewhere in their public guess what you’re thinking is “is that filings. What they’re talking about Bob Stebbins: Big picture of the material to an investment decision is something more prescriptive. So SEC, we always expect when we’re of Joe consumer, Mr. and Mrs. Main let’s say climate wasn’t a material drafting rules that everything that Street?” as Jay would’ve called them risk to you under a materiality-based we’re going to do is going to be under the Clayton SEC. standard, then at that point there’s challenged in court. And there have nothing to disclose. But, if you’re been instances, of course, where Bob Stebbins: Well I would say that, Exxon, obviously it is material, and so rules are struck down. It doesn’t I think that the rules you are talking we would expect to see a fair amount happen a lot, but it happens. So about, at least in the examples you of disclosure. What they’re talking when the SEC gets away from its gave, have a better chance of surviv- about is having prescriptive disclo- mission — it is a tripartite mission, ing than some of the other rules. You sures that would require everyone to including investor protection and can tie it to investors caring. To the make certain disclosures regardless taking care of the markets, and extent that it’s defensible and there is of how material or immaterial the capital formation is the third part — support that investors care about it, I risks are to the company. Well, that’s it’s tricky. And then things are going think there’s great chance these rules the tricky part, right? So when you to be judged certainly more closely are going to survive, right? do prescriptive requirements, you’re by the courts. So the SEC always Ann Beth Stebbins: Right. Thanks inserting your judgment about what’s needs to be cognizant of making sure a lot. important to investors, and the SEC that what it’s doing in rulemaking doesn’t really have expertise to do can be defended as something that that. That’s where it gets tricky, and the reasonable investor it’s material Author that’s always where it gets tricky on to and something they’re interested prescriptive requirements. in. And if it’s information that might Ann Beth Stebbins / New York be a very nice thing to do for a lot 13 Skadden, Arps, Slate, Meagher & Flom LLP and Affiliates
The Informed Board / Winter 2021 New Tactics and ESG Themes Take Shareholder Activism in New Directions The dividing lines between activist and private equity firms are blurring, and new types of activists are emerging. −− Activism is likely to Shareholder activism levels decreased and liquidity issues companies rebound as the business in 2020 amid the upheaval and faced in 2020 reduced M&A activity world recovers from uncertainty brought on by COVID-19. and made it harder for activists to COVID-19 disruptions. But activists did launch a number of advocate transformative deals, such high-profile campaigns and there was as the sale of a company, a breakup −− Some activists are raising an uptick of activism in the second or major divestiture, or a large permanent capital, giving half of the year; and more than 80 dividend payout. In addition, there them new leverage, and CEOs were replaced during activist were fewer announced deals for campaigns. activists to challenge. activist approaches have become more accept- Today, even well-performing compa- As the economy rebounds and able to many institutional nies may find themselves targets of business becomes more predictable, investors. activist campaigns on environmental activists are likely to press companies and social issues, as new funds have to undertake transactions and −− Even high-performing been formed to specialize in these advocate for changes to the deals companies may face areas. Moreover, established activists companies propose. pressure on ESG issues. have established new types of invest- ment vehicles that could strengthen COVID-19 problems may spur some −− The best defense is a their hands. Preparing for the possi- campaigns. Underperformance is solid relationship with bility of an activist campaign should another traditional target of activists. and understanding therefore be on the board agenda at As businesses struggle to cope with of your shareholders, most public companies. the challenges of the pandemic, or if a company’s stock price does not coupled with a plan for Expect an uptick in activism in 2021. return to pre-pandemic levels, some dealing with activists if Historically, many activist campaigns could find themselves vulnerable to they emerge. have focused on M&A and returns activists pressing for operational or of capital. The economic uncertainty governance changes. 14 Skadden, Arps, Slate, Meagher & Flom LLP and Affiliates
New Tactics and ESG Themes Take Shareholder Activism in New Directions Even companies with solid financial firms, pursuing outright acquisitions tional asset managers have now performance may face activists. or negotiating for large stakes in openly adopted activist tactics. For Environmental, social and governance companies for extended periods example, Wellington Management, (ESG) themes featured prominently (private investments in public enti- the largest shareholder of Bristol-My- in 2020 activist campaigns, and ties, or PIPEs). In 2020, three of ers Squibb, came out against the several factors are likely to accelerate the best-known names in activism, drugmaker’s $74 billion deal to buy that trend. Pershing Square, Starboard Value and biotech Celgene in 2019. Third Point, formed SPACs (special Many institutional investors, even purpose acquisition companies), shell This reflects a broader transition to managers of passive index funds, companies that raised capital to buy a more shareholder-centric model of have called for the business world businesses. One of the most influen- corporate governance. Potentially, to address environmental and social tial established activist firms, Elliott any investor with a clear agenda, issues such as diversity. (See Management, formed a buyout fund sufficient resources and the support “ESG: Many Demands, Few Clear in 2019. of a wide shareholder base can utilize Rules.”) Major American and Euro- activist tactics. pean oil companies, for instance, Meanwhile, some private equity have been pressed to lower their firms have pursued more activist-like Framing a Strategy emissions by activist groups that are strategies, and in some cases, activ- backed by major pension funds and ists have teamed up with strategics Given the evolution of activism, it is asset managers. or private equity firms on acquisi- vital for boards to ensure that their tions. Since activists often zero in companies have strategies to address Some established activists have on management and operational activist pressure. recently formed ESG-focused funds shortcomings, a buyout is a logical alongside their regular pools to Shareholder engagement is the next step. target companies they contend have best defense. Ongoing dialogue with not met ESG standards, and some These moves may alter the calculus shareholders is the best preventive veteran activists, including ValueAct for companies in some situations, strategy. Know your most significant founder Jeff Ubben, have formed because an activist investor with shareholders and understand their new ESG-only activist firms. Other sufficient capital and a proven willing- investment theses. Engagement with new ESG funds have been formed by ness to take a long-term position in a shareholders more broadly allows groups with few ties to established company or to take it private poses a management to build relationships, activist firms. more serious threat than one known articulate the company’s strategy and only for saber-rattling and then trad- establish the credibility that manage- Boards need to prepare for this ing out of the stock. ment and the board will need in the new set of players and their event an activist surfaces. agendas, paying close attention to Traditional investors have become their companies’ ESG profiles and more open to activism. Over the last Executives usually take the lead in ratings, and not just the financial few years, as activism has become communications with shareholders, vulnerabilities that traditionally more accepted, some long-only but direct engagement by indepen- attracted activists’ attention. asset managers, including money dent directors is becoming more managers, have supported activist common, particularly regarding The lines between activists and campaigns where they thought it subjects under the board’s purview, other investors are blurring. A would increase the value of their such as executive compensation, number of major activist firms have investments. Usually, this has been capital allocation and succession plan- begun acting more like private equity behind the scenes, but some tradi- ning, and when a company is facing 15 Skadden, Arps, Slate, Meagher & Flom LLP and Affiliates
New Tactics and ESG Themes Take Shareholder Activism in New Directions Activist Campaigns 586 Jan-Dec 2020 567 566 576 581 572 569 555 563 554 550 546 22 19 20 15 16 14 Open Campaigns at Month-End 12 New Campaigns at Month-End 8 8 9 6 5 Source: ActivistMonitor/Merger Market Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec major challenges. A company needs substantial stake, assemble a team to weigh the pros and cons of using of advisers and prepare a playbook a director in this role, and give careful in case an activist emerges. Another thought to the choice of directors and tool being used more frequently is prepare them thoroughly. a “table-top” simulation of different activist scenarios to test and refine a Assess vulnerabilities and prepare company’s reactions. responses. Proactively review your company’s vulnerabilities ahead of Early board involvement is critical. If any activist approach, looking at the an activist surfaces, it is crucial that business from the activist’s perspec- management alerts the board imme- tive. Consider whether alternative diately so directors are educated and financial and business strategies (say, are actively involved in the response. a divestiture, spinoff or enhanced To avoid missteps, the board and return of capital) could boost share- management must be aligned in their holder value. An open-minded review approach and coordinate both internal can go a long way toward reducing and external communications. the risk of an activist intervention. Develop a defensive plan. Implement Authors a stock surveillance warning system to monitor new shareholdings, have Richard J. Grossman / New York a shareholder rights plan ready to Neil P. Stronski / New York implement if an activist acquires a 16 Skadden, Arps, Slate, Meagher & Flom LLP and Affiliates
The Informed Board / Winter 2021 Get Used to the New Normal in US-China Trade Relations Restrictions are unlikely to loosen under the new administration because there is bipartisan support now for taking a hard line with China. −− Tariffs and other restric- The restrictions the United States Our Predictions tions on trade with China and China placed on trade with each other during the Trump administration Given the new bipartisan consen- are unlikely to change are unlikely to change significantly sus, President Biden will be under significantly under the pressure to be “tough on China.” As under the Biden administration. Biden administration, so a result, we expect that the Biden Over the past four years, bipartisan companies will have to administration will retain virtually all support developed for a more aggres- adapt their operations sive policy toward China on trade, of the measures taken by the Trump and supply chains accord- and the countries’ trade disputes are administration against China. Here is ingly. now intertwined with strategic and what to expect more specifically: human rights issues, making them −− A bipartisan consensus more difficult to resolve. Tariffs are likely to remain in place. has developed supporting Approximately $370 billion of Chinese many of the Trump admin- Companies therefore need to prepare imports into the U.S. are subject istration’s policies toward for this new normal: an extended to the tariffs imposed since 2018. period of tariffs, export controls and The Biden administration is unlikely China. other barriers to trade and invest- to remove or reduce these without −− Trade disputes are closely ment, particularly in high tech. The receiving something in return. It will linked to other strategic Chinese and American economies be difficult for China to make conces- are too deeply linked to fully decou- sions with respect to the primary tensions between the ple, but some relationships will likely sticking points: industrial subsidies, U.S. and China. be unwound and new ones will be cyber intrusions, and state direction slower to form. and control over Chinese companies. 17 Skadden, Arps, Slate, Meagher & Flom LLP and Affiliates
Get Used to the New Normal in US-China Trade Relations Export control measures will The new administration may take –– President Biden may impose sanc- continue to tighten. It is unlikely that stronger action with respect to forced tions on parties perceived to be the Biden administration will remove labor and other perceived human undermining democratic processes Chinese firms from the so-called rights abuses. For example: and institutions in Hong Kong. “Entity List” of companies that are severely restricted in their purchases –– It may take a broader approach and target companies outside of Xinji- Other Restrictions Affecting of U.S. goods, software and tech- Chinese Companies nology. Moreover, recently tightened ang that allegedly use forced labor “military end use” rules impose provided by “vocational centers” in The Biden administration’s policy similar controls in many cases. The Xinjiang that the U.S. claims target decisions will take place against the new administration will also continue the province’s ethnic minorities, background of other recent measures to identify and control “emerging and including Uyghurs, or have other limiting Chinese operations and foundational technologies” that will indirect ties to the alleged use of capital-raising in the U.S. further restrict Chinese companies’ forced labor in Xinjiang. In August, President Trump signed ability to access U.S. technology. –– Most products sourced in whole or executive orders barring the sale of For its part, China may retaliate by in part from Xinjiang will likely be two popular apps for Chinese internet using its own version of the Entity banned. There was strong biparti- firms, TikTok and WeChat, out of List — the “Unreliable Entities List” san support for the Uyghur Forced concern that the Chinese government — against U.S. companies to block Labor Prevention Act (UFLPA) could collect personal data of Amer- them from trading with or investing in 2020, and similar legislation ican citizens using the platforms. in China. has been introduced in the new (Both orders were later enjoined by The U.S. likely will allow SMIC session of Congress. This legisla- federal courts.) to buy some semiconductor tion would create a presumption that all goods sourced from Xinji- In November, President Trump technology. China’s leading ang are made with forced labor issued an executive order barring semiconductor company, SMIC, and thus are barred from importa- Americans from investing in the secu- was added to the Entity List in tion into the United States. rities of companies with ties to the December. We do not expect the Chinese military. The New York Stock Biden administration to remove it, –– Apart from the UFLPA, we Exchange indicated that it would but, given SMIC’s importance as a expect U.S. Customs and Border delist three Chinese telecoms compa- supplier to many U.S. companies, Protection to continue and, in fact, nies identified by the government in we expect the government will grant intensify its efforts to investigate order to comply. In addition, the Hold- export licenses for less sensitive the supply chains for imports from ing Foreign Companies Accountable technology that SMIC wants. Xinjiang and bar products that are Act was signed into law in Decem- The Biden administration will made through forced labor. ber. It prohibits a foreign company’s emphasize human rights. In 2019 securities from being listed or traded –– The impact of these measures and 2020, the U.S. imposed sanc- on U.S. exchanges if the company’s would extend well beyond the tions and export restrictions on an financial statements are not subject apparel industry, which relies on array of entities and individuals in to inspection by the U.S. Public cotton from Xinjiang. For example, China, based on their activities in Company Accounting Oversight a significant portion of the global Xinjiang province, Hong Kong and the Board for three consecutive years supply of the polysilicon used in South China Sea, reflecting human beginning in 2021 — inspections that solar panels comes from Xinjiang. rights and security concerns. China thus far has not allowed. 18 Skadden, Arps, Slate, Meagher & Flom LLP and Affiliates
Get Used to the New Normal in US-China Trade Relations In early January, President Trump not already altered their sources of issued an executive order banning supply will need to consider changes. transactions with eight additional In many cases, that will entail find- Chinese apps, including Alipay. ing new suppliers in countries such as Vietnam, Thailand and Mexico, The Future for US and either on an exclusive basis or as Chinese Companies parallel “China-plus-one” alternatives. Measures such as the UFLPA, export Supply chains will be altered indef- controls and sanctions may also initely. Since U.S. tariffs are likely necessitate changes to American to remain in effect for some time, companies’ supply chains. American companies that have US Trade in Goods With China 2011-2020 600 400 Two-Way Trade Total Imports Exports 200 Source: U.S. Census Bureau (data in USD billions) 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Chinese FDI Into the United States 8.78 2014-2020 1.98 3.33 Minority Stakes 1.30 Greenfields 0.93 2.22 0.43 1.77 1.93 0.82 1.07 0.55 1.04 Source: Rhodium (data in USD billions) 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 19 Skadden, Arps, Slate, Meagher & Flom LLP and Affiliates
Get Used to the New Normal in US-China Trade Relations For their part, Chinese companies will We expect that Chinese investors will continue to explore ways to become primarily invest in the U.S. market less reliant on U.S. technology, given through passive minority stakes in the tightening of U.S. export controls. investment funds, certain forms of venture capital and greenfield opera- Chinese investment in the United tions, which are not subject to CFIUS States will remain at relatively low reviews. Lower levels of Chinese levels. Since the onset of the trade investment may create opportunities war, Chinese investment in the U.S. for investors from other countries. has plunged, and it is likely to remain at relatively low levels for some time. In part, the drop reflects an Authors expansion since 2018 of the authority of the Committee on Foreign Invest- Jeffrey Gerrish / Washington, D.C. ment in the United States (CFIUS), Brooks Allen / Washington, D.C. which reviews foreign investments on national security grounds. CFIUS has recommended blocking or unwinding several Chinese invest- ments in recent years, which has had a chilling effect. 20 Skadden, Arps, Slate, Meagher & Flom LLP and Affiliates
Contacts Brian D. Christiansen Michael E. Leiter Ann Beth Stebbins Partner / Washington, D.C. Partner / Washington, D.C. Partner / New York 202.371.7852 202.371.7540 212.735.2660 brian.christiansen@skadden.com michael.leiter@skadden.com annbeth.stebbins@skadden.com Marc S. Gerber Maxim Mayer-Cesiano Neil P. Stronski Partner / Washington, D.C. Partner / New York Partner / New York 202.371.7233 212.735.2297 212.735.2839 marc.gerber@skadden.com maxim.mayercesiano@skadden.com neil.stronski@skadden.com Jeffrey Gerrish Sven G. Mickisch Simon Toms Partner / Washington, D.C. Partner / New York Partner / London 202.371.7670 212.735.3554 44.20.7519.7085 jeffrey.gerrish@skadden.com sven.mickisch@skadden.com simon.toms@skadden.com Richard J. Grossman Sonia K. Nijjar Brooks E. Allen Partner / New York Partner / Palo Alto Counsel / Washington, D.C. 212.735.2116 650.470.4592 202.371.7598 richard.grossman@skadden.com sonia.nijjar@skadden.com brooks.allen@skadden.com Ken D. Kumayama William Ridgway Austin K. Brown Partner / Palo Alto Partner / Chicago Counsel / Washington, D.C. 650.470.4553 312.407.0449 202.371.7142 ken.kumayama@skadden.com william.ridgway@skadden.com austin.brown@skadden.com View past editions / You can find all Informed Board articles here. This communication is provided by Skadden, Arps, Slate, Meagher & Flom LLP and its affiliates for educational and informational purposes only and is not intended and should not be construed as legal advice. This communication is considered advertising under applicable state laws. Skadden, Arps, Slate, Meagher & Flom LLP One Manhattan West New York, NY 10001 212.735.3000 skadden.com 21 Skadden, Arps, Slate, Meagher & Flom LLP and Affiliates
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