Wealth + Innovation + Natural resources Abstract of the 2020 Thuringia Trend Atlas
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Contents Contents Foreword – Matthias Machnig 4 1 Growth for Thuringia 6 2 Thuringia’s return to the centre of Germany 8 2.1 Thuringia: making a comeback since 1991 8 2.2 Thuringia today: challenges and potential for the future 10 3 Opportunities for Thuringia: using global megatrends 14 3.1 2020: future growth from megatrends 14 3.2 Potential areas of growth for Thuringia 15 4 Recommendations and impetus 23 4.1 Focusing economic promotion on the areas of growth 23 4.2 Transforming the instruments for promoting economic development and establishing economic policy expertise 24 4.3 Promoting company growth 25 4.4 Promoting company cooperation 27 4.5 Boosting business start-ups and entrepreneurial cultures 28 4.6 Actively opening up potential international markets and creating sustainable structures – primarily for SMEs 30 4.7 Strengthening funding for technology 31 4.8 Developing science and research 34 4.9 Systematising and accelerating the commercialisation of research results 35 4.10 Guaranteeing effective infrastructure 36 4.11 Securing and strengthening investment expenditure 38 4.12 Prioritising industry and industrial services 39 4.13 Developing the Thuringia Aufbaubank (development bank) into the Landesstrukturbank (regional structural bank) 40 4.14 Securing the supply of skilled workers 41 4.15 Modernising administrative structures 43 4.16 Improving cluster management and strengthening regional networks 44 Be bold for the future 46 Imprint 48 3
Foreword Dear Readers, Thuringia is one of the most attractive invest- ment locations in Germany. A few years ago, anyone who ventured to say this in public would probably have been greeted by disbe- lieving amazement and derisive comments. Bavaria, Baden-Württemberg, yes, probably also Hesse or Hamburg, maybe Saxony — but and simplistic view of the new federal states Thuringia? of Germany as the ’east’ is no longer in keeping with the times; the same goes for the Times have changed. The assertion that Thur- idea of their ’reconstruction’. Now we need to ingia is one of the most attractive investment consolidate our achievements and every fed- locations in Germany does not by any means eral state has to find their own way of doing come from Thuringia. It is the result of an ana- so. We are therefore moving from the decades lysis by the renowned American trade journal of reconstruction in the east into Thuringia’s ‘Site Selection’. phase of development. The ranking by international experts demon- The time has come to honestly take stock of strates that a lot has been done since Thuringia the situation. How has Thuringia developed, moved to the centre of a united Germany in what are its strengths, but also its weak- 1990. This success is primarily due to the nesses, and what are the central challenges people of Thuringia, the companies and the that Thuringia is going to have to face in the employees whose courage and determination, coming years? We must get to the bottom of hard work and intelligent investments have these questions to set the right course for the resulted in the state staging an unparalleled future. The Thuringia State Ministry for Econ- economic comeback. However, our achieve- omics, Labour and Technology has therefore ments should not give us cause for compla- commissioned the renowned Roland Berger cency. Whoever stands still falls behind; if we Strategy Consultants to carefully examine content ourselves with updating the past, we Thuringia as a business location and produce will end up on the losing side. The past 20 recommendations for Thuringia’s economic years have been greatly influenced by the and location policies. ‘Aufbau Ost’ reconstruction programme in the former East German states. But this phase is The analysis is not just limited to survey- now on the home straight. The sweeping ing Thuringia as a location and identifying 4
Foreword the strengths and weaknesses, risks and Roland Berger has produced a comprehensive opportunities. The Roland-Berger study goes report, the summary of which you have in further, placing the economic development front of you. The complete work in German, of Thuringia in a global context. On the face ‘Trendatlas Thüringen 2020’, is on sale in of it, this may seem presumptuous, but it is bookshops nationwide. We chose this title absolutely vital: merely considering Thuringia because the characteristic of the trend atlas without looking at the bigger picture would is to primarily take into account those dynamic be to neglect a vital element. Global industries which particularly profit from the developments take place globally – and even global megatrends. Of course, at the same Thuringia needs to bear these in mind. The time, we have to ensure that other industries climate is also changing in our free state, which are not named explicitly, yet are still medical progress happily does not stop at our the primary pillars of the Thuringia economy, state borders and the finite nature of fossil do not disappear from our field of vision and fuels also affects companies and private receive adequate support in our economic households in Erfurt and Jena, Gera and policies. Weimar. Climate change, energy efficiency On the following pages, you will find the and medical progress: just three of the global abridged version of the recommendations for megatrends that are also of great importance the economic and location policies with which to Thuringia and offer potential for growth and Thuringia can continue to defend its top pos- employment. ition as one of the most attractive investment That is why global megatrends must be locations in Germany throughout this decade. reflected with the potential for Thuringia’s We are delighted to invite you to join the dia- economy. This makes it clear that we are well logue concerning our economic policies. We prepared in many areas. Our optics compa- are calling for everyone to work together with nies enjoy an excellent reputation worldwide the players at local and regional level and and medical technology firms contribute to business, the sciences and the state govern- Thuringia’s booming health sector. We are an ment on the ‘Thüringen 2020’ concept. important location for the solar power industry and universities in Jena, Ilmenau, Erfurt and Yours sincerely, Weimar prepare our young people for the challenges of the globalised labour market. In other areas, Thuringia still needs to catch up: from the very low investments in research and Matthias Machnig development to the struggle for the smartest Thuringia Minister for Economy, minds which began long ago under the head- Labour and Technology ing ‘skills shortage’. 5
1 Growth for Thuringia 1 Growth for Thuringia Consolidating strengths and sustainably tunities, demographic changes, economic strengthening investments, innovation and restructuring working to endorse an efficiency internationalisation revolution (energy/resources). Economic policies are never a question of Innovation is the key to securing the eco- dealing with current problems – economic nomic future. Modern economic policies are policies are always about structuring the therefore also always innovation policies, future. The more dynamic the changes, the because a sustainable economic policy is greater the need to develop smart solutions. more than just the lack of an economic crisis. A self-supporting upturn and stable growth Ideas that reach out beyond the short-term can only be achieved when we succeed in political events have to be developed, and a recognising the great challenges of the fu- further horizon is needed. The idea is to ture as opportunities: globalisation, location deduce potential demand from the most competition, the acceleration of technologi- significant and reliable trends for the next cal progress, dynamic employment oppor- 20 years and thereby grant a long-term A sustainable economic policy engages current strengths with short-term potential and long-term trends. 6
1 Growth for Thuringia sustainable direction to the economic economic dialogue, global developments are development in Thuringia and its economic taken into account by local actors. policies. Experience, expertise and objectivity are Such an analysis requires the integration of needed for this kind of analysis. That is why both current strengths and short-term poten- the Thuringian Ministry for Economy, Labour tial and long-term trends as well as the and Technology (TMWAT) has sought expert resulting markets. knowledge and expert experience. The Roland Berger Strategy Consultants (RBSC) For this, the ‘bottom-up’ approach of the have looked at the bigger picture for the concepts, strengths and strategies that are TMWAT, investigating 30 global megatrends familiar in Thuringia has to be supplemen- and 259 trend areas, and relating these to ted with a previously neglected ‘top-down’ the free state. In doing so, they fell back on perspective. The aim is to look at the potential the expertise of other experts from research changes and derive from them opportunities establishments and industry associations – for the regional economy. In a sustained some 4,500 Thuringia-based companies took part via a survey. Finally, 11 areas of growth were identified for Thuringia’s economy. The result is a port- folio strategy which consolidates existing strengths while developing new ones, concentrates on a few promising areas of growth and strengthens investments and support in the medium term. These recommendations should serve as signposts for the future economic direction and development of the free state. Specific recommendations for Thuringia’s economic policies have been developed taking into account Thuringia’s recent history, the current challenges and potential of the fed- eral state, future global megatrends and potential areas of growth. 7
2 Thuringia’s return to the centre of Germany 2 Thuringia’s return to the centre of Germany 2.1 Thuringia: making a comeback since 1991 The economic development of the last 20 years speed of growth among the eastern German has been a success story – thanks to many states to date approached the lower federal company founders and employees, as well average. The development of productivity as federal and state policies that have also also slackened. In the two decades after played their part. the fall of the Berlin Wall, industry and production-related services were the drivers Since reunification, the Free State of Thurin- of growth in the free state. In the second gia has made a massive effort to success- decade, 75% of total growth in the Thuringian fully restructure its economy from a state- economy was already accounted for by these directed economy to the market economy two areas. and has laid stable foundations for further development in the 21st century. Never- Industry and production-related services theless, substantial regional differences, are the basis of Thuringia’s leading position continuing structural problems and a lack of in comparison with the other eastern German modernisation require new responses. federal states. The free state is the captain of business growth. Yet the gross value added As Thuringia also started with a relatively per earner in Thuringia today is around low level of economic development, the 12,000 euros below the national average. ascent was initially very fast. The stunning comeback in the first ten years following the But only by moving at a faster rate than the fall of the Berlin Wall was, however, followed region in front can we close the ranks. The by a slower second post-reunification de- rate of growth in the Thuringian economy cade. Between 2000 and 2008, the highest and in the industry, in particular, has to be accelerated again. 8
2 Thuringia’s return to the centre of Germany 1st decade 2nd decade 34 22 20 Thuringia 18 Germany 16 growth GVA 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 Annual growth rate of gross value added as a comparison between Thuringia and Germany (D) [%] (source: Destatis). 9
2 Thuringia’s return to the centre of Germany 2.2 Thuringia today: challenges and potential for the future En route to becoming one of the leading processes lead to competitive products. and most dynamic locations in Germany, Innovations are also an essential key for there are structural problems that must be productive and competitive workplaces. overcome. In addition to migration, the low Thuringia is significantly below the German level of research intensity and the lack of average, both for the number of patents filed taxpaying ability, the small size of firms is a and the research and development expend- predominant factor. Only 0.3% of all Thuringia- iture (R & D) per earner as a measurement of based companies employ more than 250 innovation capacity. The lack of expenditure people. Only a fraction of the few larger is in large part to be ascribed to the low level companies are listed on the stock exchange of research and development, due to the lack and only a few headquarters are based in of large research-led companies. the state. The lack of large companies means that the free state lacks the natural core As well as innovation, it is primarily invest- of investment, innovation and also export ment that increases technical progress in the strength. The results are low market power company. Without investment, innovation and innovation dynamics. An innovation- is unthinkable. Innovation is the natural oriented economic policy must take account prerequisite for the emergence of growth, of these structural problems. and we therefore have to invest more in it. R & D expenditure as a share GDP is under The five ‘I’s are the critical factors for a two percent in the free state. A glance at the sustainable and successful economy for Lisbon Strategy goals reveals how inadequate tomorrow: the endeavours in Thuringia have been up to > Innovation. now: the three percent marker was the aim by 2010, in order to become one of the most > Investment. dynamic economic regions in the world. A > Infrastructure. prerequisite for investment is for investors to be established here. > Internationalisation. Investors need to be attracted; an attractive > Integration of talented individuals environment with high-performance and and workers. modern infrastructure contributes to this. Growth is generated first and foremost where Besides the economy-oriented infrastructure, innovative developments and production such as sufficient industrial and commercial 10
2. Thuringia`s return to the centre of Germany Here, investments are in demand: research and development are the driver of technological progress. premises, the entire transport infrastructure for instance, by completing ongoing transport and connection to (high) capacity data projects. networks form part of a location’s attractive- Apart from opening up new markets in ness. Germany, the path to increasing economic Initial, important steps have already been growth also depends predominantly on taken in this area with the large industrial participating in the above-average growth space and broadband initiative. This extends opportunities on the international market. the range of attractive industrial and com- As a result of the correlation between share mercial premises and increases the level of of exports and growth in sales, energetic connection of the rural area to broadband. endeavours should be made to close the However, there is a further need for action – globalisation gap. Targeted and supported 11
2 Thuringia’s return to the centre of Germany development of foreign markets with the particular, the emigration of well-educated greatest growth prospects can generate young people – is leading to the deterioration additional growth in Thuringia. Measures of the workforce potential. Over the last ten such as the introduction of ‘technology years, a decrease of 11% has been recorded. scouts’ are appropriate methods. In a few professional fields today, there is already a visible lack of highly qualified skilled Another necessary requirement for the in- workers, and this is only going to get worse. crease in growth is, above all, the availability Talented young people must be attracted to of sufficient skilled workers resulting from Thuringia and encouraged to stay here. the integration of wide-ranging talents and skills in the labour market. In 2010, the The future belongs to the region that identi- population of Thuringia fell by 46 residents fies the lead markets – in other words, those every day. The demographic change – and, in areas in which the greatest bursts of growth Innovation is an important key for modern, sustainable jobs. 12
2 Thuringia’s return to the centre of Germany are to be expected in the coming years. > Engineering. First, we should stress that the strengths In addition, there are four cross-sectional in Thuringia today are also the strengths of technologies: tomorrow. Innovation is an important key for modern, sustainable jobs. > Plastics and ceramics. Previous analyses leave no doubt that > Micro- and nanotechnology. industry and production-related services will > Measurement and control technology. also continue to form the backbone of the Thuringia economy – especially due to the > Optics/Optoelectronics. spillover effects. The areas that profit from These fields of technology drive growth and this are those that are more geared to local jobs in all industries – significant synergies and regional distribution such as agriculture are also expected between these individual and forestry, the building industry, trade, and fields, thus amplifying the impact. the hotel and restaurant industry as well as household-related services. When listing the economic strengths of Thuringia, one industry above all cannot go Using the criteria strength (share of industrial unmentioned: the food industry. It is of huge employees in employment), dynamism economic importance, drives employment (gross value added [GVA] and employment and supports innovation, thus making it of growth) and sustainability (R & D activities vitally important to the free state. In Thuringia, and network structures), eight areas have it is the second sector in terms of industry been identified in industry and production- turnover and third in terms of employment. related services which could, and in all To sustainably strengthen the food industry, likelihood will, drive growth in the region. a cluster must be formed in this sector. A The focus is on four application-oriented cluster summit later this year will act as a technologies: catalyst in this process. > The automotive industry. > Life sciences. > Environmentally friendly energies and energy storage. 13
3 Opportunities for Thuringia: using global megatrends 3 Opportunities for Thuringia: using global megatrends 3.1 2020: future growth from megatrends A signpost for the future sustainable direc- technological development and a variety tion of Thuringia’s economic policies natur- of interviews with experts have helped us ally remains incomplete if we only analyse predict how Thuringia can profit from the existing strengths. worldwide developments that are apparent today. The central question is: what are the de- cisive global areas of growth for tomorrow Through a complex process of analysis and and the day after tomorrow, and what can deduction, we were able to determine that be done to ensure that the free state, com- there are altogether 11 promising areas of panies and the people of Thuringia take ad- growth with great potential for Thuringia’s vantage of the dynamism of these markets? economy. Eight of them are old friends in Thuringia and are already listed above. In It is necessary to determine an exact road addition to these four application-oriented map for the economic-policy route to the and four cross-sectional technologies, three year 2020. This is possible. The next decade budding areas – known as ‘trend-induced is not entirely unknown terrain. Today, there areas of growth’ – could be identified from are already clues for credible predictions. the highly relevant megatrends. These are: RBSC compiled a ‘trend compendium’ based on economics for the World Economic Forum > Green technology (excluding energy gener- in Davos that described which megatrends ation and energy storage). will shape future economic development. This > Service robotics. compendium was also used to establish this roadmap. Complementary studies on global > Creative industries / Edutainment. as well as regional aspects of economic and 14
3. Opportunities for Thuringia: Using global megatrends Which megatrends are shaping our future? According to predictions, the photovoltaic industry is one of the areas of growth. 3.2 Potential areas of growth for Thuringia It appears that Thuringia can adapt to the In close collaboration with Thuringia experts, areas of growth driven by trends. There are recommendations have been formulated that eight sectors which are solidly established will help to change the positioning of compa- and from which economic momentum can nies in such a way that enables greater market be developed. It will be the task of future success. economic policies to increase the pace, on the basis of the five ‘I’s and with the right The prediction shows that the targeted devel- new additions. To ensure that the potential opment of the 11 areas of growth in Thurin- growth in the 11 sectors named is actually gia by 2020 can bring about an increase in realised, the right course needs to be set. gross added value of up to 67–77% in the 15
3 Opportunities for Thuringia: using global megatrends eight application-oriented and cross-sectio- in the added value of 2.9–3.3 and 1.0–1.1 nal technologies, up to 89–100% in the trend- billion euros respectively and the creation of induced areas of growth and a rise in employ- almost 36,000–44,000 and 11,000–13,000 ment of up to 39–48% and up to 57–66% new jobs respectively. respectively. This means an outright increase Since green technology, a central key technology of the future, plays an important role in all areas and is closely interwoven with them, in the future it will no longer be possible to strictly separate the individual sectors and simply add them up. Below is an overview of the concepts for 2020 that are specific to areas of growth – in the sense of ‘future concepts’ – and the most important recommendations: Automotive Automotive suppliers will concentrate on high-quality systems and be strongly inte- grated along the value chain. They will have to tackle the development of skills in the field of sustainable mobility together. The industry will develop its primary role as an employer in Thuringia by 2020. Priority measures: > Strengthening research and development expertise and increasing systems expertise through intensive use of the Thuringia Cen- tre for Innovation and Mobility (ThIMo). > Setting up a support unit for collaborative Well positioned in the areas of growth: Thuringia research projects. can look to the future with optimism. 16
3 Opportunities for Thuringia: using global megatrends Gross value added and number of persons employed in application and cross-sectional technologies, as well as the trend-induc growth areas for 2020 (Source: Roland Berger Strategy Consultants) GVA change 2008–20 Percentage change Persons employed Percentage change (in millions of euros) compared to 2008 change 2008–20 compared to 2008 Application technologies Automotive +720–810 +80–90% +10,500–12,400 +51–60% Biotechnology +140–150 +140–150% +1,600–1,800 +100–113% Medical technology +270–300 +123–136% +3,800–4,300 +83–93% Energy and energy storage +470–530 +104–118% +7,100–8,100 +73–84% Engineering +220–300 +20–27% +1,500–3,000 +6–13% Cross-sectional technologies Plastics and ceramics +520–610 +55–64% +6,100–7,700 +30–38% Micro- and nanotechnology +90–100 +69–77% +1,000–2,400 +34–55% Measuring and control +180–210 +72–84% +2,100–1,300 +48–45% Optics +270–290 +135–145% +1,900–2,600 +46–63% TOTAL +2,880–3,300 +67–77% +35,600–43,600 +39–48% Trend-induced growth areas Green technology +820–930 + 82–93% +9,400–11,000 +52–61% Service robotics +8–9 +73–82% +100–120 +48–52% Edutainment +120–130 +200–217% +1,500–1,600 +167–178% TOTAL +950–1,070 +89–100% +11,000–12,700 +57–66% Gross value added and number of persons employed in application and cross-sectional technologies, as well as the trend-induced growth areas for 2020 (source: Roland Berger Strategy Consultants). 17
3 Opportunities for Thuringia: using global megatrends Life sciences – biotechnology Environmentally friendly energies and medical technology and energy storage In 2020, the biotechnology sector will be The photovoltaic industry in Thuringia will present worldwide in markets for bio- withstand the international competition instruments, sepsis diagnostics and thera- through pioneering technology and econ- peutics. To become niche leaders in tech- omies of scale. A new research institution nology, targeted existing strengths must be for process optimisation will help to reduce built on and tied in with the sector again. the costs. Thuringia can particularly profit from strong growth in ‘red’ biotechnology. Priority measures: > Development of a centre of excellence for Priority measures: solar production technology. > Even closer cooperation between scientists and industry. Engineering Improved access to venture In 2020, engineering will lead the field with and equity capital energy-efficient machines and account for high-quality stages in the value chain. The In 2020, medical technology in Thuringia will theme of energy efficiency must therefore be among the best in the world for opto- be promoted in R & D and simple production technological products and prosthetics. Sci- steps must be outsourced in the long term. ence and industry will have to conduct joint Engineering will grow further to a high level research and convert ideas from practice by 2020 and create additional jobs. into products. By 2020, medical technology will grow strongly and really drive growth, Priority measures: predominantly through exports. > Foundation of an interdisciplinary applica- Priority measures: tion centre for manufacturing technology. > Foundation of an ‘Application and Develop- > Promotion of close integration of engineer- ment’ network for joint, practical research and ing with other sectors and with the cross- development by scientists and the industry. sectional technologies in Thuringia. 18
3 Opportunities for Thuringia: using global megatrends Plastics and ceramics Priority measures: In order to remain competitive, the plastics > Production of common system capabilities industry will concentrate on promising within the network and the improvement of sectors like automotive engineering or founding conditions. ‘green’ building services engineering. Cer- > Rise in the number of members in the amics have attractive special applications. Mikro-Nanotechnologie Thüringen e. V. Plastics and ceramics will strongly increase (MNT) network. in both added value and employment by 2020. Priority measures: > Regular screening of innovative possible applications and trends for materials and joint related collaborative projects. > Close interconnection with the respective application sectors. Micro- and nanotechnology Close interlocking of excellent research and application will lead to strong growth in the micro- and nanotechnology industry. The excellent research will be quickly converted into marketable products. Micro- and nanotechnology themselves will grow strongly according to conservative estima- tes and will have great upward potential. Future from the laboratory: research as a foundation for the technologies of tomorrow. 19
3 Opportunities for Thuringia: using global megatrends Measurement and control technology dynamism must be transmitted even more intensely into new products and establish- Measurement and control technology manu- ments with new jobs. By 2020, the optics facturers will together implement innova- industry will have more than doubled its tive measurement and control technology added value and be one of the cross-sectional solutions, e.g. for reducing the consumption technologies with the greatest potential for of energy and resources in buildings and ma- applications. chines. To do so, measurement and control technology companies will have to dispel Priority measures: reservations about cooperation within their network structures and find joint projects. > Accelerated growth through the revival of By 2020, the measurement and control the start-up impetus in a ‘second start-up technology industry will be growing through wave’. diverse applications and cross-sectional > Support of the broad and rapid conversion technologies. of research results into products and applica- tions. Priority measures: > Complete maximisation of the potential for Green technology innovation within the industry, including through cooperation and collaborative A shared ‘green’ industry identity connects projects in the Elektronische Mess- und Ge- companies from various sectors which, even rätetechnik Thüringen eG (ELMUG) network. at an international level, compete together for green projects and also implement them. > Joint research projects with areas of appli- Focal points are the fields of green building cation. services engineering and sustainable water management. Optics/Optoelectronics In green building services engineering, the In 2020, the Thuringia-based components companies will build and renovate buildings suppliers will have become integrated sys- in and around Thuringia together. By provid- tems manufacturers with problem-solving ing a ‘one-stop shop’ range, an efficiency expertise that occupy future markets like platform will create demand for building green photonics. For this, the research restoration. 20
3 Opportunities for Thuringia: using global megatrends Priority measures: of cooperation partners will be central for the development of pioneering products. > Foundation of an efficiency platform which Over the next few years, robotics will remain brings together and communicates the small, yet it has a high future potential. offers of Thuringia-based companies. With innovative niche technologies, the water Priority measures: management sector in Thuringia will supply > Foundation of a robotics centre. international markets according to their needs. In cooperation with cross-sectional > Procurement of subsidies from the German technologies, the companies will be develop- federal government and the EU through a ing innovative, sustainable products. Today, central contact point. water management is already an important sector and will be able to further grow through the ‘green’ development of foreign Creative industries / Edutainment markets. Besides the prominent significance of production-related services for a sustainable Priority measures: burst of growth in the Thuringian economy, > Creation of a state map of Thuringia-based the combination of the sub-segments of the expertise in the field of green technology creative industries, software/games indus- by the Thuringia Energie- und GreenTech- try and film and broadcasting industries in Agentur (ThEGA). the edutainment field of growth promise an exciting starting-point for potentially sensa- > Formation of working groups for specific tional growth. needs of diverse foreign markets. ‘Edutainment’ brings together ‘education’ and ‘entertainment’ to provide knowledge Service robotics transfer in an amusing and playful way. It is a In connection with other technologies from booming market. On the one hand, the need Thuringia and the rest of the world, pion- for (further) education will have significantly eering products will be launched by the increased. On the other, increasing numbers service robotics industry. The foundation of target groups will need products with dif- of a robotics centre and the identification ferent content, from which will arise various 21
3. Opportunities for Thuringia: Using global megatrends When products grow from ideas: in industries such as microelectronics, Thuringia demonstrates great potential. niches for children and schools, education- Priority measures: conscious adults, companies, etc. The > Cooperation between various media trend for multimedia applications on mobile producers. devices for learning and knowledge software will also kick-start growth. > Foundation of a central media marketing agency. 22
4 Recommendations and impetus 4 Recommendations and impetus 4.1 Focusing economic promotion on the areas of growth In the coming years, particularly after the end To realise this growth, it is also necessary: of the current programming period for the > To guarantee the co-financing of all instru- European Structural Funds, the funds avail- ments that promote the economy which able for measures of economic promotion will are partially funded by the German federal decline. government and the European Structural The state is therefore faced with the challenge Funds until 2013. of initiating a burst of growth while grants > Progressively to set up revolving funds. from the EU are declining and state subsidies specially tailored to eastern Germany are set > To check funding instruments, create more to be phased out. It will therefore be necessary transparency and put the focus on areas of to concentrate resources on the areas that growth. promise the most growth. > To organise annual cluster summits. In the opinion of RBSC, these are the fol- lowing 11 areas of technology: > Automotive. > Life sciences. > Environmentally friendly energies and energy storage. > Engineering. > Plastics and ceramics. > Micro- and nanotechnology. > Measurement and control technology. > Optics/Optoelectronics. > Green technology. > Service robotics. > Creative industries / Edutainment. Automotive: in the future, the industry will further develop its primary role as an employer in Thuringia. 23
4 Recommendations and impetus 4.2 Transforming the instruments for promoting economic development and establishing economic policy expertise Whilst focusing on the potential for promo- companies with specific expertise in each of ting economic development, a new focus the technology areas are located. This would should be developed in the form of funding help cooperation between companies within instruments. With the decline in funds, the and across all fields of technology. importance of grants will wane and, in the In the past few years, the state has used the future, support will be provided more in the ‘technology scout’ to create an instrument form of advice and guidance. Guarantees and that companies can use to more effectively if necessary loans may also bolster and pro- determine sales opportunities for innovative tect industrial development without requiring products at home and abroad. direct subsidisation. > Scouts could possibly be used across > The state should develop practical eco- companies who, together with SMEs, assess nomic policy expertise for this to support the and develop business models for Thuringian reinforcement of the areas of growth, the re- companies using innovative technologies, gional implementation of the growth policy helping to make them successful. and its further development, both conceptually and specifically, for Thüringen. > As an extension to the consultation ser- vices offered, approaches are conceivable in > A key part of the further development should which the state provides support to com- be a dialogue between academics and com- panies in critical situations and assists in the panies, which would analyse the effects of formulation of measures, e.g. the financing of the trends on the Thüringian economy and growth phases for the introduction of new translate this into economic policy measures. products or for companies with liquidity > Regular reports on trends and areas of problems. Companies should be able to go growth, with discussions regarding the pos- to a contact point and get a quick overview sibility of putting them into practice to be of what is on offer in Thuringia. held as part of a conference (e.g. the Weimar > We also recommend the hosting of annual Economy Talks). investor summits to provide information > The state can furthermore adopt an orienta- about the financial funding programmes and tion role and create ‘maps’ and ‘expertise investment opportunities. atlases’ to clearly point out where in the state 24
4. Impetuses and recommendations In the central technology areas of Thuringia, growth rates are expected to be around or even above 50% by 2020 – automotive suppliers are playing an important role in this. 4.3 Promoting company growth The Thuringian economy suffers from the tions. The Thüringer Aufbaubank (TAB) and smallness of scale in its economic structure. the Thüringer Industriebeteiligungs GmbH & Small companies run into more difficulties Co. KG (TIB) need to develop corresponding when commercialising ambitious innovations financial instruments for this. and accessing international markets. When > When supporting organic growth, more it comes to network projects or centres of consideration should be given to acces- growth, larger companies are usually of cru- sing new markets and the development of cial importance. new products, e.g. through research and > Organic growth and growth from acquisitions demonstration projects as well as promoting can be considered as development opportun- sales abroad. The acquisition of other com- ities. From the point of view of the state, the panies can be made easier with guarantees base and headquarters of the company must or contribution of capital, e.g. through the remain in Thuringia in the case of acquisi- investment company of the TAB. 25
4 Recommendations and impetus > Particularly for smaller companies (most > Where possible, companies should gain the prevalent in Thuringia), the equity base opportunity to develop new equity reserves. explains the existence of business risk > Continuation of the start-up and growth and is much more than just a technical financing interest rate reduction programme balance sheet quantity. It must therefore (GuW – Gründungs- und Wachstumsfinanzie- be sustained. A healthy equity base is also rung) through the TAB. in the interests of the state, because weak companies can easily become the subject > An equity assistance programme should of acquisitions – a relocation of innovative be developed together with the Thüringer business divisions out of Thuringia, how- Aufbaubank, with the aim of enabling affect- ever, runs contrary to the growth strategy ed companies to strengthen their financial outlined above. structures through instruments such as subordinated loans, offers for participations Thus, the following measures are recom- or mezzanine financings. mended: Proportion of large firms (250 or more employees) of all firms in 2008 (Source: Federal Employment Agency, Roland Berger Strategy Consultants) Germany (D) 6.41% Old federal states (ABL) 6.70% New federal states (NBL) 5.30% Bremen (HB) 9.62% Hamburg (HH) 9.22% Saarland (SL) 7.87% North Rhine-Westphalia (NW) 7.51% Berlin (BE) 7.21% Hesse (HE) 7.17% Baden-Württemberg (BW) 7.07% Bavaria (BY) 6.15% Saxony-Anhalt (ST) 5.53% Lower Saxony (NI) 5.48% Rhineland-Palatinate (RP) 5.29% Schleswig-Holstein (SH) 4.87% Saxony (SN) 4.81% Thuringia (TH) 4.74% Brandenburg (BB) 4.57% Mecklenburg-West Pomerania (MV) 4.57% Proportion of large firms (250 or more employees) of all firms in 2008 (Source: Federal Employment Agency, Roland Berger Strategy Consultants). 26
4. Impetuses and recommendations Collaborations between research, industry and service providers increase innovative power and improve market success. 4.4 Promoting company cooperation The depiction of seminal technology areas in results and lead to an environment of Thuringia clearly shows one thing: cooper- market-oriented research. A good example ation between companies within and across to mention here would be the integration all fields of technology offers huge potential. of clinical research, effects and operational Thuringia has exhibited a unique combination research, development and practical tests in of closely related application fields and cross- the area of medical technology. sectional technologies, which suggests the > Integrated proposals for industrial products mutual development of products and ranges and related services promise considerable of services. potential. Companies must cooperate for the In the future, collaboration should be even long term, establish interfaces and emerge more strongly promoted, particularly in three on the market as a virtual company with an formats: integrated service portfolio (e.g. engineering/ planning services and plant engineering). > A closer connection of application-oriented companies and research institutes can > Integrated systems provided by closely accelerate the commercialisation of research cooperating companies (e.g. measure- 27
4 Recommendations and impetus ment technology, control technology and is still considerable potential to be tapped regulation technology with micro- and in the cooperation between companies and nanotechnology) is another area in which with research institutes. new markets could be accessed through Strengthening the network of Thuringian close collaboration, even between small companies (support for syndication agree- companies. Companies can work together ments, stimulating the formation of existing in innovative niche markets in particular – cooperation structures) would be productive, from research and development to commer- both for boosting innovative power and for cialisation abroad. improved market success. The efficiency of The analysis of areas of technology has the collaboration should be measured regu- shown that in nearly all of these areas, there larly using concrete results. 4.5 Boosting business start-ups and entrepreneurial cultures When it comes to the quantity of business mercialisation has been low up to now (e.g. registrations per capita, Thuringia lies below nanotechnology, and biotechnology to some the country average. extent) the foreseeable surge in the start-up of highly innovative companies should be The number of start-ups in Thuringia has gone contained and channelled into local suc- down over the last few years in particular. This cessful company start-ups in Thuringia. concerns start-ups in innovative and skill- intensive industries, which can be a key driver > Consultation and support services must be behind the development of jobs. offered directly to the research institutes. > In terms of the start-up potential in the areas > The funding programmes for company of technology outlined above, the general founders are rich in terms of the instruments conditions for company founders must be available in Thuringia and present the optimally mapped out. In areas where com- current instruments in a similar way to the 28
4 Recommendations and impetus other German states. As part of the Thürin- options should be made available. This does ger Gründerinitiative (Thuringian start-up not have to be financing provided in full by initiative [ThGi]), key activities have been the state – all that is needed is a commit- combined together into a common project ment of partial financing and a between the ministries for economics, guarantee to make other financial provi- labour and technology and for education, sions accessible to founders. science and culture – in particular, the > Particularly in areas of technology where establishment of a consultation network, the assessment of business plans involves the development of a start-up prize, the pro- major technical requirements (e.g. nano- vision of equity capital and the networking and biotechnology), it would be beneficial of founders in the Thüringer Netzwerk für if the Thüringer Aufbaubank or the regional innovative Gründungen (Thuringia network development company (LEG) could develop for innovative start-ups [ThürInG]). the relevant skills and carry out the assess- > In the Business Angels Network (THÜBAN), ment of business plans. Where a lack of Thuringia has a consultation network that expertise results, this will prevent decisions can offer founders valuable help in terms of being made against a business idea in business management. cases of doubt, also preventing promising start-ups from becoming operational. > In the future, technical support should be provided to potential founders through > Contact with existing successful companies technology cluster networks and this should in the same field of technology as well incorporate the skills and services offered by as the Business Angels Network could be the Thüringer Aufbaubank, the chambers of beneficial when validating business ideas commerce, the Kreditanstalt für Wiederauf- within the networks and the Thüringer bau, savings banks and private banks. Gründerinitiative. This would mean that market opportunities in the target market > The possibilities of financing for start-ups of the founders could be explored in a must also be improved. The ThürInG is only practical manner. the first step. > For founders who – due to technical require- ments, for example – need to make consid- erable investments, appropriate financing 29
4 Recommendations and impetus 4.6 Actively opening up potential international markets and creating sustainable structures – primarily for SMEs Today, Thuringia already has considerable the first step towards more export business. success in the field of exports. Particularly in Standardised procedures are feasible here the automotive industry and the industries of and can help to achieve rapid success. Infor- optics, medical technology and measurement mation packs should cover the main target as well as control and regulation technology, markets, whereby extremely comprehensive sales in other countries play a key role and information from existing services can be make a significant contribution to growth and used for reference. employment. Yet the export rate in Thuringia > Grants should primarily be of a mobilising is still significantly lower than the average for nature and not represent long-term support. the whole of Germany. It is a good idea to restrict the number of Export companies expand quicker, create more assisted trade fair visits per country and employment and can expect the company‘s company, e.g. to two, after which business performance to be more positive. A stronger must be stable enough to be able to fund presence from Thuringian companies on world future trade fair visits. markets is therefore a promising starting- > For marketing aid, the proposal should be point. critically reviewed for financial aid in favour > The challenge for the state of Thuringia, in of a platform where companies can search view of the limited resources, lies in paving for suitable private service providers (e.g. the way for promotion on an international translators, Web designers, etc.). level which facilitates exports, helps to over- > New markets, different challenges: future come the small-scale nature of the companies markets which are often currently cited as and assists the Thuringian economy in a ‘exotic’ yet difficult, e.g. the fast-growing targeted manner – where support is effective Asian regions beyond China and India or and can be employed in a resource-efficient Turkey, must continue to be explored by manner. The topic of exports must be ‘ex- Thuringian companies. These represent key plored’ for small companies, in particular. growth areas for the future. A ‘Thuringia > Supporting companies in ‘related’ markets International’ unit should be set up in the – e.g. in the USA, western Europe but also regional development company (LEG) for largely in central and eastern Europe – is this to include the following activities: 30
4 Recommendations and impetus > The link-up of a strategic, industry-specific assessed, and the prospects for success in selection of target markets from a particular the target countries must be evaluated when technology area with delegation trips and selecting the right target markets. long-term support from the German institu- > It would also be extremely helpful in terms tions in the region can effectively promote of guiding the companies if the target mar- access to future markets further. kets were regularly analysed across the key > Political support can also be extended areas of technology in Thuringia. through on-site representation. In view of the > The active exploitation of international limited resources in Thuringia, close cooper- markets and support for the development of ation with the German embassies, economic sustainable and highly productive cooper- bureaux and chambers of foreign trade are ation structures between companies mean crucial here, and cooperation with other that it will be necessary to boost foreign states in Germany would seem sensible. trade aid. Thuringia is poorly positioned in > The opportunities for growth in specific terms of resources in comparison with other industries or areas of technology must be German states. 4.7 Strengthening funding for technology The TMWAT adopts a focused approach in (ThEGA) in 2010, an institute was set up that the area of technology funding. The funds are can assist participants in the area of green applied to the technology areas identified as technology with coordination and drive for- the most important, and key areas of technology ward key priority projects. such as green technology are also specifically RBSC sees improvement potential in the in- funded. tegration of SMEs in research projects and in For example, with the foundation of the the definition of strategic areas for collabora- Thüringer Energie- und GreenTech- Agentur tive projects with the participation of SMEs. 31
4 Recommendations and impetus > Setting up an industry board at management be funded by the state, if possible through level under the aegis of the ministry of the the contribution of national or EU funds. economy, which incorporates both relevant > In all, an increase of state funds in the area state departments and TAB, TIB, LEG and of technology funding that is clearly fo- representatives of the cluster. cused on growth rather than broad funding > The free state could establish a single point budgets would be preferable. of contact for SMEs in particularly important > In addition, the transparency of running research and application areas through co- research projects (collaborative projects as ordinators, who could take part in research well as individual operational measures) and development projects within the scope should be improved across all departments of collaborative projects. and the success of projects should be subject > The coordinators could also support the to regular assessment, also in terms of their definition of strategic projects, which could value for the companies involved. Success abroad means growth at home. The automotive industry in Thuringia already has considerable success in exports today. 32
4 Recommendations and impetus Export quota in Germany by federal states 2008 (Source: Destatis) Export quota in Germany by federal states 2008 1) CAGR 2000 – 2008 2) D 3) 32.0% 3.8% ABL 34.1% 3.4% NBL 22.5% 9.5% SN 24.4% 7.4% ST 23.5% 12.9% BB 22.4% 11.3% TH 22.0% 9.0% MV 16.7% 9.7% 1) Only goods (without services) 2) Compound annual growth 3) As a total of the federal states’ exports – no overall value for Germany, as not all exports are recorded in the statistics of the federal states R&D costs Export 2008 quota per employed in Germany person by federal (euroResearch states 2008 (source:and development costs per employed person in 2008 Destatis). (Source: Destatis, Roland Berger Strategy Consultants)s) R & D costs per employed person in 2008 (euros) D 1,652 ABL 1,762 NBL 940 SN 1,342 TH 934 MV 710 BB 687 ST 598 SMEs (
4 Recommendations and impetus 4.8 Developing science and research In recent decades, top–level research institutes The acquisition of funding must be systemat- in the particularly research-intensive fields ically supported by the state through: of technology have taken up residence in > Monitoring measures. Thuringia – for example, for optics, micro- and nanotechnology as well as biotechnology. > Establishment of a coordination centre which provides support by identifying suit- Federal and EU aid were acquired on a large able grants funds, accompanies applications scale to make this possible, both from re- strategically and collects particularly suc- search funding (like the BMBF ‘Entrepreneur- cessful applications, provides them to other ial Regions’ programme) and from funding for players and documents successes. infrastructure. > Strengthening of the research and education Since there will be a severe cutback in such activity of scientific, technical and medical funding in the future, third-party funds will fields in Thuringia such as: have to be acquired with more zeal than to > Setting up microsystems and nanotechnol- date from the ‘normal’ sources of research ogy in Ilmenau. funding for Thuringia – for example, from the > Sepsis research in Jena. aid of the Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft > Research facilities in the area of optical (DFG) or from the EU research framework technologies (also in Jena). programme. > Guaranteeing of co-financing for subsidies These efforts to acquire funding should by the state. concentrate on programmes that target the commercialisation of research results in the > Joint initiatives/overall strategies of the minis- medium term such as collaborative projects, try for economy, labour and technology and centres of growth, centres for innovation ex- the ministry for education, science and culture, pertise or large demonstration projects from including the development of a more focused the EU research framework programme. profile and a clear direction for universities. 34
4 Recommendations and impetus 4.9 Systematising and accelerating the commercialisation of research results The conversion of research results into eco- framework programme and programmes nomically usable developments is central for from the commissioners) and evaluation the economic progress in Thuringia and must with regard to the areas of technology. be optimised. Network structures and innov- > Networking of companies and research in- ation forums must be able to assume their stitutes and moderation of joint research function as links between research institutes and development applications. and the economy. > Support in handling formal and administra- A good example that can be mentioned here tive hurdles. is the application centre at the TU in Ilmenau. Technically high-quality basic configurations, regional proximity to the research institutes and available rental area serve to reduce costs and integrate founders with other founders and with scientists. In addition, as part of an innovation forum promoted by the German ministry for education and research, an ex- change takes place between representatives of the research institutes (for example, the MacroNano Centre for Innovation Competence) and interested companies as well as the MNT and ELMUG networks. In its own way, this approach is exemplary and should also be widely copied in other areas. The elements are as follows: > Advice for small to medium-sized com- panies on successfully obtaining research and development aid. > Active monitoring of government funding programmes from the state, federal govern- Greater integration means that small to medium- ment departments and the EU (research sized companies also benefit from research projects. 35
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