The FCA's Risk Outlook and Business Plan 2014/15 What it means for you

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The FCA's Risk Outlook and Business Plan 2014/15 What it means for you
www.pwc.co.uk/fsrr

                          The FCA’s Risk
                          Outlook and Business
                          Plan 2014/15
                          What it means for you

Financial Services Risk
and Regulation

April 2014
The FCA's Risk Outlook and Business Plan 2014/15 What it means for you
Summary
   The FCA published its annual Risk Outlook and Business             Having reviewed both the Risk Outlook and the FCA Business
   Plan on 31 March 2014, outlining its approach for 2014/15.         Plan in full we recommend that firms:
   While many of the headlines have focused on the FCA’s review       • review, digest and engage with the documents, considering
   of legacy business, it’s certainly not the only risk that the        how the core messages are relevant to their business;
   industry should be worried about during 2014/15.                   • pro-actively align their strategy with good consumer
   The FCA uses the Risk Outlook to signpost key issues for firms.      outcomes, and sustainable good profit;
   It is therefore a useful reference for the coming year, in         • build a culture, from the top, that delivers this strategy,
   helping firms to shape their response to regulatory activity.        tackling potential negative reinforcers such as incentive
                                                                        structures;
   The FCA has identified seven areas of focus for the financial
   services industry, each of which it wants firms to consider, and   • strengthen controls in order to safeguard against financial
   then assess against their own business and strategy over the         crime;
   coming year.                                                       • respond to developments in technology, to ensure robust,
                                                                        resilient systems are well funded and are geared to
                                                                        consumer outcomes; and
                                                                      • consider and act upon the root-causes of any failings.
                                                                      In this briefing we’ll look at the context for the FCA’s approach,
                                                                      and analyse their main conduct regulatory focus for firms over
                                                                      the next 12 months.

   Areas of concern at a glance

                 1
                  The pace of technological change
                                                                                                                   2
                                                                                       Poor culture and controls
                                                                                         continuing to threaten
                 3                                                                              market integrity

                  Large back-books leading to firms
                  acting against their existing
                  customers’ best interests                                                                         4
                                                                                   Retirement income products
                 5                                                                  and distribution delivering
                                                                                      poor consumer outcomes
                  The growth of consumer
                  credit leading to
                  unaffordable debt                                                                                 6
                                                                                      Excessively complex terms

                 7
                                                                                                  and conditions

                  Rapid and substantial house
                  price growth giving rise to
                  inappropriate customer outcomes

2 | FS risk and regulation briefing | PwC
The FCA's Risk Outlook and Business Plan 2014/15 What it means for you
The FCA’s approach
As with the previous Risk Outlook the FCA considers the           Structures and business conduct
underlying drivers of risk, and then overlays environmental       When considering structures and business conduct, the FCA
developments and cross-market pressures to identify forward-      focuses on conflicts of interest, culture and incentives. The FCA
looking ‘areas of focus’.                                         notes that conflicts of interest can often be deeply embedded in
These are in turn addressed through specific activity in the      wholesale markets, and references recent work on the use of
FCA’s Business Plan.                                              dealing commission in the asset management sector.
                                                                  Culture and incentives are also a key focus of the FCA. Culture
The drivers of risk
                                                                  drives behaviour, and incentive structures can motivate and
From the FCA’s perspective there are two key risk drivers:        reinforce certain behaviours. Market structures are linked to the
inherent risk, and structures and business conduct.               FCA’s competition mandate. The interaction of wholesale and
                                                                  retail markets – and the direct link to an end consumer – make it
Inherent risk                                                     possible to distort competition throughout the value chain. The
The inherent factors build on the FCA’s behavioural economics     use of technology also influences the competitive landscape.
agenda. Examples cited include information asymmetries,
                                                                  Related reading:
biases and irrational behaviour, through to the growing
importance of financial capacity.                                 Conduct Soundbites www.pwc.co.uk/conductsoundbites

Both retail and wholesale markets demonstrate these traits.
                                                                  Environmental conditions
The FCA cites consumer credit as an area where the cost of
credit can be difficult to work out for a consumer, when          The FCA identifies three environmental factors which
considering fees, interest and default charges. Equally, the      contribute to the key drivers of risk.
information asymmetry demonstrated in insurance markets,
                                                                  1. Economic and market conditions
or where wholesale market abuse through insider trading
takes place, are equally valid wholesale examples.                The FCA’s analysis of the economic and market environment
                                                                  considers the consequences of the economy, rather than
The FCA has already announced work to consider the impact         adding commentary. Key risks to the regulator include the
of consumer bias, including a market study on cash-savings        low-interest rate environment, and the high level of household
account teaser rates in retail banking. The FCA also highlights   debt. While acknowledging the recent falls in unemployment,
the role of price comparison sites in driving potentially         the FCA raises concerns about rising property prices and
irrational decisions by consumers, and the impact of              consumers’ responses both now and when interest rates do
complexity in terms and conditions. In wholesale markets, the     rise. Additionally the FCA is concerned by investors’
FCA notes the opacity of pricing mechanisms in decentralised      willingness to take on more investment risk in a low-interest
markets. The FCA also highlights the need for enhanced            rate environment.
consumer financial capability, particularly in light of the
forthcoming pension-access changes.                               2. Developments in technology
                                                                  The FCA believes that technological developments remain a
Related reading: www.pwc.co.uk/behaviouraleconomics
                                                                  significant environmental factor. While consumers and firms
                                                                  can benefit from quicker, less costly, simpler and more efficient
                                                                  interactions, vulnerabilities from weak IT systems, cyber
                                                                  attack or operational challenges are also magnified.
                                                                  Consumer demand for online financial access has in part
                                                                  driven this development, with examples of high-cost short-
                                                                  term lenders and platforms such as SIPP operators.
                                                                  Increasingly online ‘advice’ and guidance delivered in the
                                                                  retail market is fuelling innovation too.
                                                                  Technology therefore forms a part of many firms’ growth and
                                                                  development strategies, including the increased use of data
                                                                  insights. However, this can create vulnerability in firms’
                                                                  dependence on underlying systems, and the substantive
                                                                  operational load this can cause.

                                                                                               PwC | FS risk and regulation briefing | 3
Data security, including cyber crime remains a high-profile        Cross-market pressure
threat as does the reliance by firms on using technology to
                                                                   Against the backdrop of the FCA’s risk drivers, the FCA is
reduce costs and increase efficiency.
                                                                   concerned about three cross-market areas. They are:
3. Policy and regulation
                                                                   1. pressure on business model sustainability and strategies;
The policy and regulatory landscape is the remaining
                                                                   2. continued pressure to balance profitability, shareholder
environmental factor for the FCA. The sheer regulatory
                                                                      returns, cost base and financial soundness with good
burden faced by firms, including a significant number of EU
                                                                      consumer outcomes; and
initiatives such as EMIR, UCITS V, MiFID II will impact firms.
                                                                   3. misalignment of expectation with underlying
The FCA also noted the consequences of recent government              fundamentals.
policy on sources of funding. The changes to the decumulation
                                                                   Much of the FCA’s cross-market analysis can be described as a
market and the support industry has received from the
                                                                   desire for firms to create ‘good’, sustainable profits. The FCA is
Help-to-Buy initiative will both impact firms.
                                                                   concerned that in seeking to balance profitability and sustain
Related reading                                                    business models, negative outcomes which run against
                                                                   behavioural economic principles could occur.
                                                                   As examples, the FCA suggests that firms could cause
                                                                   detrimental consumer outcomes by moving into niche areas to
                                                                   seek margin, or expanding into inappropriate mass markets,
                                                                   or wider markets without sufficient resilience in operational
                                                                   infrastructure. The FCA is concerned that pressure could also
                                                                   result in firms seeking to extract value through hidden costs,
                                                                   or prioritising higher margin business to the detriment of
                                                                   wider consumer access, or using cross-subsidisation of
                                                                   back-books against new business.
                                                                   For lenders, the FCA is concerned that overarching funding
                                                                   pressure remains a challenge which could inappropriately
                                                                   drive strategy. But while there is a concern about consumer
De-leverage take 2: Making a virtue of necessity EMIR reaches      behaviour, the FCA identifies overconfidence in future
beyond the EU The Consumerisation of IT:                           conditions and risks around the low interest rate environment
                                                                   as potential risks to firms’ sustainability too.
PwC UK Economic outlook: www.pwc.co.uk/economics
                                                                   The FCA’s technology concerns are also cross-market
                                                                   pressures. With increased use of online and mobile platforms,
                                                                   the FCA identifies potentially inadequate systems, controls or
                                                                   expertise as a risk, in addition to insufficient spending.
                                                                   Related reading
                                                                   IT Resilience: Restoring confidence in Banks’ service delivery

    Stepping up vigilance against financial crime
    The FCA sees the fight against financial crime as a key element of its determination to uphold market integrity. Firms will
    need to develop a more comprehensive, assured and demonstrable approach to financial crime in order to meet the
    regulator’s expectations. As well as reviewing and overhauling controls to stay on top of evolving threats; culture and
    values are critical - shaping the shared assumptions that drive attitudes to integrity, risk taking and compliance. But what
    is especially crucial in relation to financial crime and market abuse is the tone from the top and the extent to which
    challenge is encouraged within your organisations - regulators are going to be looking beyond formal controls at any nods
    and winks that put profit before probity.
    We explore this issue in Conduct Soundbites ‘On alert: Stepping up vigilance against financial crime’
    www.pwc.co.uk/conductsoundbites

4 | FS risk and regulation briefing | PwC
Key concerns for 2014/15
After applying their risk factors to the market, the FCA has
                                                                  Our advice
seven areas of focus for 2014. These are:
1. Technological developments potentially                              • Ensure your organisational culture supports the
   outstripping firms’ investment, consumer                              delivery of good customer outcomes, aligned to
   capabilities and regulatory response                                  your strategy.

Firms are increasingly looking to embed new technology into            • Demonstrate to the regulator that your board is
their businesses in an effort to be more efficient and                   actively engaged with the cultural agenda.
competitive. While the FCA recognises the positive impact
new technology can provide – it also voices concerns around a    3. Large back-books may lead firms to act against
number of risks:                                                    their existing customers’ best interests
• Firms invest disproportionately in technologies to support     The FCA is concerned that firms may be taking advantage of
  new business development, leaving legacy administration        inertia with their large and profitable legacy back-books,
  systems untouched. This could result in poor service to        employing strategies that are not in the best interests of the
  existing customers and also create resilience issues.          customer. Specific tactics that give the FCA cause for concern are:
• The controls firms employ may become outdated and fail to      • Cross selling – including sales of annuities to vesting
  keep up with the pace of technological change. This risk is      pension customers.
  likely to be more acute for businesses that have limited       • Exit barriers – using restrictive terms and conditions, high
  experience of new technology and so rely on third-party          exit charges or misleading disclosures to dissuade
  outsource arrangements.                                          customers from switching to better deals.
• New digital distribution platforms present their own risks     • Leveraging off profitable back-books to subsidise new
  – not least of which is the potential for customers to           cheaper products in an effort to maintain market share
  ‘misbuy’. The FCA highlights risks of firms using poor           – which could squeeze out competitors that don’t have a
  disclosure, selling complex products to non-advised              large book of legacy business.
  customers and also breaching the boundary between
  advice and non-advised services.
                                                                  Our advice
• The FCA also notes the risk of firms investing in new
  technologies and tools to keep up with their competitors,            • Focus on the continued appropriateness of back-
  without really considering whether they add value for                  book products for your customers, as part of your
  customers and enhance the services they provide.                       ongoing product review process.
• Cyber/financial crime is also on the FCA’s list of risks,
  concerned that increased use of digital platforms could
  expose customers to an increased risk of identity theft,       4. Retirement income products and distribution
  fraud, scams and hackers.                                         may deliver poor consumer outcomes
                                                                 The FCA reiterates its concern that product innovation leads to
 Our advice                                                      increased complexity and risk of customers buying unsuitable
                                                                 products. In the life sector, the FCA highlights the potential
     • Consider your dependency on technology both
                                                                 explosion of new products targeted at customers approaching
       within your organisation and in your interactions
                                                                 or in retirement, following the recent Budget announcement.
       with customers.
     • Assess your relationships with outsourcing                The concern is that consumers, hindered by behavioural biases
       providers, including vulnerability to cyber-crime.        and faced with complex options, may be unable to make effective
                                                                 decisions that serve their long-term retirement needs.

2. Poor culture and controls continue to threaten                 Our advice
   market integrity
The FCA remains concerned over business models predicated              • Be customer centric: build propositions to meet
on cross-selling, with questions remaining over the quality of           client needs.
execution services provided. Potential market abuse and firms’         • Review your products and if necessary start from
ability to manage their conflicts of interest remains high on            scratch, using technology.
the FCA agenda.

                                                                                              PwC | FS risk and regulation briefing | 5
5. The growth of consumer credit may lead to
   unaffordable debt                                               How will the FCA respond?
The FCA focuses on revolving credit products such as credit        From the FCA’s Business Plan, a number of sector-
cards and overdrafts, particularly when used by households         specific activities are confirmed:
already highly indebted; a small increase in use could put
many families in financial difficulties.                           Cross-sector, the FCA will:
Product complexity, including unexpected or hidden charges, in     • build on its incentives work to review how firms
expensive short-term sources of credit remain a risk. The FCA        mange the performance of their sales staff;
believes these distort a consumer’s ability to compare prices.     • in conjunction with other regulators, test the
                                                                     Financial Services Critical National
The FCA also stresses that they seek risk by using unsuitable
                                                                     Infrastructure’s resilience to cyber attacks; and
debt management services.
                                                                   • test the visibility of IT resilience and risks at board
                                                                     level.
    Our advice

        • Ensure that you have robust mechanisms in place          For banking and lending institutions, the FCA
          to properly assess potential and existing customers      will:
          before lending, and that you fully consider the          • review whether victims of unauthorised
          impact of future interest rises on those customers.         transactions are being treated fairly;
        • PwC research indicates that 26% of customers are         • review the implementation of the new packaged
          already displaying symptoms of potential financial         bank account rules;
          difficulty and this is likely to get worse.1             • consider the impact of cost-cutting initiatives such
                                                                     as the withdrawal of paper bank statements;
6. Terms and conditions may be excessively complex                 • conduct post-implementation testing on the MMR;
With the consumer credit sector continuing to grow rapidly a       • review the arrears and forbearance processes of
new range of costly products or products with complex features       short-term high cost lenders;
have arisen. As a consequence, complicated terms and               • consider hybrid equity release products as a
conditions have become common place, making it more difficult        solution to interest-only mortgage maturity; and
for consumers to compare financial products and fully              • review governance, risk management and lending
understand what they are buying. Complex features can                strategies with recent risk appetite changes.
prevent consumers from effectively managing their use of credit.
                                                                   For investment and savings firms, the FCA
    Our advice                                                     will:
        • Embrace behavioural economics in your disclosure         • continue its market study into retirement products;
          and customer contact.                                    • look at the fair treatment of legacy insurance
        • Understand your conflicts of interest, and make            investment products;
          sure back-books are managed in customer’s best           • assess the management of conflicts of interest
          interests.                                                 when wealth managers use in-house funds;
                                                                   • assess the risks in client take-on procedures in
                                                                     firms offering contracts for difference; and
7. Substantial and rapid house price growth could                  • review the due diligence conducted by investment
   give rise to conduct issues                                       advisers into products and services sold.
With further housing price rises predicted, risks of weakening
                                                                   For insurance firms the FCA will:
underwriting standards combined with future increases in
interest rates could lead to forbearance and negative equity       • extend the retail claims handling work into
risks, and increased demand for non-mainstream credit.                commercial lines;
                                                                   • look at the impact of wholesale market distribution
    Our advice                                                       chains on retail customers, including responsibly
                                                                     and culture;
        • Review your underwriting processes, and consider
                                                                   • embed recommendations for the motor legal
          how to build in behavioral triggers into client
                                                                     expenses and mobile phone insurance reviews;
          communication
                                                                     and
        • PwC predict that prices will continue to rise; firms
                                                                   • review the sales practices in premium finance.
          need to build this factor into product design and
          approval processes.2

1
    PwC ‘Precious Plastics’, November 2013
2
    PwC Economics Blog, March 2014

6 | FS risk and regulation briefing | PwC
Next steps for your business
The Risk Outlook provides a useful tool in shaping your regulatory response for the next
12 months. Over the coming weeks and months you will need to analyse the FCA’s
seven focus areas and consider the relevance and impact on your business model and
strategy.
The FCA expects you to:
• have a properly implemented customer centric strategy, which produces good,
  sustainable profits;
• have a board-led culture which supports that strategy and good consumer outcomes;
• develop products that operate in the interests of customers, and use behavioural
  techniques to ensure that those customers also understand them; and
• take a prospective view on the products that you sell, stress-testing and ensuring
  appropriateness for your customers.

What you can do to respond?
1. Technology Assess your dependency on technology and review your relationships
   with third-party suppliers.
2. Culture Demonstrate that your board is actively engaged with the cultural agenda
   that puts customer outcomes first.
3. Existing customers Make sure your strategies are not acting against your
   customers’ best interests and make it easy for people to find the best deal.
4. Retirement income products Be customer-centric when developing new
   products and ensure they always serve the customer’s long-term retirement needs.
5. Consumer credit Reduce product complexity, ensure you have robust controls in
   place to assess customers before lending and that you consider the impact of any
   future interest rate rises.
6. T’s & C’s Make it easier for your customers to compare financial products and fully
   understand what they are buying.
7. House prices Review your underwriting processes to ensure your people are always
   focussed on the right outcome for your customers.

The FCA has shown willingness to tackle the operation of markets through competition
powers, and the operation of individual firms through their supervisory and
enforcement powers.
Coupled with the new senior persons approved regime, the FCA will hold individual
senior management personally accountable for failures, including not engaging with
and understanding the key tenets of the Risk Outlook and Business Plan.
PwC is conducting further analysis of the Risk Outlook and Business Plan, and will publish further documents shortly. Please
speak to your usual contact, or someone below, for more information.

Contacts
David Kenmir                                                   Richard Smith                                                  Andrew Clark
Financial Services Risk and Regulation                         Financial Services Risk and Regulation                         Financial Services Risk and Regulation
Partner – Co-head Conduct and Culture                          Partner – Co-head Conduct and Culture                          Partner – Forensic Services
+44 (0)20 7804 4794                                            +44 (0)207 213 4705                                            +44 (0)20 7804 5761
david.kenmir@uk.pwc.com                                        richard.r.smith@uk.pwc.com                                     andrew.p.clark@uk.pwc.com

Martin Hislop                                                  Craig Gentle                                                   Matthew King
Financial Services Risk and Regulation                         Financial Services Risk and Regulation                         Financial Services Risk and Regulation
Partner – Capital Markets                                      Partner – Consumer Credit                                      Partner – Culture
+44 (0)20 7804 1126                                            +44 (0)117 928 1269                                            +44 (0)20 7212 2801
martin.hislop@uk.pwc.com                                       craig.gentle@uk.pwc.com                                        matthew.king@uk.pwc.com

Amanda Rowland                                                 Howard Scott                                                   David Taylor
Financial Services Risk and Regulation                         Financial Services Risk and Regulation                         Financial Services Risk and Regulation
Partner – Asset Management                                     Partner – Insurance                                            Partner – Retail Banking
+44 (0)20 7212 8860                                            +44 (0)20 7804 9851                                            +44 (0)20 7804 2892
amanda.rowland@uk.pwc.com                                      howard.d.scott@uk.pwc.com                                      david.j.taylor@uk.pwc.com

www.pwc.co.uk/fsrr
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in this publication without obtaining specific professional advice. No representation or warranty (express or implied) is given as to the accuracy or completeness of the information
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