THE AGE OF TEMPORARY ADVANTAGE
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Strategic Management Journal Strat. Mgmt. J., 31: 1371–1385 (2010) Published online EarlyView in Wiley Online Library (wileyonlinelibrary.com) DOI: 10.1002/smj.897 THE AGE OF TEMPORARY ADVANTAGE RICHARD A. D’AVENI,1 * GIOVANNI BATTISTA DAGNINO,2 and KEN G. SMITH3 1 Tuck School of Business, Dartmouth College, Hanover, New Hampshire, U.S.A. 2 Department of Business Economics and Management, University of Catania, Catania, Italy 3 College of Business Administration, University of Rhode Island, Kingston, Rhode Island, U.S.A. The creation and management of temporary competitive advantages has emerged as an alter- native to sustainable models of competitive advantage in the strategy literature. We review the literature and discuss questions related to the antecedents, consequences and the management temporary advantage in the introduction of this special issue. The overall goal is to ask: What would the field of strategic management look like if sustainable advantages did not exist? We summarize the papers published in this special issue and highlight directions for future research. Copyright 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. The goal of this special issue is to develop theory demonstrating the existence of sustainable advan- and empirical evidence about how organizations tage. However, recent studies have begun to sug- can successfully compete, evolve, and survive gest that sustainable competitive advantage is rare when firm-specific advantages are not sustainable and declining in duration (Ruefli and Wiggins, or enduring, but more temporary in nature. Such 2002). Other studies have found anecdotal and conditions may exist due to fast-paced competi- more rigorous empirical evidence of the concate- tive actions and counter responses among rivals, or nation of temporary advantages (D’Aveni, 1994; where frequent endogenous and exogenous com- Wiggins and Ruefli, 2005). And there is growing petence destroying disruptions and discontinuities empirical evidence that the volatility of financial make sustaining one’s advantage impossible. The returns is increasing, suggesting that the relative primary goal is to ask what the field of strategy importance of the temporary (volatile) component would look like if sustainable competitive advan- of competitive advantage is rising when compared tage did not exist. to the long run component of sustainable com- Almost since the onset of strategic manage- petitive advantage (Thomas and D’Aveni, 2009). ment scholarship, the field has assumed that sus- Finally, there is increased attention to the eth- tainable competitive advantage exists (Rumelt, ical consequences of the sustainable advantages Schendel, and Teece, 1994). Considerable effort derived from monopoly positions and oligopolistic has been dedicated to defining and empirically behavior (DeCelles, Donaldson, and Smith, 2007). Considerable thought has also been given to the idea that continuous strategy innovation is neces- Keywords: temporary competitive advantage; temporary sary in disruptive environments. The core argu- advantage; hypercompetition; high velocity environments; ment of this stream of enquiry is that the unremit- competition; rivalry; strategic paradigms ting pursuit of strategic change is necessary for *Correspondence to: Richard A. D’Aveni, Tuck School of Busi- ness, Dartmouth University, 100 Tuck Hall, Hanover, N.H. success, especially in nascent, emerging, high-tech, 03755, U.S.A. E-mail: Richard.A.D’Aveni@tuck.dartmouth.edu or other high velocity environments, where the Copyright 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.
1372 R. A. D’Aveni, G. B. Dagnino, and K. G. Smith structure and the rules of the game are unstable or behavior? What are the exogenous antecedents erratic (Christensen, 1997; D’Aveni, 1994; Hamel, of various kinds of temporary advantage? In this 2000; Markides, 1999). regard, it would seem important to study the role Interestingly, some argue that disruptive envi- of industry structure and industry boundaries. For ronments never reach maturity; they example, how does the convergence of industries self-reproduce, cannibalize, innovate, and self- and competing business models from converging perpetuate by incessantly innovating, reviving, and industries contribute to the erosion of advantages? reinitiating the initial stages of different waves Furthermore, how and why do different indus- of industry and product life cycles (Christensen, try structures contribute to the speed of erosion? 1997). The authors in this research stream implic- Finally, are controllable or uncontrollable causes itly suggest that sustainable advantage does not more important? Answers to these questions are necessarily exist, except for saying that dynamic necessary to understand whether there are ways capabilities and organization flexibility can occa- to slow the accelerating depreciation of advan- sionally be sources of sustainable advantage. Yet, tages over time and which strategic solutions are there is no consistent body of evidence that possible. dynamic capabilities are sustainable over extended periods of time and in different contexts, and there The management of temporary advantage is some evidence that initiative fatigue or compla- cency and inertia undermine the sustainability of As the environment becomes more dynamic and dynamic capabilities. Accordingly, firms can either disruptive through both exogenous and endoge- become exhausted by continuous transformation nous changes, it perhaps becomes appropriate to and innovation or get complacent by success and define strategy as dynamic maneuvering—moves turn out to be blinded and myopic to requisite and counter moves—rather than static positioning, environmental change (Audia, Locke, and Smith, such as resources, routines, capabilities, generic 2000). strategy, industry structure, strategic groups, etc. The analysis of temporary advantage can be (Grimm, Lee, and Smith, 2005). When such a partitioned into three main parts: (1) causes or view is taken, the value and duration of a move antecedents, (2) management of temporary advan- perhaps lasts only as long as rivals do not outma- tages, and (3) consequences of temporary neuver it. The literature on the delay or rapidity advantage. of competitive response finds that industry leaders are dethroned more frequently than is commonly believed (Ferrier, Smith, and Grimm, 1999; Smith, Antecedents of temporary advantage Ferrier, and Grimm, 2001), that more aggressive The increasing temporary nature of advantages firms are more successful (Ferrier, 2001; Ferrier has been attributed to numerous causes, including et al., 2002) and that Red Queen competition exists technological change, globalization, industry con- whereby rival actions cut into the performance vergence, aggressive competitive behavior, dereg- of the acting firm requiring new action to keep ulation, the privatization movement stimulated by pace (D’Aveni, 1994; Derfus et al., 2008). This governments or hedge funds, government subsi- perspective suggests that firms are incentivized dies, the rise of China, India, and other emerging to take a variety of different kinds of actions to countries, the increase in availability of patient actively destroy their own and the advantages of venture capital money, terrorism, global politi- rivals. In fact, the vigorous pursuit of a series cal instability, the pressure of short-term incen- of temporary rents becomes the enticing strategy tives for senior executives to produce results, from this viewpoint. This recalls models of strat- etc. There is no evidence, however, about the egy eventually purporting that firms do not stick real drivers of temporary competitive advantages with just one advantage over their lifetime (Jacob- and the increased volatility of returns. What are son, 1992; Mocciaro, Li Destri, and Dagnino, the endogenous antecedents of various kinds of 2005). Such strategic behavior focuses on contin- temporary advantages? It would seem especially uously matching the rapid evolution of the firm important to identify the extent to which a firm’s with a rapidly evolving environment, suggesting own decisions, competitive actions, and behaviors the relevance of the learning school (Mintzberg, undermine its advantages and what motivates such Ahlstrand, and Lampel, 1998), which emphasizes Copyright 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. Strat. Mgmt. J., 31: 1371–1385 (2010) DOI: 10.1002/smj
Special Issue Introduction 1373 how firms incorporate input from the environment be lucky as numerous unpredictable competence- and adapt over time. But is the capability of learn- destroying disruptions thwart their plans. The Aus- ing a frequently observed phenomenon that yields trian perspective has argued that success depends sustainable advantage or does learning stop when on variations across firms and sheer luck, as well as firms learn a successful formula and turn it into an the distributions of entrepreneurial skills (Kirzner, immutable paradigm? And, how should firms learn 1979). So success may require just as much luck as in conditions where prior advantages are quickly strategy. And we have not determined if sustain- eroded? The learning literature suggests there is able competitive advantage is merely the result of tension between top-down or theory-driven learn- good luck (Barney, 1986; Cohen and Levinthal, ing based on accumulated experience over time 1994). How do companies develop strategies to versus bottom-up learning that is based more on actively manage luck? Is luck a valuable or even the result of immediate action (Huber, 1991). interesting concept in the study of temporary advantages? With disruptions coming not just from There are also a number of important issues first moving innovators and competitors, but from related to how firms transition from one advan- terrorism, the fall of empires, global warming, tage to the next. For example, how do firms fraud, and malfeasance, one might truly subscribe manage the timing and transitions from one advan- to the old German saying that ‘men plan and God tage to another as they learn? When should they laughs.’ begin these transitions? Should they plan for the next advantage prior to the erosion of an exist- ing advantage? How can firms avoid cannibal- Consequences of temporary advantage ization of an existing advantage while creating a So how do firms achieve high performance, evolve, new advantage? Is there path dependence across a and survive where advantages are fleeting? Do they firm’s sequence of advantages or are the sequences intentionally cannibalize old advantages and tran- truly unpredictable and responsive to unpredictable sition to new ones? If so, when and under what change? In sum, strategy in today’s environment conditions? Is there logic to the sequence and tim- is analogous to a marksman who is shooting at ing of moves deployed? How sustainable is the a moving and very unpredictable target (Thomp- ability to create and concatenate a series of new son, 1967). Skill and capabilities are needed, but advantages? How is organizational decision mak- instincts are necessary too, and the shooter’s strat- ing and structure different in a world of temporary egy must be fine-tuned unremittingly to adjust to advantages? Does it create more shareholder value the moving target. to milk one’s advantage, experience a period of Finally, as environments get more dynamic, they crisis, and then create a new advantage as com- become more unpredictable and uncertain, making pared to preplanning the self-cannibalization of the creation of intended, planned strategies more one’s advantages before others destroy them? And, difficult. Strategic planning models were origi- how should managers manage time? As the pace nally conceived for conditions of stability. In fast- of change and disruption accelerates, will other changing environments where unexpected changes forces arise to create stability in markets? What occur, strategic planning is inevitably fated to fail economic, societal, and collaborative actions and (Mintzberg, 1994). How do organizational struc- strategies, if any, are emerging to dampen the escalation of strategic turmoil, rivalry, and fleet- ture, culture, and processes transform themselves ing advantage associated with hypercompetition, so as to be capable of concatenating a series high-velocity, and other chaotic environments? of short-lived advantages? More than engaging in old-fashioned formal planning, firms need to engage in a continual evaluation of their actions, The field of strategic management without developing a strategy as they go by seeing which sustainable advantage actions bring about the best results (Grimm et al., Of course, we all know that nothing is sustainable 2005). forever. The question then is really one of dura- Others have gone so far as to suggest that finding tion of advantages. If one accepts the evidence that sustainable advantages in unpredictable environ- advantages are fleeting at a rate different from 25 ments is more a matter of luck—requiring firms to to 30 years ago when our models of competitive Copyright 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. Strat. Mgmt. J., 31: 1371–1385 (2010) DOI: 10.1002/smj
1374 R. A. D’Aveni, G. B. Dagnino, and K. G. Smith advantage were created, how should existing the- by acquiring or developing resources that are valu- oretical models and data sets be revised, and what able, unique, nontradable, rare, nonsubstitutable, or new models and methods of research are needed? nonimitable. But what does this model say about sustainability when factor markets continue to New theoretical models move toward perfection or toward constant disrup- tion through innovation or rivalry? Or what if there The two key sustainable advantage models are are dramatic or even constant changes in resource Porter’s five forces model and the resource-based value, uniqueness, tradability, and imitability? view of the firm. Porter’s (1980) five forces What would the field of strategy be like if model suggests that firms can sustain advan- we conclude that the key instruments of strat- tages by the selection of industries and the way egy design no longer have value? Both Porter’s they positioning themselves within industries. This five forces model and the resource-based view are model is supported by substantial, but somewhat rooted in a conception of the world that is essen- dated, research on the structure-conduct- tially stable. And much of economic thinking is performance paradigm from industrial organiza- based on assumptions of equilibrium. What if equi- tion economics. Specifically, Porter suggests that librium is impossible or fleeting? What if industry firms seek and position themselves in industries structure is too temporary to be called structure with high entry barriers, weak suppliers, and and oligopolistic bargains, barriers to entry, and buyers, few threats from substitutes, and limited market power over buyers are quite limited or rivalry. But, does this automatically mean that fleeting? What do economic models tell us about when advantages are temporary or quickly erod- advantage when industry structure and coopera- ing that the structure of the industry has changed tive solutions are not sustainable? And what do we such that barriers are lower, buyers and suppliers have when markets, resources, and firms are con- are stronger, the threat of substitutes greater, and tinuously moving but never reaching equilibrium? rivalry is high? Or, does it mean that these struc- Some have suggested that more fine-grained the- tural conditions are quickly changing? What would ories from Austrian economics—that emphasize Porter advise under these conditions? Perhaps he entrepreneurs, action, and disequilibrium—offer would suggest it is time to select a new indus- hope for competing in rapidly changing condi- try or to find some way to change the industry structure so that it is more favorable? Further- tions (Grimm et al., 2005). Indeed, the competitive more, under conditions of rapid change, where dynamics stream of research has been built upon the boundaries of industries blur and are hard to this assumption (Smith et al., 1992). The princi- define, how is one to assess and measure rivalry ple argument in this stream of research is that and buyer and supplier power? Take the U.S. cell the firm strategy/performance relationship is very phone industry for example, where in 2010 firms much dependent on the behavior of both a focal like AT&T, Verizon, Apple, Goggle, Comcast, and firm and its competitors or the level of rivalry. Cox are all changing their business models. Are Competitive dynamics research, thus, focuses on these firms buyers, suppliers, or rivals? What does the specific actions that a firm takes and how rivals industry structure mean in this new age of tempo- react to these actions: the action/reaction relation- rary advantages? ship. Furthermore, competitive dynamics research The resource-based view conceives firms as emphasizes the temporary advantages that result collections of resources (Penrose, 1959). Barney from a single action or a stream of actions over (1991) formalized the framework for explaining time. For example, the research has established how a firm’s resources can be used as a source that different kinds of actions promote faster or of sustainable competitive advantage. His frame- slower responses depending on the characteristics work is based on two fundamental assumptions: of the action (Chen, Smith, and Grimm, 1992). (1) firms within an industry are heterogeneous in The research has also connected with the resource- the resources they control and (2) these resources based view by finding relationships between the may not be perfectly mobile across firms (Barney, stock of resources of the acting firm, such as 1991). With these assumptions, Barney argues that the amount of organizational slack and the level markets for resources are imperfect and, hence, a and speed of competitive response (Smith et al., firm can achieve sustainable competitive advantage 1991). Importantly, there have been a number of Copyright 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. Strat. Mgmt. J., 31: 1371–1385 (2010) DOI: 10.1002/smj
Special Issue Introduction 1375 studies that connect actions and responses to orga- be captured with annual data? What if such rela- nizational performance (Derfus, et al. 2008; Lee tionships are moving by the month or even by the et al., 2000; Ferrier et al. 1999, Young, Smith, and week? If such dynamics occur, important relation- Grimm, 1996). Many of the studies that emphasize ships might be masked with annual data. competitive dynamics have roots in RBV or indus- The competitive dynamics research stream trial organizational economics, a problem that has focuses on the specific actions of firms, which limited the insights of this stream. Consequently, may occur at multiple times within a given year, there is a need for new dynamic theory focusing month or week. As noted, such actions have been on the action/reaction level of analysis that is more linked to rival reactions and to more coarse-grained revealing of these dynamics. measures of firm capabilities, such as top manage- Smith and Cao (2007) introduced a model of ment characteristics and excess slack resources. entrepreneurial action that explains how firms Still, it is fair to conclude that the competitive build value in dynamic, rapidly changing mar- dynamics research has suffered from aggregating kets. The model is based on four separate pro- actions over a given year so as to link such actions cesses. First, managers search their environments to firm capabilities and annual performance data in a desire to find opportunities for new action. only available at the year/firm unit of analysis. Second, they undertake new entrepreneurial action One exception is the study by Lee et al. (2000) that creates a market disruption because of novelty where the authors linked new product introduction (newness). Third, the disruption leads to market actions occurring on a given announcement date to discourse, whereby the newly created actions are rival imitation and the firm’s stock prices imme- evaluated by market participants (potential cus- diately after. The authors found that new product tomers) and other interested stakeholders. Fourth, introductions had a positive significant impact on actions lead to performance results which can be stock prices immediately after the introduction for compared to goals. Interestingly, this model does the introducing firm, but that stock prices were not assume that actions directly impact perfor- also negatively affected by rival imitation. The use mance (either positively or negatively), but that of daily stock prices allowed the authors to cap- such actions are first evaluated by market partici- ture the Schumpeterian creative destruction effect: pants, which is a sensemaking process that helps the positive effects of innovation and the negative reduce the uncertainty (leading to positive, neu- effects of rival response. tral, or negative opinion). Firms and their rivals Livengood (2010) tested certain aspects of Smith are active participants in this process, learning and Cao’s (2007) entrepreneurial action model. from their actions and adjusting such actions based With an eight-year study of new product intro- on feedback from the market discourse process. ductions (entrepreneurial actions) by cell phone Importantly, this approach does not require a def- providers, the author found that the greater the inition of industry structure in order to identify novelty of the action, the greater the amount and rivals, as any stakeholder within or outside the duration of discourse by market participants (as industry definition may participate and attempt to measured by news media attention). Importantly, influence the discourse process. he also found that the novelty of the action and the varying amounts of discourse—both the amount and duration—predicted variation in monthly cell New methods phone sales. The unit of analysis was the prod- As we think about the consequences of rapidly uct introduction followed by discourse measured at changing turbulent environments and the manage- the monthly level, followed by monthly cell phone ment of temporary advantage, one must also con- sales. Livengood found that the greatest positive sider the appropriate unit of analysis for research change in sales was immediately after the peak in study. For example, much of the research in discourse and that it declined thereafter. industrial organization economics and RBV was Ultimately, the data one uses for his/her research largely developed using longitudinal panel data must match our theory. When our theory is based on public archival annual company or indus- dynamic, our data must be as well. If our theorized try/environment data. But what if changes in firm, relationships are predicted to substantially change environment, and performance relationships are and vary in a given year, our data must be detailed more dynamic, varying more frequently than can enough to capture these potential changes. Under Copyright 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. Strat. Mgmt. J., 31: 1371–1385 (2010) DOI: 10.1002/smj
1376 R. A. D’Aveni, G. B. Dagnino, and K. G. Smith such conditions, researchers may be required to assumes sustainable advantage might reveal even use finer-grained methods, such as case analy- greater insights about temporary advantage. For ses, questionnaires, or content analysis of media example, looking at the loss of value, inimitabil- accounts of decisions and behaviors that appear ity, nontradability, nonsubstitutability, or rarity of in the daily press. And our theory and data will a resource might flip the static resource-based the- also need to capture the element of time, especially ory on its head—making it a theory of temporary when temporary advantages or disadvantages are advantage (D’Aveni, 1994). Similarly, focusing on rapidly changing. For instance, how can we mea- overcoming entry barriers, strategies for enhancing sure the duration of advantages or the time until the power of (or building cooperation with) buyers they become positive or negative? Does a small or suppliers, the use of substitutes, and escalat- two- to three-year advantage outweigh a large two- ing rivalry might also turn Porter’s theory into a to three-month advantage? If so, what are the theory of temporary advantage (D’Aveni, 1994). trade-offs? However, we chose to include only the research Certainly there will be markets where traditional that requires no (or the least) suspension of our models of strategy will still apply (D’Aveni, 1999). beliefs in sustainable advantage for Table 1. However, to understand markets where temporary advantages are the only possibility, we are required The early roots of action-based temporary to envision, conceive, and establish an entirely new advantages collection of methodological paraphernalia that are more dynamic and match up the current disruptive Under the lens of action-based advantages, numer- and fast-speed environments of today. By pulling ous theories and empirical studies have dealt with together various novel perspectives advanced by temporary advantages. The Schumpeterian theory scholars in the field, we hope this special issue will of creative destruction describes rivalry between provide fresh new approaches that will lead to new and among firms as an ‘incessant race to get or models and theories of strategy where advantages keep ahead of one another’ (Kirzner, 1973: 20)—if are not sustainable. only to defend one’s own leadership in a market. Especially in hypercompetitive dynamic markets, leading firms are constantly pursued by existing SUMMARY OF EXTANT WORK challengers that aggressively find new ways to ON TEMPORARY ADVANTAGE destroy the competitive advantage of industry lead- ers (D’Aveni, 1994; Schumpeter, 1942). Let’s suspend our belief in sustainable advantage The Carnegie School of the theory of the firm, for the moment, realizing it is very rare, declining such as Cyert and March (1963), introduced the in duration, and may be the product of a few lucky concept of firms behavior to underline the need firms according to the literature referenced above. to maintain a persistent, but bounded, informa- Table 1 is an overview of some of the literature tion flow that informs decision-making rules to relevant to temporary advantage. achieve optimal outcomes, predict the behavior Our review of the literature indicated that of rivals, and manage an organization rationally, research has studied the temporary advantage(s) just to maintain and replace eroding competi- associated with strategic actions, resources, and tive advantages. In this view, firms engage in performance. In addition, it has focused on a series searches for opportunities, new actions, and new or sequences of actions, resources, or performance problems that can be solved. This suggests that over time. Other studies have focused on the ero- advantages are temporary and begs the question sion, self-cannibalization, duration, magnitude, and of whether search routines are sustainable or just compression of a single action, resource, or supe- lucky in unpredictable environments. The afore- rior performance; thus, creating the horizontal and mentioned work by Smith and Cao (2007) explic- vertical dimensions of Table 1. itly deals with the role of search in creative Note that many other studies (e.g., population actions. ecology, the literature on organizational decline, Following this view, Nelson and Winter (1982) organizational flexibility or agility, and blind spots) draw some intriguing conclusions concerned with could have been reinterpreted and placed in this the behavioral theory of the firm and connect matrix. And a deeper analysis of theories that it to their own evolutionary theory. Based on Copyright 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. Strat. Mgmt. J., 31: 1371–1385 (2010) DOI: 10.1002/smj
Special Issue Introduction 1377 Table 1. Selected extant work on temporary competitive advantages Sequences: Erosion and compression: Long-term patterns or themes Short-term duration and of multiple advantages over time magnitude of a single advantage Action-based advantages • Hypercompetition • Competitive dynamics (especially response time and type to an action) • Evolutionary theory • Austrian economics • Opportunistic search • Creative destruction Authors: Authors: D’Aveni, 1994, 1995a Livengood and Reger, 2010 Nelson and Winter, 1982 Chen, 1996 Cyert and March, 1963 Schumpeter, 1942 Smith et al., 1992 Smith et al., 1991 Smith and Cao, 2007 Ferrier et al., 1999 Livengood, 2010 (dissertation) Derfus et al., 2008 Chen, Lin, and Michel, 2009 Young et al., 1996 Resource-based • Dynamic capabilities • Resource life cycles advantages • High velocity • Strengths and weaknesses • New 7S’s Authors: Authors: D’Aveni, 1995b Sirmon et al., 2010 Eisenhardt, 1989 Ndofor, Sirmon, and He, Forthcoming Eisenhardt and Martin, 2000 Priem, 2007 Helfat and Peteraf, 2003 McGrath, Ferrier, and Mendelow, 2004 (Option theory) Teece, Pisano, and Shuen, 1997 Bowman and Hurry, 1993 Zahra and Nielsen, 2002 Performance-related • Volatility • Continuous change advantages • Rarity • Time compression and duration of superior performance • Hypercompetitive shift • Self-cannibalization Authors: Authors: Thomas, 1996 Nault and Vandenbosch, 1996 McGahn and Porter, 1997 Pacheco-de-Almeida and Zemsky, 2007 Wiggins and Ruefli, 2002 Pacheco-de-Almeida, Henderston, and Cool, 2007 Thomas and D’Aveni, 2009 Helfat, 2000 Wiggins and Ruefli, 2005 Dierickx and Cool, 1989 the idea that natural selection occurs internally Jacobson, 1992) underscores market processes and within firms, some firms survive in a competitive entrepreneurial discovery. This more dynamic view environment while others perish. In their opinion, emphasizes the existence of continuous innovation, natural selection fosters the development of new flexibility, intertemporal heterogeneity, and unob- routines and strategies as well as the discard of servable influence of performance feedback as a obsolete routines and strategies (Winter 2003), continuous process of strategic windows that open suggesting that routines and strategies are only for limited times. temporary if firms are to adapt and survive. They The Maryland School of competitive dynamics, suggest that organizations are variable in time, as such as Chen (1996), analyzed the similarity a result of organizational search for new solutions between firms and the likelihood of increased when the old ones fail to work. rivalry. Assessing the market commonality and Similarly, observing changes, uncertainty and resource similarity between firms, Chen (1996) disequilibrium in business environments, the Aus- concluded that competitive tensions between firms trian school of economics (Kirzner, 1973, 1979; are due to interdependence (such as similarities Copyright 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. Strat. Mgmt. J., 31: 1371–1385 (2010) DOI: 10.1002/smj
1378 R. A. D’Aveni, G. B. Dagnino, and K. G. Smith and commonalities) and realized that this interde- of resources. The mantra calling for the leverag- pendence gave rise to the potential for engaging ing of core competencies (Prahalad and Hamel, in rivalrous behavior. In other words, firms do 1990) makes one wonder: if the resource can be not compete unless they share markets and sim- imitated, transferred, and become less rare by dif- ilar resources. Market commonality and resource fusion throughout an organization, then how is similarity represent the two most relevant elements the resource sustainable due to rarity, nontrans- that make a firm unique or different from others. In ferability, and inimitability within the industry? one study, these overlaps in markets and resources Additionally, Audia et al. (2000), discussing the caused leading firms to carry out less aggressive, internal success cycle of firms, introduced the pat- simpler repertoires of action at a slower pace tern called the paradox of success. The paradox lies toward each other (Ferrier et al., 1999), perhaps in the fact that the very success that organizations due to mutual forbearance. But in other studies, strive to achieve plants the seed of their possi- the Maryland School found that aggressive behav- ble future decline. Once a firm achieves success, ior of challengers leads to better performance and its natural tendency is to continue to exploit the the dethronement of industry leaders who are act- resources that worked in the past. Such success- ing much more complacently (Ferrier et al., 1999). persistence-success cycles, however, become self- This stream of research adopted the view that destructive when radical external changes impose the study of rivalry requires the diagnosis of pat- the need to use new resources. After a period of terns in observable activities, events, or behaviors positive performances, organizations may lose the over time using the chronological order of these ability to recognize when it is time to abandon events as data. This conceptualization of dynamic previously effective resources. In sum, numerous competitive strategy emphasizes interdependence explanations are emerging for the temporary nature among rivals, especially in terms of dyads of ini- of resource- and capability-based advantages. tiated actions and competitive responses that pro- Moreover, resource management is critical to vided fleeting advantages (see also D’Aveni, 1994, value creation because using resources is, at least, chapter 1). as important as possessing them (Penrose, 1959). After criticizing the RBV for its oversight of The early roots of resource-based temporary dynamism, environmental contingencies, and the advantages role of managers, Sirmon, Hitt, and Ireland (2007) At the same time, various strategy researchers point out the strengths and weaknesses of firms’ (D’Aveni, 1994; Eisenhardt and Martin, 2000) dynamic capabilities. Heterogeneity in firm out- argued that, at the firm level, achieving and sus- comes under similar initial conditions may result taining competitive advantage using resources in from managerial errors in the structuring, bundling, today’s highly dynamic (or hypercompetitive) and leveraging of resources. This view suggests environments is difficult, if not impossible. For that resource-based advantages may be unsustain- example, technological resources are easily imi- able, and it undermines one of the core assump- tated or replaced in many high tech industries. tions of the RBV. In other words, there are Diffusion of resources throughout an industry is several alternative explanations for heterogeneity often rapid (Brown and Eisenhardt, 1998). Because among performance outcomes across firms other resources are quickly copied, substituted, or made than heterogeneity in the distribution of resources obsolete, firms can look forward to a series of tem- that are valuable, rare, inimitable, imperfectly porary advantages only as existing resources lose immobile, and nonsubstitutable (Barney, 1991; their value and new ones are needed to replace the Peteraf, 1993). And these explanations suggest old ones (MacMillan, 1989; D’Aveni, 1994). the difficulty in sustaining resource- and dynamic Looking at resources over time, Helfat and capability-based advantages. Peteraf (2003) discussed how resources and capa- Eisenhardt and Martin (2000) pointed out that bilities have a life cycle, and, of course, the product multiple firms possess effective dynamic capabili- life cycle literature suggests that firms must change ties that have common features. Effective dynamic resources over time as their products grow, mature, capabilities as resources are internal and external rejuvenate, or phase out. Even the static resource- (Zahra and Nielsen, 2002) sources of competi- based view of the firm questions the sustainability tive advantage. This stance suggests that firms are Copyright 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. Strat. Mgmt. J., 31: 1371–1385 (2010) DOI: 10.1002/smj
Special Issue Introduction 1379 more homogeneous, fungible, equifinal, and substi- Ruefli and Wiggins (2003) critiqued these empir- tutable than usually assumed (Eisenhardt and Mar- ical studies of performance as an indicator of tin 2000). In dynamic markets, dynamic capabili- sustainable competitive advantage because most ties are a necessity to survive; so many firms must of them scrutinized only limited time frames and acquire or develop them. These capabilities resem- did not tackle the important issue of the inabil- ble the concept of routines (Winter, 2003)—that ity of individual superior performers to sustain is, they are detailed processes with predictable their performance levels. More specifically, they outcomes and an evolutionary emphasis on cre- wished to examine if superior performance per- ating new resources or resource combinations. It sisted or was volatile. In consonance with D’Aveni is often the role of high-level executives to cre- (1994), they predicted that if there had been ate dynamic capabilities to implement high-level a hypercompetitive shift toward more temporary internal routines (Winter, 2003). Thus, compared advantage, they would find that superior perform- to the traditional RBV, the dynamic capabilities lit- ers were falling more frequently into mediocre erature suggests that dynamic capabilities can and performance levels and that the duration of time do diffuse throughout industries, otherwise firms superior performance would decline (Wiggins and would decline and disappear due to their inability Ruefli, 2005). Their research found both. to adapt to changing environments. This suggests Using different methods that decomposed that the uniqueness of dynamic capabilities erodes accounting returns into a long-term portion (similar over time, forcing firms to learn new capabilities to to a 10-year average) and a short-term compo- stay ahead. When such capabilities are improved nent (volatility around the average), Thomas and by several parties in the market, what happens? D’Aveni (2009) found that the volatility of per- Perhaps, the level of rivalry and innovativeness in formance had increased over time, suggesting that the market continues to escalate, making dynamic the temporary component of competitive advan- capabilities the instrument of ever greater chaos. tage was becoming much more important. Thomas Or perhaps the dynamic capabilities get diffused and D’Aveni (2009) not only found that the volatil- and become necessities for survival. Either way, ity of returns for all publicly traded U.S. manufac- dynamic capabilities are not necessarily focused on turing firms was rising from 1950 to 2002, but building sustainable advantages. They may create that this rise in volatility was also associated with sequences of temporary advantages or their ability the rising within-industry heterogeneity of returns to create sequences of advantages may fade over and the impact of industry effects. These results time. suggested that the hypercompetitive shift is more than just an increase in the presence of temporary The early roots of performance-related advantage (as predicted by D’Aveni, 1994, based temporary advantages on his anecdotal study), but was also associated When the RBV arrived on the scene, its mere with the rising effects of firm-specific resources existence implied that industry effects may not and the declining effect of industry effects. One be as important as firm-specific resources. So a underlying cause may be driving a hypercompeti- debate raged on about the relative importance of tive shift in all three. the two effects. Researchers began decomposing Meanwhile, consider the research denying the performance (usually returns) into their industry- existence of hypercompetition (defined by and firm-specific effects, with varying results about D’Aveni, 1994: 2 as ‘an environment of fierce the relative importance (Schmalensee, 1985, 1987; competition leading to unsustainable advantage or McGahan and Porter, 1997, 1999, 2003; Rumelt, the decline in the sustainability of advantage’). 1991; Hawanini, et al., 2003). Some of the stud- One study focused on an industry still under the ies even broke industry effects into persistent and influence of quasi-collusive pricing rules of thumb temporary effects, so as to separate the effects of and unsurprisingly found that the industry was transient shocks to an industry from the long-term not hypercompetitive (Makadok, 1998). And a industry effects from stable industry structure. The second study defined hypercompetition as a non- door was open for looking at temporary perfor- munificent environment lacking in resources some- mance versus long-term performance as evidence what akin to a recession and found there had been of temporary and long-term advantage. many recessions in the past, so hypercompetition Copyright 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. Strat. Mgmt. J., 31: 1371–1385 (2010) DOI: 10.1002/smj
1380 R. A. D’Aveni, G. B. Dagnino, and K. G. Smith was just more of the same according to McNa- evidence that firms should attend to limiting or mara, Vaaler, and Devers (2003). But this defini- improving their weakness (learning), destroying tion of hypercompetition was never intended by the core competencies or center of gravity of D’Aveni (1994). And hypercompetition can lead industry leaders, and leveraging one’s core com- to prosperity by stimulating growth. Before one petency into only a few markets to avoid getting can deny the existence of temporary advantages, spread too thin and to conserve capital for invest- we must be certain to study a broad set of firms ment in weaknesses and the next temporary com- facing varying industry conditions, including (1) a petitive advantage. To avoid wasting resources, variety of aggressive entrants and competitors and the literature also suggests the use other peo- (2) nonprice rivalry and differing industry growth ple’s money (through alliances, joint ventures, rates and levels of innovation. The goal is to find licensing, etc.) when leveraging your competencies time spans that illustrate long-lasting periods of into more distant markets (D’Aveni, 1994; Hamel, unsustainable advantages, rather than a lack of 2000; see also the Special Issue on Hypercompe- munificence. tition in Organization Science, Ilinitch, D’Aveni, Consider the economics and finance literatures, and Lewin, 1996). which have not been limited by assumptions of In sum, it appears that the strategy field has sustainability. These fields published several been slow to accept the notion that environments papers reporting that performance volatility was are increasingly made up of temporary advan- increasing in several aspects of the economy. The tages, especially when they highlight the declining macroeconomics literature reported rising volatil- importance of sustainable advantages derived from ity in earnings, sales, employment growth, capital the RBV or industrial organization economics- expenditures, and total factor productivity (Comin based perspective of strategy. Nevertheless, the and Mulani, 2006; Comin and Philippon, 2006). field has made much more progress than we ini- And the finance literature reported an increase tially expected and is now ripe for development in volatility of abnormal returns for U.S. equity of a new major paradigm based on temporary returns (Campbell et al., 2001; Irvine and Pontiff, advantage that would compete with or comple- 2009.) ment the two other paradigms based on sustainable advantage. The roots of temporary advantages take hold in the strategy field Despite the slowness of the strategy field to recog- THIS SPECIAL ISSUE’S UNIQUE nize the rise of temporary competitive advantages CONTRIBUTIONS TO TEMPORARY (based on performance volatility), some strategy ADVANTAGE scholars have taken early note of the changing and temporary nature of competition (Bettis and Hitt, This special issue contains a number of articles that 1995). Other scholars have worked to identify the contribute significantly to theory and evidence of underlying assumptions distinguishing paradigms temporary advantage. Table 2 displays the differ- based on sustainable competitive advantage (RBV, ent approaches taken by these papers. One paper is industrial organization) versus temporary compet- not shown in Table 2 because it spanned the three itive advantage (such as hypercompetition), see rows: actions, resources, and performance (i.e., Lengnick-Hall and Wolff (1999). Navigating in a hypercompetitive environment: the In addition, principles of how a firm can deal roles of action aggressiveness and TMT integration with rapidly eroding advantages are beginning to by Chen et al., 2010). emerge in the literature. For example, it is sug- We selected a set of articles that would fill out gested that firms should engage in self- the matrix in Table 2 in order to demonstrate how cannibalization, preemption of the market by being temporary advantage can be researched using the first to introduce the next new advantage, time six perspectives in theTable, and how the unit pacing, and the use of unpredictable, aggressive of analysis may vary from the firm-, industry-, actions (MacMillan, 1988; D’Aveni, 1994; Nault and cross-national-levels of analysis. In addition, and Vandenbosch, 1996; Brown and Eisenhardt, this special issue includes papers using a wide 1998). In addition, we are also beginning to see variety of methods running from mathematical Copyright 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. Strat. Mgmt. J., 31: 1371–1385 (2010) DOI: 10.1002/smj
Special Issue Introduction 1381 Table 2. Articles in this special issue on temporary competitive advantages Sequences: Erosion and compression: Long-term patterns or themes Short-term duration of multiple advantages over time and magnitude of a single advantage Action-based advantages • Hypercompetition • Competitive dynamics (especially response time and type to an action) • Evolutionary theory • Austrian economics • Opportunistic search • Creative destruction How sequences of competitive actions Life in the fast lane: origins of competitive create advantage for firms in nascent interaction in new versus established markets markets By Rindova, Ferrier, and Wiltbank, 2010 By Chen, Lin, and Mitchel, 2010 Resource-based • Dynamic capabilities • Resource life cycles advantages • High velocity • Strengths and weaknesses • New 7S’s Complementarity-based The dynamic interplay of capability hypercompetition in the software strengths and weaknesses: investigating industry: theory and empirical test , the bases of temporary competitive 1990-2002 advantage By Lee, Venkatraman, Tanriverdi, and By Sirmon, Hitt, Arregle, and Campbell, Iyer, 2010 2010 Performance-related • Volatility • Continuous change advantages • Rarity • Time compression and duration of superior performance • Hypercompetitive shift • Self-cannibalization Institutional development and Erosion, time compression, and hypercompetition in emerging self-displacement of leaders in economies hypercompetitive environments By Hermelo and Vassolo, 2010 By Pacheco-de-Almeida, 2010 modeling, simulations, survey methods, and meth- temporary advantage, such as hypercompetitive ods imported from psychology concerning how to industries and high-velocity industries, may be identify patterns among sequences of behaviors. driven by much more than Schumpeterian com- And two of the seven articles use data sets based petition. It may be that hypercompetition is not on firms outside the U.S. The articles make contri- equivalent to Schumpeterian competition as many butions to both the antecedents and consequences researchers have assumed. Hypercompetition can of temporary advantage. be caused by factors other than technological development and innovation, such as the distri- bution of firm resources and the change in these The antecedents of temporary advantages resources over time. Hermelo and Vassolo (2010) find that the modern- ization of economic and other institutions increases The consequences of temporary advantages the amount of temporary advantage across several countries in Latin America. Lee et al. (2010) find Several other studies in this special issue refine or that dynamic capabilities speed up the escalation contest established notions of what works best for of temporary advantages. Chen et al. (2010) iden- performance in environments of temporary advan- tify another antecedent of temporary advantage, tages. Rather than self-cannibalize and proactively especially aggressive actions—top management pre-empt the market with the next new advan- team characteristics. Sirmon et al. (2010) find that tage, Pacheco-de-Almeida (2010) showed that it is a firm’s weaknesses interact with its strengths often better to self-displace—that is, to voluntarily to limit the advantage of strengths. We can see give up leadership of an industry. He observes that from these studies that environments defined by the magnitude and duration of the next advantage Copyright 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. Strat. Mgmt. J., 31: 1371–1385 (2010) DOI: 10.1002/smj
1382 R. A. D’Aveni, G. B. Dagnino, and K. G. Smith may be too short to earn more rents than by sim- influences the parameters in wave equations. We ply milking the old advantage. Also in contrast could visualize an industry with both long and to accepted wisdom, Chen et al. (2010) find that short waves rippling through it. Thus, an industry aggressive actions are not always the best way would be represented by a series of wave equations to precede in hypercompetitive or high velocity (disruptions) with differing parameters, and the environments. Also in contrast, Chen et al. (2010) parameters would be based on the antecedents of reconfirm that aggressive actions work best in advantages. hypercompetitive Asian markets, even though the Chaos theory may be another theory that has the society is based on collective and cooperative cul- capability to describe the existence of simultane- tural norms. Finally, Rindova, et al., (2010) found ous coexistence of short- and long-term advantages that in certain hypercompetitive environments, it (Gleick, 1988). Likewise, complexity theory or the is better to use predictable and simple sequences theory of complex systems (Waldrop, 1992; Ander- of actions to signal the stock market, rather than son, 1999) may add to the theory of temporary unpredictable actions to confuse rivals. advantage by enabling the integration of literatures on hypercompetition, hypervelocity, hyperturbu- lence, and complex competitive dynamics. THE FUTURE OF TEMPORARY In addition, we may discover that hypercompe- VERSUS SUSTAINABLE ADVANTAGE: tition turns out to be a special case of Porter’s five MUTUALLY EXCLUSIVE OR forces (low barriers to entry and substitution, high SIMULTANEOUSLY COEXISTENT? power of buyers and suppliers, and rising indus- try rivalry). Some industry factors may still have Some scholars have argued that temporary advan- residual effects over time, even though industry tage is a horse of a very different color when behavior is deteriorating. compared to sustainable advantage-based models As noted earlier, new tools and methods may be of strategy (Grimm et al, 2005). Some argued invented to resolve the question of mutual exclu- that temporary advantage is applicable under dif- sivity versus compatibility of theories through ferent circumstances (D’Aveni, 1999) or involve looking more closely at the firm dyads as the level very different underlying assumptions (Lengnick- of analysis and then accumulating the results to Hall and Wolff, 1999). And some empiricists have see the industry-level implications. Perhaps tac- implied that sustainable and temporary competi- tics are short term, but strategies are long term. tive advantages are mutually exclusive concepts. Perhaps temporary interactions between dyads of Studying the increased volatility of returns, declin- firms somehow accumulate into stable or unstable ing impact of industry effects, and the relationship industry structures. And perhaps some aspects of between rivalry and industry performance, Thomas industries may be stable while the firm level dyads (1996) and Thomas and D’Aveni (2009), argued are unstable due to temporary advantages. As our that industries based on sustainable oligopolies theories become more dynamic, so too will the data were being replaced by industries that had become we study. hypercompetitive. But are these paradigms mutu- Finally, another emerging insight is that firms ally exclusive or can both sustainable and tempo- do not have just one strategy (D’Aveni, 2010). rary advantage simultaneously coexist? They may have a multiplicity of strategies —each In the future, we may see many new theo- strategy takes on rivals one at a time. In fact, ries imported into the field of strategy to resolve in a world of temporary advantages, it may be this question. Wave theory is one such possibil- rare to see a firm having just one strategy that ity. Waves carry energy and are disturbances in a universally applies across all rivals. A firm may medium, such as water, air, or space. The ampli- have as many strategies as it has competitors. Yet tude, duration, velocity, and periodicity of many the field of strategy still talks about firms as if they different types of waves can all be described in had just one strategy. Consequently, to understand mathematical equations. Some waves have shorter temporary competitive advantages, we may need periods, travel faster, and dissipate sooner than oth- to move to the firm-dyad level of analysis, adding ers. The parameters of the wave formula define the a new row to Tables 1 and 2. We may also need period, frequency, and amplitude. With consider- to allow more studies that are inductive, data able empirical research, we could discover what exploratory, and dynamic or fine-grained in nature. Copyright 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. Strat. Mgmt. J., 31: 1371–1385 (2010) DOI: 10.1002/smj
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