Test the future Investor Day - June 11th Turin - Diasorin
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Disclaimer These statements are related, among others, to the intent, belief or current expectations of the customers base, estimates regarding the future growth in the different business lines and the global business, market share, financial results and other aspects of the activities and situation relating to the Company. Such forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and involve risks and uncertainties, and actual results may differ materially from those expressed in or implied by these forward-looking statements as a result of various factors, many of which are beyond the ability of DiaSorin S.p.A. to control or estimate precisely. The Company does not undertake to update or otherwise revise any forecasts or objectives presented herein, except in compliance with the disclosure obligations applicable to companies whose shares are listed on a stock exchange. Piergiorgio Pedron, the Officer Responsible for the presentation of corporate financial reports of DiaSorin S.p.A., in accordance with the second subsection of art. 154- bis, part IV, title III, second paragraph, section V-bis, of Legislative Decree February 24, 1998, no. 58, declares that, to the best of his knowledge, the financial information included in the present document corresponds to book accounts and book-keeping entries of the Company.
A genda 1 DIASORIN AT A GLANCE 5 MAIN BUSINESS ACHIEVEMENTS 7 HEALTHCARE SECTOR TRENDS 17 DIAGNOSTIC SECTOR TRENDS 27 DIASORIN POSITIONING AS A CONTENT SPECIALIST 44 GROUP STRATEGIES FOR MAIN GEOGRAPHIES 59 GUIDANCE 2019-2022 61 BUSINESS DEVELOPMENT OPPORTUNITIES 63 MAIN TAKEAWAYS
W ho are we? DiaSorin is a Company committed to develop products that require complex technologies and high risk research spending. In other words SPECIALTY PRODUCTS 2
D iaSorin WorldWide WITH OVER 50 YEARS OF EXPERIENCE GERMANY - Dietzenbach USA - Stillwater USA - Cypress ITALY - Saluggia UK - Dartford ITALY - Gerenzano Manufacturing sites R&D centers SOUTH AFRICA - Kyalami Direct presence Countries served via distribution 3
G rowth through acquisitions & partnerships 2008-2009 2010-2012 2013-2014 2015-2016 2017-2018 PA RT NE RS CONNECTIVITY FOR LAB HI STOOL AUTOMATION HEPATITIS & RETROVIRUS QFT P M& A ELISA HEPATITIS MOLECULAR ELISA PARVOVIRUS & RETROVIRUS DIAGNOSTICS BUSINESS CASH FLOW SERVING OUR GROWTH, EXPANSION AND INNOVATION TO PROVIDE RIGHT SOLUTIONS TO OUR CLIENTS 4
M ain business achievements from 2017 long term guidance TARGETS STATUS HDV ANDROSTENEDIONE C. DIFFICILE BABESIA ANAPLASMA PHAGOC. GROUP B STREP. 5-6 new Immunodiagnostic VITAMIN B12 DEVELOPMENT tests/year MYCOPLASMA PRODUCT QFT LTBI FGF 23 CBFB-MYH11 BCR-ABL PNEUM. GROUP C FOLATE SHBG CHLAMYDIA PNEUM. 1.5 STREP. PROCALCITONIN BORDETELLA DIRECT 2 new molecular kits + EHRLICHIA HSV 1 PNEUMOCYSTIS 4 new ASRs/year ELASTASE-1 ZIKA IGM GROUP G STREP. CALPROTECTIN VZV DIRECT HSV 2 LEGIONELLA SPECIES JIROV. QFT franchise: launch of Latent Tuberculosis test September 2018 Summer 2019 by 2020 Partnerships Expansion of T-cells response to other new applications DEVELOPMENT Gastro-intestinal franchise: sale of H. Pylori SA on CLIA October 2018 BUSINESS Hepatitis & HIV franchise: launch on CLIA in the US ELISA business acquisition Conversion of Siemens’ ELISA clients to DiaSorin’s CLIA solutions DEVELOPMENT TECHNOLOGY Development/launch May 2019 by 2020 by 2021 of LIAISON XS INDUSTRIAL EFFICIENCY Supply chain efficiencies EBITDA Margin safeguarding initiatives Operational excellence Rationalization of manufacturing footprint 6
M ain challenges for companies working in the healthcare industry 01 02 Increase cost as the result Society overall expects of more expensive us to deliver services technologies, broader and products that will access to the welfare system help people live longer and the demographic trend Increase efficiency in the way we conduct our business 03 04 Tough competition cannot miss any business decision or we are taken out of the market 8
C hallenges in Healthcare HEALTH SPENDING PER CAPITA (IN USD PPP) 2017 data estimated by the Secretariat for those countries that were not able to provide this information. PPP stands for Purchase Power Parity and adjusts health expenditure for differences in price levels between countries. Source: OECD Health Statistics 2018 9
C hallenges in Healthcare $6.0 MACROECONOMIC FORCES ON THE US ECONOMY 19.7% Current health spending TRILLION Under current law, national health spending is projected to grow at an average rate of 5.5% share in GDP is expected per year for 2018-27 to reach 19.7% by 2026 The average US and to reach nearly family pays ~30% of annual $6.0 trillion by 2027 The healthcare system household income in health in America is costly insurance premium and costs and not sustainable (2019). The cost is expected to be 50% of household income by 2021 ~30% COSTLY 10
C hallenges in Healthcare THE ROLE OF DEMOGRAPHY: ITALY IN 2018 MALE 5 4 3 2 1 0 1 2 3 4 5 FEMALE % VALUES Source: ISTAT, national demographic forecasts 11
C hallenges in Healthcare THE ROLE OF DEMOGRAPHY: ITALY IN 2050 MALE 5 4 3 2 1 0 1 2 3 4 5 FEMALE % VALUES Source: ISTAT, national demographic forecasts 12
C hallenges in Healthcare THE ROLE OF DEMOGRAPHY IN HEALTHCARE SPENDING – ITALY Individual expense for healthcare Source: SISSI project, SIMG-CEIS Tor Vergata 13
What is the conclusion?
WE NEED TO BE Innovative Adaptive to changes WE ARE ALL MOVING TO VALUE BASED CARE
VBC (Value Based Care) Diagnostic companies A model in which providers, are not just providing including hospitals & physicians, a test result, but a viable are paid based on patient information associated to an health outcome algorithm that will support the medical decision 16
Diagnostic sector trends
opposite forces are reshaping 2 the laboratory space and the IVD Industry 1 2 CONSOLIDATION to drive efficiency of routine laboratory services DECENTRALIZATION to drive efficiency of patient management as part of value based care (VBC) initiatives 18
C onsolidation: Key Factors 1,833 926 Multi-hospital health systems Independent hospitals 19
C onsolidation: New Models FRANCE (BALLERAU LAW) 4,000 891 14 UH and GH Blood Banks Private Labs Labs Labs Market consolidation 2013-2018 139 135 4 Regional platforms GHT + 12 APHP GH Blood Banks (562 Labs) (295 Labs) Labs 20
D ecentralization: decentralized testing MEDICAL EFFICIENCY • Increasing worldwide prevalence DECENTRALIZATION • Alleviate seasonal spike of infectious diseases to POCs in testing volumes • Reduce time from Diagnosis • Bring Testing closer to Patients to Treatment • Reduce labor costs • Provide more precise treatment ACCESSIBILITY TO NEW SOLUTIONS Increasing number of tests and instruments proposed by Molecular Manufacturers 21
H ow technology affects decentralization Blood draw Testing Result HOW HOSPITAL IT ALL STARTED PATIENT COLLECTION CENTER HOSPITAL Improved TODAY PATIENT PHARMACY DEPARTMENT STORE PRIVATE LAB Logistics Improved testing PHARMACY technology HOUSEHOLD PATIENT WEARABLE TOMORROW PATIENT The Future
D ecentralization: what technology can deliver today DIABETES FERTILITY HOME COLLECTION SELF TESTING (Traditional technologies) Glucose Pregnancy Monitoring Testing Info to POINT OF CARE be certified by Lab which acts a key role RESPIRATORY CARDIAC MAKERS HOSPITAL ACQUIRED PROFESSIONAL INFECTIONS TESTING (Molecular technologies) 23
What does it mean for DiaSorin?
H ow do we support consolidation? HIGH VOLUME AUTOMATION CONNECTIVITY TO EXISTING PLATFORMS PLATFORMS DEDICATED SPECIALTY PLATFORM 25
H ow do we support decentralization? 1 HUB AND SPOKE MODEL + PLATFORMS 2 EASE OF USE NO EXTRACTION + 3 MOLECULAR POC Results < 15’ STRATEGIC FOCUS 26
DiaSorin positioning as a content specialist
A new path forward as a content specialist + LAUNCH OF CLIA LAUNCH OF MDX SPECIALTY TESTS SPECIALTY TESTS EXISTING LATENT TURBERCULOSIS LYME NEW VALUE BASED CARE Diagnostic algorithms (VBC) CALPROTECTIN H.PYLORI STOOL ANTIGEN 28
A new path forward as a content specialist LAUNCH OF CLIA SPECIALTY TESTS EXISTING 29
O ur Specialist Menu HIGH VOLUME DIFFERENTIATING INNOVATIVE ME-TOO SPECIALTIES SPECIALTIES SPECIALTIES Specialized tests, broadly Specialized tests, growing New tests of unique clinical Common tests, known use known clinical acceptance value Usually prescribed by Usually prescribed by Mainly prescribed by GPs Education needed specialists specialists Available from most Offered by a limited number Offered by a very limited Single market provider providers of providers number of providers 44 42 32 2 30
S pecialty tests differentiation vs. competition 2016 2 24 2 42 29 43 62 today 2 2 4 63 44 42 32 29 3 45 2 41 3 32 3 INNOVATIVE DIFFERENTIATING HIGH VOLUME SPECIALTIES ME-TOO SPECIALTIES SPECIALTIES Tests of the main competitor within the area New DiaSorin tests in 2019-2022 31
S ustaining innovation: DiaSorin specialties R&D pipeline CALPROTECTIN US ELASTASE H. PYLORI US VITAMIN B12 FOLATE HEV IgG & IgM LAUNCH OF CLIA SPECIALTY TESTS VITAMIN K PCT US TRAb 45 41 32 3 CELIAC PANEL 32
A new path forward as a content specialist LAUNCH OF MDX SPECIALTY TESTS EXISTING 33
M olecular Strategy - Overview cCMV EXPANSION CONTENT MENU MYCOPLASMA GEN. & ANTIBIOTIC RESISTANCE ATYPICAL PNEUMONIAE DEVELOP TARGETED ASSAY PANELS VZV SWAB VZV CSF 34
A new path forward as a content specialist LATENT TURBERCULOSIS LYME NEW VALUE BASED CARE Diagnostic algorithms (VBC) CALPROTECTIN H.PYLORI STOOL ANTIGEN 35
V alue Based Care: new initiatives through diagnostic algorithms LYME VBC LATENT New Key initiatives TUBERCULOSIS through CALPROTECTIN diagnostic algorithms H. PYLORI STOOL ANTIGEN 36
Q uantiFERON Lyme: addressing unmet and unaswered needs LYME DISEASE: CAUSED BY BORRELIA BACTERIA SPREAD BY TICKS TESTING MARKET QFT LYME ESTIMATED POTENTIAL (POTENTIAL) MARKET 35,000/year confirmed cases 1 12-14 M tests/year3 $400-600 M 30,000/year 5M confirmed tests/year4 cases 2 1 https://ecdc.europa.eu/sites/portal/files/media/en/healthtopics/vectors/world-health-day-2014/Documents/factsheet-lyme-borreliosis.pdf 2 https://www.cdc.gov/lyme/datasurveillance/index.html 3 EDMA Market Data & proprietary market intelligence 4 US healthcare insurance reimbursement data 37
Q uantiFERON Lyme: addressing unmet and unaswered needs DIAGNOSIS TREATMENT Current algorithm based on IgG, Treatment with antibiotics IgM & WB confirmation If untreated loss of facial mobility, joint low sensitivity in acute infection, pains, severe headaches with neck stiffness, risk of delayed or missed and heart palpitations can develop. diagnosis and long term medical In absence of early antibiotic treatment, complication cases. 10 to 20% of people develop joint pains, memory problems, and tiredness for at least six months. QIAGEN QUANTIFERON TECHNOLOGY AND DIASORIN SEROLOGY TESTING COMBINED TO PROVIDE: Lyme IgG EXISTING + Increased sensitivity in acute Effective monitoring Lyme IgM = infection driving of treatment antibiotic therapy of infected patients + decision NEW Lyme QFT 38
I nflammatory bowel disease (IBD): patient treatment IBD PATIENTS REQUIRE TESTING AND MONITORING THROUGH DIFFERENT CLINICAL MOMENTS MONITOR DIAGNOSIS TREATMENT REMISSION Colonoscopy Inflammatory markers (Calprotectin) Steroids or Biologics Symptoms, Diet, Lifestyle CALPROTECTIN TESTING IS AN UNDERUTILIZED TOOL 10% 2% 2% DIFFERENTIAL MONITOR TREATMENT DIAGNOSIS REMISSION Monitoring of Therapy Correctly identify IBD Prediction of Relapse to improve success & optimize (vs IBS & other GI can improve patient therapy costs afflictions) life quality Reduce Colonoscopy LTBI test required: EURECA Study where possible QuantiFERON DiaSorin 39
I rritable bowel syndrome (IBS) vs. Inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) CROHN’S DISEASE TESTING MARKET CALPROTECTIN ESTIMATED POTENTIAL & ULCERATIVE COLITIS (POTENTIAL) MARKET 2.5 M 10-13 M tests/year3 patients 1 $200-300 M 3M 7M patients 2 tests/year3 1 Burisch, Johan, et al. “The burden of inflammatory bowel disease in Europe.” Journal of Crohn’s and Colitis 7.4 (2013): 322-337 2 https://www.cdc.gov/ibd/data-statistics.htm 3 Proprietary market intelligence 40
H elicobacter pylori: diagnosis & treatment DIAGNOSIS TREATMENT INVASIVE (ENDOSCOPY) PROTON PUMP INHIBITORS (PPI) + ANTIBIOTICS Needs specialized personnel, high (Clarithromycin & Amoxicillin) patient impact, high cost, can miss low level infection NON INVASIVE (UREA BREATH TEST) Needs specialized personnel, ! affected by diet, false negatives after treatment RAISE OF ANTIBIOTIC RESISTANCE DRIVES NEED FOR TESTING BEFORE NON INVASIVE (STOOL ANTIGEN TEST) TREATMENT START 15% Automated, does not require SHARE specialized personnel, reduced false Testing suggested on all patients if negatives and diet effect local population resistance >15-20% 41
H elicobacter pylori clinical need OPTIMIZED DETECTION & ANTIBIOTIC RESISTANCE TESTING UREA BREATH TEST STOOL POSITIVE POSITIVE SAMPLE UREA BREATH TEST STOOL EXTRACTION CLARITHROMYCIN RESISTANCE DIASORIN COMBINED IMMUNODIAGNOSTIC + MOLECULAR DIAGNOSTIC SOLUTION STOOL POSITIVE SAMPLE STOOL EXTRACTION STOOL ANTIGEN TEST CLARITHROMYCIN RESISTANCE
H elicobacter pylori 4.4B people carrying H. Pylori WW1 ESTIMATED POTENTIAL MARKET 3 20 M annual H. Pylori testing volume 3 10-20% risk of developing peptic ulcers 2 7M $400 M potential yearly H. Pylori antibiotic 1-2% resistance testing risk of volume 4 acquiring stomach cancer 2 1 Hooi JKY et al. Global prevalence of Helicobacter pylori infection: Systematic review and meta-analysis. Gastroenterology 2017 Apr 26 2 Pathogenesis of Helicobacter pylori Infection, Johannes G. Kusters, Arnoud H. M. van Vliet, Ernst J. Kuipers, Clin Microbiol Rev. 2006 Jul; 19(3) 3 Proprietary confidential market data 4 Based on US and Europe H.pylori incidence rates 43
Group strategies by main geographies
US strategy COMMERCIAL HOSPITALS CLIENTS POLs NETWORK BASE 46
US commercial clients base strategy NEW COMPLETE MOLECULAR HEPS + HIV SPECIALTY MENU KITS COMMERCIAL CLIENTS BASE NEW MOLECULAR NEW IMMUNO SPECIALTY SPECIALTY TESTS ASRs 47
US LIAISON XS and POLs strategy # POLs IN THE US PER TEST VOLUMES (2017 DATA) SMALL SIZE MEDIUM SIZE BIG SIZE WAIVER/PPM 500k tests/year Market segment stable over next 5 years (slowdown of 1-2%). Lower exposure to PAMA effects vs. rest of the market. DiaSorin Target “ME-TOO” 1M IMMUNO TESTS Tot POLs ~ 15,000 ~ 2,200 ~ 200 Tot tests ~ 140M ~ 300M ~ 220M ~ 220M % tests ~ 16% ~ 34% ~ 25% ~ 25% volumes
US hospitals network strategy EXPANSION IN THE HOSPITAL MARKET: STRATEGIC FOCUS ON INTEGRATED HEALTH NETWORKS AND MAJOR MEDICAL CENTERS Leverage innovative product launches/ strategic partnerships to drive sales cycles IMMUNO in the strategic Hospital account segment SPECIALTY TESTS New dedicated resources to call on the top Health Networks and Group Purchasing Organizations to remove barriers to entry HOSPITALS NETWORK (1,100 hospitals) Sales organization efforts focused in the strategic segment with new value based messaging VBC (Value Based Care) Additional sales resources to accelerate the uptake in the segment 49
E uropean strategy EXISTING ELISA CUSTOMER CONVERSION BASE TO CLIA 51
E uropean strategy NEW NEW IMMUNO MOLECULAR SPECIALTY TESTS SPECIALTY KITS EXISTING CUSTOMER BASE VBC NEW MOLECULAR (Value Based SPECIALTY Care) ASRs 52
E urope: LIAISON XS enabling QFT and Siemens ELISA conversion to CLIA for mid-to-big ELISA testing volumes conversion ELISA CONVERSION TO CLIA for mid-to-small volumes conversion ELISA Detection 53
C hinese strategy CHINA CLASS III CLASS II MANUFACTURING HOSPITALS HOSPITALS 55
C hina: Class III hospital strategy #HOSPITALS 44% OF MARKET QFT CLASS IIIA VOLUMES NEW SPECIALTY 1,308 TESTS FRANCHISE ESTIMATED GROWTH: 2-3%, CLASS IIIB ALTHOUGH 924 SLOWING CLASS IIA ~ 70% OF TOTAL DIASORIN CLASS IIB REVENUES OVERCROWDING CLASS I PROBLEMS AND COSTS NOT CLASSIFIED MAINTENANCE OF LIAISON XL + LAS INSTALLED BASE 56
C hina: Class II hospital strategy #HOSPITALS 43% OF MARKET QFT VOLUMES NEW SPECIALTY CLASS IIIA TESTS FRANCHISE ESTIMATED GROWTH: CLASS IIIB +10% 1,580 CLASS IIA 6,364 CLASS IIB POLITICAL FUTURE SUPPORT TO CLASS I MARKET AS ENCOURAGE FOR BUSINESS GROWTH AND REDUCE OVERCROWDING EXPANSION IN CLASS III NOT CLASSIFIED New distribution network LIAISON XS to address the segment to penetrate with LIAISON XL this new segment 57
hina manufacturing: from export C to high quality local CLIA developer JV TO ACCESS TO MANUFACTURE TENDERS KEY SPECIFIC FOR DOMESTIC TESTS IN CHINA MANUFACTURERS (LOCAL FOR ONLY LOCAL) Percentage of Chinese manufacturing products= 70% in 2025 in 10 key sectors, including Medical Devices INCREASED OPPORTUNITY OPPORTUNITY TO TO EXPAND ACCESS HUNDREDS IN CLASS II HOSPITALS IN MOST HOSPITALS RELEVANT PROVINCES DiaSorin positioning as a high quality “made in China” CLIA diagnostic manufacturer through a new Joint Venture with a recognized Chinese academic institution 58
Guidance 2019 - 2022
G uidance 2019 - 2022 REVENUES 2019 - 2022 EBITDA GROWTH CUMULATIVE MARGIN CAGR FCF @ @ 2018 CER @ 2018 CER 2018 CER COMPARABLE MID-TO-HIGH TO 2018 EBITDA €700 - 750 M SINGLE DIGITS MARGIN RESULT 60
Business development opportunities
B usiness development opportunities 2019-2022: continuous focus on Business Development opportunities NEW ALLIANCES AND/OR M&A PARTNERSHIPS VBC (Value Based Care) 62
Main takeaways
M ain takeaways Technology & platforms serving needs of all labs Pursue size of new alliances and/or partnerships CONTINUOUS Continuous STRENGTHENED FOCUS launch of specialty SPECIALTY ON BUSINESS tests POSITIONING DEVELOPMENT ON VBC Use of cash for M&A as an VBC additional driver key initiatives to growth driving a new specialty positioning 64
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