Sustainable Growth Business Plan 2019 2023 - Milan, 18 June 2019 - Gruppo Creval

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Sustainable Growth
Business Plan 2019 - 2023
Milan, 18 June 2019
Disclaimer

 This document contains certain “forward-looking statements”, which expression includes all statements that do not relate solely to historical or current facts but rather reflect
 subjective judgments that may or may not prove to be correct, and which are therefore inherently uncertain. All forward-looking statements rely on a number of assumptions,
 expectations, projections and provisional data concerning future events and are subject to a number of uncertainties and other factors (including, without limitation, the economic
 environment and changes in governmental regulations, fiscal policy, planning or laws in the Republic of Italy, other relevant jurisdictions and the EU), many of which are outside
 the control of Creval. There are a variety of factors that may cause actual results and performance to be materially different from the explicit or implicit contents of any forward-
 looking statements and thus, such forward-looking statements are not a reliable indicator of future performance. Other factors not presently known to Creval generally, or that
 Creval presently believes are not material, could also cause results to differ materially from those expressed in the forward-looking statements included in this document.
 Consequently, the actual results might differ from the projections and such differences might be significant.

 Past performance should not be considered a reliable indicator of future performance and readers of this document are cautioned that any such statements are not guarantees of
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                                                                                                                                                                                       2
Agenda

   Today’s Speaker
                     Introductory Remarks @11.00 CET

                     Solid Foundations and Potential

                     A Clear Strategy

                     Effective Initiatives Underpinning the Business Plan
    Luigi Lovaglio
         Group CEO   Financial Targets Reflecting Sustainable Growth

                     Q&A Session

                     Closing Remarks @13.30 CET

                                                                            3
Sustainable Growth
Business Plan 2019 – 2023: Our Mission

       “   A solid, low-risk and value-oriented Commercial Bank,
              focused on Retail and SME Clients in our Regions

                                                                 ”
                                                                     4
Sustainable Growth
Business Plan 2019 – 2023: Our Targets

      Sustainable              Attractive           Fortress            Cleaner
      Profitability            Dividends             Capital         Balance Sheet
                               >50% Dividend
      ~6% / >8% RoE in                            >14% CET1R FL in
Solid Foundations and Potential

                                  6
Evolving Landscape on the Back of Macro and Industry Trends
                                                                                                                                  Implications for Banks

      Challenging Macro                          • Flat to limited GDP growth(1)                                                Customer base growth &
        Environment                              • “Lower for longer” interest rates environment                                 revenue diversification

      Change in Consumer
                                                 • Requirement for a quality omni-channel customer service                         “Customer first” &
        Behaviours and
          Increasing                             • Growing focus on Customer experience, major driver of Customer choices           Customer-centric
         Expectations                            • Simple, transparent products and value added services                              organisation

                       • Historically fragmented Italian banking sector, moving towards a
 Competitive Landscape   progressive consolidation                                                                                Agile and innovative
      Evolution        • Increased competition from innovative and new value propositions (FinTech)                                     platform
                       • Open Banking (PSD2) model

           Regulatory                                                                                                              Solid and low-risk
                                                 • Pressure on capital requirements, balance sheet strength and de-risking
          Environment                                                                                                               business model

(1)    Source: Prometeia March 2019 (0.2%, 0.6%, 0.9% in 2019, 2020 and 2021 respectively; 0.7% over the period 2022 - 2026).                              7
Creval Can Count on a Strong Regional Franchise...
                                          365 Branches Nationwide…                                                …with More than 60% of Loans and Deposits in Northern Italy(1)
                                                                                                                                     Centre
                                                                                        8                                             18%
                                                             1             160
                                                                                                                 Branches                                North   Total: #365
                                                                                            12                                                           56%
                                                                 18                                                                Sicily
                                                                                                                                   26%
                                                                                      6

                                                                                        8              26                                   Sicily
                                                                                                 2                                          17%
                                                                                                                 Customer
                                                                                                  30                               Centre                        Total: €16bn
                                                                                                                  Loans                                  North
     Client Breakdown by Type                                                                                                       21%                  63%

          Corporates
             6%                                                                                                                         Sicily
SMEs                                                                                                                                    17%
 17%
                                                                                                                  Direct
                                                                                                                                    Center                       Total: €15bn
                                                                                                            94   Funding             19%
                                               Retail                                                                                                   North
                                               77%                                                                                                      64%

                                                                      Longstanding relationships with ~700k Retail and SME Clients

Source: Company disclosure and managerial data.
(1)     Number of branches as of March 2019, customer loans and direct funding as of December 2018.                                                                             8
…With More than 50% of the Business in Lombardy, the Largest and Wealthiest Region
                                           Lombardy as a % of Creval                                                                         Key Provinces(2)
Selected Metrics(1)                                                                                                                                    Branch     # Inhabitants     Income /
                                                                                                                             # of Branches             m.s. (%)       (‘000)      Capita (€’000)

                                                                                                                   Sondrio                     40       31.0%         181.4           25.3
          Direct
                                                                                                            53%
         Funding
                                                                                                                    Milano                    38         2.7%         3,235           34.0

                                                                                                                  Monza e
                                                                                                                  Brianza               18               5.0%          872            30.4
       Customer
                                                                                                           52%
        Loans
                                                                                                                    Como               15                4.8%          599            26.0

                                                                                                                    Lecco         12                     5.7%          339            27.0
      Revenues                                                                                            50%
                                                                                                                   Varese         11                     3.7%          891            27.3
                                                                                                                                                                                      29.1

                                                                                                                    Pavia         10                     3.7%          546            29.1
      Branches                                                                                      44%
                                                                                                                  Bergamo     6                          1.0%         1,110           30.4

                                             Lombardy is the largest region in Italy with 16% of total population and 22% of GDP(2)

(1)   MIS data as of December 2018.
(2)   Source: Company disclosure, Banca d’Italia, ISTAT and other publicly available information.                                                                                            9
Best-in-Class Capital Position…

                  CET1 Ratio Fully Loaded (1Q 2019)(1)(2)                                            Buffer vs. SREP Requirement(1)(3)         Memo: 2019 SREP Requirement(4)

      Credito Valtellinese
                                                                                     14.0%                                               575                8.3%
           1Q 2019

                       Bank 1                                                      13.5%                                         417                        9.3%

                       Bank 2                                                     13.2%                                                520                  8.0%

                       Bank 3                                                  12.3%                                 218                                   10.1%

                       Bank 4                                                  12.2%                                       324                              9.0%

                       Bank 5                                                 12.1%                                    281                                  9.3%

                       Bank 6                                                11.5%                                   222                                    9.3%

                       Bank 7                                               11.2%                             120                                          10.0%

                       Bank 8                                             10.8%                                149                                          9.3%

      Credito Valtellinese
                                                                         10.4%                                         270                                  7.7%
             2017

(1)   Banks include: BMPS, Pop. Sondrio, Banco BPM, BPER, Credem, Intesa Sanpaolo, UBI, UniCredit.
(2)   Pop. Sondrio figure is transitional. Credem figure refers to Credem Holding.
(3)   Pop. Sondrio buffer vs. SREP based on transitional CET1 ratio.                                                                                                        10
(4)   Creval’s SREP requirement set by Bank of Italy.
…Enabling a Clear Potential for Growth

             AuM / (Direct + Indirect Funding)                                                                            Consumer Finance Penetration(1)                                       Mortgage Penetration(1)

                                                                    ~33%                                                                                                                                           ~13%

                                                                                                                                                                                                                          1.2x
                                                                                        1.4x                                                                                                    ~11%
                                                                                                                                                                                  ~10%
                       ~24%

                                                                                                                                      ~7%                                                1.3x

Source: Managerial benchmarking on “good practice” of selected Italian banks.
(1)     Refers to retail clients holding consumer finance / mortgage in percentage of total retail clients. Italian average refers to eight major Italian banking institutions.                                                  11
A Clear Strategy

                   12
Business Plan Built on Two Pillars

            1                                    2

                Revamp our Commercial                Take Decisive Actions on
                   Banking Platform                       Legacy Issues

                      Enablers - Our Historic Franchise and Our People

                                                                                13
1   Revamp Our Commercial Banking Platform
    Strong Focus on Commercial Bank Enabling Sustainable Growth and Profitability

                                          Key Actions

          A   Separate commercial bank from Non-Core unit

          B   Enhance customer-centric proposition

          C   Optimise platform and simplify processes

          D   Reshape credit underwriting and monitoring framework

                                                                                    14
A
             Separation of Commercial Bank from “Non-Core” Unit to Allow for a Strong Focus on
             Plan Execution
            Clearly Identified and Segregated Legacy Non-Core Assets                                              Commercial Bank       “Non-Core” Unit
Loan GBV breakdown (1Q 2019)                                                                               As of 1Q 2019

                    15.3                                    13.4                                   Gross
                                                                                                   Loans
                                                                                                                      €13.4bn(1)           €1.9bn

                                                                                                   Head-
                                                                                                                           ~3,630            ~50
                                                                                                   count

                                                                                                                                    • Identified owners
                                                                                                                                     with dedicated teams

                                                                                   1.9
                                                                                                                                    • Few clear and
                                                                                                                                     measurable targets
                                                                                                                                    • Balanced KPIs
           Total Loan Book                          Performing Exposures   Non-Performing Legacy                                     scorecard
                                                                                Exposures

(1)       Excluding government bonds and GACS securities.
                                                                                                                                                            15
A   …With Clear Accountability, Fostering a Customer Oriented High Performance Culture
                                    Lean and Effective Managerial Set-Up

                      CEO

                                                              • Owners of specific pillars already identified

                    Head of             Head of               • Greater focus on Business Plan priorities
    Head of
                  Small Business         Cost
     Retail
                    Banking           Management              • Flatter structure closer to customers

                                                              • Faster decision processes

                Our Human Capital

                                                                                                                16
B     Enhance Customer-Centric Proposition
            Conservative Assumptions Underlying Our Revenue Expansion Targets

                                              Euribor 3M / Plan Assumptions                                                                          Key Considerations

                     (0.3%)                 (0.2%)                 0.3%                   0.4%             NA          NA

               0.0%                                                                                                           • Industrial plan reflects conservative rates assumptions for the
                                                                                                                      0.0%
             (0.1%)                                                                                                             medium term:
                                                                                                         (0.1%)
             (0.2%)
                                                                                        (0.2%)
                                                                                                                                 • Euribor 3M future rates estimates consistently negative
                                                                  (0.2%)
             (0.3%)                                                                                                                 throughout the projection period
                     (0.3%)                (0.3%)
             (0.4%)                                                                                                              • Euribor 3M 2023 capped at 0%

             (0.5%)                                                                                                              • ~60bps more conservative than Prometeia estimates for
                   2018                     2019F                 2020F                  2021F           2022F        2023F

                                                 Plan Assumptions(1)                         Prometeia estimates(2)                 2021

(1)       Source: Bloomberg; Business Plan assumes Euribor 3 months future rates capped at 0% in 2023.
(2)       Source: Prometeia; estimates available up to 2021.                                                                                                                                 17
B    Enhance Customer-Centric Proposition
     Overview of Key Initiatives
                                                                                                                        Delta in Revenues ’19 – ’23 (€m)
1
    Win-Back Clients and    •   Set-up of specific “win-back” programs
    Scale-up New Client     •   New approach to leads generation, fully integrated into commercial processes                          ~20
        Acquisition         •   Full deployment of digital channel to attract young customers

2
                            • Improvement of analytical capabilities to increase share of wallet
     Household Financing    • Product range enrichment, also leveraging on partners’ support                                          ~35
                            • Digital sales

3                           •   Full deployment of private banking model leveraging on our presence in wealthy regions
    Step-up Advisory Role   •   Enhanced service model for affluent clients with support from our partners
                                                                                                                                      ~25
    on Wealth Management    •   Introduction of active customer life-cycle management practices to deliver better customer value
                            •   Product range enhancement across wealth bands, with better online and digital capabilities
4                           •   Best through-the-cycle banking partner for our small business clients, the most
    Renewed Commercial          attractive in the sector
    Proposition for Small   •   Increased focus on low-risk and export-oriented players to support asset mix                          ~25
         Business           •   Small business hunters
                            •   Kick-start and development at scale of our new factoring platform
                                                                                                                         Total:      ~105

                                                                                                                                                   18
C   Optimise Platform and Simplify Processes
    Overview of Key Initiatives
                                                                                                            Reduction in Costs Post Efficiency
                                                                                                                Initiatives ’19 – ’23 (€m)
1

    Rigorous and Disciplined Non-HR   •   Centralisation of cost management with enhanced accountability
           Cost Management            •   “Zero-based” approach to costs                                                    ~30
                                      •   Demand management optimisation and segregation of procurement

2
      Streamlining of Processes to    • Centralisation of back office and digital migration
      Improve Agility, Services and   • End-to-end review of processes and policies to redeploy resources for               ~15
                                          value-added commercial activities
               Efficiency             •   Migration of standard transactions to digital and advanced ATMs
                                      •   Reduction of products’ variants
3
                                      • Review of branch formats and coverage optimisation
      Optimisation of Real Estate     • Consolidation and relocation of central functions
                                                                                                                            ~10
              Portfolio               • Reduction of rented spaces through relocation into unoccupied
                                          proprietary buildings

                                                                                                                Total:      ~55

                                                                                                                                            19
B
 C   Redeploying Our Human Capital to Value-Added Commercial Activities

                                                                                     600

                                            ~500                ~500
                                                                                     500
• Refocus on selected and specific                                                           ~240
  value-added commercial / front-end
                                                                ~240
                                                                         Commercial400     Headcount
                                                                           Roles
  activities for each reskilled                                                             Repositioned to
  employee                                                                           300   commercial roles
                                                                         Dedicated
                                                                 ~50
• Enhanced training framework with                                       NPE Unit
                                                                                     200   Streamlining of
  tailored and dedicated programs to                                                        Processes to
  reposition skills within the Group                            ~220     Back Office 100   Improve Agility,
                                                                                            Services and
• Full utilisation of our existing                                                            Efficiency
                                                                                     0
  human capital                        # of Employees to   Target2023
                                                                  Employee
                                          Be Reskilled        Structure

                                                                                                              20
B
  C     More than €20m Investments to Support the Plan

                                                                                                Investments for Growth and Evolution
      €m

                                                                                                 ~5

                                                                                                                                             ~40%
                                    ~14

                                                                                               ~19-22                                                           ~60%

                                    2018                                                  Average 2019-2020
                                      Investments                             Opex / Acquisition Costs                                 Investments for Growth    Evolution Investments

(1)   Assuming deployment of investments in the first two years of the plan (2019-2020)
                                                                                                                                                                                         21
D     Reshape Credit Underwriting and Monitoring Framework
            Overview of Key Initiatives

      1
                                                  • No more lending to lowest-rated clients
            Significant Strengthening of Credit
                                                  • Discipline in execution of credit policies
                         Standards
                                                  • Refocus on revolving and self-liquidating facilities
                                                                                                                             ~40bps
      2
                                                                                                                         Cost of Risk Reduction
                                                  • Timely and effective intervention from early warning signal with
               Enhancement of Early Warning          dedicated centralised team                                         In the Commercial Bank
                       Systems                    • Improved capabilities in identifying riskiest exposures through         by 2023 of which
                                                     enhanced monitoring systems
                                                                                                                          ~35bps already
      3                                                                                                                   achieved in 2021(1)
                   Systematic Consequence         • Definition of clear processes and responsibilities to timely deal
                  Management and Increased           with problematic exposures already in the first 30 days
                   Oversight of Outsourcers       • More efficient management of collection outsourcers

(1)       Compared to 2019.
                                                                                                                                                22
1    Revamp Our Commercial Banking Platform
     Improvement of Operating Results Through Revenues and Cost Initiatives

€m                                     Delta 2019 – 21        Delta 2021 – 23         Delta 2019 - 23
 Incremental Revenues from
                                            ~65                    ~40                     ~105
 Commercial Initiatives
 Reduction in Costs Post Efficiency
                                            ~40                    ~15                     ~55
 Initiatives
Incremental Gross Operating Profit          ~105                   ~55                     ~160

bps                                         2019                   2021                    2023
Cost of Risk                                ~90                    ~55                     ~50

           Incremental Contribution to Operating Profit of ~€105m by 2021 and ~€160m by 2023
                                     ~40bps Cost of Risk Reduction

                                                                                                        23
2   Take Decisive Actions on Legacy Issues

          2                             Key Actions

          A Decisive Run-Down of Non-Core Unit

          B Reduction of Securities Portfolio

                                                      24
A   Decisive Run-Down of Non-Core Unit
    The Current Stock of UTP and Bad Loans Will Be Reduced by Approximately 80%
                                                                  Levers

                                        • Creation of a separate €1.9bn portfolio with current UTP and Bad Loans
       Segregation of Current NPEs      • Dedicated unit for management of the portfolio, to reduce exposure by ~80% by 2023
                                        • Clear targets and timing of execution with identified ownership and accountability

                                        • Proactive restructuring for specific exposures
    Proactive Management of Stock and   • Definition of sale strategies on pledged real estate
                New Flows
                                        • Set-up of specific action plan for each position in order to maximise cure rates

                                        • Strategic approach to NPEs portfolios on the back of comprehensive analysis of economic and capital
             NPE Disposals
                                          implications

                                                                                                                                                25
A     Decisive Run-Down of Non-Core Unit (Cont’d)
            Evolution of Non-Core NPEs portfolio
                                       Key Considerations                                    Evolution of NPEs Portfolio(1) (€bn)

      • Substantial rundown by 2023 (c. 80%) leveraging on               1.9

          disposals targeted by 2020 and improving recoveries
      • NPE disposal plan fully funded by leveraging on
          already identified sources, neutralising capital impacts
          while maintaining positive levels of profitability
                                                                                     (0.8)
      • Proactive management of remaining NPEs leveraging a
          team of 50 fully dedicated employees                                                        (0.3)

      • Expected improvement of cure-rate from 2% in 2018 to                                                                                          0.4
                                                                                                                     (0.3)           (0.1)
          6% by 2023, narrowing the gap vs. 9% average of the
          sector
                                                                     1Q 2019 NPE   Disposals       Recoveries /   Write-Offs   Migration to Bonis 2023 NPE Stock
                                                                        Stock                      Collections                      / Other

(1)    Write-offs and migrations based on statistical evidence.
                                                                                                                                                            26
B    Reduction of Securities Portfolio
           Financial Assets Evolution
                                             Key Considerations               Financial Assets (€bn)

                                                                                    ~(50)%
                                                                     7.9

      • Reduction of securities portfolio according to its current   1.7

           maturity profile and unwinding of REPO transactions                          5.5

      • Buffer of unencumbered High Quality Liquid Asset to fully                       1.0
                                                                                                         4.0
           maintained, ensuring a strong liquidity position                                              0.5
      • Tactical disposals in case of favourable windows of          6.2
           opportunities (not factored in the plan)                                     4.4
                                                                                                         3.5

                                                                     2018               2021             2023
                                                                            Other (1)           Govies

(1)   Other includes mainly retained GACS.                                                                      27
Effective Initiatives Underpinning the Business Plan

                                                       28
C1       Win-Back Clients and Scale Up Clients Acquisition
                  Selected Examples of Untapped Opportunities                                                          Selected Examples of Identified Levers

                                  •     Target 85k customers who left the bank in
                                        the last two years accounting for >€1.4bn
                                                                                                     • Welcome back package
      Win-back                          saving volumes
                                                                                                     • Dedicated senior involvement
                                  •     Focus on top 25% relationships,
                                        representing ~90% of lost volumes

                                  • “New-to-bank” young customers of ~500k                           • New digital acquisition channels offering innovative products with
                                    in the Italian market                                              support from social media platforms
       New
                                  • Referral programs from existing clients                          • Special offers with bonus
     Customers
                                    with a leads generation of ~100k                                 • Special offers for transactions within Creval ecosystem and for credit
                                  • Customers and suppliers of our borrowers                           facilities for business related to our borrowers

        SME                       • SMEs in Lombardy export 50% of their                             • Fully-fledged import/export package and advanced discount
      Exporters                     turnover                                                           of receivables

Source: Confindustria Lombardia and Bocconi University; Managerial figures, benchmarking analysis.
                                                                                                                                                                                29
C2       Household Financing
                 Selected Examples of Untapped Opportunities                                     Selected Examples of Identified Levers

                                                                              • Leverage on clients with salary already channeled to the bank (150k) and
                                                                                not tapped by consumer lending
                                  • Creval penetration on consumer lending    • Pre-approval process for high-potential clients that have already been
                                    on existing customers at ~7% compared       identified (€200m potential growth in stock)
     Consumer                                                                 • Exploit full capabilities of digital channels aiming at “one-click” products
                                    to ~10% of selected comparables(1)
      Finance
                                  • Sector volumes growing at c. 3% CAGR in   • Up-scale of CRM functionalities for early identification of customers’
                                    consumer finance segment                    behaviour and changing needs
                                                                              • Special offer to customers currently borrowing from other banks
                                                                              • Proactive top-up on selected clients

                                  • Creval’s penetration on mortgages on      • Leverage on more than 140k customers with salary already channeled to
     Mortgages                      existing customers at 10% compared to       the bank and not yet tapped by mortgage
                                    ~13% of selected comparables(1)           • Optimisation of partnerships with real estate agents

                                  • Marginally deployed cross-selling with
   CPI products                                                               • Bundled offer of financing and CPI
                                    CPI products

Source: Managerial figures, benchmarking analysis.
(1) “Good practice” of selected Italian banks
                                                                                                                                                         30
C3       Step-Up Advisory Role on Wealth Management
                  Selected Examples of Untapped Opportunities                                  Selected Examples of Identified Levers

                                                                             • Enhancement of private banking coverage in our richest areas of
    Territorial                   • High potential network located in the      presence
  presence and                      wealthiest region of Italy               • "Wealth Management Academy" to improve Relationship Managers skills
   PB Network
                                                                               on wealth management

                                                                             • Introduction of a Wealth Management unit to manage strategy,
                                  • Creval’s AuM over total funding of 24%     commercial planning and pricing
      Indirect                      vs 33% of selected companies             • Continued innovation in product offering
    Funding Mix                   • Untapped potential on lower affluent     • Financial advisory tools to support RM on portfolio management
        and                         customers, compared to other wealth      • Increased in-branch level of service, thanks to introduction of new
    Penetration                     bands (10% under-penetration vs.           advisory model
                                    selected comparables)                    • Introduction of a home-offer advisory model, to allow a premium service
                                                                               for high-potential clients

       Non-Life                   • Limited cross selling of non-Life        • Bundled offer also via digital
      Insurance                     insurance products on affluent clients

Source: Managerial figures, benchmarking analysis.
                                                                                                                                                    31
C4       Renewed Commercial Proposition for Small Business
                        Selected Examples of Untapped Opportunities                                  Selected Examples of Identified Levers

                                  • Lower penetration compared to other segments in    • Pre-approval process for customers already identified with high
       SME                          financing better rated clients                       rating (€400m volume potential)
    Customer                      • Fastest growing segment with privileged            • Special and targeted actions toward former top-rated borrowers
   Credit Profile                   positioning in Lombardy, the region with largest     (c. 2,000 clients with an exposure of around €150m)
                                    SMEs in terms of turnover and employees

                                  • Lower non-lending income compared to sector        • Leverage fully-fledged offer including import / export products
       Revenue
        Quality                     (22% vs 26% for selected companies)                • Online deposits

    Portfolio                     • Current split (70% MT vs 65% for selected
                                    companies of the sector) to tend towards           • Simple and expedite access to revolving credit lines
   Rebalancing
                                    short term products

Source: Managerial figures, benchmarking analysis.
                                                                                                                                                       32
C1       Rigorous and Disciplined Non-HR Cost Management

                                Clearly Identified Actions on Costs                          Selected Examples of Addressable Cost Items

                                  • Optimisation of processes to better assess demand
                                    and definition of expense targets
     Demand                       • Centralisation of several cost owners under one unit,   • Currently 15 cost owners
   Optimisation                     acting as unique interface for costs demand within
                                    the Group
                                  • Segregation of procurement activities

  Renegotiation                   • Renegotiation / revision of current contracts,          • On average up to ~€50m worth of contracts subject to
   of Contracts                     including IT agreements                                   renegotiation every year

     Review of                    • Redefinition of spending policies and processes in a    • 17% of total SG&A relating to consultancy and
    Processes /                     zero-based perspective                                    professional services
      Policies

Source: Managerial figures, benchmarking analysis.
                                                                                                                                               33
C2       Streamlining of Processes to Improve Agility, Services and Efficiency

                                Clearly Identified Actions on Costs                              Selected Examples of Addressable Cost Items

                                  • Refocus branches on client-facing activities,
                                    leveraging centralisation of back-office processes
  Centralisation
  of Back Office                  • Reskilling of resources switching to new roles              • Currently
C3       Optimisation of Real Estate Portfolio

                                Clearly Identified Actions on Costs                              Selected Examples of Addressable Cost Items

                                  • Adjust branch format to reflect new commercial focus:
                                           • Fully-digital branches (Bancaperta model)          • Currently 14 branches with Cost / Income
      Branch                                                                                      >100%
    Format and                             • Stand-alone branches with advanced ATMs
     Coverage                                                                                   • 30-40 branches already clearly identified in
                                           • Flagship branches, with differentiated offering
                                                                                                  close proximity
                                             across segments
                                  • Consolidation of overlapping branches

  Consolidation
                                  • Consolidation and relocation of central functions into      • 11 properties for headquarter use in 4 different
   of Central
                                    fewer number of Creval’s properties                           cities for a total of ~70k sqm
   Functions

                                                                                                • Proprietary real estate assets per employee of €106k
   Reduction of                   • Termination of unnecessary rental agreements                  vs. sector average of 72
     Rented                       • Maximisation of utilisation level (m2 / resource) through   • Average sqm per employee of ~60 vs ~30 for
     Spaces                         redesign of spaces / upgrade of internal layouts              comparables
                                                                                                • Rent costs of ~€6k vs ~€4.5k for comparables
Source: Managerial figures, benchmarking analysis.
                                                                                                                                                     35
Financial Targets Reflecting
Sustainable Growth

                               36
Key Financial Targets Recap

                            Incremental             Reduction in          CoR
     Revamp our           Revenues vs. 2019        Costs vs. 2019     Commercial Bank
     Commercial
   Banking Platform           ~€65m by 2021       ~€40m by 2021        ~55bps in 2021
                              ~€105m by 2023      ~€55m by 2023        ~50bps in 2023

                                         Run-Down of          Reduction of
     Take Decisive                        Non-Core             Securities
   Actions on Legacy                                           Portfolio
         Issues
                                         ~80% by 2023         ~50% by 2023

                                                                                        37
Well-Diversified Funding Plan
Focus on Institutional Funding

              Covered Bonds Stock (€bn)                                                 Funding and Liquidity Ratios

                                            2.0
                                                   •   Issuance of covered
                                                       bonds to diversify                  >100%              >100%
           1.0                                         sources of funding

                                                   •   Progressive decrease of
                                                       reliance on ECB facilities
           2021                             2023

                  Senior Bonds Stock (€m)

           600                              600

                                                   •   Issuance of senior bonds             LCR               NSFR
                                                       to replace maturing retail
                                                       bonds                          Business Plan to result in Group’s
                                                                                    funding and liquidity ratios well above
                                                                                          regulatory requirements
           2021                             2023

                                                                                                                              38
Bringing It All Together
Net Income Evolution
   Net Income Evolution (€m) – Commercial Bank                             Net Income Evolution (€m) – Group

                                                    ROE (%)      2%                        ~6%                   >8%

                                                                                          >€100m
                                     150

                                                                                                                  138

               88                                                                            93

                                                                  31

      Commercial Bank 2021   Commercial Bank 2023             Group 2018                 Group 2021            Group 2023

                                                                                                                            39
Bringing It All Together
Selected P&L Items for The Group in 2021 and 2023

         €m                                         2021    2023

    A    Net Interest Income                        357     361

    B    Net Fees & Commission Income               284     308

         Operating Profit                           650     678

    C    Operating Costs                            (424)   (400)

         Net Operating Profit                       226     278

    D    LLPs                                       (94)    (81)

         Net Profit                                  93     138

                                                                    40
A       Focus on Net Interest Income Evolution

   €m                                                                                            Delta 2019 – 21   Delta 2021 – 23   Delta 2019 – 23
   Incremental Net Interest Income
                                                                                                      ~33               ~23               ~55
   Commercial Bank
   Forgone Interest Income on Non-Core
                                                                                                      ~(10)             ~(10)             ~(20)
   NPEs
   Stabilisation of Institutional Funding,
   Run-Down of Securities Portfolio,                                                                 ~(16)              ~(10)             ~(25)
   Unwinding of REPO transactions(1)
   Total Impact on Net Interest Income                                                                 ~7                ~3               ~10

           Commercial Bank contribution offsetting the decisive balance sheet strengthening and asset quality
                                actions, enabling sustainable growth and profitability

(1) Includes impacts from maturing retail bonds and rates effect throughout the Business Plan.
                                                                                                                                                       41
B   Focus on Net Interest Income Mix

                                  Net Interest Income by Customer Segment

                        54%                           52%                   50%

                        46%                           48%                   50%

                        2018                          2021                  2023
                                             Retail      Corporate

                       Rebalancing of Net Interest Income mix towards Retail

                                                                                   42
B    Focus on Fees and Commissions

             Commission Income as a % of Core Banking Income(1)                                             Asset Management as a % Commission Income

                       641                                     641                             669            253                284                     308

                      57%                                      56%                             54%
                                                                                                              65%                64%                     63%

                      43%                                      44%                             46%
                                                                                                              35%                36%                     37%

                     2018                                      2021                            2023           2018               2021                    2023

                 Net Fees & Commission Income                                         Net Interest Income   Asset Management   Other Net Fees & Commission Income

      Expected growth through increased penetration and conversion of direct funding into indirect funding
(1)   Core banking income defined as the sum of Commission Income and Net Interest Income
                                                                                                                                                                    43
C      Focus on Operating Costs
                                     Evolution of Personnel Expenses (€m)                                        Evolution of Non-HR Costs and D&A (€m)
                              19             282        263
                 264                                                  3             266            257
                                                                                                                    202
                                                                                                                                   160
                                                                                                                                                 143

                                                                          Cost reduction initiatives more than
                                                                            offsetting impact of contractual
                                                                                obligations over the plan

                2018      Contractual     2021 Post     2021     Contractual     2023 Post        2023              2018          2021           2023
                         Obligations to   Contractual           Obligations to   Contractual
                             2021         Obligations               2023         Obligations
# Head-                                                                                                               Cost / Income Ratio Evolution
        ~3.7k                                           ~3.5k                                     ~3.4k
count                                                                                                                70%
                                                                                                                                   65%
                                                                                                                                                 59%
• Natural attrition resulting in ~300 headcount decrease over the plan, allowing to absorb
  impact of national contract renewal as well as bonus payments factored in the plan
      • As a result, personnel expenses to slightly decrease throughout the plan
• Decrease in administrative expenses, driven by cost initiatives, including centralisation
  of cost management, “zero-based” approach and optimisation of RE portfolio                                        2018 (1)      2021           2023

(1)    2018 recurring.
                                                                                                                                                          44
D   Focus on Asset Quality

        Cost of Risk – Group (bps)                                      NPE Ratio – Group (%)

                                       GBV (€bn)           2.0               1.2                 1.1

        ~60                            Gross NPE
                                       Ratio (%)           11%
                             ~50
Commercial Volumes Evolution

       Customer Loans by Segment (GBV, €bn)

        27%                  33%                     35%

        16.0                  16.0                   16.4

                              8.5                    8.4
        9.3                                                     •   Significant portfolio rebalancing over the plan horizon, with
                                                                    Retail clients increasing share to ~50%

                                                                •   Household financing reaching ~35% of total loans
                              7.6                    8.0
        6.7

        2018                 2021                   2023
                                     Household financing as a
               Retail   Corporate
                                     % of total loans

                                                                                                                                    46
Customer Savings Evolution

                   Direct Funding (€bn)

        15                    16                     17

        32%                   33%                    32%    • Continued growth in AuM and life insurance through our
                                                              asset management and bancassurance partnerships, also via
                                                              asset shift from direct funding
        68%                   67%                    68%

        2018                 2021                    2023
                    Retail          Corporate
               Total Customer Savings (€bn)                                  AuM / Direct Funding (%)
         25                    28                    30

        60%                   58%                    56%                                                    61%
                                                                                        54%
                                                                    46%

        40%                   42%                    44%

        2018                   2021                  2023           2018                2021                2023
                Indirect Funding    Direct Funding

                                                                                                                     47
Regulatory Capital Evolution

                                                     Fully Loaded CET1 Ratio Evolution

                                    0.74%                                                0.61%
                                                                                                                          14.5%
                                                                        14.1%                           (0.19% )
                    14.0%
                                                      (0.62% )

               1Q19 CET1R          Business      Regulation / Other   2021 CET1R       Business    Regulation / Other   2023 CET1R
                                 Development                                         Development
 # RWA (€bn)        10.1                                                 10.2                                              10.4

 Dividend Policy:
 • 50% payout ratio starting from 2020 and 75% from 2022

                                                                                                                                     48
Q&A Session

              49
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