SURVEY OF LATINO VOTERS IN ARIZONA
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About the Survey Total N=2,750 Latino eligible voters N=2,540 registered N=210 eligible, not registered Margin of error +/- 1.9% Oversamples N=300 per: Arizona, California, Colorado, Georgia, Nevada, Pennsylvania, Texas (+/- 5.7%) N=400 Florida (+/- 4.9%) Field Dates: July 20 - August 1, 2022 English or Spanish, according to preference Mixed mode: 75% online, 25% live telephone interviews July 20-Aug 1, 2022 N=300 (+/-5.7%) 2
Key Findings 1. Inflation, crime and gun violence, and jobs and the economy are top priorities, and there is strong support for policies to address them: • Invest in working families including housing/rental assistance, health insurance assistance, and investing in education to help students catch up after academic losses incurred during the pandemic. • Universal background checks and mental health investments to curb crime and gun violence 2. Immigration reform that includes a path to citizenship continues to receive very strong support, including executive action if Congress does not act. 3. Abortion has become more salient, and 80% of Latino voters in Arizona believe it should remain legal, no matter their own personal beliefs on the issue. 4. The majority of Latino voters in Arizona believe the country is on the wrong track (62%), and 66% say they are 100% certain they will vote in November. July 20-Aug 1, 2022 N=300 (+/-5.7%) 3
ISSUE PRIORITIES
What are the most important issues that elected officials should address? (Rank up to three. Sorted highest to lowest) Inflation / rising cost of living 49 Crime / gun violence 34 Jobs and the economy 27 Abortion 24 Lack of affordable housing / high rents 23 Corruption in government 18 Climate change and the environment 18 Health care 16 Discrimination / racial justice 14 Coronavirus pandemic 14 Education / public school quality 13 Social security and Medicare 12 Border Security 11 Immigration reforms 9 July 20-Aug 1, 2022 N=300 (+/-5.7%) 5
Which party would be best at addressing [issue respondent cited as top concern/priority]? Democrats better on issue Republicans better on issue Both would be good on issue Neither good on issue Don’t know Arizona 41 22 19 10 7 Men 44 25 15 10 6 Women 38 19 23 11 8 18-39 yrs 37 22 21 11 9 40+ yrs 47 22 17 10 4 July 20-Aug 1, 2022 N=300 (+/-5.7%) 6
What did you have in mind when you said inflation and the rising cost of living are important issues elected officials should address? (all that apply) Food and basic living expenses have gone up a lot 90 Gas prices are too high 88 Medication, doctor visits, and other health related expenses have gone up 51 School supplies and clothes for kids have gotten too expensive 35 Running my small business has become too expensive 11 Something else 3 July 20-Aug 1, 2022 N=300 (+/-5.7%) 7
What did you have in mind when you said crime and gun violence are important issues elected officials should address? (all that apply) Guns are too easy to access 70 Elected officials need to find a way to put an end to school shootings 57 We need community safety and mental health programs 52 Domestic violence is not taken seriously by law enforcement 45 Crime has gone up in my neighborhood or community 36 Something else 1 July 20-Aug 1, 2022 N=300 (+/-5.7%) 8
What did you have in mind when you said jobs and the economy are important issues elected officials should address? (all that apply) Job does not pay enough and/or have to take second job to make ends meet 68 Worried about layoffs or getting hours cut 39 Have to pick up extra shifts/hours because 30 there are not enough workers/people Have to work with hostile customers or feel threatened in workplace 14 Job does not allow work from home 13 Something else 18 July 20-Aug 1, 2022 N=300 (+/-5.7%) 9
VALUES AND IDENTITY
Do you agree or disagree with the following statements? (% agree reported) Strongly agree Somewhat agree Government has an important role to play in making Total Agree 57 32 sure that there is equal access to opportunity. 89 Government should make sure that Total Agree 73 20 everyone can afford health care. 88 Latinos/Hispanics would get further in the United States if Total Agree 48 32 they did not face barriers like discrimination and racism. 81 It is a big problem if some people are extremely Total Agree 43 37 wealthy and others are extremely poor. 80 If racial and ethnic minorities don’t do well in life, Total Agree 21 16 they have no one to blame but themselves. 37 Religious leaders should tell their members which Total Agree 13 9 candidates and policies to support. 22 July 20-Aug 1, 2022 N=300 (+/-5.7%) 11
Do you agree or disagree with the following statement? No matter what my personal beliefs about abortion are, I think it is wrong to make abortion illegal and take that choice away from everyone else. (% agree reported) Strongly agree Somewhat agree Arizona 65 15 Total Agree 80 Men 60 22 Total Agree 83 Women 69 9 Total Agree 78 18-39 yrs 71 11 Total Agree 82 40+ yrs 56 22 Total Agree 78 Catholic 62 18 Total Agree 80 Conservative 48 24 Total Agree 71 Moderate 60 19 Total Agree 80 July 20-Aug 1, 2022 N=300 (+/-5.7%) 12
Generally speaking, do you think things in the United States are going in the right direction, or off on the wrong track? Going in the right direction Off on the wrong track 69 69 69 65 62 53 53 55 51 46 44 40 37 38 38 30 26 23 22 22 Arizona Men Women 18-39 yrs 40+ yrs No Degree 4yr Degree USBorn PR+FBorn Democrat July 20-Aug 1, 2022 N=300 (+/-5.7%) 13
Do you consider yourself, or identify as: (all that apply, percent yes reported) Hispanic 74 Latino/Latina 47 Working class 32 Middle class 26 Minority 20 White 18 A Person of Color 17 Brown 16 Working poor/poor 15 Latinx 12 Under-represented minority 7 Indian or Native American 6 Indigenous 4 BIPOC 2 Upper class 1 Afro-Latino/a 1 July 20-Aug 1, 2022 N=300 (+/-5.7%) 14
POLICY VIEWS
Which policies do you think would be the best solutions to make schools in your community safer for students and teachers? (all that apply) 53 52 49 16 5 Secure entry and Mental health programs Gun reforms like Arming teachers in None of these/ school ID checks and counseling universal background grades K-12 Something else checks July 20-Aug 1, 2022 N=300 (+/-5.7%) 16
Do you support or oppose the federal government taking action to address the following? (% support reported) Strongly support Somewhat support Funding for catch-up programs for K-12 students, Total Support including tutoring, summer and after school 59 33 92 programs Expanding access, availability, and Total Support 58 30 affordability of child-care and pre-K 88 Total Support Increasing college grants for low-income students 61 24 84 Total Support Canceling student debt 61 22 83 July 20-Aug 1, 2022 N=300 (+/-5.7%) 17
Do you agree or disagree with the following statement? (percent agree reported) President Biden should not use the situation at the southern border as an excuse to do nothing to protect undocumented immigrants who have lived andPresident worked Biden should not use the situation at the southern in the US for many years. Presidents border as an excuse to do nothing to protect undocumented Somewhat Total are expected tohave deallived withand many issues Strongly agree immigrants who worked in theatUS the forsame many years. agree Agree 43 77 Presidents time, areimmigration. including expected to deal with many issues at the same 34 time, includi If Congress does not pass a comprehensive immigration reform law, the Biden Administration must use its executive authority to protect undocumented If Congress doesimmigrants, like Dreamers, not pass a comprehensive immigration reform Somewhat Total law, the Bidenand farmworkers, Administration essentialmust use its workers executive who have authority lived to Strongly agree agree Agree protect undocumented immigrants, like Dreamers, farmworkers, 51 in and America for a long time. essential workers who have lived in America for a long time. 20 71 July 20-Aug 1, 2022 N=300 (+/-5.7%) 18
Who, if anyone, do you think is most responsible for doing something about climate change? Industries / Corporations 37 The government 25 Individual people 24 Don’t know 8 None of these 6 July 20-Aug 1, 2022 N=300 (+/-5.7%) 19
CANDIDATES, PARTIES, AND OUTREACH IN THE 2022 ELECTION
In making decisions about which candidates to support in an election, how important is it to you that a candidate has the following traits or background? (total extremely and important reported) Willing to work with both parties, and compromise to get things done 94 Experience working with different racial and ethnic groups 86 Government or elected office experience 80 Business experience 80 Supported/endorsed by Latino community organizations 74 Is supported or endorsed by unions, or organized labor 66 Supported/endorsed by law enforcement/police department 64 Supported/endorsed by Chamber of Commerce and business community 61 Speaks Spanish 55 Is Hispanic/Latino 48 July 20-Aug 1, 2022 N=300 (+/-5.7%) 21
When deciding who to vote for in an election, which of the following would be a "deal breaker" for you, meaning you just could NOT support the candidate if you knew this fact about them. It would be a deal-breaker for me, I could not support a candidate who: Supported by hate groups and White supremacists/nationalists 59 Participated in or supported January 6th riot at the US Capitol 51 Supports a complete ban on abortions, without exceptions 47 Opposes immigration reform/path to legal status 41 Supports allowing elementary school teachers to carry guns in classrooms 40 Opposes raising minimum wage 38 Supports defunding police 38 Supports laws to take away guns from anyone that a federal court decides is dangerous 26 Overall, 85% of Latino voters in Arizona say it is personally Supports legal abortion in any circumstance, with no restrictions 26 important to them (62% very important) for elected officials and other leaders to speak out against Supports raising taxes on corporations and the wealthy 23 White nationalism and White supremacy. None of these 10 July 20-Aug 1, 2022 N=300 (+/-5.7%) 22
Generally speaking, which party do you believe shares your values, or is closer to your personal beliefs/values when it comes to your views on: Democrats Republicans Both Neither Don’t know Equality and treating all people with 55 14 14 12 4 respect/dignity Immigration 53 20 17 5 5 Public education 50 14 22 7 8 Democracy 49 16 17 10 8 Health care and health insurance 46 20 19 5 11 Socialism 44 14 20 5 16 Protecting the right to vote and our 43 17 16 13 10 elections The American Dream 37 23 20 9 11 Small business or entrepreneurship 37 24 12 14 14 Capitalism 30 23 28 7 12 July 20-Aug 1, 2022 N=300 (+/-5.7%) 23
How well do you think the following words describe the [Democratic/Republican] Party? (percent describes well reported) Democratic Party Republican Party 71 64 59 60 58 54 54 48 45 40 41 36 35 34 Fights hard for thier Reasonable Effective Too extreme Ineffective Weak Turns Americans side/their voters against each other July 20-Aug 1, 2022 N=300 (+/-5.7%) 24
Thinking about the election coming up in November of this year, which party do you think would do a better job handling each of the following issues: Democrats Republicans Both Neither Access to quality child-care 51 18 17 15 College affordability 48 12 18 21 Safety of school communities 47 20 16 18 from gun violence Mental health of children 46 15 22 17 and youth July 20-Aug 1, 2022 N=300 (+/-5.7%) 25
Do you approve or disapprove of the way President Joe Biden is handling his job as President of the United States? Approve Don’t know enough to say Disapprove Arizona 54 4 42 Men 56 3 41 Women 51 5 43 18-39 yrs 47 7 46 40+ yrs 63 1 37 Democrat 78 2 20 Not Democrat 27 7 67 Conservative 44 13 43 Moderate 51 24 25 Liberal 70 22 9 July 20-Aug 1, 2022 N=300 (+/-5.7%) 26
As you may know, there will be an election later this year for offices such as US Congress, and many state and local offices. How likely are you to vote in the November 2022 election? 100% certain will vote Probably will 50-50, it depends Probably will not 100% certain will not vote Arizona 66 17 11 3 3 Men 66 18 11 3 2 Women 66 17 11 2 4 18-39 yrs 63 15 15 3 4 40+ yrs 70 21 6 21
In the 2022 election for U.S. House of Representatives here in your district in Arizona, do you plan to vote for the: The Democratic candidate Undecided The Republican candidate Arizona 53 22 19 Men 52 21 24 Women 54 24 15 18-39 yrs 51 24 18 40+ yrs 56 20 21 English HH 48 23 22 Spanish HH 57 22 17 Conservative 35 15 49 Moderate 48 37 13 Liberal 84 11 3 July 20-Aug 1, 2022 N=300 (+/-5.7%) 28
In the past 12 months have you been contacted—by phone, ads in your mail, text, email, or in-person-- by any of the following people or organizations encouraging you to vote, or register to vote? (all that apply) Democrats 32 Republicans 19 Friends or family 19 Non-partisan organizations 15 Have not been contacted 42 July 20-Aug 1, 2022 N=300 (+/-5.7%) 29
SURVEY OF LATINO VOTERS IN ARIZONA
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