SUMMARY ASSET MANAGEMENT PLAN
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SUMM ARY A S s E T MA N A G E M EN T P LAN IN FOR m AT I O N D I S CLO S U R E FO R EL EC T R I C I T Y NET W O R KS 2011– 2 0 2 1 ASSET MANAGEMENT PLAN ELECTRICITY NETWORKS FY2011 – FY2021 1
contents CHIEF EXECUTIVE’S STATEMENT.................................................................. 2 POWERCO AND THE NEW ZEALAND ELECTRICITY INDUSTRY.................... 4 OUR ELECTRICITY NETWORK....................................................................... 6 ASSETS COVERED......................................................................................... 7 THE ASSET MANAGEMENT PLAN AND PROCESS........................................ 8 PURPOSE OF THIS SUMMARY AMP.............................................................. 9 HOW TO PROVIDE FEEDBACK...................................................................... 9 PROCESS OVERVIEW.................................................................................... 9 ASSET MANAGEMENT STRATEGY OVERVIEW............................................ 10 WHO WANTS WHAT FROM THE ASSETS?.................................................. 11 STATE OF THE ASSETS................................................................................ 15 PERFORMANCE AGAINST TARGET OVERVIEW........................................... 15 RISK MANAGEMENT.................................................................................... 17 ASSET LIFECYCLE PLAN............................................................................. 17 NETWORK DEVELOPMENT PLAN................................................................ 19 NETWORK PERFORMANCE ENHANCEMENT.............................................. 20 CAPITAL EXPENDITURE............................................................................... 20 OPERATIONAL EXPENDITURES................................................................... 21 FINANCIAL.................................................................................................... 22 ASSET MANAGEMENT IMPROVEMENT....................................................... 23 INFORMATION SYSTEMS............................................................................. 23 SERVICE PROVISION STRATEGY................................................................. 23 PROJECT MAPS........................................................................................... 24 KEY DEFINITIONS......................................................................................... 33 2 SUMMARY ASSET MANAGEMENT PLAN ELECTRICITY NETWORKS FY2011 – FY2021
Chief Executive’s Statement Welcome to the 2011 edition of our Summary Asset Management Plan (AMP). continue to augment network security and capacity. We are committed to meeting our regulatory obligations. However, the combination of an ageing network, During the past 12 months we have seen continued growth in demand for electricity increasing electricity demand, customers’ desire for reliable electricity supply and the and we expect demand to grow in the immediate and long term. Such growth places constraints on investment mean that Powerco faces significant challenges. pressure on our ageing network to continue to provide a reliable supply of electricity. In response, we continue to increase the level of expenditure on the network (which As a result of the severe storms that we experienced last year – in particular, the has increased by more than 100% since 2002). Our underlying network reliability multi-day events that were a feature of September 2010 – and depending on how performance continues to be more than satisfactory. the Commerce Commission treats multi-day storm events, there is a risk that we will not meet our regulatory reliability target for 2011. This would be disappointing, given Severe storms have also been a feature of the past 12 months. Our ability to the significant and increased investment that Powerco has made in recent years. maintain a reliable supply of electricity during severe storms is dependent, amongst other things, on the level of redundancy and the age and condition of our network. Actual and Forecast SAIDI Reliability I am pleased to report that Powerco’s network assets continue to perform well in 350 Forecast Mar 2011 SAIDI Deterioriating reliability due meeting the on-going growth in demand. Consistent progress has been made in after normalising as per to regulation constraining DPP rules expenditure maintaining a reliable supply despite the regulatory regime constraining investment, 300 SAIDI (Class B+C) minutes given the ageing of the network. Our progress is evidenced by Powerco’s network 250 having significantly fewer faults per kilometre on average than our peers and the approximately 10% reduction in faults per kilometre since 2005. Our Bring Line 200 Interruptions To Zero (BLITZ) strategy of targeted renewal has meant that our network performed better during the severe storms than it has during previous events. 150 Our ability to meet the challenges of growth with ageing network assets and to keep 100 the lights on during extreme events is, in part, the result of the comprehensive and 2016 2017 2018 2019 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 intensive analysis and planning that we undertake every year and which is detailed in Year the full 2011 Powerco Asset Management Plan. Actual Reliability (After Normalising for Forecast Reliability (Ending March) Single-Day Major Event Days) (April 11 AMP spend) For the past 12 years, the Asset Management Plans have provided the blueprint for Forecast Reliability (After Normalising for Sept 2010 Multiple-Day Severe Storm) the management and development of the vast and complex network of Powerco’s Actual Reliability (Before Normalisation Regulatory Threshold for Major Event Days) assets. Previous plans have identified the need for increased investment in targeted areas of the network to maintain reliability of supply. During the past eight years, we Figure 1: Forecast Supply Reliability Performance have doubled our investment in the network, with a focus on bringing aged (in many cases over 50 years old) assets up to standard. We have increased our focus on Powerco takes seriously the risk of failure to meet its regulatory targets for 2011 and security, building redundancy into the backbone of the network to improve reliability we will be working hard to achieve these targets in 2012. We are reviewing our works and the network’s capacity to accommodate growth. programmes for 2012 to target solutions that improve reliability, consistent with our key asset management strategies. With that said, Powerco’s geographical spread The 2011 AMP forecasts further growth in demand, both in volume and peak and more than 30,000 kilometres of lines means that the risk of future breaches due demand across all regions. To accommodate the forecast growth, we will need to to extreme weather events will always exist. Further, we will be engaging with the 2 SUMMARY ASSET MANAGEMENT PLAN ELECTRICITY NETWORKS FY2011 – FY2021
Commerce Commission and are hopeful that the Commission will, when it finalises • Continuing the development of design, construction and maintenance its enforcement guidelines, adopt the same approach to multiple-day severe storms standards, which lead to lower risk profiles in the network and greater as it did in the past. If the Commission were to treat the September 2010 storms in consistency of application across the network. Further investment in the the same manner as the similarly destructive February 2004 storms, we would meet standardisation of systems and processes will allow us to extend asset lives. our 2011 regulatory target. • Taking further steps along the Smart grid road map, to becoming a Smart The 2011 AMP commits Powerco to $114 million of capital and maintenance network. The aims of Smart networks include self-healing equipment and expenditure, an increase of $3 million over last year. We are forecasting this growing processes. Well thought out and implemented network automation offers exciting to $167 million by 2021. Nothing is more important to me than the safety of our staff, performance benefits. Network automation, combined with increased feeder contract staff and the public. Every project is evaluated against health and safety interconnections, also fit well with our business plan objectives of improving drivers and against the health and safety risk it mitigates. Priority will be given to reliability through automated solutions and managing increasing investment profiles those projects that are considered necessary to minimise risks to health and safety. through non-asset solutions. The 2011 AMP sets out initiatives that are consistent with the EPRI and Energy Networks Australia visions of Smart networks. Powerco has demonstrated strong capability in our asset management processes and performance compared with our peers in New Zealand. However, our processes and Some of these strategies are straightforward; others such as Smart networks are systems compare less favourably with Australian utilities. If we are to be of international innovative and world class. All are designed to ensure that the investment meets standard in meeting the expectations of our customers and the requirements of short-term requirements and builds long-term value. regulators then an investment in our processes and systems must be made. We have a responsibility to provide a safe, secure and reliable supply of electricity The investment called for in the AMP will, as always, be carefully targeted to to our customers and we have worked hard to achieve this efficiently. It is a solutions that will ensure our electricity network improves in service and reliability. responsibility that I, and all Powerco employees, take very seriously. We recognise Key strategies to achieve this are detailed in the AMP and include: that, due to ageing of the network and increased demand, we have a significant challenge to meet the required investment under the existing regulatory settings. • Increasing the commitment to the principle that all occupational injuries are However, it is a challenge that, through careful planning and innovative strategies, preventable. We have initiated a programme to further advance best practice health we can rise to. and safety initiatives across the business and that of our contracting partners. • Modernisation of the network through the replacement and updating of our The full Asset Management Plan provides more detail on the issues I have discussed. aged assets. It also describes in detail our plan for addressing each issue. We look forward to discussing our plans with you. • Increasing the redundancy of the core network through increasing subtransmission lines and zone substation capacity. • Continuing to improve our fault location, isolation and supply restoration capability through increasing sectionalisation and installing more distribution automation, such as auto reclosers. • Standardisation of systems and processes is a key strength of Powerco’s Nigel Barbour employees and it has been a significant focus for management. As a result, Acting Chief Executive we have been able to develop a common maintenance management system and a suite of information system projects directed at improving processes. SUMMARY ASSET MANAGEMENT PLAN ELECTRICITY NETWORKS FY2011 – FY2021 3
POWERCO AND THE NEW ZEALAND ELECTRICITY INDUSTRY To provide relevant feedback on Powerco’s AMP, it is vital that any interested parties understand the structure of New Zealand’s electricity industry and Powerco’s role in it. This country’s electricity industry has undergone considerable structural change over the past 13 years as the Government has worked to promote competition, reliability and fair prices for consumers. As part of the distribution sector, Powerco sits midway along the supply chain. It contracts with Transpower for transmission services and with generators “embedded” in our networks. At present, we do not sell electricity – we own and operate the infrastructure that delivers it from the National Grid to individual homes and businesses. Our main customers are energy retailers with whom we have wholesale “use of system” agreements. We invoice retailers for the cost of our services, which comprise delivery (including transmission) charges, and maintaining and upgrading the distribution network. Retailers bundle up the cost of our services, along with their own services and those of generators, into customers’ monthly electricity bills. Retailers, which compete for customers, set the overall price for the end-consumer. The different sectors of the industry are described next. 4 SUMMARY ASSET MANAGEMENT PLAN ELECTRICITY NETWORKS FY2011 – FY2021
Figure 2: Sectors of the New Zealand Electricity Industry 1. Generation 2. Transmission 3. Distribution 4. Retailing 5. Consumers Generators, as the name Transpower owns and operates At the GXPs, electricity is Retail companies sell delivered Residential and business suggests, are the companies the National Grid, which transformed to lower voltages electricity to end-consumers. consumers buy delivered energy that generate electricity in comprises pylons, high-voltage then distributed to end-users via Retailers bundle up the costs from retail companies. Large power stations. Generators are cables and switchgear for overhead lines and underground from the other sectors of industrial and commercial also entitled to sell electricity transmitting bulk electricity from cables by local distribution (lines) the industry, along with their consumers also purchase to consumers and energy generation sites to distributors. companies. There are currently own costs to run a retail electricity from retail companies retailers. Numerous generation Transpower transmits electricity 29 distribution companies, business and provide electricity but may also have the option sites around the country supply from generating stations to which operate within set consumers with a monthly of contracting directly with electricity to the National Grid. 178 Grid Exit Points (GXPs) boundaries and range from bill. They set the final price distribution companies for around New Zealand. These publicly listed companies to consumers pay for electricity. electricity distribution services. GXPs are the points of supply community-owned trusts. These companies are also for distribution networks like allowed to participate in the The 1998 Electricity Reform Powerco’s. generation sector. Act required full ownership separation of distribution businesses from energy (retail and generation) businesses, preventing Powerco and other lines companies from participating in the retail or generation sectors. The Electricity Industry Bill 2009 allows distribution companies to once again participate in the retail and generation sectors, subject to strict controls. SUMMARY ASSET MANAGEMENT PLAN ELECTRICITY NETWORKS FY2011 – FY2021 5
OUR ELECTRICITY NETWORK Powerco is New Zealand’s second largest electricity distributor in terms of customer connections and largest in terms of geographical area covered and the length of our network. We own and operate a large network of electricity distribution assets that, over the last year, delivered 4295 GWh of electricity through 30,035km of lines OPERATIONS and cables to more than 316,000 consumer connections. Powerco’s networks supply electricity to a diverse range of communities and consumer types, from major provincial centres with highly interconnected CBD networks, through to remote rural communities; from large industrial plants to small back-country shearing quarters. Powerco’s networks cover the Coromandel Peninsula, Thames Valley, Tauranga and Western Bay of Plenty, South and East Waikato, Taranaki, Wanganui, Rangitikei, Manawatu, Tararua and Wairarapa. Electricity Networks Electricity distribution networks in the Tauranga, Thames, Coromandel, Eastern and Southern Waikato, Rangitikei, Taranaki, Wanganui, Manawatu and Wairarapa regions. Figure 3: Powerco Electricity Network Operations Map 6 SUMMARY ASSET MANAGEMENT PLAN ELECTRICITY NETWORKS FY2011 – FY2021
ASSETS COVERED The full AMP, to which this summary refers, provides detailed information on Replacement Cost by Asset Category Powerco’s fixed electricity network assets. The following graphs and table provide a 2,500,000 summary of the assets covered. 2,000,000 Electricity Network Replacement Cost by Asset Type Replacement Cost ($000) 1,000 1,500,000 800 1,000,000 $million 600 500,000 400 0 Overhead Underground Transformers Switchgear Substations 200 Assets Valued at ODV Replacement Cost Assets Valued at Current Replacement Cost Asset Category 0 Figure 6: Replacement Cost by Asset Category Overhead Line Underground Cable Distribution Transformers Distribution Switchgear Zone Substations SCADA/Comms/Ripple Spares (Emergency & Critical) Table 1: Key Network Statistics Southern & Figure 4: Electricity Network Asset Replacement Cost by Asset Type (2004 ODV Valuation) Key Network Statistics as at 31 March 2010 Eastern Western Total Length of Overhead Circuit (km) 8,370 14,245 22,615 Electricity Network Replacement Cost by Function Length of Underground Circuit (km) 4,402 3,018 7,420 1,000 Subtransmission Circuit Length (km) 587 1,008 1,595 800 Distribution Circuit Length (km) 5,869 10,368 16,237 600 Low-Voltage Circuit Length (km) 6,316 5,887 12,203 $million Number of Zone Substations and Switching Stations 45 68 113 400 Zone Substation Transformer Capacity (MVA) 649 758 1,407 200 Distribution Transformer Capacity (MVA) 1,418 1,517 2,935 0 Subtransmission Zone Substation & GXP Protection & Control Distribution Distribution Substation Low Voltage Spares (Emergency & Critical) Figure 5: Electricity Network Asset Replacement Cost by Functional Category (2004 ODV) SUMMARY ASSET MANAGEMENT PLAN ELECTRICITY NETWORKS FY2011 – FY2021 7
THE ASSET MANAGEMENT PLAN AND PROCESS With Powerco’s electricity network assets ranging in age from new to more than Who wants what What performance are How are we managing What does this mean for How can we improve? 50 years old, effective long-term planning is a fundamental requirement of our from the assets? we targeting from the the network and solving the works programmes assets? How are we any performance gaps? and required business. Our AMP is an integral part of that planning because it not only explains What is the state of the assets? doing vs. the target? expenditure? What are the gaps? Powerco’s management and maintenance policies, but also sets out our plans for focused investment in security, capacity and reliability of an ageing network that is facing constantly rising levels of demand. This means Powerco has increasing investment requirements as assets progressively reach the end of their useful lives. Section 2 Section 4 Section 7 Section 7, 8 Section 11 Define Set Performance Set Asset and 9 Develop AM The full AMP contains specific details on Powerco’s short- and long-range planning Stakeholders Targets Lifecycle Strategy Develop Work Improvement for network development, renewal and maintenance. In other words, the AMP is a Define AM Drivers Analyse Renewal Programmes Initiatives Section 5 Needs Linked with AM high-level document providing management, stakeholders and any interested parties Performance Driver with a broad overview of Powerco’s asset management policies, asset details, Section 3 Evaluation Section 8 Describe Assets Security Criteria Section 10 service levels, capital and maintenance works planning, expenditure forecasts, risk Section 6 Prepare Load Set Expenditure management and performance evaluation. Analyse Network Forecasts Forecasts Risks System Growth Incorporating information from a range of other internal documents, the AMP sets Needs out the performance criteria for the assets, and summarises the actions needed to Section 9 achieve those performance criteria. Reliability, Safety, Environment Developing the AMP is a key step in ensuring that the needs of all stakeholders are Enhancement properly considered and incorporated into Powerco’s long-term asset management Needs strategies. It also ensures that plans provide, subject to any regulatory constraints, Protection & Control, the optimum balance between levels of service and the efficient costs to provide Smart Network the required service. Figure 7 illustrates the structure of the full AMP and what each Development section is trying to address. Figure 7: Structure of the Asset Management Plan and Process 8 SUMMARY ASSET MANAGEMENT PLAN ELECTRICITY NETWORKS FY2011 – FY2021
PURPOSE OF THIS SUMMARY AMP PROCESS OVERVIEW Electricity distribution networks and the asset management processes that drive The asset management process requires that electricity is provided at the most them are very complex. Therefore, a huge amount of information is required to efficient cost. This is a process of many parts, including: compile a thorough AMP. This complexity and level of detail can act as a barrier Strategy to providing feedback for some parties, due to a feeling of “information overload”. Powerco recognises this and that is why we have produced this summary AMP, Long-term strategic direction for the management of the assets and the business which is intended to identify the key issues relevant to the majority of interested operations. This is the key interface for customer consultation and corporate strategy. parties. Anyone interested in Powerco’s AMP or operations in general is encouraged Planning to read this summary to learn more about our business and what we are trying to achieve on behalf of all our stakeholders. If further information is required, Powerco’s This process involves planning for the renewal, development, maintenance and full AMP is available at www.powerco.co.nz/Financial/Stat_Docs/Asset_Disclosures/ operation of the assets. Please note, this Summary AMP is intended to be consistent with the full AMP Service provision published in April 2011. Therefore, commentary, figures and dates contained within This involves the delivery of construction, maintenance and operating services on the this Summary AMP reflect those from the publish date for the full AMP. network assets. Network operations HOW TO PROVIDE FEEDBACK This involves the management of the real-time operation of the network, recording network outages and approving planned outages and access to the network by Powerco provides a vital service to your community. Therefore, it is vital that you service providers. have your say on the service we provide. We welcome feedback on this summary AMP, our full AMP, or any aspect of our business or the electricity industry. Feedback Information can be provided in the following ways: This involves the maintenance of, and reporting from, the asset information databases. • By email: corp_office@powerco.co.nz There is, of course, extensive and constant interaction between these processes, • By telephone: 0800 POWERCO (0800 769 3726) and with corporate, customer and regulatory management teams. • By post: Consultation Manager C/- Powerco Ltd Level 2, 84 Liardet St Private Bag 2061 New Plymouth 4342 SUMMARY ASSET MANAGEMENT PLAN ELECTRICITY NETWORKS FY2011 – FY2021 9
ASSET MANAGEMENT STRATEGY OVERVIEW At its highest level, the asset management process seeks to find and optimise the Powerco’s AMP identifies and provides details on the following key electricity asset most efficient trade-off between cost, service and risk. By minimising the costs, the management-related strategies: asset manager may compromise on asset performance and asset risk; by minimising 1. Renewal and modernisation: Modernisation of the network involves the the asset risk, service performance may be compromised and costs increased. replacement and updating of our aged assets to reduce the risk of asset failure, These three areas are intrinsically linked and the asset manager seeks to achieve the which can result in interruptions to supply. Powerco’s required renewal expenditure appropriate balance between them. This is represented in the following diagram. is forecast to trend upwards as the wave of assets installed between the 1950s and early 1980s approaches end-of-life. Figure 9 shows the increase in forecast renewal eas, the oth f these ar er tw expenditure. ne o oa no rea uto sw sp ill si be Asset Renewal Capital & Operational Expenditure cu fo co 80 2.000 h m uc pr om om 70 1.750 ise If to Nominal Expenditure ($000) 1.500 d 60 LEVEL Inflation Index 50 1.250 COST OF RISK 40 1.000 0.750 NETWORK 30 ASSETS 20 0.500 10 0.250 0 0 2009 A 2010 A 2012 F 2014 F 2015 F 2016 F 2017 F 2018 F 2019 F 2020 F 2006 A 2007 A 2011 B 2013 F 2021 F 2008 A PERFORMANCE LEVELS Asset Replacement and Renewal Refurbishment and Year (ending June) Inflation Index Renewal Maintenance Figure 9: Actual and Forecast Asset Renewal Capital and Maintenance Expenditure Figure 8: Cost, Performance and Risk Balance 10 SUMMARY ASSET MANAGEMENT PLAN ELECTRICITY NETWORKS FY2011 – FY2021
WHO WANTS WHAT FROM THE ASSETS? 2. Increasing the redundancy (duplication) of the core network: The following figure illustrates the relationship between Powerco’s main stakeholders, Redundancy means that if one critical component fails or needs to be taken out their drivers and the asset management process. The diagram now includes a of service, there is another component ready to continue supply. This includes recognition of the business planning process as the stakeholder drivers are equally increasing zone substation capacity and installing more network automation. Powerco (and in some cases more appropriately) applicable to the business planning process. has identified the potential for 17 zone substations to be built and 20 additional transformer banks to be installed at existing substations over the next 10 years. Customers/ Government & Owners & Lenders Employees & Consumers Regulator Contractors 3. Standardising systems and processes: This is a key strength of Powerco’s employees and a significant focus for management. Powerco has developed a common maintenance management system and an integrated, easily accessible Service/Price Safety Load Economic Efficiency (Long-Term Interest of Consumers) Long-Term Value (Productivity & Utilisation) Safety Workflow Certainty Growth Market Costs suite of information systems. There has also been continuing development of design, Environmental Safety & Compliance Risk Management construction and maintenance standards, which lead to lower risk profiles in the network and less reliance on field staff. Further investment in the standardisation of Business Planning Process systems and processes will allow us to extend asset lives. Asset Management Process 4. Distribution automation and more interconnections at feeder level: Development, Renewal, Smart network plans, which are a recent addition to Powerco’s AMP, aim to be Maintenance, Operation self-healing and capable of shifting the load from peak times. They are something Asset Performance Asset Age/Condition to which regulators in many countries are now paying greater attention because Assets they are perceived to offer customers improvements in performance and cost. Smart networks, which offer flatter, more manageable patterns of demand, fit well Figure 10: Powerco Stakeholders and Drivers of the Asset Management Process with Powerco’s business plan objectives of improving reliability through automated solutions, and managing increasing investment profiles through non-asset solutions. 5. Continuous improvement and optimisation of our inspection and maintenance standards: Powerco’s Network Standards set the requirements for the design and construction of equipment. Our standards also set out our requirements for maintenance inspections and servicing, and guidelines for the overhaul of equipment. The standards reflect the range of different contractor drivers in place across Powerco’s network as well as a need to prevent corner-cutting, while not disallowing new ways of doing things. The standards and policies follow a continuous improvement process whereby the standards are challenged as they are used. Input to the standards preparation and update process can arise during semi- regular standards road shows, through the field work audit process or if anyone has a new idea that should be tried out. SUMMARY ASSET MANAGEMENT PLAN ELECTRICITY NETWORKS FY2011 – FY2021 11
Powerco uses a range of best-practice methods to undertake consultation and to identify stakeholder interests, including, but not limited to: • Key Account Managers assigned to liaise directly with large or industrial consumers. • Consumer surveys conducted at events like the Mystery Creek and Central Districts Agricultural Field Days. Surveys are designed to help Powerco understand if consumer expectations about the quality of their electricity supply are being met. Attendance of Powerco staff at these events also provides consumers with an opportunity to discuss any concerns they may have directly with Powerco. • Workshops and focus group meetings with regulators, consumers and consumer representative groups. • Various media communication channels, such as newspaper and radio advertising and Powerco’s website. In addition to the above, Powerco has a Consultation Manager dedicated to planning and co-ordinating consultation activities and maintaining relationships with key stakeholders. Feedback obtained through consultation is incorporated into Powerco’s asset management planning to help ensure Powerco’s plans are aligned with consumer and stakeholder expectations. Powerco operated an information kiosk in Tauranga’s CBD for five days during February 2011. This provided Western Bay of Plenty residents with an opportunity to learn more about Powerco’s plans for the region and other things, such as the structure of the New Zealand electricity industry, regulation and pricing. It also provided an opportunity for residents to give feedback directly to Powerco. 12 SUMMARY ASSET MANAGEMENT PLAN ELECTRICITY NETWORKS FY2011 – FY2021
Figure 11 below illustrates the influences of the various drivers affecting the total amount spent on the network over time. Network Spend Long-term Shareholder Value Regulated Revenue Productivity Utilisation Indirect Costs O&M Development Market Costs Renewal For Work Risk Mgmt Environmental Asset Age, Load Safety Condition & Service Configuration Growth Time Asset Management Process Powerco’s stands at both the Mystery Creek and Central Districts Agricultural Field Days Figure 11: Illustration of the Influence of Asset Management Drivers are always popular. Powerco attends these events to survey consumers about the quality of their electricity supply and to provide consumers with an opportunity to have face-to-face The diagram reflects the current situation, which can be summarised as upwards discussions with Powerco staff. pressure on network spend through: • The required level of service. • Load growth. • Safety, environmental and other regulatory compliance obligations. • The market costs for field work activities. • The current attributes of the network, i.e. asset age, condition and configuration. The drivers that place downwards pressure on network expenditure are: • Powerco’s commercial driver to achieve long-term sustainable value for its shareholders, which (in this context) is reflected in utilisation and productivity drivers. • The regulated revenue, namely the allowable revenue and form of control. SUMMARY ASSET MANAGEMENT PLAN ELECTRICITY NETWORKS FY2011 – FY2021 13
At a strategy level, constraints, asset management drivers and the needs and interests At a tactical and operational level in the network planning process, the investment of various stakeholders are evaluated and considered as part of the corporate planning policy and asset management strategy is shaped by Powerco’s multi-stakeholder process. These are all applied during the network planning process. assessment process. This process is a key part of the way in which network development and renewal programmes are formed. Powerco faces a constant It must be recognised that with such a wide range of stakeholders their drivers and balancing act to ensure the needs of consumers and stakeholders are met at the needs will also vary widely. For example, Powerco’s consultation to date indicates optimal levels of price and quality. Feedback from electricity retailers and consumers that most consumers wish to see reliability and quality standards improve or remain is essential in ensuring we achieve the best possible balance for the widest possible at present levels but do not wish to pay more for electricity overall. However, range of stakeholders. maintaining or improving standards requires a greater level of investment due to an ageing network and load growth. By restricting Powerco’s revenue through price- To help achieve the optimal balance, projects are assessed using a multi-stakeholder constraining regulation, Regulators seek to put downwards pressure on electricity optimisation process (known as Coin Optimiser), whereby the projects are reviewed prices. The regulation is limited in its effectiveness in constraining overall retail prices against a set of four strategic objectives. The primary objectives of the optimisation because the majority of a retail electricity bill is made up of components that are process are: outside Powerco’s control. However, it does have a large impact on how much • To provide a consistent approach to the development of capital works Powerco is able to be invest back into the network – at the same time Powerco must programmes that balances (potentially conflicting) stakeholder requirements; continue to maintain reliability and quality standards while still making a fair return to • To eliminate (or mitigate) any high risks to public safety, network performance, investors. As such, Powerco seeks to operate an efficient business and to ensure customer outcomes, public relations, or employee engagement; and regulatory consistency, predictability, transparency and accountability to help lower perceived investment risk, thus allowing for investment at appropriate levels required • To maximise the strategic value of the portfolio of projects that make up the to achieve the optimal balance of all stakeholder expectations. It is at the strategy capital works programme. level where the best overall balance between these drivers and needs is sought. Further details on the optimisation process are set out in Section 2.6 of the full AMP. 14 SUMMARY ASSET MANAGEMENT PLAN ELECTRICITY NETWORKS FY2011 – FY2021
STATE OF THE ASSETS PERFORMANCE AGAINST TARGET OVERVIEW The age profile by replacement costs of the entire infrastructure asset base (on The following table shows Powerco’s key performance measures. current replacement costs) is presented as a nine-year moving average and is shown Table 2: Current Electricity Asset Performance in the diagram below. Electricity Measure Measure (2010) Target for 2012 Commentary Total Asset Replacement Cost vs Age Network 290.7 min/customer 170 min/ Reliability levels have been static. reliability (actual) customer Price has been decreasing in real 120,000 (SAIDI) terms, hence customers’ current 196.7 min/customer price/quality trade-off has been 100,000 (excl storms) improving in general terms Replacement Cost ($000) 80,000 Network 2.76 interruptions/ 2.56 See above reliability customer (actual) interruptions/ 60,000 (SAIFI) customer 2.61 interruptions/ customer (excl storms) 40,000 Customer 11.2 ICPs/km N/A Urban/rural mix, below weighted 20,000 density industry average 0 Average 13.4 MWh/ICP N/A Low (presenting growth opportunity). 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 ODL consumption Benchmarking weakness Age (Years) Direct $1057/km $1266/km Efficient level of spend, in efficient Substations Switchgear Transformers Underground Overhead operating quartile for the industry costs Figure 12: Total Asset Age Profile Capex spend 6.9% of RAB N/A Efficient level of spend, around the median for the industry Condition monitoring shows that the assets are generally in the condition expected of their age. Asset $32,450/km, $4000/ICP Efficient, particularly when compared investment $3012/ICP to similar density EDBs Load factor 67% 65% High load factor, good spread of customer load Capacity 29% 30% Low utilisation reflecting rural utilisation network. Benchmark weakness Security Substation and feeder N/A Appropriate, standards are security commensurate with load, current situation reflects more from historic standards to new standards and new load growth Asset 25 years average age N/A Asset condition well monitored, condition appropriate asset condition Asset condition reports commensurate with age, but increasing investment profile SUMMARY ASSET MANAGEMENT PLAN ELECTRICITY NETWORKS FY2011 – FY2021 15
Performance looks at the consumer-related service requirements, and the Safety is a critical driver of the asset management process. Electrical plant and confirmation of these requirements through the consumer consultation process. equipment are capable of causing serious harm. Measures must be taken to ensure, It then looks at the ways in which economic efficiency is assured in the asset as far as practicable, the safety of employees and the public. To this end, the management process, contractor performance, safety performance, environmental network must be maintained in a way that meets statutory requirements, follows matters and statutory compliance. good engineering practice, and is considered safe in accordance with recognised industry standards. The targets also take into account the type of assets used across our network, and make comparisons with other New Zealand lines companies with the same customer Safety is determined by a combination of: density and ratio of overhead to underground construction. They also consider past • Asset design; planning practice, economic factors, recognised international best practice and safety. • Maintaining the assets in a safe condition; Powerco achieves a balance between owner requirements and legislative, regulatory • Safe operating and work practices; and and consumer expectations in setting these performance criteria. The levels of service adopted by Powerco for its Asset Management Plan are based on the • Statute: The Electricity Regulations, Electrical Codes of Practice and the internationally recognised measurements, SAIDI, SAIFI and CAIDI (which are Australian/New Zealand Standard Wiring Rules. There is also the Safety Manual acronyms for formulae covering the duration and frequency of power outages, and – Electricity Industry (SM-EI), which contains the framework for Powerco’s their customer bases) and accepted New Zealand lines companies’ best practice. safety-related network operation. Powerco has now implemented its network operating procedures to comply with the requirements of SM-EI. Additionally, Powerco conducts an extensive Customer Communications Programme to verify there are the Building Act, the Health and Safety in Employment Act, the that performance targets match consumer and stakeholder expectations. Consumer Hazardous Substances and New Organisms Act 1996, and various guides set consultation is a requirement of the Commerce Act (Electricity Distribution Thresholds out by the Electricity Engineers’ Association. Notice 2004). The primary intention of this requirement is to ensure distribution Powerco has adopted the practice of working as a reasonable and prudent businesses effectively consult with, and take into account, the views of their operator to guide safe asset management practices. Its health and safety policy customers and stakeholders. Regardless of regulatory requirements, Powerco views and procedures are set out in documents in the Powerco Business Management consumer consultation as common sense – essentially, our job is made easier if the System. Contractors can receive instructions from the Contracts Works Manual and communities in which we operate understand who we are and how our business the Network Operations Manual, both of which are new initiatives that operate with operates. In addition to Powerco-initiated consultation, a database is kept of all online search applications. complaints and suggestions registered by its customers through Powerco’s call centre. These complaints are mapped by type for later reference in planning activities. The company carries out a policy of auditing its contractors for health and safety compliance, along with their quality of workmanship. Health and safety Economic efficiency is an important driver for maintenance, renewal and audit breaches are divided into major and minor. We have a focus on continual development work. A large proportion of repair work, refurbishment and asset improvement on health and safety and have a target number of zero major breaches. replacement work is undertaken only after economic analysis to determine the most cost-effective solution. This frequently involves the choice between replacement and continued maintenance. 16 SUMMARY ASSET MANAGEMENT PLAN ELECTRICITY NETWORKS FY2011 – FY2021
RISK MANAGEMENT ASSET LIFECYCLE PLAN A large part of the asset management process involves managing risks associated with As Powerco’s network continues to age, more investment in renewal and the assets on behalf of our stakeholders. For example, public safety risks may arise due maintenance is required to maintain current reliability levels. Powerco is spending to inadequately secured equipment, risks of unexpected supply outages may arise due less on asset renewal than what asset age profiles indicate should be spent; inadequately trimmed trees, or there could be inadvertent breaches of legislation. however, this must be viewed in the context of regulated allowable revenue. The required increase in replacement costs is demonstrated in the following figure. Powerco’s Board and management are committed to maintaining a business environment that demonstrates good corporate governance practices. Risk management is therefore an integral part of Powerco’s business to support effective All Assets Replacement Profile decision-making and provide assurance. 140 The aim of the risk management programme is to identify and understand the 120 Replacement Cost ($m) likelihood, consequence, control effectiveness, and action plans required to make 100 risk levels acceptable. 80 The risk management programme is supported by Powerco’s corporate insurance 60 programme, which includes low-probability and high-impact events. 40 Our approach to risk management is aligned to the new AS/NZS ISO 31000:2009 20 standard for risk management. 0 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 More in-depth details on Powerco’s risk management programme are provided in Section 6 of our full AMP. This section on risk management has now been moved ODV Replacement Cost (March 2010 quantities in $2004 terms) Year of Replacement (FY) to the middle of the AMP from being at the end. This reflects our view that the Current Replacement Cost (including 2.9 capital efficiency factor) 9 year rolling average, Current Replacement Cost (including capital efficiency factor) management of risks is central to the asset management process rather than being 50 Year Average Current Replacement Cost (including capital efficiency factor) simply an output. Renewal Budget (Real $2010) Figure 13: Total Network Asset Replacement Profile A number of renewal projects are described in the maps that follow in this summary AMP. The maps show the major projects Powerco wishes to undertake prior to application of the multi-stakeholder assessment process described earlier. SUMMARY ASSET MANAGEMENT PLAN ELECTRICITY NETWORKS FY2011 – FY2021 17
Maintenance Work Types An age- and obsolescence-based replacement strategy is applied to assets with a Powerco’s maintenance work comprises the following elements: high level of technical complexity or a high level of interconnectedness with other network assets (that is, the operation of a system as a whole is dependent on the • Maintenance management and maintenance planning; integrity of several assets. It includes the need to replace equipment because of • Routine inspections and condition assessments; availability of spares, or for standardisation or changes in technology. This strategy is • Routine servicing; applied to equipment such as zone substation switchgear, SCADA equipment and protection relays. Reactive renewal strategies are based around the need to renew • Non-routine servicing (overhauls); assets that have failed and need to be replaced in a short time or to renew assets • Fault first response, callouts; with a high imminent risk of failure. • Asset relocations (where an asset is simply moved and not replaced); Asset Renewal Forecasting Process • Evaluation of inspection and condition-monitoring results to determine any The most accurate means of forecasting renewal needs for the network is through maintenance or renewal requirements (this may be performed in the field at the knowledge of the condition of the assets. A condition-based renewal programme time of inspection/condition-monitoring or later by engineering staff); is the most accurate for a period of around one to five years’ hence. Beyond this, • Evaluating faults to predict maintenance or renewal requirements; renewal forecasts are best made using age profiles. • Performing corrective maintenance or renewal as a result of the above; and Renewal forecasting involves determining the quantity of assets needing renewal • Service disconnections. (renewal tasks) and the unit costs per renewal task. The forecast renewal expenditure equals the product of these two factors. The asset condition information is presently Asset Renewal Strategic Themes being compiled in the Maintenance Management system, and so the full extent of Powerco’s scheduled asset renewal strategy encompasses three main themes, each condition-based renewal needs is still in progress. of which is appropriate for the different asset types. Estimates of condition-based renewal forecasts, calculated on the information A run-to-failure strategy is applied to assets where the consequences of failure are available, have been entered into Powerco’s Improvement Register and an extract of not major and where the costs of on-going condition-monitoring may outweigh the the renewal expenditure needs from this is given in Section 10 of the full AMP. costs of failure. This strategy is applied to equipment such as small pole-mounted Life Extension Practices distribution transformers, underground distribution feeder cable spurs, LV cables, expulsive fuses and surge arresters. Various life extension techniques have been tried by Powerco, but apart from transformer refurbishment, these really apply to only specialised assets and many of A risk- and condition-based replacement strategy is applied where there is a the techniques have had only limited degrees of success. significant implication due to failure, such as major health and safety risk, significant reliability of supply consequence or a major expense in repair. This strategy is Redeployment, Upgrade and Disposal of Existing Assets applied where on-going condition inspections are needed to comply with regulations Powerco is presently developing its policy on reusing second-hand materials, such or where the costs of condition-monitoring are small compared with the costs as poles and conductors, and rotables, such as transformers. associated with failure. It is applied to equipment such as poles, cross-arms, important distribution feeder cables and zone substation transformers. Powerco is also updating its disposal policies in line with its Environmental strategy. It is not envisaged that any major network assets will need disposal that would have environmental consequences during the period covered by the full AMP. 18 SUMMARY ASSET MANAGEMENT PLAN ELECTRICITY NETWORKS FY2011 – FY2021
NETWORK DEVELOPMENT PLAN The network security criteria describe the factors considered when preparing the long- Figure 14 below shows projected demand growth for the next five years. and medium-term development plans. Load forecasts are presented and these, along with the security criteria, culminate in the capital works programme for development. Zone Substation Maximum Demand Growth Powerco has a range of development plans for different categories of equipment and 5.0% customer bases. 4.0% Network security of supply is a measure of the resilience of the network to 3.0% Percentage Growth operational changes, such as planned outages (e.g. those required for maintenance), 2.0% and unforeseen events (e.g. forced outages, such as those caused by equipment 1.0% failure or storms, as well as unexpected customer loads). The ability of the network to accommodate unforeseen events is a factor that can influence reliability of supply, 0.0% somewhat akin to a network balance sheet. -1.0% Powerco’s security of supply criteria have been set taking into account the -2.0% Electricity Engineers’ Association’s Security of Supply Guidelines and the report, 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 F 2011 F 2012 F 2013 F 2013 F 2015 F entitled “Interaction between Transmission and Distribution System Planning” Powerco Powerco Prudent Powerco Probable from the CIGRE/CIRED Working Group, as well as the findings of the customer Eastern Eastern Prudent Eastern Probable Western Western Prudent Western Probable Year communications process. Load forecasting for the purposes of the asset management process is based on Figure 14: Powerco Aggregate Maximum Demand Growth growth in peak-time demands. Peak requirements need to be understood to determine the required capacity of a lines infrastructure that will support local load growth. The most significant influences on demand growth continue to result from changes in population and household composition, and the growth or relocation of industry. Internal migration patterns thus have a strong influence on the observed demand growth. Government initiatives to promote energy efficiency and the preference for renewable sources of energy have been considered in preparing the forecast growth. Known industry changes – such as oil and gas exploration and development; primary sector changes; and infrastructure, such as ports – account for step changes seen in forecasts. The establishment of major new industries can have a considerable impact within a short time on the level of demand experienced in any given locality. The possibility of new spot loads is monitored through Key Account Managers, Resource Management Act notifications and consumer consultation. SUMMARY ASSET MANAGEMENT PLAN ELECTRICITY NETWORKS FY2011 – FY2021 19
NETWORK PERFORMANCE ENHANCEMENT CAPITAL EXPENDITURE Powerco’s network enhancement plans encompass: Capital expenditure (capex) is the budget used to create new assets or to increase • Reliability improvements, which take into account feeder reliability performance, the service performance or potential of an existing asset. The forecast total capital historical trends and plans for automation; expenditure to FY2021 is shown in the diagram below. • Protection and control developments, including SCADA, load control and Total Network Capex metering; 160 2.00 • Environmental performance and improvement; 140 1.75 • Safety performance enhancement; and Nominal Expenditure ($m) 120 1.50 • Smart network implementation. Inflation Index 100 1.25 80 1.00 The network enhancement processes are driven by several of the “big picture” 0.75 strategic themes of renewal and modernisation, automation, safety management and 60 “smartening” the network. 40 0.50 20 0.25 The major network enhancement projects Powerco wishes to undertake are 0 0 described in the maps that follow in this summary AMP. All network enhancement 2009 A 2010 A 2014 F 2015 F 2016 F 2017 F 2018 F 2019 F 2020 F 2021 F 2006 A 2007 A 2011 B 2012 F 2013 F 2008 A projects will also go through the multi-stakeholder assessment process. Routine & Preventive Maintenance Inflation Index Financial Year Figure 15: Total Network Capital Expenditure Capital budgets, under the categories of System Growth, Reliability, Safety, Environment and Asset Renewal, are monitored at the end of every month and budget re-forecasts are made quarterly. A portion is set aside for reactive or unforeseen work, such as equipment failure or storms. Under- or over-spend in this category is accommodated by juggling other projects in the capital programme. Allowance is also made for opportunities to purchase land for future zone substation sites or easements for lines. In our experience, gradual land- or easement-banking, as the opportunities arise to a well-thought-out development plan, is a more efficient way of developing the network than an urgent short-term focus. 20 SUMMARY ASSET MANAGEMENT PLAN ELECTRICITY NETWORKS FY2011 – FY2021
OPERATIONAL EXPENDITURES Operational expenditures are those expenditures directly associated with running The operational expenditure forecasts are denominated in nominal dollar values in the electricity distribution network that cannot be capitalised. These include line with the disclosure requirements. The inflation index is also shown in the graph. maintenance expenditures required to operate or maintain the assets to achieve their original design economic lives and service potentials. Powerco’s maintenance work Total Direct Operational Expenditure comprises the following: 50 2.00 • Routine condition-monitoring; 1.75 40 Nominal Expenditure ($m) 1.50 • Routine servicing; Inflation Index 30 1.25 • Evaluation of inspection and condition-monitoring results to determine any 1.00 maintenance requirements; 20 0.75 • Evaluating faults to predict condition-monitoring and maintenance requirements; 0.50 10 • Performing maintenance overhauls; 0.25 • Rotable asset relocation; 0 0 2009 A 2010 A 2011 B 2012 F 2013 F 2014 F 2015 F 2016 F 2017 F 2018 F 2019 F 2020 F 2021 F 2006 A 2007 A 2008 A • Fault repair; and • Network operations. Routine & Preventive Maintenance Inflation Index Financial Year The operating and maintenance expenditures also include direct management Figure 16: Total Direct Operational Expenditure costs not immediately associated with creating network assets, such as customer management, network planning, network operating and managing service provider relationships. They include site leases, site service charges, network insurance, charter payments and other like costs. They may include the costs of decommissioning existing assets (where a new asset is not created). The operating and maintenance expenditure forecast has been set based on benchmarked operational costs per asset replacement cost and per system length, based on present work levels, after adjustments have been made to allow for increased service provider efficiency (downwards) and growth in system length and ODV (upwards). These are confirmed against the asset maintenance plans developed using the maintenance strategy and Powerco’s present operating practices. The forecast total operational and maintenance expenditures to FY2021 are shown in Figure 16 (blue-coloured bars) along with the actual (A) capital expenditures from the FY2006 to FY2010 periods (purple bars) and the budgeted capital expenditure for FY2011 (green bar). SUMMARY ASSET MANAGEMENT PLAN ELECTRICITY NETWORKS FY2011 – FY2021 21
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