Strategy Update Reimagining Medicine - Vas Narasimhan, CEO J.P. Morgan Healthcare Conference January 11, 2021 - Novartis
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Novartis AG Reimagining Medicine Strategy Update Vas Narasimhan, CEO J.P. Morgan Healthcare Conference January 11, 2021
Disclaimer This presentation contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the United States Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 that can generally be identified by words such as “potential,” “expected,” “will,” “planned,” “pipeline,” “outlook,” or similar expressions, or by express or implied discussions regarding potential new products, potential new indications for existing products, potential product launches, or regarding potential future revenues from any such products; or regarding the development or adoption of potentially transformational technologies, treatment modalities and business models; or regarding potential future, pending, announced or completed transactions; or regarding the potential benefits from and impact of current and future productivity programs on our financial performance and results; or regarding potential future sales or earnings of the Group or any of its divisions, or potential shareholder returns; or by discussions of strategy, plans, expectations or intentions. You should not place undue reliance on these statements. Such forward-looking statements are based on our current beliefs and expectations regarding future events, and are subject to significant known and unknown risks and uncertainties. Should one or more of these risks or uncertainties materialize, or should underlying assumptions prove incorrect, actual results may vary materially from those set forth in the forward- looking statements. In particular, our expectations could be affected by, among other things: global trends toward health care cost containment, including ongoing government, payor and general public pricing and reimbursement pressures and requirements for increased pricing transparency; regulatory actions or delays or government regulation generally, including potential regulatory actions or delays with respect to the development of the products described in this presentation; the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on enrollment in, initiation and completion of our clinical trials in the future, and research and development timelines, including regulatory approvals; the potential that the anticipated benefits from and impact of current and future productivity programs on our business, including our financial performance and results, may not be realized or may be more difficult or take longer to realize than expected; the potential that the strategic benefits, synergies or opportunities expected from the transactions described may not be realized or may be more difficult or take longer to realize than expected; dependence on third parties to fulfill manufacturing and supply obligations; the uncertainties involved in predicting shareholder returns; the uncertainties involved in the research and development of new healthcare products, including clinical trial results and additional analysis of existing clinical data; our ability to obtain or maintain proprietary intellectual property protection; safety, quality, data integrity or manufacturing issues; uncertainties regarding actual or potential legal proceedings, investigations or disputes; uncertainties involved in the development or adoption of potentially transformational technologies, treatment modalities and business models; our performance on environmental, social and governance measures; political, economic and trade conditions; uncertainties regarding future global exchange rates; general political, economic and business conditions, including the effects of and efforts to mitigate pandemic diseases such as COVID-19; uncertainties regarding future demand for our products; uncertainties regarding potential significant breaches of data security or data privacy, or disruptions of our information technology systems; and other risks and factors referred to in Novartis AG’s current Form 20 F on file with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Novartis is providing the information in this presentation as of this date and does not undertake any obligation to update any forward-looking statements as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. | J.P. Morgan Healthcare Conference | January 11, 2021 | Novartis Investor Presentation 2
We are transforming Novartis... Strategy set out in 2018... ...is transforming Novartis Our focus Our five priorities 100% focused as a medicines company Focus our Unleash the Deliver company power of our transformative and capital people innovation Record-high engagement score Accelerate Embrace Go big Leading pipeline, with 4 advanced therapy platforms certain operational on data geographies excellence and digital Achieved USD 2bn cost savings over 2017-2020 Strengthen Build trust our core with society Establishing a leading digital and data science platform Improving ESG scores, sector-leader across 3 key indices | J.P. Morgan Healthcare Conference | January 11, 2021 | Novartis Investor Presentation 3
...while delivering strong operational performance... 2017 % 2018 2018 % 2019 2019 % 9M 2020 9M 2020 Continuing operations1 growth (cc) growth (cc) growth (cc) Net sales 42.3 +5% 44.8 +9% 47.4 +4% 35.9 USD bn, growth cc2 Core2 OpInc 11.7 +7% 12.6 +17% 14.1 +16% 11.9 USD bn, growth cc2 Innovative Medicines 31.0% +1.0% pts 32.0% +1.8% pts 33.5% +2.7% pts 36.3%3 Core2 margin %, growth cc2 1. Continuing operations excludes Alcon, includes the businesses of Innovative Medicines and Sandoz as well as the continuing corporate functions. 2. Constant currencies (cc) and core results are non-IFRS measures. 3. Historically Q4 margin lower due to seasonality. | J.P. Morgan Healthcare Conference | January 11, 2021 | Novartis Investor Presentation 4
...and a robust response to the COVID-19 pandemic Associates Patients & HCPs Society Taking care of the health and ...whilst serving our key ...and playing a pivotal role in safety of our employees... stakeholders... supporting the global response • Job safety • Patient-oriented digital solutions • Donations and access support • ‘Choice with responsibility’ • HCPs multi-channel engagements • Research and development • Support productivity and wellbeing • Business continuity in our operations • External collaborations | J.P. Morgan Healthcare Conference | January 11, 2021 | Novartis Investor Presentation 5
We have focused the company... Company 3 Company 6 Rx Other Bubble area = 2019 total company revenue ≥ 200 Company 4 TODAY Size Company 2 Company 11 END 2017 Market cap, $bn Company 1 Company 7 Company 8 Company 5 Company 10 Company 9 < 200 Company 12 Company 14 Company 13 Rx Conglomerate < 75% % of revenues Pure-play ≥ 75% Note: Companies grouped by strategic archetype, not strictly to scale. Source: Evaluate Pharma, S&P Capital IQ, Annual Reports. Revenues FY 2019, Market Caps as of Jan 1, 2020 except Company 2 (May 8, 2020). Rx = Innovative medicines. Other = vaccines, animal health, generics / biosimilars, consumer health, medical devices / diagnostics, revenues not attributable to a specific segment / TA and other revenues. | J.P. Morgan Healthcare Conference | January 11, 2021 | Novartis Investor Presentation 6
...through a broad range of transactions and partnerships Selected deals and total number1 2018-2020 ⭐ ⭐ ⭐ ⭐ ⭐ NIBR 45 Innovative ⭐ ⭐ ⭐ ⭐ ⭐ ⭐ ⭐ Medicines Entresto JP 25 Sandoz 45 Digital 22 Divestments Out-licensing Consumer health 88 ⭐ Advanced Therapy Platform (Cell Therapy, Gene Therapy, RLT, RNA) 1. For Sandoz Small Molecules, only deals >1m USD considered As of December, 2020 | J.P. Morgan Healthcare Conference | January 11, 2021 | Novartis Investor Presentation 7
Today, we present investors a differentiated profile Diversified across geographies and TAs, while providing exposure to cutting-edge platforms Top-selling drug Blockbusters Advanced therapy platforms2 Geographical diversification Company # of TAs1 % total net sales # Cell Gene RLT RNA % of total Rx sales 10 8% 15 ✔ ✔ ✔ ✔ Company 1 10 8% 6 ✔ ✔ Company 2 10 41% 8 Company 3 9 15% 11 ✔ ✔ Company 4 9 27% 4 Company 5 9 13% 7 ✔ ✔ Company 6 8 15% 13 ✔ ✔ Company 7 6 24% 7 ✔ ✔ Company 8 6 14% 9 ✔ ✔ Company 9 6 21% 7 ✔ Company 10 4 9% 5 ✔ ✔ Company 11 4 27% 9 ✔ Company 12 3 18% 9 ✔ Company 13 3 22% 6 ✔ Company 14 2 39% 4 ✔ ✔ US Asia, Africa, Australasia ex-US 1. Only TAs (Therapeutic Areas) with annual 3rd party sales >USD 500m in 2019; TA definition as per Evaluate Pharma; manual adjustments to keep classification consistent EU Canada & Latin America vs. previous years. 2. Defined as net sales from one of the mentioned therapy platforms by 2025 according to Evaluate Pharma and publicly available pipeline information. Source: Evaluate Pharma 2020 | J.P. Morgan Healthcare Conference | January 11, 2021 | Novartis Investor Presentation 8
Unleash the power of our people Significant progress to solidify our culture journey towards an inspired, curious and unbossed organization Inspired Curious Unbossed Engagement1 Growth & learning1 Manager effectiveness2 84 82 80 75 75 Global benchmark: 77 68 Pharma benchmark: 70 Pharma benchmark: 70 05/19 08/19 11/19 03/20 05/20 08/20 11/20 05/19 08/19 11/19 03/20 05/20 08/20 11/20 Q1 ’19 Q1 ’20 Q4 ’20 • Rolled out new Values & Behaviors and • Coursera: ~450k courses completed by • ‘Unbossed Leadership Experience’ re- EVOLVE performance management ~50k users in 2020, platform access designed (virtual) and delivered to ~5k system, incl. removing ratings extended to over 10k family and friends leaders in the organization • Launched TEDxNovartis • Scaling to all 22k people managers Culture Sense under finalization to track progress and establish the link between culture and performance 1. Source: Quarterly Glint Engagement Survey Scores (out of 100). 2. Source: Team Perspectives, December 2020, 67k participants. | J.P. Morgan Healthcare Conference | January 11, 2021 | Novartis Investor Presentation 9
Deliver transformative innovation We have a leading pipeline by key measures Scale Innovation Value # of projects1 Estimated 2026 sales from products launched 2020-20263 Advanced platform 116 Phase 1/2 20 therapies in clinical development #2 Replacement power Company A Pipeline2 potentially Phase 3/ 49 Registration ~90% first-in-class / first-in-indication Company B Company C Company D Company E Company F >65 NMEs ~80% Target areas of high unmet need2 Company G Company H Company I 1. Including Global Health, excluding Sandoz. As of December, 2020. 2. Projects in confirmatory development. 3. Innovative Medicines product sales excl. Vaccines and LCM products (e.g. new formulations, combos with off-patent molecules); compound-based analysis (Ph2 and 3) with additional indications allocated to 1st launch. Source: Novartis peer group analysis based on data from Evaluate Pharma (download from September 24, 2020). | J.P. Morgan Healthcare Conference | January 11, 2021 | Novartis Investor Presentation 10
Deliver transformative innovation In 2020 we advanced our innovation agenda Major approvals Major submissions Selected examples Selected examples Leqvio® (EU) Hyperlipidemia (EU) SMA IV (EU, JP) Kesimpta® (EU, JP) RMS (US) wAMD (EU, JP) Entresto® HFpEF (US) NSCLC (US, JP) Sickle cell disease (EU) Major readouts Selected examples Asthma (EU, JP) HR+/HER2- aBC (EU) Beovu® (DME) nr-axSpA (US, EU, JP) CRSwNP (US, EU) Jakavi® (Chronic GvHD) Pediatric PsO (EU) Asciminib (CML) AS (CN) Iptacopan (PNH, C3G) (IA) | J.P. Morgan Healthcare Conference | January 11, 2021 | Novartis Investor Presentation 11
Deliver transformative innovation 2021 catalysts maintaining momentum Potential catalysts Selected examples Major approvals Leqvio® (US) Kesimpta® (EU/JP) Hyperlipidemia RMS Entresto® (US) Entresto® (JP/CN) HFpEF HTN Major submissions1 Alpelisib (BYL719) Sabatolimab (MBG453) Jakavi® PROS MDS Acute and chronic GvHD 177Lu-PSMA-617 Kymriah® Asciminib (ABL001) mCRPC FL, r/r DLBCL 1st relapse CML Canakinumab3 Entresto® Beovu® NSCLC 1L + 2L Post-AMI DME 177Lu-PSMA-617 Kymriah® Kisqali® Major readouts2 (pivotal) mCRPC r/r DLBCL 1st relapse Breast cancer (MONALEESA-2 OS) Canakinumab Entresto® Cosentyx® NSCLC 1L + 2L Post-AMI HS Sabatolimab (MBG453) Ligelizumab (QGE031) MDS CSU 1. First submission in any market. 2. Readouts enabling submission or label change. 3. Depending on timing of final read-out submission may move to early 2022. | J.P. Morgan Healthcare Conference | January 11, 2021 | Novartis Investor Presentation 12
Deliver transformative innovation Moving forward a breadth of assets to drive long-term growth... Selected opportunities Lifecycle management Pharmaceuticals Oncology Asset Indications Asset Indications Asset Indications HFpEF, Post-AMI, Essential Iptacopan IgAN, PNH, aHUS, C3G, iMN Canakinumab NSCLC 1L/2L, NSCLC hypertension (ex US), Pediatric (LNP023) (ACZ885) adjuvant Derm: HS, L. Planus, Peds PsO Iscalimab Sjögren's, Kidney Tx, Liver Tx 177 mCRPC 3L, mCRPC pre- Rheum: jPsA/ER, GCA, Lupus Lu-PSMA-617 taxane (CFZ533) Nephritis Adjuvant BC Ligelizumab CSU, Pediatric CSU, CINDU, Sabatolimab HR-MDS, AML, Maintenance (QGE031) food allergy (MBG453) MRD + AML Solid tumors, Multiple PROS, TNBC, Ovarian cancer Pelacarsen BYL719 HER2+ aBC, HNSCC 2/3L CVRR-Lp(a) TNO155 combinations being explored (TQJ230) including 1L KRAS NSCLC DME, RVO, Diabetic retinopathy Branaplam BRAF/NRASm Melanoma, Huntington disease, SMA LXH254 (LMI070) mRAS/RAF NSCLC ‘Wild Cards’ CSJ117 (Asthma), ECF843 (Dry Eye), LNA043 (Osteoarthritis), QBW251 (COPD), NIS793 (Solid Tumors) | J.P. Morgan Healthcare Conference | January 11, 2021 | Novartis Investor Presentation 13
Deliver transformative innovation ...while strengthening our advanced therapy platforms Research & Development Manufacturing Commercialization Clinical programs Pre-clinical Internal sites More info Countries approved Reimbursed Gene 4 OAV101 SMA IT 19 3 Libertyville (US) 1m+ Therapy OAV201 Rett syndrome Longmont (US) Square feet ADPT03 Sickle cell anemia Durham (US) footprint of the 37 6 internal network CPK850 RP Cell CTL019 Multiple1 Morris Plains (US) Therapy 8 10 3 4 JEZ567 AML Stein (CH) Continents LXF821 Glioblastoma multiforme Les Ulis (FR) spanned by Novartis’ 28 232 MCM998 Plasma cell myeloma manufacturing network YTB323 Hematological malignancy RLT 177Lu-NeoB Multiple solid tumors Millburn (US) 4 14 6 1 177Lu-oxodotreotide GEP-NET 1L G3 Ivrea, Saluggia, Forli (IT) Additional 177Lu-PSMA-617 mCRPC Zaragoza (ES) site under Lutathera® 38 16 construction in 177Lu-PSMA-R2 Prostate cancer IDB (NL) Indianapolis (US) 4 additional clinical programs relating to RNA (including KJX839 and TQJ230) 1. DLBCL 1st relapse, r/r FL, r/r DLBCL in combo with pembro, 1st line high risk pediatric and young adult ALL. 2. Both pALL and DLBCL. | J.P. Morgan Healthcare Conference | January 11, 2021 | Novartis Investor Presentation 14
Embrace operational excellence Strong performance from our growth drivers, with focus on launch excellence for our recent and upcoming launches Key growth driver sales 9M 2020 Major recent / upcoming launches Sales Growth vs. PY Growth vs. PY USD Million USD Million cc 1,781 573 48% 666 491 nm 2,886 300 12% 1,267 231 24% 236 187 nm 503 178 59% 268 166 164% nr-axSpA HFpEF, HTN 153 153 nm 1,134 152 17% Canakinumab Sabatolimab 333 151 82% 963 142 19% Asciminib 177Lu-PSMA-617 633 140 30% nm – not meaningful | J.P. Morgan Healthcare Conference | January 11, 2021 | Novartis Investor Presentation 15
Embrace operational excellence Progressing at steady pace in NTO / NBS transformations... Novartis Technical Operations Novartis Business Services Asset 15 Sites exited since 2016 Continuing on the journey to become a 4th gen, industry-leading enterprise transformation engine intensity 126 Warehouses reduced since 2016 reduction Select achievements 26 Sites infrastructures carved out 65% NBS associates across 5 Global Service Centers 2 New Operations Centers >15k Novartis associates in Activity-Based Working Standardization >50 Global processes being re-designed 50% DM suppliers reduced since 2016 >90k Novartis associates using OneNovartis Services >45k Novartis associates enabled to work remotely 3 New sites1 online for cell therapies >35k Digital assets hosted on one single platform (FUSE) Innovation 2.8x Increase in Bio capacity since 2016 State-of-the-art advanced analytics, sourcing, contract management, USD m invested for new process >175 technology to produce antibiotics API2 travel & expenses, HR standardization and automation USD 2bn savings delivered 2017-2020 1. Stein (CH), Les Ulis (FR), FBRI (JP). 2. Investment in Kundl, in collaboration with the Austrian government. | J.P. Morgan Healthcare Conference | January 11, 2021 | Novartis Investor Presentation 16
Embrace operational excellence ...and delivering on our margin commitment Innovative Medicines Core margin (%) Main drivers moving forward Mid High + Sales momentum of key growth drivers and to high 30s operational excellence on upcoming launches 36.3 30s + USD 2bn expected in the mid-term from NTO productivity program started in 2021 33.5 31.0 32.0 + Evolution in ways of working ‒ Generic erosion ‒ Launch investments 2017 2018 2019 9M 20201 Near-term Mid-term 1. Historically Q4 margin lower due to seasonality. | J.P. Morgan Healthcare Conference | January 11, 2021 | Novartis Investor Presentation 17
Go big on data and digital Establishing a leading digital and data science platform Key developments in Data & Digital over the past 12 months Scale Make #1 partner Pursue digital lighthouses Novartis digital in tech ecosystem bolder moves Scaling major platforms across DS&AI community of 800+ data Rolled out our partnership Progressing on our strategic the value chain, e.g.: scientists accelerator—Biome—with alliances, e.g.: openings in UK, India, Canada, • Data42 (3k+ trials ingested) Upskilled the organization • Microsoft: AI Innovation Lab China • Control Towers (SpotOn live through leadership programs • AWS: TechOps optimization in 5 manufacturing sites) and learning offering Signed new scalable partnerships, e.g. Doximity • Tencent: AI Nurse HF patient Kept investing to strengthen our • Next Gen Engagement solution in China (17k+ patients data foundations (ACTalya live with 6k+ reps) enrolled, ~400 hospitals) | J.P. Morgan Healthcare Conference | January 11, 2021 | Novartis Investor Presentation 18
Build trust with society Made significant strides in building trust with society and in integrating ESG across every aspect of our company Key ESG developments over the past 12 months and selected aspirations Ethical Pricing Global Health Corporate Governance & Standards & Access Challenges Citizenship Transparency Resolved material legacy Introduced 100+ Expanded our Africa sickle Strong COVID-19 response Launched ESG index compliance issues Emerging Market Brands cell disease program Integrating D&I efforts New ESG Management Launched Code of Ethics Issued sustainability- Advancing pipeline of across our operations Office and Head of linked bond novel malaria treatments Environmental Sustainability Be recognized in the 200% increase in 50% increase in our Full Carbon, Plastic Integrated reporting healthcare sector for SITs patient reach by Flagship Programs’ and Water Neutrality and optimized ESG Human Rights 20251 reach by 20251 by 2030 data management 1. As defined in ESG bond prospectus. | J.P. Morgan Healthcare Conference | January 11, 2021 | Novartis Investor Presentation 19
Confident that we will grow top and bottom line every year to 2025 and meet external expectations Analyst consensus sales USD billion +4% CAGR 60 47 2019 Growth Drivers1 Launches2 Other/Pipeline Sandoz Gx Brands3 2025 External expectations based Actual on analyst consensus Consensus IM margin 33.5% 37.6% 1. Cosentyx®, Entresto®, Zolgensma®, Kisqali®, Mayzent®, Tafinlar+Mekinist®, Jakavi®, Beovu®, Xiidra®, Aimovig®, Xolair®. 2. Lutathera®, Kymriah®, Piqray®, Adakveo®, Kesimpta®, Leqvio®, Tabrecta®, Asciminib. 3. Brands with 2024 consensus sales lower than 2019 actual sales (Glivec®, Tasigna®, Afinitor®, Votrient®, Promacta®, Exjade®, Sandostatin®, Galvus®, Gilenya®, Lucentis®). Source: Novartis Investor Relations in-house consensus as of November 12, 2020. | J.P. Morgan Healthcare Conference | January 11, 2021 | Novartis Investor Presentation 20
Conclusions ✓ In 2020 we kept executing on our strategy, while delivering strong operational performance ✓ Novartis is now positioned as a focused medicines company with a differentiated profile ✓ We have made tangible progress across our five strategic priorities—which taken together make our proposition unique—and have full confidence in our long-term growth potential Focus our company and capital Strengthen our core Unleash the power of our people Deliver transformative innovation Accelerate certain geographies Embrace operational excellence Go big on data and digital Build trust with society | J.P. Morgan Healthcare Conference | January 11, 2021 | Novartis Investor Presentation 21
Thank you
Glossary aBC Advanced breast cancer FL Follicular lymphoma NME New molecular entity aHUS Atypical hemolytic uremic syndrome FY Full year nr-axSpA Non-radiographic axial spondyloarthritis AI Artificial intelligence GCA Giant cell arteritis NSCLC Non-small cell lung cancer AML Acute myeloid leukemia GvHD Graft versus host disease NTO Novartis Technical Operations API Active pharmaceutical ingredient HCP Healthcare provider OS Overall survival AS Ankylosing spondylitis HF Heart failure pALL Pediatric acute lymphoblastic leukemia AWS Amazon Web Services HFpEF Heart failure with preserved ejection fraction PNH Paroxysmal nocturnal haemoglobinuria C3G C3 glomerulopathy HNSCC Head and neck squamous cell carcinoma Post-AMI Post-acute myocardial infarction CINDU Chronic inducible urticaria HS Hidradenitis suppurativa PsO Psoriasis CML Chronic myeloid leukemia HTN Hypertension RLT Radio ligand therapy COPD Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease IA Interim analysis RMS Relapsing multiple sclerosis CRSwNP Chronic rhinosinusitis with nasal polyposis IgAN IgA nephropathy RNA Ribonucleic acid CSU Chronic spontaneous urticaria iMN Membranous nephropathy RP Retinitis pigmentosa CVRR Cardiovascular risk reduction jPsA/ER Juvenile psoriatic arthritis/enthesitis-related arthritis RVO Retinal vein occlusion D&I Diversity and inclusion LCM Lifecycle management SIT Strategic innovative therapies DLBCL Diffuse large B-cell lymphoma mCRPC Metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer SMA IV Spinal muscular atrophy intravenous DM Direct material MDS Myelodysplastic syndromes TA Therapeutic area DME Diabetic macular edema MRD Measurable residual disease TNBC Triple negative breast cancer DS&AI Data science and artificial intelligence NBS Novartis Business Services Tx Transplant ESG Environmental, social and governance NIBR Novartis Institutes for BioMedical Research wAMD Wet age-related macular degeneration | J.P. Morgan Healthcare Conference | January 11, 2021 | Novartis Investor Presentation 23
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