RETAIL INVESTMENT AND MIXED-USE DEVELOPMENT LANDS - ST. MARGARET'S ROAD DUBLIN 11 - Charlestown
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CONTENTS Investment Summary 04 Investment in Charlestown 06 Investment in Retail 07 Investment in PRS 07 Location 08 Catchment & Demographics 10 Description 14 Income Profile 18 Podium Site 20 Planning Permission 20 Market Research 22 Further Information 24 03
INVESTMENT SUMMARY 188,568 SQ FT Key occupiers include: of retail and leisure accommodation J5 €2,835,738 M50 NOI Income AMPLE 8.94 YEARS WAULT OF 91% OCCUPANCY CINEMA & LEISURE BLOCK CAR PARKING (AS AT 31ST MARCH 2018) 79% LOT 1 Expanding local area with PODIUM SITE 7.42% POPULATION GROWTH of NOI from LOT 2 Top 10 SHOPPING CENTRE Infrastructure links tenants St. Margaret's Road Asset management opportunities to INCREASE NOI PODIUM SITE Melville Road 3.5 ACRES Planning permission for Supplement to existing 247 285 units 6,336 SQ M developed in residential units and The asset is being offered for sale by private treaty (tenants not affected) in individual or collective lots: LOT 1 – Shopping Centre and Cinema & Leisure Block PHASE 1 LOT 2 – Podium Site with Planning Permission of commercial LOT 3 – Lot 1 and 2 combined accommodation 04 05
INVEST IN CHARLESTOWN INVEST IN RETAIL +7.4% Highly accessible and convenient location Strong owner occupied grocery anchor with Ireland’s economy continues Retail Sales (ex. Motor) Consumer Sentiment at junction 5 on the M50 complementary sub anchors including Heatons up 7.4% up 7% to perform especially well with and Boots annual output growth averaging 7.4% in 2017 Well balanced tenant mix including One of Ireland’s largest dedicated cinema Household Total Employment Strong labour market The MSCI overall retail up 2.7% 50,000 Ulster Bank, Game Stop, Lifestyle Sports, Carphone and leisure blocks anchored by Odeon Disposable Incomes ERV index has up 5.3% Warehouse, O’Briens, Eddie Rockets, Carry Out, and Leisure Plex increased by 5.1% Bagel Factory, House of Colour and net new jobs over the past David Cullen Jewellers per annum twelve months INVEST IN PRIVATE RENTED SECTOR (PRS) 1.41% Ample car parking provisions The Podium site offers development Minimal Vacancy - 1.41% 25% of all households Record Low Supply Supply figure is 61% below and value-add prospects Record low PRS vacancy in Dublin are private renters Fewer than 1,250 residential long-term average recorded rate in Dublin properties available to rent in a series dating back to in Dublin in February 2017 January 2007 +10,000 The delivery of the future phases of residential Total footfall in 2017 of 2.84m Lack of institutional landlords Continued population growth PRS households nationwide at Charlestown will directly benefit the retail in Ireland. 85% of landlords Since 2013 a net additional rose by 10,000 in the (existing and future), leisure and cinema own two or less properties 82,700 persons have been added last 12 months to Dublin’s population Source: Savills Research, CSO, Daft.ie 06 07
Donabate 4 M2 M1 LOCATION 5 2 Swords Malahide Charlestown Shopping Centre and the adjoining Podium site are situated in an expanding suburb of North Dublin located inside the M50/N2 at Junction 5 and M3 DUBLIN 2 north of Finglas Village. Situated approximately 7km north of Dublin City and 5km N2 AIRPORT Portmarnock Dunboyne from Dublin Airport the location provides excellent vehicular and public transport 4 1 access to the Dublin City and the wider Dublin area. Clonee 4 3 4 M50 Mulhuddart 5 N32 The Charlestown area is convenient to a range of current and expanding Sterling N3 Coolock amenities to include an array of onsite retailing, Dublin City University, Cappagh Santry 3 Finglas 2 and Bon-Secour hospitals, local parks and sport clubs. 2 Beaumont Sutton Howth Blanchardstown 6 N2 The immediate Charlestown / Meakstown area is continuing to develop. The M50 Clontarf lands to the rear of the shopping centre fronting the M50 are currently under Drumcondra Port Tunnel construction to provide flagship Motor Showrooms. The Charlestown Phase 4 M50 Castleknock N3 N1 lands, immediately south, fronting St Margaret’s Road will provide for residential Leixlip N2 units which will be delivered by Bovale Developments. M4 6 3 1 7 Lucan 2 N4 Chapelizod DUBLIN N4 N4 N1 Ballyfermot N81 Ballsbridge N11 Crumlin Ranelagh Clondalkin 1 Donnybrook 9 N7 Walkinstown Milltown 10 Terenure 2 Belgard N81 Clonskeagh M50 N31 Churchtown 3 Blackrock Dun N2 Dublin Airport & M1 Tallaght 11 Templeogue Dundrum N11 Laoghaire N81 N7 Stillorgan 4 Saggart N81 Ratfarnham Citywest Sandyford M50 Glenageary 12 N31 IKEA 13 14 Foxrock ’ S RD 5 ET S T M AR G A R RD M50 Leopardstown ’S ET R108 N11 AR RG Carrickmines MA JA M E STO W N R D ST 15 ME LV IL LE RD 16 Cherrywood R1 M11 35 NO 17 R108 RT BALLYMUN H BA RO LB U TC H ER LAN E AD RD 5 N W TO R 1 0 8 B A L LY M U N R O A D ES M50 JAM H R135 CA Cappagh National P FIN P A Orthopaedic G H RD GL Hospital AS RO A FINGLAS WEST D NEVIN RD CA R103 GLAS P PA R103 SE R103 GL AMU ASN EVIN R GH S ENNIS RD D RD FINGLAS EAST R AT R 1 0 8 B A L LY M U N R O AT H RD R1 RD 35 UN T DCU - Dublin FI O M City University LL N E G W LA S OA D RO Dublin Centre A D 08 09
RETAIL CATCHMENT & DEMOGRAPHICS Retail Catchment According to Gamma*, the total annual spend within the defined catchment is in the region of €2.1 billion. The catchment zone for Charlestown Shopping Centre is a rapidly growing area located to the south of This includes expenditure which is not relevant to goods and services that would be common in a shopping Dublin Airport and N2/M2, west of Ballymun and north of the densely populated Finglas area. The catchment centre environment similar to Charlestown Shopping Centre. The spend has been refined to reflect area is driven by the anchor and leisure offer which attracts patrons from the Dublin 7, 9 and 11 areas. expenditure categories that are relevant to Charlestown Shopping Centre. The population of this catchment was 143,816 persons at the 2016 Census, representing a 7.42% increase Category of Spend Annual Spend Relevant to since the previous, 2011 Census. This is an increase of almost more than twice the national average and it is Charlestown Shopping Centre anticipated this will continue to grow given the current and proposed residential expansion of the immediate Clothing and Footwear €80,368,289 Charlestown area. Drink & Tobacco €108,963,918 Food €305,161,627 Census Population Household Durables €63,660,993 2011 133,884 Household Non-Durables €39,109,091 2016 143,816 (up 7.42%) Other Misc. Expenditure €544,980,043 TOTAL €1,142,143,961 *Annual spend is based on the 2016 Census and Household Budget Survey 2015/ 2016, adjusted by Gamma Coolquoy annually in line with the CSO CPI January data release. Swords Pavillions Estimated Annual Household Expenditure, 2016 Demographic Profile Swords M1 13% Hollystown St Margaret’s 18% Golf Club DUBLIN AIRPORT 27% N2 30% 47% 21% Silloge Park 14% Golf Club M50 Northside Barnageeragh N3 Shopping Centre ABC1 demographic Mulhaddart Corduff Santry profile 10% Ballymun M50 6% 34% 7% Beaumont Blanchardstown Centre Finglas Glasnevin North Beaumont Kilmore Coolock 3% Hospital Glasnevin Artane Cardiff Bridge Rd Whitehall M50 Donnycarney Castleknock 27% Food & Non Alcoholic Drink 18% Total Population
The Shopping Centre and Leisure Block, excluding Dunnes, extends to 17,519 sq m (188,568 sq ft) and comprises 26 mall units, 9 external units and 11 kiosk locations 12 13
ST. MARGARET’S ROAD CH AR TAXI BUS LE RANK STOP ST OW ENTRANCE DESCRIPTION NP Shallotts Wilson The Moore Barber Ca LAC Indian Restaurant rry Eddie The existing retail and residential scheme was developed by E Rocket’s O Ulster ut Bank Bovale Developments and built by G&T Crampton. It opened for AIB ATM trade in late 2007. CENTRE FACILITIES PC Repair Specs Centre for Less The Shopping Centre comprises a modern single storey ‘T’ shaped EuroGiant Urban Lifestyle Outlet mall anchored by a drapery and grocery Dunnes Stores. The The Carphone Petzone Warehouse Sports Dunnes Stores Factory Boots Shopping Centre, excluding Dunnes, which does not form part Bagel (Owner Occupied) Expense Less of the sale, extends to 8,638 sq m (92,983 sq ft) and comprises 26 mall units, including 5 external units. In addition to the mall units there is 11 kiosks within the centre. The scheme is developed TRAVELATORS Maple Red Diamond Best4 Smoke MAIN above a double level basement car park providing 1,400 spaces Moose Accessories Travel Green ENTRANCE An serving the entire estate. Post AIB ATM Village Phase 2A, which contains the cinema and leisureplex operations, O’Briens Sandwich Bar Shoe Rack Catch The Gift Emporium The Gift Emporium Bookstation Jewellers opened in 2014 and comprised 8,880 sq m (95,586 sq ft) of Game Stop accommodation including a purpose built 9 screen (seat) cinema McArdle Meats operated by Odeon. Bushra’s Beauty Phase 1 residential element, which does not form part of this sale Heatons is majority owned by IRES. There are 285 residential units in total, SERVICE YARD House of developed at podium level above the shopping centre with large Colour communal landscaped areas. The accommodation is provided Unit 17 Unit 18 over 5 floors. ENTRANCE Shopping Centre Ground Floor Plan M50 PHASE 2A - CINEMA & LEISURE BLOCK PHASE 2B - PODIUM SITE RESIDENTIAL SEPARATE OWNERSHIP PHASE 1 SHOPPING CENTRE St. Margaret's Road 14 15
INCOME PROFILE A full Tenancy Schedule has been provided in the data room. The scheme currently generates a gross annual income of €3,310,032 across 50 leases/licenses which after non-recoverable operational costs equates to an NOI of €2,835,738. Leases provide for standard service charge provisions effectively creating full repairing and insuring terms across the scheme. The current scheme occupancy, as at March 2018, is 91%, with a WAULT of 9 years (to the earlier of break/expiry) on an NOI basis. n Current NOI of €2,835,738 per annum n Blended WAULT of 8.94 years n 79% of Income generated from 10 tenants Top 10 Tenants Tenant Rent NOI WAULT % of Total NOI 1.00 Odeon €675,000 7.34 23.80% 2.00 Heatons €450,000 14.35 15.87% 3.00 Boots €400,000 4.34 14.11% 4.00 Leisureplex €225,000 22.16 7.93% 5.00 The Carphone Warehouse €105,145 4.34 3.71% 6.00 O’Brien’s Irish Sandwich Bars €84,000 14.35 2.96% 7.00 Eddie Rockets €80,646 14.35 2.84% 8.00 Bookstation €77,500 14.35 2.73% 9.00 Ulster Bank €75,000 4.25 2.64% 10.00 Lifestyle €70,000 14.35 2.47% 18 19
PODIUM SITE (PHASE 2B) The Podium Site (Phase 2b) is situated adjacent to the Phase 1 shopping centre bounded to the east and north by the estate roads. The site is developed to podium level above the estate car park. The Podium slab was constructed in 2007, in line with Phase 1. Planning Permission Planning permission was granted in Q1 2018 (Reg. Ref. F18A/0025) to complete and reconfigure Phase 2B development. The proposed Phase 2B development comprises a total of 33,404 sq m gross floor area incorporating; n 247 apartments (26,112 sq m) comprising: – 66 x 1 bed – 121 x 2 bed – 60 x 3 bed n 4 retail units (6,336 sq m) n Ancillary areas (506 sq m) n Crèche (450 sq m) The proposed accommodation is arranged in 5 blocks ranging in height from 2 to 6 storeys. A new phase of development will complete the original vision and support the existing Centre in providing much needed facilities for the area. Proposed Site Outline Pedestrian access to New Street Pedestrian access Residents Mews ts Cinema & m en Leisureplex art Ap Retail Ap art me nts Link t Residents o Cou rt Mews Ap Retail art me nts Retail Retail Residents Mews Apartments Pedestrian access to New Street 20 21
MARKET RESEARCH Economic Overview Retail Research Residential Research Residential Rental Market Ireland’s economy continues to perform especially well with Notwithstanding the recent acceleration in consumer Property prices are ultimately driven by the balance The demand for rented accommodation continues to annual output growth averaging 7.4% in 2017. Growth in spending growth, core (ex. Motors) retail sales continue to between housing supply and demand. At a most basic be driven by the scarcity and cost of owner occupied consumer spending continues to contribute positively to indicate stronger underlying spending trends, with sales level demand depends on population growth. Dublin’s properties. Despite an increase in the overall stock of this and, most recently, accelerated to a five-quarter high volumes rising by 7.4% in the three months to December population is currently expanding by around 12,500 properties in the private rented sector (PRS), the number of 2.7% (see Figure 1). Underpinning this is jobs growth. 2017. persons (0.9%) per annum. This implies a need for about of units that are available to rent has fallen sharply since Ireland is currently creating nearly 50,000 additional 4,600 additional dwellings per annum just to meet the 2011. Consequently, vacancy rates for private rented jobs per annum. As a result unemployment has fallen to Furniture and electrical stores continue to enjoy the most demand from population growth. However, when we factor accommodation in all locations are now negligible. As a 6.2%, leading to a more competitive labour market and rapid growth in volume sales. This reflects improved in buildings required to replace dilapidated units, and to result, strong rental inflation continues to be recorded a sustained period of modest but meaningful earnings disposable incomes, a strong trend in household compensate for the fact that we haven’t built anywhere near with latest data indicating that rents nationally rose by growth. Greater numbers at work, coupled with increased formations, sharply rising house prices and the Government enough units in the last eight years, the current requirement 9.5% in the twelve months to September 2017. Despite earnings and modest tax cuts, have led to almost 5% growth sponsored Home Renovation Incentive (HRI) – the latter is higher. ESB connections data indicate that around 6,000 being designated a Rent Pressure Zone (RPZ), rents in in real aggregate disposable incomes over the past twelve of which have encouraged people to invest more in properties were constructed in the capital in 2017. However, Dublin grew by 9.9% over the same period. Rental growth months. Adding to this, sustained growth in consumer credit their homes. Bank of Ireland, for instance, reported a it is now well understood that this metric substantially in properties that had not previously been let and those balances has further boosted consumers’ spending power. 47% increase in the number of home improvement loan overstates housing completions, and the reality is that that have undergone substantial changes – both of which applications in the first nine months of 2017. Dublin’s housing market remains undersupplied. are excluded from the rent caps – likely explains why rental Looking ahead, legislation to refund domestic water growth continues to exceed the regulated growth rate of charges has now passed and payments totalling €173m are Despite competition from online sales – which are largely With too few units being built to meet demand, there is 4% per annum. underway. A further round of tax cuts arising from Budget excluded from the official retail sales statistics – clothing strong competition for the limited number of available 2018 will now also kick in, adding an additional €335m to stores continue to trade well, with volume sales growth properties. The net result is competitive bidding leading to In our view, the investment rationale remains positive for workers’ spending power this year.1 advancing by 5.6% in the three months to December. price inflation. Official CSO statistics show that house prices cash financed investors. While rental growth in RPZs is likely Although CSO figures show that clothing is the most nationally rose by 9.0% y/y in 2016. Prices have picked- to be outstripped by HPI over the next two years, any yield 1 Dept. of Finance Budget 2018 Economic and Fiscal Outlook – Page 20, Table 9 common online purchase by internet users in Ireland, with up further since then and are currently rising by 11.6%. In slippage will be from a strong starting point relative to 44% buying clothes though this channel in the year to March Dublin, house price inflation (HPI) has accelerated from returns on other assets. It must also be remembered that 2017, it’s interesting to note that, despite better broadband 6.6% at the end of 2016 to 11.3% currently (see Figure 2). investors benefit from the capital growth associated with coverage in Dublin, internet users in the capital were not HPI. the most likely to buy clothing online – 46% of them did so, exactly the same proportion as in the South-West region and fewer than in the West (50%). One interpretation is Average Residential Property Yields by Location Q3 2017 – Dublin that, where a good quality retail offering is available locally, Ireland’s economy continues consumers continue to use the face-to-face channel for fashion purchases. to perform especially well with annual output growth Retail Rents averaging 7.4% in 2017 Savills econometric modelling shows that jobs growth is ultimately the strongest driver of growth in retail rents. With Ireland’s economy creating close to 50,000 additional jobs per annum, we should continue to see retail rents rise over the medium term. In the short term this relationship may be complicated by recent global uncertainties. But, as the reality of events like Brexit becomes internalised and accepted as an ongoing part of the economic landscape, commerce will have to continue as normal and retail rents should trend higher. The MSCI overall rental value index has increased by 3.8% over the past twelve months. 22 23
FURTHER INFORMATION VIEWINGS Service Charge Viewings The Scheme service charge and operation is managed by All viewings are strictly by appointment through the joint selling agents. Charlestown Management Company Ltd, an SPV which handles the administration of the centre and estate. Please refer to the data room for service charge budgets and Joint Selling Agents apportionment schedules. SPV Heating / Man Co. Please refer to the data room for more information. VAT Bannon The Sale of the Shopping Centre and Leisure Block Savills Ireland Hambleden House will be treated as a transfer of business relief. 33 Molesworth Street 19/26 Pembroke Street Lower Dublin 2, Ireland Dublin 2, Ireland BER PSRA: 002233 PSRA: 001830 A full suite of BER Documents are available in the Domhnaill O’Sullivan Roderick Nowlan data room. T: +353 1 618 1364 T: +353 1 647 7909 E: domhnaill.osullivan@savills.ie E: rnowlan@bannon.ie Website Leona Mullen David Carroll T: +353 1 618 1762 T: +353 1 647 7961 www.charlestown-investment.com E: leona.mullen@savills.ie E: dcarroll@bannon.ie Title Freehold / Leasehold. Solicitors Please refer to the Title Summary in the data room. Sale Process The asset is offered for sale by private treaty in individual or collective lots: LOT 1 – Shopping Centre and Cinema & Leisure Block Smith Foy & Partners Solicitors LOT 2 – Podium Site 59 Fitzwilliam Square, Dublin 2 LOT 3 – Lot 1 and 2 combined Raymond Smith T: +353 1 676 0531 E: raymond.smith@smithfoy.ie PROPERTY MISREPRESENTATION ACT The Agents and the Vendor/Lessor give note that the particulars and information contained in this brochure do not form any part of any offer or contract and are for guidance only. The particulars, descriptions, dimensions, references to condition, permissions or licences for use or occupation, access and any other details, such as prices, rents or any other outgoings are for guidance only and are subject to change. Maps and plans are not to scale and measurements are approximate. Whilst care has been taken in the preparation of this brochure intending purchasers, Lessees or any third party should not rely on particulars and information contained in this brochure as statements of fact but must satisfy themselves as to the accuracy of details given to them. Neither Savills Ireland, Bannon nor any of their employees have any authority to make or give any representation or warranty (express or implied) in relation to the property and neither Savills Ireland nor Bannon nor any of their employees nor the vendor or lessor shall be liable for any loss suffered by an intending purchaser/lessees or any third party arising from the particulars or information contained in this brochure. Prices quoted are exclusive of VAT (unless otherwise stated) and all negotiations are conducted on the basis that the purchasers/ lessees shall be liable for any VAT arising on the transaction. Designed and produced by Creativeworld. Tel +44 [0] 1282 858200. 24 25
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