RETAIL & CONSUMER DEALS DIGEST - PWC AUSTRALIA
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Retail & Consumer Deals Digest Consumer confidence rises to its highest ANZ-Roy Morgan Weekly Consumer level since October 2019 Confidence Rating Christmas 130 COVID-19 impact Consumer confidence rose gradually from 110.3 at the end trading of February to 112.3 by the end of March, a gain of 1.8% 120 as the weather improved along the east coast, after heavy rainfall and floods wreaked havoc. Compared with the 110 previous year, there has a been a significant increase in consumer confidence which rose from 65.3 in March 2020. 100 Confidence rose sharply in Queensland, gaining 10.5% in Brisbane and 6.7% in the rest of the state. The increase in 90 consumer confidence, during the last week of March, was driven by increasing optimism around personal finances. 80 "Sentiment in Queensland may be tested by the 70 emergence of a COVID-19 cluster in Brisbane. NSW was more subdued, with confidence down 0.3% - reflecting 60 perhaps the ongoing impact of the flooding and the sad Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar news that two lives were lost. The rise in overall confidence to almost its long-run average is encouraging.” Source: ANZ-Roy Morgan Weekly Consumer Confidence Index – David Plank, ANZ Head of Australian Economics, 30 March 2021 Latest Australian ABS trade results The latest Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) Retail Trade figures show that Australian retail turnover fell by 0.8% in February 2021 which follows a rise by 0.5% in January 2021 and a fall of 4.1% in December. The following industries rose in seasonally adjusted terms in February 2021: Household goods retailing (0.7%), Cafes, restaurants and takeaway food services (1.1%), clothing, footwear and personal accessory retailing (1.6%), and Department stores (2.2%). Food retailing (-3.0%) and other retailing (-0.4%), fell in seasonally adjusted terms The following states and territories rose in seasonally adjusted terms in February 2021: South Australia (0.2%), NSW (1.2%), Queensland (1.1%), Tasmania (0.7%), Australian Capital Territory (0.3%). Victoria (-3.0%), Northern Territory (-2.8%) and Western Australia (-5.4%) fell in seasonally adjusted terms. Source: ABS data released 01 April 2021. Data refers to the seasonally adjusted estimate increases/decreases by industry/state Retail and Consumer Deals Digest April 2021 PwC 2
Announced deals According to Mergermarket, announced retail deal activity for FY2021TD(1) decreased in value compared to the prior comparable period (PCP), with volumes declining significantly. 97 deals totalling AUD$15.4bn were announced in the FY21TD period, versus 128 in the PCP, valued at AUD$28.9bn. In the last twelve months (LTM), deal value compared to the PCP has declined significantly with deal volume also witnessing a fall, from 162 announced deals (AUD$37.2bn)(2) to 111 (AUD$17.3bn). Australia and New Zealand Announced Retail and Consumer deals (FY2021TD(1) and LTM vs. PCP) FY2021TD(1) PCP(2) LTM PCP(2) Deal value (in A$m) # of deals Deal value # of deals Deal value # of deals Deal value # of deals Deal value $0 to $5M 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 $6 to $10M 3 26 10 94 4 36 13 122 $11 to $20M 20 330 21 338 20 330 26 408 $21 to $30M 7 181 12 315 7 181 14 366 $31 to $50M 16 648 10 420 19 771 15 619 $51 to $100M 6 434 18 1,197 9 619 20 1,357 $101 to $300M 8 1,345 5 787 8 1,345 7 1,236 $301 to $500M 3 1,203 4 1,653 3 1,203 5 2,013 >$500M 5 11,204 7 24,092 7 12,810 10 31,035 Subtotal 68 15,371 87 28,896 77 17,295 110 37,156 Undisclosed 29 n/a 41 n/a 34 n/a 52 n/a Total Announced 97 15,371 128 28,896 111 17,295 162 37,156 Total Completed 59 2,952 110 26,387 68 3,726 144 34,647 Source: Mergermarket, based on announced and completed transactions as at 31 March 2021 (1) FY2021TD refers to the period 1 July 2020 to 31 March 2021, reflecting the latest available Mergermarket data. The deal value includes the transaction for Coca-Cola European Partners acquisition of Coca-Cola Amatil in Nov 20 (~A$9bn) (2) The deal value for PCP includes the transaction for Asahi Groups acquisition of CUB Pty Ltd from Anheuser-Busch InBev NV in July 19 (~A$16bn) and Kohlberg Kravis Roberts & Co.’s acquisition of Campbell International from Campbell Soup Company in August 19 (~A$3bn) Selected recently completed / announced deals ● 7 April 2021 – US-based private equity firm Summit Partners has acquired the remaining 40% of Quay Australia, an Australia-based sunglasses and accessories retailer, for an undisclosed consideration from the group’s founders the Hammond family. Summit Partners bought 60% of Quay Australia in 2016 through its San Francisco-based Elevate Brandpartners to drive the businesses expansion globally. ● 26 March 2021 – Alcoholic beverage distributor Good Beer, announced its acquisition of The Union Hotel, an Australian based restaurant operator, from Mr Patrick Gallagher and Mrs Angela Gallagher, for a consideration of A$20 million. The Union Hotel is considered a North Sydney landmark and operates gaming machines, three bars, a restaurant, function rooms and a large office ideal for trade conversion. ● 16 March 2021 – Accolade Wines announced its acquisition of Veritas Winery, the Australia-based winery producing Rolf Binder Wines, for an estimated consideration of A$20 million. The transaction is in line with Accolade Wines’ growth strategy and will allow it to expand its Barossa and South Australian wine region portfolio. As part of its strategy, the company is targeting more acquisitions in the premium end of the sector. ● 10 March 2021 – One of Australia's largest glasshouse producers of fresh fruit and vegetables, Flavorite, announced the merger of its business with the Murphy family businesses in Victoria. Management believe the merger will further strengthen its offering to customers and deliver great products to market through innovation and quality for consumers. Flavorite also has plans already underway to construct a further 16.5 hectares of glasshouse across its Tatura and Warragul sites in Victoria. ● 9 March 2021 – American snacks giant Mondelez International announced its acquisition of Australian cracker business Gourmet Food Holdings, from Sydney based private equity firm CPE Capital for ~A$400 million. The company is expected to use the Gourmet Food brands to expand into premium entertaining products. Gourmet Foods’ co-founder and CEO Todd Wilson will remain with the business as an advisor, while its COO Oliver Flint has been promoted to MD. ● 02 March 2021 – Odyssey Private Equity announced its acquisition of a significant stake alongside the founders of leading Australasian online cycle brand “MTB Direct”. The company seeks to use the proceeds to grow and build on its customer offering. Source: Mergermarket, based on recently announced and completed transactions Retail and Consumer Deals Digest April 2021 PwC 3
Also recently in the news ● American technology company Pitney Bowes, ● Harris Scarfe, an Australian retailer that sells announced the launch of its online parcel kitchenware, homewares and apparels delivery platform, SendPro Online, in announced it would be opening its first bricks and Australia. The platform allows small businesses mortar store in Central Sydney. The new store is and online retailers to choose a preferred carrier, part of its massive physical expansion plan to print shipping labels and track packages from a open 100 stores in the years ahead. centralised service. Further it would help to cut ● The US based Lifestyle sneaker brand Cole down on unnecessary shipping costs and meet Haan launched in Australia through a customers’ expectations. partnership with fashion distributor True ● Yummy Karma, a privately held Australian Alliance, bringing its e-commerce offer to ready-to-eat meals manufacturer, is seeking to Australia. Management considers this partnership raise funds to assist its domestic growth plans. as key to their ability to further grow in the APAC The company plans to raise growth capital in region. phases, with A$1 million this year and another ● Online retailer The Nile is looking at its A$3-5 million in 2022, to boost sales efforts and options for a public listing after a A$2.5 million move the company into a larger manufacturing capital raise. facility. ● One of the world's leading designer lifestyle ● Wine technology platform WineDepot, brands, Tommy Hilfiger, launched a new store announced a partnership with Ebay and at Chatswood Chase shopping centre, bringing its Vivino to increase its customer reach ahead global store concept to Sydney. of its direct-to-trade launch. Under the partnership, Australian wineries will be able to list ● An American toy, clothing, and baby product their products on Ebay without having to set up retailer, Babies ‘R’ Us, is relaunching online an account or handle inventory and fulfilment. with an initial set of products and wider selection to be available in second half of this year. The ● Discount pharmacy chain Chemist relaunch is part of recent acquisition of Toys Warehouse, is seeking to expand across ‘R’ Us, Babies ‘R’ Us and Hobby Warehouse regional areas of New Zealand to grow the by Funtastic. business in the wake of the Covid-19 pandemic. The retailer established 7 stores in the region ● Venetian fashion house Golden Goose last year and plans to expand to 35 stores by launched its Australian flagship store, its third the end of 2021. store in Australia and its second in Melbourne. ● Australian liquor retailer Dan Murphy’s ● Fonterra Co-operative Group plans to sell its unveiled a future focused store concept, remaining stake in infant formula producer which it plans to roll out across the entire Beingmate Co. by the end of the current fiscal network as Woolworths group gears up for the year. The company is continuously reducing its demerger of the Endeavour Group, expected in stake in the company, which on 31 January 2021 June this year. was sitting at 3.94% and is now 2.82%. ● Italian Chocolate manufacturer Venchi, is Source: Mergermarket, Inside Retail seeking to establish stores in Australia, as part of its APAC expansion. The brand is continuing to grow its presence across the globe and has made major strides in Asia, opening 7 stores last year, with plans to further expand its network in the region in 2021. ● Australian natural skin care company, Skin Elements, announced an equity funding facility with the US-based investment group, LDA Capital. The company has entered into a put agreement with LDA Capital under which LDA Capital would provide the company with up to A$20 million in committed equity capital over the next 36 months, against the shares to be issued by Skin Elements. Retail and Consumer Deals Digest April 2021 PwC 4
Also recently in the news A Closer Look: Future Concepts in online retailing ● Sandhurst Fine Foods, a private Australian condiments manufacturer, could consider an Customer service acquisition of local peers to grow in the domestic market. The potential targets could include ● With more consumers switching away from brick cheese, small goods, and garnish manufacturers. and mortar stores to online retailers, online customer service will be at the top of retailers’ ● The McWilliam’s Wines business is to be split priorities into two and will be acquired by Calabria Family Wines and by entities related to the Medich family ● New technologies will need to digitally emulate a office, in a deal that could be valued at ~A$40 comprehensive in-person customer service million. offering and replace the antiquated chat-bot ● Canadian activewear firm Lululemon is Expedited delivery establishing a new store in Sydney. The store ● For some customers, the concept of next-day or will be Lululemon’s first multi-level store in the two-day delivery still isn’t enough, even more-so if country and is seeking to open in July. they are able to purchase the product in store in a ● Pental, an Australian owner of household matter of hours cleaning laundry and personal care brands, is ● The future of fulfilment will be measured in hours, currently assessing two to three businesses with some retailers already achieving this by that could be acquired to enhance its channel partnering with last mile delivery providers in diversification. The company could also major cities potentially sell one of its brands to reduce its presence in grocery channels ● Physical retail stores are being adapted to partial ‘dark stores’ and click-and-collect centres for ● South Korea’s LG Electronics announced customers to collect items same-day plans to wind down its loss-making mobile division after failing to find a buyer, a move Virtual ‘fit tech’ fitting that is set to make it the first major smartphone ● Though there have been numerous upsides for brand to completely withdraw from the market. retailers resulting from the customer shift to Further LG plans to retain its 4G and 5G core online, one downside which has garnered much technology patents as well as core R&D attention is the higher rate of returns suffered personnel, and will continue to develop from online transactions communication technologies for 6G. ● Retailers have been strategising ways to curtail ● Luxury German fashion house and suit-maker this trend by adopting new virtual technologies Hugo Boss partnered with the iconic which can recommend personalised products American brand Russell Athletic to produce a based on a customer’s measurements capsule collection for both men and women. ● Middleware ‘fit matching’ platforms are emerging Source: Mergermarket, Inside Retail and paving the way for a new age in fitting technology, using 3-D body scanning equipment to provide a future where clothes don’t need to be tried on in store Online store experience ● There’s been a rising trend in ‘experiential’ physical stores for some time now, but it remains to be seen whether this can be effectively executed for the online shopping experience ● Using virtual reality technology, online shopping could create its own ‘experiential’ store concept and bridge the gap for the online store to feel like a physical one ● Customer experience (CX) is a key driver for competitive advantage in online retailing and the need to invest in front-end web design will continue to play a vital role in gaining traction with customers as the online channel becomes the focal touchpoint for customer interaction with brands and products Source: Fit:Match – The Future of Online Shopping, PwC Analysis Retail and Consumer Deals Digest April 2021 PwC 5
Retail sector trends Attend our next Virtual Event As reported by the ABS, the seasonally adjusted PwC’s Retail & Consumer Series Australian retail turnover for February 2021 trends are as Environmental, Social & Governance (ESG) follows: impact and opportunities ● Food retailing: The seasonally adjusted estimate for Food retailing fell 3.0% in February 2021. By industry subgroup, the seasonally adjusted estimate fell for Supermarkets and grocery stores (-2.6%), Liquor retailing (-5.6%), and for Other specialised food retailing (-2.9%). ● Household goods retailing: The seasonally adjusted Wednesday, 28 April 2021 estimate for Household goods retailing rose 0.7% in February 2021. By industry subgroup, the seasonally 8:30am - 9:30am (AEST) adjusted estimate rose for Furniture, floor coverings, houseware and textile goods retailing (1.8%), Electrical Live webcast and electronic goods retailing (2.4%) and fell for Hardware, building and garden supplies retailing (- To register: angela.j.martin@pwc.com 1.8%). ● Clothing, footwear and personal accessory Sustainability is a growing topic of importance that retailing: The seasonally adjusted estimate for can no longer be managed in a silo. Climate and Clothing, footwear and personal accessory retailing sustainability opportunities and risks are rose 1.6% in February 2021. By industry subgroup, the increasingly being embedded into organisations’ seasonally adjusted estimate rose for Clothing retailing core strategy, reflected in purposes and missions, (1.0%), and rose for Footwear and other personal managed across operations and supply chains, and considered crucial to engagement with stakeholders accessory retailing (2.8%). across the market landscape. ● Department stores: The seasonally adjusted estimate We are delighted to be joined by PwC Australia’s for Department stores rose 2.2% in February 2021. Environmental, Social, Governance (ESG) ● Cafes, restaurants and take-away food services: leader and COO, Liza Maimone for our upcoming PwC Retail & Consumer Series virtual session. Liza The seasonally adjusted estimate for Cafes, will frame up the discussion by sharing her insights restaurants and takeaway food services rose 1.1% in on the impact and opportunities of ESG from February 2021. By industry subgroup, the seasonally purpose, reporting and metrics to opportunities for adjusted estimate rose for Cafes, restaurants and growth, differentiation and ease of access to catering services (2.5%) and fell for Takeaway food finance. services (-0.7%). Join us for a facilitated discussion with Liza and our ● Other retailing: The seasonally adjusted estimate for guest panel of industry leaders as we explore the Other retailing fell 0.4% in February 2021. By industry future of ESG and take a closer look at key drivers, subgroup, the seasonally adjusted estimate rose for emerging trends and market insights relevant for Australia’s retail and consumer organisations. Pharmaceutical, cosmetic and toiletry goods retailing (1.7%) and fell for Newspaper and book retailing (- For any enquiries or to register your attendance, 1.1%), Other retailing n.e.c. (-1.7%) and Other please contact Angela Martin at recreational goods retailing (-1.9%). angela.j.martin@pwc.com Source: ABS data released 01 April 2021. Data refers to the seasonally adjusted estimates by industry Retail and Consumer Deals Digest April 2021 PwC 9
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