Spring Racing Trends in Australia - Omnilytics
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www.omnilytics.co SPRING 2019 • WOMENSWEAR Spring Racing Trends in Australia Introduction | Key Apparel Categories | Apparel New-In Styles | Colour Performance Analysis | Overview on Headwear | Headwear New-In Styles | Styles Spotted at Spring Races | Conclusion Written by Nur Atiqah Kamarudin, Senior Business Intelligence Analyst
SPRING 2019 Introduction The Australian spring racing season is known to be a huge part of the nation’s culture and tradition and a main event in the fashion calendar. The races have long acted as a platform for racegoers to showcase their impeccable style and finery, making it a huge opportunity for brands to tap into. Despite Melbourne Cup 2019 hitting a 24-year low in attendance following the public protests and backlash towards horse racing industry, the event continues to be a key date for fashion in the region. In this report, we reviewed a total of 12 Australian apparel and accessory brands retailing at David Jones, Myer and The Iconic, to analyse the key head-to-toe looks offered in the Spring 2019 race season. More than 3,000 data points were screened from August to October 2019 on popular clothing items for racewear – Dresses, Jumpsuits and Suits as well as Headwear. The apparel brands used in the analysis were Alice McCall, Sass & Bide, Thurley, Lover, By Johnny., Bec & Bridge and Shona Joy while Morgan Taylor, Max Alexander, Gregory Ladner, Olga Berg and Ford Millinery were analysed for their Headwear. 2 Instagram @davidjonesstore
SPRING 2019 CHART 1: NEW-IN CONTRIBUTION BY CATEGORY Key Apparel Categories Dresses are consistently the most popular choice for the races. According to the Spring new arrivals (Chart 1), the category continued to be the key volume driver, accounting for almost half of the brands’ newness during the period. Feminine midi dresses contributed to almost half of new-in dresses, followed by mini and maxi dresses. Although Jumpsuits and Suits’ contributions were relatively minimal compared to Dresses, these two categories have proved to be the next popular options after dresses, just like at Royal Ascot. Brand Contribution CHART 2: NEW-IN CATEGORY BREAKDOWN BY BRAND Overall, some brands had the competitive advantage of dominating a high contribution in all three categories in newness, such as Alice McCall and Shona Joy. Brands Dresses Jumpsuits Suits Alice McCall 16% 46% 30% However, for the key racewear staple, Dresses, Bec & Bridge held the biggest contribution during the season with 24%. It offered Sass & Bide 10% 11% 27% various styles of dresses from satin slip dresses to midi floral Thurley 7% 3% 4% dresses. Lover 8% 9% 1% Meanwhile, Alice McCall had the biggest offering for Jumpsuits By Johnny. 19% 0% 2% and Suits, which mainly came in floral motif. Bec & Bridge 24% 6% 18% Shona Joy 16% 25% 18% Total 100% 100% 100% 3
SPRING 2019 New-In Styles: Dresses & Jumpsuits Overall, the silhouette for dresses and jumpsuits this year was more feminine and ladylike. The key styles spotted among the brands in focus included: Bold Florals Although florals are a given for spring, the romantic print accounted for 20% of the brands’ newness, signifying its continued popularity. With ‘feminine and floral’ being the official dress code for one of the major races, Oaks Day, coupled with the versatility of By Johnny. Watercolour Floral Strapless Bec & Bridge Tilly LS Midi Dress Thurley Persia Midi Dress Dress this print, it is no doubt that florals will be a popular choice for AUD 450.00 AUD 649.00 AUD 370.00 Spring Racing. Lace Alice McCall, Thurley and Lover were among the advocates of this trend. Intricate lace contributed at least 10% of the season’s newness, which was mostly used in a full head-to-toe ensemble. This style was also popularised by Kate Middleton as she repeatedly wore a full lace dress at Royal Ascot. Puffy Sleeves Puffed-sleeve tops and dresses reigned supreme on the Fall/Winter 2019 and Spring/Summer 2020 catwalks. This voluminous sleeve trend was also a major offering among the Australian brands this season, as it was not only on dresses but also on jumpsuits. Alice McCall, Shona Joy and Bec & Bridge were among the brands popularising this style. Alice McCall Wild Flowers Jumpsuit Lover Dandelion Jumpsuit Shona Joy Ellington Jumpsuit AUD 450.00 AUD 595.00 AUD 340.00
SPRING 2019 New-In Styles: Suits Some of the major Suit trends included: Check Print Although classic solid blazers held a higher contribution in the overall jacket category, check printed blazers were also common in this season’s newness as seen at Bec & Bridge and By Johnny. The print, which was more synonymous in the Fall/Winter season proved to be as popular in spring. Shona Joy Ellington Double Breasted Bec & Bridge Alexa Blazer Suit Jacket Bec & Bridge Harlow Pants Double-Breasted Blazers AUD 420 AUD 360.00 AUD 240.00 The ‘80s power suit silhouette appeared in the form of double- breasted blazers – boxy yet tailored and sleek. Shona Joy was one of the brands advocating this style best, mostly in tonal looks. Strong or sculptured shoulders were prevalent too, giving a more structured look to the whole ensemble. Wide-Leg Pants Another fall trend, the wide-leg trouser, which made a huge comeback on the Fall/Winter 2019 runways also reappeared in this season’s newness. Accounting for more than 20% of the pants’ newness, this style also extended to the groovy ’70s bell-bottoms, but in a more polished style. By Johnny. Check Mate Blazer Lover Francoise Blazer Sass & Bide You Are the One Pant AUD 390.00 AUD 695.00 AUD 350.00
SPRING 2019 CHART 3: DRESSES & JUMPSUITS COLOUR BREAKDOWN Colour Performance Analysis Total Assortment New-In Sell-Out Core Colours 4% 21% 19% The core colours – black, white, brown and grey - accounted for 22% nearly 60% of the brands’ total assortment, newness and sell-out 5% 6% 7% during the period. Black and white alone contributed around 40% of the new arrivals, giving plenty of options for consumers for 7% 17% 18% 8% 15% Derby Day, as it is widely known for its strict black and white dress 10% 9% code. However, black was more popular as it showed signs of 9% missed opportunity as opposed to white, which showed signs of 10% 13% 10% 12% 16% 10% overstocking with 3 percentage point variance against sell-out (Chart 3). While nude colour was popular following the neutral, tonal trend from the Spring/Summer 2019 runways, it was not the case for racewear, as it showed signs of overstocking with 4 percentage CHART 4: POPULAR SHADES OF BLUE AND PINK point variance against sell-out. Fashion Colours Alice McCall Bec & Bridge By Johnny. Alice McCall Pink and blue were the top two prominent fashion colours, as they were the only fashion colours appearing in the top 5. Based on Chart 4, pastel colours reigned supreme for blue, following Kate Middleton’s periwinkle blue number by Elie Saab at Royal Ascot 2019. Meanwhile, the shades of pink were more playful, as both bright and pastel hues were equally well received. Bright pink shades were popular especially at Melbourne Cup and Stakes Day. Interestingly, red showed signs of missed opportunity with 4 percentage point variance against sell-out.
SPRING 2019 CHART 5: NEW-IN CONTRIBUTION BY CATEGORY Overview on Headwear New-In Contribution 8% Although headwear is not compulsory in Australian spring races, it Headbands is still an integral part of the race day outfit, completing the look. 20% 37% Fascinators Headbands and fascinators took up a major contribution in the new-in styles, accounting for more than 70% of this season’s Hats newness. Hair Clips 35% With the growing popularity of hair accessories recently, Hair Clips were also an alternative form of headwear, albeit having a relatively small contribution. Pearls, resin and tortoiseshell hair clips, which were popular in the ‘90s, commanded most of the hair CHART 6: NEW-IN CATEGORY CONTRIBUTION BY BRANDS clips styling this season. Brand Contribution Brands Headbands Fascinators Hats Overall, Morgan Taylor and Gregory Ladner were the biggest contributors to the headwear newness. Morgan Taylor led in the Morgan Taylor 25% 35% 43% Headbands and Fascinators department, while Gregory Ladner dominated Hats marginally. Max Alexander 20% 30% 7% Gregory Ladner 22% 14% 44% Olga Berg 22% 12% 1% Ford Millinery 11% 9% 5% Total 100% 100% 100% 7
SPRING 2019 New-In Styles: Headwear With no stringent guidelines or rules for headpieces for the Australian spring racing season, the key trends surrounding newness in alternative forms of headwear were more robust and saw a lot of varieties. These included: OTT Headbands As seen at Prada, the padded ‘80s headband is now back on trend, giving inspiration for over-the-top headbands as a key headwear trend for the races. The ‘crown’ look was prevalent, mostly in the Ford Millinery Akira Headpiece Gregory Ladner Shallow Hood Boater Morgan Taylor Velvet Bow Clip form of flower garlands. Other elaborate headband styles included AUD 289.95 AUD 79.95 AUD 49.95 the colourful halo crown, wide and high padded headbands, as well as the large turban style headband, which also came in floral print. Boater Straw in millinery continued to be popular, especially for wide brim hats. This season, the boater style with wide ribbons took the centre stage. This style offering was mostly seen at Morgan Taylor and Gregory Ladner in neutral colours but loud fashion colours such as pink, red and orange were popular too. Bow Elements Big bows were a major element in headwear this season as they appeared not only in the form of satin hair clips but also across headbands, fascinators, and hats. Max Alexander Black Satin-Covered Olga Berg Luciana Raffia Fringe Halo Ford Millinery Spangle Star Boater Pillbox with Large Bow AUD 69.95 AUD 499.95 AUD 129.00
SPRING 2019 Styles Spotted at Spring Races The spring races, which officially kicked off in October with the Caulfield Cup and The Everest, saw similar trending styles among the Australian influencers and racegoers. The two races, which fell on the same day, saw dresses, sleek pantsuits and jumpsuits to be among the popular choices despite having different themes and dress codes. As predicted by stylists, tonal tailored suits proved to be popular, especially at the Caulfield Cup. Floral prints were especially huge, appearing in dresses in feminine silhouettes with puffy sleeves and ruffles during the event. This style was also prominent at The @victorialee @katewaterhouse7 @ amypejkovic Everest, complete with statement headbands. Pink, blue and yellow were among the popular colour choices aside from the usual core colours. As for Derby Day, ultra-feminine and sophisticated looks were apparent, where attendees adhered to the black and white dress code, donning full lace dresses as well as tailored skirt suits and jumpsuits. Classic wide-brimmed hats were mostly chosen to complete the look. Meanwhile, Melbourne Cup, which also known as ‘the race that stops the nation’, saw more bold, progressive styles yet still remained feminine. As expected, the biggest event in the Spring Racing Carnival was more colourful, as racegoers mostly came in bright fuchsia, canary yellow and scarlet red. Softer hues such as baby blue and blush pink were popular too. @brookehogan1 @michellebattersby @nadiabartel
SPRING 2019 Conclusion Main Findings Next Steps for Brands Floral Print to Stay: Although floral prints tend to evolve Balancing the Art and Science of Fashion: The trends from season after season – from garish, retro florals in 2018 to the runway, and street styles from Instagram, have proven bold florals in 2019, the print remains a success and to be good indicators of what would be trending for the continues to have its pull. The brands’ constant injection of races. Furthermore, there is opportunity for local newness in this print coupled with the high adoption Australian brands thanks to the 6-month seasonal gap amongst racegoers further prove that the print is a must- Australian labels have compared to the Northern have for the racing season. Hemisphere brands. The recent trend on feminine silhouettes such as puffy The success seen with the recent trending silhouette, puffy sleeves, midi length dresses and romantic ruffles, as well as sleeves, which was huge not only on social media but also girlish hair accessories also helped amplify its popularity, across fast fashion retailers, was reflected similarly in making this combination a key style that will influence the Australia. Trending fashion colours from the runways that wedding season. Also, as the races in the United Kingdom have proven to be successful will also help brands are more stringent with the dress codes, the feminine understand how colours and trends perform over time. silhouette seen in the newness will continue to shape the racewear trends in 2020, but in a more conservative style. Make Informed Decision-Making: Relying solely on runway trends would be risky when it comes to commercial Importance of Fashion Colours: While the monochromatic interpretation. With data-backed trend analytics, brands black and white will always remain as the main core colours would have a higher rate of success and efficiency, as well in apparel, fashion colours showed of bigger importance to as a guided direction, provided that monitoring and get right during the spring races. For instance, the lack of tracking is done diligently. red offerings as depicted in Chart 3 proved to be a huge missed opportunity for the brands. Furthermore, Royal As spring racing is a key event on the yearly calendar, Ascot that took place during mid year has definitely brands should monitor recurring success from their influenced the popularity of certain colours such as icy blue, bestsellers and update them for new collections with pink and red, which would point towards consumers’ trending prints, silhouettes and colours of the season to Instagram @alicemccallptyltd demand. drive commercialism.
Definition of Key Metrics Metric Description The total count of stock keeping unit (SKU) i.e. the number of styles that a brand offers. In the report context, it is the total product count within a Assortment SKUs Count data set. New-In The products that are newly added to the retail website within the timeframe selected. The number of new products launched by a brand within the timeframe selected. It is calculated by dividing the new-in count over the total product New-In Rate count within a data set. New-In Contribution % Calculated by dividing the number of new-in product count over the total new-in count within a data set. Sell-Out A product registers a sell-out event when it is indicated as out-of-stock or no longer published on the website. Sell-Out Contribution % Calculated by dividing the number of sell-out product count over the total sell-out count within a data set. Percentage Point Variance (New-In vs. Calculated by subtracting the new-in contribution with sell-out contribution on unit percentage difference. Metric is used to indicate sign of potential Sell-Out) missed opportunities and overstocking.
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