SPECIAL EDITION |MARCH 2021 - Agefi.com
←
→
Page content transcription
If your browser does not render page correctly, please read the page content below
SOCAR TRADING SOCAR Trading enjoys the unique advantage of being a state-owned entity with an independent global presence. By attracting the best talent in the industry and investing in sophisticated IT sys- tems, we are building a reputation as one of the most successful global energy trading compa- nies in the world.
SPECIAL EDITION |MARCH 2021 | |COMMODITIES |03 Editorial A new cycle 2 020 has been a year of unusual shocks One. The world is entering a post - health for the commodity traders, forcing crisis growth as the pandemic is more them to embark on a frightening or less under control. Vaccines will also roller-coaster. At first, the Covid-19 boost the global economy and help it re- pandemic hit them hard. Health restrictions cover. That will benefit the commodity around the globe triggered a sharp recession industry because it is at the core of the in most countries, advanced or developed production activity. ones. Highly correlated to global activity, commodities like oil and metals saw their Two. Many countries take the pandemic prices fall accordingly. At the same time, the as an opportunity to make their eco- pandemic created production shortfalls on nomy greener. Commodity traders will some soft commodity markets, edible oils for play a key role when it comes to building Frédéric Lelièvre instance, pushing some food prices up. infrastructure and electric vehicles, or CEO and Editor-in-Chief, achieve the targets set by the Paris agree- Agefi ment on climate change. Let’s not forget External shocks were not there is also the need to feed the world in a more sustainable way. the only ones to affect the commodity traders. This is a secular trend pushing However, unlike previous global recessions commodity prices up beyond which had long lasting effects, most com- modity markets swiftly recovered from the recent rebound. the price shock. The combination of supply cuts by OPEC+ and a faster-than-expected Combined, those two reasons may well lead rebound of the Chinese economy have sent to a new “super cycle”, which is a secular most commodity prices up again, many of trend pushing commodity prices up beyond Jan Schwalbe them reaching their pre-pandemic level. the recent rebound. This would happen be- Editor-in-Chief, cause the increase in demand is only slowly Finanz und Wirtschaft External shocks were not the only ones to met by a lagging supply. Four such super affect the commodity traders. Last year was cycles have happened since 1900. The first also the year of fraud cases. They mainly took two occurred after World War One and place in Southeast Asia and the Middle East, Two, with the reconstructions. The third but Switzerland was not isolated. Swiss banks one took place during the oil price shock specialised in trade finance suffered at least of the seventies. The last one came with the half a billion Swiss francs of losses. As a result, rapid industrialisation of China in the ear- some players left the business. Nevertheless, ly 2000s. In that potential new super cycle, 2020 should also be remembered for some oil prices may well reach USD 100 a barrel, positive developments. In particular, Swiss experts say, before plateauing as the world people voted against the Responsible Business will switch to alternative, less CO2 -intensive Initiative and instead favoured a so-called energy sources. All this means that there “counter-proposal” designed by the govern- are plenty of opportunities ahead for the ment who took account of the international Swiss commodity hub. competitiveness of the Swiss commodity hub. These future legal provisions will help the One last transformation would still be needed commodity industry move forward and beco- though. Gender inequality remains an issue, me more sustainable. The vote was a sign of but there might be light at the end of the tun- trust, not only in the industry, but also beyond nel. Some companies start to appoint women and emphasised the important role that multi- to top positions. They could in turn become nationals play in the local economy. role models and inspire other women to consider a career in the commodity world. What’s to expect in 2021? The industry is back to fundamentals as this special issue GERMAN VERSION reports. And it is not just about providing the global economy with the key ingredients it needs. The industry is also starting a new FRENCH VERSION cycle for at least two reasons.
04 |COMMODITIES | | MARCH 2021 |SPECIAL EDITION Contents - March 2021 22/ INTERVIEW Carbon capture is critical to achieve Back to Fundamentals the net zero goal, but it is very expensive. 05/ Back to fundamentals. Anna Krutikov, Glencore. Ramon Esteve, STSA. 23/ Achieving net zero: the role of carbon markets. 07/ ONE ON ONE WITH Florence Schurch. Gérard Delsad, Vitol. STSA. 24/ Climate: in Africa, problems can turn into opportunities. 08/ A success to be maintained in Switzerland. Isabelle Chevalley. Fabio Regazzi, Regazzi Holding. 25/ How coffee growing is coping with climate change. 09/ 2021: Back to fundamentals. Nicolas Tamari, Sucafina. Emmanuel Lemoigne, BIC-BRED (Suisse). 26/ Driving sustainability in cotton farming. 10/ What role market insurance plays. Alan Mclay, Better Cotton Initiative (BCI). Philippine de Villèle, BPL Global, Geneva branch. 27/ What do chicken nuggets and cotton have in common? 10/ After the storm, a promising renaissance. Jürg Reinhart, Paul Reinhart. Pierre Galtié, Banque de Commerce et de Placements, Switzerland. 28/ The role of Swiss-based commodity traders 11/ Crises: a catalyst for change in trade finance. in shipping decarbonisation. Jean-François Lambert, Lambert Commodities. Sebastien Landerretche, Louis Dreyfus Company. 12/ Reinforcing common practice in commodity finance in Switzerland. 30/ Regulations in shipping’s energy transition. Alastair Houlding, ING, Patrick Cotasson, UniCredit et Michael Jackisch, BIC-BRED. Chris Hughes, Lloyd's Register. 30/ Shipping: new technologies in practice. Digitalisation Nils Joyeux, Zéphyr et Borée. 14/ A riskier landscape demands a trusted system. Souleïma Baddi, Komgo. Legal & Regulatory 15/ The new blueprint for commodity finance. 32/ The future of trade finance in Switzerland and Singapore. Guido Bühler, SEBA Bank. Marc Gilliéron, Chabrier Avocats and Baldev Bhinder, BlackStone & Gold. 16/ Tokenization shaping the future of commodity markets. 33/ The impact of the counterproposal Marco Grossi, Tokentrust. to the Responsible Business Initiative. Mark Veser and Claude-Aline Dubi, Ernst & Young. Sustainability and Gender Equality 34/ Commodity trade finance – Money laundering, 17/ The commodity trading industry and the UN fraud and financial crime risks in 2021 and beyond. Guiding Principles on Business and Human Rights. Olivier Bazin, Holman Fenwick Willan LLP. Raphael Jenny, STSA. 35/ Looking into the future of regulation through 18/ Towards more equality: the Swiss “Comply or Explain” approach. a green tinted magnifying glass. Daniel Rüfenacht, SGS. Lisa Weihser, STSA. 18/ WISTA Switzerland and promoting equality. Maryana Stober, Women’s International Shipping and Trading Association. HR & Education 36/ Working from home – from pleasure to frustration? 19/ ONE ON ONE WITH Muriel Schwab. Adrian Tüscher and Christophe Bellino, KPMG. Gunvor. 37/ Trader's unique role in business and Human Rights. 19/ ONE ON ONE WITH Céline Coimbra. Dorothée Baumann-Pauly and Serra Cremer Iyi, University of Geneva. LafargeHolcim Trading. 37/ Master in commodity trading online during Covid-19. 20/ ONE ON ONE WITH Deia Markova. Eliane Palivoda Herren and Jean-Paul Vulliéty, University of Geneva. Société Générale. 38/ Education during COVID times: 21/ ONE ON ONE WITH Mariam Almaszade. Waltzing among constraints, creativity and agility. SOCAR Trading. Silviane Chatelain, STSA. Commodities is a supplement to l’AGEFI, daily publication of la Nouvelle Agence économique et financière SA | Chairman of the board Raymond Loretan | CEO and Editor-in-chief Frédéric Lelièvre | Commercial director Olivier Bloch Editorial contribution STSA team, Elsa Floret, Agefi | Graphic design Damien Planchon | Subscriptions (021) 331 41 01 – abo@agefi.com | Advertising STSA Tél. (022) 715 29 90 – info@stsa.swiss | Printers Imprimerie Hertig + Co. AG | Copyright © Any reproduction of articles and illustrations is prohibited without written permission | Head Office Route de la Chocolatière 21, Case postale 61, CH-1026 Echandens-Denges, T. (021) 331 41 41, www.agefi.com | Front page image credit: Ryan Stone – Unsplash. Commodities is also a supplement to Tamedia Finanz und Wirtschaft AG, Werdstrasse 21, Postfach 8021 Zürich, Verleger: Pietro Supino, Chefredaktor: Jan Schwalbe, redaktion@fuw.ch | www.fuw.ch | Tel. 044 248 58 00, Verlagsleitung: Marcel Tappeiner, Anzeigen: Goldbach Publishing: Philipp Mankowski (Chief Sales Officer), Adriano Valeri, Urs Wolperth, anzeigen@fuw.ch, Tel. 044 248 40 11
SPECIAL EDITION |MARCH 2021 | |COMMODITIES |05 Back to fundamentals L ast year, our theme was disruption. purpose definition and mission statements of I don't think anyone anticipated what most trading companies, not to mention the the world has gone through in the last credit analysis of most banks. Trading compa- 15 months. So far, it seems that we have nies are doing their share to protect the planet adapted, particularly in the commodity indus- but the campaign for the Responsible Business try where our trade channels have continued Initiative reminded us that our actions are not to operate with few problems in terms of sup- yet recognized, our industry has to multiply ply or logistics. It is surprising that despite the efforts in communication. various lockdowns, there is a resilience of de- mand in some sectors of our economies. Among the adaptations brought about by CO- VID-19 is working from home. This was made There were maybe two major disruptions to possible by today's technology, which, even ten Ramon Esteve our industry and these were only remotely years ago, might have been proven difficult. President of STSA COVID-related. I would mention the new trade The situation has also greatly pushed forward barriers certain countries have put in place to the dream of the “paperless office”. The pande- protect their weakened economies with most mic will have a long-lasting impact on the way often a detrimental effect on their consumers. Then there are the major losses incurred by the financial sector in Asia. Large trading houses We are privileged seem to be weathering this storm but it has not always been smooth sailing for the smaller mar- to be a micro-cosmos ket participants. It is ironic that even though regulators fear institutions that “are too big to with well-established fail”, their actions often lead to further conso- lidation creating precisely that risk. I doubt trading houses. losses of such magnitude could happen in the Swiss trading hub. We are privileged to be in we work. There are many technology-related a micro-cosmos with well-established trading initiatives in which our industry participates houses and shipping companies, experienced that are aimed at streamlining trade flows, such auditors, seasoned bankers and underwri- as Blockchain and cryptocurrencies. We hope ters, knowledgeable sector consultants and of to shed some light on these developments in this course, controlling companies; information cir- edition. I also take this opportunity to congra- culates freely and problems are usually rapidly tulate our teaching staff and our students for anticipated and mitigated. completing our courses on-line. I have always wanted an on-line offering so companies abroad Climate change and environmental concerns can benefit from the Swiss excellence in educa- are clearly on our agendas. The world needs to tion; COVID has forced it upon us. I hope that decarbonize and today's consumer seems to be we can continue with an on-line selection after putting increasing pressure on financial insti- things get back to normal. tutions and what they finance. These are very valid concerns that will accelerate change. GERMAN VERSION Several brands have made bold environmen- tal commitments and traders, as part of their supply chains, will make them a reality. Sus- FRENCH VERSION tainability has gradually made its way into the Advertisement Enabling a better, safer and more interconnected world SGS IS THE WORLD’S LEADING INSPECTION, VERIFICATION, TESTING AND CERTIFICATION COMPANY. WWW.SGS.COM SGS Advert 180x69.indd 1 10/02/2021 16:37
World-Class professionals programmes 2021 INTERESTED IN COMMODITY TRADING ACTIVITIES? WE HAVE THE RIGHT TRAINING FOR YOU! STSA Operator’s Certificate September – December For Junior Operators and Charterers STSA Commodity Trading Risk Analyst Certificate March – June For Junior Risk Analysts, Middle Officers, Traders Assistants, IT Business Analysts or Auditors STSA Documentary Credit Officer Certificate September – October For Junior Credit Officers coming from banks or trading companies STSA Documentary Credit Specialist Certificate November - December For Junior Credit Officers with an experience of a minimum 6 months STSA Business and Human Rights Certificate Autumn For Legal, compliance, CSR, management and any person interested in how to integrate Human Rights principles in companies STSA Commodity Trading Fundamentals April & November For all employees new to the industry in an administrative position such as HR, Accountants and/or IT, or Law firm, auditors VIEW ALL INFORMATION ON www.stsa.swiss
SPECIAL EDITION |MARCH 2021 | |COMMODITIES |07 One on One with Florence Schurch Florence Schurch, Secretary General of the Swiss Trading and Shipping Association. S tarting her career working against orga- ness. It is mostly our fault for not communica- nised crime, Florence Schurch was the ting enough. My goal – as Ramon Esteve, STSA first Swiss female special agent posted President said – is “to make Switzerland as overseas with the federal police. Six mon- proud of its traders as it is of its cheesemakers.” ths after 9/11, she was posted in the Swiss embas- sy in the US and later in Germany to work with The role of transport is also key to our economy. the BKA. As a diplomat, Florence supported the Do you have some examples in shipping in this ambassador on homeland security policies and whole value chain? diplomatic duties. In 2009, the Conseil d'Etat Without maritime transportation moving 95% nominated her as the federal attaché to defend of goods, distribution wouldn’t be as efficient. Geneva’s interests at the national level. One year This is thanks to the sailors and crew members after her nomination as the head of STSA, Flo- continuing to deliver goods and commodities rence has set up her team, successfully digested around the world, sometimes without retur- responsibility through various projects. Some the campaign against the Responsible Business ning home for months. are now financed by the World Bank or de- Initiative and sees the focus of the year 2021 on veloping banks that see traders as having an the fundamentals - for STSA’s 200 members but also for the industry as a whole. It is time now to learn important role to play in local community de- velopment. There are many existing labels and After the Great Reset announced by the World from the mistakes made, standards which remain ignored by the public. Economic Forum, the return to fundamentals, get rid of the past and work Does the expression “Back to Fundamentals” proposed by the STSA. Can you explain this choice? mean that you want to place the trader in the middle, In 2020, significant frauds have shocked the on the future of the trading via information-sharing among others? trading industry and left banks and SMEs in This is exactly our aim. As you can see below, difficulties. The impact on the industry’s image hub in Switzerland. traders play a fundamental role in everyone’s is huge. Our role is to support the traders to res- life. Mistakes were made, but trading compa- tore their image. We believe this can be achieved 2020 has been a successful year for the big trading houses. nies’ governance models changed to increase by going “Back to the Fundamentals”: it is time to Can it explain why the trading sector is demonised? transparency and accountability. learn from the past and work on the future. Traders are working in complex countries, where the law and governance are not always Elsa Floret, Journalist at L’Agefi Ok, let’s talk about the future, comparable to Switzerland. Switzerland what are your priorities for 2021? doesn’t cultivate cocoa, coffee, rice or cotton. GERMAN VERSION Communication, communication, communica- Thanks to traders, commodities from re- tion… and transparency – our keywords to go source-rich countries, often marked by insta- forward. The industry’s reputation has suffe- bility, are moved to resource-scarce countries. FRENCH VERSION red for too long due to a lack of public aware- Trading companies are actively promoting Illustration par Florence Schlegel insta@floschandfam
08 |COMMODITIES | | MARCH 2021 |SPECIAL EDITION A success to be maintained in Switzerland by relatively low regulatory costs in com- to Switzerland often have regulatory costs Fabio Regazzi parison with other countries, especially for between 10 and 15% of GDP. Switzerland is the- President of the Swiss Union of Arts and commodity trading. In fact, every regulation refore doing well for the time being. Crafts, National Councillor, Chairman of leads to costs for SMEs. Generally, the more the Board of Directors, Regazzi Holding regulations there are in number and detail, The USAM notes, however, that since its first the fewer opportunities companies have study developed with KPMG in 2010, regu- I to develop their potential. Of course, some latory costs have increased by more than f there is a great paradox in Switzerland, regulations are necessary, such as for road CHF 10 billion in just 9 years. Fortunately, it is the trade in raw materials. Indeed, traffic. It is therefore important to be able the situation is not yet at our disadvantage Switzerland is a small country very poor compared to other European countries. This in commodities. Switzerland doesn't even have a maritime outlet that would allow it to en- Switzerland's economic is why the USAM is fighting to introduce a constitutional regulatory brake, similar to ter the international maritime trade. However, policy (…) is characterized the well-known debt brake. With this instru- Switzerland is one of the most important com- ment, a vote would have to be taken each time modities trading centres in the world. It's an eco- by low regulatory costs. to introduce a new regulation. This is the nomic fact that high-growth countries are often only way to keep the costs of regulation low the poorest in raw materials, but it's another to to differentiate between regulations that and to maintain a high level of competitive- be able to climb to the top of the world's com- are necessary and those that stifle entrepre- ness for the success of SMEs in Switzerland. modity trading rankings. Especially since it is neurship. The basic rule is to apply an objec- mainly SMEs in the Lake Geneva and Ticino re- tive cost-benefit ratio. The USAM represents and defends the interests gions that have succeeded in establishing a solid of more than 500'000 SMEs in our country. The reputation and developing cutting-edge know- Ultimately, unnecessary regulatory costs members of the USAM are the cantonal unions how in the transactions that are indispensable weaken the competitiveness of SMEs in the of arts and crafts, the Swiss professional and for trading. How is it possible to achieve this market. Where does Switzerland stand in re- industry associations as well as other organi- without the necessary resources and maritime lation to these regulatory costs? According sations and institutions for the promotion of access? Critics will write that Switzerland's to a study by the USAM published in 2019, the SMEs, which include 230 associations. aggressive tax system is the reason, or that the regulatory costs would amount to more than financing provided by the big banks has made it CHF 60 billion or about 10% of Switzerland's GERMAN VERSION possible to set up this dynamic trading hub. GDP. The study estimated this cost on the basis of 4,000 legislative texts, from all the different The reality is more straightforward. Swit- areas of regulation and the federal, cantonal FRENCH VERSION zerland's economic policy is characterised and municipal levels. Countries comparable ACADEMIC PROGRAMS IN COMMODITY TRADING THE UNIVERSITY OF GENEVA IS OFFERING A UNIQUE OPPORTUNITY TO LINK THE ACADEMIC AND PROFESSIONAL WORLD DIPLOMA MASTER OF ADVANCED STUDIES IN COMMODITY TRADING MASTER OF SCIENCE IN COMMODITY TRADING A 1-YEAR EXECUTIVE PROGRAM FOR PROFESSIONALS NEW LOOKING TO DEVELOP NEW SKILLS FORMAT 12 MODULES OF 24 HOURS AS OF SEPTEMBER 2021, THE MASTER WILL RUN OVER 36 ECTS CREDITS TWO SEMESTERS AND THE TRAINEESHIP WILL LAST Available in two formats: 12 MONTHS INSTEAD OF 18 MONTHS – Bi-weekly with full in-class sessions in Geneva 12 MONTHS TRAINEESHIP – Block with 4 sessions of 2 modules over 6 consecutive 2 SEMESTERS OF COURSES days in Geneva + 4 online modules 90 ECTS CREDITS gsem.unige.ch/das-commodity-trading gsem.unige.ch/master-commodity-trading Next start date: September 2021 Apply by 31st May 2021 More than 10 years since inception, close to 700 students have graduated from these two programs. 90% of them are actively working in the industry creating an extensive network of professionals and experts. GENEVA SCHOOL OF ECONOMICS AND MANAGEMENT
SPECIAL EDITION |MARCH 2021 | |COMMODITIES |09 2021: Back to fundamentals has often mechanically improved financial The correct answer must therefore be profitability but obviously increased the level based on what the financing teams specia- Emmanuel Lemoigne of risk. Only, we always find less expensive lising in Commodity Trade Finance know General Manager than less expensive and by forgetting to pay at by heart by going back to initial practices BIC-BRED (Suisse) the right price, its own risk premium, we end and applying them scrupulously. The up leading to the scalding of bankers who can- working groups set up by STSA, made up not afford to leave on the table and all at once, of specialists from Swiss banks, are, in With change increasing both in speed and the equivalent of several years of profit. This this regard, illustrative of the know-how complexity, the commodity trading leaders inconsistency has resulted in a significant hu- to which reference should be made (see of the 2020s will be the organisations able to man cost and has fuelled a legitimate concern pages 12 and 13). among traders about the abandonment of take informed decision faster than their peers. these activities by banking establishments. Reasons to be optimistic about the W Commodity trading ecosystem in Switzerland. hile 2020 will be remembe- A return to the fundamentals of the business The ecosystem that exists in Switzerland red, obviously marked by is therefore essential: structured and tran- around the commodities sector is a real the health crisis, it will also sactional financing. opportunity for all players. Recognised leave the world of commodity The basis of transactional financing is re- worldwide for its competence, Switzerland trading with a bitter taste. Indeed, the cases course to the financed assets and the self-li- must capitalise on this environment condu- of fraud revealed have very concrete conse- quidating nature of the credit. The bank cive to business in conditions of security quences that could have a lasting impact on the finances the acquisition of an asset, which and transparency where everyone can find future of this essential link in world trade. So, the company pledges to it and is reimbursed their account: it seems that a return to reason is called for. • Traders, based in Switzerland but also According to various sources, the trader This abandonment those who operate from abroad and find defaults cost in the order of USD 9 billion expertise in structured finance in Swit- to USD 10 billion globally. Mainly linked to of good practices only zerland. No financial centre has developed players in Southeast Asia and the Middle this skill so assertively. East, the claims ended up affecting banks amplified the movement based in Switzerland, specialising in trade finance. Thus, according to several esti- of suspicion on the • Trade finance banks and their teams who have accumulated years of experience mates, the gross losses resulting from these failures could reach nearly a billion dollars transparency of the sector and have, despite the setbacks, adapted to the new situation of globalisation. for Swiss banks. These losses accelerated and ended up constituting the disengagement of some players and • Regulators through their continuous mo- precipitated others in a drastic review of a societal concern nitoring of establishments. their portfolio, extended if necessary, by decisions to reduce the allocation of capital opportunely relayed • Lawyers and advisers whose support to dedicated to this business. by various NGOs and stakeholders is essential. If the fall is sudden, it is only the consequence politicians from all sides. • FinTech’s whose innovations will accele- of practices that have slowly drifted over the rate the digitalisation of the sector by course of many good years. If we summarise bringing reliability and fluidity. them, they are generally characterised by a by the proceeds from the resale of this same reduction in the requirements in the tran- raw material after several stages that have • Finally, NGOs and politicians whose sactional financing of operations approach, marked the operating cycle (prepayment to approach cannot be limited to a general leaving room for rather classic scams. In ad- the producer, storage, transport, resale) and criticism of the activity but to a pragmatic dition, this abandonment of good practices which requires this structuring of financing. and constructive approach to the changes only amplified the movement of suspicion on We come back, more broadly, to the basics of to be made to respond to societal concerns, the transparency of the sector and ended up the banking profession which is, above all, the legitimacy of which is indisputable. constituting a societal concern opportunely knowing what you finance, to whom you lend relayed by various NGOs and politicians and how you will be reimbursed. Faced with competing financial centres from all sides. The latter, not always well-in- which have just paid a high price for the tentioned and, to say the least, often guided by By developing RCF-type financing methods, denaturing of the business, but which will ideological postures, saw it as a dream oppor- normally reserved for large corporates remain vivid competitors in the future, tunity to want to put a stop to the development with significantly less leveraged financial Switzerland has all the assets in hand and of the sector. But this is only the catalyst for structures, banks have participated in the benefits from a historic window of oppor- the crisis, and in the end, by dint of wanting to disguise of the profession. Indeed, the ba- tunity to strengthen its predominance on disintermediate everything, all the players in lance sheets of large traders are marked by these trades. the sector have helped to gain flexibility and a greater level of encumbered current assets speed while pressurising financial costs. The than a more traditional company. De facto, Let everyone take the full measure of this reasons for these choices can be explained creditors who have subscribed to this type to bring the world of commodities into by the weakness and decline in the economic of RCF financing find themselves in a form a new era which, far from being a step profitability of these businesses. In other of subordination which leaves them with backwards, will herald new practices as- words, when your business model no longer very limited recourse in the event of default. sociated with an increasing use of new in- generates a sufficient level of margin, there This type of financing should not find a taker formation technologies. is a strong temptation to compensate for this under these conditions since its repayment relative weakness by increasing the volumes should normally be ensured by the profitabi- GERMAN VERSION handled. This headlong rush is necessarily lity of the company and not by new debt. This accompanied by a more intense recourse to shift towards the facility explains the level debt, accepted by the largesse of the banks. of losses, reinforced by the pricing of these FRENCH VERSION The resulting increase in financial leverage credits at abnormally low margins.
10 |COMMODITIES | | MARCH 2021 |SPECIAL EDITION What role market insurance plays Lloyd’s of London. The support and protec- The CPRI market has a long history with trade tion the CPRI market provides trade, export and commodities activity with a deep level of Philippine de Villèle and commodity finance activity is often wel- understanding of its clients’ business. Whilst Director, BPL Global, Geneva branch come by buyers or sellers when the value the market’s coverage offering has broadened of contracts is large or when the number of significantly in the past five to ten years, trade contracts is significant. It is a useful miti- and commodity related business remains a W gation tool for corporate risk managers but core part of its activity. In 2020, enquiries hen one company buys or trades also for banks who finance the underlying related to risks in extractive industries (Oil, goods or commodities, there are trade who see such insurance protection as mining and metals) represented a healthy resulting risks that arise and a security, thereby enhancing the credit pro- percentage of all transactions submitted to need to be considered: file of their borrower. CPRI insurers. 2020 has seen a fair number of challenges for the market from the impact of • The performance risk of the seller which is borne by the buyer: e.g. if the seller does These risks can be the COVID-19 pandemic to the well-publicised frauds involving businesses in both Singapore not deliver on time or the agreed quality / quantity described within the sales mitigated by insuring with and Dubai. The latter resulted in significant claims volume for the insurers involved which contract is not as it should be; the Credit and Political could in turn lead to insurers’ offering in the • The credit risk on the buyer which is borne space becoming more selective in terms of the by the seller: e.g. if the buyer defaults on its Risk Insurance market. risks they are willing to insure, however ove- contractual payment obligation(s); rall, the CPRI market should still be viewed • The political risk which can arise in the Today, with an estimated total of around USD as an informed, strong and reliable option for country where the goods / commodities 350 billion in live exposure, CPRI insurers risk managers and banks to consider when can be in transit or stored. play a central role in facilitating trade and seeking to manage and mitigate their country economic development across all five conti- and credit risk around the world. These risks can be mitigated by insuring nents and in practically every country in them with the specialist Credit and Poli- the world. Currently, banks represent 55% of GERMAN VERSION tical Risk Insurance (“CPRI”) market. The the CPRI market client mix, while corporates CPRI market is mainly based in London (e.g. exporters and commodity traders) re- and consists of circa 60 individual insurers present 30% and other financial institutions FRENCH VERSION consisting of both insurance companies and making up the remaining 15%. After the storm, a promising renaissance based sector de-risking, lenders have fur- have, for instance, increased their use of digital Pierre Galtié ther reinforced their risk assessments and platforms to help managing operational risks. Head of Commodity Trade Finance securities over borrowers, and are putting Another cornerstone of this ‘new era’ is simply Banque de Commerce increasing emphasis on the transition towar- to prioritise experience. If bankers need to be et de Placements, Switzerland ds greater sustainability. generalists in terms of their wider technical knowhow, they also need to be specialists in This means, first and foremost, a more rigo- their knowledge of the industry. Continuous After the turmoil that shook the commodity rous approach to the transactional self-liqui- training and connectivity to the market are es- trade finance universe in 2020, a period dating financing principles that have always sential. A trade finance banker is financing the of introspection has gradually given way constituted the foundations of modern trade real economy with complex risk elements and finance, including: strict Know Your Customer needs to be “there on the ground”. to the fundamentals which are laying and Know Your Deal due diligence, enhanced the foundations for a new era with collateral monitoring practices, the detection The description of this new framework which greater robustness. has emerged from the ashes of the recent crisis I would not be complete without highlighting n addition to the disrupted trade dyna- A trade finance banker is the evolution that most trade finance banks mics due to COVID, the crisis revealed and commodities players are conducting instances of fraud and embedded bad financing the real economy. towards more sustainability. This transition practices deviating from the basics started well ahead of the crisis, but has been of trade financing. If the crisis revealed of potentially duplicate trades, stronger gua- further amplified since. Integrating more en- weaknesses, in its wake has also come the de- rantees, and privileging borrowers with fully vironmental, social, and governance criteria sire to refocus on what lies at the very heart transparent accounts, regulation and corpo- in the credit analysis process is becoming an of the commodity trade finance industry. rate governance. At the same time, the two important part of financing decisions. main commodity trade finance hubs, Geneva Hence, while some lenders are still healing and Singapore, have worked on codes of best Looking ahead, the crisis was a necessary their wounds, banks are taking a proactive conduct aimed at enhancing transparency as wake-up call for an industry which will approach overall to adapt the pre-existing well as promoting sustainable credit flows. continue to adapt and stand by its customers. model. What is at stake is accommodating These standards are not new, but restating While the dead wood has been trimmed, the the USD 12 trillion market in commodities them was needed to align market players with roots of the tree remain strong. exchanged and consumed annually around the principles that must guide the industry the world. Between the necessity to cut risk and world trade as a whole. This has come with GERMAN VERSION exposure and the need to continue to finance a higher level of standardisation in a sector commodity trading, trade finance banks characterised by the atomisation of its supply have taken a whole series of steps, in a “back chain. It explains the recent acceleration in FRENCH VERSION to basics” stance. Rather than a mere broad- blockchain investments made by banks, which
SPECIAL EDITION |MARCH 2021 | |COMMODITIES |11 Crises: a catalyst for change in trade finance dity prices leading to additional financing ficulties, insofar banks, as part of their own requirements. Finally, the economic outlook strategic imperative shift, are refocussing Jean-François Lambert is rather positive as if the world had learned their scarcer resources on fewer markets. Founding Partner, to live in a lingering COVID-19 uncertainty. Lambert Commodities They will therefore be less prone to support Are we back to normal, then? Not quite. There overstretched supply chains unless this is R is no longer such thing as normal. History deemed strategic (such as in Japan or China). elationships between traders and shows that major crises are always a catalyst Commodity traders will find it increasingly bankers were severely challenged for major changes, for better or worse. This difficult to attract banks in pre-financing during 2020. Amid the economic one will certainly not differ. Amongst the new their suppliers if located in geographies per- crisis triggered by the COVID-19 priorities of a post-COVID-19 world, as urban ceived as high risk. They will have to either pandemic, supply chains have been disrup- populations have rediscovered a much less commit more of their own resources to pro- ted, whether on the demand or the supply polluted environment whilst economies were vide this essential support or partner with side, or by affecting the logistics supporting under lockdown, the energy transition will alternative financiers such as credit funds the trades. Compounded with the violent most certainly prevail and be significantly ac- attracted by higher yields. volatility of prices sparked by the pande- celerated. This will affect all businesses, and mic-induced disruptions, the world drifted in a perfect storm. Most traders survived, for- notably trading, of commodities but also other goods. Traders and supply chain managers Are we back to normal? tunately but some did not, and a few high-pro- will not only have to show a more thorough Not quite. There is no longer file bankruptcies caused painful losses for the management of their own resources and car- banking industry. It was no surprise there- bon footprints, but they will soon be under the such thing as normal. fore that many banks reassessed their lending cosh to demonstrate the same conduct across strategies. Many choose to shrink their risk the whole supply chains they manage. Banks, So are we really back to fundamentals? Should appetite, but some took sterner actions and under an ever-stronger reputational pressure not the question rather be “what are the new shut down commodity lending businesses, from society at large, will be asked to put their fundamentals in the making?” We are living some regionally, a handful even totally. customers’ Environment, Sustainability and through extraordinary times and should heed Governance (ESG) policies on top of their agen- the changes that are taking place. With an ove- Where does this leave the industry at the da and of their own credit decision process. The rarching challenge. Market places have beco- dawn of 2021? It is not in a bad place at the (very few) traders – both small and big, still in me increasingly transparent. Secrets do not outset of the year. Demand has improved denial are strongly advised to start drawing last long in a social media environment and in various markets and whilst supply chain their ESG plans and revisit their strategies to recent events show that collective uproar can address the structural changes underway. put strategies or even companies down, with little ability to rebuild a shattered reputation. History shows As the world polarizes and redefines globa- A whole sector can be very quickly harmed by that major crises are always lisation, supply chains will get shorter and increasingly prioritise local content as do individual behaviour. The only valid response is to strive towards the best standards and to a catalyst for major changes, consumers. Food and strategic supply mana- communicate with the key stakeholders and gement will certainly fare also high on top primarily banks in the most open and transpa- for better or worse. of the governments’ agenda. Relying on – po- rent manner. Never have we lived through such tentially easily disrupted – long and complex a powerful looking glass. In an industry so long disruptions are still occurring, trading is supply chains is now increasingly seen as a shrouded in secrecy, this is probably the most proving quite profitable, whether in agri, weakness that needs to be corrected. This will difficult challenge, but there is no alternative. metals or energy, in some cases, extremely create both opportunities and difficulties. profitable thanks to auspicious market Opportunities for traders able to take advan- GERMAN VERSION structures. Traders, notwithstanding iso- tage of such new strategic imperative, either lated situations, did not face a major liquidity as suppliers or hoarders, able to answer squeeze after the banks’ strategic reviews, growing supply security concerns, shorte- FRENCH VERSION and this despite generally elevated commo- ning or diversifying their supply chains. Dif- Advertisement ® Flexible Knowledgeable Customer-oriented Quick database access Official Merchandise Import and Export Data for All HS Codes Customized Products for Data-Driven Answers www.TradeDataMonitor.com | Geneva@TradeDataMonitor.com
12 |COMMODITIES | | MARCH 2021 |SPECIAL EDITION Reinforcing common practice in commodity finance in Switzerland Alastair Houlding Patrick Cotasson Michael Jackisch Global Project Lead, Head Commodity Trade Finance, Head of Soft Desk, BIC-BRED Trade and Commodity Finance, ING Switzerland, UniCredit N ewton’s Third Law of Motion dic- ding sector, particularly in the field of hydro- Angst tates that every action shall have carbons, which experienced historic price Coming at a time of several other pressures an equal and opposite reaction. volatility and demand fluctuation as the (the continued push on universal bank mar- As mentioned in other articles world stayed home due to the COVID-19 pan- gins through low interest rates – amplified here, while the number of traders involved demic. If the epicentre of these events was by monetary responses to COVID-19, rising in recent events was not that numerous, the in other regions, the impact did not avoid compliancy costs, reputational risks coming scale of the potential losses was very signifi- Switzerland – international banks incurred from trader activity in developing markets cant and impacted nearly all the active trade losses in their Singapore branches, impac- and the beginnings of a tectonic shift away finance banks. ting appetite for commodity finance glo- from hydrocarbons), banks have thought bally, while many Swiss offices maintained long and hard about their participation in A large number of trade finance banks and responsibility for the coverage of UAE-in- and exposure to commodity finance. their clients have their trade finance teams, corporated clients, some of them being invol- or at least a presence, in Geneva. Under the ved in fraud as well. Failings auspices of the Swiss Trading & Shipping As in most disasters, the failings leading to Association (STSA), leading industry banks Commonalities any major financial loss are typically many have been meeting to discuss financing prac- Whatever the specific background to these and sequential. Appropriate client selection tices in an initiative that attempts to enhance cases they each had a commonality in as is a fundamental criteria and the need to pick the control mechanisms against fraud and much as banks financing these entities be- clients with good integrity and standards of adopt a “back to basics” approach that unifies lieved themselves to be well-protected from governance is a key lesson. Sensitivity to po- standards of transactional administration. financing loss through their transactional tential red flags and adequate due diligence If not a “USD 10 billion reaction”, it reflects (or borrowing base) financing of liquid com- prior to on-boarding is important given that a a pressing need to restore confidence and modity inventory and receivables from end very human phenomenon, confirmation bias, avoid repetition. consumers. Typically, when clients get into may suppress sensitivity to (and socialisation financial difficulty, banks financing on this of) potential red flags once on-boarded. basis find themselves well-protected against An initiative that attempts loss. However when fraud is involved (the A loss of bank participation assets are not there or not of the expected to enhance the control quality, or pledged twice over), very signifi- in this real-world métier mechanisms against fraud cant losses can and do arise – far in excess of banks’ modelled expectations, thereby can impede the efficient and adopt a “back to basics” leading to valid questions as to whether flow of international trade these models and practice are fit for purpo- approach that unifies se. Given that commodity finance is meant with attendant cost to the to be a relatively low margin industry (the standards of transactional movement (trade) of essential commodities world economy. administration. from producer to end buyers is an inherent- ly high volume low margin business and the Questions should also be asked about poten- low margins of the trading community can tial shortcomings by third parties, be it collu- The size of the ‘Bezzle’ only support a certain financing cost), but sion by staff at long standing warehouse kee- Trust is an important feature in all econo- relatively costly to participate in (following pers or the inadvertent failings of auditors mies and an essential lubricant to create low transactions from inception to repayment is in not picking up on balance sheet inflation, transaction costs. Fraud is the hidden cost of work intensive and involves material com- hidden risks and losses. Both in and outside trust (sometimes not so hidden: the fact that pliance costs), low loss expectation and expe- the commodity sector, we have seen that an the EU has a significant trade surplus with rience is fundamental to bank participation. audit assurance may measure aggregate as- itself can only be a proxy indicator for the A loss of bank participation in this real-wor- sets according to established conventions but scale of VAT fraud). In his seminal work on ld métier can impede the efficient flow of in- not assure as to their real value; it is more a the 1929 market crash, JK Galbraith coined ternational trade with attendant cost to the quantitative than qualitative discipline. the term “Bezzle”, being the inventory of world economy. undiscovered fraud in an economic system. A number of weaknesses in the overall as- Frauds typically grow to the point at which It is worth outlining that the vast majority of sessment were more psychological in nature. they are uncovered and in general they are the commodity traders have behaved impec- Herd behaviour, for example – the notion that brought to light by significant periods of cably in 2020 and despite extreme market a course of action must be permissible because volatility and retractions of liquidity (of- turbulences, are showing positive (for some everyone else has been doing it for decades. ten with a domino impact as confidence re- record) financial results. They have demons- Other factors include being too complacent verses with events); frauds typically require trated that their business model and price with historical, well-established trading growing liquidity to avoid discovery. protection (hedging) have been as robust as houses and, last but not least, an increasingly one should have expected. A minority of bad competitive banking landscape, especially in With the benefit of hindsight, 2020 brought apples have triggered unprecedented tur- Singapore (e.g. if an extra step is requested, the just these conditions to the commodity tra- moil in the industry in 2020. fear that someone else may take the business).
SPECIAL EDITION |MARCH 2021 | |COMMODITIES |13 Finally, the industry participants may have The aim has been to bring relatively detailed sta- to create more uniform ways of working that been describing financing as “transactional” tements of best-practice, covering each element lead the way to greater systemisation, digiti- (commonly meaning loans being secured by of transactional and borrowing base secured sation and the use of nascent technology in the goods used as collateral, including the commodity finance, with the intent that com- trade confirmation, contractual confirma- proceeds of the financed goods to repay the mon adoption by banks will both make the in- tions, inventory tracking and assurance, to loan in a self-liquidating manner), while not dustry safer but also lead ultimately to savings ultimately drive down the prospect for loss always administering the financing to these on costs of administration. The premise is that and the important costs of running a tran- exacting standards. Under these circums- standard practice will lead to less negotiation sactional trade finance business. tances, we may have been to some extent with individual clients and their counterparts confusing the good behaviour of the vast and ultimately facilitate systemisation due to Old-fashioned maxims remain valid – crea- majority of our clients with the impact of our commonality of process requirements. At the ting third party proof points in a transac- transactional administration. time of writing, after numerous interactive ses- tion’s lifecycle. The exciting element is the sions, the three work streams have been com- degree to which technologies are rapidly Reactions pleted and the Banks involved are in process of evolving to facilitate this and it is the inten- Except for two important European commo- finalising a consolidated communication. tion of the Swiss commodity finance indus- dity finance banks, the vast majority have try to be at the vanguard of their adoption. confirmed the continuation of their com- The recommendations are numerous but some modity activity. Nevertheless, most banks key conclusions are obvious: for a contract to undertook a deep dive portfolio and modus be transactionally-financed, it should be freely operandi review with some retrenching on assignable to a financing bank and end pay- client type. ment shall be clearly established without set-off Who does what or counterclaim. In consequence, if underlying Commodity traders play an essential Simultaneously to Singapore’s Code of Prac- commercial contracts are appropriately struc- role in the value chain (transportation, tice, banks involved in commodity finance tured, financing can follow smoothly. Others involve greater interaction with end-buyers, finance, hedging, transformation) Banks involved in commodity noting that some of the industry events were predicated on double-financing of open account to deliver goods to the consumer. finance in Switzerland met receivables. Here the industry has moved to Within this context, trade finance notification of assignment to end buyers and under the auspices of the increasingly looks for assurance from those banks are essential in financing the real economy and providing the buyers that proceeds will be remitted in line STSA to share lessons learned with the assignment. This can be burdensome liquidity for world trade flow. and discuss best practice to administer, but again, once an agreed way of working is established with clients and major After last year’s negative news flow, moving forward. counterparts (involving separate negotiation joint efforts are required to restore with these buyers), administration becomes banks’ confidence in the sustainability in Switzerland met under the auspices of the smoother and can potentially be systemised. STSA to share lessons learned and discuss The working groups recognised that the com- of commodity trade finance. best practice moving forward. The objective mon characteristics in last year’s fraud cases was to produce a set of specific recommen- were a combination of weak corporate gover- dations to ensure common standards for all nance, speculative (but hidden) behaviour and industry participants. poor business ethics. Each of those factors will incline banks to enhance their due diligence by Recognising that convention and practice spending more time and resources conducting The Swiss hub can be different between the sub-sectors of extensive operational audits. There is also the oil, metals and soft commodity finance, three possibility of traders requiring banks to act to- The Swiss financial centre has separate working groups were established gether in order to optimise the resources spent developed a niche expertise to for each sub-sector. These groups (chaired by on such exercise. become the main commodity hub the authors) are populated by leading banks in Europe by far for trade finance. in the commodity finance sector in Switzer- Back to Basics, Back to the Future land; Arab Bank, BCGE, BCP, BCV, BIC-BRED, In the short run, higher standards of manual CAI, Credit Suisse, ING, Sberbank, Societe administration are being imposed to keep Not only traders and banks, but Generale, UniCredit and UBS. the industry safe. The long run objective is other service providers linked to it (surveyors, lawyers, consultants) often have their main offices in switzerland to be nearer their clients. Overtime, academic qualifications (Masters in commodity trading at the University of Geneva, for instance) have lent credibility to Switzerland’s claim as the place to be for the commodity business. GERMAN VERSION FRENCH VERSION
14 |COMMODITIES | | MARCH 2021 |SPECIAL EDITION There are two types of companies: Those who know they’ve been hacked, and those who don’t. Firms are scrambling to mitigate risk. A riskier landscape demands a trusted system the activity they have performed with it (fi- nanced for a bank, for example). This creates Souleïma Baddi a digital audit trail against a document that Chief Executive Officer, Komgo will strongly mitigate the risk of it being reused for fraudulent purposes. K Digitalisation is the first step toward efficient omgo SA is a software develop- fraud management as it strengthens organi- ment and IT services company in- sational processes, decreases dependency corporated in Geneva since 2018. on emails where information is siloed, and Founded by leading Swiss and limits manual checks by enabling automa- international companies in the trade and tion. It frees time for a company's teams to fo- commodity finance industry to drive digi- cus on what matters. Komgo has seen a surge talisation of the sector, Geneva was a natu- in demand in the past months, especially ral choice in its capacity as a world-leading for Trakk, as it can be deployed quickly, re- commodity hub, its access to highly skilled quires very little change management, and human resources, and its respected role in brings new visibility to the status of trade driving best practices for the industry. documents. Leading corporates are now registering all of their invoices on Trakk, Three years later, there is no doubt that Kom- which has brought significant comfort to go will transform the trade finance industry their lenders and trading partners. over the next decade. Indeed, the environ- COVID-19 has also compelled many teams ment post-COVID-19 is mainly about mitiga- to shift to remote work, and most managers ting fraud risk, as fraud is more prevalent in acknowledge that we might never return times of financial stress. Regulators are pres- to business as usual, which has increased suring banks to add fraud mitigation tools to demand for cloud-based software applica- tions and remote login infrastructure, a key added-value provided by Komgo. Digitalisation is no longer The pandemic is also disrupting supply a discussion topic; chains. Reliance on the movement and pro- it is an absolute “must have”, cessing of physical paper has proven too slow, and has delayed the time between order which will play a major and cash collection. Companies have to hold more inventory, as delays in shipments of one role in the future of the component can derail the entire manufactu- ring process; the industry has moved from trade finance industry. “just-in-time” to “just-in-case”. This is more expensive and requires more financing, and all their products. This is even more true in emphasises the need to go digital to execute the commodity space, where transactions safer, more efficient transactions. Komgo’s are generally not yet conducted via digital network is underpinned by permissioned, channels and trusted counterparties; both authenticated messaging removing the need banks and trading houses need an easy and for signature verification and call-backs, simple way to enhance their trade execution. while structured data from Komgo messages Komgo powers a secure network of veri- can be easily mapped and integrated with any fied actors generating instantaneous trust internal system, generating huge efficiency between parties, and offers a smart solution, gains and reducing manual errors. Trakk, to increase the security of trade do- cuments exchanged between multiple par- Digitalisation is no longer a discussion to- ties via email (invoices, contracts, BLs, etc.). pic; it is an absolute “must have”, which will ©. Markus Spiske – Unsplash Trakk allows users to register the proof of play a major role in the future of the trade any document to create an immutable, digi- finance industry. No organisation can af- tal version, whose genuineness and authen- ford to be left behind, and those that move GERMAN VERSION ticity can be easily verified by anyone, thus too slowly will lose a competitive edge to guarding against fraud and falsification. others who are already working together Banks, traders and inspection companies to build a trusted and more secure finan- FRENCH VERSION can track the usage of the documents and add cing environment.
You can also read