SERVICES RISK ADVISORY - 7TH APRIL 2020 - Wilson James
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COVID-19 REPORT SUMMARY • There are now more than 1,350,000 confirmed cases of Covid-19 worldwide, according to research from Johns Hopkins University. There have been more than 74,000 fatalities. Italy remains the country worst affected by the outbreak, with 16,523 deaths, followed by Spain, with 13,341. In terms of overall cases, the US remains the worst hit, with 368,449 • In the UK, Prime Minister Boris Johnson has been moved to intensive care at St Thomas’ Hospital in London after his condition worsened. Foreign Secretary Dominic Rabb will deputise, running the government in Mr Johnson’s absence • China reported no coronavirus deaths on Tuesday 7th April, the first time since it started publishing daily figures in January. The National Health Commission said it had 32 confirmed cases, down from 39 on Monday. It comes as the government is under scrutiny as to whether it is underreporting its figures. DISTRIBUTION OF WORLD CASES OF CORONAVIRUS CASES OUTSIDE OF MAINLAND CHINA CLICK HERE FOR LIVE REPORTED CASES Source: Worldometers 07.04.2020 COVID -19/RAS/7TH APRIL 2020 2
COVID-19 REPORT UK UPDATE TOTAL NO OF CASES 51,608 NEW CASES 3,802 TOTAL UK DEATHS 5,373 CLICK HERE FOR LIVE REPORTED CASES FROM PUBLIC HEALTH ENGLAND Source: Public Health England 07.04.2020 • In the UK, 51,608 people have tested positive and Another 439 people have died in the UK after contracting COVID-19, according to the latest 24-hour figures released by the Department of Health. This takes the UK total to 5,373 fatalitie. London remains a hotspot, accounting for 129 deaths in the latest figures • Boris Johnson has been moved to intensive care at St Thomas’ Hospital in London after his condition worsened. The Prime Minister was admitted on Sunday night due to persistent COVID-19 symptoms. He is understood to have experienced breathing difficulties on Monday and was given oxygen. Boris Johnson remains conscious and has not been put on a ventilator, but has been moved to intensive care as a precautionary measure • Foreign Secretary Dominic Rabb will deputise, running the government in Mr Johnson’s absence • Dominic Raab said social distancing measures were “beginning to work” but that it is too early to consider a strategy for exiting the coronavirus lockdown • Professor Chris Whitty, the government’s Chief Medical Adviser, said the current social distancing measures could only be lifted once it has been firmly established that the peak of the pandemic has been reached • The Scientific Advisory Group for Emergencies has warned ministers that imposing stricter UK lockdown conditions now could simply delay the peak of the COVID-19 pandemic until the autumn. China, Hong Kong and Singapore have all reported an increase in cases in recent weeks after relaxing their own lockdowns which included tighter restrictions on travel than in the UK • The Police Superintendents’ Association in the UK has warned that a crackdown on allowing people to take exercise would be difficult to enforce • The pound dropped against the dollar and the euro on Monday after the news that the British prime minister had been admitted to intensive care in a hospital in London • Oxford University researchers said a coronavirus vaccine could be ready as early as the autumn in a “best case scenario”. More than 500 volunteers have been recruited to begin tests of a vaccine this month, which is being developed by Oxford University’s Jenner Institute and Oxford Vaccine Group clinical teams COVID -19/RAS/7TH APRIL 2020 3
COVID-19 REPORT • YouTube is to crack down on content promoting conspiracy theories linking the 5G rollout to coronavirus. At least seven mobile phone masts in the UK have been targeted in arson attacks in the past week as videos circulate online blaming 5G for virus deaths • The construction industry effectively ground to a halt in the UK and Europe last month as activity slumped at its fastest rate since the financial crisis, according to IHS Markit’s purchasing managers’ index (PMI) survey. Civil engineering and commercial property were the two worst affected parts of the construction sector in the UK in March as COVID-19 hit activity • London Underground drivers should be given face masks and gloves to help protect them from contracting Covid-19, union leaders say. The number of Tube journeys has fallen by more than 90% since the UK government advised people to only travel into work if absolutely necessary. But amid reports that rush hour carriages remain busy, train drivers’ union Aslef said the government should step in to help protect Tube drivers and TfL staff • Britain’s largest telecoms company, BT, has pledged not to fire or furlough any of its staff for the next three months. Chief executive Philip Jansen, who tested positive for coronavirus in March, will also donate half his annual salary to charity and said the company will do “everything we can” to support its 84,000 UK employees • Uber is to direct its drivers to jobs at other companies as lockdowns lead to a loss of work. Uber will use its app to post job openings at companies including Domino’s Pizza and McDonald’s for drivers in the US. In the UK, the ride-hailing app is encouraging drivers to sign up for delivery driver roles at Ocado, which is struggling to cope with a surge in demand for online groceries • England manager Gareth Southgate is to take a 30% pay cut as one of the Football Association’s highest earning employees. FA chief executive Mark Bullingham said the total financial impact of the pandemic on English football’s governing body is predicted to be around £100m but could rise to more than £150m. The FA said it had proposed all staff earning over £50,000 take a temporary 7.5% pay cut, with senior management agreeing to cut their pay by 15% and the highest earners agreeing to reduce their pay by up to 30% • Golf’s Open Championship has become the latest event sporting event to be cancelled because of coronavirus. The tournament, one of golf’s four Majors, was due to take place in July at Royal St George’s in Kent but has been cancelled for the first time since World War Two. COVID -19/RAS/7TH APRIL 2020 4
COVID-19 REPORT WORLDWIDE UPDATE CLICK HERE FOR LIVE REPORTED CASES Source: World Health Organization 07.04.2020 *Figures will vary between sources TOTAL CONFIRMED CASES TOTAL DEATHS PATIENTS RECOVERED 1,350,523 74,856 285,327 Source: Coronavirus COVID-19 Global Cases by the Center for Systems Science and Engineering (CSSE) at Johns Hopkins University on 07.04.2020 *Figures will vary between sources COVID -19/RAS/7TH APRIL 2020 5
COVID-19 REPORT WORLDWIDE UPDATE • The number of confirmed cases of Covid-19 has surpassed to 1,350,523 worldwide, according to research by Johns Hopkins University. This is an increase of 72,561 cases globally since yesterday • Italy and Spain both recorded falls in the daily death toll from coronavirus on Monday 6th April, amid further signs of recovery in Europe’s worst-hit areas. Italy recorded 525 deaths over the previous 24 hours – the lowest daily total since 19th March • Spain’s virus deaths dropped for the third straight day, to 674 – the first time that daily deaths have fallen below 800 in the past week. Spanish prime minister Pedro Sanchez said: “We are starting to see the light at the end of the tunnel” • France in contrast saw its biggest daily increase in coronavirus deaths, with a daily figure of 833 bringing the total number of fatalities in the country to 8,911 • The French Economy and Finance Minister, Bruno Le Maire has warned that the country is facing its worst post- war economic downturn since the end of World War Two - surpassing the -2.2% slump that followed the 2009 global financial crisis • The World Health Organization revealed that around 20 companies and institutions are involved in the WHO’s drive to develop a coronavirus vaccine. More than 70 countries have also joined the WHO’s initiative to accelerate research on effective treatments for COVID-19 • Germany has drawn up a list of measures that it hopes will enable it to lift its lockdown on 19th April. The measures form part of an action plan drafted by the Interior Ministry and include limits on public gatherings, an obligation to wear a mask in public and rapid tracking of people with the virus • President Trump was asked to comment on a row in the Navy, after the captain of the USS Theodore Roosevelt, Brett Crozier, was fired for sending a letter urging Navy officials to help halt a coronavirus outbreak on board the aircraft carrier • Israel’s Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has announced a national lockdown, from Tuesday 7th to Friday 10th, over the Jewish holiday of Passover. In a televised address, he said this means people will have to stay at home on Wednesday evening, instead of travelling to traditional “Seder” meals • Russian military specialists are helping Serbia to disinfect medical facilities, as the Balkan state - a candidate for EU membership - battles coronavirus. Russian military transport planes went on a similar mission to northern Italy last month and another Russian plane took medical supplies to New York • Policies concerning masks vary from country to country. In Turkey, the government says it will post five masks a week to anyone aged 20-65 who requests them. The government’s Sewing Factory Department normally makes military uniforms - but is now producing one million masks and 5,000 items of protective clothing a week • Canada’s chief public health officer is now telling people to wear non-surgical masks out in public. Dr Theresa Tam told media that there was evidence that the virus can be transmitted by people without symptoms or just before they develop symptoms. She cautioned that while there was no evidence that a mask can protect the wearer, it may prevent the wearer from spreading the virus to others • German Chancellor Angela Merkel says the EU is facing its biggest challenge since its founding as it tackles the coronavirus outbreak. She said it was essential that the bloc as a whole recovered, calling for the union to boost its ability to make vital protective gear for medical workers. “Germany will only do well in the long run if Europe does well,” she said, speaking after a cabinet meeting. • Austria has set out plans to ease restrictions in place to curb the spread of the coronavirus. It is one of the first countries outside of Asia to do so • Hong Kong international Airport has extended its ban on foreign arrivals for the foreseeable future. All non-Hong Kong residents flying in will be denied entry to the region • The number of cyberattacks in South Korea surged 21% year-on-year in the first quarter as more people worked from home due to the COVID-19 outbreak, according to data security solutions provider SK Infosec. COVID -19/RAS/7TH APRIL 2020 6
COVID-19 REPORT REGIONAL UPDATES The numbers of doctors who have died after contracting coronavirus in Indonesia has doubled to 24 in a week, says the Indonesian Doctors Association. A total of 209 people have died in Indonesia as a result of the virus so far - the highest death toll in south-east Asia after China. India’s Prime Minister Narendra Modi and other top government officials - including MPs ASIA - have agreed to take a 30% pay cut for this year as the country battles the coronavirus outbreak. The announcement comes almost two weeks into a three-week lockdown, which has left millions without work. Japan is preparing to declare a state of emergency in Tokyo and six other prefectures - potentially as soon as tomorrow. German Chancellor Angela Merkel says the EU is facing its biggest challenge since its founding as it tackles the coronavirus outbreak. The European country with the highest number of confirmed cases is Spain. But on Monday 6th April, the health ministry confirmed a daily death toll of 637, the lowest in almost two weeks, and a further decline in the infection rate. Russia have announced 1,154 new infections - its biggest daily jump in confirmed cases. EUROPE As the crisis seemingly enters a new phase, EU nations are still arguing over how to tackle the economic fallout from the pandemic. EU Council and Commission chiefs released a statement on Monday 6th April that said a “strong package is in the making”, and Eurozone finance ministers will hold a teleconference later today. Late on Monday 6th April, Italy’s Prime Minster Giuseppe Conte unveiled a €400bn fund to help struggling businesses. Italy remains the worst affected nation worldwide in terms of death, but as in Spain, infection rates do seem to finally be dropping. France has announced it will deploy mobile teams around the country to test vulnerable people at care homes, as the country enters its fourth week of lockdown measures. The US has reported more than 337,000 cases of coronavirus - more than Italy and Spain, combined. The US surgeon general warned that the coming week could be “the hardest and saddest of most Americans’ lives”, as the national death toll nears 10,000. In Texas, state troopers have begun stopping and screening drivers coming in from neighbouring Louisiana, requiring them to provide their personal details and observe a mandatory two- week quarantine. The number of deaths in New York state dipped slightly on Sunday, to 594, compared to 630 on Saturday. However, Governor Andrew Cuomo said it was too early to tell if this was a pattern. AMERICAS A new US government report says hospitals are experiencing “severe shortages of testing supplies” and “widespread shortages” of personal protective equipment (PPE), which is putting staff and patients at risk. In Canada, the premier of Ontario province - which has about 42% of the country’s population - said hospitals there would run out of PPE in a week. COVID -19/RAS/7TH APRIL 2020 7
COVID-19 REPORT Kenya has banned travel in and out of capital Nairobi from Monday 6th April for three weeks. Protesters in Abidjan, Ivory Coast have destroyed a coronavirus testing centre, saying it was built too close to their homes. Video of a bride (with wedding dress and train) and groom in the back of a police car has emerged in South Africa - the couple were arrested alongside a priest and 40 wedding guests in KwaZulu-Natal - police confirmed that weddings were banned. Ethiopia announced the deaths of a 60-year-old woman and 56-year-old man - the country’s AFRICAS first since the virus was identified there on 12th March. Rwanda’s cabinet ministers and top officials will donate their April salaries to the fight against the epidemic. Libya’s former Prime Minister Mahmoud Jebril, has died from the virus - he was head of the National Transitional Council in 2011 which ousted dictator Colonel Muammar Gaddafi. In another case of leaders not following their own advice - Nigerian actress Funke Akindele, who appeared in a public health video about the virus, has been arrested after holding a party during lockdown. Israelis who keep beards for religious reasons will get the option of custom-made face masks to protect them from the coronavirus rather than being asked to shave, a government official said on Monday 6th April. As part of measures to combat the pandemic, Israeli authorities last week told people to cover their mouths and noses in public. MIDDLE EAST Saudi authorities have imposed a 24-hour curfew in Riyadh, Tabouk, Dammam, Dhahran, Al Hofuf, as well as in Jeddah, Taif, Al Qatif and Al Khobar, according to Saudi Press Agency (SPA), quoting a source at the Ministry of Interior. The authorities extended the round-the-clock curfew as the kingdom reported four new COVID-19 deaths on Monday, bringing the death toll to 38, while the total number of confirmed infections has reached 2,752. Jacinda Ardern has said New Zealand will not be coming out of lockdown early, despite prom- ising signs the current measures were working. Yesterday saw just 67 news cases reported. New Zealand’s health minister has called himself an “idiot” after breaking the country’s lock- down by driving his family to the beach. David Clark admitted the 12-mile (20km) drive was “a AUSTRALIA/ clear breach of the lockdown principles”. He offered his resignation to Prime Minister Jacinda OCEANIA Ardern, but kept his job because of the ongoing crisis. The Australian state of South Australia has recorded its first Covid-19 death. Until now, it was the only Australian state without a death. South Australia has had 411 confirmed cases of the disease so far. The country has had almost 6,000 cases and 41 deaths. COVID -19/RAS/7TH APRIL 2020 8
COVID-19 REPORT Source: World Health Organization 07.04.2020 *Figures will vary between sources COVID -19/RAS/7TH APRIL 2020 9
COVID-19 REPORT WILSON JAMES ANALYSIS ANALYSIS OF TRENDS The cases of COVID-19 has surpassed to nearly 1.35 million cases and over 74,000 deaths globally. From the Case Comparison graph of the WHO regions presented on page 9, we can evaluate that Europe is still the largest effected area of the coronavirus. However, over the past day, we can see that the numbers of new cases has dropped by 4,334; this could suggest this is due from the significant lockdown procedures implemented in the likes of Italy and Spain. Moreover, in the Americas region, there has been a consistent rise of new cases of COVID-19 but over the last two days; the graph suggests that it has started to plateau. New York City remains the worst hit of the virus with 131,815 cases. The cases in South-East Asia remain low compared to other regions but there is concern about the spread of COVID-19 to densely populated cities and slums such as in India, where social distancing is near enough impossible. COVID -19/RAS/7TH APRIL 2020 10
COVID-19 REPORT KEEPING WELL: WILSON JAMES ADVICE WORKING FROM HOME WITH CHILDREN Many of us are now working from home at the same time as looking after children and home-schooling. Here are some tips on balancing these commitments. Ease in: This is an entirely new situation for us and our children. Everyone manages change differently; give yourself and others time to settle into these changes. Routine: You may find it helps to maintain a similar routine to the one you had before isolation, for example, getting the family up and dressed every day at the same time. Equally, allow yourself flexibility - a set routine may not always be possible or helpful when arranging childcare and work priorities. You may want to use an example schedule as a guide. Coordinating your time: Go through your schedule with anyone you co-parent with at the start of each day or week – can you arrange your meetings so that they don’t overlap? You may find it helpful to assign childcare to specific times, for example, one parent looking after children in the morning and the other in the afternoon. Boundaries and space: We all need mental and physical space. Identify a suitable workspace and explain/ demonstrate to your children that it’s your workspace. Try to maintain this boundary. Likewise and if possible, try to keep an allocated space for home-schooling activities and another for respite. Balancing household chores and work: Try to allot specific times during the week for cooking, cleaning and other household chores and try not to let this encroach on work and family time. Making the most of family time: Make the most of this rare opportunity to spend some extra time with your family. Fun conversations and informal learning are just as important for your children as home-schooling. Downtime and winding down: Have a clear time when you stop checking your phone and emails each day and then give yourself time to wind-down to something you find relaxing, for example, a box set, music, or a book. COVID -19/RAS/7TH APRIL 2020 11
COVID-19 REPORT covid19@wilsonjames.co.uk / riskadvisory@wilsonjames.co.uk @WJltd @WJ_Ltd www.linkedin.com/company/wilson-james
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