SECOND QUARTER 2017 July 18, 2017 - Ericsson

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SECOND QUARTER 2017 July 18, 2017 - Ericsson
SECOND QUARTER
2017
July 18, 2017
SECOND QUARTER 2017 July 18, 2017 - Ericsson
Peter Nyquist
Vice President Investor Relations
SECOND QUARTER
2017
                This presentation contains forward-looking statements.
                Such statements are based on our current expectations
                and are subject to certain risks and uncertainties that
                could negatively affect our business. Please read our
                earnings reports and our most recent annual report for
July 18, 2017   a better understanding of these risks and uncertainties.
Börje Ekholm
President and CEO
Focused business strategy

› Focused and technology led approach                                                          › Significant cost reductions to restore
      – Invest in R&D for competitiveness in Networks                                            profitability
      – Stabilize IT & Cloud roadmaps and focus on new                                            – At least SEK 10 b. run rate improvement over 12
        portfolio                                                                                   months
      – Invest in automation and review contracts in                                              – Primarily in service delivery and common costs
        Managed Services
                                                                                               › Increase pace of innovation and new
› RAN market estimated to decline high single                                                    business development
  digit percentage in 2017
› Increased risk of market and customer project
  adjustments
      – Estimated negative impact on operating income of
        SEK 3-5 b. coming 12 months

         At least double the 2016 operating margin, excluding restructuring charges, beyond 2018
© Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson 2017 | SECOND QUARTER REPORT 2017 | July 18, 2017 | Page 5
Second quarter 2017

› Challenging underlying performance                                                           › Initial signs of traction in strategy
      – Sales adjusted for FX -13% YoY                                                           execution
      – Networks margin decline due to lower                                                      – Break-through contract with Vodafone UK
        software sales                                                                            – Positive customer feedback on ERS
      – Continued significant losses in IT & Cloud                                                  competitiveness
› Operating cash flow SEK 0.0 (-0.7) b.                                                           – Agreement signed to divest Power Modules
                                                                                                  – Successful review of Managed Services
                                                                                                    contracts – 9 of 42 completed
                                                                                                  – Plan in place to improve performance in IT
                                                                                                    & Cloud – focus on product roadmaps for
                                                                                                    new portfolio and project execution

© Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson 2017 | SECOND QUARTER REPORT 2017 | July 18, 2017 | Page 6
Q2 Market Area sales
                                                                                                         › Europe and Latin America (-11% YoY)
                                              YoY
SEK 54.1 b.      -11%                                                                                       – Continued reduced mobile broadband investments
                                                                                                            – Slowdown in Mexico; growth in Brazil
                                12.5%
                             -17%                                                                        › Middle East and Africa (-17% YoY)
                                                      18.5%                                                 – Some, still limited, signs of recovery in
                                           -7%
                                                                                                              macroeconomic environment
                                                       -3%          0%           0%        SEK 49.9 b.
                                                                                                         › North America (-7% YoY)
                                                                13%
                                                                                                            – Reduced scope in managed services contract
                          29%
                                                                                                         › North East Asia (-3% YoY)
                                                                                                            – Mainland China decline partly offset by growth in
                                                 27%                                                          Japan and Korea
    16Q2      Europe &
                Latin
                            Middle
                            East &
                                         North   North     SE Asia
                                        America East Asia Oceania &
                                                                    Other                      17Q2
                                                                                                         › South East Asia, Oceania and India (flat YoY)
              America       Africa                          India                                           – Continued mobile broadband investments in South
                                                                                                              East Asia offset decline in services
                                                                                                            – Operator consolidations in India
                                                                                                         › Other (flat YoY)
                                                                                                            – IPR revenues SEK 2.0 (2.2) b.
© Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson 2017 | SECOND QUARTER REPORT 2017 | July 18, 2017 | Page 7
Segment summary
 Numbers exclude provisions, write-downs and restructuring charges in 17Q1. 16Q2 and 17Q2 exclude restructuring.

                      Networks                                                                 IT & Cloud                                Other
      SEK b.              17Q2         16Q2          17Q1                      SEK b.            17Q2    16Q2   17Q1         SEK b.       17Q2    16Q2       17Q1
  Sales                    36.8         40.2          36.2                 Sales                  10.9   11.5     9.6      Sales            2.2    2.4         2.0
  GM                       30%          32%           31%                  GM                     28%    36%     28%       GM              37%    39%        31%
  Op. income                3.5          5.3           4.3                 Op. income             -2.4   -1.1    -2.2      Op. income      -0.8    -0.4       -1.0
  OM                       10%          13%           12%                  OM                    -22%    -9%    -23%       OM             -38%    -17%       -51%
› Sales adj. for FX -14% YoY                                            › Sales adj. for FX -10% YoY                     › Sales adj. for FX -11% YoY
   ‒ Lower mobile broadband investments                                      ‒ Lower legacy product sales                    ‒ Lower legacy products sales
   ‒ Reduced scope in MS contract
                                                                        › Op income SEK -2.4 (-1.1) b.                   › Op income SEK -0.8 (-0.4) b.
› Op margin 10% (13%)                                                        ‒ Lower gross margin                            ‒ Lower sales
   ‒ Lower sales and gross margins                                           ‒ Negative impact from net cap dev              ‒ Sequential margin improvement, partly
                                                                               expenses, SEK -0.8 b. YoY                       from cost reductions
› Focused Radio R&D investments
                                                                        › Turn around plan                                   ‒ Negative impact on OI from net cap dev
  started                                                                                                                      expenses, SEK -0.2 b. YoY
                                                                             ‒ Stability: Roadmaps, underperforming
› Ericsson Radio System tracking                                               projects and scoping                      › Exploring strategic opportunities
  towards 100% of deliveries in 2018                                         ‒ Profitability: Delivery efficiency, R&D
   ‒ 49% of deliveries YTD                                                     efficiency, reduced G&A
                                                                             ‒ Growth: Scale new SW platforms
                                                                             Tangible improvements expected 2018

© Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson 2017 | SECOND QUARTER REPORT 2017 | July 18, 2017 | Page 8
Carl Mellander
Chief Financial Officer
Gross margin
17Q1 excludes provisions, write-downs and restructuring charges. Other quarters exclude restructuring.

› As anticipated, gross margin declined QoQ following                                           40%

  seasonally stronger software sales in Q1
› YoY gross margin negatively impacted by lower                                                 35%
                                                                                                      34%    33%
  Networks software sales and by reduced margins in IT
                                                                                                                               31%
  & Cloud                                                                                                                             30%
                                                                                                30%
› Un-seasonally strong software sales in the second                                                                29%   29%

  quarter last year
                                                                                                25%
› Some negative impact from lower IPR revenues YoY                                                     Q1
                                                                                                      2016
                                                                                                              Q2   Q3    Q4     Q1
                                                                                                                               2017
                                                                                                                                      Q2

                                 We will accelerate actions to reduce costs and increase efficiency
© Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson 2017 | SECOND QUARTER REPORT 2017 | July 18, 2017 | Page 10
Operating income
Q2 YoY

  SEK b.
      OM 7%

                              Hedge loss of
                               SEK -0.5 b.
                                in Q216                 Net impact
                                                        Q216 +0.7
                           Hedge gain Q217                                                           Gross margin
                                                        Q217 -0.4
                              SEK 0.5 b.                                                           from 33% to 30%
          3,8                reported as
                             financial net                                         Sales -8% YoY

                                                                                                                                               OM 1%
                                                                                                                                               0,3
      Q216 excl                    Hedge              Capitalized R&D                 Volume            Gross          R&D       SG&A       Q217 excl
     restructuring                 impact                                                               margin       expenses   Expenses   restructuring

Lower sales, reduced gross margin and less capitalization of R&D main drivers for reduced result
© Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson 2017 | SECOND QUARTER REPORT 2017 | July 18, 2017 | Page 11
Operating expenses
› YoY negatively impacted by FX, appr -2%                                                            Operating expenses excl. restr., SEK b.
                                                                                                                                                                                      14.8
› Significant impact from less capitalization of R&D                                                      14.0
                                                                                                                                               13.7                                                      0,4
   – Driven by focused strategy, technology and portfolio shifts
   – No cash impact
› SG&A                                                                                                    7,7                                   7,1                                      7,9

   – YoY reduced, despite negative FX impact
› R&D
   – YoY increase with higher investments in Networks
   – QoQ increase mainly due to seasonality                                                               6,7                                   6,7                                      6,6

   – SEK 1.1 b. negative impact from capitalized development
     expenses YoY                                                                                                      -0,5                                     -0,2
                                                                                                         Q216                                Q117**                                    Q217
› Will implement cost savings with an annual run
  rate effect of at least SEK 10 b. by mid-2018
                                                                                                  SG&A underlying                          R&D underlying                             Other*

                                                                                                 * Net of: capitalized and depreciated development expenses, and amortized intangible assets.
                                                                                                 ** 17Q1 exclude provisions, write-downs and restructuring charges. Other quarters exclude restructuring.

 © Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson 2017 | SECOND QUARTER REPORT 2017 | July 18, 2017 | Page 12                           This slide contains forward-looking statements. Actual result may be materially different.
SEK 10 b cost reductions
› At least SEK 10 b. net reduction of annual run rate by
  mid 2018
      – 50% common costs, 50% service delivery
      – Baseline: Current run rate, i.e. annualized Q2 2017
› Reductions in addition to
      – Supply, i.e. closing manufacturing sites
      – Rightsizing due to lower business volumes
      – Other strategic opportunities
› Restructuring charges
      – 2017 estimated in the higher end of the range SEK 6-8 b.
      – 2018 restructuring charges to be communicated

© Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson 2017 | SECOND QUARTER REPORT 2017 | July 18, 2017 | Page 13
Change in Gross cash Q2
                                     Operating cash flow                                    Investing1                     Financing        FX on cash
                                            0.0 b                                              -1.8 b                        -8.9 b           -0.6 bb

                            -0.8               +1.9               -1.1                -1.0          -0.8

                                                                                                                    -5.6
                                                                                                                                   -3.3        -0.6
          65,6

                                                                                                                                                             54,3

                                                                     Change in gross cash SEK -11.3 b.

      Gross cash         Net Income        Change Net Restructuring                 CAPEX         Acquisitions,     Other        Dividend   FX on cash   Gross cash
        1703A           reconciled to       operating                                            divestments &    financing                                1706A
                            cash             assets                                                  Other        activities

                                                                            Change in net cash SEK -4.3 b.                                               1) Excluding   Interest-bearing securities

                                                                     Repayment of Eurobond, SEK 5.1 b.

© Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson 2017 | SECOND QUARTER REPORT 2017 | July 18, 2017 | Page 14
Additional project risks
reducing capitalization
› Increased risk of market and customer project adjustments
      – Focused strategy, current market and company position  continued risk assessment
      – Estimated negative impact on operating income of SEK 3-5 b. in the coming 12 months
             • 30% estimated to impact cash
             • Payment risks, challenging projects, exit costs
             • Estimated to impact all business segments
› Reducing capitalization
      – Due to technology & portfolio shifts
      – Reducing capitalization of product platform R&D, software release R&D and hardware costs
      – Together resulting in net negative impact on operating income of SEK -2.9 (1.3) b. in 2H17,
        with no impact on cash
         • Total impact on operating income in Q2 was SEK -0.3 (1.2) b.

© Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson 2017 | SECOND QUARTER REPORT 2017 | July 18, 2017 | Page 15
Reducing capitalization –
background
1. Product platform R&D capitalization
   – Example: The new OSS and BSS platforms
   – Product platform R&D is capitalized and depreciated over 24-36 months as R&D expenses
   – Capitalization is reduced as a consequence of; cyclical product platform development and the focused business
     strategy
2. Software release R&D capitalization
   – Example: Expenses related to radio software releases 16A and 16B
   – Certain R&D expenses, related to specific software releases, are capitalized as inventories and depreciated as cost of
     sales over 6 months
   – No longer relevant due to more continuous deployment and a differentiated release pace between different
     technologies
3. Hardware cost capitalization
   – Example: Parts of the Radio portfolio
   – A portion of the up-front hardware cost is capitalized as inventories and depreciated over 24 months as cost of sales to
     match revenue with cost
   – Capitalization levels are adapted to fit the new portfolio, driven by technology and product development, with the
     introduction of the Ericsson Radio System

© Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson 2017 | SECOND QUARTER REPORT 2017 | July 18, 2017 | Page 16
Planning assumptions
From the Q2 report
Market related
› RAN equipment market outlook for 2017 estimated at high single-digit percent. Previous estimate: -2% to -6%.
Ericsson focused strategy related
› Addressing low-performing operations in MS and optimizing NRO offering expected to reduce FY19 sales up to SEK 10 b.
› Cost reductions with annual run rate of at least SEK 10 b. by mid-2018, split 50/50 between service delivery and common costs
› The company aims to increase R&D efficiency. However, R&D expenses will increase short term, primarily in Networks
› Less capitalization is expected to result in a net negative impact on operating income of SEK -2.9 (1.3) b. in second half 2017,
  with no impact on cash.
› Restructuring charges for 2017 are estimated to be in the higher end of the range of SEK 6-8 b.
› Increased risk of further market and customer project adjustments, with a negative impact on results, estimated to SEK 3-5 b. for
  the coming 12 months, of which 30% is estimated to impact cash
Other Ericsson related
› The earlier communicated rescoped managed services contract in North America will impact sales negatively YoY in Q3 2017
› Industry trends and business mix in mobile broadband in 2016 are expected to prevail in 2017

                                               Based on current visibility, assessments and FX rates
                                                                                                This presentation contains forward-looking statements. Such statements are based on our current expectations
                                                                                                and are subject to certain risks and uncertainties that could negatively affect our business. Please read our
© Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson 2017 | SECOND QUARTER REPORT 2017 | July 18, 2017 | Page 17   earnings reports and our most recent annual report for a better understanding of these risks and uncertainties.
cash flow impact

Activity                                                                                        Total cost        Cash impact       Timing
                                                                                                SEK b.            SEK b.
2016 restructuring charges, balance Dec 31 2016                                                         3                3          2017
2017 restructuring charges                                                                             6-8              6-8         50% 2017
                                                                                                                                    50% 2018
Q1 2017 provisions and customer project                                                                8.4              5.8         Over several
adjustments                                                                                                                         years
Customer and market risks identified in Q2 2017                                                        3-5             30%          Over several
                                                                                                                                    years
2018 restructuring charges                                                                      To be confirmed   To be confirmed   2018-2019

© Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson 2017 | SECOND QUARTER REPORT 2017 | July 18, 2017 | Page 18
Börje Ekholm
President and CEO
Focused
strategy
› Plan in place – execution started
› Strong commitment across
  organization
› Positive response from customers

         At least double the 2016 operating margin, excluding restructuring charges, beyond 2018
© Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson 2017 | SECOND QUARTER REPORT 2017 | July 18, 2017 | Page 20
© Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson 2017 | SECOND QUARTER REPORT 2017 | July 18, 2017 | Page 21
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