SAGE extraordinary meeting Policy recommendations on the use of AZD1222 vaccine - Dr Kate O'Brien - WHO, Director, Department of Immunization ...
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SAGE extraordinary meeting Policy recommendations on the use of AZD1222 vaccine Dr Kate O’Brien – WHO, Director, Department of Immunization, Vaccines and Biologicals 08 February 2021
Note: The designations employed and the presentation of these materials do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of WHO concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries. Dotted and dashed lines on maps represent approximate border lines for which there may not yet be full agreement. 2
State of Vaccines: key numbers (data at 8 February 2021) • 64 days since first countries started vaccinating1 and 42 days since all EU countries received vaccines • 131 million vaccine doses have been administered: o ~86% of these doses have been administered in 10 countries o At least 8 different vaccines (3 platforms) have been administered2 • Campaigns have started in 74 economies: o incl. 52 HICs, 12 UMICs, 9 LMIC and 1 LIC o Pfizer-BioNTech vaccine is by far the most used vaccine (56 economies using it), followed by Moderna (16 economies), Oxford/AZ (10 economies) and Sinopharm (7 economies) 1. Dec. 8, 2020 in the UK (Pfizer) 2. Pfizer, Moderna, Gamaleya, Sinovac, Sinopharm, SII, Bharat Biotech, AZ 3 Source: Our World in data; Bloomberg
PRELIMINARY State of Vaccines: rollout has started in 74 economies (data at 8 Feb 2021) Status of Vx roll out per income group > 50% of countries 25% < X ≤ 50% # of economies % of economies # of economies where 10% < X ≤ 25% where ≤ 10% Economies classified per income vaccination has vaccination has by income level1 group started started List of economies where vaccination has started Andorra, Austria, Bahrain, Belgium, Bermuda, Canada, Cayman Islands, Channel Islands, Chile, Croatia, Cyprus, Czech Republic, Denmark, Estonia, Faroe Islands, Finland, France, High income Germany, Greece, Greenland, Gibraltar, Hungary, Iceland, Ireland, Isle of Man, Israel, 83 52 63% Italy, Kuwait, Latvia, Liechtenstein, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Malta, Monaco, economies (HICs) Netherlands, Norway, Oman, Panama, Poland, Portugal, Romania, Saudi Arabia, Seychelles, Singapore, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, UAE, UK, USA Argentina, Brazil, Bulgaria, China, Costa Rica, Ecuador, Indonesia, Maldives, Upper-middle Mexico, Russia, Serbia, Turkey income economies 56 12 21% (UMICs) Algeria, Bangladesh, Bolivia, Egypt, India, Morocco, Myanmar, Nepal, Sri Lanka Lower-middle income economies 50 9 18% (LMICs) Guinea Low income 29 1 3% economies (LICs) - Total 218 74 34% 3 LMICs have started campaigns over the last 5 days: Bolivia, 4 1. World Bank classification (2021) Source: World Bank; Our World in data; Bloomberg; Reuters Bangladesh and Nepal 4
PRELIMINARY – THIS LIST MAY NOT BE EXHAUSTIVE Which economies are using which vaccine(s)? (data at 8 Feb 2021) Incl. Canada, Chile, Costa Rica, EU, Israel, Kuwait, Mexico, Oman, Saudi Arabia, UK, USA (non-exhaustive list) 56 Bangladesh, Brazil, India, Maldives, Algeria, Morocco, Argentina, Myanmar, Nepal, Bolivia, Seychelles, Sri Guinea, Brazil, Lanka, UK Serbia Chile, Russia China, 16 Indonesia, Turkey 10 India 7 6 5 1 Pfizer Moderna AZ (UK) / Sinopharm Gamaleya Sinovac Covaxin BioNTech Covishield • 43 countries are using 1 vaccine vs. 31 countries using 2 vaccines (or more) • 76% of countries are using the Pfizer-BioNTech vaccine 5 5 Source: Our World in data
Status of vaccines with efficacy results COVAX Facility Products Release of efficacy Reported Manufacturer results #Participants efficacy Severe disease Pfizer/BioNTech Published full study 43,000 95% 10 (9 in placebo vs. 1 in results (Nov. 18) vaccine group) Moderna Published full study 30,000 94.1% 30 (30 in placebo (incl. 1 results (Nov. 30) death vs. 0 in vaccine group) AstraZeneca Published interim 12,390 62-90% 18 (16 in placebo vs. 2 in results (Jan. 9) vaccine group) Published interim 21,977 91.6% 20 (20 in placebo vs. 0 in Gamaleya results (Feb. 2) vaccine group) Press release Interim 13,000 50.4% No information given Sinovac results (Jan. 12) Press release Interim 21,977 79% No information given Sinopharm results (Dec. 31) Press release Interim 15,000 89.3% 1 (1 in placebo vs. 0 in Novavax UK results (Jan. 28) vaccine group) Press release Interim 43,783 66-72% Definition of efficacy is Johnson & Johnson US results (Jan. 28) against moderate to severe disease 1. The Lancet on AZ/Oxford, The Lancet on Sputnik V, Bloomberg on Sinovac, Bloomberg on Sinopharm, Novavax website, J&J website 6
Additional investments through CEPI and by the COVAX Facility are currently in negotiation 7 https://www.gavi.org/sites/default/files/covid/covax/COVAX%20Supply%20Forecast.pdf 7
5 Step Process was used to develop the List of 1st Wave of COVAX Participants (Pfizer Vx) 1. All COVAX Participants that responded to the EoI were considered (72 total) 2. Priority was given to COVAX Participants that had not started vaccination, met all of the readiness criteria1 and, for SFPs, were within the Pfizer price point (48) 3. COVAX Participants were then grouped by WHO Region and AMC/SFP status to ensure all Regions/groups would be represented (i.e. in line with the primary learning objective2) 4. Participants in each group were then ranked by their 28-day mortality rate as a proxy for the risk of health care worker exposure (i.e. high COVID-19 mortality = high exposure) 5. Eligible COVAX Participants were selected from each group up to 18 maximum that can be covered & supported with limited Pfizer vaccine quantities in the 1st wave in February 1. as assessed by Regional Review Committees and COVAX Country Readiness & Delivery Team (both of which include WHO technical staff) 2. the primary objectives of (i) learning & (ii) having a meaningful public health impact were outlined in the COVAX/Gavi call for EoIs (6 January 2021) 8
1st wave Pfizer vaccine distribution Health Impact 18 participants allocated Pfizer doses Learning 18 participants allocated Pfizer doses: First 10 participants with highest mortality (1st per RO, Ukraine Mongolia AMC & SFP group) Bosnia and Moldavia Herzegovina Georgia Tunisia Second highest mortality - 8 West Bank Bhutan Republic of Korea participants (2nd participant in and Gaza all AMC groups & 2 SFC Cabo Verde groups with rate >0) Colombia Philippines El Salvador Maldives Rwanda Peru Bolivia South Africa Note: The designations employed and the presentation of these materials do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of WHO concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries. Dotted and dashed lines on maps represent approximate border lines for which there may not yet be full agreement. 9
Regulatory timeline of key Vx candidates (data as of Feb 8th) https://extranet.who.int/pqweb/key-resources/documents/status-covid-19-vaccines-within-who-eulpq-evaluation-process Legend (timing of approval) Approval / Emergency use Between. Jan and Feb. 2021 From March 2021 Estimated dates of approval / Emergency use No info Country reliance on PQ Vx candidates FDA MHRA EMA WHO EUL/PQ Dec. 12, 2020 Dec. 2, 2020 Dec. 21, 2020 Dec. 31, 2020 Jan. 2021 onwards Emergency Use Emergency Use Cond. Authorization1 Emergency use Key messages Dec. 18, 2020 Jan. 8, 2021 Jan. 6, 2021 End of Feb 2021 March 2021 onwards Emergency Use Emergency Use Cond. Authorization1 • Pfizer: WHO EUL on Dec. AZ with EMA as authority of April 20212 Dec. 30, 2020 Jan. 29, 2021 Between March and Between April and July 31st with EMA as authority reference Emergency Use3 Cond. Authorization1 April 21 21 onwards of record; ongoing country AZ South Korea w/ MFDS 2nd half of Feb 2021 Korea as authority of record Not applicable Not applicable Not applicable (Earliest) March 2021 onwards reliance on PQ SII /AZ vaccine (Covishield) with DCGI India as authority of record - - - Mid-February 2021 • AZ: WHO EUL expected at the earliest in 2nd half of No FDA approval No EMA approval March 2021 (Earliest) April 2021 onwards February with MFDS (South No approach yet to Korea) as authority of * EUL/PQ* record Sinopharm / WIBP4 • SII/AZ: WHO EUL expected mid-February with DCGI Sinopharm / BIBP5 March 2021 (Earliest) April 2021 onwards (India) as authority of March 2021 April 2021 onwards record Expected info from Gamaleya April-May 2021 May 2021 (earliest) June 2021 onwards (earliest) 1. Conditional marketing authorization 2. According to the chief adviser for the U.S. COVID-19 vaccine program (Dec. 30, 2020; Source) 3.Temporary authorisation of supply of the vaccine in the emergency use setting (which is distinct from a marketing authorisation) 4. Wuhan Institute of Biological Products Co Ltd 5. Beijing Bio-Institue of Biological Products Co-Ltd SOURCE: https://extranet.who.int/pqweb/sites/default/files/documents/Status_COVID_VAX_01Feb2021.pdf; https://www.bloomberg.com/graphics/covid-vaccine-tracker-global-distribution/ *. SII/Novavax needs to be specified 10
SAGE working to issue policy recommendations, coordinated with Regulatory process Past date Earliest expected date Sept/Oct 2020 Dec 2020 Jan 2021 Feb Mar WHO EUL regulatory SII/AZ Moderna WHO EUL Sinovac, Sinopharm, timeline Oxford/AZ Pfizer/BioNTech CanSinoBIO Dec 31 Sept/Oct 2020 Jan 2021 Feb Mar Values Guidance on Interim recs Interim recs Interim recs Sinopharm tbd framework prioritization of Pfizer/BioNTech Moderna Oxford/AstraZeneca J&J tbd Sep 14 target populations Jan 5 Jan 25 Feb 8 SAGE Nov 13 meetings & policy recommen dations https://www.who.int/publications/i/item/who-sage-values-framework-for-the-allocation-and-prioritization-of-covid-19-vaccination https://www.who.int/publications/m/item/who-sage-roadmap-for- prioritizing-uses-of-covid-19-vaccines-in-the-context-of-limited-supply https://www.who.int/publications/i/item/WHO-2019-nCoV-vaccines-SAGE_recommendation-BNT162b2-2021.1 https://www.who.int/publications/i/item/interim-recommendations-for-use-of-the-moderna-mrna-1273-vaccine-against-covid-19 11
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