Roadshow Presentation - Zalando Corporate
←
→
Page content transcription
If your browser does not render page correctly, please read the page content below
Agenda Investment highlights Bringing our growth ambitions to life Building a truly sustainable platform Creating long term value Q1/2021 Results 2 Roadshow Presentation Q1/21
Investment Highlights - Zalando. The Starting Point for Fashion. 01 We have a clear vision and strategy and our number one priority is growth 02 Over the last years we have made tremendous progress and consistently delivered on our targets The opportunity for Zalando is immense, making us 03 confident that we can reach >30bn EUR GMV by 2025 and capture >10% of the fashion market long-term 04 We continue to drive investments that will catalyze long-term growth for our business At scale, our platform strategy will result in an attractive 05 financial profile characterized by a double digit margin and strong cash generation 3 Roadshow Roadshow Presentation Presentation Q1/21 FY/20
Our vision is to be the Starting Point for Fashion We provide customers a distinct and compelling … making Zalando THE app for fashion fashion proposition … Most extensive assortment Seamless convenience Tailored digital experience 4 Roadshow Presentation FY/20 Q1/21
The most important building block of the Starting Point vision is to transition towards a true platform business model Customer benefits ● Desirable and comprehensive assortment ● High availability Zalando benefits Partner benefits ● Platform adds scale to ● Direct access to European Zalando digital consumer ● Less inventory risk – while ● Leverage Zalando improving customer capabilities (tech, data, offering logistics) 5 Roadshow Roadshow Presentation Presentation Q1/21Q1/21
We have a strong and consistent growth track record, growing 4x in 6 years after IPO - clear confirmation of our strategy Group GMV1 2014-2020, in bn EUR ~3% market share Outgrew European online fashion market by factor of 2- 3x2 Exceeded 10bn EUR GMV 10.7 target set on CMD in 2017 8.2 6.6 5.5 4.4 Remained consistently 3.6 profitable with high re-invest 2.7 into growth 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 1) Gross Merchandise Volume (GMV) incl. VAT 2) Source: Euromonitor International, February 2020. Values based on actuals and estimates; fixed exchange rates. Fashion data incl. apparel and footwear, bags and luggage, jewelry and watches. Data for Europe (excluding Russia) inclusive of sales tax 6 Roadshow Roadshow Presentation Presentation Q1/21Q1/21
We are confident that we can capture more than 10% of the total European fashion market long-term by further executing on our vision and strategy The COVID-19 pandemic has accelerated change in the fashion industry that has long been in progress and blurred the boundaries between offline and online Total fashion >450bn EUR1 Our platform strategy allows us to play an even bigger role in fashion for customers and partners >10% 1) Source: Company estimates and Euromonitor International forecasts, February 2020. Euromonitor forecasts the overall European Fashion Market to grow to roughly 450bn EUR over the next 5-10 years. Values based on actuals and estimates; fixed exchange rates. Fashion data incl. apparel and footwear, bags and luggage, jewelry and watches. Data for Europe (excluding Russia) inclusive of sales tax 7 Roadshow Roadshow Presentation Presentation Q1/21Q1/21
We significantly upgrade our 2025 GMV ambition to more than 30bn EUR GMV1 growth ambition 2025 Margin trajectory in bn EUR ~3x >30 ~2x Primary focus is on capturing the immense growth opportunity Coming years therefore marked by continued ~20 growth investments ~11 Long term double digit profitability ambitions are unchanged, but on a higher level of scale 2020 Old 2023/24 target New 2025 CMD 2019 target CAGR: 20-25% 1) Gross Merchandise Volume (GMV) incl. VAT 8 RoadshowRoadshow Presentation Presentation Q1/21 FY/20
Our long term profitability ambitions are unchanged, but on a higher level of scale by transitioning to higher margin business and increasing economies of scale Target Margin (growth in line with / slightly above online fashion market) Partner Group margin impact In % of revenue Wholesale1 Key Drivers Business vs. 2020 ● Transition to a Platform business model and Gross margin economies of scale Fulfillment costs ● Reversal of temporary return rate benefit and enhanced, more sustainable convenience experience ● Starting Point Vision unfolds and share of existing Marketing costs customers increases ● Continued focus on overhead-efficiencies and Admin expenses economies of scale ● Transition to higher margin platform business and increasing Adj. EBIT margin 6-8% 20-25% 10-13% economies of scale 1) Wholesale includes Offprice 9 Roadshow Roadshow Presentation Presentation Q1/21 FY/20
Agenda Investment highlights Bringing our growth ambitions to life Building a truly sustainable platform Creating long term value Q1/2021 Results 10 Roadshow Roadshow Presentation Presentation Q1/21Q1/21
To bring our growth ambition to life, we follow clear strategic priorities Increase penetration in existing Innovate the way we engage with Build a platform that is relevant for markets and expand to new markets our customers all our partners in Europe Customer choice Population penetration1 (active customers as % of total population) +1.4x since 2018 Enabling Partner Connected Top 5 Wholesale markets ~21% Direct-to- assortment Program Retail assortment assortment Consumer All +1.5x since ~10% markets 2018 Direct-to-Consumer Bottom 5 ~6% +1.7x since markets 2018 Driving internationalisation ZFS < 50% of GMV ZFS > 50% of GMV Connecting to consumers 1) Excl. UK & Ireland 11 Roadshow Roadshow Presentation Presentation Q1/21Q1/21
We have substantial leeway to grow active customers in existing markets and will expand our footprint to reach even more customers Increasing penetration in existing markets Expanding footprint in Europe Population penetration1 Market footprint (active customers as % of total population) +1.4x since 2018 Top 5 ~21% markets ~100m in population not yet addressed Expanding to 8 further markets All +1.5x since starting mid 2021 ~10% 2018 markets Existing markets Bottom 5 +1.7x since To be launched 2021 ~6% markets 2018 To be launched 2022 Increasing our overall penetration to the level already achieved in We want to be the Starting Point for Fashion top 5 markets would double our active customers1 across Europe 1) Source: Statista, February 2021. Excluding UK & Ireland 12 Roadshow Roadshow Presentation Presentation Q1/21Q1/21
We are a truly European fashion platform and have reached key milestones in 2020 >50% of GMV generated outside of DACH Exceeded 1bn EUR in GMV in the Nordics Generated highest active customer growth in Southern Europe 13 Roadshow Roadshow Presentation Presentation Q1/21Q1/21
We innovate and improve the customer experience along two dimensions Improving the Elevating distinct core (fashion) experience customer propositions Endless choice Pre-Owned Beauty Seamless convenience Zalando Lounge Designer Zalando Plus Tailored digital experience And more. 14 Roadshow Presentation Roadshow Q1/21FY/20 Presentation
As a result, our customer base is growing, visiting us more often and happier than ever with our experience Active customers Site visits1 Customer satisfaction (Zalando Fashion Store NPS) +46% +72% 5.4bn 2020 38.7m 26.4m 3.1bn 63 All time high 2018 2020 2018 2020 1) Based on the change in consent management following the privacy 15 Roadshow Presentation Roadshow Q1/21FY/20 presentation requirements, part of the data is estimated on a statistical method
We are building a platform that provides a scalable solution for brands, retailers and stores and thereby allows us to serve an increasing number of active customers... Enabling Direct-to-Consumer Driving internationalisation Connecting to consumers ZFS > 50% of sold items in PP Customer choice ZFS < 50% of sold items in PP Wholesale Partner Connected assortment Program Retail assortment assortment Direct-to-Consumer Long-term target: 50% GMV share from Long-term target: ~75% of Partner Long-term target: 3-4% GMV share Partner Program & Connected Retail Program items shipped by ZFS from ZMS 16 Roadshow Roadshow Presentation Presentation Q1/21Q1/21
Over the past the two years, we achieved important milestones in driving the Platform Transition Progress towards our target model FY 2020 in Germany 2018 Q4 2020 Q4 Target model 34% Partner Program, 40% Partner Program incl. Connected 10% 24% share of Fashion Store Retail GMV1 Zalando 75% ZFS share of Fulfillment 25% 51% Partner Program items2 Solutions Zalando FY 2020 3-4% ZMS revenue of Marketing 0.7% 1.5% 1.2% GMV2 Services 1) Partner Program share of 40% refers to our business model mix ambition for 2023/24. In our long-term target model, we aim for a 50% Partner Program share 2) Refers to our long-term target model ambition 17 Roadshow Roadshow Presentation Presentation Q1/21Q1/21
Agenda Investment highlights Bringing our growth ambitions to life Building a truly sustainable platform Creating long term results Q1/2021 Results 18 Roadshow Roadshow Presentation Presentation Q1/21Q1/21
We are drastically reducing our own emissions and will work with our partners to do the same Our own operations (Scope 1+2) Tons of CO2 from own operations -64% -80% As of 2019, we offset all remaining emissions, making us carbon neutral in our own operations, deliveries & returns 2017 2020 2025 target Our supply chain (Scope 3) Our Science Based Target: Zalando commits that 90% of our suppliers Our aspiration: will have set Science Based Targets by 2025 We are carbon neutral in our own operations and aim for a 1.5°C pathway in line with the Paris Agreement 19 Roadshow Roadshow Presentation Presentation Q1/21Q1/21
We encourage brands to produce and customers to choose more sustainable products GMV from more sustainable products3 % of total GMV 25% Upgraded Increased more sustainable 16% assortment to 1.7bn EUR in GMV 80k products 7% Raising the bar on eligibility Our aspiration: We enable customers to make criteria more sustainable choices 20191 20202 2023 target2 1) Zalando Fashion Store, after returns 2) Zalando Group, after returns 3) Products carrying the sustainability flag. Does not include Pre-Owned 20 Roadshow Roadshow Presentation Presentation Q1/21Q1/21
On our path towards having a net-positive impact, we will continue to shape new business models and expand into circular systems Products are designed for Products are collected for circularity and last longer, or recycling or other end-of- consist of recycled and/or use technologies recyclable materials Products are re-used and Products are used for as long their lives extended as possible within original Our aspiration: intended purpose (through We move the fashion industry restyling, care, or repair) from linear to circular 21 Roadshow Roadshow Presentation Presentation Q1/21Q1/21
Agenda Investment highlights Bringing our growth ambitions to life Building a truly sustainable platform Creating long term value Q1/2021 Results 22 Roadshow Roadshow Presentation Presentation Q1/21Q1/21
We aim to triple our business to more than 30bn EUR GMV over the next 5 years GMV Growth Ambition 2025 Revenue Growth Ambition 2025 in bn EUR in bn EUR >30 ~3x ~2.5x ~50% Partner ~2x share1 ~1.6x ~20 ~40% Partner share1 ~20 ~13 ~11 ~8 2020 Old 2023/24 target New 2025 2020 Old 2023/24 Target New 2025 CMD 2019 Target CMD 2019 Target CAGR: 20-25% CAGR: ~20% 1) Partner Program Share in % of Fashion Store GMV 23 Roadshow Roadshow Presentation Presentation Q1/21 FY/20
New mid-term guidance until 2025 reflects continued strong and profitable growth 2019 Guidance New Guidance New Guidance for Transition Phase 2021 2022 – 2025 2019 – 2021 Continue to grow 2-3x faster than 20-25% 27-32% 20-25% GROWTH online market (GMV) growth 3-6% (Re-)invest Starting in lower half platform benefits 2-4% 3.5-4.1% in 2022 and and economies PROFITABILITY approaching high end of scale to drive (ADJ. EBIT) by 2025 growth Enable growth ● Cash flow negative ● FCF neutral ● FCF neutral through ● NWC neutral ● NWC negative ● NWC negative investments in ● Capex of 4-5% of ● Capex of 3.5-3.9% ● Capex of 3.5-4.5% technology and CASH GENERATION revenue of revenue of revenue infrastructure 24 Roadshow Roadshow Presentation Presentation Q1/21 FY/20
We have the necessary infrastructure and capabilities to support our 2025 ambition Payments Platform Access to Fashion Supply ● Powerful inhouse Payments Platform ● Unique ability to access global fashion equipped with e-Money license supply via three sources: own Wholesale ● Processing payment volume of ~20bn inventory, Partner Program brand & retailer EUR in 2020 for all customers and partners inventory, Connected Retail store inventory ● Proprietary Buy Now Pay Later solution ● Enabling broad selection and high with >70% Offering Rate across 11 countries availability while sharing inventory risk driving conversion and customer satisfaction with partners Highly scalable Technology & European Data Platform Logistics Network ● Unique European logistics network with 10 sites across 5 countries ● Highly scalable proprietary cloud based ● Adding 2 new fulfillment centers technology platform covering the whole in Madrid, Spain, and Rotterdam, value chain of fashion commerce – for us the Netherlands, in 2021 and our partners ● 12 warehouses can fulfill ~14bn EUR GMV, ● Unique data infrastructure and state of plan to invest 1bn EUR Capex to build 7 the art AI expertise that drive data based more and enable 23bn EUR Zalando fulfilled value creation (e.g. size & fit) GMV. 25 Roadshow Roadshow Presentation Presentation Q1/21Q1/21
Platform model to drive higher long-term profitability at scale Zalando Zalando Partner Program CR Connected Retail ZFS Fulfillment Marketing Solutions Services ● Curated Marketplace enabling ● Digital Storefront for ● Flexible and cost-efficient ● Data infused marketing brands’ direct-to-consumer Offline Retailers with turnkey solution for service to elevate Value Proposition Nationwide Reach business across Europe European E-Commerce branding and drive sales logistics on and off premise ~75% of Partner Program Long-term Target ~50% of GMV1 ~3-4% of GMV Items Shipped Current Status ~51% of Partner Program ~24% of GMV ~1.5% of GMV (Q4 2020) Items Shipped Revenue Model 5-25% Commission in % of GMV Cost Plus Model Auction Model Gross Margin Impact (vs. Group 2020) 1) Partner Program Share in % of Fashion Store GMV 26 Roadshow Roadshow Presentation Presentation Q1/21 FY/20
Agenda Investment highlights Bringing our growth ambitions to life Building a truly sustainable platform Creating long term value Q1/2021 Results 27 Roadshow Roadshow Presentation Presentation Q1/21Q1/21
2021 is off to a great start as we delivered exceptional growth and made fast strides on our journey towards being the Starting Point for Fashion Growing our Customer Base: Surpassed 40m active customers in Q1, driven by exceptional new customer growth. Building Great Customer Experiences: Expanded pre-owned fashion experience internationally, enabled more sustainable choices and enhanced our Plus program. Expanding our European Logistics Network: Adding 5 new fulfillment centers to our network by 2023 to serve our customers even better and to enable continued strong growth. Exceptional Q1 financial performance: Delivered GMV growth of +55.6% YoY and strong profitability with adj. EBIT margin of 4.2%. Upgraded full-year 2021 outlook: GMV growth of 31-36%, Revenue growth of 26-31% and adj. EBIT of 400-475m EUR. 28 Roadshow Presentation Q1/21
We continue to innovate the way we engage with our customers by launching a number of exciting new experiences Introduced Pre-Owned Launched New Value Based Enhanced Experience for our in Seven New Markets Browsing Experience Zalando Plus Customers Pre-Owned: 14 out of 17 markets ● More customers can now enjoy the most ● Customers are now able to filter our vast selection ● Plus customers get early access to limited product convenient Pre-owned fashion experience in Europe by different sustainability causes launches ahead of anyone else ● Enables customers to trade in and buy Pre-owned ● New experience allows customers to make more ● Provides brands with an exciting new tool to target fashion with the same seamless Zalando experience informed choices based on values they care about our best customers with their most exciting offers 29 Roadshow Presentation Q1/21
To serve our customers even better, we will expand our European logistics network by adding five new fulfillment centers by 2023 Key Focus Areas Zalando European Logistics Network ● Offer even more customers faster and more convenient deliveries New Fulfillment Center in Germany New Fulfillment Center in Poland ● Provide customers with more New Fulfillment sustainable logistics services Center in France Zalando Fulfilled GMV Capacity ● Enable our long term growth ambition ~23bn+ by providing sufficient capacity ~18bn ~14bn 7+ new FCs ● Continue to drive cost efficiency 10 open sites to come through tailored automation 2 to go live in 2021 2022 2023 2025 2022-2025 3 to go live in 2023 30 Roadshow Presentation Q1/21
In Q1, we delivered the strongest topline performance since IPO, fueled by a strong momentum in Germany on the back of an outstanding performance of our Partner Business Revenue1 – Group (Q1) Fashion Store – DACH (Q1) (in €m and %) (in €m and %) Fashion Store Offprice GMV Other² 921 +54.6% 664 2,238 GMV +55.6% Q1/20 Q1/21 1,524¹ Fashion Store – Rest of Europe (Q1) (in €m and %) GMV 1,088 +52.7% 728 Q1/20 Q1/21 Q1/20 Q1/21 1) Q1/21 (Q1/20) contains -€148.0m (-€89.6m) reconciliation. Fashion Store DACH contains -€68.9m (-€43.7m) and Fashion Store RoE contains -€65.6m (-€37.6m). 2) Other segments includes various emerging businesses 31 Roadshow Presentation Q1/21
All our key customer metrics showed significant improvements Active customers (in #m) Average orders per active 4.7 4.9 customer (LTM in #) Q1/20 Q1/21 Average basket 57.9 size after returns1 56.3 41.8 (LTM in €) 31.9 Q1/20 Q1/21 GMV per active Q1/20 Q1/21 283.3 customer2 265.9 (LTM in €) Q1/20 Q1/21 1) Defined as GMV divided by the number of orders, dynamically reported 2) Defined as GMV divided by the number of active customers; rounding differences may occur, dynamically reported 32 Roadshow Presentation Q1/21
We delivered exceptional profitability in Q1 on the back of strong topline momentum and continued tailwind from lower return rate Adj. EBIT1,2 – Group (Q1) Fashion Store – DACH (Q1) (in €m and %) (in €m and %) Fashion Store Offprice 4.2% (1.7%) 9.0% Other3 83 93 26 0.5% (6.5%) 4.2% (12) 66 Q1/19 Q1/20 Q1/21 6 (99) 8 8 26 4 (7) Fashion Store – Rest of Europe (Q1) (6) 0 (in €m and %) (100) (2.8%) (1.6%) (12.1%) (18) (17) (88) Q1/19 Q1/20 Q1/21 Q1/19 Q1/20 Q1/21 1) Q1/21 (Q1/20) contains €1.4m (€0.0m) reconciliation 2) Excluding share-based compensation (SBC) in Q1/21 (Q1/20 ) of 14.8 €m (14.5€m) 3) Other segment includes various emerging businesses 33 Roadshow Presentation Q1/21
The increase in profitability was primarily driven by healthy gross margin improvement and lower return rates Costs and margins Q1 (in % of revenue) 2019 2020 2021 YoY Delta Cost of sales (60.1%) (64.7%) (59.2%) (5.5pp) Strong sell-through 000 and one-off inventory write-down in Q1/20 Gross profit 39.9% 35.3% 40.8% 5.5pp Lower return rates and Fulfillment costs (28.7%) (29.9%) (25.5%) (4.4pp) high network utilization Marketing costs (7.0%) (8.1%) (7.7%) (0.4pp) Administrative expenses (5.4%) (4.7%) (4.0%) (0.7pp) & Other EBIT (1.3)% (7.4%) 3.5% 10.9pp Adj. EBIT1 0.5% (6.5%) 4.2% 10.7pp 1) Excluding equity-settled share-based payment expense (“SBC”), restructuring costs and non-operating one-time effects 34 Roadshow Presentation Q1/21
Upgraded FY/21 Outlook Old FY/21 Guidance New FY/21 Guidance GMV growth of 27 – 32%, and Revenue growth GMV growth of 31 – 36%, and Revenue growth of 24 – 29% of 26 – 31% Adj. EBIT1 of €350 – 425m Adj. EBIT1 of €400 – 475m Negative net working capital and Negative net working capital and €350 – 400m in Capex2 €350 – 400m in Capex2 1) Excluding equity-settled share-based payment expense (“SBC”) of ~€65m vs previously communicated ~€57m, restructuring costs and non-operating one-time effects for FY/21 2) Excludes M&A transactions 35 Roadshow Presentation Q1/21
Appendix Management Board The Zalando Share Zalando Investor Relations Team 36 Roadshow Roadshow Presentation Presentation Q1/21Q1/21
Management responsibilities following the Annual General Meeting Robert Gentz David Schneider Astrid Arndt Jim Freeman David Schröder Co-CEO Co-CEO Chief People Officer Chief Business and Chief Financial Officer Product Officer 37 Roadshow Roadshow Presentation Presentation Q1/21Q1/21
The Zalando Share Shareholder structure1,2 Share information1 Ordinary bearer shares Treasury shares. 0.7% Type of Shares with no-par value (Stückaktien) Kinnevik AB (publ): 20.71% Stock Exchange Frankfurt Stock Exchange Market Segment Regulated Market (Prime Standard) Index Listings MDAX, STOXX600, FTSE4Goods First day of trading October 1, 2014 Issue price EUR 21.50 Total Number of Shares Outstanding 260,939,349 Anders Holch Povlsen 9.83% Issued Share capital EUR 260,939,349 Other shareholders (free float) 68.76% 38 Roadshow Presentation Roadshow Q1/21FY/20Presentation Q1/21 Roadshow presentation
Zalando Investor Relations Team Patrick Kofler Dorothee Schultz Head of IR Junior Manager IR Patrick.Kofler@zalando.de Dorothee.Schultz@zalando.de Team Contact T: +49 3020 9681 584 Zalando Tamara-Danz-Straße 1 Nils Pöppinghaus Jan Edelmann 10243 Berlin Senior Manager IR Manager IR investor.relations@zalando.de Nils.Poeppinghaus@zalando.de Jan.Edelmann@zalando.de https://corporate.zalando.com/en 39 Roadshow Presentation Roadshow Q1/21FY/20Presentation Q1/21 Roadshow presentation
Upcoming events Date Event All events are virtual Friday, May 7-12 Roadshow different locations Tuesday, May 11 Fireside Chat with our CFO David Schröder (Bernstein) Wednesday, May 19 Annual General Meeting, Berlin Friday, May 20 Morgan Stanley Virtual Internet Field Trip Monday, June 7 Deutsche Bank Global Consumer Conference, Paris Tuesday, June 8 Berenberg Innovation Conference, London Tue - Wed, June 8-9 Erste Bank Conference, Warsaw Tuesday, June 15 Barclays Internet Conference, London Wed-Thu. June 16-17 dbAccess Berlin Conference 2021, Berlin Friday, June 18 Goldman Sachs Inaugural Digital Economy Conference, London Thursday, July 1 Unicredit Convertible Bond Conference Thursday, August 5 Q2/2021 Results 40 Roadshow Presentation Roadshow Q1/21FY/20Presentation Q1/21 Roadshow presentation
Disclaimer Certain statements in this communication may constitute forward looking statements. These statements are based on assumptions that are believed to be reasonable at the time they are made, and are subject to significant risks and uncertainties. You should not rely on these forward-looking statements as predictions of future events and we undertake no obligation to update or revise these statements. Our actual results may differ materially and adversely from any forward-looking statements discussed on this call due to a number of factors, including without limitation, risks from macroeconomic developments, external fraud, inefficient processes at fulfillment centers, inaccurate personnel and capacity forecasts for fulfillment centers, hazardous material / conditions in production with regard to private labels, lack of innovation capabilities, inadequate data security, lack of market knowledge, risk of strike and changes in competition levels. 41 Roadshow Presentation Roadshow Roadshow Q1/21FY/20 Presentation presentation Q1/21
You can also read