RISHI SUNAK VS LIZ TRUSS - THE NEXT PRIME MINISTER: THE FINAL CONTENDERS - SEC Newgate UK

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RISHI SUNAK VS LIZ TRUSS - THE NEXT PRIME MINISTER: THE FINAL CONTENDERS - SEC Newgate UK
THE NEXT
   PRIME MINISTER:

RISHI SUNAK
VS LIZ TRUSS
THE FINAL CONTENDERS
RISHI SUNAK VS LIZ TRUSS - THE NEXT PRIME MINISTER: THE FINAL CONTENDERS - SEC Newgate UK
For the third time in six years, the Conservative Party
                   finds itself looking for a new leader, with the winner
                      set to be announced on Monday 5 September.

                   After five rounds of voting        Despite having both served
                   among MPs, Foreign Secretary       together in Cabinet for most of
                   Liz Truss and former Chancellor    the Johnson administration,
                   Rishi Sunak emerged as the final   Sunak and Truss have set out
    INTRODUCTION   two candidates to face the full    significantly different positions
                   Conservative membership in a       on a range of issues, from the
                   head-to-head contest. While        economy to Net Zero, and are
                   Sunak finished top of each         set for a bruising month-long
                   round of MP voting, it is Truss    campaign to convince members
                   who starts the membership          they have the right ideas to win
                   ballot as clear favourite as       the next general election.
                   hustings take place around the
                   country during August.

                   Our SEC Newgate briefing looks at what the candidates stand for,
                   who their key allies and potential Cabinet appointments are, and
                   what positions they have taken on the crucial policy decisions they
                   will face when entering No.10 as Prime Minister.

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RISHI SUNAK VS LIZ TRUSS - THE NEXT PRIME MINISTER: THE FINAL CONTENDERS - SEC Newgate UK
LIZ TRUSS
                                                                                                                         The Foreign Secretary with a ten-year frontbench         Truss is running from the right of the Conservative
                                                                                                                         career behind her is pitching herself as the             Party and is known for her economic libertarian views
                                                                                                                         continuity candidate. Identified by pundits as a         and enthusiastic support for free trade. A Liberal
                                                                                                                         frontrunner early in the Conservative leadership race,   Democrat during her student days and a campaigner
                                                                                                                         her campaign got off to a rockier than expected start,   for a remain vote in the 2016 referendum on the UK’s
                                                                                                                         with Penny Mordaunt coming close to keeping her          EU membership – as Sunak’s campaign has been
                                                                                                                         off the final ballot.                                    eager to remind the Conservative membership base
                                                                                                                                                                                  -Truss has refashioned herself as a
                                                                                                                                                                                  born-again Brexiteer.

                                                                                                                         Leading Sunak in polls of Conservative Party members, Truss has
                                                                                                                         announced that as Prime Minister, she would reverse the national
                                                                                                                         insurance rise, introduce a temporary moratorium on green levies

                             WHO ARE
                                                                                                                         on energy bills, and rule out corporation tax hikes.

                         RISHI SUNAK AND
                            LIZ TRUSS?
                                                                                                                         She has been keen to draw attention to the difference    Known for her at times idiosyncratic speaking style,
                                                                                                                         between her background and Sunak’s, emphasising          which has led to clips of some of her speeches going
                                                                                                                         her education at a state comprehensive school and        viral, her campaign has faced some challenges over
    RISHI SUNAK                                                                                                          drawing some media criticism for describing              whether she cuts a ‘serious’ enough figure for a
    The one-time favourite to be next in line, whose          opportunities that he went on to enjoy, a narrative that   Roundhay in Leeds - where she spent part of her          potential Prime Minister. However, these criticisms
    resignation as Chancellor helped bring about              the Sunak campaign put at the heart of his original        childhood - as a ‘red wall’ area.                        seem to be having minimal influence on the position
    Boris Johnson’s sudden downfall. Sunak’s handling         launch video. Concerns remain among some                                                                            of Conservative members. As the situation stands,
    of the economy during the pandemic - built on huge        members, however, about the questions Sunak would                                                                   Truss is in pole position to become the next
    additional spending - catapulted him into the             face in a general election campaign regarding his                                                                   Prime Minister.
    spotlight and earned him plaudits from MPs and the        family wealth.
    public alike thanks to interventions such as the
    furlough scheme.                                          On policy, Sunak is positioning himself at the
                                                              responsible small ‘c’ conservative who has insisted on
    However, this picture has looked very different           tackling inflation and controlling the public finances,
    as of earlier this year. His fine for breaching Covid     before his promises of tax cuts can be delivered. His
    restrictions coupled with the media attention on his      decision to temporarily scrap VAT on energy bills to
    wife’s tax affairs left him facing accusations of being   help with the cost of living, however, is evidence of
    out of touch and out of luck as he pushed through         the pressure his fiscal conservatism has come under
    a controversial rise in National Insurance.               during the campaign.

    He has tried to fight back against perceptions of him     Sunak’s handling of the
    as part of the wealthy elite by emphasising the
                                                              economy during the pandemic -
    conservative values of ambition and hard work,
    highlighting his family’s backstory as evidence of the
                                                              built on huge additional spending
    opportunities that the UK can provide. Sunak’s family     - catapulted him into the
    emigrated to the UK with little money but built a         spotlight and earned him plaudits
    successful family business, working to provide the        from MPs and the public.

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RISHI SUNAK VS LIZ TRUSS - THE NEXT PRIME MINISTER: THE FINAL CONTENDERS - SEC Newgate UK
KEY ALLIES AND POSSIBLE CABINET                                                                 LIZ TRUSS                                                 Truss has also been buoyed by a number of high-
                                                                                                                               Pitching herself as the continuity candidate who -        profile endorsements from her colleagues in the
        The first challenge for the new leader will be appointing a                                                            unlike Sunak - stayed loyal to Boris Johnson until the    Cabinet and former contenders in the leadership

     Cabinet that strikes the balance of rewarding their own supporters                                                        end, a Truss Cabinet is likely to bring together new      election. The endorsement from Defence Secretary
                                                                                                                               and old. Expect promotions for her inner circle, with     Ben Wallace, whom Truss has worked closely with in
       while also bringing in talent from all wings to unite the party                                                         Business Secretary Kwasi Kwarteng, Work and               response to the situation in Ukraine, no doubt

                             after a bitter contest.                                                                           Pensions Secretary Thérèse Coffey and                     provides a significant boost to her credentials as a
                                                                                                                               Chief Secretary to the Treasury Simon Clarke likely       candidate capable of leading on the major foreign
                                                                                                                               to be among the biggest winners.                          policy challenges of the day. Regarded as having
                                                                                                                                                                                         delivered an effective response to the Russian
    Ahead of what is to be a difficult end to the year with        Others who may be hoping for a
    spiralling living costs, a double-digit deficit to Labour                                                                  Kwarteng, a long-term friend and intellectual ally of     invasion, expect Wallace to remain in post, with one
                                                                   job under Sunak include Mel Stride,                                                                                   eye on the eventual role as NATO General Secretary.
    in the polls and further planned strike action, putting                                                                    Truss, shares her vision for a tax cutting, small state
    up a united front will be essential if the new                 who has been helping to lead his                            approach to governing. Should the Brexit-backing          Truss’ plans to increase defence spending, followed
    government is to hit the ground running.                       campaign. Currently serving as                              Kwarteng be promoted to Chancellor, we can expect         by the endorsement of Wallace look to signal a

                                                                   Chair of the Treasury Select                                the pair to sing from the same hymn sheet on the          reversal of Johnson’s planned cuts to troop numbers.
                                                                                                                                                                                         Tom Tugendhat’s endorsement also bolsters Truss’
    Though Sunak and Truss have each said they would               Committee - scrutinising Sunak’s                            economy, in stark contrast to the often-fractious
    offer the other a role in their Cabinet, the reality is that                                                               relationship between Johnson and Sunak.                   credentials as a serious figure on foreign policy and
                                                                   economic agenda from the                                                                                              is likely to be under consideration for a role in
    from Chancellor and Foreign Secretary the only way is
    down for whoever misses out on promotion to No.10,             backbenches - Stride represents a                           Despite working alongside Sunak, Chief Secretary          the Foreign Office next time round.
    meaning a return to the backbenches could be on the            safe choice for an economic brief                           to the Treasury Simon Clarke was an early backer of
    cards for the runner up, making it easier for them to          and knows the department well                               Truss’ campaign and has been critical of the former       Though the contest still has a way
    cause trouble for the winner.                                  following his time as Financial                             Chancellor’s move against Boris Johnson. Part of the
                                                                                                                                                                                         to go, the fact that Wallace and
                                                                                                                               2017 intake and representing one of the first bricks
                                                                   Secretary to the Treasury under                                                                                       Tugendhat have broken the way of
                                                                                                                               in the ‘Red Wall’ to fall, the Middlesbrough South and
    RISHI SUNAK                                                    Theresa May.                                                East Cleveland MP’s appointment to Business               Truss suggests that they are
    Sunak would also be expected to reward his
                                                                                                                               Secretary would be presented as a signal of Truss’        acutely aware of the current
    campaign team with roles at the top table. Health              One particular challenge for Sunak – and indeed Truss
    Secretary and former Chief of Staff to Boris Johnson,          - will be what to do with former Levelling Up
                                                                                                                               commitment to continue the levelling up agenda            direction of travel.
                                                                                                                               and allay fears that it will be left behind with the
    Steve Barclay, is touted as potential Chancellor,              Secretary Michael Gove. Gove was an early backer of         change in government.                                     International Trade Secretary Anne-Marie Trevelyan
    bringing experience from his time as Chief Secretary           Kemi Badenoch but has yet to declare for either of the
                                                                                                                                                                                         – whose strong criticism of Penny Mordaunt helped
    and an earlier stint as Economic Secretary                     final two candidates. Still regarded as an effective
                                                                                                                               Other loyal supporters                                    dent her campaign to Truss’ benefit - would also hope
    to the Treasury.                                               minister capable of driving ahead with his own
                                                                   agendas, most recently putting flesh on the bones of
                                                                                                                               including Work and Pensions                               to remain in the fold and challengers to the right of

    In line for returns from the wilderness are former             levelling up, Gove may be in line for an immediate          Secretary Thérèse Coffey and Trade                        Truss such as Kemi Badenoch and Suella Braverman
                                                                                                                                                                                         can also expect to be rewarded with good jobs.
    Housing Secretary Robert Jenrick and former Culture            return to the job he had made his own before his            Minster Ranil Jayawardena would
                                                                                                                                                                                         Tapping into the party’s new blood, rising stars of the
    Secretary Oliver Dowden, who resigned from his role            shock sacking.                                              also be in line for promotions, while                     2019 intake such as Dehenna Davison would be odds
    as party chair following the two by-election defeats
                                                                                                                               the newly appointed Education                             on to enter government for the first time in
    in Wakefield and Tiverton and Honiton. Jenrick and             As much as Sunak’s broad base of support from his
    Dowden are close allies of Sunak, with the three               colleagues in Cabinet and across government meant
                                                                                                                               Secretary, James Cleverly, would                          public-facing junior ministerial roles.

    penning a joint article during the 2019 leadership             he had the early momentum during the race, it also          also fancy his chances of retaining
                                                                                                                                                                                         How Truss would look to reward those Johnson
    campaign that played a key role in winning support             poses an additional layer of challenges with those          his place in the Cabinet.
                                                                                                                                                                                         uber-loyalists such as Nadine Dorries and
    for Boris Johnson among new MPs.                               backers looking to be rewarded. Deputy Prime
                                                                                                                                                                                         Jacob Rees-Mogg, whose backing helped haul her
                                                                   Minister Dominic Raab and Transport Secretary
                                                                                                                                                                                         above Mordaunt in the final round of MP voting,
                                                                   Grant Shapps are just two of the senior Cabinet
                                                                                                                                                                                         would be a more challenging prospect given their
                                                                   members whose endorsements lent significant
                                                                                                                                                                                         aggressive opposition to Sunak and the backlash to it
                                                                   credibility to Sunak’s bid and both will expect to retain
                                                                                                                                                                                         from his supporters.
                                                                   senior positions in government. Balancing this with
                                                                   the need to bring in his own team would no doubt be
                                                                   a major challenge early on.

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RISHI SUNAK VS LIZ TRUSS - THE NEXT PRIME MINISTER: THE FINAL CONTENDERS - SEC Newgate UK
E C O N O M Y A N D TA X
         Undoubtedly the biggest battle throughout this leadership
      campaign has been over economic policy and, in particular, the
    differing levels of taxation that Truss and Sunak are proposing. With
    a contest being fought at a time when the UK economy is suffering
      extreme stagflation, the new Prime Minister will have to develop
     policies to deal with low growth and high inflation, both at levels
             that have not been seen in the UK since the 1970s.

    Both candidates have attacked each other’s proposed         Economists and critics of Truss have highlighted that,
    tax policy. During the BBC debate, Sunak repeatedly         by nature, tax cuts are inflationary. Still, the Foreign
    interrupted Truss to declare that her plans were “not       Secretary hopes economic growth and further
    responsible,” “not moral,” and a “short-term sugar          borrowing will fund the cuts. Furthermore, Truss has
    rush,” with an effort to position himself as being more     been keen to highlight that both the American and
    fiscally conservative. Truss hit back, claiming that        Japanese economies have higher levels of debt than
    Sunak’s tax policies as Chancellor were                     the UK and that no other G7 nation has raised
    unconservative and his plans would lead the UK              taxes since the pandemic – and therefore, she
    towards a recession.                                        believes there is room for the UK to borrow more.

    Truss has pledged tax cuts                                  Truss also wants to view the Covid debt as akin to a
                                                                wartime debt, with less emphasis on repayment. It is
    totalling £30bn. She would reverse
                                                                a risky approach for Truss to take, given the global
    the National Insurance                                      inflationary predictions and tax cuts certainly will not
    increases that Sunak introduced,                            guarantee that the UK avoids a recession. She was
    cancel the Corporation Tax rises                            also unable to provide an answer to the

    due next April, and introduce a                             BBC Economics Editor, Faisal Islam, when he asked
                                                                what impact the record high long term interest rates
    temporary removal of green energy
                                                                would have on how ability to pay off public debts
    levies on electricity bills.                                from Covid-19. Despite this, she has claimed that the
                                                                economic policies of the last 20 years have failed and
    Sunak pledged to cut taxes, but only after inflation
                                                                stated that she wants to alter them radically.
    has peaked and returned to some level of normality.
    Sunak has pitched himself as the responsible
    candidate to manage the economy and has made
    tackling inflation his key priority. He has said he would
    stand by his increase in taxes but insists this will only
    be in the short term. He has been clear that he views
    any policy approach that passes on public debts from
    Covid-19 as both irresponsible, and unfair to future
    generations. Sunak has also avoided pledges to
    increase the defence budget or announce new public
    sector spending plans.

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RISHI SUNAK VS LIZ TRUSS - THE NEXT PRIME MINISTER: THE FINAL CONTENDERS - SEC Newgate UK
NET ZERO TARGETS

                                                                                                                      Sunak has stated that he supports the UK’s 2050 net zero target,
                                                                                                                     pushing the narrative that Net Zero would allow the UK to invest in
                                                                                                                      the economy of tomorrow. He has also announced that as Prime
                                                                                                                       Minister, he would introduce policies to move the UK towards a
                                                                                                                                    self-sufficient energy network by 2045.

                                                                                                                     Liz Truss has also stated her support for the UK’s legally binding Net Zero
                                                                                                                     target but has said that the Net Zero agenda must be delivered in a way
                                                                                                                     that “doesn’t harm people and businesses.”

             E N E R GY A N D N E T Z E R O
          The energy sector has been on the front pages since Russia
      invaded Ukraine. There is great pressure on both candidates to set
       out how they would navigate the UK out of the energy crisis, with
        COP26 President Alok Sharma threatening to resign should the
                new PM fail to deliver on the Net Zero agenda.

     However, despite the energy price crisis, green          Ultimately, neither Truss nor Sunak has demonstrated
     issues has not been especially prominent in either       the same level of enthusiasm for green policies and
     candidate’s campaign speeches or contributions to        Net Zero as Boris Johnson has during his time as PM.
     debates. Open Democracy noted that BBC, LBC and          While both have managed to secure the backing of
     GB News dedicated only 3% of interview time with         influential Conservative MPs who are committed to
     both candidates to climate issues. What Rishi Sunak      keeping the UK on a 2050 Net Zero trajectory (Net
     and Liz Truss have presented thus far have been          Zero Support Group Chair Chris Skidmore MP is
     described by the New Statesman as ‘lip service’, with    backing Sunak, and BEIS Secretary Kwasi Kwarteng
     both candidates promising un-costed tax cuts and         has thrown his support behind Truss) it remains to
     Truss stating that green levies on energy bills should   be seen how much these voices will influence the
     be temporarily scrapped.                                 direction of either’s campaign – or premiership.

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RISHI SUNAK VS LIZ TRUSS - THE NEXT PRIME MINISTER: THE FINAL CONTENDERS - SEC Newgate UK
GREEN ISSUES

     At a hustings organised by the Conservative Environment Network,
     Truss pledged that if she becomes Prime Minister, she would attend
        and send a delegation to the COP15 biodiversity conference
                                 in Montreal.

     Truss has previously been criticised by parts of the      Moreover, he has pledged to
     renewable energy industry for introducing
                                                               uphold the ban on new onshore
     controversial cuts to subsidies for solar farms during
     her time as Environment Secretary, and for claiming at    wind farms in England, which would
     the time that solar farms hindered food production.       mark a departure from
                                                               Boris Johnson’s plans to consider
     Sunak has announced that he would consider                relaxing the planning rules for
     introducing new energy efficiency schemes for
                                                               onshore wind in England in areas
     housing. However, some critics have noted that
     during his time as Chancellor, there were reports of      where it has local support.
     clashes between Sunak and Johnson over green
     policies, and Sunak is believed by some to have
     delayed the release of the government’s Heat
     and Buildings Strategy.

                                                  ENERGY BILLS

          During Truss’ campaign, she has emphasised her focus on
       energy security, and has pledged that she would put a temporary
       moratorium on green levies on energy bills. She has also argued
       that the war in Ukraine demonstrates that reliance on fossil fuels
                               is “unsustainable.”

     Criticising her opponent’s introduction of a windfall     Sunak has announced that he
     tax on oil and gas company profits during his time as
                                                               would remove the 5% VAT charged
     Chancellor, Truss has said that she does not believe in
     windfall taxes, and that “what we should be doing is      on household energy bills for
     encouraging Shell and other companies to invest in        12 months from October if, as
     the UK because we need to get our productivity up.”       expected, the energy price cap for
                                                               a typical consumer rises above
                                                               £3,000. This announcement was
                                                               met with some criticism from Truss’
                                                               campaign, with BEIS Secretary and
                                                               Truss-backer Kwasi Kwarteng
                                                               describing the move as “a
                                                               screeching handbrake U-turn.”

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H E A LT H                                                  HOUSING
                                                                                                                     Winning him few friends on the backbenches but              Housing remains one of the major public service
                                                                                                                     signalling his commitment to pragmatism against his         challenges which the candidates will need to confront
                                                                                                                     own economic instincts, Sunak’s major contribution to       in office.
                                                                                                                     NHS reforms remains the increase to national
                                                                                                                     insurance contributions. With waiting lists at record       Throwing red meat to the membership, Sunak has
                                                                                                                     highs, Sunak declared that addressing this would be         pledged to protect the Green Belt and prioritise
                                                                                                                     his “number one public service priority” in office with     housing reform through building more houses in the
                                                                                                                     the further target of eliminating one year waits by the     North and Midlands, while also reforming the
                                                                                                                     end of 2024.                                                planning system to empower local communities.

                                                                                                                     As part of last year’s Budget, he provided an               Showing her willingness to take on a challenge, Truss’
                                                                                                                     additional £6bn in funding for the NHS as part of           approach is rather different. She has outlined her
                                                                                                                     broader plans which Truss has also committed to             desire to build a million new homes on the Green Belt
                                                                                                                     honouring. Truss would be likely to find her hands tied     while also scrapping “Whitehall, Soviet-style,
                                                                                                                     in continuing to provide this additional funding for        top-down targets.” Also key will be the appointment
                                                                                                                     the NHS. Consistent with her wider agenda of cutting        of the next Housing Minister – with a dozen different
                                                                                                                     red tape, she has also outlined her desire to reduce        housing ministers in as many years, such a churn in
                                                                                                                     micromanagement on the NHS frontlines, to reduce            personnel inevitably makes planning for the
                                                                                                                     waiting times and increase GP capacity.                     long-term difficult.

     PUBLIC SERVICES                                                                                                 E D U CAT IO N
                                                                                                                     Pitching herself as the ‘Education Prime Minister,’ Truss
                                                                                                                     has set out her six-point plan for reforming the
     Truss favours a low tax, small state in which the government                                                    education system, including driving up maths and
                                                                                                                     literacy standards while replacing failing academies
     focuses on encouraging growth and reducing regulation, while                                                    with free schools. She has also announced plans to
     shifting power away from Westminster and Whitehall. As he                                                       give all pupils who achieve top grades at A-Levels
                                                                                                                     automatic interviews at Oxford and Cambridge.
     demonstrated throughout the pandemic, Sunak is more
     pragmatic in his approach. The experience of being Chancellor                                                   Given her background as a junior minister at the
                                                                                                                     Department for Education – her first role in
     during the Covid-19 period has meant that he had to make                                                        government – education is perceived as an area of
     numerous politically challenging decisions, in many cases against                                               advantage for Truss over Sunak. Much of her focus in
                                                                                                                     the role was on driving up standards for early years
     his own more fiscally conservative instincts.                                                                   education and reforming A-Levels to make Britain
                                                                                                                     competitive on the world stage, so it is unsurprising to
     Truss has vowed to maintain current levels of public   Taking a more pragmatic approach informed by his         see this agenda developed as she mounts her
     spending despite her plans to cut tax. Whether the     time heading up the nation’s finances, Sunak initially   leadership bid.
     numbers add up remains to be seen, but her             warned against tax cuts until public finances improve.
     immediate priority as set out during her campaign      The planned increases to corporation tax along with      Aside from announcing a ban on Confucius Institutes
     would be encouraging economic growth to drive          the National Insurance hike he signed off on have won    in schools and allowing Ofsted to grade PE lessons,
     investment from the private sector. As for public      him few friends amongst the Conservative                 Sunak’s vision for education is less clearly defined. As
     sector spending, her priority is making the current    membership base.                                         Chancellor he signalled an interest in skills reform, so
     system work better through ‘cutting bureaucracy’ and                                                            this may well be an area which we would see built out
     ensuring that government support is provided in a                                                               under his premiership.
     more targeted way.

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RISHI SUNAK VS LIZ TRUSS - THE NEXT PRIME MINISTER: THE FINAL CONTENDERS - SEC Newgate UK
FOREIGN POLICY
                                                         BREXIT

      Unsurprisingly Brexit has continued to play a significant role in the
       leadership contest, posing its own unique set of challenges to
                               both candidates.

     Sunak, who backed Brexit from the beginning in spite     Truss, by comparison, has had an
     of warnings about the impact that it might have on his
                                                              easier time shaking off critics’ views
     political career, has struggled to win over the more
     ardent Eurosceptics within the party despite his         on her Brexit position. Having
     repeated calls for the UK to embrace the                 championed remain in the EU
     opportunities that Brexit brings. At last year’s         referendum, Truss has been able to
     Conservative Party Conference, he proclaimed that        effectively rebrand herself as a born
     “the agility and freedom provided by Brexit would be
                                                              again Brexiteer – helped in no small
     more valuable in a 21st century global economy than
     just proximity to a market.” In government he has        part by being the face of post-Brexit
     continued to champion the use of freeports, special      Britain through signing Free Trade
     areas within the UK’s borders with different             Agreements (FTAs) with Japan,
     economic rules which he believed would make it           Australia and New Zealand during
     easier and cheaper to do business.
                                                              her time as International Trade and
                                                              Foreign Secretary respectively.
     As a consequence, Sunak has
     sought to convince his                                   Most recently, Truss has been leading the Northern
     pro-Brexit colleagues of his                             Ireland Protocol Bill through Parliament, legislation
     credentials by promising to scrap or                     that will unilaterally scrap parts of the deal signed with

     reform all “EU law, red tape and                         the EU in 2020. In spite of fierce EU opposition, Truss
                                                              believes that the legislation will fix parts of the
     bureaucracy that is… slowing
                                                              Northern Ireland Protocol which were “undermining
     economic growth.” The former                             the Belfast (Good Friday) Agreement.”
     Chancellor has also pledged to
     create a new Brexit Delivery                             Being the face of Global Britain has lent her credibility

     Department which will be tasked                          in representing the country on a global stage, shaking
                                                              off some of the concerns from those within the party
     with focusing on either removing or
                                                              regarding her previous support for Remain. This status
     reforming the 2,400 EU laws in our                       has been further cemented by securing the support of
     statute book so Britain can                              some of the most vocal Brexiteers in the Conservative
     “capitalise on the freedoms”                             Party, including members of the influential European

     of Brexit.                                               Research Group and Minister for Brexit Opportunities,
                                                              Jacob Rees-Mogg.

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RISHI SUNAK VS LIZ TRUSS - THE NEXT PRIME MINISTER: THE FINAL CONTENDERS - SEC Newgate UK
I MMI GR ATI ON                                                      However, Truss’ changing position on China has also been picked up on by
        As one of the ‘red meat’ policy areas for the membership, both                                                   Team Sunak. In a speech in 2014 as Education Minister, Truss said she was
        candidates have taken hard-line stances on immigration as they                                                   “delighted to support the IoE Confucius Institute”, adding, “the Confucius
                                                                                                                         Institute and its network of Confucius classrooms will put in place a strong
         jostle to position themselves as the toughest on issues such as                                                 infrastructure for Mandarin.” This perceived double standard in Truss’
                     Rwanda and the Calais/Dover crossings.                                                              actions and rhetoric will no doubt be something that Sunak looks to
                                                                                                                         capitalise on in promoting his credentials as the candidate best suited
     Declaring in The Telegraph that the UK’s ’’asylum         The Foreign Secretary has arguably gone further than
     system is broken”, Sunak argued that taking back          any other candidate on immigration during this
                                                                                                                         to dealing with China on the international stage.
     control of our borders was one of the reasons he          contest, vowing to expand the Rwanda deportation
     campaigned to leave the EU. As part of this pitch, he     policy to other countries and increase frontline border
     also set out his 10-point plan to tackle illegal          staff by 20 percent if she becomes Prime Minster. Her
     immigration, which included: capping the number           commitment to fully implement the Rwanda policy has
     of refugees the UK accepts each year, creating a new      led to her telling Conservative colleagues, during the    FREE TRADE
     cross-government small boats taskforce, and               first formal hustings, that she would be “prepared to
     tightening the definition of who qualifies for UK         leave the European Court of Human Rights (ECHR)”
                                                                                                                         Trade is one of the policy areas where Truss is strongest.
     asylum. Sunak has also repeatedly voiced his support      if they continued to exert influence on the UK’s          Throughout her time as International Trade Secretary, Truss
     for the Rwanda policy, stating that he would do           immigration plans. This report seemed to be
     “whatever it takes to implement it and pursue             confirmed after Truss said she would “not cower to
                                                                                                                         advocated for the benefits of free trade. During the second reading
     additional similar partnerships.”                         the ECHR and its continued efforts to try and control     of the Trade Bill, Truss highlighted how free trade not only helps
                                                               immigration policy.”
                                                                                                                         Britain, but the entire world, noting how it has helped to lift a billion
     CHINA
                                                                                                                         people out of extreme poverty. Moreover, in a speech to Policy
     As Foreign Secretary, Truss has raised her concerns       During the contest Sunak has come out as a critic of
     about China. During her Mansion House speech              China, believing the Chinese Communist Party to be        Exchange, Truss argued that free trade can help to achieve the
     earlier this year, she urged China to “play by the        the “largest threat to Britain.” As a result, he has
                                                                                                                         Government’s levelling up agenda as she set out how the UK’s new
     rules” and insisted that the country’s economic rise      proposed a series of measures to mitigate Beijing’s
     was “not inevitable.” Truss has also called out China’s   influence in the UK, including closing all 30 branches    trade strategy will move from “defence to offence.”
     human rights violations in Xinjiang and warned            of the Confucius Institute in the UK, creating a new
     an invasion of Taiwan would be a “catastrophic            ‘NATO-style’ international alliance to tackle
     miscalculation.”                                          Chinese cyberthreats, as well as reviewing all            Her most notable achievements as International Trade      Truss’ main trade policy centres
                                                                                                                         Secretary include the Free Trade Agreements (FTAs)
                                                               UK-Chinese research partnerships that could assist                                                                  around the previously mentioned
                                                               China’s technology or have military applications.         signed with Australia and Japan, and the opening of
     The Foreign Secretary has been                                                                                      trade negotiations with New Zealand and the               ‘new Commonwealth deal,’ sitting at
     keen to appear tough on China and                         Despite this recent tough stance on China, Sunak’s        Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for               “at the heart” of her Global Britain
     has pledged to crack down on                              previously sympathetic views have not gone                Trans-Pacific Partnership (CPTPP).                        plan. Her plan is to expedite
     Chinese-owned tech companies                              unnoticed. During his Mansion House Speech in July                                                                  bilateral trade agreements with
                                                                                                                         In spite of his desire to leave the EU, an independent
     such as TikTok. She has also                              2021, the former Chancellor argued that too often                                                                   member nations by prioritising a
                                                               “the debate on China lacks nuance” and that Britain       trade policy was not one of the issues that led Rishi
     announced that she will launch a                                                                                    Sunak to campaign for Brexit. In Parliament, the          model Commonwealth Trade
                                                               needs to establish “a mature and balanced
     “new Commonwealth deal” to                                relationship” with “one of the most important             former Chancellor has rarely mentioned free trade. In     template which, once agreed, will
     counter China’s “growing                                  economies in the world.” Allies of Truss have also        July this year, he said the future FTA between            allow countries to have access to a
     malign influence.”                                        accused Sunak of being soft on China, with former         India and the UK holds exciting prospects for             fast-track process to establish
                                                                                                                         financial services but during the leadership contest he
                                                               Conservative Party Leader, Sir Iain Duncan Smith,                                                                   tailored bilateral agreements.
                                                               highlighting that the Treasury under Sunak pushed         has not spoken about his plans for new FTAs.

                                                               hard for an economic deal with China.

18                                                                                                                                                                                                                        19
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