REVIEW OF RESEARCH 2020 - Informed policy for a better Ireland - The Economic and Social Research Institute

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REVIEW OF RESEARCH 2020 - Informed policy for a better Ireland - The Economic and Social Research Institute
REVIEW OF
RESEARCH
2020

      Informed policy for a better Ireland
REVIEW OF RESEARCH 2020 - Informed policy for a better Ireland - The Economic and Social Research Institute
About the ESRI
The Economic and Social Research Institute is an      ESRI researchers uphold the highest academic
independent research institute working towards        standards. The quality of the Institute’s research
a vision of ‘Informed policy for a better             output is guaranteed by a rigorous peer review
Ireland’. The ESRI seeks to support sustainable       process. Research is published only when it
economic growth and social progress in Ireland        meets the required standards and practices.
by providing a robust knowledge base capable          Research quality has also been assessed as part
of providing effective solutions to public policy     of two peer reviews of the Institute, in 2010 and
challenges.                                           2016.

The Institute was founded in 1960 by a group          ESRI research findings are disseminated widely
of senior civil servants, led by Dr T.K. Whitaker,    in books, journal articles and reports. Reports
who identified the need for independent and           published by the ESRI are available to download,
in-depth research to support the policymaking         free of charge, from its website. ESRI staff
process in Ireland. Since then, the Institute has     members communicate research findings at
remained committed to independent research            regular conferences and seminars, which provide
and its work is free of any expressed ideology        a platform for representatives from government,
or political position. The Institute publishes all    civil society and academia to discuss key findings
research reaching the appropriate academic            from recently published studies and ongoing
standard, irrespective of its findings or who funds   research.
the research.
                                                      The ESRI is a company limited by guarantee,
The ESRI brings together leading experts from         answerable to its members and governed by a
a variety of disciplines who work together to         Council, comprising a minimum of 11 members
break new ground across a number of research          and a maximum of 14 members, who represent
initiatives. The expertise of its researchers         a cross-section of ESRI members: academia,
is recognised in public life and researchers          civil service, state agencies, businesses and civil
are represented on the boards and advisory            society.
committees of several national and international
organisations.
REVIEW OF RESEARCH 2020 - Informed policy for a better Ireland - The Economic and Social Research Institute
Contents
Introduction���������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������3
The year in numbers������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������4
ESRI Conferences and Public Seminars�������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������5
Conferences, Webinars and Workshops������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������5
Public Seminars��������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������6
Research Areas���������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������7
Behavioural Science�������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������8
Competitiveness, Trade and FDI��������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������� 14
Education���������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������� 21
Energy, Environment and Infrastructure�������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������� 26
Growing Up in Ireland������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������� 34
Health and Quality of Life������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������� 40
Labour Market and Skills��������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������� 46
Macroeconomics���������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������� 52
Migration, Integration and Demography������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������� 58
Social Inclusion and Equality�������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������� 64
Tax, Welfare and Pensions������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������ 70
External Commitments of Research Staff������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������ 76
Staff List as of 31 December 2020���������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������������� 81

                                                                                                                      ESRI Review of Research 2020                        1
REVIEW OF RESEARCH 2020 - Informed policy for a better Ireland - The Economic and Social Research Institute
(L to R) Philip Lane (European Central Bank) and Alan Barrett (Director, ESRI) in conversation at the
    Royal Irish Academy on 14 February 2020.

    (l to R) Alan Barrett (Director, ESRI) and Michael McGrath TD, Minister for Public Expenditure and
    Reform meeting in the Department of Public Expenditure and Reform on 23 September 2020.

2   ESRI Review of Research 2020
REVIEW OF RESEARCH 2020 - Informed policy for a better Ireland - The Economic and Social Research Institute
Introduction
The ESRI’s annual Review of Research is an             We re-directed our research agenda rapidly in
opportunity for us to describe the important           2020 and, like many others, changed our working
work of the Institute as we strive to achieve          practices overnight to a remote model. However,
our vision of ‘informed policy for a better            we also maintained the core features of our work
Ireland’. The ESRI performs a unique role in           and I will mention just two here.
Irish public life in producing high-quality, in-
dependent research which functions as a key            Firstly, our commitment to academic rigour was
input into evidence-informed policy-making.            maintained. A rigorous peer review process
                                                       guarantees the quality of the Institute’s research
The extent of public policy challenges and the         output and we publish work only when it meets
need for evidence were never more evident than         the highest standards. Our researchers also
in 2020 as the world grappled with the COVID           publish in international peer-reviewed journals,
crisis. At the time of writing, the crisis continues   thereby demonstrating that our work measures
although with hope on the horizon as the vaccine       up to top international standards.
programme gathers pace.
                                                       Secondly, the Institute remained independent,
From early in 2020, the Institute re-oriented its      with its work free of any expressed ideology or
research agenda and worked to contribute to
                                                       political position. We publish all research reaching
the broader understanding of the impacts of the
                                                       the appropriate academic standard, irrespective
crisis and the policies needed to mitigate those
                                                       of its findings or who funds the research.
impacts. In the case of some of our research
programmes, the inputs into the policy sphere          As we look ahead to widespread vaccination
were very direct. For example, the Health team         and the re-opening of Ireland’s economy and
supported the work of the National Public Health       society, the ESRI will remain committed to
Emergency Team (NPHET) through their work              supporting informed public debate by promoting
on modelling the demands on the healthcare             the importance of high-quality research, by
system arising from COVID. Our Behavioural
                                                       making our research widely available and by
Research Unit also supported NPHET, for example,
                                                       communicating the results in a variety of public
by developing clearer insights into how public
                                                       fora.
health messaging could be most effectively
communicated. Our Tax, Pensions and Welfare            Before concluding, I want to thank our funders,
team undertook analysis of the costs and               our members and our research partners for their
distributional impacts of the new COVID-related        valuable support. I would like to acknowledge in
payments.                                              particular the grant provided by the Department
Other strands of research also provided important      of Public Expenditure and Reform. I would
insights into how the crisis was impacting upon        also like to thank the numerous government
different groups. For example, the challenges for      departments, state agencies and other
disadvantaged children, younger workers and            organisations that commissioned the research
women all featured in ESRI research and the            described throughout this document.
associated reports will help to direct policy in the
coming months and years as we work to redress
the negative impacts of the crisis. In addition,       Professor Alan Barrett
the macroeconomic impacts were assessed                Director of the ESRI
in the four issues of the Quarterly Economic
Commentary.

                                                                           ESRI Review of Research 2020       3
REVIEW OF RESEARCH 2020 - Informed policy for a better Ireland - The Economic and Social Research Institute
2020
The Year in Numbers
Publications                            Research
                                        Bulletins        31
 70   Journal
      articles
                                                  Book/Report
                                                  chapters      11

    42     ESRI Working
           Papers                              Reports        51

   Oireachtas                                    Written answers 49
                                                    + Committee
                                                    mentions 54
   ESRI researchers                               + 78 Dáil debates
 addressed Oireachtas         The ESRI was      + 11 Seanad debates
 committees 2 times.          mentioned in
                               Oireachtas
                              proceedings
                               183 times.

Media                                        Events
                 72                          35
                                             (29 online)

                 radio and
                 television
                 interviews

Research programmes and projects
  New research          Completed research        Ongoing research
programmes and           programmes and           programmes and
    projects:                projects:                projects:

      54                       17                          83
REVIEW OF RESEARCH 2020 - Informed policy for a better Ireland - The Economic and Social Research Institute
ESRI CONFERENCES AND
                  PUBLIC SEMINARS 2020
CONFERENCES, WEBINARS AND WORKSHOPS

• Value of the local environment for health       • Evaluation of SICAP pre-employment
  and wellbeing: planning implications,             supports, September
  January                                         • UCD-ESRI energy policy research conference,
• Growing Up in Ireland data workshop,              September
  January, March, September                       • International practices on civics and
• Attracting and retaining migrant-led start-       language requirements linked to
  ups and innovative entrepreneurs from             naturalisation, September
  outside the EU, January                         • ‘Has the Gender Revolution Stalled?’ – 2020
• Environmental policy, competitiveness             Geary Lecture with Paula England, Professor
  and green growth: International and Irish         of Sociology, NYU, October
  evidence, February                              • ESRI post-Budget briefing, October
• The potential costs and distributional effect   • Student and school leader experience of
  of COVID-19 related unemployment in               Educate Together second-level, October
  Ireland, April
                                                  • Growing Up in Ireland 12th Annual Research
• Minimum wage policy in Ireland, May               Conference, October
• MaREI’s 9th Annual Energy and Climate           • Supporting young people’s sexual health and
  Policy Research Seminar, May                      wellbeing through evidence and practice,
• The effect of the COVID-19 pandemic on            November
  consumption and indirect taxes in Ireland,      • Social transfers and deprivation in Ireland: A
  May                                               study of cash and non-cash payments tied
• National statuses for migrants in need of         to housing, childcare, and primary health
  protection: Ireland and the EU, May               care services, November
• Origin and integration: A study of migrants     • Environment, health & wellbeing conference
  in the 2016 Irish Census, June                    2020, November
• Child poverty in Ireland and the pandemic       • Arts and cultural participation among
  recession, July                                   17-year-olds, November
• Income adequacy in retirement, July             • Gender balance at work: a study of an Irish
• Implications of the COVID-19 pandemic for         Civil Service department, December
  policy in relation to children and young        • Supporting integration: access to citizenship
  people, July                                      in Ireland and the EU, December
• Launch of new Growing Up in Ireland             • Monitoring migrant integration in Ireland
  report: ‘Growing Up in Ireland: The Lives of      and COVID-19, December
  17/18-Year-Olds’, July

                                                                   ESRI Review of Research 2020      5
REVIEW OF RESEARCH 2020 - Informed policy for a better Ireland - The Economic and Social Research Institute
ESRI PUBLIC SEMINAR SERIES

    • Estimated human capital externalities in an            • The regional effect of Australia’s Consumer
      endogenous growth framework, January                     Directed Care model for older people,
    • The impact of social prescribing on general              November
      practice use, February                                 • Age, morbidity, or something else? A
    • Good schools or good students? The                       residual approach using microdata to
      importance of selectivity for school rankings,           measure the impact of technological
      March                                                    progress on healthcare expenditure,
                                                               December

    (L to R) Paul Gosling, (Special Advisor to the SDLP); Alan Barrett (Director, ESRI); Matthew O’Toole
    (SDLP MLA); and Seamus McGuinness (ESRI) meeting in Stormont on 2 September 2020.

    Alan Barrett (Director, ESRI) at the EMN Ireland/Department of Justice conference titled ‘Attracting
    and Retaining Migrant-led Start-ups and Innovative Entrepreneurs from outside the EU’ held on 29
    January 2020

6   ESRI Review of Research 2020
REVIEW OF RESEARCH 2020 - Informed policy for a better Ireland - The Economic and Social Research Institute
RESEARCH AREAS
                      A key feature of research in the ESRI is its multidisciplinary and collaborative nature.
                      ESRI researchers are involved in cutting-edge research projects, inspired by an
                      international and vibrant team across multiple disciplines. The research outputs
                      contribute to the national and international debate on major issues for society.

                      In 2020 the Institute’s research agenda was organised in the following 11 areas:

                                                    BEHAVIOURAL
                         TAXATION,                    SCIENCE
                                                                              COMPETITIVENESS,
                        WELFARE AND
                                                                               TRADE AND FDI
                         PENSIONS

   SOCIAL INCLUSION
    AND EQUALITY                                                                                    EDUCATION

   MIGRATION,                                                                                            ENERGY,
INTEGRATION AND                                                                                      ENVIRONMENT &
  DEMOGRAPHY                                                                                         INFRASTRUCTURE

         LABOUR MARKETS                                                                   GROWING UP IN
            AND SKILLS                                                                       IRELAND

                                                                   HEALTH AND
                                    MACROECONOMICS                 QUALITY OF
                                                                      LIFE

                                                                                ESRI Review of Research 2020     7
REVIEW OF RESEARCH 2020 - Informed policy for a better Ireland - The Economic and Social Research Institute
8   ESRI Review of Research 2020
Behavioural
Science

         ESRI Review of Research 2020   9
Behavioural
                  Science

         RESEARCH AREA
         COORDINATOR:
         Pete Lunn
                                         Highlights
                                         • A review of evidence for using behavioural
         OTHERS WORKING IN                  science to fight COVID-19, which included
         THIS AREA INCLUDE:                 an extensive literature search of relevant
         Deirdre Robertson, Shane           behavioural interventions and studies of
                                            crises, was published at the start of the
         Timmons, Kieran Mohr,
                                            pandemic in Ireland.
         Hannah Julienne, Ciarán Lavin
         and Martina Barjaková           • An experimental pre-test of COVID Tracker,
                                            Ireland’s COVID-19 contact-tracing app, was
                                            carried out before its launch, with a large
                                            sample of smartphone users.

10   ESRI Review of Research 2020
The Behavioural Science research area uses
controlled laboratory, online and field
experiments to investigate decisions and
behaviours across multiple policy areas. For
the Behavioural Research Unit (BRU), 2020 was
dominated by work on COVID-19

At the beginning of the pandemic, the team         The results demonstrated better public
produced a rapid review of relevant evidence,      engagement with some versions. These
ranging from tests of practical interventions      findings fed directly into the design and
designed to increase handwashing to how            successful launch of the app.
best to galvanise support for collective public
                                                   In addition to work on COVID-19, the BRU
action. This review was the first international
                                                   completed an experimental study, funded
paper to be published on how to use
                                                   by the OECD, that involved undertaking a
behavioural science to support the COVID-19
                                                   laboratory experiment in Ireland and Chile.
response.
                                                   The study showed that consumers in both
Pete Lunn, the head of the BRU, joined the         a developed and an emerging economy
Behavioural Change Subgroup of NPHET, which        were vulnerable to exploitation through
commissioned a series of research studies          personalised pricing (varying prices charged
from the team, funded by the Department            to different customers based on background
of Health. The studies were designed to            characteristics or internet search histories),
investigate different aspects of the public        regardless of the strength of online regulatory
response to the pandemic. This stream of work      disclosures.
was turned around very rapidly, using online
                                                   The BRU also completed an online pre-test
data collection. It led to papers on: testing
                                                   of explanatory ‘primers’ designed to explain
effective ways to promote social distancing,
                                                   time-of-use (ToU) tariffs to residential
measuring public expectations, trialling
                                                   electricity consumers, funded by the
communications to support people needing to
                                                   Commission for the Regulation of Utilities.
self-isolate, measuring public understanding
                                                   The study demonstrated generational
of the Test-and-Trace system, comparing
                                                   differences in how consumers respond to the
public and expert perceptions of the riskiness
                                                   potential financial and environmental benefits
of different social activities, and gauging the
                                                   of ToU tariffs. It also showed that presenting
reliability of self-reports of compliance with
                                                   tariffs as graphical clocks made consumers
public health guidelines.
                                                   more likely to make mistakes. The findings
One additional study involved pre-testing          are being used to assist consumers during the
different versions of COVID Tracker, Ireland’s     rollout of smart meters across the country.
contact-tracing app. The online study
randomised participants to download one
of eight different versions of the app, which
varied in their ‘call to action’ and description
of how the app worked and stored data.

                                                                    ESRI Review of Research 2020     11
Journal Articles                        Predicting farms’ noncompliance with
                                                        regulations on nitrate pollution, Journal of
                                                        Environmental Planning and Management,
                                                        Pete Lunn, Seán Lyons, Martin Murphy.
     Can Visual Cues to Portion Size Reduce
     the Number of Portions Consumed? Two               Rainfall, population density and voter turnout,
     Randomized Controlled Trials, Annals of            Electoral Studies, Vol. 64, April 2020, 102128,
     Behavioral Medicine, Deirdre Robertson,            Abian Garcia Rodriguez, Paul Redmond.
     Ciarán Lavin, Pete Lunn.
                                                        Smart choices? An experimental study of smart
     Demographic variation in active consumer           meters and time-of-use tariffs in Ireland,
     behaviour: On-line search for retail broadband     Energy Policy, Vol. 140, May 2020, 111243,
     services, Heliyon, Vol 6, Issue 7, July 2020,      Cameron Belton, Pete Lunn.
     e04478, Elsevier, Philip Carthy, Pete Lunn,
                                                        Using Behavioral Science to help fight the
     Seán Lyons.
                                                        Coronavirus, Journal of Behavioral Public
     Experimental evidence for the effects of           Administration, Vol. 3, No. 1, 2020, Pete
     emissions charges and efficiency information       Lunn, Cameron Belton, Ciarán Lavin, Féidhlim
     on consumer car choices, Journal of Cleaner        McGowan, Shane Timmons, Deirdre Robertson.
     Production, Vol. 254, May 2020, 120140, Áine
                                                        Using decision aids to support self-isolation
     Ní Choisdealbha, Shane Timmons, Pete Lunn.
                                                        during the COVID-19 pandemic, Psychology &
     Green and simple: Disclosures on eco-              Health, Routledge, Pete Lunn, Shane Timmons,
     labels interact with situational constraints in    Hannah Julienne, Cameron Belton, Martina
     consumer choice, Journal of Consumer Policy,       Barjaková, Ciarán Lavin, Féidhlim McGowan.
     Vol. 43, 2020, pp. 699–722, Springer, Áine Ní
     Choisdealbha, Pete Lunn.
     It depends on how you ask: measuring bias                  Reports and Other Publications
     in population surveys of compliance with
     COVID-19 public health guidance, Journal of
     Epidemiology and Community Health, 2020,           Public expectations for lifting COVID-19
     BMJ Publishing Group Ltd, Shane Timmons,           restrictions, ESRI Survey and Statistical Report
     Frances McGinnity, Cameron Belton, Martina         Series No. 88, ESRI, Dublin, Cameron Belton,
     Barjaková, Pete Lunn.                              Hannah Julienne, Shane Timmons, Martina
                                                        Barjaková, Ciarán Lavin, Féidhlim McGowan,
     Motivating social distancing during the
                                                        Pete Lunn.
     COVID-19 pandemic: An online experiment,
     Social Science & Medicine, Elsevier, Pete Lunn,    Public understanding and perceptions of the
     Shane Timmons, Cameron Belton, Martina             COVID-19 Test-and-Trace system, ESRI Survey
     Barjaková, Hannah Julienne, Ciarán Lavin.          and Statistical Report Series No. 96, ESRI,
                                                        Dublin, Shane Timmons, Martina Barjaková,
     Nudger beware: Diagnosis precedes remedy,
                                                        Deirdre Robertson, Cameron Belton, Pete Lunn.
     Journal of Behavioral Economics for Policy, Vol.
     3, Special Issue, pp. 23-26, Pete Lunn.
     Official advice improves mortgage-holders’
     perceptions of switching: Experimental
     evidence, Behavioural Public Policy, Shane
     Timmons, Martina Barjaková, Terence
     McElvaney, Pete Lunn.

12   ESRI Review of Research 2020
ESRI Research Bulletins                         ESRI Working Papers

CCPC advice helps consumers judge               Behavioural pre-testing of COVID Tracker,
mortgage offers, but potentially serious        Ireland’s contact tracing app, ESRI, Dublin,
misunderstandings remain, ESRI, Dublin,         Hannah Julienne, Ciarán Lavin, Cameron
Shane Timmons, Martina Barjaková, Terence       Belton, Martina Barjaková, Shane Timmons,
McElvaney, Pete Lunn.                           Pete Lunn.
Consumers struggle to choose new types of       Eliciting trade-offs between water charges
electricity tariffs, but comparison tools can   and service benefits in Scotland, ESRI, Dublin,
help, ESRI, Dublin, Cameron Belton,             Cameron Belton, Ciarán Lavin, Pete Lunn.
Pete Lunn.
                                                Is it riskier to meet 100 people outdoors or 14
Green and simple: Effective eco-labelling       people indoors? Comparing public and expert
for busy consumers, ESRI, Dublin, Áine Ní       perceptions of COVID-19 risk, ESRI, Dublin,
Choisdealbha, Pete Lunn.                        Shane Timmons, Cameron Belton, Deirdre
                                                Robertson, Martina Barjaková, Ciarán Lavin,
How much do survey estimates of compliance
                                                Hannah Julienne, Pete Lunn.
with COVID-19 advice depend on how the
question is asked?, ESRI, Dublin, Shane         Motivating social distancing during the
Timmons, Frances McGinnity, Cameron Belton,     COVID-19 pandemic: An online experiment,
Martina Barjaková, Pete Lunn.                   ESRI, Dublin, Pete Lunn, Shane Timmons,
                                                Cameron Belton, Martina Barjaková, Hannah
Online search for retail broadband services:
                                                Julienne, Ciarán Lavin.
Who searches most?, ESRI, Dublin, Philip
Carthy, Pete Lunn, Seán Lyons.                  Using behavioural science to help fight the
                                                Coronavirus, ESRI, Dublin, Pete Lunn, Cameron
Portion size markings on snack packaging
                                                Belton, Ciarán Lavin, Féidhlim McGowan,
influence how much people eat, ESRI, Dublin,
                                                Shane Timmons, Deirdre Robertson.
Deirdre Robertson, Ciarán Lavin, Pete Lunn.
                                                Using decision aids to support self-isolation
Predicting which farms are most likely to
                                                during the COVID-19 pandemic, ESRI, Dublin,
breach nitrate pollution regulations, ESRI,
                                                Pete Lunn, Shane Timmons, Hannah Julienne,
Dublin, Pete Lunn, Seán Lyons,
                                                Cameron Belton, Martina Barjaková, Ciarán
Martin Murphy.
                                                Lavin, Féidhlim McGowan.

                                                                 ESRI Review of Research 2020     13
14   ESRI Review of Research 2020
Competitiveness,
Trade and FDI

         ESRI Review of Research 2020   15
Competitiveness,
                  Trade and FDI

         RESEARCH AREA
         COORDINATOR:
         Iulia Siedschlag            Highlights
                                     • The speed of government interventions to
         OTHER COLLEAGUES               contain the spread of the COVID-19 pandemic
         WORKING IN THIS AREA IN        was mainly determined by countries’ health
                                        system capacity, demographic structure and
         2020 INCLUDED:                 economic factors. Boosting the health system
         Mattia Di Ubaldo, Martina      capacity would be important to reduce the cost
         Lawless, Stefano Meneto        of lockdown measures aimed at containing a
         and Weijie Yan                 pandemic.

                                     • Private investment in green technologies and
                                        innovations with environmental benefits could
                                        improve the competitiveness of enterprises in
                                        the medium term.

16   ESRI Review of Research 2020
ESRI research in this area focuses primarily on
structural and microeconomic factors and policies
underlying competitiveness and economic growth
in Ireland and other European countries in the
context of international economic integration

In 2020 research in this area addressed the        with the EU. Further research on Brexit
following themes: government interventions         examined the overall trade exposure of Ireland
to contain the spread of the COVID-19              and the particular customs status accorded
pandemic; the effects of Brexit on inputs from     to Northern Ireland under the Withdrawal
Northern Ireland on Irish exports to the EU; the   Agreement.
effects of green investments and innovations
on enterprise competitiveness; the impact          Research funded by the Environmental
of public R&D grants on the performance of         Protection Agency found that investments
awardees.                                          in equipment for pollution control and in
                                                   equipment linked to cleaner technologies
Research on COVID-19 examined the speed            improved in the medium term a range of
with which governments across the world            enterprise performance outcomes, including
introduced administrative measures to contain      their output, employment, productivity, export
the spread of the pandemic. The results            intensity and energy intensity. The effects
indicated that governments in countries            were found to be stronger for enterprises
with a weaker health system capacity and           that were larger, foreign-owned and more
in countries with a larger share of elderly        productive, and in low-tech industries such
populations were faster to start lockdown          as the food industry. Further research in this
measures. The highest level of containment         area found that enterprises that introduced
measures was reached at a slower speed             innovations with environmental benefits
in larger and in more open economies.              improved their export participation.
Taken together, the results suggested that
boosting the health system capacity would          A study commissioned by the Department
be important to reduce the cost of lockdown        of Business, Enterprise and Innovation
measures aimed at containing a pandemic.           found that grants from the Enterprise Ireland
                                                   Research, Development and Innovation
Research funded by the Department for              Programme have boosted the innovation and
the Economy, Northern Ireland examined             economic performance of awardees. Five
the effects that Brexit could have on inputs       years after receiving R&D grants, the awardees
to production in Ireland that are sourced in       recorded substantial increases in their R&D
Northern Ireland. Detailed trade data was used     expenditures, employment, output and export
to map the Northern Ireland inputs into Irish      sales.
exports to the EU, other countries the EU has a
free-trade agreement with and the rest of the
world. The results highlighted a potential risk
to supply-chain integration on the island that
could arise if Brexit were to result in a change
in how these inputs were classified by other
countries engaged in free-trade agreements

                                                                    ESRI Review of Research 2020    17
Journal Articles                                   Reports and Other Publications

     Investment in knowledge-based capital and             Northern Ireland inputs to Republic of Ireland
     productivity: Firm-level evidence from a small        EU FTA exports: Report for the Northern Ireland
     open economy, Review of Income and Wealth,            Department of the Economy, Northern Ireland
     Mattia Di Ubaldo, Iulia Siedschlag.                   Department of the Economy, Belfast, Martina
                                                           Lawless.
     Brexit and trade on the island of Ireland,
     Revue de l’OFCE, 167 (2020/3), Martina
     Lawless.

     (L to R) Keynote speaker Laura Burke (Director General, Environmental Protection Agency) and Iulia
     Siedschlag (ESRI) at the conference titled ‘Environmental policy, competitiveness and green
     growth: International and Irish evidence’ held on 21 February 2020.

18   ESRI Review of Research 2020
ESRI Working Papers

Containing the COVID-19 pandemic: What
determined the speed of Government
interventions?, ESRI, Dublin, Iulia Siedschlag,     Taken together, the
Weijie Yan.                                           results suggested
Green investments and firm performance,               that boosting the
ESRI, Dublin, Iulia Siedschlag, Weijie Yan.
Green innovations and export performance,
                                                          health system
ESRI, Dublin, Stefano Meneto, Iulia Siedschlag.      capacity would be
Go ahead and trade: The effect of uncertainty      important to reduce
removal in the EU’s GSP scheme, ESRI, Dublin,
Ingo Borchert, Mattia Di Ubaldo.
                                                  the cost of lockdown
Product line extensions under the threat of            measures aimed
entry: evidence from the UK pharmaceuticals              at containing a
market, ESRI, Dublin, Farasat A. S. Bokhari,
Weijie Yan.                                                   pandemic.
What drives firms’ decisions to spend on
environmental protection?, ESRI, Dublin, Iulia
Siedschlag, Weijie Yan.

                                                      ESRI Review of Research 2020   19
20   ESRI Review of Research 2020
Education

            ESRI Review of Research 2020   21
Education

           RESEARCH AREA
           COORDINATORS:
           Selina McCoy,                 Highlights
           Emer Smyth
                                         • The innovation shown by teachers and learners
           OTHERS WORKING IN                 during the pandemic shows the significant
                                             potential of digital technology to improve how
           THIS AREA INCLUDE:
                                             students learn at second level.
           Georgiana Mihut,
           Gretta Mohan,                 • The use of digital video in initial teacher
           Merike Darmody,                  education showed that the digital video footage
           Ciarán Mac Domhnaill,            was highly supportive in pre-service teachers’
           Bertrand Maître, Seán Lyons      weekly self-reflection and in developing their
           and Eamonn Carroll               self-reflective practice.

22   ESRI Review of Research 2020
The Education research area covers all levels
of the Irish educational system, including
early childhood education, primary, second-
level, and further and higher education

Research in 2020 focused on the impact of the       be important in shaping provision for students
COVID-19 pandemic for second-level students,        with additional needs in primary and second-
policy and provision for students with              level schools, and across the post-school
additional needs, the experiences of students       landscape. Funded by Educate Together,
in Educate Together schools, the role of            new research on second-level schools in this
schools in shaping health behaviours, arts and      sector pointed to the inclusivity of their school
cultural participation, and the role of digital     climates and their focus on student-centred
technologies in learning and wellbeing.             learning, but highlighted some challenges
                                                    given that many schools are located in
In collaboration with researchers in the Energy,    temporary premises.
Environment, and Infrastructure research area
and as part of a programme funded by the            A number of studies drew on secondary
Department of Environment, Climate and              analysis of Growing Up in Ireland data,
Communications, and ComReg, researchers             including research on the role of early
surveyed and interviewed second-level               mobile-phone ownership in shaping child
principals to understand the challenges for         development and gender stereotyping
schools during the first period of COVID-related    in perceptions of boys’ and girls’ maths
school closures. The report showed the impact       performance. As part of a research programme
of inequality in terms of digital access and        with the HSE undertaken with a researcher
socio-economic disadvantage. A review of            in the Health area, two reports showed the
research, as part of a research programme           influence of schools on the likelihood of young
with the Department of Children,                    people engaging in different health behaviours
Equality, Diversity, Integration and Youth,         (such as drinking, smoking and exercise/diet)
highlighted the impact of the pandemic on           and on their access to information about sex
the broader wellbeing of children and young         and relationships. Another study, funded by
people.                                             the Arts Council, showed the way in which
                                                    the school attended influenced 17-year-olds’
Inclusion has been an important strand of ESRI      access to curricular and extracurricular arts and
education research, with new primary research       culture, with DEIS schools playing an important
for the National Disability Authority               role in bridging the social gap.
reviewing the provision across countries of
specialist community living and personal            Education researchers continued to be
assistance supports for people with disabilities.   involved in a range of work for the European
Work was initiated for the National Council         Commission, including critically assessing
for Special Education on two large-scale            education policy developments as part of the
studies: an evaluation of the School Inclusion      Directorate General for Education and
Model and a longitudinal study on post-             Culture’s Network of Independent Experts
school pathways among young people with             in Education and Training.
special educational needs. Both studies will

                                                                      ESRI Review of Research 2020      23
Journal Articles                         Learning for all? Second-level education in
                                                         Ireland during COVID-19, ESRI Survey and
                                                         Statistical Report Series No. 92, ESRI, Dublin,
                                                         Gretta Mohan, Selina McCoy, Eamonn Carroll,
     Secondary school subjects and gendered STEM
                                                         Georgiana Mihut, Seán Lyons, Ciarán Mac
     enrollment in higher education in Germany,
                                                         Domhnaill.
     Ireland, and Scotland, International Journal
     of Comparative Sociology, Vol. 61, Issue 1,
     2020, pp. 59-78, Marita Jacob, Cristina Iannelli,
     Adriana Duta, Emer Smyth.                                    Chapters in Books and Reports
     Forbidden fruit? Student views on the use of
     tablet PCs in education, Technology, Pedagogy       Educational inequalities: the role of schools,
     and Education, Vol. 29, Issue 3, 2020, pp. 347-     Nele McElvany, Heinz Günter Holtappels,
     360, Bryan Coyne, Selina McCoy.                     Fani Lauermann, Aileen Edele, Annika Ohle-
     Post-secondary outcomes of innovative high          Peters (eds.), Against the Odds – (In)Equity in
     schools: The Big Picture Longitudinal Study,        Education and Educational Systems, Waxmann,
     Teachers College Record, Vol. 122, No. 8,           Münster, Emer Smyth.
     2020, Karen D. Arnold, Georgiana Mihut.             Growing Up in Ireland: Insights on inclusion
     Secondary school transition for students with       in schools, Brian Mooney (ed.), Ireland’s
     special educational needs in Ireland, European      Yearbook of Education 2019–2020, Education
     Journal of Special Needs Education, Vol. 35,        Matters, Dublin, Georgiana Mihut, Selina
     Issue 2, 2020, pp. 154-170, Selina McCoy,           McCoy.
     Michael Shevlin, Richard Rose.                      How should second-level schools respond in
     Special education reforms in Ireland: changing      an era of digital learning?, Brian Mooney (ed.),
     systems, changing schools, International            Ireland’s Yearbook of Education 2019–2020,
     Journal of Inclusive Education, Neil Kenny,         Education Matters, Dublin, Ann Marcus-Quinn,
     Selina McCoy, Georgiana Mihut.                      Tríona Hourigan, Selina McCoy.
     Video-based self-reflection among pre-              Insights from the Youthreach evalution, Brian
     service teachers in Ireland: A qualitative study,   Mooney (ed.), Ireland’s Yearbook of Education
     Education and Information Technologies,             2019–2020, Education Matters, Dublin, Selina
     2020, Selina McCoy, Aoife Lynam.                    McCoy.
                                                         Leaving Certification, Miriam E. David
                                                         & Marilyn J. Amey (eds.), The SAGE
                                                         Encyclopedia of Higher Education, Emer
             Reports and Other Publications              Smyth.

     Arts and cultural participation among 17-year-
     olds, ESRI Research Series No. 103, ESRI,
     Dublin, Emer Smyth.                                              ESRI Research Bulletins
     Examining the experiences of students,
     teachers and leaders at Educate Together            Shaping educational expectations among
     second-level schools, ESRI Research Series No.      13-year-olds and their parents, ESRI, Dublin,
     113, ESRI, Dublin, Selina McCoy, Georgiana          Emer Smyth.
     Mihut.

24   ESRI Review of Research 2020
ESRI Working Papers                           Other Papers

Academic and socio-emotional outcomes           Gender stereotyping in parents’ and teachers’
of young people with special educational        perceptions of boys’ and girls’ mathematics
needs and the role of parental educational      performance in Ireland, UCD Geary Institute
expectations, ESRI, Dublin, Georgiana Mihut,    for Public Policy Discussion Paper 202010,
Selina McCoy, Bertrand Maître.                  ESRI, Dublin, Selina McCoy, Delma Byrne, Pat
                                                O’Connor.
Choosing differently? College application
behaviour and the persistence of educational
advantage, ESRI, Dublin, Judith Delaney, Paul
Devereux.
How gender and prior disadvantage predict
performance in college, ESRI, Dublin, Judith
Delaney, Paul Devereux.
The effect of high school rank in English and
math on college major choice, ESRI, Dublin,
Judith Delaney, Paul Devereux.

                                                                ESRI Review of Research 2020    25
26   ESRI Review of Research 2020
Energy,
Environment and
Infrastructure

         ESRI Review of Research 2020   27
Energy, Environment
                  and Infrastructure

        RESEARCH AREA
        COORDINATORS:
        Seán Lyons and
        John Curtis                   Highlights
        OTHERS WORKING IN             • Visiting green space is associated with positive
        THIS AREA INCLUDE:               outcomes for general, cardiovascular, and
        Philip Carthy, Kelly De          mental health. The marginal health impacts are
        Bruin, Desta Fitiwi, Ankita      greatest at relatively low visit levels. For instance,
        Gaur, Gianluca Grilli, Dana      increasing the number of green-space visits to just
                                         once per month is associated with a 4-percentage
        Kirchem, Manuel Tong
                                         point increase in the probability of experiencing
        Koecklin, Genaro Longoria,       good mental health and wellbeing.
        Muireann Á. Lynch, Ciarán
        Mac Domhnaill, Eoin           • The COVID-19 crisis is estimated to have reduced
        Monaghan, Anne Nolan,            2020’s GDP by approximately 13 per cent,
        Arya Pillai, Miguel Tovar        whereas, from an environmental perspective,
        Reaños, Constantine              economy-wide CO2 emissions are expected to
                                         decrease by 9.5 per cent. These reductions are
        Spandagos, Aykut Mert            anticipated to reverse as the pandemic is brought
        Yakut, Shiyu Yan and             under control.
        Tong Zhu

28   ESRI Review of Research 2020
Research in this area is funded through several
multiannual research programmes

Energy and Climate research is funded by           benefit for the combined systems. Other
the Department of Environment, Climate             research includes the profitability of battery
and Communications (DECC), Commission              storage in electricity markets, the accuracy of
for Regulation of Utilities, ESB, Ervia, Gas       wind energy forecasts, and a literature review
Networks Ireland, EirGrid, SSE Ireland,            on heat pumps in the context of a low-carbon
Viridian, Terra Solar, Science Foundation          transition.
Ireland (SFI), and the Sustainable Energy
Authority of Ireland. Research related to the      The research programme on Environmental
environment, including fisheries and water         Economics, funded by the Environmental
quality, is funded by the Department of            Protection Agency (EPA), was renewed for a
Housing, Local Government, and Heritage            further two-year period in June 2020. An EPA
(DHLGH), the Environmental Protection              research report was published in November,
Agency, and Inland Fisheries Ireland.              summarising the results of the research
Research on electronic communications              conducted over the period 2018–2020.
networks and services is funded by the             Additional papers on the association between
Commission for Communications                      rents and commuting, on the links between
Regulation (ComReg) and DECC.                      public park attributes, visits and health, and
                                                   on the effects of charges and efficiency
The ESRI’s Research Programme on Climate,          information on consumer car choices were
Energy and the Economy focused on an               also published in 2020.
analysis of the impacts of the COVID-19
crisis on Irish emissions, the economy and         A new three-year phase began of our
households, and investigating the impacts of       Communications research programme funded
transition to a low-carbon economy on labour       by DECC and ComReg. A study was conducted
and employment.                                    during the first COVID-19 school-building
                                                   closures, starting in March 2020, to investigate
The Energy Research Programme spans                how digital connectivity, applications and
market design and regulation, energy services,     devices may have mediated some effect of
energy infrastructure, and the interface with      the sudden transition to distance education
society and the environment. Research              for second-level schools. This led to a report
during 2020 found that regulations limiting        in June 2020 focusing on the relationship
the expansion of onshore wind generation           between student engagement during the
(e.g. set-back distances) leads to relatively      lockdown and availability of high-speed
low increases in overall system-level costs,       broadband in school catchment areas.
though there are substantial regional
variations. In terms of public acceptance of       The Water research programme, in
energy infrastructure, attitudinal factors shape   collaboration with DHLGH, undertook an
people’s preferences more consistently than        evaluation of public initiatives to change
any of the socio-demographic characteristics.      behaviours that affect water quality, and work
The wastewater treatment sector is among the       is currently underway on behaviours within
largest electricity consumers in the economy,      local authorities and the agriculture sector.
and ongoing research finds that integrated         Fisheries research in 2020 focused on anglers’
management of both the electricity and             ‘catch and release’ choices, as well as angling
wastewater systems could yield substantial         demand.

                                                                    ESRI Review of Research 2020      29
Journal Articles

     Access to and consumption of natural gas:          Neuroscience application for the analysis of
     Spatial and socio-demographic drivers, Energy      cultural ecosystem services related to stress
     Policy, Vol. 143, 2020, 111614, John Curtis,       relief in forest, Forests, Vol. 11, Issue 2, 2020,
     Miguel Tovar Reaños, Gianluca Grilli.              190, Sandro Sacchelli, Gianluca Grilli, Irene
                                                        Capecchi, Lorenzo Bambi, Elena Barbierato,
     Do rising rents lead to longer commutes? A
                                                        Tommaso Borghini.
     gravity model of commuting flows in Ireland,
     Urban Studies, Vol. 58, No. 2, 2021, pp.           Power system impacts of community
     264–279, Seán Lyons, Achim Ahrens.                 acceptance policies for renewable energy
                                                        deployment under storage cost uncertainty,
     Early mobile phone ownership: influencing the
                                                        Renewable Energy, Vol. 156, 2020, pp. 893-
     wellbeing of girls and boys in Ireland?, Journal
                                                        912, Desta Fitiwi, Muireann Á. Lynch, Valentin
     of Children and Media, Vol. 14, Issue 4, 2020,
                                                        Bertsch.
     Seraphim Dempsey, Seán Lyons, Selina McCoy.
                                                        Public park attributes, park visits, and
     Enhanced network effects and stochastic
                                                        associated health status, Landscape and
     modelling in generation expansion planning:
                                                        Urban Planning, Vol. 199, 2020, 103814,
     Insights from an insular power system,
                                                        Gianluca Grilli, Gretta Mohan, John Curtis.
     Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, Vol.
     71, September 2020, 100859, Desta Fitiwi,          Recreational angling demand in a mixed
     Muireann Á. Lynch, Valentin Bertsch.               resource fishery, Fisheries Management and
                                                        Ecology, Wiley, Gianluca Grilli, Soumyadeep
     Floods, flood policies and changes in welfare
                                                        Mukhopadhyay, John Curtis, Stephen Hynes.
     and inequality: Evidence from Germany,
     Ecological Economic, Vol. 180, February 2021,      Shell shocked: The impact of foreign entry on
     106879, Miguel Tovar Reaños.                       the gasoline retail market in China, Energy
                                                        Economics, Vol. 86, February 2020, 104690,
     Heat pumps and our low-carbon future: A
                                                        Robert Elliott, Puyang Sun, Tong Zhu.
     comprehensive review, Energy Research &
     Social Science, Vol. 71, January 2021, 101764,     The citizens in Citizen Science: Demographic,
     Ankita Singh Gaur, Desta Fitiwi, John Curtis.      socioeconomic, and health characteristics
                                                        of biodiversity recorders in Ireland, Citizen
     Initial incidence of carbon taxes and
                                                        Science; Theory and Practice, Vol. 5, No. 1,
     environmental liability. A vehicle ownership
                                                        p.16, Ubiquity Press, Ciarán Mac Domhnaill,
     approach, Energy Policy, Vol. 143, 2020,
                                                        Seán Lyons, Anne Nolan.
     111579, Miguel Tovar Reaños.
                                                        Why do preferences for electricity services
     Modelling anglers’ fish release choices using
                                                        differ? Domestic appliance curtailment
     logbook data, Journal of Environmental
                                                        contracts in Ireland, Energy Research & Social
     Economics and Policy, Vol. 9, Issue 2, 2020,
                                                        Science, Vol. 69, November 2020, 101705,
     pp. 206-219, Routledge, Gianluca Grilli, John
                                                        Elsevier, John Curtis, Gianluca Grilli, William
     Curtis, Stephen Hynes.
                                                        Brazil, Jason Harold.

30   ESRI Review of Research 2020
Reports and Other Publications

Research on the environment, health,               Is early mobile phone ownership shaping
consumer behaviour and the economy: ESRI           child development? A longitudinal study of
Environment Research Programme 2018–2020,          wellbeing among adolescent girls and boys in
EPA Research Report No. 358, EPA, Wexford,         Ireland, ESRI, Dublin, Seraphim Dempsey, Seán
Achim Ahrens, Peter Barlow, Brian Broderick,       Lyons, Selina McCoy.
Philip Carthy, Aoife Donnelly, Tom Gillespie,      Linking sustainable energy consumption and
Martina Hennessy, Ronan Lyons, Seán Lyons,         adaptation policies against floods, ESRI, Dublin,
Pete Lunn, Ciarán Mac Domhnaill, Finn              Miguel Tovar Reaños.
McLaughlin, Stefano Meneto, Frank Moriarty,
Owen Naughton, Anne Nolan, Aonghus Ó               Location, location, location: determining
Domhnaill, Margaret O’Mahony, Deirdre              the optimal long-run expansion of the Irish
Robertson, Iulia Siedschlag, Shane Timmons,        electricity system considering spatial and
Manuel Tong Koecklin, Weijie Yan.                  network impacts, ESRI, Dublin, Desta Fitiwi,
                                                   Muireann Á. Lynch, Valentin Bertsch.
The environmental and economic impacts of
the COVID-19 crisis on the Irish economy: An       Models of demand response and an
application of the I3E model, ESRI Research        application for wastewater treatment plants,
Series No. 106, ESRI, Dublin, Kelly de Bruin,      ESRI, Dublin, Dana Kirchem, Muireann Á. Lynch,
Eoin Monaghan, Aykut Mert Yakut.                   Valentin Bertsch, Eoin Casey.
Technical documentation of I3E model, Version      Recreational angling demand in a mixed
3, ESRI Survey and Statistical Report Series No.   resource fishery, ESRI, Dublin, Gianluca Grilli,
91, ESRI, Dublin, Kelly de Bruin, Aykut Mert       Soumyadeep Mukhopadhyay, John Curtis,
Yakut.                                             Stephen Hynes.
                                                   The benefits of visiting green space, ESRI,
                                                   Dublin, Gianluca Grilli, Gretta Mohan, John
             ESRI Research Bulletins               Curtis.
                                                   The electricity system impacts of publicly-
                                                   acceptable renewable energy development,
Curtailing use of large domestic appliances        ESRI, Dublin, Desta Fitiwi, Muireann Á. Lynch,
during the peak electricity load periods, ESRI,    Valentin Bertsch.
Dublin, John Curtis, Gianluca Grilli, William
Brazil, Jason Harold.                              The role of power-to-gas in the future energy
                                                   system: how much is needed and who wants
Fuel switching and emissions savings in the        to invest?, ESRI, Dublin, Muireann Á. Lynch,
residential sector, ESRI, Dublin, John Curtis,     Mel Devine, Valentin Bertsch.
Miguel Tovar Reaños, Gianluca Grill.
                                                   Urban rents and commuting times in Ireland,
Household energy poverty and children’s            ESRI, Dublin, Seán Lyons, Achim Ahrens.
health, ESRI, Dublin, Gretta Mohan.
Initial incidence of carbon taxes and
environmental liability. A vehicle ownership
approach, ESRI, Dublin, Miguel Tovar Reaños.

                                                                     ESRI Review of Research 2020      31
Does moving home affect residential heating
                  ESRI Working Papers                 decisions? Exploring heating fuel switching in
                                                      Ireland, ESRI, Dublin, John Curtis, Gianluca Grilli.
     An experimental study of attitudes to changing   Renewable electricity generation and
     water charges in Scotland, ESRI, Dublin,         transmission network developments in light of
     Cameron Belton, Deirdre Robertson, Pete Lunn.    public opposition: Insights from Ireland, ESRI,
     Are energy poverty metrics fit for purpose? An   Dublin, Manuel Tong Koecklin, Desta Fitiwi,
     assessment using behavioural microsimulation,    Joseph F. de Carolis, John Curtis.
     ESRI, Dublin, Miguel Tovar Reaños, Muireann Á.   The use of the I3E model in macroeconomic
     Lynch.                                           analysis for the Irish economy, ESRI, Dublin,
     Car ownership and the distributional and         Kelly de Bruin, Eoin Monaghan, Aykut Mert
     environmental policies to reduce driving         Yakut.
     behavior, ESRI, Dublin, Miguel Tovar Reaños.     What does Paris mean for Africa? An
     Climate policy costs of spatially unbalanced     integrated assessment analysis of the effects
     growth in electricity demand: the case           of the Paris Agreement on African economies,
     of datacentres, ESRI, Dublin, Desta Fitiwi,      ESRI, Dublin, Kelly De Bruin and Victoria Ayuba.
     Muireann Á. Lynch.

32   ESRI Review of Research 2020
ESRI Review of Research 2020   33
34   ESRI Review of Research 2020
Growing Up
in Ireland

         ESRI Review of Research 2020   35
Growing Up in Ireland

         RESEARCH AREA
         COORDINATORS:
         Dorothy Watson and
         Emer Smyth                       Highlights
         OTHERS WORKING IN                • 13-year-olds hold lower expectations than their
                                              parents about their educational career: only
         THIS AREA INCLUDE:
                                              half of young people compared to over three-
         Aisling Murray, Desmond              quarters of their mothers say they expect the
         O’Mahony, Eoin McNamara,             young person to go on to higher education.
         Caoimhe O’Reilly, Rebecca
         McClintock, Amanda Quail, Eoin   • Young people become less involved in cultural
         Keogh, Aoife Murphy, Elizabeth       activities as they prepare for the Leaving
         Burke, Brigid Francis-Devine,        Certificate and leave school: there is a marked
                                              decline in reading for pleasure and taking
         Lisa Kelly, Hannah Frankis,          music/drama/dance lessons between 13 and 17
         Caroline Goodwin, Fionnuala          years of age.
         Waters and Bernadette Ryan

36   ESRI Review of Research 2020
Growing Up in Ireland (GUI) is the national
longitudinal study of children in Ireland. It
is funded by the Department of Children,
Equality, Disability Integration and Youth
(DCEDIY) and is jointly managed by the
Department and the Central Statistics Office.

The research is conducted by a consortium           using Growing Up in Ireland data, and a
of independent researchers at the Economic          keynote address. The keynote address was
and Social Research Institute (ESRI) and Trinity    delivered by Professor Emla Fitzsimons of
College Dublin. Activity in this area involves      UCL, Director of the UK’s Millennium Cohort
ongoing data collection on two cohorts of           Study: ‘Mental health among young people:
children and young people, and the publication      longitudinal evidence from the UK’. There was
of detailed research findings by members of         also, for the first time, an award for the best
the GUI team and other researchers at the           paper with a public policy focus, which was
ESRI. The research examines developmental           won by Dr Gretta Mohan, ESRI.
outcomes for children and young people, and
investigates how these vary between different       ESRI researchers presented papers on a
groups in society and according to earlier          wide range of topics at the conference,
circumstances and experiences.                      including the effect of the Great Recession
                                                    on socioeconomic inequalities in childhood
The year 2020 saw the completion of a               obesity; the role of parents in mediating the
successful pilot survey of 13-year-olds and         relationship between media consumption
their parents as a preparation for the main         and child mental health from 3–9 years;
fieldwork phase in 2021. The survey methods         socioeconomic disadvantage in access to
were adapted to reflect the challenges              supports for young people with disabilities;
posed by the COVID-19 pandemic and related          social inequality, gender, home learning
restrictions. Recognising the strong impact of      activities and cognitive outcomes from early
the pandemic and associated restrictions on         to middle childhood; risk and protective
children and young people, GUI researchers          factors for mental health and wellbeing during
organised a survey on their experiences during      childhood and adolescence; the influence of
the crisis. With the assistance of the Central      caregiver’s migration status on a child’s use of
Statistics Office, a web-based survey was           healthcare services; difficulties in the transition
completed in December 2020. The results will        to second-level education: social background
be published in 2021.                               and gender gaps in Scotland and Ireland; the
                                                    effect of parental educational expectations
The 2020 Annual Conference in October was           on socioemotional and academic outcomes
a virtual event, attracting a large international   among 17/18-year-olds with disabilities in
audience (with 349 registered). It mirrored         Ireland; socioemotional wellbeing and school
the usual in-person event, with an address          social mix; and the dynamics of child poverty
Minister Dr Roderic O’Gorman T.D., three            in Ireland.
parallel sessions of 27 talks from researchers

                                                                      ESRI Review of Research 2020        37
Reports and Other Publications

     Design, instrumentation and procedures            Report on the pilot for wave five of the Cohort
     for cohort ’08 of Growing Up in Ireland at 9      ’08 Survey (at 9 years of age), Department
     years old (Wave 5), Department of Children        of Children and Youth Affairs, Dublin, Aisling
     and Youth Affairs, Dublin, Eoin McNamara,         Murray, James Williams, Sophie Gallagher,
     Desmond O’Mahony, Aisling Murray.                 Maeve Thornton, Dorothy Watson, Eoin
                                                       McNamara, Desmond O’Mahony, Daráine
     Growing Up in Ireland: Growing up and             Murphy, Caoimhe O’Reilly.
     developing as an adult: A review of the
     literature on selected topics pertaining to       The Growing Up in Ireland Child Cohort come
     cohort ’98 at age 20 years, Department of         of age: Review of the literature pertaining to
     Children, Equality, Disability, Integration and   the 17/18 year wave, Department of Children
     Youth, Dublin, Ashling Mangan-Ryan, Eoin          and Youth Affairs, Dublin, Aisling Murray, Eoin
     McNamara, Desmond O’Mahony, Daráine               McNamara, Daráine Murphy, Caoimhe O’Reilly,
     Murphy, Caoimhe O’Reilly.                         Martha Neary, Oscar James.
     Growing Up in Ireland: The lives of
     17/18-year-olds, Department of Children and
     Youth Affairs, Dublin, Eoin McNamara, Daráine
     Murphy, Aisling Murray, Emer Smyth, Dorothy
     Watson.

                                         The research examines developmental
                                               outcomes for children and young
                                           people, and investigates how these
                                              vary between different groups in
                                                society and according to earlier
                                                circumstances and experiences.

38   ESRI Review of Research 2020
ESRI Review of Research 2020   39
40   ESRI Review of Research 2020
Health and
Quality of Life

           ESRI Review of Research 2020   41
Health and Quality
                  of Life

        RESEARCH AREA
        COORDINATORS:
        Seán Lyons, Anne Nolan
        and Maev-Ann Wren             Highlights
        OTHERS WORKING IN             • Expenditure on public hospital services is projected
        THIS AREA INCLUDE:               to rise from €5.9 billion in 2018 to between
        Aoife Brick, Sheelah             €10.8 and €14.3 billion by 2035 in nominal
        Connolly, Nora Donnelly,         terms. Increasing input costs, especially pay, make
        Conor Keegan, Elish Kelly,       up most of the projected rise in expenditures.
                                         Reducing current waiting-list backlogs and
        Pete Lunn, Bertrand Maître,
                                         maintaining waiting times is estimated to require
        Frances McGinnity, Greta         an additional €212 million on average per annum
        Mohan, Aisling Murray,           between 2021 and 2025.
        Amanda Quail, Brendan
        Walsh, Dorothy Watson,        • A study showed that four in ten 17-year-olds
        Adele Bergin, Edward Henry,      had not spoken to their parents about sex and
        Peter Barlow, Míde Griffin       relationships. Young people who had discussed
                                         sex and relationships with their parents at age
        and Emer Smyth                   13 were more likely to use contraception at first
                                         sex. Therefore, initiatives to support parents in
                                         developing positive communication skills may
                                         be expected to have broader benefits in terms of
                                         discussions about sex and relationships.

42   ESRI Review of Research 2020
Health research was carried out on several
areas of health service reform and public health
during 2020.

The ESRI Research Programme in Healthcare               the potential cost, outcomes, and challenges
Reform, funded by the Department of                     of alternative approaches to achieving
Health, published two major reports, one                universal healthcare, continued in 2020. A
projecting expenditure for public hospitals             further HRB-funded project, in collaboration
in Ireland from 2018 to 2035 and a second               with RCSI, examining the costs of cognitive
comparing Irish healthcare expenditure to that          impairment post-stroke and interventions
of other countries. Three supporting reports            to ameliorate it, continued with a major
were also published covering baseline demand            conference in November 2020.
for and utilisation of services, including public
hospitals, mental health, and disability.               The Irish Cancer Society-funded project
                                                        on barriers and challenges to returning to
Research on the links between the                       employment following a cancer diagnosis
environment and health, as part of the                  continued in 2020 when a paper was
research programme with the EPA, continued,             published examining the effect of insurance
with the programme extended for a further               status on hospital waiting times. The report
two-year period in June 2020. Papers on the             was launched in early 2021.
characteristics of biodiversity data recorders,
on the links between footpath availability,             The HRB-funded project on Inequalities in
green space and obesity, and on the                     Access to GP Care concluded in 2020. Papers
relationship between air pollution and asthma           published looked at: the impact of free GP
were published.                                         care on the mental health of older people;
                                                        the health effects of energy poverty among
The research programme with HSE Health                  children; and the impact of prescription drug
and Wellbeing finished in 2020. Two ESRI                payments on the health of children. The
reports, on clusters of health behaviours               HRB-funded project on Mortality, conducted
among young people, and on sexual health                in collaboration with the Irish Longitudinal
information and behaviours, were published              Study on Ageing (TILDA), continued in 2020,
in 2020. Both made extensive use of the                 with papers on data linkage methods and
Growing Up in Ireland data. The first report            discrepancies between mortality registration
found higher rates of drinking/smoking among            and survey end-of-life data released in 2020.
young people whose parents are occasional or
regular smokers. The latter report found a clear
gender divide in reports of ease of discussions
with parents about sex; young women found
it easier to talk to their mothers, while young
men found it easier to talk to their fathers.
However, nearly 60 per cent of young men
found it difficult or very difficult to talk to their
fathers about sex.

A three-year (2018–2020) project funded by
the Health Research Board (HRB), examining

                                                                         ESRI Review of Research 2020   43
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