RESPONSE TO DEPARTMENT OF HEALTH NORTHERN IRELAND CONSULTATION ON MINIMUM UNIT PRICING OF ALCOHOL IN NORTHERN IRELAND - Alcohol Focus Scotland
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DATE 26/05/2022 RESPONSE TO DEPARTMENT OF HEALTH NORTHERN IRELAND CONSULTATION ON MINIMUM UNIT PRICING OF ALCOHOL IN NORTHERN IRELAND Alcohol Focus Scotland (AFS) is the national charity working to prevent and reduce alcohol harm. We want to see fewer people have their health damaged or lives cut short due to alcohol, fewer children and families suffering as a result of other people’s drinking, and communities free from alcohol-related crime and violence. AFS welcomes the opportunity to respond to the Department of Health Northern Ireland consultation on the introduction of minimum unit pricing for alcohol products. Summary • AFS supports Northern Ireland’s aim of introducing MUP to reduce alcohol harms. • AFS also supports banning promotions such as multi-buy discounts. • The WHO and the OECD identify pricing policies such as MUP as being the most effective way of reducing alcohol harms. • There is a growing body of evidence demonstrating MUP’s effectiveness, including data from Scotland. • MUP should be set to at least 65p per unit. • MUP should be index-linked from its conception, e.g. to the Retail Price Index, to prevent future erosion of its impact due to inflation. Q1: Do you agree with the overall policy aim of reducing the harm alcohol causes? Strongly Agree Alcohol Focus Scotland is the national charity working to prevent and reduce alcohol harm in Scotland. We also collaborate with international partners to promote and advocate for effective alcohol harm prevention policy measures around the world. We believe that a Global Framework Convention on Alcohol Control should be developed to better support countries seeking to reduce the burden of alcohol harm. We want to see fewer people have their health damaged or lives cut short due to alcohol, fewer children and families suffering as a result of other people's drinking, and communities free from alcohol-related crime and violence. As outlined in the consultation document and made apparent through international evidence, alcohol use contributes to significant harms, not only to individuals but to those nearest to them such as family and friends, as well as to the wider communities in which they live. Northern Ireland, like Scotland, lacks all the devolved competencies necessary to implement all the World Health Organization’s (WHO) most cost-effective interventions to reduce alcohol related public health harm.1 However, Northern Ireland has the power to raise prices on alcohol through excise taxes and pricing policies, such as MUP. Alcohol Focus Scotland Registered Scottish Charity (SC009538) A Company Limited by Guarantee (Scottish Company No. SC094096).
DATE 26/05/2022 Q2: Do you believe that introducing MUP for alcohol into Northern Ireland will have an impact on reducing alcohol-related harm? Strongly Agree Pricing policies have been identified by the WHO as having the strongest evidence of success in impacting on alcohol consumption and alcohol-related harm.2 The OECD’s 2021 publication “Preventing Harmful Alcohol Use” also highlights that “Alcohol pricing is a key method used to reduce consumption”.3 The chapter notes that “Empirical research evaluating MUP, to date, has found promising results”, presenting examples from: • Canada: British Columbia, Manitoba, Newfoundland, Nova Scotia, and Quebec • The United Kingdom: Scotland and Wales • Outside the OECD: the Russian Federation, Ukraine, the Republic of Moldova, and Uzbekistan Scotland was the first country to implement MUP on 1 May 2018. MUP in Scotland primarily affected the cheapest alcoholic products, such as strong white cider, own brand vodka and gin, and super-strength lager,4 the products favoured by the heaviest drinkers at most risk of harm.5 The Scottish Government appointed Public Health Scotland (PHS) to lead a rigorous five-year, multi-project evaluation of MUP in Scotland.6 So far, evidence has shown that, in the first full two years after its implementation, MUP had the intended effect of reducing consumption. In the first full year after the policy’s implementation, we also saw encouraging early signs that this reduction was beginning to translate into health benefits. Amongst the benefits of MUP identified by PHS and others in evaluation studies so far are: • A 3.5% reduction in off-trade sales per adult in the first year of MUP.7 • Reductions in household alcohol expenditure, particularly in households that bought the most alcohol before MUP.8 9 • The volume of pure alcohol sold per adult in Scotland in 2020 was 9.4 litres; the lowest level in 26 years.10 • A 10% reduction in alcohol-specific deaths in the first full year after the introduction of MUP; the lowest level since 2013.11 • A small reduction in hospital admissions from liver disease in each of the first two years of MUP.12 • Reduction in consumption of cheap, high-strength products related to harmful drinking.13 14 • High levels of compliance with MUP by retailers15 and no significant negative impacts on alcohol producers or sellers.14 16 Q3: Do you foresee the introduction of MUP into Northern Ireland as impacting negatively upon any specific groups? No The alcohol and hospitality industries will likely demonstrate some resistance to the implementation of MUP. However, evidence has shown that despite a reduction in the volume of sales, the off-trade will experience a modest financial increase due to MUP. On-trade premises will not be negatively affected, as their retail price of alcohol reflects other variables such as staffing. In fact, off-trade Alcohol Focus Scotland Registered Scottish Charity (SC009538) A Company Limited by Guarantee (Scottish Company No. SC094096).
DATE 26/05/2022 alcohol tends to be cheaper than on-trade alcohol, so MUP will help balance prices overall. There have been no widespread negative impacts for industry or retailers. As outlined by the original Sheffield Modelling,5 the people most impacted by MUP will be and have been people drinking at harmful or hazardous levels, not dependent drinkers. The distinction is noteworthy as MUP intends to decrease the drinking of people at risk of developing alcohol dependency. MUP has had the intended effect of reducing consumption for these groups, without any common negative effects. A recent study has also found that after MUP was introduced, the proportion of people with alcohol dependence drinking alcohol at less than 50p per unit reduced substantially.17 The same study found evidence that some people with alcohol dependence reduced expenditure on other items due to spending more on alcohol. A study on homeless and street drinkers suggested that more joined up working and information for support services could be beneficial around the time of MUP implementation.18 Overall, support for MUP in Scotland has grown over time.19 It is likely that the same will happen in Northern Ireland. Q4: Do you believe that of the pricing options considered, that MUP for alcohol is the most effective way of achieving the policy aim of reducing harm? Are there other pricing policy options that should have been considered? Yes Of the options considered, MUP is the most effective way of reducing consumption and subsequent harms. There is growing evidence in support of the effectiveness of MUP, both in Scotland (see our response to Q2) and internationally. For instance, evidence from Canada and the Northern Territory of Australia has shown that the policy is effective in reducing alcohol-related deaths and hospital admissions and in reducing consumption rates.20 21 22 23 AFS also supports banning promotions. The Alcohol etc. (Scotland) Act 2010 restricts the supply of alcoholic drinks free of charge or at a reduced price, including promotions such as “buy one, get one free” and “3 bottles of wine for £10”.24 Modelling undertaken prior to the implementation of the multi-buy discount ban in Scotland estimated that banning all off-trade price promotions (both quantity discounts and other price-based promotions) could deliver a reduction in alcohol consumption of 3.1% and would complement minimum unit pricing.25 The quantity discount ban which was implemented in Scotland in 2011 was more limited in scope and did not prevent straight price discounting. Nevertheless, research undertaken as part of the Monitoring and Evaluating Scotland’s Alcohol Strategy (MESAS) found it had delivered a reduction in off-sales of 2.6%,26 largely driven by a reduction in sales of wine. Despite this, the researchers were told that retailers had responded to the multi-buy discount by enhancing other promotions and they found an average of 50% of all off-trade alcohol sales in Scotland in the 12-month period after the ban was introduced had been on promotion. They concluded “that the estimated impact of the Alcohol Act described in this report may have been larger if a total ban on off-trade discounting was introduced.” Q5: Do you have any opinion on the level on which MUP should be set initially and why? 65p Alcohol Focus Scotland Registered Scottish Charity (SC009538) A Company Limited by Guarantee (Scottish Company No. SC094096).
DATE 26/05/2022 MUP in Scotland was set at 50p per unit of alcohol. This was agreed on in 2012 but following a lengthy set of legal challenges from the alcohol industry which were eventually overruled, its implementation was delayed by 6 years. From 2012 to 2018, and to 2022, inflation has likely eroded the effect of the current 50p per unit. Based on the retail price index, a minimum unit price of 50p in 2012 is equivalent to 61p in 2021. Therefore, the proportion of alcohol products affected by MUP has significantly reduced. The proportion of off-trade alcohol units sold below 50ppu dropped from 60% in 201227 when the Scottish Parliament passed the Alcohol (Minimum Pricing) Act, to 44% in 201828 when MUP was introduced. This drop means a decline both in the proportion of products affected by the policy and the price increase imposed on each affected product. This effect appears to have continued since implementation, with data for England and Wales showing that just 34% of off-trade alcohol units were sold below 50ppu in 2020.10 However, making good on inflation is not enough when alcohol harms remain so high, especially considering the Covid-19 pandemic which saw many of us, especially those already drinking at higher levels, increase our drinking. In 2016, modelling from the University of Sheffield estimated that a minimum unit price of 60p per unit would deliver double the reduction in deaths and hospital admissions, while 70p would deliver three times the effect.5 For these reasons, AFS and 29 other leading health charities in Scotland have called for MUP to be uprated to at least 65p per unit.29 In order to prevent future erosion of the impact of MUP due to inflation, we recommend that the price should be index-linked, e.g. to the Retail Price Index. This will ensure that MUP continues to reduce harm and save lives. Q6: Do you agree that the level of the MUP should be varied over time? If so, what other information or evidence do you think should be considered when amending the MUP? Yes As outlined above in Q5, we recommend that the price should be index-linked from its conception, e.g. to the Retail Price Index, to prevent future erosion of the impact of MUP due to inflation. Q7: If the MUP rate is to be varied over time, what do you believe would be the best method of achieving this? Varied by Regular Uplift Of the options presented in the consultation document, AFS prefers the second option, whereby the Health Minister sets the initial level of MUP but it automatically varies each year by an appropriate measure of inflation. An annual review mechanism, and linking MUP to inflation would protect against erosion of the impact of the policy. A regular date of change would be beneficial, as businesses would be able to plan ahead. Ideally, we would prefer to see a combination of both an index-linked mechanism to ensure the policy keeps pace with inflation, and a regular review by the Department of Health to assess the efficacy of the policy. This would serve the dual purpose of sustaining the policy’s impact on the affordability of alcohol and enabling adjustment of the MUP to optimise the health benefits of the policy. Alcohol Focus Scotland Registered Scottish Charity (SC009538) A Company Limited by Guarantee (Scottish Company No. SC094096).
DATE 26/05/2022 There is currently no mechanism to review the MUP in Scotland. AFS is advocating for the inclusion of an index-linked method alongside a regular review mechanism based on health and harm outcomes to be introduced going forward in Scotland. Q8: Do you agree with the use of the formula for setting the total Minimum price for a product? Yes The same formula is in use in Scotland, Wales, and Jersey. It is easily understood and its implementation has proven practical. Q9: Do you agree with the enforcement proposals and sanctions that would be added to the necessary legislation? Yes Meaningful sanctions are often necessary to ensure compliance, deterring economic actors from attempting to find loopholes in the legislation. However, genuine errors are possible, and we would recommend option b) to follow option a) only if the offence is repeated. Q10: Do you agree with the proposed targets and monitoring arrangements? Yes We would also propose considering monitoring: • Rates of alcohol use per adult • Percentage of children and young people under the age of 18 using alcohol, both in the last 30 days and ever • Percentage of children where parental alcohol use was identified as a concern on the child protection register Q11: Do you agree with the outcome of the Impact Assessment Screenings? Have you any comments on either the Equality/Good Relations or Rural screening documents? Is there anything you believe we should be considering in future Equality/Good Relations or Rural screenings or future impact assessments? Neither Agree nor Disagree NA Q12: Do you agree with the outcome of the Regulatory Impact Assessment? Have you any comments on the Regulatory Impact Assessment? Is there anything you believe we should be considering in future regulatory impact assessments? Neither Agree nor Disagree NA Alcohol Focus Scotland Registered Scottish Charity (SC009538) A Company Limited by Guarantee (Scottish Company No. SC094096).
DATE 26/05/2022 References 1 World Health Organization (2018). The SAFER initiative: A world free from alcohol related harm. Available at: https://www.who.int/initiatives/SAFER 2 World Health Organization (2018). The SAFER initiative: Pricing policies. Available at: https://www.who.int/initiatives/SAFER/pricing-policies 3 OECD (2021). Preventing Harmful Alcohol Use. Available at: https://www.oecd.org/publications/preventing- harmful-alcohol-use-6e4b4ffb-en.htm 4 Alcohol Focus Scotland (2016). Scottish Alcohol Price Survey 2016. Glasgow: Alcohol Focus Scotland. Available at: http://www.alcohol-focus-scotland.org.uk/media/152485/Scottish-price-check-2016.pdf 5 Angus, C., Holmes, J., Pryce, R., Meier, P. & Brennan, P. (2016). Model-based appraisal of the comparative impact of Minimum Unit Pricing and taxation policies in Scotland. An adaptation of the Sheffield Alcohol Policy Model version 3. ScHARR, University of Sheffield. Available at: https://www.sheffield.ac.uk/polopoly_fs/1.565373!/file/Scotland_report_2016.pdf 6 Public Health Scotland (9 February 2021). Overview of evaluation of MUP. Available at: http://www.healthscotland.scot/health-topics/alcohol/evaluation-of-minimum-unit-pricing-mup/overview-of- evaluation-of-mup/why-we-are-evaluating-mup 7 Giles, L., Richardson, E. & Beeston, C. (2021). Using alcohol retail sales data to estimate population alcohol consumption in Scotland: an update of previously published estimates. Edinburgh: Public Health Scotland. Available at: https://publichealthscotland.scot/media/2994/using-alcohol-retail-sales-data-to-estimate- population-alcohol-consumption-in-scotland-an-update-of-previously-published-estimates.pdf 8 Anderson, P. et al. (2021). Impact of minimum unit pricing on alcohol purchases in Scotland and Wales: controlled interrupted time series analyses. The Lancet Public Health. doi.org/10.1016/S2468-2667(21)00052-9 9 O’Donnell, A. et al. (2019). Immediate impact of minimum unit pricing on alcohol purchases in Scotland: controlled interrupted time series analysis for 2015-18. BMJ, 366:l5274. doi.org/10.1136/bmj.l5274 10 Giles, L., & Richardson, E. (2021). Monitoring and Evaluating Scotland’s Alcohol Strategy: Monitoring Report 2021. Edinburgh: Public Health Scotland. Available at: https://www.publichealthscotland.scot/media/8090/mesas-monitoring-report-2021.pdf 11 National Records of Scotland (2020). Alcohol-specific deaths (new National Statistics definition) registered in Scotland, 1979 to 2019. Edinburgh: National Records of Scotland. Available at: https://www.nrscotland.gov.uk/statistics-and-data/statistics/statistics-by-theme/vital-events/deaths/alcohol- deaths 12 Public Health Scotland (2020). Alcohol related hospital statistics. Available at: https://beta.isdscotland.org/find-publications-and-data/lifestyle-and-behaviours/substance-use/alcohol- related-hospital-statistics/ 13 Stead, M. et al (2020). Evaluating the impact of alcohol minimum unit pricing in Scotland: Observational study of small retailers. University of Stirling and University of Sheffield. Available at: https://www.stir.ac.uk/media/stirling/services/faculties/sport-and-health- sciences/research/documents/MUP-evaluation-Small-Convenience-Stores-report.pdf 14 Frontier Economics (2019). Minimum Unit Alcohol Pricing. Evaluating the impacts on the alcoholic drinks industry in Scotland: baseline evidence and initial impacts. Frontier Economics. Available at: http://www.healthscotland.scot/media/2810/frontier-economics-mup-evaluating-the-impacts-on-the- alcoholic-drinks-industry-in-scotland.pdf 15 Dickie, E., Mellor, R., Myers, F. & Beeston, C. (2019). Minimum Unit Pricing (MUP) for alcohol evaluation: Compliance (licensing) study. Edinburgh: NHS Health Scotland. Available at: Alcohol Focus Scotland Registered Scottish Charity (SC009538) A Company Limited by Guarantee (Scottish Company No. SC094096).
DATE 26/05/2022 http://www.healthscotland.scot/media/2660/minimum-unit-pricing-for-alcohol-evaluation-compliance-study- english-july2019.pdf 16 Stead, M., Eadie, D., Purves, R. I., McKell, J., Critchlow, N., Angus, K. (2022). Implementation of alcohol minimum unit pricing (MUP): a qualitative study with small retailers. Drugs: Education, Prevention and Policy. https://doi.org/10.1080/09687637.2022.2075251 17 Public Health Scotland (2021). Impact of Minimum Unit Pricing among people who are alcohol dependent and accessing treatment services: Interim report: Structured interview data. Available at: https://www.publichealthscotland.scot/publications/impact-of-minimum-unit-pricing-among-people-who-are- alcohol-dependent-and-accessing-treatment-services-interim-report-structured-interview-data/ 18 Elliott L, Emslie C, Dimova E, Whiteford M, O’Brien R, Strachan H, Johnsen S, Rush R, Smith I, Stockwell T & Whittaker A (2022). Minimum Unit Pricing: Qualitative Study of the Experiences of Homeless Drinkers, Street Drinkers and Service Providers. Chief Scientist Office. Research Project Briefing. https://www.cso.scot.nhs.uk/wp-content/uploads/HIPS1843-1.pdf 19 Ferguson, K., Beeston, C. & Giles, L. (2020). Public attitudes to Minimum Unit Pricing (MUP) for alcohol in Scotland. Edinburgh: Public Health Scotland. Available at: http://www.healthscotland.scot/media/3198/public- attitudes-to-minimum-unit-pricing-mup-for-alcohol-in-scotland.pdf 20 Coomber, K. et al. (2020). Investigating the introduction of the alcohol minimum price in the Northern Territory. Final Report. Deakin University, Geelong Australia. Prepared for the Northern Territory Department of Health. Available at: https://movendi.ngo/wp-content/uploads/2020/05/investigating-introduction-of- alcohol-minimum-unit-price-nt-final-report.pdf 21 Taylor, N. et al. (2021). The impact of a minimum unit price on wholesale alcohol supply trends in the Northern Territory, Australia. Australian and New Zealand Journal of Public Health, 45(1), 26-33. doi.org/10.1111/1753-6405.13055 22 Stockwell, T. et al. (2013). Minimum alcohol prices and outlet densities in British Columbia, Canada: estimated impacts on alcohol-attributable hospital admissions. American journal of public health, 103(11), 2014-2020. https://doi.org/10.2105/ajph.2013.301289 23 Stockwell, T., Auld, M. C., Zhao, J., & Martin, G. (2012). Does minimum pricing reduce alcohol consumption? The experience of a Canadian province. Addiction, 107(5), 912-920. doi.org/10.1111/j.1360-0443.2011.03763.x 24 Scottish Government. Alcohol etc. (Scotland) Act 2010: guidance for licensing boards. Available at: https://www.gov.scot/publications/alcohol-etc-scotland-act-2010-guidance-licensing-boards/pages/3/ 25 Meier, P. et al (2010). Model-Based Appraisal of Alcohol Minimum Pricing and Off-Licensed Trade Discount Bans in Scotland Using The Sheffield Alcohol Policy Model (V 2):- An Update Based on Newly Available Data. ScHARR, University of Sheffield. 26 Robinson, M. et al (2013. Monitoring and Evaluating Scotland’s Alcohol Strategy: The impact of the Alcohol Act on off-trade alcohol sales in Scotland. NHS Health Scotland. 27 MESAS alcohol sales and price update May 2016, Off-trade alcohol sales price distribution 2009-2015, available at: http://www.healthscotland.scot/publications/mesas-alcohol-sales-and-price-update-may-2016 28 Ferguson K, Giles L and Beeston C. Evaluating the impact of Minimum Unit Pricing (MUP) on the price distribution of off-trade alcohol in Scotland. Public Health Scotland, 2021. Available at: https://www.publichealthscotland.scot/media/7669/mup-price-distribution-report-english-june2021.pdf 29 AFS and SHAAP (2021). Minimum Unit Price: Time to Uprate. Available at: https://www.alcohol-focus- scotland.org.uk/media/440101/joint-afs-shaap-mup-briefing-update-dec-21.pdf Alcohol Focus Scotland Registered Scottish Charity (SC009538) A Company Limited by Guarantee (Scottish Company No. SC094096).
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