Regulation of sectors with public subsidy - CERRE Forum Dr Pierre MESSULAM Director for Rail Strategy and Regulation
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Regulation of sectors with public subsidy CERRE Forum February, 24th 2011 Dr Pierre MESSULAM Director for Rail Strategy and Regulation (pierre.messulam@sncf.fr)
Place of the railroad within national preoccupations Railroad industry was historically unable to sustain an approach based only on strengths of the market. Facing financial difficulties Railroad companies in the middle of the 20th century were poised to pass under European States direct control to assure the perpetuity of the rail sector. Indeed, public policies are concerned by Transportation for an array of issues : Economic life of territories, Well being of their inhabitants National safety (and warfare) Public subsidy is consequently part of the economic equation of the sector. But what is today the role of the market? How could market give insights of opening process of the rail sector defining best services to the best price for customers' largest number ? By the way, who are the customers of the rail sector ? These questions, with a strong political impact dealing with complex technical and financial issues, demand a public policy and a regulation doctrine to implement it. CERRE Forum - Dr Pierre MESSULAM 2 sur13
Whatever choice of public authorities, european railroad industry requires public subsidy (ref 2008, 2009) Sources of financing of railroad systems 100% 90% 80% 1,4 10,0 10,0 70% 8,6 1,8 5,4 60% 0,3 50% 40% 4,2 0,7 4,6 30% 0,0 1,7 0,5 20% 1,1 1,0 4,9 10% 4,8 3,0 1,1 0,4 0% DBA G SNCF/RFF Sw eden Sw itzerland Great Britain Czech Republic Public subsidy Md€ Debts Md€ Regional services sales Md€ Customer sales Md€ CERRE Forum - Dr Pierre MESSULAM 3 sur13
Various sources of financing the railroad system in Europe – Facts & Questions. All the systems benefit from public subsidy But in variable proportions With a partition of the participants reflecting the choice of States The market matches only part of the economic model The largest customer’s profit is not affordable through sole regulation of the railroad companies (never neglect weight of the public financing) Regulation shall have leverage on public authorities. CERRE Forum - Dr Pierre MESSULAM 4 sur13
4 big types of stakeholders interacting through economically non consistent equations. What is Regulation dealing with ? The 4 stakeholders are : The railroad infrastructure manager (IM) The Rail Station manager The Harbour facilities manager The Railway Undertaking (RU) Their economic models and their performance levers are different CERRE Forum - Dr Pierre MESSULAM 5 sur13
Economic models are based on somewhat contradictory goals and means. Revenues / Charges Ways & Means +Sale of access track charges Maximise the revenue (yield) - Maintenance of the network Creation of profitable new infrastructures Rail Infrastructure Manager (IM) - Investments (renewal, creation Eliminate superfluous infrastructures new lines) R*D to lower the costs (limited lever) + Access fees Latent capital gain (increase in value) of + Valuation of spaces the property around the station Rail Station Manager (SM) - Maintenance + Volume of traffic Quality tracks for best connection with the - Maintenance of access roads Hinterland Harbour facility Manager (HM) Improve efficiency harbour facilities + Sales to customer Combine efficiently the costs of production - Distribution cost Develop products / services Railway Undertaking (RU) -- Cost of Infrastructure The profitability of an RU is largely dependent on decisions of the IM (tolls and distribution of capacities which has a direct impact on the rate of use of Train sets)) CERRE Forum - Dr Pierre MESSULAM 6 sur13
The complex relations between the player Interactions / need of each stakeholder. Railway Undertaking bundles all, while facing the customer. Be w flo n Infrastructure Manager wit st co rk tio h t nn o he ect w ma Hin ion Distribution of capacities n r ter op t io nfo lan po a i d rtu r m er n itie fo g s t in sen s s Be r pa fo Harbour Manager Station Manager ig ht Best f fr e o spot wit Railway Undertaking a t ion z hin t he S h r oni tatio c syn n n Ac ime st ti o Be (t cu tab ce ma ra le tra for te s ) in & s & in Service schedule / fo e k e rm rv ac rat Ticketing / billing / On at ice (tr cu io s time information / ETA - Ac n ) Estimated Time of Arrival CUSTOMER CERRE Forum - Dr Pierre MESSULAM 7 sur13
All stakeholders are linked in a value chain The railroad undertaking is the only one to know the final customer / the market, but it depends on 3 other players and on their costs. There are few player but they are bound and participate in the value created by the sector The role of the regulatory body will thus be to : define the rules of sharing of the created value. What will be the part for the RU ? What will be the incentive for a new entrant (RU)? Watch (garanty?) the economic viability of each of the players (generate a sufficient profitability to attract the capital) Build an economic and political frame in the long term which assures an optimal allocation of the available resources according to the political vision of transport carried by public authorities Vitality of the economic exchanges Environmental protection Improvement of the well fare of the inhabitants Conditions allowing the capital to turn to this sector CERRE Forum - Dr Pierre MESSULAM 8 sur13
Specificities of the railroad sector Extremly low liquidity of assets: very difficult to redeploy or to sell or lease ? Premium of the low liquidity / risk of overcapacity Very long life cycle of assets In spite of the public subsidy, a sector globally with negative outcome A need of considerable investment for the renewal of railroad infrastructures but also of the rolling stock A lack of sources of funding (private as public) New Constraints (externalities) which increase the costs A necessity for the Regulatory body to act at once on the players of the market and the political player A necessity of defining well the part of the sector which reasonably must be opened to the market and the one who has to recover from the political power CERRE Forum - Dr Pierre MESSULAM 9 sur13
The Regulatory Body carries both the role of a referee towards each stakeholder and the role of global system consistency on short and long term. The regulation can / should concern the following points Rail Infrastructure Pricing of the infrastructure access Manager (IM) Cycles of allocation of capacities Stakes at micro economical level ( real costs) Stakes at macro economical level (Share of added value between IM and RU) Rail Station Manager Equity of treatment between RU (SM) Sharing of value created by increase of the pole of exchange between SM, IM, RU Harbour facility Manager Carry vision on long term, in particular for structuring projects for HM and RU (HM) Railway Undertaking Fair treatment versus other RU (RU) Harmonization of rules of competition, in particular for social matters Need for stability in the conditions of access to the essential resources (Infrastructures (tolls, slots), Stations Need for stability of the technical standards (stopping excessive specification (example ERTMS) to ensure capital costs. Public authorities Global vision on long term (the issue of saturation and closure of lines) CERRE Forum - Dr Pierre MESSULAM 10 sur13
The role of the Regulatory Body in this complex system is crucial The socio economic context, although favorable, is insufficient to create an economic dynamics compatible with the political stakes without the stabilizing action of an active and powerful regulatory body. The opening of the market, the progressive dismantling of monopolies to tip over the sector to a logic of market obliges to adress new ways on : The global balance in the economy of the sector taken in general, if we cannot count any more on same public subsidy The economic frame allowing the RU to pay off invested capitals and cover risks which they carry The institutional or economic mechanisms which allow an adequacy of the behavior of the RU with a vision of general interest carried by public authorities CERRE Forum - Dr Pierre MESSULAM 11 sur13
The role of the Regulator in this complex system is crucial This requests to : reexamine the political and economic regulation of the sector by public authorities define the rules of the game between Infrastructure Managers and the Railway Undertakings define the modalities of competition between operators CERRE Forum - Dr Pierre MESSULAM 12 sur13
Some questions for discussion Do the statutory texts and the action range of the Regulatory body allow to resolve the global equation ? If not, what should be added ? Transport is to some extent a basic commodity for citizens’ daily life. How is it possible to both open concurrence and regulate market behaviours while ensuring global public interest ? Public intervention seems to be doomed to go on in the industry : How could we have it framed for the sake of a consistent European Policy ? CERRE Forum - Dr Pierre MESSULAM 13 sur13
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