QUARTERLY REVIEW Q1 2021 - INTERNATIONAL INSTITUTE FOR THE STUDY OF CROSS-BORDER INVESTMENT AND M&A - XBMA
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GLOBAL M&A VOLUME RECORD HIGHS In Q1 2021, as Covid-19 vaccines became more widely available and economies reopened, M&A volume reached the largest first quarter deal volume on record since records started being kept in 1980. Global M&A volume was US$1.34 trillion in Q1 2021, a 1.7% increase from Q4 2020 (US$1.32 trillion) and a substantial 93% increase from Q1 2020 (US$694 billion). If the current levels of M&A activity continue over the balance of the year, global M&A volume in 2021 is projected to reach US$5.4 trillion, an increase of approximately 45% from 2020 Global (US$3.7 trillion). However, it is too early to predict with any M&A Volume: 2000-2021 confidence whether the surge in M&A activity will continue over the balance of the year. Several mega deals were announced in Q1 2021, GLOBAL M&A VOLUME including AerCap’s US$31 billion acquisition of GE Capital 6.0 Aviation Services, Canadian Pacific Railway’s US$28 billion 5.5 merger with Kansas City Southern and Rogers’s US$26 5.0 billion acquisition of Shaw. 4.5 4.0 US$ TRILLIONS 3.5 3.0 2.5 2.0 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 0 011 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1100 111 1122 1133 1144 1155 1166 1177 1188 1199 2200 2211 003 005 006 009 002 000 007 004 008 00 2200 2200 2200 2200 2200 2200 2200 2200 2200 2200 2200 2200 2200 2200 220 2200 2200 2200 2200 2200 2200 2200 ALL FIGURES ARE INFLATION-ADJUSTED TO 2021 DOLLARS. 2021 DATA IS ANNUALIZED IN GRAY BY TRIPLING FIRST QUARTER DATA AND ADDING IT TO THE FIRST QUARTER VOLUME. DATA IN THIS REPORT DOES NOT INCLUDE SPIN-OFFS ANNOUNCED IN 2021 THAT HAVE NOT BEEN COMPLETED. SOURCE: THOMSON 2
GLOBAL M&A VOLUME: Q1 SNAPSHOT BREAKING RECORDS AND THE SPAC BOOM The momentum of global dealmaking in the second half of 2020 continued through Q1 2021. Q1 2021 M&A volume was the largest first- quarter volume on record and 67% higher than the average first-quarter volume of global M&A over the last 10 years (US$800 billion). U.S. M&A volume continued to grow in Q1 2021, reaching US$671 billion in Q1 2021, an increase of 12% from Q4 2020 (US$601 billion) and 158% from Q1 2020 (US$260 billion). Q1 2021 U.S. M&A volume was the highest quarterly U.S. M&A volume since Q2 2007 (US$749 billion) and 102% higher than the average first-quarter volume of U.S. M&A over the last 10 years (US$332 billion). Q1 2021 U.S. M&A volume represented over half of M&A deal volume (50%). While M&A volume surged in the U.S., M&A volume in Europe, the Global M&A Volume: Q1 2020 Snapshot Asia-Pacific (excluding Japan) and Japan saw mixed results, with declines relative to Q4 2020 and increases relative to Q1 2020. European M&A volume was US$284 billion in Q1 2021, a decrease of 19% from Q4 2020 (US$350 billion), and an increase of 25% from Q1 2020 (US$227 billion). In the Asia-Pacific (excluding Japan), M&A volume was US$218 billion GLOBAL M&A VOLUME BY QUARTER in Q1 2021, a decrease of 19% from Q4 2020 (US$269 billion), and an 5,500 5,500 5,202 increase of 46% from Q1 2020 (US$149 billion). Japanese M&A volume was 5,000 5,000 US$20 billion in Q1 2021, an increase of 7% from Q4 2020 (US$18 billion), 4,666 1,102 4,500 4,500 and a decrease of 23% from Q1 2020 (US$26 billion). 4,140 M&A involving special purpose acquisition companies (“SPACs”) 4,000 3,914 4,000 1,436 3,815 3,647 3,704 3,570 continued to be robust in Q1 2021, accounting for US$295 billion of global 3,500 1,117 3,492 871 3,500 988 US$ BILLIONS M&A volume in Q1 2021, an increase of 125% from Q4 2020 (US$131 billion) 611 964 1,258 3,000 2,900 2,920 2,902 1,055 1,316 3,000 and 530% from Q1 2020 (US$47 billion), and contributing 22% of the 2,634 907 1,091 2,500 2,415 631 quarter’s total global M&A volume. Significant SPAC transactions in 2,500 967 833 950 818 733 931 Q1 2021 include social investment network eToro’s US$10 billion merger 2,000 2,000 1,759 740 649 865 870 1,165 1,129 with FinTech Acquisition Corp. V, Israeli advertising technology firm 797 647 1,500 1,500 757 1,224 1,108 1,339 549 ironSource’s US$10 billion merger with Thoma Bravo Advantage, 1,096 788 1,085 939 841 1,000 1,000 coworking space provider WeWork’s US$10 billion merger with BowX 541 653 744 589 564 1,223 1,339 Acquisition Corp, and financial services platform SoFi’s US$7 billion merger 500 500 817 851 915 804 1,197 999 616 754 694 585 562 555 667 with Social Capital Hedosophia Holdings Corp V. 0 0 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 ALL FIGURES ARE INFLATION-ADJUSTED TO 2021 DOLLARS. DATA IN THIS REPORT DOES NOT INCLUDE SPIN-OFFS ANNOUNCED IN 2021 THAT HAVE NOT BEEN COMPLETED. FIGURES MAY NOT SUM DUE TO ROUNDING. SOURCE: THOMSON 3
CROSS-BORDER M&A VOLUME ACTIVITY REMAINS STEADY Cross-border M&A volume was US$466 billion in Q1 2021, the highest first-quarter volume of cross-border M&A since Q1 2007 (US$536 billion). While cross-border M&A volume decreased by 2% from the high level of cross-border M&A activity in Q4 2020 (US$477 billion), it increased 136% from Q1 2020 (US$198 billion). In Q1 2021, cross-border deals represented 34.8% of global M&A volume, just below the average proportion of Cross-Border global M&A volume attributable to cross-border M&A over M&A Volume: 2007-2021 the last 10 years (35.1%). Cross-border transactions represented half of the 10 largest deals of 2021. The US$31 billion cross-border acquisition of GE Capital Aviation Services (U.S.) by CROSS-BORDER M&A VOLUME AerCap (Ireland) was the largest M&A transaction of 6.0 Q1 2021. 5.20 5.0 4.67 4.14 3.82 3.91 4.0 3.70 3.65 3.57 US$ TRILLIONS 2.89 3.49 2.90 2.92 2.90 3.01 3.0 2.63 2.54 2.41 2.35 2.27 2.75 2.41 2.15 2.32 2.0 1.80 1.90 1.87 1.82 1.75 1.34 2.31 1.0 0.87 1.65 1.47 1.60 1.34 1.37 1.25 1.29 1.101.02 1.03 1.17 0.66 0.81 42% 38% 27%27% 38%38%35% 35% 35% 31% 38% 38% 36% 35%39%39% 35% 0.47 44% 39% 35% 31% 38% 35% 30% 39% 35% 30% 35% 0.0 2007 2008 2007 2008 2009 2009 2010 2010 2011 2011 2012 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2016 2017 2017 2018 2018 2019 2019 2020 2020 2021 2021 CROSS-BORDER M&A TRANSACTIONS ARE DEFINED AS THOSE IN WHICH THE PARTIES ARE HEADQUARTERED OR BASED IN DIFFERENT COUNTRIES. ALL FIGURES ARE INFLATION-ADJUSTED TO 2021 DOLLARS. DATA IN THIS REPORT DOES NOT DOMESTIC M&A CROSS-BORDER M&A INCLUDE SPIN-OFFS ANNOUNCED IN 2021 THAT HAVE NOT BEEN COMPLETED. FIGURES MAY NOT SUM DUE TO ROUNDING. 4 SOURCE: THOMSON
Volume & Number of Large Deals: US$ 1-5 billion Q1 2021 LARGE AND MEGA VOLUME & NUMBER OF LARGE DEALS US$1-5 BILLION M&A DEALS 2.5 1,000 LARGE DOMESTIC DEALS DRIVE THE SURGE 900 M&A VOLUME (US$ TRILLIONS) M&A activity in large deals (transactions valued between 2.0 800 US$1 billion and US$5 billion) and mega deals (transactions 1.69 700 NUMBER OF DEALS valued at US$5 billion or greater) drove the increase in M&A 1.5 600 volume in Q1 2021. 1.22 0.93 1.15 1.13 500 1.12 Large deal volume was US$502 billion in Q1 2021, an 1.10 1.01 1.08 0.98 0.94 0.89 1.0 0.91 400 increase of 15% from Q4 2020 (US$436 billion), and an 0.88 0.73 increase of 165% from Q1 2020 (US$190 billion). This spike 0.67 0.54 0.69 0.76 0.72 0.71 0.60 0.69 300 0.51 0.56 0.51 0.58 0.50 in large deal volume was primarily driven by domestic M&A 0.5 200 0.43 deal volume, which represented 71% (US$358 billion) of large 0.76 0.36 100 deal volume in Q1 2021, a notable increase from the average 0.41 0.23 0.43 0.38 0.37 0.31 0.41 0.39 0.40 0.42 0.49 0.41 0.39 46% 44% 35%35% 44%44%41% 41% 0.14 45% 44% 42% 42% 35% 35% 38% 38% 36% 34% 34% 37%36%40% 37%41% 41% 36% 40% 29% 0.0 Volume & Number of Mega Deals: > US$ 5 billion Q1 2021 0 proportion of first quarter large deal volume over the last 10 2007 2007 2008 2008 2009 2009 2010 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2016 2017 2017 2018 2018 2019 2019 2020 2020 2021 2021 years (64%). DOMESTIC M&A CROSS-BORDER M&A NUMBER OF DEALS Mega deal volume was US$444 billion in Q1 2021, an increase of 9% from Q4 2020 (US$409 billion), and an increase of 96% from Q1 2020 (US$227 billion). VOLUME & NUMBER OF MEGA DEALS > US$5 BILLION While the proportion of large deals in Q1 2021 that were 2.5 200 cross-border (29%) declined relative to the average annual proportion of first quarter large deal volume over the last 10 2.07 180 years (36%), the proportion of mega deal volume that was M&A VOLUME (US$ TRILLIONS) 2.0 160 cross-border increased in Q1 2021 versus the average annual 1.74 140 NUMBER OF DEALS 1.52 proportion of first quarter mega deal volume over the last 10 1.43 1.5 120 1.34 1.28 years. Cross-border deals represented 43% (US$192 billion) of 1.27 1.27 0.93 100 1.12 mega deal volume in Q1 2021, 11% above the average annual 0.99 1.0 0.83 80 proportion of first quarter mega deal volume over the last 10 0.91 0.82 0.82 0.70 1.29 0.80 0.72 0.67 years (32%), and the second highest first quarter cross-border 0.66 0.56 0.66 60 mega deal volume in the past 10 years. 0.5 0.69 0.57 0.61 0.44 40 0.81 0.48 0.79 0.46 0.60 0.25 0.57 20 0.43 0.44 0.47 0.13 0.19 0.21 0.11 0.33 0.23 0.15 0.19 39% 46% 32% 15%15% 28%28%21% 21% 32% 26% 26% 19% 19% 40% 39% 45% 38% 38% 33%45%42% 33%15% 42% 37% 17% 43% 0.0 0 2007 2007 2008 2008 2009 2009 2010 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2017 2018 2018 2019 2019 2020 2020 2021 2021 CROSS-BORDER M&A TRANSACTIONS ARE DEFINED AS THOSE IN WHICH THE PARTIES ARE HEADQUARTERED OR BASED DOMESTIC M&A CROSS-BORDER M&A NUMBER OF DEALS IN DIFFERENT COUNTRIES. ALL FIGURES ARE INFLATION-ADJUSTED TO 2021 DOLLARS. DATA IN THIS REPORT DOES NOT INCLUDE SPIN-OFFS ANNOUNCED IN 2021 THAT HAVE NOT BEEN COMPLETED. FIGURES MAY NOT SUM DUE TO ROUNDING. 5 SOURCE: THOMSON
M&A Volume by Target Region: Q1 2021 M&A VOLUME BY M&A VOLUME BY TARGET REGION: Q1 2021 TARGET REGION Mexico Africa/Middle East 0.1% South America U.S. DEALS DRIVE GLOBAL M&A 2.3% Canada 3.7% 4.3% Central America Australia/NZ U.S. M&A volume accounted for US$671 billion of M&A 2.2% 0.0% volume in Q1 2021, representing 50% of global M&A volume, Other Asia its highest share of global M&A volume since Q2 2019 (58%) 2.2% and significantly above both its 39% share of global M&A India 1.8% volume in 2020 and its 43% share of global M&A volume in Japan 1.5% the last 10 years. China In contrast, acquisitions of European and Chinese 10.2% United States 50.4% companies represented a lower share of M&A volume in Q1 2021. Acquisitions of European companies accounted for Europe US$284 billion of M&A volume in Q1 2021, representing 21% of 21.3% global M&A volume in Q1 2021, below its 28% share of annual global M&A volume in 2020 and below its 24% share of global M&A Volume by Target Region: 2007-2019 M&A volume in the last 10 years. Likewise, acquisitions of Chinese companies represented a lower share of M&A volume in Q1 2021, accounting for US$136 billion in Q1 2021, representing 10% of global M&A M&A VOLUME BY TARGET REGION: 2011-2020 Africa/Middle East volume in Q1 2021, below its 16% share of annual global M&A South America 2.2% Canada volume in 2020 and below its 14% share of global M&A volume 2.4% 3.0% Mexico 0.5% in the last 10 years. Australia/NZ Central America The U.S. was not the only region to see an increase in its 2.7% 0.1% share of global M&A volume. In particular, the share of global Other Asia 4.5% M&A volume attributable to acquisitions of companies in India 1.5% Canada (4.3%, representing a 134% increase relative to its share Japan of annual global M&A volume in 2020), Africa and the Middle 2.8% United States East (3.7%, representing a 70% increase relative to their share 42.5% China of annual global M&A volume in 2020) and South America 13.6% (2.3%, representing a 97% increase relative to its share of annual global M&A volume in 2020) all increased in Q1 2021 versus Europe the full-year 2020. 24.1% REPRESENTS SHARE OF GLOBAL M&A VOLUME BASED ON TARGET’S HEADQUARTERS. ALL FIGURES ARE INFLATION- ADJUSTED TO 2021 DOLLARS. DATA IN THIS REPORT DOES NOT INCLUDE SPIN-OFFS ANNOUNCED IN 2021 THAT HAVE NOT BEEN COMPLETED. FIGURES MAY NOT SUM DUE TO ROUNDING. 6 SOURCE: THOMSON
TRENDS IN M&A VOLUME BY TARGET REGION NORTH AMERICAN DEAL VOLUME REACHES NEW HIGHS An increase in North American M&A volume in Q1 2021 drove the global increase in M&A activity, while other regions of the world experienced declines over the same period relative to M&A volumes in Q4 2020. North American M&A activity in Q1 2021 reached US$728 billion for the quarter, an increase of 14% from Q4 2020 (US$641 billion), an increase of 169% from Q1 2020 (US$271 billion), and an increase of 104% from the average North American M&A volume over the last 10 first quarters (US$357 billion). In contrast, M&A volume in Europe in Q1 2021 was US$284 billion, a decrease of 19% from Q4 2020 TRENDS IN M&A VOLUME BY TARGET REGION (US$350 billion), however an increase of 25% from Q1 2020 2,000 (US$227 billion) and 40% higher than the average European 1,800 M&A volume over the last 10 first quarters (US$203 billion). 1,600 M&A volume in the Asia-Pacific (excluding Japan) 1,400 was US$218 billion in Q1 2021, a decrease of 19% from 1,200 Q4 2020 (US$269 billion), an increase of 46% from Q1 2020 US$ BILLIONS (US$149 billion) and an increase of 34% from the average 1,000 volume over the last 10 first quarters (US$162 billion). M&A 800 volume in Q1 2021 in Japan (US$20 billion) increased 7% 600 versus Q4 2020 (US$18 billion), but decreased 23% from 400 Q1 2020 (US$26 billion) and 11% from the average Japanese 200 M&A volume over the last 10 first quarters (US$22 billion). 0 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 ALL FIGURES ARE INFLATION-ADJUSTED TO 2021 DOLLARS. DATA IN THIS REPORT DOES NOT INCLUDE SPIN-OFFS ANNOUNCED IN 2021 THAT HAVE NOT BEEN COMPLETED. SOURCE: THOMSON 7
CROSS-BORDER M&A IN EMERGING ECONOMIES A REBOUND IN M&A ACTIVITY After five years of year-over-year declines, M&A volume involving acquirers or targets in emerging economies is on pace to rise in 2021. While M&A activity in emerging economies was US$229 billion in Q1 2021, a slight decrease of 2% from Q4 2020 (US$234 billion), it represents an increase of 28% from Q1 2020 (US$178 billion). Cross-border transactions accounted for 29% of Cross-Border emerging economy M&A volume in 2021 (US$67 billion), M&A Volume in Emerging Economies: 2007-2021 an increase of 11% from Q4 2020 (US$61 billion) and 60% from Q1 2020 (US$42 billion), and in line with the average share of cross-border emerging economy transactions over the last 10 first quarters (US$66 billion). EMERGING ECONOMY M&A VOLUME Significant cross-border transactions in Q1 2021 1,200 1,083 involving acquirers or targets in emerging economies 993 include Hillhouse Capital’s US$4 billion acquisition of 1,000 940 918 897 876 871 Philips’s domestic appliances business, the US$2 billion 842 827 800 acquisition of a minority stake in Rakuten by an 703 691 690 US$ BILLIONS 676 776 investor group including Tencent Holdings, and Kismet 326 493 626 613 581 600 Acquisition One Corp.’s US$2 billion SPAC transaction 501 552 589 659 357 344 375 with Nexters Global. 400 400 268 516 229 200 404 367 346 347 315 308 327 337 276 275 287 162 233 212 61% 61% 49% 46% 49% 46%45%45% 50% 51% 46% 46% 41% 41% 33% 34% 37% 28% 29% 35%37%37% 35% 33% 37% 24% 32% 67 29% 0 EMERGING MARKET TRANSACTIONS ARE DEFINED AS THOSE IN WHICH EITHER OR BOTH PARTIES ARE HEADQUARTERED OR BASED IN AN EMERGING ECONOMY. CROSS-BORDER M&A TRANSACTIONS ARE DEFINED 2007 2007 2008 2008 2009 2009 2010 2010 2011 2011 2012 2012 2013 2013 2014 2014 2015 2015 2016 2016 2017 2017 2018 2019 2020 2018 2019 2020 2021 2021 AS THOSE IN WHICH THE PARTIES ARE HEADQUARTERED OR BASED IN DIFFERENT COUNTRIES. ALL FIGURES ARE INFLATION-ADJUSTED TO 2021 DOLLARS. DATA IN THIS REPORT DOES NOT INCLUDE SPIN-OFFS ANNOUNCED IN 2021 THAT HAVE NOT BEEN COMPLETED. FIGURES MAY NOT SUM DUE TO ROUNDING. DEVELOPED AND EMERGING ECONOMIES ARE DEFINED BY IMF CLASSIFICATION. DOMESTIC M&A CROSS-BORDER M&A SOURCE: THOMSON 8
DISTRESSED DEALS THE ROAD TO ECONOMIC RECOVERY The widespread negative effects of Covid-19 on the global economy, unemployment and consumer spending brought with them a rise in distressed M&A activity in recent quarters. However, in Q1 2021, as optimism rebounds and global M&A activity surges, distressed M&A activity declined to US$10 billion in Q1 2021, a decrease of 33% from Q4 2020 (US$15 billion). However, the ongoing effects of the global pandemic remain, and distressed M&A activity in Q1 2021 represents an increase of 73% from the early days of the pandemic in Q1 2020 (US$6 billion). The largest distressed deal in Q1 2021 was the Distressed Deals: 2000 – 2020 US$4 billion rescue of American car rental firm Hertz by an investor group comprised of Centerbridge Partners, Warburg Pincus, and Dundon Capital Partners. DISTRESSED M&A VOLUME 150 125 100 US$ BILLIONS 75 50 25 ALL FIGURES ARE INFLATION-ADJUSTED TO 2021 DOLLARS. DISTRESSED TRANSACTIONS INCLUDE THOSE IN WHICH THE TARGET ENTITY IS UNDERGOING RESTRUCTURING OR HAS REDUCED THE DEBT ON ITS BALANCE SHEET THROUGH 0 A BANKRUPTCY SALE, A TENDER OFFER OR AN EXCHANGE OFFER FOR EXISTING DEBT SECURITIES, OR A LOAN 011 033 100 5 111 122 166 133 144 155 177 188 199 211 06 09 02 07 20 00 04 08 05 MODIFICATION. AN ENTITY IS CONSIDERED TO BE UNDERGOING RESTRUCTURING IF IT HAS PUBLICLY CONFIRMED 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 RETENTION OF A RESTRUCTURING ADVISOR, PLANS TO RESTRUCTURE ITS DEBT, HAS FILED FOR BANKRUPTCY OR HAS DEFAULTED ON ITS DEBT, HAS RECEIVED AN S&P OR MOODY’S RATING OF CCC+/CAA1 OR BELOW BEFORE OR IN REACTION TO THE ANNOUNCEMENT OF A TRANSACTION, OR ITS CREDIT FACILITY OR DEBT SECURITIES CARRY A YIELD OF 1,000 BPS ABOVE THAT OF U.S. TREASURIES. SOURCE: THOMSON 9
GLOBAL M&A BY SECTOR: LAST 12 MONTHS HIGH TECHNOLOGY CONTINUES TO LEAD In an era of accelerating adoption of virtual communication, distance learning and remote employment, the High Technology sector continued to lead all other major industry sectors in M&A volume in the last 12 months, representing US$889 billion of global M&A volume and accounting for over 20% of global M&A volume in the aggregate. In Q1 2021, 21% of total global M&A volume was attributable to the High Technology sector (US$274 billion). The sectors with the next highest M&A volume over the last 12 months were the Energy & Power and Financials Global M&A by Sector: Last 12 Months Q3 2019 sectors, representing US$554 billion and US$540 billion of global M&A volume respectively. In the aggregate, High Technology, Energy & Power and Financials accounted for M&A VOLUME BY SECTOR - LAST 12 MONTHS 46% of global M&A volume over the last four quarters. 1,000 Consumer Staples, Media & Entertainment and 900 Healthcare were the sectors with the highest proportions of 800 cross-border M&A volume in the last 12 months, with 72%, 700 43% and 42% of total M&A volume respectively attributable US$ BILLIONS 600 to cross-border transactions. 500 The sectors with the lowest proportion of cross-border 400 M&A activity over the last 12 months were Real Estate, 300 with 29% of total M&A volume attributable to cross-border 200 transactions, and Financials, with 31% of total M&A volume 100 attributable to cross-border transactions. 0 0 r ls ls als re te y les t ns cts il we log en ta s ria cia ls a ls r te gy re ns les s t l tri ca sta tio tai en ap du s Re we ic e i al Po ate inm ria an us lth lE no St ca ro rvice ta ca tio olo t ri ap i Re & n a h a nc d inm M i e a c r t n P Po In Es erv er te y F Re e h H Te mu er Se us i ca erg um nt St al t a n Ma gh ns &E om um & ta En Fin & al ch dS Ind Hi ns un Co ec er He Re a l y er i o Te d e C um T an m rg Me nt om e CROSS-BORDER M&A TRANSACTIONS ARE DEFINED AS THOSE IN WHICH THE PARTIES ARE HEADQUARTERED OR BASED gh /E ns ct s En Hi IN DIFFERENT COUNTRIES. ALL FIGURES ARE INFLATION-ADJUSTED TO 2021 DOLLARS. DATA IN THIS REPORT DOES NOT lec GLOBAL M&A* CROSS-BORDER M&A Co dia 10 du INCLUDE SPIN-OFFS ANNOUNCED IN 2021 THAT HAVE NOT BEEN COMPLETED. Te Me ro SOURCE: THOMSON *INCLUDES BOTH DOMESTIC AND CROSS-BORDER TRANSACTIONS. rP
AGGREGATE VALUE OF DEALS FROM DEVELOPED INTO EMERGING ECONOMIES FROM EMERGING INTO DEVELOPED ECONOMIES 250 300 200 250 200 US$ BILLIONS US$ BILLIONS 150 150 100 100 50 50 0 0 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 INBOUND CHINESE DEALS OUTBOUND CHINESE DEALS 60 250 50 200 US$ BILLIONS US$ BILLIONS 40 150 30 100 20 50 10 0 0 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 INBOUND INDIAN DEALS OUTBOUND INDIAN DEALS 70 40 60 35 50 30 US$ BILLIONS US$ BILLIONS 40 25 20 30 15 20 10 10 5 0 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 0 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 ALL FIGURES ARE INFLATION-ADJUSTED TO 2021 DOLLARS. DATA IN THIS REPORT DOES NOT INCLUDE SPIN-OFFS ANNOUNCED IN 2021 THAT HAVE NOT BEEN COMPLETED. DEVELOPED AND EMERGING ECONOMIES ARE DEFINED BY IMF CLASSIFICATION. 11 SOURCE: THOMSON
TOP 10 GLOBAL DEALS ANNOUNCED IN Q1 2021 ACQUIRER* TARGET* TARGET DEAL INDUSTRY VALUE** AerCap Holdings NV GE Capital Aviation Services Inc Financials 31,244 Ireland United States Ireland US Canadian Pacific Railway Ltd Kansas City Southern Industrials 28,743 Canada United States Canada US Rogers Communications Inc Shaw Communications Inc Media & 26,000 Canada Canada Entertainment Canada Canada National Grid PLC PPL WPD Investments Ltd Energy & Power 20,107 United Kingdom United Kingdom UK UK UnitedHealth Group Inc Change Healthcare Inc High Technology 12,800 United States United States US US ICON PLC PRA Health Sciences Inc Healthcare 11,879 Ireland United States Ireland US Churchill Capital Corp IV Lucid Motors USA Inc Industrials 11,750 United States United States US US FinTech Investor Holdings V LLC eToro Group Ltd Financials 10,366 United States Israel US Israel Thoma Bravo Advantage ironSource Ltd High Technology 10,000 United States Israel US Israel BowX Acquisition Corp WeWork Companies Inc Real Estate 9,908 United States United States US US 12 *COMPANY NATIONALITY DETERMINED BY LOCATION OF HEADQUARTERS OR BY LOCATION OF TARGET ASSETS. **US$MILLIONS
TOP 10 DEALS FROM DEVELOPED INTO EMERGING ECONOMIES* ANNOUNCED IN Q1 2021 ACQUIRER** TARGET** TARGET DEAL INDUSTRY VALUE*** RMG Sponsor II LLC ReNew Power Pvt Ltd Energy & Power 3,584 United States India US India Allianz SE Aviva PLC - Polish Business Financials 2,941 Germany Poland Germany Poland Cellnex Telecom SA Polkomtel Infrastruktura SP ZOO Telecommunications 1,905 Spain Poland Spain Poland Carrefour SA Grupo BIG Brasil SA Retail 1,359 France Brazil France Brazil Union Acquisition Corp II Procaps SAS Healthcare 1,321 United States Colombia US APG Energy & Infra Investments SL and Colombia Cantiles XXI SL Colbún Transmisión SA Energy & Power 1,295 Chile Chile / Spain Chile Chile Spain TMK Steel Holding Ltd Chelyabinsk Pipe Plant PJSC Materials 1,133 Cyprus Russia Cyprus Russia East Stone Acquisition Corp JHD Holdings (Cayman) Ltd Retail 1,000 United States China US China KKR & Co Inc InfraCo SpA 1,000 United States Chile Telecommunications US Chile Partners Group Holding AG Fortum Oyj - District Heating Business Energy & Power 959 Estonia Switzerland Estonia / Latvia / Lithuania Latvia Switzerland *DEVELOPED/EMERGING ECONOMIES ARE DEFINED BY IMF CLASSIFICATION, AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.IMF.ORG/EXTERNAL/PUBS/FT/WEO/2010/01/WEODATA/GROUPS.HTM. 13 Lithuania **COMPANY NATIONALITY DETERMINED BY LOCATION OF HEADQUARTERS OR BY LOCATION OF TARGET ASSETS. ***US$MILLIONS
TOP 10 DEALS FROM EMERGING INTO DEVELOPED ECONOMIES* ANNOUNCED IN Q1 2021 ACQUIRER** TARGET** TARGET DEAL INDUSTRY VALUE*** Hillhouse Capital Group Ltd Koninklijke Philips NV - Domestic China Appliances Business Retail 4,370 Netherlands China Investor Group comprised of Mikitani Kosan Inc, Spirit Inc, Netherlands Japan Post Holdings Co Ltd - Japan, Tencent Holdings Ltd Rakuten Inc High Technology 2,234 China and Walmart Inc Japan China / Japan / United States Japan Japan US Kismet Acquisition One Corp Nexters Global Ltd High Technology 2,033 Russia Cyprus Russia Cyprus Wipro Ltd Capco High Technology 1,450 India United Kingdom India Polskie Górnictwo Naftowe i Gazownictwo UK SA - Republic of Poland INEOS E&P Norge AS - Oil and Gas Business Energy & Power 615 Norway Poland Poland Norway Grenadier Energy Partners II LLC - Oil and Shandong Xinchao Energy Corp Ltd Gas Assets Energy & Power 420 China United States China US Undisclosed Multifamily Portfolio - Investcorp Holdings BSC Residential Properties Real Estate 330 Bahrain United States Bahrain US Gulf Islamic Investments LLC SNC Montreuil Altaïs - Altaïs Towers Real Estate 302 United Arab Emirates France UAE France Consumer GreenVision Capital Holdings LLC Helbiz Inc Products & 300 China United States Services China Investor Group led by SoftBank Group Corp US and Tencent Holdings Ltd Patsnap Pte Ltd High Technology 300 Singapore Japan Japan / China China *DEVELOPED/EMERGING Singapore ECONOMIES ARE DEFINED BY IMF CLASSIFICATION, AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.IMF.ORG/EXTERNAL/PUBS/FT/WEO/2010/01/WEODATA/GROUPS.HTM. 14 **COMPANY NATIONALITY DETERMINED BY LOCATION OF HEADQUARTERS OR BY LOCATION OF TARGET ASSETS. ***US$MILLIONS
TOP 10 NORTH AMERICAN DEALS ANNOUNCED IN Q1 2021 ACQUIRER* TARGET* TARGET DEAL INDUSTRY VALUE** AerCap Holdings NV GE Capital Aviation Services Inc Financials 31,244 Ireland United States Ireland US Canadian Pacific Railway Ltd Kansas City Southern Industrials 28,743 Canada United States Canada US Rogers Communications Inc Shaw Communications Inc Media & 26,000 Canada Canada Entertainment Canada Canada UnitedHealth Group Inc Change Healthcare Inc High Technology 12,800 United States United States US US ICON PLC PRA Health Sciences Inc Healthcare 11,879 Ireland United States Ireland US Churchill Capital Corp IV Lucid Motors USA Inc Industrials 11,750 United States United States US US BowX Acquisition Corp WeWork Companies Inc Real Estate 9,908 United States United States US US Hitachi Ltd GlobalLogic Inc High Technology 9,600 Japan United States Japan US Teledyne Technologies Inc FLIR Systems Inc Industrials 7,941 United States United States US US Apollo Global Management Inc Athene Holding Ltd Financials 7,802 United States United States US US 15 *COMPANY NATIONALITY DETERMINED BY LOCATION OF HEADQUARTERS OR BY LOCATION OF TARGET ASSETS. **US$MILLIONS
TOP 10 ASIA-PACIFIC DEALS ANNOUNCED IN Q1 2021 ACQUIRER* TARGET* TARGET DEAL INDUSTRY VALUE** Piramal Enterprises Ltd Dewan Housing Finance Corp Ltd Financials 4,711 India India India India RMG Sponsor II LLC ReNew Power Pvt Ltd Energy & Power 3,586 United States India US Investor Group comprised of Cosmic Success Holdings Ltd, Upper India China Evergrande New Energy Vehicle World Ltd, Heyirong International Trade Co Ltd, Greenwoods Global Investment Ltd, Li Minghui and Chan Hoi Wan Group Ltd Industrials 3,354 China / British Virgin Islands China China British Virgin Investor Group comprised of Macquarie Group Ltd China and Aware Super Pty Ltd Vocus Group Ltd Telecommunications 2,700 Australia Australia Australia Australia Jingdong Digits Technology Holding Co Ltd JD.com Inc - Cloud and AI Businesses High Technology 2,389 China China China China QIC Ltd - Commonwealth of Australia Tilt Renewables Ltd Energy & Power 2,335 Australia New Zealand Australia Investor Group comprised of Shenzhen International Holding Ltd and New Zealand Shenzhen Kunpeng Equity Investment Management Co Ltd - People’s Suning.com Co Ltd Retail 2,289 Republic of China China China China China SF Holding Co Ltd Kerry Logistics Network Ltd Industrials 2,265 China Hong Kong China Investor Group comprised of Mikitani Kosan Inc, Spirit Inc, Japan Post Hong Kong Holdings Co Ltd - Japan, Tencent Holdings Ltd and Walmart Inc Rakuten Inc High Technology 2,234 China China / Japan / United States Japan Japan Investor Group led by Foshan Xinmingzhu Enterprise Group Co Ltd, Japan United Strength Harmony Ltd, Shenzhen Jianhui Investment Co Ltd, New Gains Group Ltd US Shenzhen Jianke Investment Co Ltd and Shenzhen Mingsheng Duling China High Technology 2,105 Commerce & Trade Co Ltd China China China 16 *COMPANY NATIONALITY DETERMINED BY LOCATION OF HEADQUARTERS OR BY LOCATION OF TARGET ASSETS. **US$MILLIONS
TOP 10 EUROPEAN DEALS ANNOUNCED IN Q1 2021 ACQUIRER* TARGET* TARGET DEAL INDUSTRY VALUE** National Grid PLC PPL WPD Investments Ltd Energy & Power 20,107 United Kingdom United Kingdom UK UK Gores Holdings V Inc Ardagh Metal Packaging SA Materials 9,460 United States Luxembourg US Luxembourg Telxius Telecom SA - European American Tower Corp Telecommunications Towers Division Telecommunications 9,399 United States Spain US Spain Ajax I Holdings LLC Cazoo Ltd Retail 6,380 United States United Kingdom US UK Jazz Pharmaceuticals PLC GW Pharmaceuticals PLC Healthcare 6,367 United States United Kingdom US UK Cellnex Telecom SA Hivory SAS Telecommunications 6,262 Spain France Spain France Renesas Electronics Corp Dialog Semiconductor PLC High Technology 5,676 Japan United Kingdom Japan UK Lonza Group AG - Specialty Ingredients Bain Capital LP and Cinven Group Ltd Business Healthcare 4,673 United States / United Kingdom Switzerland US Switzerland Koninklijke Philips NV - Domestic UK Hillhouse Capital Group Ltd Appliances Business Retail 4,370 China Netherlands China Investor Group comprised of EQT AB, Nestlé SA Netherlands Consumer Switzerland and Silver Lake Management LLC Independent Vetcare Ltd Products & 4,217 United Kingdom Switzerland / Sweden / United States Services Sweden US UK 17 *COMPANY NATIONALITY DETERMINED BY LOCATION OF HEADQUARTERS OR BY LOCATION OF TARGET ASSETS. **US$MILLIONS
TOP 10 INBOUND CHINESE DEALS ANNOUNCED IN Q1 2021 ACQUIRER* TARGET* TARGET DEAL INDUSTRY VALUE** East Stone Acquisition Corp JHD Holdings (Cayman) Ltd Retail 1,000 United States China US China SUEZ SA SUEZ NWS Ltd Energy & Power 898 France Hong Kong France Hong Kong JPMorgan Chase & Co CMB Wealth Management Co Ltd Financials 410 United States China US China Investor Group led by SoftBank Group Corp Beijing Calorie Technology Co Ltd High Technology 360 Japan China Japan China First Sponsor Group Ltd Double Wealthy Co Ltd Real Estate 243 Singapore China Singapore China argenx SE Zai Lab Ltd Netherlands China Healthcare 175 Netherlands China Shenzhen Tusincere Technology Park Consumer Hong Leong Investments Holdings Pte Ltd Development Co Ltd Products & 132 Singapore China Services Singapore Investor Group led by OrbiMed Advisors China LLC and Oceanpine Capital Ltd Yisheng Biopharma Co Ltd Healthcare 130 China United States / China US China China Zhongbai Xingye Food Techology (Beijing) Brenntag AG Co Ltd Consumer Staples 109 Germany China Germany Investor Group led by Khazanah Nasional Bhd - China Malaysia Adicon Holdings Ltd Healthcare 88 China Malaysia Malaysia China 18 *COMPANY NATIONALITY DETERMINED BY LOCATION OF HEADQUARTERS OR BY LOCATION OF TARGET ASSETS. **US$MILLIONS
TOP 10 OUTBOUND CHINESE DEALS ANNOUNCED IN Q1 2021 ACQUIRER* TARGET* TARGET DEAL INDUSTRY VALUE** Hillhouse Capital Group Ltd Koninklijke Philips NV - Domestic China Appliances Business Retail 4,370 Netherlands China Investor Group comprised of Mikitani Kosan Inc, Spirit Inc, Netherlands Japan Post Holdings Co Ltd - Japan, Tencent Holdings Ltd and Rakuten Inc High Technology 2,234 China Walmart Inc Japan China / Japan / United States Japan Japan US CK Asset Holdings Ltd UK Power Networks Holdings Ltd Energy & Power 1,970 Hong Kong United Kingdom Hong Kong UK Affinity Equity Partners JobKorea Co Ltd High Technology 799 Hong Kong South Korea Hong Kong China Three Gorges Corp - People’s S. Korea Republic of China Luz del Sur SAA Energy & Power 561 Peru China China Peru Grenadier Energy Partners II LLC - Oil and Shandong Xinchao Energy Corp Ltd Gas Assets Energy & Power 420 China United States China US Henderson Park Real Estate Fund I Finance Wing Tai Properties Ltd Master Ltd - Athene Place Real Estate 355 Hong Kong United Kingdom Hong Kong UK Consumer GreenVision Capital Holdings LLC Helbiz Inc Products & 300 China United States Services China Investor Group led by SoftBank Group Corp US and Tencent Holdings Ltd Patsnap Pte Ltd High Technology 300 Singapore Japan / China Japan China Singapore Consumer PAG Unispace Global Pty Ltd Products & 233 Hong Kong Australia Services Hong Kong Australia 19 *COMPANY NATIONALITY DETERMINED BY LOCATION OF HEADQUARTERS OR BY LOCATION OF TARGET ASSETS. **US$MILLIONS
TOP 10 INBOUND INDIAN DEALS ANNOUNCED IN Q1 2021 ACQUIRER* TARGET* TARGET DEAL INDUSTRY VALUE** RMG Sponsor II LLC ReNew Power Pvt Ltd Energy & Power 3,584 United States India US Investor Group led by TCMI Inc, D1 Capital Partners India LP and Falcon Edge Capital LP Sporta Technologies Pvt Ltd High Technology 400 India Mauritius / United States Mauritius India US Advent International Corp ZCL Chemicals Ltd Healthcare 273 United States India US India International Cargo Terminals & Bain Capital LP Infrastructure Pvt Ltd Industrials 207 United States India US India Iron Mountain Inc Web Werks India Pvt Ltd High Technology 150 United States India US India Warburg Pincus LLC Imagine Marketing Pvt Ltd Retail 100 United States India US Investor Group led by Qatar Investment Authority India and Glade Brook Capital Partners LLC VerSe Innovation Pvt Ltd High Technology 100 India United States / Qatar US India Consumer Qatar Investor Group led by Tiger Global Management LLC Hella Infra Market Pvt Ltd Products & 100 United States India Services US India Stillfront Group AB Moonfrog Labs Pvt Ltd High Technology 90 Sweden India Sweden India Investor Group led by SS&C Technologies Dreamplug Technologies Pvt Ltd Holdings Inc India Financials 81 United States US India 20 *COMPANY NATIONALITY DETERMINED BY LOCATION OF HEADQUARTERS OR BY LOCATION OF TARGET ASSETS. **US$MILLIONS
TOP 10 OUTBOUND INDIAN DEALS ANNOUNCED IN Q1 2021 ACQUIRER* TARGET* TARGET DEAL INDUSTRY VALUE** Wipro Ltd Capco High Technology 1,450 India United Kingdom India UK PGP Glass Pvt Ltd Piramal Glass Ceylon PLC Materials 45 India Sri Lanka India Sri Lanka Jubilant FoodWorks Ltd Fides Food Systems Coöperatief UA Financials 35 India Netherlands India Netherlands Consumer Reliance Industries Ltd skyTran Inc Products & 27 India United States Services India US Consumer Tech Mahindra Ltd Perigord Life Science Solutions Ltd Products & 25 India Ireland Services India Ireland Consumer Ecom Express Pvt Ltd Paperfly Pvt Ltd Products & 11 India Bangladesh Services India Investor Group led by Sequoia Capital Bangladesh Operations LLC PT Beegroup Financial Indonesia High Technology 10 Indonesia United States / India US India Indonesia Tech Mahindra Ltd Payments Technology Services Ltd Financials 9 India Hong Kong India Hong Kong Kalpataru Power Transmission Ltd Fasttel Engenharia Ltda Energy & Power 9 India Brazil India Brazil Happiest Minds Technologies Ltd PGS Inc High Technology 8 India United States India US 21 *COMPANY NATIONALITY DETERMINED BY LOCATION OF HEADQUARTERS OR BY LOCATION OF TARGET ASSETS. **US$MILLIONS
QUARTERLY REVIEW Q1 2021 The views expressed herein reflect only the views of XBMA’s editorial staff individually and not those of any of XBMA’s founders, academic partners, advisory board members, or others. 22
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