Q1 Report 2022 Wallenius Wilhelmsen ASA

Page created by Stephen Mendoza
 
CONTINUE READING
Q1 Report 2022 Wallenius Wilhelmsen ASA
Wallenius Wilhelmsen ASA

Q1 Report 2022
Q1 Report 2022 Wallenius Wilhelmsen ASA
Highlights – Q1 2022

• Strong EBITDA of USD 309m driven by the shipping segment

• Some margin pressure due to fuel prices and supply chain issues

• Cash position increased to USD 759m driven by solid EBITDA

• Limited direct impact on business from war in Ukraine

• Issue of NOK 1.25bn sustainability-linked bond

• AGM approved the USD 63.5m dividend, and appointed Hans Åkervall and
  Yngvil Eriksson Åsheim as new members of the board

                                                                         2
Q1 Report 2022 Wallenius Wilhelmsen ASA
Agenda

         1. Shipping update
         2. Logistics update
         3. Financial update
         4. Prospects and Q&A
Q1 Report 2022 Wallenius Wilhelmsen ASA
Shipping update
Shipping volumes up 1% QoQ despite seasonality and operational disruptions

                       Shipping services volumes and cargo mix
Million CBM
                                                                                                      +8%                 +1%           %          • Continued solid volumes in most trades, except EU-Asia
                                                                                                                                            40
18
       15.5
                    16.6
                              15.6
                                                                                                  16.2                                               mainly due to less sailings
16                                       15.3                                                                       15.3        15.5
                                                                              14.8                        14.6                              35
                                                                                          14.3
14                                               12.6
                                                                   11.9
                                                                                                                                            30     • Port congestions creates further operational disruptions,
12
                                                                                                                                            25       we work hard to mitigate impact
10                                                        9.0
                                                                                                                                            20
  8                                                                                                                                                • Cargo mix and contract renewals drive net freight rate to
                                                                                                                                            15
  6                                                                                                                                                  USD 52.2 per cbm, up from USD 49.7 in Q4
                                                                                                                                            10
  4
  2                                                                                                                                         5      • Cargo mix (H&H share) at 31% Q1, up from 30% in Q4 on
  0
      Q1’19         Q2’19    Q3’19       Q4’19   Q1’20   Q2’20    Q3’20      Q4’20        Q1’21   Q2’21   Q3’21    Q4’21        Q1’22
                                                                                                                                            0        positive volume development
              Prorated volumes in million CBM (lhs)1                               H&H share, unprorated in % (rhs)2

         EU/NA – Oceania                                                Atlantic                                         EU - ASIA                                   Asia - EU                        Asia - NA
                    +13%          +25%                                 +9%         +20%                                  -23%         -23%                           +22%         +3%                +3%         +2%

                                         1.3                     2.4                      2.6                      2.0          2.0                                         2.8         2.9    2.9         3.0         3.0
              1.1           1.0                                              2.2                                                                               2.4
                                                                                                                                             1.6

         Q1’21          Q4’21        Q1’22                      Q1’21     Q4’21       Q1’22                       Q1’21     Q4’21           Q1’22             Q1’21     Q4’21       Q1’22     Q1’21     Q4’21      Q1’22

1) Total volume based on prorated volume in Shipping services (ex. Government services), i.e. volumes are split between months based on the sailing period onboard the vessel
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             5
2) H&H share calculated based on unprorated volumes, i.e. volumes loaded onto vessels during the quarter
Stable fleet development in Q1

  Fleet capacity                                                 Controlled fleet + net short-term charters in # of vessels1

• Total fleet at 129 vessels                                                              136
                                                                                                               132        129      131        129      130      129
                                                                                                   127
                                                                  123             122
        • One vessel sale from the                                        117
          government segment
                                                                                           74
        • Less usage of short-term                                                                              81
                                                                                                    77                    82        83         83       83       82
          charters                                                 84
                                                                                   73
                                                                           75
• No further newbuildings on order
• Time charter market remains tight                                                        28
                                                                                   28              32           35
                                                                           28                                             36        42                  42       42
                                                                                           18                                                  42
                                                                   38              5
                                                                                                    10          13
                                                                           15      16      16                             10 1
                                                                   1                                8           3                    6          4        5        5
                                                                           -1
                                                                  Q1’20   Q2’20   Q3’20   Q4’20   Q1’21        Q2’21     Q3’21     Q4’21      Jan’22   Feb’22   Mar’22

                                                                                  Owned    Long-Term Charter         Net Short-Term Charter      Cold Layup
1 Vessels   in cold layup included owned and chartered vessels                                                                                                           6
High underlying auto demand from consumers not reflected in Q1 LV sales, 2022FY
    sales growth still expected

                       LV SALES                                               LV DEEPSEA                               LIGHT VEHICLE SALES OUTLOOK

                                                                                                                                                     +8%

                                                                                                                               +3%       +2%

YoY Q1-22
    (unit growth)    -5.4%                                                         -5.9%

o      We still expect increased sales figures                   o    Semiconductor shortage holding back
       despite the unrest in Eastern Europe,                          production as:                                  -14%
       however inflation might reduce consumer                        o Vehicles more advanced over the past 5-       2020     2021      2022        2023
       confidence                                                         10 years
o      Global LV sales do not reflect the high                        o Increased competition from consumer
       underlying demand from consumers                                   electronics
o      On the supply side production does not hold                    o Long lead-time to ramp up capacity
       up
o      Supply chain constraints prevent increased
       production

                                                                                                                                                            7
     Source: IHS Markit / Market Insight Wallenius Wilhelmsen. Arrows indicate YoY growth compared to last quarter.
Strong H&H demand despite additional headwinds on both supply and demand side

                 CONSTRUCTION                          MINING                            AGRICULTURE                                   EQUIPMENT PRODUCER SALES OUTLOOK3

                                                                                                                                                       +25%

                                                                                                                                                                       +14%
                                                                                                                                                                                       +7%
YoY Q1-221,2
 (unit growth)     +24%                                  N/A                                  +2%

 o   Increasing construction activity      o Metal prices significantly             o Strong farm income from food
                                             above pre-pandemic peaks                 prices at all-time high                           -13%
 o   Solid builder sentiment
 o   Strong machinery demand               o Miner profits at all-time high         o Farm margins under pressure                       2020            2021           2022           2023
 o   Accelerating machinery prices         o Positive miner capex                     from cost inflation
 o   Moderating order growth                 guidance revisions                     o Moderating industry sentiment
 o   Depleted machinery                    o Uncertain Chinese demand               o Positive but moderating
     inventories and robust order            prospects                                equipment demand
     backlogs                              o Strong machinery demand –              o Depleted inventories and
                                             still well-below prior highs             strong order backlogs

  Source: 1IHS Markit | World construction & agriculture equipment exports (avg. equipment value >20 kUSD ) (Units last 3 months, YoY) per January 2022. Data is limited to countries having reported customs
  data as per April 3rd, 2022. Arrows indicate YoY growth compared to last quarter. 2Parker Bay | Large Mining Equipment Deliveries (Units last quarter YoY). N/A: Q1-22 data not yet available. 3Factset Data and
  Analytics (April 25th, 2022) | OEM revenue consensus estimates per calendar year (USD). Constituents: Volvo, Caterpillar, CNH, Hitachi, Deere, Terex, Doosan, Sandvik, Epiroc and AGCO. Estimates include sales 8
  of constr./mining/agri. equipment only
Tight tonnage situation - limited recycling and still moderate orderbook
  New orders have a lead time of 3-4 years. Easing of current supply chain inefficiencies will add capacity

                                                                                        GLOBAL FLEET*

 End Q1
(end Q4)
                      #43 (43)                                                      #51 (39)                                                     94% (96%)
                     vessels built between                                                                                                       fleet utilization rate in
                                                                                    vessels in orderbook
                       1983 and 1997                                                                                                                       2022

 Source: Clarksons Platou, *for vessels above 4000 CEU, Utilization rate calculated on the basis of total global fleet (supply) and vessel capacity (demand)
                                                                                                                                                                             9
Agenda

         1. Shipping update
         2. Logistics update
         3. Financial update
         4. Prospects and Q&A
Logistics update
                   11
Volumes improved as customers experienced fewer chip related shut-downs

                                                                                                                                             • Increased auto volumes as production
                                                                                                                                               plants experienced fewer disruptions
                                                                                                                                             • H&H revenue largely up on lower
                                                                                                                                               margin inland transportation business
                                                                                                                                             • Terminals positively impacted by shipping
                                                                                                                                               volumes and seasonality
                                                                                                                                             • EMEA/APAC revenue up on stronger
                                                                                                                                               volume and fumigation seasonality

         Solutions America (Auto)                            Solutions America (H&H)                                 Terminals                                     EMEA/APAC
            Revenues (USDm)                                     Revenues (USDm)                                   Revenues (USDm)                                Revenues (USDm)
                                                                        +19%           +10%                             +19%           +7%                             +7%           +3%
                   -16%           +5%
             95                                                                                33                               49            53                43            45            46
                                         80                        27           29                               45
                           76

           Q1’21          Q4’21         Q1’22                  Q1’21           Q4’21          Q1’22             Q1’21          Q4’21         Q1’22             Q1’21         Q4’21         Q1’22

Illustration shows WW Logistics locations:      OEM/In plant VPC        VPC            OEM/In plant EPC   EPC     Terminals            Inland Transportation                                       12
Chip shortage continues to impact key logistics market, while end-user demand
 remain solid despite increased inflation

                                                                                LOGISTICS – key markets for Light Vehicles

                                                    North America LV Volume                                                                Europe LV Volume
                                                 5.1                      4.9                                                     6.1
                                                             4.4                       4.2           4.2                                                       5.1
                                                                                                                                                4.8                      4.4       4.7
         Units per
         quarter in
          millions

                                               Q1 2019     Q1 2020      Q1 2021      Q4 2021      Q1 2022                       Q1 2019      Q1 2020         Q1 2021   Q4 2021   Q1 2022

                                           o     Consumer confidence high as job figures                                    o    Partial lock-down in selected markets due to
                                                 solid and interest rates low                                                    Covid dampen off some sales
                                           o     Supply is tight due to semiconductor shortage                              o    Major sourcing issues leading to low
                                           o     OEMs prioritize most profitable vehicles and                                    production and dealers unable to meet
                                                 average price is record high                                                    consumer demand
                                           o     Inventories record low                                                     o    OEMs focusing on low-emission vehicles
                                                                                                                                 leading to a change of sales mix rather than
                                                                                                                                 increased volume
                                                                                                                                                                                           13
Source: IHS Markit. Volumes include all North American and European light vehicle production, both for domestic sales and for export abroad, plus imports.
Agenda

         1. Shipping update
         2. Logistics update
         3. Financial update
         4. Prospects and Q&A
Financial highlights  Q1 2022
 RESULTS (USDm)                                                                                                 KEY FINANCIAL METRICS

                     Total revenue                  Adjusted EBITDA                                              Adj. ROCE* (%)
                                                                                            Q4-21       Q1-22
                             1 078   1 149                      306    301                                                          +6.5
                                                                                                                    7.8
         Group

                      838
                                                                                                                                    +2.1
                                                      132
                                                                              Net profit     98        177

                              862     930                       279    278
                      623
                                                                              Adj. EBITDA
         Shipping

                                                                                            28.4%  26.2%        Equity ratio (%)
                                                      100
                                                                              margin
                                                                                                                                    +3.2
                      203     199     211             29                                                           37.4             +1.4
                                                                24     22
         Logistics

                                                                              Cash          710        759

                              60      58              10                                                         ND/Adj. EBITDA** (x)
                      54
                                                                 7      8
                                                                                            3 418  3 294
         Gov’t

                                                                              Net debt
                                                                                                                                    -3.3
                                                                                                                     3.2            -0.8
                     Q1’21   Q4’21   Q1’22          Q1’21     Q4’21   Q1’22

* ROCE calculated as last twelve months average, based on adj. EBIT
** Based on last twelve month adj. EBITDA                                                                                                  15
Shipping continues to deliver high EBITDA, government flat QoQ, while logistics
      margins come under pressure

       Shipping – Adj. EBITDA 1                                                Logistics – Adj. EBITDA 1                                       Government – Adj. EBITDA 1
       USDm                                                                    USDm                                                            USDm
                     +178%                  0%                                                 -23%                  -7%
                                                                                                                                                            -22%              +10%
                                      279        278                                       35
300                                                        50%          35                                                      20%       20                                              40%
                                       32         10                             29                                                                                                  8    35%
250                                                                     30                                                                15
                                                           40%
                                                                                                                24                                         12     11
                            195                                         25                                                 22   15%               10                                      30%
200                                                                                                   21                                  10                              7               25%
                  163                                      30%          20                                                                                                        16
150               35                                                                                                            10%        5                                              20%
         100                          247        268       20%          15
100                                                                                                                                        0                                              15%
                                                                        10                                                      5%                                                        10%
 50               128                                      10%                                                                            -5                                         -8
                                                                          5                                                                                                               5%
  0                                                        0              0                                                     0        -10                                              0
        Q1’21 Q2’21 Q3’21 Q4’21 Q1’22                                          Q1’21 Q2’21 Q3’21 Q4’21 Q1’22                                    Q1’21 Q2’21 Q3’21 Q4’21 Q1’22

      • QoQ EBITDA1) up due to solid freight                                  • QoQ EBITDA decreased mainly due to                             • QoQ EBITDA1) grew moderately; improved
        rates, volume growth, and efficient                                     increased fuel cost (H&H) and shift                              charter results partially countered by lower
        operations                                                              towards low-margin services                                      U.S. flag cargo activity
      • YoY EBITDA1) significantly up due to                                  • YoY EBITDA fell as Americas (auto)                             • YoY EBITDA1) dropped, negatively impacted
        return of demand and volumes                                            volumes dropped due to chip shortages                            by significantly higher fuel prices

      1) Adjusted for extraordinary items. Q4-21 and Q1-22 shipping and government adjustments related to vessel sales               Extraordinary items        EBITDA        EBITDA margin   16
Revenues increased QoQ, while adjusted EBITDA was flat on cost pressure

                                                                                                                 +71
 • Revenue up USD 71m QoQ                                                                                                                                     12
                                                                                                                                    -1                  -2
                                                                                                                 22                                                    0
         • Higher rates per CBM driven                                                                                                                                 -7
           by cargo mix and                                                                      38
           renegotiated contracts                                             9                                                                                              1 149

                                               USDm
         • Fuel surcharges increase on
           rising global oil prices                       1 078
                                                        Revenue          Volume effect     Revenue per CBM Fuel surcharges     Charter income            Other              Revenue
                                                        Q4 2021                                                                                                             Q1 2022
 • EBITDA1) down USD 5m QoQ
                                                                                                                -5
                                                                                   6
         • Increase in revenues                          306
                                                                                  -32
           countered by increasing cost                             68
                                                                                               -40
           across the business                                                                             9           -5         -3 -1
                                                                   -2 12 -7                                                                       -13              3            309
                                               USDm

         • Fuel cost increases more                      306                                                                                                                  301
           than outweigh surcharges

                                                      Adj. EBITDA Revenue Cargo/Voyage Fuel Cost Vessel opex Charter              SG&A           Other          Other  Adj. EBITDA
                                                       Q4 2021     effect     cost                           expenses                           Logistics    Government Q1 2022

1) Adjusted for gain on vessel sale, USD -8m                         Shipping            Logistics     Government            Elimination         Holding                              17
Cash increased by USD 49m driven by solid EBITDA

Comments                                                                                     +28
• Working capital includes payment of
                                                                   -24           -7      0     -6
  USD 26m in customer settlements and                                                                     0           -44                            329
  fines                                             349    301                                                                  -172
• Net capex includes i.e.:                                                                                                                     -1

      • USD 21m for the sale of an older
        vessel to the US government

                                           USDm
      • USD 10m investment in our
                                                    710                                                                                              759
        subsidiary ALS
                                                                   Operating cash flow       Investing cash flow         Financing cash flow
      • Approximately USD 10m in
        drydocking                                                         270                       -5                         -216

• Net debt flows include prepayment of
  deferred debt and a bond maturity, on           Liquidity Adj.   Δ        Taxes   Other    Net    Other Interest Net Debt Other Liquidity
  top of regular instalments during the           Q4 2021 EBITDA Working     paid operating CAPEX investing paid           financial Q1 2022
                                                                  cap.              items           items                    items
  quarter

                                                                                                                   Undrawn credit facilities        Cash
                                                                                                                                                           18
Solid balance sheet and strong liquidity position

COMMENTS                                     BALANCE SHEET 31.03.2022                                  Debt Maturity Profile
                                             USD billion                                               USD million
• Equity ratio at 37.4%                                    Assets         Equity & Liabilities
                                                                                                                     1 013
                                                           7 929                7 929
• Net debt down to USD 3.3bn
      • USD 49m of deferred debt                                                                                                  789
        instalments in WW Ocean prepaid                                         2 965                                              70
                                                                                  2.8                                 597
                                                                                                          627
      • EUKOR facility refinanced with USD
                                                           6 290                                          40                      233
        20m increase in drawn debt                                                                        128
                                                             6.3
      • Intragroup vessel sales have                                                                                                        402
                                                                                3 477                     117
        triggered debt prepayment and                                             3.6                                             306
                                                                                                                                            203
        new debt uptake
                                                                                                                      416
                                                                                                          342
• 2022 bond maturities covered by SLB
                                                           1 639                1 487                                             180       199
• 2022 lease and bank maturities planned
  refinanced during the next 12 months                                                                   2022        2023        2024       2025
                                                                                                                Credit facilities (drawn)
                                                     Non-current assets      Equity                             Bonds
                                                     Current assets          Non-current liabilities            Balloons (bank loans and leases)
                                                                             Current liabilities                Installments (bank loans and leases)   19
In April we successfully issued our first sustainability-linked bond of NOK 1,250m

                                                                     Sustainability-linked financing framework
                                                                     • Target to reduce CO2 intensity by 27.5%
                                                                       from 2019-2030
                                                                     • Pricing mechanism linked to achieving the
                                                                       CO2 intensity target

                                                                     First Sustainability Linked Bond Issue

                                                                     NOK 1,250m
Our target implies a 52% reduction in our CO2 intensity from 2008-   2x      oversubscribed
2030, exceeding our IMO 2030 obligation for a 40% reduction

                                                                                                                   20
Agenda

         1. Shipping update
         2. Logistics update
         3. Financial update
         4. Prospects and Q&A
Prospects
• We continue to expect the supply-demand balance in shipping to remain favorable over the mid-term due to
   the overall global fleet situation. Logistics volumes will benefit from gradual improvement of automotive
   semiconductor chip supply expected during the latter part of 2022. This is expected to allow us to consolidate
   financial flexibility and help drive shareholder value creation in the absence of further volatility. Current
   disruptions to the global supply chains negatively impact the group and its customers.

• Potential risks include further disruptions to the global supply chains, operational impact from further Covid-
   19 outbreaks, fuel supply disruption, labor cost and availability, further escalation of the war in Ukraine and
   negative global economic developments.

                                                                                                                     22
Q&A
You can also read