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PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL RESEARCH SYMPOSIUM - ncrst
PROCEEDINGS
   OF THE NATIONAL
RESEARCH SYMPOSIUM
                 2015
PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL RESEARCH SYMPOSIUM - ncrst
NATIONAL COMMISSION
                        ON RESEARCH, SCIENCE
                           AND TECHNOLOGY

                        INTRODUCTION
The National Commission on Research, Science and Technology (NCRST) hosted the annual National Research
Symposium from 23-25 September 2015 at the Hilton Hotel, Windhoek, Namibia. The symposium brought together
researchers and related practitioners from all over the country to share their research experiences, expertise and findings
with the broader audience, including the industry.

The event offered interactive discussions that comprised of presentations in plenary, subject specific thematic areas
and personal interactions. Lead speakers were invited to enrich the symposium and common issues like the research
funding, ethics and proposal writing were discussed. The event was also aimed at creating an enabling environment
for the development of the research capacity in Namibia, while creating a knowledge brokerage system between
researchers, the industry, the general public, scholars and policy makers.

Proceedings of the National Research Symposium 2015 are published by NCRST.

Permission to make digital or hard copies of all parts of this work for personal or classrooms use is granted without a
fee, provided that copies are not made or distributed for profit or commercial advantage and that copies bear this notice
and the full citation on the first page.

Editors:
Diina Shuuluka
Matheus Shikongo
Vincent Nowaseb
Alushe Nditya
Albanus Sindano

ISBN: 978-99945-69-20-5
ISSN: 2026-7495

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PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL RESEARCH SYMPOSIUM - ncrst
CONTENT PAGE
Research Weaving the Future and Beyond							6                                           In Vitro Investigation into the Anticancer Properties of Sclerocarya Birrea
                                                                                         (Marula Plant) and Adansonia Digitata (Baobab Plant) Extracts				47
National Research Symposium Organising Committee					                               7
                                                                                         Evaluation of a Molecular Diagnostic Method to Detect Campylobacter Fetus
Reviewers											7                                                                    in Field Isolates from Namibia								50

Agriculture										9                                                                   Information and Communication Technology				                                       55
Analysis of Constraints for Agro Processing Industry Development in North                Exploring the Potential Applications of Internet of Things (IoT) in the Health Sector:
Central Namibia: A Case of Omusati Region Tomato Value Chain				                    10   A Focus on Namibia.										56

Energy											17                                                                      Software Defined Network Solution for Communication in a Smart Grid			             60

Geomagnetic Disturbance Monitoring and Modelling in Namibia				                     18   Open Data Portal, a Technical Enabler to Drive Innovation in Namibia			            64

Environment										25                                                                  Indigenous Knowledge Systems							69

Environmental and Anthropogenic Spatial and Temporal Patterns of Photosynthetic          The Importance of Incorporating Indigenous Knowledge into the Development and
Efficiency of Welwitschia Mirabilis Hook in the Central Namib Desert			             26   Commercialisation of Local Products								70

                                                                                         Assessment of the National Language Policy in Promoting the Use of
Health											31                                                                      Indigenous Namibian Languages in Governance.						73
A Comparative Analysis of the In Vitro Antiplasmodial Effects                            Ethnobotanical Study of Medicinal Plants in Omusati Region				                     76
of Lophiocarpus sp. and Moringa Ovalifolia							32
                                                                                         Nutrient Content Of Maxau and Âudaï, Fermented Beverages
Evidence-based Herbal Medicine for Chronic Diseases in Namibia: A Comparative            from the //Karas Region, Namibia								80
Study on a Commercially Available Herbal Supplement and Raw Plant Material		        36

Investigation into Health Care Workers’ Awareness and Practices on the Prevention        Logistics											87
and Control of Viral Hepatitis Infections in Namibia, 2014					                     40
                                                                                         Is Logistics in Namibia, on Track or in Need of Realignment?				                   88
Preserving Moringa Species for Climate Change and Variability Mitigation,
Improving Community Health and Creating Jobs						                                  43

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PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL RESEARCH SYMPOSIUM - ncrst
Manufacturing Technologies							95
           Can Nutritious Omaungu (Gonimbrasia Belina) Caterpillars be Made
           an Invisible but Present Part in Our Diet?							                              96

           Suitability of Sand from Oshanas in Ongwediva for Use as Mould
           Material in Sand Casting Foundries								99

           Mining											103
           Ore Characteristics Investigation for Predicting Bit Penetration
           Rate at Okorusu Fluorspar Mine								104

           Social Sciences And Humanities							111
           Intimate Partner Homicide (IPH): “A Survey of Namibian Men Killing
           Their Female Partners”									112

           Comparison of the Drivers of Corruption Affecting Development in a
           Developed and Two Developing Countries							117

           An Evaluation of Informal Food Vending in Windhoek, Namibia				                124

           Toward Self-actualization Through Youth Engagement in Participatory
           Service and Technology Design								128

           Using Customer Service Research as a Catalyst for Social Change in Namibia		   131

           Water											141
           Development of a GIS-Based Support Tool for Integrated Water Resources
           Management in the Zambezi Catchment Area Within Zambezi Region, Namibia		      142

           Water Provision to Rural Communities Through Community Based Management
           Approach in Namibia, Omaheke and Oshikoto Regions					                         147

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PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL RESEARCH SYMPOSIUM - ncrst
NATIONAL RESEARCH
                                                                                                                           SYMPOSIUM ORGANISING
                              RESEARCH
                          WEAVING THE FUTURE                                                                                  COMMITTEE
                             AND BEYOND                                                                                     Angelique Philander (Chair)       Angela Ntemwa
                                                                                                                            Martha Taapopi                    Geroldine Skrywer
                                                                                                                            Iyaloo Kandjabanga                Katrina Hilundwa
                                                                                                                            Generosa Simon                    Fransina Shihepo
                                                                                                                            Johannes Ndjamba                  Mathew Tiyeho
                                                                                                                            Albanus Sindano                   Jackson Mujetenga
                                                                                                                            Maxie van der Westhuizen          Grant Balie
                                                                                                                            Hendrik Mukoko                    Mariana Alweendo
                                                                                                                            Ebenhezer Kauhonina
The National Research Symposium 2015 represents an important milestone in our country’s science, technology and
innovation landscape, and indeed in the history of our great nation.

As you are aware, in early 2015, the cabinet of the Republic of Namibia approved the three-year National Programme on
Research, Science, Technology and Innovation (NPRSTI), which was subsequently tabled in parliament and launched

                                                                                                                              REVIEWERS
in March 2015, becoming the first National Research and Innovation Agenda for Namibia.

One of the five key strategic priorities in the NPRSTI is “Disseminating scientist and technological knowledge, looking
towards a growing involvement of institutions, researchers, enterprise and the entire population.” Under this strategic
priority, a key initiative has been formulated that speaks to the promotion of dissemination and publication of research
results. It is through this initiative that the National Research Symposium is organised annually, where Namibian
researchers are given an opportunity to present their research findings.

The theme for the 2015 National Research Symposium, namely “Research weaving the future and beyond,” resonates
                                                                                                                            Prof. A.F. Kamona                 Prof. Emmanuel Lutaaya
very well with the mantra of the NPRSTI for 2014/15 to 2016/17, which is the national research agenda contribution
                                                                                                                            Dr Heike Wanke                    Dr Davis R. Mumbengegwi
to the transformation of our economy into a knowledge-based society. As a country, we have set ourselves ambitious
                                                                                                                            Prof. Isaac Mapaure               Dr Michael Backes
targets that we must achieve for science, technology and innovation to contribute to the achievement of National
                                                                                                                            Prof. K.C. Chinsembu              Dr Ansgar WANKE
Development Plan objectives. The hosting of this symposium thus signified our commitment to achieving those targets
                                                                                                                            Dr Isak Neema                     James Vining Olugbemi Ojo
that we have set for ourselves as a nation.
                                                                                                                            Dr Jane Misihairabgwi             Prof. Habauka M. Kwaambwa
                                                                                                                            Dr Sheehama Jacob                 Mrs Alisa Amupolo
                                                                                                                            Dr Julius Ojulong                 Dr Clement Nyirenda
                                                                                                                            Dr Theopoline Omagano Itenge      Dr Nobert Jere
                                                                                                                            Dr Ahmad Cheikhyoussef            Dr Harmony Musiyarira
                                                                                                                            Prof. Hina MuAshekele             Mr Patrick Kohlstaedt
                                                                                                                            Dr Ezekeil Gwinyai Kwembeya       Prof. Haruna Mohammed Bello
                                                                                                                            Mrs Loide N. Shifula Dama         Prof. Timothy Rennie
                                                                                                                            Mr Mattheus Hanghome              Dr Omotayo Awofolu
                                                                                                                            Dr Paul Chisale

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AGRICULTURE
                Analysis of Constraints for Agro Processing Industry
           10
                Development in North Central Namibia: A Case of
                Omusati Region Tomato Value Chain

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Analysis of Constraints for Agro Processing Industry                                                                                                 The linear regression equation is stated as follows:              school, with 56% having received some agricultural training.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                       The majority (76.7%) of the farmers are full time, with only
                                                                                                                                                              Y = β0 + β1 X1 + ... βn Xn + ε
Development in North Central Namibia: A Case of Omusati                                                                                                                                            (1)                 23.3% part time farmers. The most important crop grown was
                                                                                                                                                                                                                       tomatoes, as indicated by 48% of the farmers, followed by
Region Tomato Value Chain                                                                                                                            where Y is the dependent variable, while β1-n is a constant and
                                                                                                                                                     X1-n are the independent explanatory variables.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                       cabbage (25%). As for rest of the crops, less than 7% of the
                                                                                                                                                                                                                       farmers indicated them as important.

C. Togarepi1*, B.Thomas1 and C. Samundengu2                                                                                                          The empirical model for the study was specified as follows:       Production
                                                                                                                                                     Y = β0 + β1 AGRT + β2 FRMS + β3 FRMHC + β4 FRMXH + β5             Figure 1 below shows tomatoes harvested, sold, consumed,
1
  Department of Agricultural Economics, University of Namibia, Namibia                                                                               AVT + β6 EXP + β7 FERT + β8 EDU+ ε 		         (2)                 or spoiled in the Omusati region during the 2013 and 2014
2
  Department of Food Science and Technology, University of Namibia, Namibia
                                                                                                                                                                                                                       production seasons. The tomato production (2014) in the study
*
  Corresponding author: Email: ctogarepi@unam.na ; Tel: (+264) 65 223 5209/Cell: (+264) 08 12741071                                                  where Y is the dependent variable (income generated from          area (12 tons/ha) is still low compared to the expected yield
                                                                                                                                                     tomato production per season), β0 - β8 are the parameters to be   level of about 25 - 45 tons/ha (Jacobi, 2008).
Abstract                                                                       supply base to agro processing. The main challenges faced in          estimated, and ε is the error term.
                                                                               the production of fresh produce, for example tomatoes, are high
Employment creation and industrialisation are core goals of                    input costs (water, seeds, fertiliser, pesticides), high heat, poor   The following explanatory variables were investigated:
Namibia’s National Development Plans and Vision 2030. In                       farm sanitation, lack of capacity to produce required volumes
order to achieve these, initiatives and opportunities for value                for processing and marketing, improper harvesting stages and/         AGRT is agriculture training
addition of agricultural products were identified as key avenues,              or periods, and improper packaging materials (Arah, 2015).            FRMS is the total farm size irrigated
as most agricultural produce is consumed with little to no value               There are also other off-farm challenges, such as inappropriate       FRMHC is the total cultivated area for horticulture crops
addition, thereby limiting opportunities for industrialisation                 transportation systems, lack of processing factories, lack of         FRMXH is the farming experience in horticulture production
and employment creation. Thus this study embarked on                           effective storage facilities, and lack of market information and      AVT is the average yield of tomatoes
identifying challenges and opportunities for agro processing                   reliable markets (Arah, 2015). However, for fresh produce, such       EXP is the expenditure on tomato production
industry development, using the tomato value chain as a case                   as tomato in the Omusati region, opportunity for value addition       FERT is the type of fertiliser used
study. A survey of 78 tomato producers in the Omusati region                   exists due to favourable production conditions, which enable          EDU is the number of years spent in formal education
was conducted in which socio-demographic information                           production of tomatoes throughout the year. This is the only
and data on tomato production, harvesting, marketing, and                      region in Namibia that is rarely affected by frost during winter,     which are the selected variables used for the regression model
                                                                               giving it an advantage over other regions in the production of        based on literature such as Rearden et al (1997) and Odhiambo,    Figure 1: Estimated tomato production, sales,
challenges faced along the chain were solicited. The socio-
                                                                               tomatoes. Therefore the objective of this study was to identify       Kristanson and Kashangaki (1996), among others.                   consumption, and spoilage in the Omusati region
demographic information was analysed for means, frequencies,
and percentages, while a linear regression was used to determine               and analyse the challenges faced in the tomato value chain in                                                                           Source: Field data
factors that affect the incomes of farmers from tomato                         north central Namibia, the Omusati region, as well as to identify     Results and discussion
production. Most of the farmers were male (77%), who had an                    the opportunities for the development of the agro processing          Socio-demographics
average of 10.5 years of horticultural production experience,                  industry using the tomato crop as a case study.
using about four hectares for horticulture production, and 56%                                                                                       The majority of the farmers were male (77.3%), while females
had received some form of agricultural training. The average                   Materials and methods                                                 were 22.7%, with a combined mean age of 49.7 years (Table
tomato yield was 15 tons/ha. The linear regression model                                                                                             1). The average farming experience is 16.7 years, and 10.5
determined the three significant factors that affected income as               The study employed a small-scale survey to solicit information        years were spent in horticulture production. The farm sizes are
horticultural farming experience, production costs, and types of               from 78 small-scale tomato producers in the Omusati region            on average 4.6 ha, while 4.1 hectares are under horticultural
fertilisers used. The study concludes that production is affected              on production, harvesting, and marketing. The survey was              production. Farmers have, on average, spent nine years in
mainly by production-related factors which, if addressed, would                conducted during the months of May and June in 2015. In
improve yields, which will, in turn, increase returns as well as               addition, key stakeholders in the horticultural sector of Namibia
create opportunities for agro processing and value addition.                   were also interviewed, using a checklist of questions. Secondary      Table 1: Socio-economic characteristics of the tomato farmers
Subsidisation of input costs, such as fertilisers and seeds, might             data was also reviewed from published and unpublished data            Variable                                                %         Variable                                              Mean
be a step towards the much needed agro processing, as yields                   sources. Data was analysed in SPSS version 21 to generate
may increase.                                                                  descriptive statistics (means, frequencies and percentages)           Gender                Male                             77.3       Age (years)                                           49.7
                                                                               for socio-demographic data and for production levels and                                    Female                           22.7
Keywords: Horticulture, irrigation, fertiliser, production costs,              marketing, including post-harvest losses for tomato producers.        Marital status        Married                          70.7       Farming experience (years)                            16.7
farmers, infant industry, spoilage, value addition, uniformity                 A linear regression model was then used to determine factors                                Single                           29.3
                                                                               that affect income of tomato producers in north central
                                                                                                                                                     Education, at least grade 10                           58.8       Experience in horticultural crops (years)             10.5
Introduction                                                                   Namibia using income data and selected variables, including
                                                                               horticultural experience, input costs, yield, type of fertilisers,    Agricultural training or attended short courses in     56         Total farm size under irrigation (ha)                 4.6
                                                                               and education level, among others. A linear regression model          agriculture
The agro processing industry in Namibia is still in its infancy
stage of development. There are several efforts by the government              can predict the value of a dependent variable based on the value      Full time farmer                                       76.7       Total area under horticultural crops (ha)             4.1
to establish the agro processing industry and many studies                     of an independent variable as well as modelling the relationship      Part time farmer                                       23.3       Household size (number of people)                     7.2
have been instituted through the Ministry of Industrialisation,                between variables (Gujarati, 2003).
                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Years spent in school                                 9
Trade and Small to Medium Enterprise Development as well
as the Ministry of Agriculture, Water and Forestry (MAWF,
2008; MAWF, 2015 and MTI). These efforts have included
ascertaining the agricultural production base that serves as a

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PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL RESEARCH SYMPOSIUM - ncrst
Challenges                                                             The linear regression model test of goodness of fit shows that        Table 3: Explanatory variables in the model
                                                                       the explanatory variables account for 23% of variability in
                                                                       the dependent variable as indicated by the value of adjusted                                                Unstandardised coefficients          Standardised      t                 Sig.
The results indicated that the main challenges were the following:
                                                                       R2 (0.23), which is low. The linear regression model (Table                                                                                      coefficients
production capacity to meet demand are unsynchronised
production leading to glut in the market periodically; inadequate      3) selected three predictor variables that were significant at         Model                               B               Std. error            Beta
training in global Good Agricultural Practices (GAP); lack             5%, namely farming experience in horticultural production              (Constant)                          112456.4        59973.911                               1.875             0.074**
of capital; lack of local expertise in value addition; high            (p=0.044), expenditure on tomato production (production costs)
                                                                                                                                              Agricultural training               12737.26        13224.192             0.169             0.963             0.345
temperatures; incidence of pests; and high input and fuel costs        (p=0.035), and types of fertiliser used (0.019). Thus when a
                                                                       farmer has less experience in horticultural production, incomes        Total farm size for irrigated crops 1897.18         1957.942              0.317             0.969             0.343
for pumping water; and transporting produce to the market.
Pests and diseases, water shortage, fertiliser costs, and fuel costs   are likely to be low as indicated by a negative coefficient,           Total cultivated area for           1773.14         2377.609              0.388             0.746             0.463
for pumping water were reported as major challenges by 85%             which is likely to reduce income by N$4,107.17 per year. As            horticultural crops
of the farmers. Similar findings were also cited by Bediako,           more expenditure is put on tomato production, income is likely         Farming experience in               -4107.17        1922.639              -0.754            -2.136            0.044**
Showemimo, Buah and Ushawu (2007) as major constraints in              to increase by 2.23 per Namibian dollar invested per year. It is       horticultural production
tomato production in an irrigation project in Ghana. The farmers       also interesting to note that the type of fertiliser used is likely
                                                                                                                                              Average yield last season           -21.419         46.019                -0.105            -0.465            0.646
(80%) also experienced high post-harvest losses due to high            to reduce income. This variable had chemical fertiliser, manure
                                                                       and both types as responses and both were used as the base.            Expenditure on tomatoes             2.218           0.987                 0.526             2.247             0.035**
perishability of tomatoes as a result of lack of alternatives to
                                                                       Corollary, chemical fertilisers are likely to reduce income, as        production last season.
fresh produce markets, such as a tomato processing industry.
This is exacerbated by the periodic gluts in the market. These         they increase expenditure or may affect other inputs, as there will    Type of fertiliser used             -36399.6        14433.912             -0.432            -2.522            0.019**
results are consistent with those of Anang, Zulkarnain and Yusif       be competing needs for resources for production. For instance,         Number of years spent in school -362.361            3108.094              -0.022            -0.117            0.908
(2013), who found that lack of capital, high production costs,         Tey and Brindal (2014) assert that “reducing costs though
                                                                                                                                              Dependent variable: Income earned in the previous season (2014)
and low market prices were the main challenges facing tomato           economics of scale and input-output improvement by increasing
                                                                                                                                              R2 = 0.43, adjusted R2 = 0.23
producers in Ghana. Some of the marketing challenges that the          revenue through production capacity expansion and better crop
farmers highlighted include transport problems and distance to         prices” may help achieve profitability. The model also indicated      **Significant at 5% level
the market (35%), competition in the market (15%), post-harvest        that when a farmer has received agricultural training and when
losses (9%), and unfavourable prices (7%). This thus presents an       farm size increase (these results concur with the economic
                                                                       theory of economies of scale, which should reduce costs per           Conclusion                                                           References
opportunity for development of value addition in the tomato value
chain by processing the tomatoes into various tomato processed         unit and increase efficiency and productivity), income is likely
                                                                       to increase as shown by the positive coefficients in the model,       This study concluded that there are several challenges faced by      1.   Anang, B.T., Zulkarnain, Z.A., & Yusif, F. (2013). Production
products with a longer shelf life. An absence of processing                                                                                  farmers that might affect development of the agro processing
                                                                       although at 5% they were not significant. On the other hand, a                                                                                  constraints measures to enhance the competitiveness of the
facilities were cited in Ghana for reducing investments (Clottey,                                                                            industry. These include production challenges (low yields, high
                                                                       decrease in yield and a fewer number of years spent in school are                                                                               tomato industry in Wenchi Municipal District of Ghana.
Karbo & Gyasi, 2009) and tomato production, as the produce will                                                                              input costs, pests, and diseases) as well as post-harvest losses
                                                                       likely to reduce income as indicated by the negative coefficients.                                                                              American Journal of Experimental Agriculture, 2(4):824-
be lost due to high perishability and lack of alternative markets                                                                            and marketing challenges (long distances to markets, lack of
                                                                       These findings concur with those of Maliwichi, Pfumayaramba                                                                                     838
or value addition (Table 2). Thirty-six percent of the farmers                                                                               transport to the market, unfavourable prices, and competition).
                                                                       & Katlego (2014) that the number of years spent in school,                                                                                 2.   Arah, I.K. (2015). An overview of post-harvest challenges
reported that they would want to have cooling facilities as well                                                                             These may reduce efficiency and competitiveness of farmers,
                                                                       which leads to the level of education, is very important for the                                                                                facing tomato production in Africa. African Studies
as a processing plant so as to reduce post-harvest losses and 15%                                                                            who might hence not produce at their optimal levels, which
                                                                       farmers in terms of decision making as reading and writing are                                                                                  Association of Australasia and the Pacific (AFSAAP) 37th
indicated that they would prefer more market infrastructures                                                                                 are needed for development of the agro processing industry.
                                                                       used in information sharing. The model for the study is thus:                                                                                   Annual Conference – Dunedin – New Zealand – 25-26
to sell their produce, while 11% felt that prices needed to be                                                                               Moreover, opportunities may exist, should some of the challenges          November 2014 Conference Proceedings Africa: Diversity
standardised in the market. Thus some of these challenges are                                                                                be addressed. These include establishing a processing plant that
                                                                       Y = 112456.4 + 12737.26AGRT + 1897.18FRMS +                                                                                                     and Development.
not unique to Namibia.                                                                                                                       may be used to process tomatoes into various products, thereby
                                                                       1773.14FMRCH - 4107.17FRMXH - 21.419AVT + 2.218 EXP                                                                                        3.   Bediako, K., Showemimo, F.N., Buah, J.N., & Ushawu,
                                                                       - 36399.6FERT - 362.361EDU      (1)                                   reducing not only post-harvest losses but also providing a market         Y. (2007). Tomato production constraints at Bontanga
Opportunity                                                                                                                                  for the farmers as well. The study recommends that there might            irrigation project in the Northern Region of Ghana. Journal
                                                                                                                                             be a need for subsidisation of inputs for the farmers to help them        of Applied Sciences, 7(3): 459-461
The opportunity and market for tomato processed products                                                                                     reduce the costs but most importantly, being able to have all the    4.   Clottey, V.A., Karbo, N., & Gyasi, K.O. (2009). The tomato
are available locally in the canning industry (fishing), caterers,                                                                           required input levels for optimum production, which would, in             industry in northern Ghana: Production constraints and
schools, hospitals, defence, and retailers. Establishing a tomato                                                                            turn, create impetus for the need for value addition. Furthermore,        strategies to improve competitiveness. African Journal
processing plant is likely to create an additional five to ten                                                                               there might be need for refresher courses (training) in tomato            of food, Agriculture, Nutrition and Development, Agro-
labourers per farmer from the current four to six labourers per                                                                              production, business/farm management and GAP, which would                 science, 2 (1): 1436-1451
farmer, as more produce will need to be produced and handled                                                                                 improve production efficiency and have benefits along the value      5.   Gujarati, D.N. (2003). Basic Econometrics. McGraw
with demand for tomatoes increasing due to the processing plant                                                                              chain.                                                                    Hill Jacobi, I. (2008). Crop Production. Windhoek: Joint
establishment.                                                                                                                                                                                                         Presidency Committee (NAU & NNFU).
                                                                                                                                             Acknowledgements                                                     6.   Maliwichi, L.L., Pfumayaramba, T.K. & Katlego, T.
Table 2: Scenario for an opportunity for a tomato processing plant                                                                                                                                                     (2014). An analysis of constraints that affect smallholder
                                                                                                                                             The authors wish to acknowledge the contribution of the                   farmers in the production of tomatoes in Ga-Mphahlele,
                   Minimum size (ha):      Minimum            Average yield            Total yield: minimum Job creation per                 University of Namibia for assistance financially and transport            LepelleNkumbi Municipality, Limpopo Province, South
                   For production          period             (tonnes/ha)              for processing plant  shift                           during the study and the opportunity to attend the NCRST                  Africa. Journal of Human Ecology, 47 (3):269-274.
                   required for            (months)                                    (tonnes/year) running                                 conference, during which this paper was presented. Appreciation      7.   MAWF (Ministry of Agriculture, Water and Forestry).
                   processing plant                                                    for 176 days                                          is also extended to the NCRST and the organisers for the NCRST            (2008). Green Scheme Policy. Windhoek: Ministry of
 Current           112.6                   8                  15                       1689.6                Minimum of nine                 symposium, which enabled the results of the study to be shared.           Agriculture, Water and Forestry.
 scenario                                                                                                    people                                                                                               8.   MAWF (Ministry of Agriculture, Water and Forestry).
                                                                                                                                                                                                                       (2015). Namibia Agricultural Policy. Windhoek: Ministry
 Potential         56.3                    8                  50                       2816                  Minimum of 12
                                                                                                                                                                                                                       of Agriculture, Water and Forestry.
 scenario                                                                                                    people

                                                            Page | 12                                                                                                                                    Page | 13
PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL RESEARCH SYMPOSIUM - ncrst
9.  MTI (Ministry of Trade and Industry). (n.d. (not dated)).
    Namibia’s Industrial Policy, Republic of Namibia.
    Windhoek: Ministry of Trade and Industry.
10. Odhiambo, M., Kristanson, P. & Kashangaki, J. (1996).
    Comparative Cost of Production in East Africa:
    Implications for Competitiveness and Comparative
    Advantage. USAID, Amex International Inc.
11. Rearden, T., Kelly, V., Crawford, E., Jayne, T., Kimseyinga,
    S. & Clay, D. (1997) Determinants of Farm Productivity in
    Africa: A synthesis of Four Case Studies. Technical Paper
    #75, Department of Agricultural Economics, Michigan
    State University, Amex International Inc,
12. Tey, Y., S., & M. Brindal. (2014). Factors influencing farm
    profitability. Sustainable Agriculture reviews, 47: 235-255

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ENERGY
                 Geomagnetic Disturbance Monitoring and
            18
                 Modelling in Namibia

Page | 16                      Page | 17
Geomagnetic Disturbance Monitoring and Modelling                                                                                                where       is the frequency dependent surface impedance and
                                                                                                                                                the permeability of the earth, which is taken as the same as that of
                                                                                                                                                                                                                        In this research study electrical power network modelling was
                                                                                                                                                                                                                        performed using the Electric Power Research Institute (EPRI),
in Namibia                                                                                                                                      a vacuum. The surface impedance and the ground conductivity
                                                                                                                                                (or resistivity) is given by:
                                                                                                                                                                                                                        OpenDSS simulator(Dugan, 2012) as well as the Natural
                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Resources Canada (NRcan) simulator (Blais, 2012). The
                                                                                                                                                                                                                        OpenDSS simulator requires the specification of the network
                                                                                                                                                                                                                        data and the electric field magnitudes into a script, wherefore
                                                                                                                                                                                                         (4)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                        the method of nodal analysis is then applied to compute the
G. Gope1*, S.A. Reju2, E.P Shilongo1                                                                                                                                                                                    GIC magnitudes. The NRcan simulator however configures
                                                                                                                                                                                                                        the network from input files containing network component
                                                                                                                                                                                                                        specifications. The NRCan simulator requires, as inputs the
1
  Department of Electrical and Computer Engineering, Namibia University of Science and Technology (NUST), Windhoek, Namibia                     where    is the ground conductivity and is the ground resistivity.      time-varying geomagnetic field values from a maximum of two
2
  Department of Mathematics and Statistics, Namibia University of Science and Technology (NUST), Windhoek, Namibia                                                                                                      (2) geomagnetic field observatories; wherefore the time-varying
*
  Corresponding author: ggope@nust.na ; Tel/Cell: (+264) (61) 2072291
                                                                                                                                                2. Quasi-DC current modelling and OpenDSS                               electric field values are computed, through interpolation, to
                                                                                                                                                simulation                                                              determine the electric field intensity along the transmission lines.
Abstract                                                                     Hydro-Quebec (USA-Canada) power network in March of 1989                                                                                   The electric field intensity E, and together with a combination of
                                                                             (Koen & Gaunt, 2003). Research studies carried out in Namibia                                                                              the Earth’s conductivity model are then applied over the network
                                                                                                                                                Electric field theory relates the E-field to the potential V through:   in order to compute the time-varying GICs.
Our sun influences the near-earth atmospheric weather patterns               and South Africa have demonstrated the presence of GICs in the
as well as affects the space weather through plasmic eruptions               transmission networks of this low and mid-latitude region (Koen
and Corossal Mass Ejections (CMEs) from the sun. When these                  & Gaunt, 2002), (Ngwira, n.d.), (Zatjirua, 2005), (Simon, 2013)                                              (5)                           The data loggers maintain a detailed record of the time-stamped
eruptions and CMEs are directed towards the earth, Geomagnetic               and (Gope, Stephanus, & Reju, 2015).                                                                                                       GIC measurements at each transformer neutral. The data loggers
Disturbances (GMDs) are produced, which may lead to                                                                                                                                                                     were configured and initialised with a sampling interval of 0.62
perturbations within the magnetosphere of the earth, leading to the          Materials and methods                                                                                        (6)                           milliseconds.
production of Geomagnetically Induced Currents (GICs) in the
technological and conductive infrastructure on earth. This paper             Electrical power network modelling and mathematical modelling      According to Ohm’s law, an E-field drives a current through             3.     Wavelet analysis and GIC characterisation
presents a methodology for studying the effects and extent of GICs           tools were applied so as to estimate the possible GICs flowing     a conducting structure, as shown in Figure 1. This current is
flows in High Voltage (HV) transmission networks, the modelling              in the transmission network to emulate the flow of GICs within     known as the GIC.                                                       Part of the research project focused on the application of the
tools used in the study of GICs in HV transmission networks, and             Namibia’s 220-400kV HV power network and to analyse the                                                                                    wavelets analysis to GIC emulations using the quasi-DC current
the analytical techniques used in the characterisation of GICs in            nature and characteristics of the GICs. Various modelling          The mathematical model used to compute the induced DC                   model of the 220-400kV HV network in Namibia.
the frequency-time domain. The paper discusses and presents                  techniques have been developed and incorporated in various GIC     voltages, VDC, in power transmission lines and/or across any
the results of the wavelet analysis as used to analyse the non-              studies presented in this paper.                                   two points within the earth’s geo-conductive structure, is based        When time-domain signals are to be analysed, it is often usual to
stationary current waveforms encountered in the study.                                                                                          on a closed-loop integral of the electric field intensity E along       obtain a time-amplitude representation of the signal. However,
                                                                             1. Geo-electromagnetics and earth conductivity                     and in the direction of the transmission line:                          this representation is not always the best representation for most
Keywords: GICs, OpenDSS, NRcan simulator, wavelet                                                                                                                                                                       signal processing-related applications, since in many cases,
                                                                             modelling                                                                                                                                  the most distinguished information is hidden in the frequency
Introduction                                                                                                                                                                                                            content of the signal.
                                                                             A geomagnetic storm is a temporal variation in the earth’s
                                                                             geomagnetic field, primarily due to magnetospheric-ionospheric                                                                             Wavelets have very interesting applications and the most common
GMDs are perturbations in the earth’s geomagnetic field, which                                                                                                                                     (7)
                                                                             currents, and secondarily due to currents flowing in the earth’s                                                                           use of wavelets is in signal processing applications. In a Fourier
are brought about by the interactions between magnetic fields,
                                                                             structure. The temporal variation of the geomagnetic field                                                                                 analysis, a signal is decomposed into periodic components (Lirunga,
created as a result of particulate and plasmic eruptions from
                                                                             produces a geoelectric field according to Faraday’s law of                                                                                 2014) and (Mathworks, n.d.). However, in a wavelet analysis, a
the sun, and the earth’s geomagnetic field (Power and Energy
                                                                             induction, expressed in the generalised Maxwell’s equation as:                                                                             signal is decomposed into components localised in both time and
Magazine, 2013). GICs are therefore manifestations and the
end results of the interaction between these magnetic fields.                                                                                                                                                           frequency domains. Thus, wavelet transforms are ideal when signals
According to Faraday’s law of electromagnetism, this is usually                                                                                                                                                         are not periodic and hence non-stationary (Polikar, n.d.).
                                                                                                                        (1)
expressed as one of the Maxwell’s equations; the perturbations
in the geomagnetic fields (B-fields) lead to spatial variations in
the earth’s geo-electric (E-fields) (Gope, Dax, Reju, & Cilliers,                                                                               Figure 1: GIC current flow in power networks (Power and Energy Magazine, 2013)
                                                                             where E represents the induced electric field at the surface of
2015). The GMDs originate from the sun as CMEs and propagate
                                                                             the earth in V/m and B is the geomagnetic field in T,     is the
through space before interacting with the inherent geomagnetic
                                                                             temporal variation of the geomagnetic field, and is the spatial
field of the earth within the earth’s magnetosphere. As a result,
                                                                             derivative curl operator acting on E.
GICs are considered as manifestations of space weather-related
phenomena that lead to the induction of geoelectric fields in any
                                                                             In the frequency domain, (Eqn..1) relates the horizontal
conducting infrastructure on the earth and or within the earth’s
                                                                             components of the B-field on the surface of the earth to the
geo-conductive structures. The sun exhibits a cyclic 11-year
                                                                             respective orthogonal components of the E-field for local plane
pattern that is shown by the sunspot activities on the sun (Koen
                                                                             wave such that:
& Gaunt, 2002). GICs may have adverse effects on transmission
networks, as they cause half-cycle saturation of transformer cores,
which lead to reactive power dynamics and systematic power
                                                                                                                         (2)
system problems leading to possible power system stability
problems. The most eminent and widely reported systematic
power system failure is the blackout that occurred within the                                                            (3)

                                                                  Page | 18                                                                                                                                    Page | 19
A wavelet is a wave-like oscillation with amplitude that begins at   July 2013 geomagnetic storm were further carried out and              Figure 3: Ruacana GIC time series (left) and frequency (right) for 17 March 2015
zero, increases, and then decreases back to zero. It can typically   resulted in combined correlation coefficients above 60% when
be visualised as a “brief oscillation” or a “small wave.” Wavelets   polarised data was utilised.                                                                                                    Time domain                                                                                                           Frequency domain

are defined by the wavelet function ψ(t) and scaling function ϕ(t)                                                                                                    0.4                                                                                                40

in the time domain. The scaling function is a refinable function,    Exploring the MATLAB Wavelet Toolbox, a selected family
that is, a fractal functional equation, called the refinement        of the wavelet group was employed to study the low and high
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         30
                                                                                                                                                                      0.3

equation (or dilation equation) (Ndadi, 2015):                       pass filters associated with the geoelectric field signals for some
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         20
                                                                     available data in 2012 and 2014. Moreover, a similar analysis                                    0.2

                                                                     was done to study the wavelet profiles of GIC emulation results,
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         10
                                                                     using the 17 March 2015 geomagnetic storm data and focusing                                      0.1
                                                                     on the following substations, namely, Ruacana, Omburu,

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   Magnitude (dB)
                                                  (8)

                                                                                                                                                       Amplitude
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          0
                                                                     Kokerboon and Auas, with the first two having their frequency
                                                                     and wavelet simulations depicted in Figures 3, 4, 6 and 7.
                                                                                                                                                                        0

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         -10

where the sequence a0,…,aN-1 of real numbers is called a             A look at the Figure 5 above reveals a symmetric GIC profile                                     -0.1
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         -20

SCALING sequence or scaling mask. The wavelet proper is              for the Ruacana-Omburu 330kV line while specifically showing
obtained in a similar linear combination:                            that the GICs at the two substations were the same at some                                       -0.2
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         -30

                                                                     specific times during the 24-hour period. A simple conclusion
                                                                     that could be drawn from this is that any effect of GIC on                                       -0.3                                                                                               -40
                                                                                                                                                                                 200    400    600              800     1000    1200    1400                                   0       0.1    0.2           0.3          0.4       0.5       0.6       0.7    0.8    0.9
                                                                     transformers, for example, likely appears to be the same at such                                                                 Samples                                                                                                     Normalized Frequency ( rad/sample)

                                                  (9)                specific times. Thus a mitigation put in place in one substation
                                                                     is recommended in the other. However, the most interesting
                                                                     results shown in Figure 6 and Figure 7 are that the high filter
                                                                     signals or wavelets (represented by d1) are the same for the two
                                                                                                                                           Figure 4: Omburu GIC time series (left) and rrequency (right) for 17 March 2015
where the sequence b0,…,bM-1 of real numbers is called a             substations despite their symmetric profiles. The above analyses
WAVELET sequence or wavelet mask. Wavelet transform is               would be done for other HV lines in the network so as to have
                                                                                                                                                                                                      Time domain                                                                                                           Frequency domain
a tool that cuts up data, functions, or operators into different     a complete knowledge of hidden GIC information not explicit                                        0.3                                                                                                40

frequency components and then studies each component with a          from the Fourier analyses of the signals.
resolution matched to its scale. Thus it allows us to view a time                                                                                                       0.2
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           30

history in terms of its frequency components.                        Conclusion
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           20
                                                                                                                                                                        0.1

Results                                                              The earth’s magnetosphere, due to its geomagnetic field, plays
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           10
                                                                     an important and protective role to both biological (flora and                                          0
The OpenDSS simulation was carried out using the electric field      fauna) and technological systems on the earth. Besides this

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Magnitude (dB)
                                                                                                                                                          Amplitude
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               0
data for the 1989 geomagnetic storm. The peak electric field         protection, technological systems, like oil and gas pipelines,
                                                                                                                                                                       -0.1
values were calculated using the South African surface impedance     railway tracks, satellite and telecommunication systems, and                                                                                                                                         -10
using the uniform plane wave method. The simulation results          power transmission systems have not yet been designed to be
showed large magnitudes of up to 30.14A in the transmission          completely immune to space weather effects. Research studies                                      -0.2
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          -20
line between the Auas Substation (centrally located and on the       in the field of GIC provide a useful insight into the physical
outskirts of Windhoek) and Van-Eck Substation. The research          phenomenon that leads to the flow of these currents and greatly                                   -0.3
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          -30
study further argued that there may be no GIC flows in the           inform any scientific and engineering mitigation strategies,
Caprivi Link HVDC line due to the star-delta connection of the       which must be put in place in order to minimise the risk and                                      -0.4                                                                                               -40

HVDC converter transformers at the HVDC converter stations.          exposure of technological systems to these physical phenomena.                                               200    400    600
                                                                                                                                                                                                        Samples
                                                                                                                                                                                                                  800    1000    1200    1400                                      0    0.1    0.2           0.3          0.4       0.5       0.6
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   Normalized Frequency ( rad/sample)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        0.7    0.8    0.9

The NRcan modelling and investigations were aimed at                 The results of the GIC monitoring activities in Namibia have
improving on the OpenDSS modelling and emulation results.            shown the importance of the research project in raising awareness
Further, the NRcan investigations also focused on the validation     within Namibia’s electric power utility, NamPower, as five
of the modelling results with practical measurements extracted       participants from the utility attended the research project’s joint   Figure 5: Superposed Ruacana-Omburu symmetric GIC plots for 17 March 2015
from the NI data loggers. The NRcan emulations were performed        GIC workshop held at the Polytechnic of Namibia in October             0.4

using a Kp
Figure 6: Ruacana low and high filtered GIC                        Figure 7: Omburu low and high filtered GIC
profiles for 17 March 2015                                         profiles for 17 March 2015

Acknowledgement                                                    5.    Koen J, & Gaunt C T. (2002). Disturbances in the Southern
                                                                         African power network due to geomagnetically induced
The authors are grateful for the support received from the               currents (p. Paper 36-206). Presented at the Cigré Session,
governments of Namibia and South Africa, through their bilateral         Paris.
cooperation and collaboration agreements on research, science      6.    Koen J, & Gaunt CT. (2003). Geomagnetically induced
and technology. The authors would also like to acknowledge the           currents in the Southern African electricity transmission
administrative and academic support received from the Namibia            network. Presented at the IEEE Powertech, Bologna.
University of Science and Technology’s (NUST) Institutional        7.    Lirunga, D. (2014). Application of Fourier Transform in
Research and Publication Committee (IRPC), under its                     Geomagnetic Induced Currents Modelling (BSc (Hon)
resolution POLY/2014/9364/867 and the Project Services Unit              Project). Windhoek, Namibia: Polytechnic of Namibia.
(PSU). Last but not least, the authors would like to acknowledge   8.    Mathworks, (n.d.). Short Time Fourier Transform. Retrieved
the technical support from the Namibian National Power utility           from http://www.mathworks.com
company (NampPower) through Mr Braam Vermeulen and Mr              9.    Ndadi, I. D. . (2015). Application of wavelets to NamPower
Ernst Krige.                                                             network signal analysis (BSc (Hon) Project). Windhoek,
                                                                         Namibia: Namibia University of Science and Technology.
                                                                   10.   Ngwira, C. (n.d.). Geomagnetically induced current
                                                                         characteristics in Southern Africa. Rhodes University,
References
                                                                         Herman, South Africa.
                                                                   11.   Polikar, R. (n.d.). Multiresolution Analysis: the Discrete
1.   Blais, C. (2012, April 3). GIC Simulator- Stand-alone               wavelet transform. Retrieved from http://users.rowan.
     version. Geomagnetic Laboratory of Canada. Retrieved                edu/~polikar/WAVELETS/WTpart4.html
     from http://www.nrcan.gc.ca/energy/software-tools/7417        12.   Power and Energy Magazine. (2013). Geomagnetic
2.   Dugan, R. C. (2012, October). OpenDSS Training Workshop.            Disturbances: Their Impact on the Power Grid. IEEE Power
     Presented at the PNM Resources OpenDSS Training                     and Energy Magazine, 11(4), 71–78. http://doi.org/10.1109/
     Workshop, Alvarado Conference Center Albuquerque, NM.               MPE.2013.2256651
     Retrieved from http://smartgrid.epri.com/Simulation Tool.     13.   Simon, M. (2013, December). Estimation of Geomagnetically
     aspx                                                                Induced Currents (GICs) in the Namibian Transmission
3.   Gope, G., Dax, K., Reju, S. A., & Cilliers, P. (2015).              Network. University of Cape Town.
     Geomagnetically induced current model for the Namibian        14.   Zatjirua, T. (2005). Geomagnetically Induced Currents in
     High Voltage Network. In AFRICON, 2015 (pp. 1–7). http://           the Transmission Network of Namibia. University of Cape
     doi.org/10.1109/AFRCON.2015.7331982                                 Town, Cape Town, South Africa.
4.   Gope, G., Stephanus, H., & Reju, S. . (2015). On the
     Improvement and Validation of the Geomagnetically Induced
     Current Model for the 220kV-400kV Namibian Power
     Network. In Proceedings of the Pan African Conference on
     Science, Computing and Telecommunications (PACT), (pp.
     20–25). Kampala, Uganda: Makerere University.

                                                         Page | 22                                                                     Page | 23
ENVIRONMENT
                 Environmental and Anthropogenic Spatial and Temporal
            26
                 Patterns of Photosynthetic Efficiency of Welwitschia
                 Mirabilis Hook in the Central Namib Desert

Page | 24                       Page | 25
Environmental and Anthropogenic Spatial and Temporal                                                                                                 uranium mine that is currently being constructed, while parts of
                                                                                                                                                     the Gobabeb population experience intermittent but sometimes
                                                                                                                                                                                                                           A one-second light pulse of 650 nm at a light intensity of 3500
                                                                                                                                                                                                                           μmol m-2 s-1 was given. Measurements were done at night (to
Patterns of Photosynthetic Efficiency of Welwitschia Mirabilis                                                                                       heavy browsing by domestic horses (own observations).                 ensure dark adaptation of leaves) on two separate leaves from
                                                                                                                                                                                                                           each plant (Strasser et al., 2004). Furthermore, measurements
Hook in the Central Namib Desert                                                                                                                     The study was stratified using tertiary-level catchments, because
                                                                                                                                                     it is expected that the flow of water on the ground and into the
                                                                                                                                                                                                                           were repeated three times: December 2014 (after a prolonged
                                                                                                                                                                                                                           dry spell), January 2015 (after about 10 mm of rain had fallen
                                                                                                                                                     vadose zone varies with catchment and thus results in spatial         on all study sites), and April 2015 (after another rainy spell of
T. Shuuya1*, T. Wassenaar1, B. Curtis2, G. Krüger3, J. Berner3                                                                                       differences in photosynthetic efficiency. Five catchments were        about 3 mm).
                                                                                                                                                     digitised from the Digital Elevation Model (DEM) (Abrams,
                                                                                                                                                     2000). Three catchments, Welwitschia campsite, river channel          Results
1
  Gobabeb Research and Training Centre, Namib Naukluft Park, Namibia                                                                                 and Zone 6, are located at the Welwitschia Plains, whereas two
2
  Department of Agriculture and Natural Resources Sciences, Polytechnic of Namibia, Namibia                                                          catchments, Welwitschia Wash and Hope Mine are found near             Differences in chlorophyll a fluorescence patterns were
3
  Research Unit Environmental Sciences and Management, North-West University, South Africa
                                                                                                                                                     Gobabeb (Figure 1). From each catchment, 20 Welwitschia               observed across catchments for December, January, and April
*
  Corresponding author: Email: tituss@gobabebtrc.org ; Tel: (+264)64 694199
                                                                                                                                                     plants were randomly selected from the available database by          (Figure 2). A higher OJIP transient of were observed in April for
                                                                                                                                                     using a random point selector module in ArcGIS 10.2.                  the Welwitschia Wash catchment in comparison to January and
Abstract                                                                       has been one of the main tourist attractions of the central Namib
                                                                               and a subject of several scientific studies (Henschel & Seely,                                                                              December (Figure 2). The large differences between the OJIP-
                                                                                                                                                     Chlorophyll a florescence measurements were taken on dark             transient of the Welwitschia Wash can most likely be attributed
Welwitschia mirabilis (Welwitschia) is a long-lived gymnosperm                 2000). In the central Namib, there is a reference population of
                                                                                                                                                     adapted (at least one hour) leaves using a handy PEA instrument       to the new growth after being grazed by horses (Figure 2).
endemic to the Namib Desert. It occurs from the Kuiseb                         about 52,000 individuals occurring south of but adjacent to the
                                                                                                                                                     (Hansatech, UK). Chlorophyll a fluorescence is a non-invasive         Rainfall in January (ca 10 mm) and April (ca 2.5 mm) across all
River in Namibia to the Nicolau River north of the Namib in                    developing Husab Mine, slated to become the second largest
                                                                                                                                                     and inexpensive technique used to quantify the photosynthetic         catchments most probably resulted in the higher OJIP-transient
Angola, in a region where the rainfall varies from < 50 mm to                  uranium mine in the world (Kananjembo & Kilbourn, 2013).
                                                                                                                                                     performance, particularly that of photosystem II (Strasser,           when compared to December (Figure 2). The Welwitschia
about 200 mm per annum. It is protected by law in Namibia                      The cumulative impacts from the developing mine (potential
                                                                                                                                                     Tsimilli-Michael, & Srivastava, 2004). Based on the theory            campsite catchment had constant low chlorophyll a fluorescence
and is also listed as a CITES Appendix II plant. In the central                impacts include interference with water supply and deposition
                                                                                                                                                     of energy fluxes in biomembranes, photochemical efficiency            when compared to other catchments, suggesting plants being
Namib Desert, there is a reference population of about 52,000                  of dust) are likely to be additional to the factors that normally
                                                                                                                                                     and the processes of non-photochemical de-excitation can              subjected to higher environmental stress levels than the other
individuals occurring south of but adjacent to the developing                  affect the photosynthetic efficiency and plant health in general of
                                                                                                                                                     be investigated (Strasser et al., 2004), providing a variety of       catchments (Figure 2).
Husab Mine, slated to become the second largest uranium mine                   Welwitschia, yet it is not known how Welwitschia will respond
                                                                                                                                                     perspectives on the plant’s overall ability to respond to light
in the world. The cumulative impacts from the developing mine                  to these potentially deleterious conditions (Farmer, 1993;
                                                                                                                                                     energy. The current study focused on the so-called “OJIP transient
(potential impacts include interference with the water supply                  Goeller & Stobart, 2010; Petrick, 2013). These impacts and the                                                                              Discussions
                                                                                                                                                     test.” The absorption of light energy initiates a charge separation
and deposition of dust) are likely to be additional to the factors             changing baseline conditions might affect their physiological
                                                                                                                                                     between an electron donor and acceptor at the pigment antenna,
that will affect the photosynthetic efficiency, yet it is not known            processes, and thus their growth and reproduction (Hüner &
                                                                                                                                                     which can be quantified in four successive response steps: the        All the plants responded to what were in all respects a few very small
how Welwitschia will respond to these potentially deleterious                  Hopkins, 2008).
                                                                                                                                                     O-step (initial fluorescence at 0.05 ms), J-step (fluorescence at 2   rainfall events, with the OJIP curves increasing with cumulative
conditions. In this study the photosynthetic efficiency of                                                                                           ms), I-step (fluorescence at 30 ms), and P-step (fluorescence at      rainfall. In the natural environment, Welwitschia plants tend to
Welwitschia was investigated by measuring chlorophyll a                        The study occurred before any significant impacts from mining.
                                                                                                                                                     300 ms) (Strasser et al., 2004). Although each of these steps (in     experience various natural and anthropogenic stressors, which
fluorescence across the landscape and how these change over                    Anthropogenic dust sources during and before the study period
                                                                                                                                                     addition to several in-between steps not discussed here) provide      will ultimately influence the OJIP transient patterns over time.
time. The study investigations show a clear effect of topography               were small, being mostly limited to exploration activities, and
                                                                                                                                                     a specific perspective on the physical reactions associated with      Natural stressors may interfere with the electron requirement
and various stressors, with plants in different catchment being                no large structures had yet been built that could interfere with
                                                                                                                                                     the photosystem II process, for this study, information from          and transport for photosynthesis, causing photoinhibitory
clearly healthier (with higher photosynthetic efficiency) than                 surface hydrology. As such, this study represents an investigation
                                                                                                                                                     each separate step was not extracted but rather focuses on the        damage of the photosystem II reaction centres, thus affecting
others. Episodic rainfall of about 10 mm measured across all                   of the effects of natural drivers – principally rainfall, study
                                                                                                                                                     overall pattern of response. The study referred to the whole          the photosynthetic efficiency (Herppich, Flach, von Willert, &
catchment increased the photosynthetic efficiency at all study                 site, and to an extent, also topography – on the physiological
                                                                                                                                                     stepped monotonic response curve as the OJIP transient and            Herppich, 1996; Strasser et al., 2004; Van Heerden, Krüger, &
sites. Spatial and temporal patterns of photosynthetic efficiency              health of Welwitschia. The chlorophyll a fluorescence signal
                                                                                                                                                     used the relative position of the whole curve as an indication of     Kilbourn Louw, 2007). Furthermore, anthropogenic stressors,
of Welwitschia are associated with various environmental and                   was measured as an indicator of photosynthetic efficiency and
                                                                                                                                                     differences among catchments.                                         such as browsing by domestic animals, probably caused the
anthropogenic stressors. This study aims to provide possible                   patterns of chlorophyll a fluorescence among catchments in two
management strategies for mines and other developments that                    study populations were compared.
may have adverse impacts on Welwitschia populations by
                                                                               The study aimed to improve understanding of the relationship          Figure 1: Outlines of the three catchments (Welwitschia campsite, Zone 6 and river channel) at
understanding its current health status across the landscape and
over time.                                                                     of various natural driving factors to the plant’s health to better    Welwitschia Plains and two catchments (Welwitschia Wash and Hope Mine) at Gobabeb population
                                                                               gauge the potential additional impact caused by mining and to         with their drainage networks
Keywords: Welwitschia, chlorophyll a fluorescence, OJIP                        provide possible monitoring tools and management strategies.
transient, photosynthetic efficiency, Photosystem II                           The findings from this study may in the future also aid restoration
                                                                               measures, such as translocation and re-introduction of this
Introduction                                                                   unique plant, but will mainly form the basis of a management
                                                                               plan for the species.
Welwitschia mirabilis (Gnetales: Welwitschiaceae), commonly
known as Welwitschia, is a long-lived gymnosperm endemic                       Materials and methods
to the Namib Desert (Cooper-Driver, 1994; Henschel & Seely,
2000). It occurs from the Kuiseb River in Namibia to the Nicolau               The study was conducted in the central Namib within the Namib
River north of the Namib in Angola, in a region where the rainfall             Naukluft Park (NNP), at two distinct Welwitschia populations
varies from < 50 mm to about 200 mm per annum (Henschel &                      study sites; Welwitschia Plains and at Gobabeb (Figure 1). The
Seely, 2000; Jacobson & Lester, 2003). It is protected by law                  two study sites differed in their location relative to an east-west
in Namibia and is also listed on Appendix II of the Convention                 moisture gradient, with Gobabeb being drier, but also receiving
on International Trade in Endangered Species (CITES).                          somewhat more fog than the Welwitschia Plains. In addition,
Welwitschia is a unique plant, both in appearance and biology. It              the Welwitschia Plains population is located next to a large

                                                                    Page | 26                                                                                                                                     Page | 27
Figure 2: Chlorophyll a fluorescence transient plotted against logarithm time scale across catchments                                       drivers. The study was a once-off study conducted over only a       9.    Henschel, J., & Seely, M. K. (2000). Long-term growth
over time (December: n = 18 for Welwitschia Wash and n = 20 for other catchments; January: n = 20                                           short part of the year. Considering the longevity of Welwitschia,         patterns of Welwitschia mirabilis, a long-lived plant of the
                                                                                                                                            longer-term studies should now be conducted to understand the             Namib Desert (including a bibliography). Plant Ecology,
for other catchments, n = 14 for river channel and n = 9 for Zone 6; April: n = 20 for all catchments)
                                                                                                                                            spatial and temporal patterns of photosynthetic efficiency of             150(1-2), 7–26.
                                                                                                                                            Welwitschia.                                                        10.   Herppich, W., Flach, B., von Willert, D., & Herppich, M.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                      (1996). Field investigations of photosynthetic activity,
                                                                                                                                            Acknowledgements                                                          gas exchange and water potential at different leaf ages
                                                                                                                                                                                                                      in Welwitschia mirabilis during a severe drought. Flora:
                                                                                                                                            Gobabeb and Swakop Uranium staff, who assisted with the data              Morphologie, Geobotanik, Oekophysiologie.
                                                                                                                                            collection. The NCRST in Namibia and the National Research          11.   Hüner, N. P., & Hopkins, W. G. (2008). Introduction to plant
                                                                                                                                            Foundation in South Africa for financially supporting the study           physiology (Fourth edition). Wiley, New York.
                                                                                                                                            under the South African-Namibian joint research grant.              12.   Jacobson, K. M., & Lester, E. (2003). A first assessment of
                                                                                                                                                                                                                      genetic variation in Welwitschia mirabilis Hook. Journal of
                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Heredity, 94(3), 212–217.
                                                                                                                                            References                                                          13.   Kananjembo, A., & Kilbourn, M. (2013). Research
                                                                                                                                                                                                                      collecting permit 1653/201 study report - Welwitschia
                                                                                                                                            1.   Abrams, M. (2000). The Advanced Spaceborne Thermal                   mirabilis. Swakopmund: Swakop Uranium.
                                                                                                                                                 Emission and Reflection Radiometer (ASTER): data               14.   Paige, K., & Whitham, T. G. (1987). Overcompensation in
                                                                                                                                                 products for the high spatial resolution imager on NASA’s            response to mammalian herbivory: the advantage of being
                                                                                                                                                 Terra platform. International Journal of Remote Sensing,             eaten. American Naturalist, 407–416.
                                                                                                                                                 21(5), 847–859.                                                15.   Petrick, W. (2013). Environmental Impact Assessment
                                                                                                                                            2.   Belsky, J. (1986). Does herbivory benefit plants? A review           report amendment for the proposed changes to Husab mine
                                                                                                                                                 of the evidence. American Naturalist, 870–892.                       (unpublished SLR project no.: 7NA.13001.00004 No. 2).
                                                                                                                                            3.   Belsky, J., Carson, W., Jensen, C., & Fox, G. (1993).                Namibia: SLR consulting Namibia (Pty) Ltd.
reduction in photosynthetic efficiency, causing photoinhibition      is known to play a critical role in the plants’ survival (Eckardt           Overcompensation by plants: herbivore optimization or red      16.   Retuerto, R., Fernández-Lema, B., & Obeso, J. R. (2006).
of plants at Welwitschia Wash in December (Figure 2a). Plants        et al., 2012; Henschel & Seely, 2000). Apart from breaking seed             herring? Evolutionary Ecology, 7(1), 109–121.                        Changes in photochemical efficiency in response to
at Welwitschia Wash were observed to be intensively browsed          dormancy, increasing recruitment, and stimulating other growth         4.   Brinckmann, E., & von Willert, D. (1987). Injury and                 herbivory and experimental defoliation in the dioecious tree
up to the meristem every month (ca six months). However,             patterns, Henschel & Seely (2000) showed that Welwitschia leaf              recovery of Welwitschia mirabilis. Dinteria, 19, 69–76.              Ilex aquifolium. International Journal of Plant Sciences,
browsing stopped in December and plants recovered remarkably         growth rate quadrupled in three years after episodic rainfall of       5.   Cooper-Driver, G. A. (1994). Welwitschia mirabilis-a dream           167(2), 279–289.
from such stress condition in January and April, as shown on         less than 11 mm. Availability of moisture is a critical limiting            come true. Arnoldia, 54(2), 2–10.                              17.   Strasser, R. J., Tsimilli-Michael, M., & Srivastava, A. (2004).
the OJIP-transient curves (Figure 2a, b). Damage to Welwitschia      factor for Welwitschia plants and plants may efficiently use           6.   Eckardt, F. D., Soderberg, K., Coop, L. J., Muller, A. A.,           Analysis of the chlorophyll a fluorescence transient. Springer.
plants, including browsing by wild animals, has been reported        every little bit of moisture available during such episodic rainfall        Vickery, K. J., Grandin, R. D., … Henschel, J. (2012). The     18.   Thomson, V. P., Cunningham, S. A., Ball, M. C., & Nicotra,
in several studies, but no evidence of adverse impacts on their      for growth, reproduction, and development. The photosynthetic               nature of moisture at Gobabeb, in the central Namib Desert.          A. B. (2003). Compensation for herbivory by Cucumis
survival have been observed (Brinckmann & von Willert, 1987;         efficiency of Welwitschia varies across catchments and changed              Journal of Arid Environments, 93, 7–19.                              sativus through increased photosynthetic capacity and
Cooper-Driver, 1994). However, continuous intensive browsing         over time in relation to the natural and anthropogenic phenomena.      7.   Farmer, A. M. (1993). The effects of dust on vegetation—a            efficiency. Oecologia, 134(2), 167–175.
by domestic animals might threaten their survival.                                                                                               review. Environmental Pollution, 79(1), 63–75.                 19.   Van Heerden, P. D. R., Krüger, G. H. J., & Kilbourn Louw,
                                                                     Conclusion                                                             8.   Goeller, J., & Stobart, B. (2010). Environmental                     M. (2007). Dynamic responses of photosystem II in the
Furthermore, browsing by domestic animals tends to lead to                                                                                       Impact Assessment report for the proposed Husab mine                 Namib Desert shrub Zygophyllum prismatocarpum during
compensation growth rate systems (Belsky, Carson, Jensen, &                                                                                      (unpublished report for Swakop Uranium, Husab mine                   and after foliar deposition of limestone dust. Environmental
                                                                     The results provide the first look at how stress affects this unique
Fox, 1993; Belsky, 1986; Paige & Whitham, 1987). As a result,                                                                                    project). Johannesbur                                                Pollution, 146(1), 34–45.
                                                                     plant species at a physiological level and suggest a number of
browsed plants tend to have positive, rapid growth in response       questions about the levels of stress it can endure. Given that
to browsing, exceeding that of the undamaged plants. This might      the plant probably relies on groundwater, it is possible to find
be the reason why plants at Welwitschia Wash catchment grew          consistent differences among catchments, as this would reflect
fast after browsing. This, however, may require more scientific      different hydrological schemes. This was evident especially
evidence through comparative studies on a long-term scale.           in the low photosynthetic response of the plants located at the
Furthermore, variation in the photosynthetic efficiency of plants    Welwitschia campsite and at the Welwitschia Wash catchments
located at Welwitschia Wash might be due to the carbohydrate         in December. Episodic rainfall does increase the rate of
sink-source dynamic mechanism that plants may develop. Such          photosynthesis, implying that chlorophyll a fluorescence is a
mechanism may trigger plants to absorb more light energy             sensitive indicator of the plant’s level of water stress. However,
while freeing the reserved carbohydrates during the sink-source      the swift increase in photosynthesis after rain also implies that
dynamics to contribute to the photosynthesis and thus to an          a weak photosynthesis signal is probably a natural but rapidly
increase in the photosynthetic efficiency (Belsky et al., 1993;      reversible response to episodic and ephemeral stressors. A
Belsky, 1986).                                                       similar and somewhat more dramatic increase in photosynthesis
                                                                     in browsed plants after rain showed that the plants can also
Recent studies indicate that damaged plants are likely to have       integrate an anthropogenic stressor without becoming fatally
a higher photosynthetic efficiency and an increased proportion       compromised, at least not in the short period that they were
of light energy absorption, which can be utilised during             observed.
photosynthesis (Retuerto, Fernández-Lema, & Obeso, 2006;
Thomson, Cunningham, Ball, & Nicotra, 2003). In addition, the        As a tool to be used in long-term monitoring, the method has high
increase in the photosynthetic efficiency and leaf growth rate       potential. However, a fuller understanding of how Welwitschia
could have been accelerated by the episodic rainfall that occurred   reacts to different stressors will require long-term spatial and
during January and April. Episodic rainfall in the Namib Desert      temporal integration and across a number of other potential

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