Passport to India Inbound investment trends and tips - Passport from India
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Passport to India Inbound investment trends and tips Passport from India Outbound investment trends and tips
The state of M&A: If there’s one thing foreign investors key reforms well into 2012. Many of P. Chidambaram to finance minister have grown to understand about those actions had a chilling affect on and Paghuram Rajan as chief India, it’s that it’s a long-term foreign investment. economic advisor to the finance market. With strong demographics, ministry. Shortly after those In one such action, India’s tax skilled workers and growing appointments, the government authorities claimed that UK telecoms domestic consumption, India announced a host of economic company Vodafone owed more than continues to be featured on lists of reforms, including opening the US$2 billion in taxes related to its top investment destinations despite eagerly-awaited retail sector, $11-billion acquisition of Hutchinson fluctuations in sentiment based on postponing the implementation of Essar, the third-largest mobile its rates of regulatory reform and GAAR to 2016, and working toward a phone operator in India. But because growth. settlement in the Vodafone dispute— the deal was done offshore, with events that will help clarify India’s tax “Investors know that being in India Vodafone purchasing its ownership regime and ease foreign investors’ is a must, but they’re being more stake from Hutchinson’s Cayman fears. practical about actually operating in Islands subsidiary, Vodafone claimed India,” says Ashok Lalwani, chair of it didn’t owe any taxes and the case “The new finance minister seems Baker & McKenzie’s India Practice. ended up in court. focused on reversing the recent “They are realizing that it’s a long trend in foreign investment and has In January 2012, the India Supreme haul and a patience game.” taken a number of actions in a short Court ruled in Vodafone’s favor time to get the attention of foreign During the global economic crisis, and held that the transaction was investors,” Lalwani says. “The pace at India’s strong capital controls and not taxable in India. The Indian which M&A activity picks up depends tight foreign exchange measures government responded by proposing on how well the Indian government is helped the country’s banking system a retroactive tax on indirect share able to sustain the rate of reform.” remain strong, saved the economy transfers and introducing General from free fall and positioned India as Anti-Avoidance Rules (GAAR), setting The Economic Survey that the the most important FDI destination off a significant drop in foreign Indian government released in after China. While that presented a investment. In 2012, the total value of February 2013 suggests a “cautiously prime opportunity for India to become cross-border deals fell to $17.2 billion optimistic” view, with projected GDP the shining star of emerging markets, from $42.3 billion the year before. growth rates of 6.1 to 6.7 percent for the ruling Congress government’s 2013 to 2014. The government has However, the winds of change appear reaction to political maneuverings by also embarked on global roadshows to be sweeping the Indian subcontinent the opposition resulted in a period to woo foreign investors, which also following the appointment of of policy paralysis and flip-flops on augurs well for M&A activity in India. Biggest investment opportunities: 1. Retail With 1.2 billion people, India is home to one of the fastest growing retail markets in the Population world. Until recently, India’s retail sector was closed to foreign investment to protect 1.2 billion the nation’s large population of small shopkeepers and farmers. But after years of debate, the government agreed in September 2012 to open the sector to multi-brand GDP growth: retailers like Wal-Mart. Although viewed as a major win for foreign retailers, the 5.3% (2012) reforms come with restrictions. Single-brand foreign retailers must source 30 percent 6.9% (2011) of their goods from local companies while large multi-brand retail operators must 9.6% (2010) partner with Indian companies, are limited to 51 percent ownership, and can only open stores in the 53 Indian cities with populations greater than one million. Average deal size: US$100 - $200 million 2. Insurance In further efforts to boost India’s slowing economy, the government has proposed Major players increasing the foreign investment cap in the insurance industry. For years, foreign Foreign multinationals from the investors were limited to 26 percent ownership despite industry demands to increase UK, US and Japan the FDI limit to expand the sector with much needed foreign capital. In October 2012, Ease of doing business ranking the Indian government agreed to increase that limit to 49 percent, which could lead to a new wave of investment once the bill is approved by parliament. 132 (out of 185 countries) 3. Aviation Corruption ranking 94 (out of 174 countries) To revive India’s troubled airline industry, the government modified its FDI rules to allow foreign airlines to own up to 49 percent of Indian carriers. While many airlines Sources: have struggled with profitability in recent years, Indian carriers have faced even greater World Bank, Transparency International challenges such as higher fuel prices and poor airport infrastructure. By opening the sector, the government hopes to attract more expertise in airline management, technology and training that could capitalize on increasing demand for air travel from India’s rising middle class. Foreign carriers who invest in the sector, however, are subject to conditions such as keeping the airline registered in India and having the company chairman and at least two-thirds of the board of directors be Indian citizens. 1 | Passport to India
4. Manufacturing With a large working population, strong emphasis on education and low labor costs, India is increasingly gaining recognition for manufacturing high-value goods that require engineering precision and quality, such as auto components and textiles. As the Chinese government becomes more selective in screening FDI projects and wages in China continue to rise, neighbors like India are likely to become more attractive to foreign investors. 5. Pharmaceuticals India’s rapid economic growth, low cost manufacturing and workforce of skilled chemists has led to blockbuster deals involving multinational pharmaceutical People used to think you could companies looking to lower their R&D costs by purchasing Indian drug companies, just open any company in India such as Abbott’s US$3.7 billion purchase of Piramal Healthcare’s generic drug unit. and make money. Now they are In response to the foreign buying spree, the Indian government amended its foreign being more strategic and more investment rules in November 2011 to require government approval for FDI in existing realistic. Investors know that Indian pharmaceutical companies. A year later, the government implemented a new policy to cap the prices of 348 leading drug brands to keep them affordable for Indian being in India is a must, but consumers. The new policy, which could cut drug makers’ profits in half, will likely they’re being more practical slow foreign investment, along with recent adverse court decisions on intellectual about actually operating in India. property rights, such as the Supreme Court’s rejection of Novartis’ attempt to win They are realizing that it’s a long patent protection for Glivec, its cancer drug. haul and a patience game. Ashok Lalwani Greatest challenges for foreign investors: Chair of Baker & McKenzie’s 1. Bureaucracy India Practice India is a highly bureaucratic society and foreign investors need a large number of federal, state and local approvals to acquire or open and operate a local business. Navigating through this matrix of approvals takes time and patience. 2. Corruption Bribery is common in India and foreign companies must conduct careful due diligence to ensure they don’t violate anti-bribery laws such as the FCPA or UK Bribery Act, especially considering there’s been a significant rise in investigations involving India. 3. Multiple surprises during deal negotiations At the beginning of a transaction, Indian businessmen often don’t put all of their cards on the table. They sometimes don’t even tell their own lawyers everything, so as you move through a transaction, there may be some surprises. You have to know that ‘yes’ could actually mean ‘no’ or ‘I’ll think about it,’ and you often have to go back and redo what you thought you had already negotiated. It doesn’t just happen once, but multiple times during the course of a transaction. “Things are often disclosed on a need-to- know basis as a deal reaches certain stages,” Lalwani says. “But it’s all part of the dance and people should be prepared for the long haul.” 4. Lack of certainty in business contracts In India, contracts are not considered definitive like they are in Western markets. Many Indians view contracts more like working documents, with wrinkles that will be ironed out later. It is not uncommon for Indian parties to sign agreements with terms they know they may not be able to fully comply with. They expect that if something does arise, they can resolve it later, which can lead to conflicts down the road with their Western counterparts. Tips for increasing chances of M&A success: 1. Bring in advisors early Deal making in India can often look like this: the company principals negotiate on their own, come to an agreement and then call on the lawyers to memorialize what they have decided. But in a complicated market like India, certain terms the principals have agreed to may not be possible or there may be a better way to structure a deal to achieve what they want to accomplish. To avoid delays and unnecessary detours, it’s important to involve advisors early. 2. Conduct background checks When partnering with Indian companies, it’s critical to know exactly who you are dealing with. You need to conduct due diligence upfront to uncover the reputation and financial standing of any major partners. “There are not many secrets in India and things get around quickly,” Lalwani says. “If you talk to enough people, you’ll find out everything.” 3. Build personal relationships with your business partners India has a strong relationship-based culture, which also sets the tone for how the locals conduct business. It’s important to get to know your partners on a personal level first so that you have a solid foundation for your business relationship. 2 | Passport to India
Current trends INDIA INBOUND DEALS TARGET INDUSTRIES IN INDIA (BY DEAL VALUE 2008-2012) No. of deals Billions 350 $20 Consumer Products Consumer Staples $18 3% 3% 300 289 Media and Entertainment Retail $16 3% 1% 250 237 $14 222 218 200 188 $12 Technology $10 5% Energy and Power 150 26% $8 Real Estate 100 $6 5% $4 50 $2 Industrials $0 8% 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Telecom Materials 16% 8% Number of deals — Total value US$ Financials 10% Healthcare 12% WHO’S INVESTING IN INDIA WHO’S INVESTING IN INDIA (BY DEAL VALUE 2008-2012) (BY DEAL VOLUME 2008-2012) Russia 1% Russia 1% South Africa 1% South Africa 1% United States United Kingdom 27% 33% Other Other 26% 35% Singapore Mauritius* 6% 10% Japan France 18% 5% United Kingdom United States Japan 8% 17% Singapore 7% 8% *Foreign buyers often route their investments to India through this African island nation to take advantage of a tax treaty the two countries established in the early 1980s that enables capital gains from M&A transactions to be taxed in Mauritius, which has a much lower tax rate than India. Source: Thomson Reuters The road ahead Following the liberalization of sectors like retail, insurance and aviation to foreign investment, M&A activity in India is expected to rise as long as the government continues to take actions that restore confidence among foreign investors. There is also a large cache of private equity money on the sidelines waiting to be invested. © 2013 Baker & McKenzie. All rights reserved. Baker & McKenzie International is a Swiss Verein with member law firms around the world. In accordance with the common terminology used in professional service organizations, reference to a “partner” means a person who is a partner, or equivalent, in such a law firm. Similarly, reference to an “office” means an office of any such law firm. This may qualify as “Attorney Advertising” requiring notice in some jurisdictions. Prior results do not guarantee a similar outcome. 3 | Passport to India
Passport from India Outbound investment trends and tips
The state of M&A: The heady days for India outbound M&A began in 2006 when Tata Steel bought Corus Group for US$12 billion, catapulting the Indian steel company to one of the top five steel makers in the world. Two years later, India’s Tata Motors bought Jaguar and Land Rover from Ford Motors for $2.3 billion. Then Indian Population telecom giant Bharti Airtel bought Zain Africa for $9 billion, expanding its 1.2 billion network into 15 African countries. GDP growth: In the last few years, however, Indian conglomerates have taken a step back 5.3% (2012) after this string of headline-making overseas purchases. Since the third- 6.9% (2011) quarter of 2012, outbound M&A activity has picked up again, although on 9.6% (2010) a more measured, conservative level. Average deal size: “Acquisitions by Indian companies are much smaller than they used to be US$50 million five years ago, when multibillion-dollar deals were commonplace,” says Major players Ashok Lalwani, chair of Baker & McKenzie’s India practice. Large Indian conglomerates Because of increasing demand for natural resources, particularly coal, and mid-market companies energy is the most active sector for outbound deals as Indian oil, gas Source: and mining companies seek assets in other resource-rich countries like World Bank Australia, Indonesia and South Africa. In November 2012, Oil and Natural Gas Corporation purchased a minority stake in ConocoPhillips’ oil field in Kazakhstan for $5 billion—the largest natural resources acquisition by an Indian company ever. In pursuing these deals, Indian companies face some challenges, including Chinese bidders with deeper pockets and resource nationalism in countries like Indonesia that limit foreign investment and harm the economics of the investment. Because of these new realities, many Indian mining companies have shifted their strategy regarding the types of investments they are seeking. “Companies are increasingly looking at more developed or operating assets as it’s very expensive to develop a new mine and the related infrastructure to get the minerals out of the country,” Lalwani says. With the domestic economy picking up and the global economy showing resilience, the outlook for outbound investment from India is expected to improve in 2013. And as Indian companies continue expanding abroad, they are becoming increasingly more adventurous than their Western counterparts, investing in a wider range of countries, including frontier markets in Africa and Latin America. “After navigating their local market, which is one of the toughest in the world, they are confident they can be successful anywhere,” Lalwani says. “They have both the skills and the bravado.” 1 | Passport from India
Biggest investment opportunities for Indian companies: Acquisitions by Indian companies are much smaller than they 1. Natural resources used to be five years ago, when 2. IT/Telecom multibillion-dollar deals were 3. Financial services commonplace. Ashok Lalwani Greatest challenges for Indian investors: Chair of Baker & McKenzie’s 1. Post-merger integration India Practice With all the focus on closing the deal, company executives often treat post-acquisition integration issues like an afterthought. But completing a transaction is just the beginning of the hard work of integrating the new business lines, products or services, supervising a new workforce, harmonizing employee benefits and accessing new compliance risks. Without a detailed post-merger integration plan, companies risk failing to realize the value they were seeking when making the acquisition in the first place. 2. Running a global operation Like many companies expanding overseas, the general counsels of Indian conglomerates often find it challenging to keep track of the multitude of diverse and sometimes conflicting local rules and regulations they must comply with when operating in various countries. As the company becomes increasingly global, it’s harder to know whether the company’s policies and practices are in line with the requirements of all the places where they do business. “They want to have systems in place to ensure that they do what is required to stay in compliance,” Lalwani says. Tips for increasing chances of M&A success: 1. Keep existing management in place for two years or longer after the acquisition To maintain continuity, preserve important business relationships and avoid talent losses, it’s a good idea for Indian companies to have the foreign owner or key managers stay on for a few years to help smooth the transition. “You need a well- thought-out integration plan that takes into account all of the cultural issues,” Lalwani says. 2. Make sure the acquired company is incorporated into your global compliance program To avoid regulatory issues and realize the full value of the acquisition, it’s important for Indian companies to gain an understanding of the compliance requirements related to the acquired company and execute a plan to address those compliance requirements quickly. 2 | Passport from India
Current trends INDIA OUTBOUND DEALS No. of deals Billions 200 183 $25 $20 150 134 118 $15 100 85 83 $10 50 $5 $0 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Number of deals — Total value US$ WHERE INDIAN COMPANIES ARE INVESTING WHERE INDIAN COMPANIES ARE INVESTING (BY DEAL VALUE 2008-2012) (BY DEAL VOLUME 2008-2012) Brazil 2% United States Indonesia 1% Nigeria Indonesia 3% 24% South Africa 1% 25% South Africa 2% Brazil 1% China 1% Other 25% Other 43% Turkey 6% United States 16% Australia United Kingdom 8% Canada 13% 4% United Kingdom Germany Australia Venezuela Singapore 9% 5% 6% 11% 5% Source: Thomson Reuters The road ahead After a string of blockbuster cross-border deals, Indian companies have begun taking stock of what they have and becoming more strategic about what they target. They are likely to continue focusing their investments in the natural resources and outsourcing sectors, as well as on acquiring new and complementary technologies to improve the efficiency of their businesses. © 2013 Baker & McKenzie. All rights reserved. Baker & McKenzie International is a Swiss Verein with member law firms around the world. In accordance with the common terminology used in professional service organizations, reference to a “partner” means a person who is a partner, or equivalent, in such a law firm. Similarly, reference to an “office” means an office of any such law firm. This may qualify as “Attorney Advertising” requiring notice in some jurisdictions. Prior results do not guarantee a similar outcome. 3 | Passport from India
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