OVERCOMING BOTTLENECKS IN THE MIDWEST HAZELNUT INDUSTRY - An Impact Investment Plan
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OVERCOMING BOTTLENECKS IN THE MIDWEST HAZELNUT INDUSTRY An Impact Investment Plan SAVANNAINSTITUTE.ORG
“ Hazelnuts represent a timely economic and environmental AUTHORS Scott H Brainard, PhD Research Fellow, Savanna Institute opportunity. While Kevin J Wolz, PhD the existing $7 billion Co-Executive Director, Savanna Institute global market is on Keefe Keeley, PhD track to double within Co-Executive Director, Savanna Institute the next decade, this Adrian Rodrigues perennial crop’s latent Co-Founder & Managing Partner, Hyphae Partners potential is likely much François-Jérôme Selosse greater. The woody Co-Founder & Managing Partner, Hyphae Partners mass sequesters carbon, the perennial root ABOUT THE SAVANNA INSTITUTE system can help capture The Savanna Institute is a 501(c)(3) nonprofit excess nutrients, and research and education organization working to catalyze the development and adoption of resilient, its permanent structure scalable agroforestry in the Midwest U.S. We work provides habitat for in collaboration with farmers and scientists to develop perennial food and fodder birds, beneficial insects, crops within ecological, climate and other wildlife. change-mitigating agricultural systems. — p. 11 1360 Regent St. #124 Madison, WI 53715 608.448.6432 info@savannainstitute.org savannainstitute.org CONTACT For questions or comments on this report, please contact Scott Brainard at scott@savannainstitute.org ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS This report was produced with generous support from the Jeremy and Hannelore Grantham Environmental Trust.
DEAR READERS, At the Savanna Institute, we share a revolutionary vision: a multifunctional agriculture in the Midwest based on agroforestry systems of integrated trees, crops, and livestock and fostering ecological resilience, climate stability, economic prosperity, and vibrant rural communities. To achieve this important vision, we are working hard in collaboration with farmers, scientists, landowners, and many other stakeholders to catalyze the widespread adoption of tree crops and perennial agriculture. Tree crop development is one of the three core pillars of the Institute’s work. In the Midwest transition to widespread perennial agriculture and agroforestry, tree crops are the key tools at our disposal. To realize the full economic and ecological benefits of perennial agriculture, the transition will require (1) resilient tree crops for food & fodder, and (2) robust supply chains with scalable infrastructure. Many local and regional tree crop industries are already appearing across the Midwest, launched by pioneer farmers, researchers, and educators. Each crop, of course, has its own set of hurdles and bottlenecks that limit growth. For some crops, these bottlenecks are primarily production issues on the farm. For others, consumer support is what is lacking. Hazelnuts have been a target tree crop for the Midwest for over four decades. By some measures, progress has been slow, but steady nonetheless. A great many stakeholders have contributed to the industry’s development over the years, and even more are joining today as the need for perennial agriculture becomes clearer than ever. It is our hope that this document will serve as a catalyst for the Midwest hazelnut industry, providing a roadmap for connecting capital with the key practitioners, researchers, and educators on the ground. We have gathered critical information from across the community of Midwest hazelnut stakeholders, identified the industry’s central development bottlenecks, considered the competing priorities and the contested merit of various approaches to overcome these hurdles, and conducted an objective assessment and ranking of priorities for impact investment. I thank my fellow staff and all stakeholders who have contributed to this report. This community’s vision for a new Midwest agriculture is noble and necessary. As you read this report, please consider where your role lies. Please join us in scaling the Midwest hazelnut industry and a broader perennial agriculture. Sincerely, KEVIN J WOLZ, PHD , Co-Executive Director
TABLE OF CONTENTS Executive Summary 6 Introduction 7 The Problem of Agriculture 8 The Tree Crop Solution 9 Why Hazelnuts? 11 Background on Hazelnuts 12 Existing Uses 12 Global Market 13 US Market 15 Potential Novel Markets 15 Sizing the Midwest Opportunity 17 Hazelnuts in the Midwest 18 Two Species & Their Hybrids 18 European vs. Hybrid Hazelnuts 19 History of Work on Hazelnuts in the Midwest 22 Bottlenecks Limiting Midwest Hazelnuts 26 A. Industry Leadership & Coordination 27 B. Variety Development 27 C. Plant Propagation 30 D. Farm Establishment, Maintenance & Harvest 33 E. Farmer Capacity 36 F. Aggregation & Processing 38 Priority Strategies 40 1. Scaling Hybrid Hazelnut Micropropagation 41 2. Complete Initial Harvesting & Processing Line 42 3. Assess Germplasm at Badgersett & New Forest Farm 42 4. Permanent Industry Coordinator Position 42 5. Centralized Variety Development 43 6. Research & Development Funding Pool 44 SAVANNA INSTITUTE 4 savannainstitute.org
7. Establish Large-Scale Pilot Farm 44 8. Farmer Training 45 9. Nut Aggregation, Processing & Marketing 45 10. Farm Establishment Credit Mechanism 46 Literature Cited 47 Stakeholders Cited 52 TABLE OF CONTENTS 5
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Row crop agriculture covers over 3.28 billion acres the low cropland prices, relative to current hazel- of land globally - an area equal to half of all land in nut production regions in Oregon, give producers North America. This practice has considerable neg- a competitive advantage. Over the last several dec- ative environmental impacts, including substantial ades, researchers and farmers have developed an greenhouse gas emissions. Transformative solu- array of European-American hybrid hazelnut vari- tions that transcend the fundamental issues of an- eties adapted to the Midwest; advanced selections nual crops are needed in the face of climate change. are poised for large-scale plantings. Perennial staple crops are one such solution. Despite this promising position and substantial work to date, multiple bottlenecks limit the growth of the Midwest hazelnut industry. Effective micropropagation protocols are needed to provide inexpensive clonal planting material. “Chicken- and-egg” issues have prevented the deployment of either a large-scale pilot farm or the necessary processing infrastructure. A lack of robust variety trials and ongoing breeding work in the Midwest has hindered continued plant development. The lack of a mechanism to improve availability of low- risk farm startup capital costs is a major hurdle for growers wishing to plant hazelnuts at-scale. An established row of hazelnuts at Rush River Produce in northwest Wisconsin. This document presents ways to overcome these ob- stacles, and suggests entry points for public, philan- Hazelnuts, in particular, present a timely econom- thropic, and private capital to make positive social ic and environmental strategy in the Midwest U.S. and environmental impacts. The concluding chap- While the existing $7bn global market is on track to ter – a ranking of strategies for development of the double this decade, this perennial crop’s latent po- Midwest hazelnut industry – outlines a plan based tential is to supplant soybean as a staple source of on potential impact, investment needs, relative protein and oil. If adopted broadly, hazelnuts could urgency, expected timeframe, and dependency on help reverse agriculture’s role in climate change – prerequisite activities. Support for enacting these over 1500 Mt carbon (~30% of annual U.S. CO2 emis- strategies will hasten the expansion of the Midwest sions) could be sequestered in woody biomass alone hazelnut industry and a truly ecological agriculture. if hazelnuts replaced the existing 84 million acres of soybean across the Midwest. Additional bene- fits would accrue from the crop’s deep roots, which capture excess nutrients and reduce eutrophication of surface waters, and from the habitat that plants provide for birds, beneficial insects, and other wild- life. With declining production and instability in Turkey, the world’s leading hazelnut producer, food com- panies are looking to diversify their supply chains with new hazelnut growing regions. The Midwest is well suited to growing hazelnuts – it is the center The American Hazelnut Company in Wisconsin uses of the native range of the American hazelnut, and Midwest hazelnuts in their value-added products. SAVANNA INSTITUTE 6 savannainstitute.org
INTRODUCTION KEY POINTS Incremental improvements in the efficiency of existing agricultural systems have limited potential for transforming how agroecosystems function. Perennial tree crops represent a more transformative approach that have significant potential in terms of ecosystems services and carbon sequestration. Hazelnuts are a healthy, oilseed crop that has the potential to out-yield and therefore replace soybeans in the Midwestern landscape. Introduction 7
Extensive disturbance and landscape simplification leaves little permanent habitat for diverse native wildlife. The Problem of Agriculture Row crop agriculture covers over 1.28 billion U.S. cropland using reduced tillage, 1.7% utilizing hectares of land globally1 and over 75% of land in cover crops, and 0.8% in organic production14,15. the Midwest2. Though extremely productive, these cropping systems rely heavily on external inputs Incremental approaches, even if widely adopted, of energy, nutrients, and pesticides, leading to are thus unlikely to reverse greenhouse gas emis- many negative ecological impacts. The agricultural sions and solve the ecological challenges of row sector accounts for 10-12% of global anthropogen- crop agriculture16-18. For example, while no-till ic greenhouse gas emissions3 and a striking 55% of management and cover cropping exhibit lower net global nitrous oxide emissions4. global warming potential than conventional crops, net emissions still remain positive19. Similarly, in Fertilizer applied to row crops has become the larg- simulations with ideal cover crop adoption across est source of nutrient pollution and eutrophication the Midwest, nitrate losses to the Mississippi Riv- in aquatic ecosystems5. Extensive disturbance and er were reduced by approximately 20%20 , falling landscape simplification leaves little permanent short of the estimated 40-45% decrease necessary ground cover or habitat for diverse native wildlife to meet hypoxia reduction goals in the Gulf of Mex- (above), leading to soil erosion and biodiversity ico21. Instead, transformative solutions that address loss6 . Beyond its ecological challenges, row crop the fundamental issues associated with vast mon- agriculture is highly sensitive to future climate ocultures of annual crops are necessary, especially change7, and its profitability is volatile8. Incremental improvements to the prevailing sys- tem have been the primary focus of efforts to reduce these negative impacts in the U.S.9 (right). Cover cropping, for example, extends soil cover beyond the primary cropping season to reduce erosion, capture excess nutrients, and improve soil quality10 . Preci- sion management uses high-resolution positioning and remote sensing technology to apply inputs more accurately only where needed11. No- or low- till practices reduce the level of annual tillage to improve soil stability, reduce erosion, and sequester carbon12. Organic production aims to minimize the use of synthetic inputs that have adverse ecological Incremental improvements to the prevailing system effects13. Despite the perceived benefits, adoption have been the primary focus of efforts in the U.S. of these approaches remains low, with only 39% of SAVANNA INSTITUTE 8 savannainstitute.org
in the face of climate change22-27. Successful trans- for farmers and prosperity for rural communities. formative solutions must be ecologically sustaina- Cultural acceptability entails meeting people’s aes- ble, economically viable, and culturally acceptable. thetic, ethical, and practical needs while producing Ecological sustainability requires robust function- the carbohydrates, proteins, and oils that are the ing of regulating and supporting ecosystem servic- basic components of food systems and industrial es alongside the provisioning services at the core of supply chains28-31. agriculture. Economic viability means profitability The Tree Crop Solution In his visionary work, J. Russell Smith32 reviewed the lot more than just stabilize soil. Integrating trees in potential of a wide range of tree crops for food and agricultural landscapes can help mitigate climate fodder production in a “permanent” agriculture. He change, adapt agriculture to disturbance, enhance described the “corn trees” of Castanea (chestnut) crop yields, and improve ecological functioning. and Quercus (oak), as well as the “meat-and-butter” trees of Juglans (walnut) and Carya (pecan/hickory), Globally, agricultural tree biomass accounts for the “stock-food trees” of Ceratonia (carob), Prosop- over 75% of biomass carbon storage on agricultur- is (mesquite), Gleditsia (honey locust), and Morus al land38. Further integrating trees into agricultural (mulberry), a “kingly fruit for man” in Diospyros landscapes has great potential for climate change (persimmon), and Corylus (hazelnut) that “fairly mitigation and adaptation. Tree crop systems are runs riot in many American fields”. Smith’s work among the few agricultural systems that exhib- has inspired perennial agriculture researchers and it true carbon sequestration potential, rather than practitioners for 90 years, and his vision for wide- just a reduction in greenhouse gas emissions, and spread tree crops is more relevant than ever today33. are thus considered to be one of the most important approaches to carbon sequestration on farmland19. Integrating trees throughout the agricultural land- scape, today known as “agroforestry”, is a trans- In addition to direct climate change mitigation, formative departure from the incremental improve- trees can help adapt agriculture to many aspects of ments to row crops that focus on minor agronomic climate change39-44. The more volatile and extreme improvements or field margins34,35. Smith’s focus on weather patterns predicted with climate change tree crops was primarily driven by concerns about are expected to have direct impacts on agricultur- widespread soil erosion. We now have a much more al management and productivity3,45. Integrating thorough understanding of the benefits that trees trees can buffer the effect of weather extremes by can have on agricultural soil retention, structure, protecting crops from wind stress46, stabilizing air and fertility36,37. We also now know that trees do a and soil temperatures47, increasing soil water infil- tration and storage48, and reducing evaporation of Transformative solutions to the issues posed by monocultures are being explored at New Forest Farm in southwest Wisconsin. Introduction The Tree Crop Solution 9
soil moisture49. Increases in biodiversity have been Widespread adoption of tree crops in the Midwest shown to improve the resilience of ecosystems to will require well-developed species that are high- ecological disturbance50. Integrating trees in agri- ly productive and have robust markets. Many tree culture has also been demonstrated to increase bio- crops have longstanding global markets and have diversity for many organisms, such as arthropods51, garnered increased investment by industry and mycorrhizal fungi52, and birds53. academia over the past two decades. Though their potential growth beyond niche markets remains Incorporating trees into the agricultural landscape largely overlooked, many tree crops – especially nut also has the potential to address the widespread trees – have great potential as staple food crops and water quality and eutrophication issues of the Mid- animal fodder32,33. Dominant tree crops will vary by west. Tree roots can provide a “safety-net” by catch- region based on environmental suitability of tree ing nitrogen that leaches beyond the crop rooting species63, while also anticipating future climate depth or growing season54,55. Even compared to per- conditions64. Furthermore, it will be critical to se- ennial pasture, which has deeper roots and a longer lect tree crops that are already supported by a solid growing season than annual crops, integrating trees base of agronomic knowledge, foundational breed- can reduce peak soil nitrate concentrations by an ing work, and existing germplasm repositories. additional 56%56. In addition to their ecological benefits, widespread integration of tree crops into the agricultural land- scape also has potential for substantial economic benefits. In particular, food- and fodder-producing tree crops can simultaneously maintain high agri- cultural yields and ecosystem functions27,57,58. Tree crops can also diversify farm revenue, promote ove- ryielding, and introduce nutritionally dense crops high in vitamins and antioxidants. The variety of harvest and management activities associated with the array of potential tree crops in the Midwest could also increase year-round employment oppor- tunities in rural areas, which could help stabilize rural communities. Compared to timber harvest rotations that span decades, the relatively short time to reproductive maturity and predictable annual yields in food- or fodder-producing tree crops can provide a more rapid economic return on investment59. Further- more, shorter harvest intervals make tree crop re- turns less susceptible to natural disasters, climate variability, and changes in market preferences60,61. If monetized via future policy developments, the eco- logical benefits of tree crops can also become direct economic benefits. Incentivized ecological benefits could even constitute over two-thirds of the eco- nomic value provided by integrating trees into ag- J. Russell Smith reviewed the potential of a wide riculture62. range of tree crops for food and fodder production in his his visionary work Tree Crops: A Permanent Agriculture. SAVANNA INSTITUTE 10 savannainstitute.org
Why Hazelnuts? A climate-friendly oilseed crop Healthy & nutritious Hazelnuts represent a timely economic and envi- Hazelnuts contain very high (~60%) oil content, ronmental opportunity. While the existing $7 bil- with high levels of monounsaturated fatty acids and lion global market is on track to double within the low levels of saturated fatty acids68. Diets contain- next decade, this perennial crop’s latent potential is ing this ratio of fatty acids can help reduce total likely much greater. In principle, well-adapted va- cholesterol, and thereby reduce both blood pressure rieties could out-yield soybeans in terms of oil per and coronary heart disease risk69,70. Additionally, acre (Table 1), and thus potentially supplant large hazelnuts are a source of tocopherol and phytoster- acreage across the Midwest, dramatically chang- ol, which have been shown to have a preventative ing the landscape65,66. Such a change could also effect on heart disease and tumour growth in some yield significant ecological benefits: hazelnuts can cancers71,72,73. Finally, the pressed meal of hazelnut sequester >1 t carbon/acre in woody biomass over kernels contains high levels of proteins, carbohy- their first five years55, scaling to more than 18 t car- drates, fiber, and minerals74. bon/acre sequestered by maturity – over 1500 Mt carbon sequestered in total if hazelnuts replaced the 84 million acres of soybean across the Midwest, which does not include the potential accompanying sequestration in soil organic matter67. Table 1: Caloric and oil yield comparison of soybean In addition, their perennial root system can help and hazelnut. Hazelnut data are derived from capture excess nutrients and reduce eutrophica- countries with the highest yields– a potential goal for the Midwest27. tion of surface waters, and the permanent structure would provide habitat for birds, beneficial insects, and other wildlife. Introduction Why Hazelnuts? 11
BACKGROUND ON HAZELNUTS KEY POINTS The existing global hazelnut market (primarily confectionary products and snack foods) is experiencing rapid growth. Currently, Oregon accounts for essentially all hazelnut production in the U.S., but despite recent expansion, it is estimated that this will not exhaust demand. There is growing interest in alternative uses for hazelnuts, such as food products like cold-pressed oil, as well as processed commodity goods such as biodiesel and livestock feed. Given these macro-economic trends, it is estimated that there is a market opportunity for approximately 175,000 acres of hazelnut production in the Midwest U.S. Existing Uses There are many possible end-uses for hazelnuts, metic industry (e.g. skin and hair care) and is viewed each having different requirements for nut qual- as a primary driver of value and growth. Hazelnut ity characteristics. Hazelnuts are typically sold oil also has applications in the pharmaceutical in- unprocessed (cracked or whole) or processed dustry and the food preparation industry (as a gour- into blanched, roasted, diced, or powdered form. met oil adding complex flavors)75. When kernels are Processed hazelnuts (58% of the market) appeal to pressed into oil, the residual meal can be used as a the snack market and are primarily sold via re- high-protein, high-mineral livestock fodder74. tail channels. Unprocessed hazelnuts (42% of the market) are usually preferred to make food prod- Desired hazelnut traits vary depending on their ucts and beverages like spreads, chocolate candies, end use. When used whole, kernel size and shape nutrition bars, syrups, coffee creamer, biscuits, are important quality traits. Similarly, when used liquors, butter, and other related products75. as a flavoring ingredient in confectionary products, nut flavor traits may be different or more important Aside from the food & beverage sector, 18% of the than when using the nut primarily as animal feed or global hazelnut market is dedicated to hazelnut oil feed concetrate. production. The oil market primarily serves the cos- SAVANNA INSTITUTE 12 savannainstitute.org
Figure 1: U.S. hazelnut prices over the last ten years ($/lb)76. Global Market Size & Scope On the demand side, industry manufacturers pur- The global hazelnut market is a $4.7 billion market chase ~58% of global hazelnut supply to make food (Table 2) exhibiting rapid growth (6.76% compound products and beverages or cosmetic and pharma- annual growth rate (CAGR), accelerating to 7.87% in ceutical products via the extraction of oils75. Major 2021)75,76 due to consumers’ increased awareness of global players in this segment include: its health benefits and the nut’s lower price com- pared to close substitutes (e.g. almonds, pistachi- • Ferrero (with brands such as Nutella, Ferrero os). Around 750,000 t of in-shell hazelnuts were Rocher, and Kinder Bueno) produced worldwide in 2016, with Turkey growing • Mondelez International (e.g. Cadbury & Milka over 50%, followed by Italy, then the US31 (Table 2). for chocolates) Due to world production concentration, in addition • Nestle (e.g. Coffeemate & Nescafe hazel latte, to production risk, Hazelnut prices exhibit large cappuccino, and coffee creamer) volatility 76 (Figure 1). • Hershey Company Major market participants • Mars On the distribution side, major global market par- • Ritter Sport ticipants include75: • Batsu Gida - natural, roasted, blanched, and diced hazelnut kernels and pastes • Chelmer Foods - natural and roasted hazelnuts • Kanegrade - caramelized hazelnuts, in addition to hazelnut paste and powder • Olam International - natural, blanched, and roasted hazelnuts, pastes and meals • Oregon Hazelnuts - natural, blanched, and roasted hazelnuts Table 2: Production and estimated traded value of the top 10 hazelnut producing countries in 2016 31. Background on Hazelnuts Global Market 13
In addition, ~30% of global supply is purchased by As a result of this volatility, major companies have the retail segment and dedicated to snack related been investing heavily in developing hazelnut pro- products75. Although supermarkets represent the duction in new regions to diversify their supply major outlets, convenience stores and online chan- chain and reduce concentration risk. For instance, nels are also important. Finally, ~12% of global sup- Ferrero, which until recently had been relying pri- ply is sold to the food service sector such as restau- marily on Turkish hazelnuts, has invested in devel- rants, hotels, and bakers75. oping a new industry in Ontario, Canada79. Macro trends Demand for hazelnuts is highest in Europe and the Middle East, primarily driven by the easy avail- ability and low cost of hazelnuts in the region77 (Table 3). However, the market is growing faster in the Americas and Asia-Pacific, reflecting increased consumer interest as hazelnuts become more avail- able75 (Table 4). Table 3: Hazelnut consumption of the top five In addition to growing consumer interest, other hazelnut consuming countries77 factors may benefit the growth of emerging production regions like the U.S. In 2014, for example, extreme frost followed by a drought caused Turkish production to drop to half its projected amount (Figure 2). This poor harvest meant major buyers dependent on the region were faced with a lack of supply78. Given that Turkey typically produces over 50% of the global hazelnut supply, Turkish hazelnut yield volatility can result in subsequent volatility in Table 4: Hazelnut market growth (CAGR) projections global hazelnut prices (Figures 1 and 2). This makes by region76 sourcing decisions especially difficult for major hazelnut buyers. Figure 2: Impact of Turkish production on global market prices in the scope of present and potential hazelnut markets31,76. SAVANNA INSTITUTE 14 savannainstitute.org
US Market Existing production & market with China. Since the start of the trade war, China Over 99% of hazelnut production in the Americas has raised tariffs on U.S. hazelnuts by 65%80. Do- comes from Oregon’s Willamette Valley and repre- mestic processing capabilities give U.S. producers sents around $100 million in average annual rev- another option when it comes to marketing their enue to growers80. The industry’s rapid growth re- harvest. A headwind that domestic producers may flects an increased demand for hazelnuts by major face in the near term is that a rapidly plummeting confectionery companies, like The Hershey Compa- Turkish lira will make Turkish hazelnuts cheaper ny, which are looking to satisfy the increasing pop- than hazelnuts produced in other countries. ularity of hazelnut spreads and nutrition bars in the US75. This trend is also partly driven by the low fa- The opportunity for the Midwest miliarity of U.S. customers with hazelnuts80. While This U.S. hazelnut opportunity is so large that it hazelnut familiarity among U.S. customers is low, appears Oregon will not be able to satisfy it alone. it is possible that, once Americans try hazelnuts or While Oregon’s expected increase in production ca- hazelnut-based products, adoption rates will go up. pacity roughly matches expected demand resulting When this is coupled with staggering global demand from U.S. market growth (to ~103,000 t by 2028), growth and motivated offtakers looking to diversify international demand for Hazelnuts is expected to away from concentrated suppliers, it presents a real grow by ~863,000 t31,75 (Table 5). and compelling opportunity for American hazelnut This suggests that expanding hazelnut production growers. outside of Oregon could be a way to have domestic To respond to the rapidly growing demand for ha- production satisfy both the growing domestic and zelnuts, the Oregon industry is adding acreage at a global demand for hazelnuts. If domestic producers pace never seen before and is poised to double by were able to capture just 5% of the estimated growth 202581. The industry is expected to produce 81,600 in international hazelnut demand over the next 10 t of hazelnuts in 2025, eclipsing its 2018 estimat- years, this would require another 43,000 t of hazel- ed production of 42,60 0t. To reach these ambitious nuts. This level of demand, combined with several targets, 8,000 acres are currently being added annu- positive global trends, presents a clear opportunity ally to a base of 72,000 acres. to establish a Midwestern hazelnut industry. Historically, 60% of Oregon-grown hazelnuts have In addition, as global brands continue to look for been sold to China as in-shell nuts for processing new ways to source hazelnuts from outside Turkey into snacks. Recently, however, a $20 million, state- and Europe, a real opportunity exists for American of-the-art processing facility near Portland, Oregon growers to capture global market share. has created significant capacity for U.S.-grown ha- zelnuts to be processed domestically. By doing so, U.S. growers can work with domestic processors to satisfy growing local and international demand80. Table 5: Global and U.S. hazelnut demand estimates (t) This increased domestic processing capacity bodes 2018-202831,75. well for producers facing the unfolding trade war Potential Novel Markets While the projected growth in hazelnut demand is well developed, despite promising preliminary re- staggering, it only considers “traditional” hazel- search from around the world55. nut end markets related to human consumption. Hazelnuts also have myriad potential uses in other In the conventional Midwestern agricultural sys- agricultural and industrial sectors. Targeting these tem, soybeans are grown as a commodity source for alternative markets with hazelnuts is novel and not protein and oil for use in livestock feed, biodiesel, Background on Hazelnuts US Market 15
and soy-based food products. Hazelnut, also com- imports with domestic biodiesel derived from ha- prised of primarily protein and oil, is a functional zelnut oil would require ~2.25 billion pounds of ha- analog for soybean. Staple nut crops have served as zelnut oil, or 1.68 million t of hazelnuts. Capturing the foundation of a number of civilizations82, and just 10% of imports, therefore, would mean almost modern research continues to develop the poten- quadrupling current U.S. hazelnut production. tial of nut-sourced carbohydrates83, proteins74, and oils84 as staple food constituents. Livestock feed The domestic production of the now-imported 300 While these alternative, commodity-scale markets million gallons of biodiesel would also generate will certainly command a lower price point than ex- around 672,000 t of high-protein hazelnut meal. isting markets for human consumption, their mas- This quantity of meal represents a small fraction sive potential size warrants further investigation - of the amount of feed consumed by livestock in the the Midwestern soybean market is ~$40 billion from U.S. - 236.3 million t91 - suggesting that it could be over 84 million acres (Figure 3). easily absorbed by the market. Biodiesel For hazelnut producers to tap these gigantic mar- Biodiesel is an important potential fuel that can kets, it will be necessary to lower the cost of pro- reduce reliance on fossil fuels. Hazelnuts are com- duction and/or extract premium prices by address- posed of ~61% oil85, making the crop a prime feed- ing niche needs. While hazelnuts were recently stock for biodiesel production. In contrast, soybeans trading at ~$5,600/t76, turning the nut into oil for are composed of only ~20% oil. As a result, the po- biodiesel and associated meal leftover would only tential of hazelnut in biodiesel production has been yield around $532/t if subject to similar pricing as actively researched and documented, including by soybean oil and soybean meal. While this low pric- the the U.S. Department of Defense86. ing could make sense for a portion of a farm’s out- put that would typically be wasted (e.g. if not suited In 2017, the U.S. consumed ~2 billion gallons of bio- to high value markets), this highlights the need for diesel87 (Figure 4), a majority of which was derived further investigation into production efficiencies. from soybean oil feedstock88. Although the U.S. is a Most notably, addressing the following questions major producer of soybeans, this demand for bio- could help determine whether using hazelnuts for diesel exceeds local production, hence requiring biofuels and animal feed is economical for farmers: the U.S. to import ~300 million gallons of biodiesel annually87. Imported biodiesel is also primarily de- • Can hazelnut oil create a segment of “premium” rived from soybean oil89. biodiesel that certain customers looking for properties specific to hazelnut based biodiesel The potential for hazelnuts to play a role in meeting would be willing to pay more for? For instance, a portion of this demand for biofuels was observed hazelnut-derived biodiesel gels at a lower tem- as far back as the early 1990s90. Replacing biodiesel Figure 3: Diagram of the scope of present and potential hazelnut markets. SAVANNA INSTITUTE 16 savannainstitute.org
Figure 4: U.S. Biodiesel production, exports and consumption, 2001-201787. perature than soybean-derived biodiesel92. The • Can a premium product with premium pricing American military, in particular, has been inter- be manufactured using hazelnut meal? For ested in these properties. example, eggs from hens fed soy-free diets could command premiums. Does hazelnut meal • What economies of scale can be reached when give animals a particular, desirable taste? For deploying hazelnuts as a commodity crop? For example, hazelnut-finished pork could compete example, could a low price for plant material be with other nut-finished pork products that are obtained from nurseries in exchange for large rapidly gaining popularity. guaranteed orders? A partnership with micro- propagation companies and nurseries could Coordinated industry research is necessary to ad- enable large growers or a cooperative pool of dress these questions and develop novel feed mar- smaller growers to purchase plants at a lower kets for hazelnuts. price. Sizing the Midwest Opportunity Both existing global market growth estimates and years, or ~43,000 t produced per year – roughly the the potential for novel markets to play a role in fu- size of the Oregon market today. Our 10–20-year ture hazelnut demand help inform the size of the growth estimates are based on a 10% capture of the Midwestern hazelnut opportunity. biodiesel market imports, adding up to 168,000 t. Together, these assumptions point towards a need To calculate the addressable market for Midwestern to deploy ~158 million hazelnut trees in the Mid- hazelnuts, we conservatively assume a 5% inter- west (Table 6). national demand growth capture over the next ten Table 6: Projected potential market opportunity for Midwestern hazelnuts (Yield and trees per acre assumptions93). Background on Hazelnuts Potential Novel Markets 17
HAZELNUTS IN THE MIDWEST Two Species & Their Hybrids European hazelnut climate and biotic stresses, but its nuts are not of The existing hazelnut industry in Oregon and the sufficient size/quality to be directly usable in most Mediterranean is built on the European hazelnut hazelnut markets. (Corylus avellana). This species produces large, thin-shelled nuts that can be sold to the domi- American x European hybrid hazelnuts nant confectionary industry. European hazelnuts With neither the European nor American hazelnut are grown as single-stemmed trees (Figure 5) and species ideally suited for an industry in the Mid- are primarily harvested with machines by shaking west, inter-specific hybrids resulting from cross- nuts from the trees and then picking them up off ing these two species together have also been ex- the ground. plored as a way to combine the best traits of both species65,66 (Table 7). Because of the ease with which American hazelnut this interspecific cross can be made, breeding can The American hazelnut (Corylus americana) is more be performed upon both species independently, as bush-like, and produces relatively small nuts (Fig- well as within the diverse hybrid germplasm that ure 5). This species is more tolerant of the Midwest currently exists. Figure 5: Comparison of the characteristics of American hazelnut (Corylus americana) and European hazelnut (Corylus avellana)94. While there are other Corylus species around the world (e.g. Corylus heterophylla and Corylus sieboldiana in Korea, or Corylus cornuta in Canada), they are not considered very important to industry development in the Midwest. SAVANNA INSTITUTE 18 savannainstitute.org
European vs. Hybrid Hazelnuts KEY POINTS Hybrid hazelnuts have competitive yields, high cold tolerance, and critical disease resistance, but the kernels, while promising, are currently untested in existing markets. Hedgerow-grown hybrid hazelnuts feature over-the-row harvesting while crop is still attached to the plant, providing benefits to food safety, soil health, water quality, and biodiversity relative to Oregon model of sweeping fallen nuts off bare soil. Given the success and growth projections of the Nut quality & yield European hazelnut-based Oregon industry, at face The large, high-quality nuts of European hazelnuts value it appears the Midwest industry should imi- are the gold standard in the confectionery industry. tate the Oregon approach. Duplicating the Oregon Though the nuts from hybrid hazelnuts are gener- approach as-is, however, is limited by several key ally larger than pure American nuts, they are not environmental differences between Oregon and the as large as nuts from European cultivars. However, Midwest. Consequently, two alternative approaches this may not be a liability in the processing market. are being pursued for the Midwest: According to Ferrero, the optimal kernel diameter is 10.5-12 mm, and some top hybrid selections pro- 1. Develop European hazelnuts with the stress duce nuts with diameters of 9-13mm. tolerance traits necessary to thrive in the Mid- west, and adapt management practices to work The per-plant yield of hybrid hazelnuts is lower in the Midwest. than that of European hazelnuts. However, since the bush-like hybrid hazelnuts are grown in dense 2. Develop the American x European hybrid hazel- hedgerows, per-acre kernel yields of the top se- nuts that already thrive in the Midwest to have lections approach those of the European hazelnut higher yield and improved nut quality. cultivars grown in Oregon. The hedgerow system is modelled after a growing trend in fruit and nut Although the two approaches differ in several im- production to grow larger numbers of smaller trees portant aspects, they should not be viewed as mu- per acre to maximize fruiting wood. Large trees are tually exclusive. This section compares the two ap- relatively inefficient in utilizing available growing proaches via the most important categories. space. Table 7: Comparison of key characteristics from each hazelnut species desired when making hybrid crosses. Hazelnuts in the Midwest European vs. Hybrid Hazelnuts 19
Eastern filbert blight sity of the EFB which exists in the Midwest, com- Eastern filbert blight (EFB; Anisogramma anomala) bined with the inherent limitations of single-gene is a fungus that is lethal to many hazelnut species resistance, reliance on this source of genetic control (below, left). It is native to a large region of North is not ideal for a Midwestern industry99,100. The more American east of the Rocky Mountains, where it is durable multi-gene resistance observed in hybrid nearly exclusively found in association with the tol- hazelnuts likely constitutes a much more appro- erant host American hazelnut85,96,97. In the case of priate mechanism upon which to base large-scale the European hazelnuts that dominate commercial plantings within the natural range of EFB. production, EFB is typically lethal within several Cold hardiness years, and the prevalence of this pathogen in the Within European hazelnuts, the most productive Eastern U.S. has prevented the successful establish- cultivars producing the highest quality nuts are ment of orchards98. typically the least cold hardy, both in terms of the Following the discovery of EFB in commercial or- bushes themselves, but most markedly in the male chards in Oregon’s Willamette Valley in the 1960s, and female floral organs (below, right). This means various forms of cultural and chemical control have that cold winters or spring frosts can result in high been developed. While successful to varying de- crop losses in the following season. Researchers grees, these methods are often time- and cost-pro- at Oregon State University have concluded that if hibitive. The breeding of genetically resistant cul- winter temperatures reach -20°C (a common occur- tivars has, therefore, been pursued, and cultivars rence in the Midwest), 50% death in male flowers have been released which rely on a single resistance will occur across European hazelnuts101. Conversely, gene (the “Gasaway” gene). American x European hybrids were found to have among the most hardy floral buds of any varieties The Gasaway gene confers complete, race-specific tested. resistance to EFB. However, given the greater diver- Eastern filbert blight (left) is a fungus that is lethal to many hazelnut species; Within European hazelnuts, the cultivars producing the highest quality nuts are typically the least cold hardy, most markedly in the male and female floral organs (right). SAVANNA INSTITUTE 20 savannainstitute.org
Midwest Agroforestry Solutions in Illinois is intercropping hazelnuts with currants, rhubarb, and asparagus. Orchard style & harvest methods of all vegetation. This approach runs counter to the European hazelnuts are grown as single-stemmed desires of many Midwestern hazelnut growers, in trees and are primarily harvested with machines by part because it makes orchards very vulnerable to shaking nuts from the trees and picking them up off pests and disease. Replacing an annual monoculture the ground. In contrast, the bush-like growth habit system with a perennial monoculture system would of hybrid hazelnuts, and the fact that they hold ripe certainly improve many of the ecological issues nuts on the plant, instead lend them to a hedgerow currently endemic to Midwestern agriculture, production system with over-the-top harvesting. but it would still miss a substantial portion of the potential ecosystem services offered by agroforestry Because it continues to rain throughout the late and more diverse perennial systems. summer and fall in the Midwest, it is critical that plants hold their ripe nuts within the husks of their In this regard, the hedgerow system utilized for clusters, and not drop them to the orchard floor, as hybrid hazelnuts is predisposed to a more diverse the plants in Oregon do. The current hybrids being agroecosystem with a better environmental foot- grown and evaluated in the Midwest do retain ripe print. The between-row space could be utilized for nuts on the bushes; this has played a significant intercropping and/or grazing livestock, especially role in aiding the harvest of these bushes to date. during the pre-production years. The Main Street This approach further benefits food safety (nuts Project in Minnesota is currently pursuing this ap- never touch the ground) and soil/water quality (no proach by integrating poultry into their hazelnut need to maintain a bare soil understory). production systems, New Forest Farm in Wisconsin has demonstrated the viability of pasturing pigs in There remain unanswered management questions conjunction with hybrid hazelnuts, and Midwest about the hedgerow system such as optimal initial Agroforestry Solutions in Illinois is intercropping planting density, plant size management, and har- hazelnuts with currants, rhubarb, and asparagus vest, but trials have been established to begin an- (above). swering those questions. Limitations of monoculture Modern monoculture tree crop systems are often no more diverse than conventional row crop systems. Hazelnut production in Oregon is no different – orchard floors are chemically kept bare Hazelnuts in the Midwest European vs. Hybrid Hazelnuts 21
History of Work on Hazelnuts in the Midwest KEY POINT Various efforts to develop improved plant material, markets, and farmers are ongoing but nascent and represent significant needs in the Midwest. European germplasm development harsh winters (Ron Revord). While not immediately Very little effort has been devoted to date on devel- ready for use in the Midwestern industry, European oping European hazelnut varieties that can tolerate hazelnuts should be considered as another possible the stresses of the Midwestern climate. One possi- approach in the long-term as breeding continues. ble inspiration comes from Prof. Tom Molnar’s work at Rutgers University. He has amassed a large ger- Hybrid germplasm development mplasm collection of European hazelnuts, includ- In lieu of attempting to breed purely within the ing plants from very northern European latitudes, European hazelnut gene pool, private and public and has successfully used this material to breed Eu- breeders have been making crosses between Euro- ropean hazelnuts that can grow in the mid-Atlan- pean and American hazelnuts for more than 100 tic region. The mid-Atlantic region does also have years, but initial efforts were sporadic, underfund- substantial EFB pressure, suggesting that there may ed, and lacked the longevity necessary for woody be the possibility of mining the existing variation in crop breeding. Carl Weschcke pioneered early work the European hazelnut gene pool to develop culti- in this area from the 1920s to 1950s102,103. In the vars that are not only single-stemmed and produce 1980s, Philip Rutter (Badgersett Research Corpora- high-quality nuts, but can also withstand the dis- tion in Canton, Minnesota) began further advanc- ease pressures and cold of the Midwestern environ- ing this material, for the first time with the concept ment. of growing hazelnuts as a staple crop104. The European hazelnut selections from Rutgers These hybrids have been advanced several have yet to be tested in the Midwest, but should be generations and have been selected for high yielding included in any new variety trials developed in the individuals that retain the favorable abiotic and region. In addition, the “Yamhill” cultivar from Ore- biotic resistances of the American parent. Starting gon State is currently being grown at the University primarily with material from Badgersett, this work of Illinois, and a handful of additional private grow- has additionally been pursued by Mark Shepard ers, to evaluate if it can survive multiple years of (Forest Agriculture Enterprises, Viola, Wisconsin), SAVANNA INSTITUTE 22 savannainstitute.org
Figure 6: Visual comparison of nut characteristics of the top 10 hybrid hazelnut selections of the Upper Midwest Hazelnut Development Initiative (UMHDI). the Arbor Day Foundation in Nebraska, and Martin terial, as long as there are sufficient resources to Hodgson in Ontario, Canada. sustain the program. It was from this material on small farms across the The selection of an array of potential cultivars by region that Jason Fischbach of the University of the UMHDI, the hedgerow production system, and Wisconsin Extension and Lois Braun of the Univer- deployment of hazelnuts in conservation plantings sity of Minnesota requested “top performers” to be are all strategies that originated in communication entered into the first coordinated and replicated with existing growers. Larger buyers have largely variety trials of Midwestern hazelnuts. These trials, been absent from this development not for lack of run by the Upper Midwest Hazelnut Development interest but because there is not yet a large supply Initiative (UMHDI, formed in 2007), have since of nuts for evaluation. identified several top-performing hybrid selections. More than 150 accessions have been evaluated at The initial generations of breeding performed by five different sites, and from these trials the top 10 Badgersett, New Forest Farm, and the UMHDI have genotypes have been selected for propagation and been primarily aimed at obtaining hybrid bushes distribution to growers (Figure 6). that survive in the Midwest while yielding a suffi- cient crop. There is no doubt that there is tremen- These high performing plants, therefore, currently dous genetic gain that has yet to be realized, even represent the most promising genetic basis for a with the breeding populations that currently exist hazelnut industry that has been comprehensively at Badgersett Farm, New Forest Farm, and else- quantified to date. Many of these selections are in where. Limited funding has prevented rigorous, the early stages of tissue culture-based microprop- multi-year evaluation of any crosses made to date, agation to facilitate large-scale plantings. but when clonal material becomes available, nut quality evaluation in collaboration with large buy- The UMHDI has also initiated breeding efforts us- ers will become more feasible. ing these top selections in 2012. They have made crosses between the top hybrid selections and Euro- Furthermore, genetic sequence data from Europe- pean hazelnut parents selected in cooperation with an, American, and the resulting hybrids now makes Prof. Tom Molnar at Rutgers University and Prof. possible the identification of the genetic underpin- Shawn Mehlenbacher at Oregon State University. nings of desirable traits. This should accelerate the With more than 7,500 progeny from these crosses screening of progeny created through hybrid cross- now in the ground, along with 2,000 progeny from es and selection of further improved hybrid materi- novel American x European crosses, the UMHDI is al for testing in variety trials. well-positioned to develop second generation ma- Hazelnuts in the Midwest History of Work on Hazelnuts in the Midwest 23
Plant material development Market development To date, hazelnut plantings in the Midwest have The scope of efforts to develop markets for Mid- consisted entirely of seedling material generated west hazelnuts have been limited to date, but have through semi-controlled crosses at a handful of illuminated a number of potential sources of signif- nurseries. Seedling plants have dominated primar- icant demand and strategies for supplying it. The ily because the major nurseries (Badgersett and energy that has been invested in stimulating market Forest Agriculture Enterprises) have been simulta- demand has not come from the public sector, nor neously involved in breeding and, therefore, have from any existing hazelnut producers or processors. an interest in maximizing diversity on their farms. Rather, individual farmers have driven progress, These operations have focused on controlled cross- and, partially because of this outsider status, mar- es with desirable plants to generate full-sibling and ket development has largely focused on developing half-sibling breeding populations, from which nuts novel end uses for the crop. are harvested for sale to farmers. The most concerted efforts in this regard have gone This seedling approach has generated enormous into the creation of the American Hazelnut Compa- phenotypic variability in the hazelnut plants on ny (AHC), which produces a variety of value-added Midwestern farms. However, basing the entire Mid- products. Their main products are cold-pressed oil western hazelnut industry on seedlings alone is extracted from raw kernels and flour milled from the undesirable for several reasons. First, variation in meal residue following pressing. Currently headed seedling growth habit and maturity date poses sig- by Brad Niemcek and Mike Lilja, the AHC began op- nificant challenges for efficient management and erations in 2014. Officially incorporated as an LLC, harvesting. In addition, seedlings have variable nut it is owned primarily by small farmers and other lo- quality traits (e.g. kernel-to-shell ratio, kernel qual- cal stakeholders who have purchased equity in the ity, and nut size) that make post-harvest processing company. Due to its small scale, it operates more more complicated. Finally, there is concern that es- closely in accordance with the principles of a grow- sential traits, such as EFB resistance, may not ap- er-owned cooperative. Because of the very limited pear uniformly across the seedling material, which existing supply of Midwestern nuts, the AHC cur- could prove disastrous for a grower. rently imports nuts from Oregon, which are blended with the hybrid hazelnuts that are aggregated from The alternative to the seedling model is to adopt across the Midwest. the model of hazelnut growers in Oregon and New Jersey (as well as the majority of large-scale growers of other nut and fruit crops in the U.S.): the culti- vation of clones of high-performing selections. By micro-propagating selected plants through tissue culture, inexpensive and high-throughput produc- tion of genetically identical plants can be achieved. This provides growers with the best possible mate- rial at the lowest cost. However, the clonal approach also has the poten- tial drawback of limiting on-farm genetic diversity, which can leave farmers vulnerable to pest or dis- ease outbreaks. Consequently, the ideal approach to The American Hazelnut Company produces a variety hazelnut plant material in the Midwest will likely of value-added products using a blend of nuts from include some combination of clonal and seedling the Midwest and Oregon. material. For example, growers can focus the ma- A company like the AHC seems critical to the suc- jority of their production on clonal plants with high cess of the Midwestern hazelnut industry. As a cen- yields and top nut quality, while reserving a portion tralized buyer and processor of nuts, they can offer of their farm for seedling plants that improve the critical price guarantees to growers and make pro- size and duration of the pollen cloud, while also in- cessing/marketing far more efficient than growers creasing genetic diversity. attempting to do so alone. At the same time, the SAVANNA INSTITUTE 24 savannainstitute.org
AHC has the opportunity to dramatically scale up Farmer development their operations immediately by simply importing The most significant work to date in educating Mid- more nuts from Oregon, at least until local pro- western farmers about the potential of hazelnuts duction expands. Given the growing demand for has come from the UMHDI’s outreach activities. hazelnuts, it is likely the Oregon-based companies Through their website (midwesthazelnuts.org), re- will begin selling their nuts in snack foods or other search bulletins, grower conferences, and field days, forms in the Midwest regardless, and if the AHC can they have made significant strides toward training begin to occupy that market space, it could great- new growers in effective hazelnut establishment ly benefit Midwestern hazelnut growers in the long and management. They have also published an en- run. terprise budget, which aids farmers’ decision mak- ing when considering a new planting of hazelnuts. However, the AHC has yet to expand beyond niche, local markets. This is partly due to the costs of pro- The main limitations on farmer development have cessing locally-grown hazelnuts, which is currently been (1) the unavailability of improved clonal plant- subsidized by University of Wisconsin Extension ef- ing stock, (2) a lack of consensus on the agronomic forts, but is still cost-prohibitive at any economical- best practices of hazelnut production (e.g. estab- ly significant scale. Another contributing factor is lishment densities, fertilization requirements), (3) limited success in product marketing and a lack of limited knowledge regarding the long-term perfor- volume to service larger players in the food product mance of any specific cultivar, and (4) no consist- industries that might be interested in adding hazel- ent, stable coordinator of such activities. nuts to their products. Novel products like culinary hazelnut oil can currently be produced and distrib- uted, but enhanced customer awareness through targeted marketing is required to sell the oil in suf- ficient volume. Hazelnuts in the Midwest History of Work on Hazelnuts in the Midwest 25
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