Oryx Gas Tanzania Ltd: Growing Tanzanian LPG Market

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Oryx Gas Tanzania Ltd: Growing Tanzanian LPG Market
Oryx Gas Tanzania Ltd:
  Growing Tanzanian LPG Market
ARDA: April 27th 2021
Oryx Gas Tanzania Ltd: Growing Tanzanian LPG Market
Tanzania Macroeconomic Overview

Economic Forecast                                                              Political Environment
                                                                               ● Unitary dominant party presidential constitutional republic
                   units      2018      2019      2020       2021      2022
                                                                               ● CCM (Chama Cha Mapinduzi). Major opposition parties are Chadema,
    GDP                                                                          CUF, ACT.
                     (%)        6.7       6.6       2.5       4,5        6.5
    growth rate                                                                ● Executive power lies with Government. Legislative power is exercised
                                                                                 by Parliament and the Judiciary which is under the Chief Justice
    Population       mn.    57’310    59’091     60’922    62’811    64’758
                                                                                 completes the three pillars of governance in the country.
    Inflation
                     (%)      3.51       3.47       3.6       3,3        3,2   ● Central Bank very stable. Financial institutions are tightly controlled
    rate                                                                         specifically wrt publishing of statistics and key economic indicators.
    Interest                                                                   ● Corruption level: Ranking 99 out of 175 ref to TCI.
                     (%)         7          7         7         5       n.a.
    rate
                  LC per
    FX rate                  2’280      2’311     2’314     2’315       n.a.
                  1 USD

Energy Outlook                                                                 Social and Economic Environment
●    Gas market growing at strong pace: > 10% pa                               ● Tanzania economy focuses on infrastructure projects, energy
●    Country gaseification as energy priority                                    development, mining, agriculture, transport and logistics, tourism
●    Development of both NG and LPG distribution                               ● Covid crisis had an adverse impact for a limited period of time as the
●    Electricity supply: 1.5 K MW to which will be added 2.1 MW hydro with       Government has chosen to favor economy vs. sanitary
     Rufiji Dam in 2022                                                        ● Public debt as % of GDP: 37%
                                                                               ● Foreign currency reserves = 5 months of imports
                                                                               ● Regulatory environment: Currently unpredictable but more stability
                                                                                 expected to come soon
                                                                               ● Social environment qualifies as good, since the economy has been
                                                                                 protected from too much of adversity due to the Covid-19 pandemic.

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Oryx Gas Tanzania Ltd: Growing Tanzanian LPG Market
Oryx Gas Tanzania Ltd: Profile

● Vision
 “Oryx Gas Tanzania Ltd “OGTL” is passionately committed to widely supplying LPG to households and businesses
of Tanzania. As such, OGTL is aiming to contribute to the supply of at least one gas cylinder per Tanzanian dwellings
                                                  over 10 years”

● Mission
       “OGTL is offering LPG which is available, sustainable, affordable, portable and environmental friendly.
                    OGTL makes sure that LPG is delivered daily to its customers for a safe use.
As such, OGTL makes possible to a vast part of the Tanzanian population to access an affordable energy which meets
                                                   their needs.”

● Strategy
                                                     “ Growth capture”
● Summary
  – Incorporated in 2006..
  – 2015 a game changer year with > 70 M USD investment from then in Receiving Terminal, Depots, Filling Plants and
    Cylinders.
  – Tanzania LPG market Attractiveness: Regulation is currently conducive for investment, “Velvet regulation” for now waiting
    for likely formal price regulation and Bulk Procurement System (BPS) to come within 3 years horizon.
  – Market Size of 190KT in 2020;
        • Local Sales = 110KT
        • Exports = 80KT.
  – Current consumption of 1.8 Kg /y/cap. Potential of 7 Kg/y/cap over 10 years

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Oryx Gas Tanzania Ltd: Growing Tanzanian LPG Market
Oryx Gas Tanzania Ltd: Supply Chain

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Oryx Gas Tanzania Ltd: Growing Tanzanian LPG Market
Oryx Gas Tanzania Ltd: Country Coverage

                                          Strong Market leader

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Oryx Gas Tanzania Ltd: Growing Tanzanian LPG Market
Oryx Gas Tanzania Ltd: The Success Story

 –   Material Investment in Infrastructure.
 –   Continuous Investment in Cylinders.
 –   Sustainable Supply with reliable supply chain.
 –   Permanent customers’ education

 Challenges:

 – Illegal Decanting and Refilling.
 – -Limited port infrastructure
 – Cross-filling.

 Way Forward:

 – Continuous Investment in Infrastructure.
 – Drive continuous engagement between the Private and Public sectors to improve level playing field.
 – Consolidating leading position within a growing market

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Thank you

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