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From Technologies to Markets Optical Transceivers for Datacom & Telecom Market 2021 Market and Technology Report 2021 Sample © 2021
TABLE OF CONTENTS Part 1/5 SCOPE OF THE REPORT 7 FIBER-OPTIC COMMUNICATION NETWORK ARCHITECTURES 56 WHAT WE GOT RIGHT AND WRONG 8 • Generic diagram of FOC network METHODOLOGIES & DEFINITIONS 9 o Overview ACRONYM s 10 o Focus on 5G transport network o Focus on data center network COMPANIES CITED IN THIS REPORT 12 o Example of Facebook data center topology ABOUT THE AUTHORS 13 • Network Devices for Telecom and Datacom IMPACT OF COVID-19 14 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 17 FIBER-OPTIC COMMUNICATION APPLICATION TRENDS 62 • Macro-trends FROM TELECOMMUNICATION TO FIBER-OPTIC COMMUNICATION 42 o Global network IP traffic growth • Historical perspective o Global interconnection bandwidth • Introduction to telecommunication (TELECOM) o Growth rate for industries across regions • Introduction to data communication (DATACOM) o Drivers • Data Communication (DATACOM) vs. Telecommunication (TELECOM) • Datacom vs. Telecom • Fiber-Optic Communication (FOC) • Trends in data center o Overview o Data traffic o Principle o The case of video o Optical transmitter/receiver o Network architecture o Optical transceiver o Challenges o Benefits over metallic-based communication o Highlights o Classification of technologies Optical Transceivers for Datacom & Telecom Market 2021 | Sample | www.yole.fr | ©2021 2
TABLE OF CONTENTS Part 2/5 FIBER-OPTIC COMMUNICATION APPLICATION TRENDS 62 o Key parameters • Global IP traffic forecast o Notations & Terminology • Technical challenges - Shannon Limit • Introduction o Background • Form factor – Overview o Handling it • Form factor – 10G-300G OPTICAL TRANSCEIVER MARKET FORECAST 79 • Form factor – 400G-1.6T • Optical transceiver revenue growth forecast by segment (2020 vs. 2026) • Form factor – Trends • OT revenue growth forecast by Datacom applications (2020 vs. 2026) • PMDs for 100G OT and above - Overview • OT revenue growth forecast by Telecom applications (2020 vs. 2026) • PMDs for 100G OT and above - Details • TOTAL OT o Form factors o Shipment forecast by segment (2017-2026) • TELECOM - OT type by network connection o Revenue forecast by segment (2017-2026) • DATACOM - OT type by network connection • DATACOM OT • Mapping by application | data rate | reach o Shipment forecast (2017-2026) o Segmentation o Revenue forecast (2017-2026) • Overview o ASP forecast (2017-2026) • Multi-Mode vs. Single-Mode OT o Penetration rate of optical transceiver modules split by data rates • MM and SM vs. Coherent technology o 100GbE module broken down by transmission reach o Key trends – Evolution from FPP to CPO o DATACOM OT – Multi-mode vs. Single mode o Key trends – Advanced photonic integration • TELECOM OT OPTICAL TRANSCEIVER APPLICATIONS 124 o Shipments forecast (2017-2026) • DATACOM trends o Revenue forecast (2017-2026) o Preview o ASP forecast (2017-2026) o Focus on intra-rack interconnection • Conclusion o Focus on inter-rack interconnection OPTICAL TRANSCEIVER INTRODUCTION 99 o Focus on inter-DC interconnection • Technology & Trends o Form factors - Interfaces used in data centers vs. Data rates of OT o Introduction o Global trends - QSFP-DD & OSFP (400G & 200G) o Role of transceiver in networking o Global trends - QSFP56 & QSFP28 (200G & 100G) o Key technologies o Status of migration to higher speed Optical Transceivers for Datacom & Telecom Market 2021 | Sample | www.yole.fr | ©2021 3
TABLE OF CONTENTS Part 3/5 OPTICAL TRANSCEIVER APPLICATIONS 133 • Faceplate Pluggable Optics – What next? 167 • TELECOM trends o Pluggable optics evolution o Focus on Metro Core / Metro Access interconnection • Moving from copper to the optics o Focus on 5G and Wireless Optical Transmission interconnection • Packaging vs. Power dissipation vs. BW density o Global trends - SFP28/QSFP28/QSFP56 • Optical Interconnect Packaging o Global trends – CFP/CFP2/CFP4 o Beyond 800G o Global trends – CFP-DCO and -ACO (coherent vs. direct detect) o Challenges: Power o Status of migration to higher speed o Challenges: Power – How to minimizing o Faceplate-pluggable model (FPP) OPTICAL TRANSCEIVER TRENDS 147 • Preview • 400G and beyond • Advantages o Trends heading to 400G • Roadmap o Drivers & Benefits o Co-Packaged Optics (CPO) o Key applications • Preview o New interface types and form factors to be deployed • Evolution from FPP to CPO o DATACOM - 400G applications • Beyond pluggable optics - Cross-sections co-packaging approaches o DATACOM - 400G compatibility with legacy systems o Optics evolution – Roadmap o DATACOM - Pluggable coherent ZR/ZR+ o Roadmap – switch ASIC / Optical module / Faceplate density - Comparison • Introduction • Switch ASIC trends 181 • Use cases o Switch ASIC evolution • Coherent optical transmission • Overview • Form factors • Roadmap • Cost effective architecture • Growth over time • Technology outcomes • Future • Toward Silicon Photonics o PAM4 technology impact on switch chip technology o TELECOM - 400G applications Optical Transceivers for Datacom & Telecom Market 2021 | Sample | www.yole.fr | ©2021 4
TABLE OF CONTENTS Part 4/5 Optical Transceiver Technology – o Wavelength and material choice Key Parameters in Fiber-Optic Communication 187 • Optical wavelength bands o Integration with InP based mixers (for coherent detection) • Bandwidth & Distance Key parts of optical transceiver: 400G QSFP-DD DR4 215 • Modulation • Preview • Intensity modulation vs. Coherent modulation • TOSA • Pulsed Code Modulation - PAM4 • Toward higher throughput • TOSA – InP Lasers • Parallelization • TOSA – Fiber optic coupler • Multiplexing - TDM & WDM • Laser driver Key components 195 • ROSA • Introduction • Electronic Board • Cost estimate • Laser diode o in datacom & telecom Key parts of optical transceiver: 100G QSFP28 CWDM 228 o EELs vs. VCSELs – Attributes and parameters • Preview o EEL – Comparison of DML and EML • TOSA o Comparison of EEL (DFB & FP) and VCSEL • TOSA – InP Lasers and Photodiodes o Wavelength and material choice • TOSA – Spatial Multiplexer and Fiber Optic Coupler o Technology platform/type vs. Reach distance o Use case example - 100G data center • TOSA – Fiber Optic Coupler o Integration with InP optical modulator (for coherent emission) • ROSA o Silicon Photonic integrated circuits for CPO • Electronic board • Photodiode • Cost estimate o Device type overview o Photodetection principle o Comparison of photodetectors Optical Transceivers for Datacom & Telecom Market 2021 | Sample | www.yole.fr | ©2021 5
TABLE OF CONTENTS Part 5/5 OPTICAL TRANSCEIVER INDUSTRY 239 o SiPh platform • Introduction • Strategy • Mapping of key players (at transceiver module level) o Positioning and level of integration of key OT players • Market shares o Disaggregation vs. Vertical integration o 2018-2020 evolution - DATACOM & TELECOM o Product portfolio of key suppliers o 2018-2020 evolution - DATACOM • Competition o 2018-2020 evolution - TELECOM o Key competitive factors • 2018-2020 revenue growth/decline for OT suppliers o Small players vs. Large players • 2021 revenues trends • Cost aspects - Multi-mode vs. Single-mode transceivers 1/2 • Technology platform - Indium Phosphide (InP) vs. Silicon Photonics (SiPh) • Silicon Photonic • Recent Mergers & Acquisitions (M&A) o Overview o Transceivers suppliers o Recent bidding war in photonics market o Manufacturing aspects o Coherent opted for II-VI • Focus on China o InP platform - II-VI acquired Finisar o Historical perspective o InP - Lumentum acquired Oclaro o InP - Others o Recent trends o Silicon Photonics - Acquisitions by Cisco • Global trends o Silicon Photonics – Others • The U.S.-China relationship in the photonics industry • Outlook • U.S. vs. CHINA – Optical transceiver market • How could decoupling China from the U.S impact the laser and photonics • Supply chain industry? o Overview o InP platform - The different models in DATACOM • Conclusion o InP platform - The different models in TELECOM Optical Transceivers for Datacom & Telecom Market 2021 | Sample | www.yole.fr | ©2021 6
SCOPE OF THE REPORT In Scope Out of Scope Optical Optical Communication Communication Datacom Datacom Optical Optical Fibers, Transceivers Connectors, • Technology Equipment, • Industry Yours needs are • Market Services out of scope of this report? Telecom Telecom Contact us for a custom study: Optical Transceivers for Datacom & Telecom Market 2021 | Sample | www.yole.fr | ©2021 7
WHAT WE GOT RIGHT AND WRONG ✓ ✗ • Globally we covered all trends in Datacom and Telecom • In the first version of the OT report 2020 we have identified the key • We have achieved to link material platforms with different global players. The high number of players shows how fragmented the types of optical modules – well structured in the report. optical modules industry is. Despite the effort to find all top players on the market in 2020, we have additionally recognized important players in 2021, which mostly operate at Chinese market. • Hisense Broadband, Broadex, Luxshare, CIGtech, Crealights • To avoid changing the market model significantly the revenues top players for 2018 and 2019 were adjusted to the overall revenue • The OT market size for 2019 was estimated based on quaternal and annual results of key players. In 2020, when we were collecting data for 2019, some of the players’ results had not been completely available. For this reason, some of our estimates were inaccurate. • As a result, the overall impact on market figures was negligible. The market size for 2018 and 2019 have slightly increased - less than 1%. The market share has also been minimally impacted (~1%). As the new key Chinese players have been recognized the ranking was updated accordingly. Optical Transceivers for Datacom & Telecom Market 2021 | Sample | www.yole.fr | ©2021 8
METHODOLOGIES & DEFINITIONS Yole’s market forecast model is based on the matching of several sources: Preexisting information Market Volume (in M units) ASP (in $) Revenue (in $M) Information Aggregation Optical Transceivers for Datacom & Telecom Market 2021 | Sample | www.yole.fr | ©2021 9
ACRONYMS 1/2 ADC Analog-to-Digital Converter EPON Ethernet Passive Optical Network AOC Active Optical Cable ER Extended Reach BER Bit Error Rate ER Extinction Ratio BIDI Bi-directional eSR Extended Short Reach BOA Board-mounted Optical Assembly eSWDM extended SDWM CATV Cable TV (Transport) FC Fiber Channel (protocol) CD Chromatic Dispersion FCoE Fiber Channel over Ethernet (protocol) CFP Optical Transceiver Form Factor Used For 40G And 100G FDR Fourteen Data Rate CML Chirp Managed Laser (Transmitter) FEC Forward Error Correction CMOS Complementary-metal-oxide-semiconductor FP Fabry-Perot (laser) CPO Co-packaged Optics FPP Faceplate Pluggable Optics CPRI Common Public Radio Interface (Protocol) FTTx Fiber to the “x” (edge, home, etc.) CWDM Coarse Wavelength Division Multiplexing Gb/s Giga bits per second CXP Optical Transceiver Form Factor With 12 Electrical Channels, GBIC Gigabit Interface Converter (optical transceiver) each at 10G GHz Gigahertz DACs Digital-to-analog Converters GPON Gigabit Passive Optical Network DBR Distributed Bragg Reflector (Laser) IC Integrated Circuit (aka “chip”) DFB Distributed Feedback (Laser) InP Indium-Phosphide DPSK Differential Phase-shift Keying LAN Local Area Network DQPSK Differential Quadrature Phase-shift Keying LASER Light Amplification by Simulated Emission of Radiation DSP Digital Signal Processing LCoS Liquid Crystal on Silicon DWDM Dense Wavelength Division Multiplexing LIDAR Light Detection and Ranging ECPRI Enhanced CPRI (Protocol) LR Long Reach ECWDM Extended CWDM LW Long Wavelength EDFA Erbium-doped Fiber Amplifier EDR Enhanced Data Rate In fiber-optic communication technology there are many terms that may EMI Electromagnetic Interference need explanation. Please refer to the glossary in the appendix. EML Electro-absorption Modulated Laser Optical Transceivers for Datacom & Telecom Market 2021 | Sample | www.yole.fr | ©2021 10
ACRONYMS 2/2 MLSE Maximum Likely Sequence Estimator ROSA Receive Optical Subassembly MMF Multimode Fiber RU Rack Unit MPO Multi-fiber Push On (Connector) SAS Serial Attached SCSI MSA Multi-source Agreement SDM Space-division Multiplexing MSO Multi System Operator (Cable Operators) SFF Small Form-factor (Optical Transceiver) μP Micro Processor SFP Small Form-factor Pluggable (Optical Transceiver) OADM Optical Add/Drop Multiplexer SFP+ Small Form-factor Pluggable Plus (Optical Transceiver Capable Of 10G) OCM Optical Channel Monitor SMF Single Mode Fiber OMA Optical Modulation Amplitude SONET/SDH Synchronous Optical Networking/Synchronous Digital Hierarchy OSA Optical Subassembly (Protocols) OSNR Optical Signal To Noise Ratio SR Short Reach OT Optical Transceiver SW Short Wavelength OTN Optical Transport Network SWDM Shortwave Wavelength Division Multiplexing PAM Pulse Amplitude Modulation T2DOC Transceiver To Transceiver Digital Optical Communication PCI Peripheral Component Interconnect (Protocol) TIA Trans Impedance Amplifier PCIe PCI Express (Protocol) TOSA Transmit Optical Subassembly PDM Polarization Division Multiplexing WSS Wavelength Selective Switch PMD Physical medium dependent VCSEL Vertical Cavity Surface Emitting Laser PMD Polarization-mode Dispersion VOA Variable Optical Attenuator PON Passive Optical Network VSR Very Short Reach PSM Parallel Single Mode XFP 10G Pluggable Form Factor (Optical Transceiver) QDR Quad Data Rate QSFP+ Quad Small Form-factor Pluggable Plus (Optical Transceiver) In fiber-optic communication technology there are many terms QSFP-DD QSFP Double-density that may need explanation. Please refer to the glossary in the RF Radio Frequency (Over Fiber) appendix. ROADM Reconfigurable Optical Add/Drop Multiplexer RoHS Restriction of Hazardous Substances Optical Transceivers for Datacom & Telecom Market 2021 | Sample | www.yole.fr | ©2021 11
COMPANIES CITED IN THIS REPORT Acacia Communication, Accelink, Adtran, ADVA, Alibaba, Amazon Web Services, Apple, Applied Optoelectronics Inc (AOI), Arista, ATOP, AZ by CyrusOne, Baidu, Broadcom, Champion ONE, Ciena (Cyan), Cisco, ColorChip, Dell, E.C.I. Networks, Ekinops, Emcore, Eoptolink, Facebook, Fiberhome, Finisar (now II-VI), Foxconn Interconnect Technology (FOIT), Fujitsu Networks, Fujitsu Optical Components, Gigalight, Google, HG Genuine Optics, Hisense Broadband, Huawei, HUBER+SUHNER Cube Optics AG, IBM+Softlayer Cloud Services , II-VI, Infinera (Coriant, Transmode), InnoLight, Inphi, Intel, IPG Photonics (Menara Network), J.P. Morgan, Juniper Networks, Lumentum, MACOM, Mellanox, Microsoft, NEC, NeoPhotonics, Nokia (Alcatel Lucent), NTT Electronics, Oclaro, OE Solutions, Oplink (MOLEX), Padtec, Rackspace , Ranovus, Renesas (Integrated Device Technology), Rockley Photonics, Sicoya, Skorpios Technologies, Source Photonics, ST, Sumitomo, Tencent,Verizon , Xtera,Yahoo, ZTE, and more. Optical Transceivers for Datacom & Telecom Market 2021 | Sample | www.yole.fr | ©2021 12
ABOUT THE AUTHORS Biographies & contacts Dr. Martin VALLO, Market & Technology Analyst Dr Martin Vallo is a Technology & Market Analyst specializing in solid-state lighting technologies within the Photonics, Sensing & Display division at Yole Développement (Yole). With 9 years’ experience in semiconductor technology, Martin is currently involved in the development of technology & market reports as well as the production of custom consulting projects at Yole. Prior to his work at Yole, Dr Vallo worked at CEA (Grenoble, France), with a mission focused on the epitaxial growth of InGaN/GaN core-shell nanowire LEDs by MOCVD and their characterization for highly flexible photonic devices. Martin graduated from Academy of Sciences, Institute of Electrical Engineering (Slovakia) with an engineering degree in III-nitride semiconductors. Contact: martin.vallo@yole.fr Pars Mukish, Business Unit Manager Pars Mukish holds a Master’s in Materials Science and Polymers from ITECH in France and a Master’s in Innovation and Technology Management from EM Lyon, also in France. He is a Business Unit Manager at Yole Développement, the ‘More than Moore’ market research and strategy consulting company, as senior market and technology analyst in the fields of LED, OLED, lighting technologies, and compound semiconductors. He performs technical, economic, and marketing analyses. In 2015, Pars was named business unit manager for emerging sapphire, LED/OLED, and display/lighting activities. Previously, he worked as marketing analyst and techno-economic analyst at CEA, a French research center for several years. Contact: pars.mukish@yole.fr Dr. Eric Mounier, Fellow Analyst With more than 25+ years of experience within the semiconductor industry, Eric Mounier, PhD. is Fellow Analyst at Yole Développement (Yole). Eric is daily providing deep insights into current and future semiconductor markets and innovative technologies such as Si photonics, MEMS, quantum computing and new type of sensors. Based on a relevant methodology expertise and strong technological background, he is closely working with the overall teams at Yole to point out disruptive technologies and analyze business opportunities. Eric Mounier has a Semiconductor Engineering Degree and a Ph.-D in Optoelectronics from the National Polytechnic Institute of Grenoble (France). Contact: eric.mounier@yole.fr Optical Transceivers for Datacom & Telecom Market 2021 | Sample | www.yole.fr | ©2021 13
Impact of Recent Macroeconomic Trends – the COVID-19 Pandemic
IMPACT OF COVID-19 New types of bandwidth demand New behavior emerging out of the COVID-19 crisis driving new types of bandwidth demand. Courtesy of Inphi and other industrials Optical Transceivers for Datacom & Telecom Market 2021 | Sample | www.yole.fr | ©2021 15
IMPACT OF COVID-19 Global economic downturns (also related to COVID-19) • The global economy have higher level of uncertainty. • It is difficult to estimate growth or contraction in various parts, sectors, and regions of the economy, including optical communications, semiconductor, and other markets. • Economic downturns is related to decreases in the rate of consumption or use of products along the supply chain. Such conditions could have adverse effect on demand for products integrators as well as on demand for suppliers’ products. • Adverse changes that may affect operating results: • disruption in the credit and financial markets in major markets • adverse effects of slowdowns in the U.S., European, or Chinese economies, • reductions or limited growth in consumer spending or consumer credit • global trade tariffs • Furthermore, adverse changes may negatively affect sales of products, commodity prices, the financing availability, and costs associated with manufacturing and distributing products. Optical Transceivers for Datacom & Telecom Market 2021 | Sample | www.yole.fr | ©2021 16
FIBER-OPTIC COMMUNICATION APPLICATION TRENDS Macro-trends – Global network IP traffic growth • Each year, Global device and connection growth various new (Market share 2018 → 2023) 2023 devices with Other (2% → 4%) increased Tablets (4%→3%) capabilities and PCs (7%→4%) 1.1B intelligence are TVs (including game consoles) (13%→11%) introduced and The trend is to adopted in the Non-Smartphones (14%→5%) 1.6B accelerate the market. Smartphones (27%→23%) 0.8B increase in the Machine-to-Machine (M2M) (33%→50%) • The average average number number of 2018 of devices and devices and 0.4B 3.2B connections per connections per 1.2B household and capita will grow 0.7B 14.7B per capita. from 2.4 in 2018 to 3.6 by 2023 2.7B 1.4B 6.7B 2.4B 4.8B ~29.3B 6.1B CAGR 10% ~18.4B (Source: Yole & Cisco Annual Internet Report) Optical Transceivers for Datacom & Telecom Market 2021 | Sample | www.yole.fr | ©2021 17
FIBER-OPTIC COMMUNICATION APPLICATION TRENDS Macro-trends – Drivers Data-centric applications Emerging applications Cloud services Industrial automation traffic Global traffic Video streaming at higher-definition (4k or 8k) growth is mainly Connected Automated logistics AR/VR car & manufaturing driven by high- resolution video streaming Video data rates of today and the future services. Global internet video traffic UHD Video (3%→22%) HD Video (46%→57%) SD Video (50%→21%) Source: Cisco Annual Internet Report Source: Cisco Annual Internet Report Optical Transceivers for Datacom & Telecom Market 2021 | Sample | www.yole.fr | ©2021 18
OPTICAL TRANSCEIVER MARKET Optical transceiver revenue growth forecast by segment (2020 vs. 2026) 2026 Datacom $15.1B $20.9B Telecom CAGR 19% 2020 $9.6B $5.3B $5.8B CAGR 5% $4.3B CAGR 2020-2026: 14% Optical Transceivers for Datacom & Telecom Market 2021 | Sample | www.yole.fr | ©2021 19
OPTICAL TRANSCEIVER MARKET DATACOM OT shipment forecast (2017-2026) 1/2 • The vast volume of optical transceivers for data centers depends on … High demand continues: The OT • Xx shipments in datacom • Xx segment is expected to grow from xx • xx Munits in 2020 to xx Munits in 2026. CAGR2020-2026 = xx%. Optical Transceivers for Datacom & Telecom Market 2021 | Sample | www.yole.fr | ©2021 20
OPTICAL TRANSCEIVER MARKET TELECOM OT shipment forecast (2017-2026) 1/2 • xx • Xx The total shipments of • Xx OT for telecom is highly • xx impacted by deployment of wireless OTs over the period. Optical Transceivers for Datacom & Telecom Market 2021 | Sample | www.yole.fr | ©2021 21
OPTICAL TRANSCEIVER INTRODUCTION – TECHNOLOGY & TRENDS Notations & Terminology – PMDs for 100G OT and above – Overview ER4 ER4 LR4 LR8 LR4 LR8 FR4 FR8 FR4 xx xx DR4 PSM4 DR4 PSM CWDM4/CLR4 CWDM8 SR4 AOC SR4 AOC xx xx AOC DAC AOC DAC AOC DAC Source: Gigalight 100G 200G 400G 800G PMD = Physical medium dependent Optical Transceivers for Datacom & Telecom Market 2021 | Sample | www.yole.fr | ©2021 22
OPTICAL TRANSCEIVER INTRODUCTION – TECHNOLOGY & TRENDS Form factors – Mapping by application | data rate | reach Applications • Use cases for different optical modules. Datacom Telecom • Different form factors and data rates can be used for other applications. • Typical example: 100G optical transceiver has wide range of form
OPTICAL TRANSCEIVER INTRODUCTION – TECHNOLOGY & TRENDS Key trends – Evolution from FPP to CPO 1/2 2019 2023/2024 12.8 Tbps 51.2 Tbps Evolution toward CPO assembly with pluggable ELS modules on the switch PCBA Source: Cisco 32x 400G QSFP-DD or OSFP 8x optical modules for CPO External Laser Source Optical (ELS) ↓ Tx module Evolution toward CPO Rx optical modules QSFP-DD W: 18.35 mm, L: 89.4 mm and T: 8.5 mm CPO optical module W: ~20 mm, L: ~60 mm OSFP W: 22.58 mm, L: 107.8 mm and T: 13.0 mm The standard organizations do not intend to define a fixed form factor FPP – Faceplate-pluggable Optics for the ELS module. CPO – Co-Packaged Optics Optical Transceivers for Datacom & Telecom Market 2021 | Sample | www.yole.fr | ©2021 24
OPTICAL TRANSCEIVER APPLICATIONS – DATACOM TRENDS Status of migration to higher speed Intra-rack
KEY PARTS OF OPTICAL TRANSCEIVER – 100G QSFP28 CWDM Courtesy of Preview Module housing ROSA Electronic board TOSA Optical transceiver Courtesy of System Plus Consulting Optical Transceivers for Datacom & Telecom Market 2021 | Sample | www.yole.fr | ©2021 26
KEY PARTS OF OPTICAL TRANSCEIVER – 100G QSFP28 CWDM Courtesy of Cost estimate (3/3) Transceiver module Total Material Cost TOSA ROSA $xx $xx $xx $x Optical Transceivers for Datacom & Telecom Market 2021 | Sample | www.yole.fr | ©2021 27
OPTICAL TRANSCEIVER KEY COMPONENTS Laser diode – EELs vs. VCSELs – Attributes and parameters – 1/2 EEL VCSEL Primarily GaAs devices Any material systems 650nm low yield Wavelength 650, 780, 850, 1300, 1500nm 850nm high yield low to moderate yield 940nm high yield 1300nm very low yield Speed Xx Xx Optical beam Xx Xx Electrical to optical power Xx Xx conversion Modal characteristics Xx Xx Processing xx xx Optical Transceivers for Datacom & Telecom Market 2021 | Sample | www.yole.fr | ©2021 28
OPTICAL TRANSCEIVER KEY COMPONENTS Laser diode - Comparison of EEL (DFB & FP) and VCSEL Transmission Speed DFB FP VCSEL xx xx xx xx xx Mbps Mbps Gbps Gbps Gbps ++ + – Different laser 850 nm LED PAROLI* xx m diode AlGaAs/AlAs Multi Mode 850 nm VCSEL Multi Mode Transmission Distance InGaAsP/InP InGaAsP/InGaP InGaAsN/GaAs technologies Multi Mode Multiple xx m Fibers are present in – + ++ optical communicatio xx km – – ++ 1.3 µm Fabry-Pérot 1.55 µm n sector DFB Single Mode 1.3 µm DFB Single Mode depending on ++ – + xx km transmission Single Mode Externally Modulated distance and ++ ++ – xx km speed. *PAROLI = Parallel optical link Optical Transceivers for Datacom & Telecom Market 2021 | Sample | www.yole.fr | ©2021 29
OPTICAL TRANSCEIVER INDUSTRY Market shares - 2018-2020 evolution - DATACOM & TELECOM 1/3 2018 2019 2020 Total Total Total 2018: 2019: 2020: $xB $xB $xB +1.6% +xx% • Strong growth of Chinese players - • Finisar is wholly owned by II-VI – combined revenue. • II-VI – increased share. particularly InnoLight. • Lumentum strengthened after the acquisition of • Broadcom has reacquired the optical transceiver and • Lumentum completed acquisition of Oclaro and returned to 2nd position. technology assets Avago Technologies sold to Oclaro in the end of third quarter. • Lower demand from major cloud companies - Foxconn Interconnect Technology InnoLight impacted. Optical Transceivers for Datacom & Telecom Market 2021 | Sample | www.yole.fr | ©2021 30
OPTICAL TRANSCEIVER INDUSTRY 2017-2020 revenue growth/decline for OT suppliers 1/3 The US – China In this analysis, it is important trade war and to understand that all revenues the new small have been converted to USD vendors that have (for comparison) and fiscal emerged on the years of all players have been market recently unified to calendar year. As a result the revenues caused decline in presented are dependent on some of the annual exchange rate and TOP15 players’ unified fiscal years. revenues. Discontinued Optical Transceivers for Datacom & Telecom Market 2021 | Sample | www.yole.fr | ©2021 31
OPTICAL TRANSCEIVER INDUSTRY Strategy - Product portfolio of key suppliers DATACOM TELECOM Fibre SONET/ CWDM/ 5G & Bidi High Speed Ethernet Infiniband AOCs Coherent channel SDH DWDM Wireless Access Components II-VI (+Finisar) Different Lumentum (Oclaro) strategies is Foxconn Interconnect Technology (FIT) also projected HG Genuine Optics into the Accelink product Sumitomo portfolio and InnoLight segment Source Photonics interest. Cisco (Acacia) Fujitsu Optical components MOLEX (Oplink) NeoPhotonics Macom HUBER+SUHNER Cube Optics AG NTT Electronics In portfolio Not in portfolio Optical Transceivers for Datacom & Telecom Market 2021 | Sample | www.yole.fr | ©2021 32
OPTICAL TRANSCEIVER INDUSTRY Supply chain - InP platform - The different models in DATACOM InP substrate Epitaxy Device processing Transceiver Equipment Operator Model I And more… Model II And more… Model III And more… Model IV And more… And more… Model V And more… • Non-exhaustive list, • No direct link between companies • Infinera has its InP fab, Huawei is building an InP fab in Wuhan China. • Silicon photonic uses InP laser. Intel has internal Epi wafer development capability. Optical Transceivers for Datacom & Telecom Market 2021 | Sample | www.yole.fr | ©2021 33
U.S. VS. CHINA – OPTICAL TRANSCEIVER MARKET U.S. vs. CHINA – Optical transceiver market • Chinese DC operators heavily invested into the local optics products which leads to steep growth of Chinese transceiver market. CAGR2017-2020 = 9% TOTAL MARKET • China wants to maintain its economic growth by ensuring a secure and controllable technology supply chain as well as building domestic technology sectors to be self-sufficient in those U.S. Optical parts impacted by tariffs. CAGR2017-2020 =1% transceivers • American companies cannot sell in industry in the China or become targets of consumer boycotts. The loss of revenue for U.S. has grown American photonic companies will far last three years exceed that of their Chinese only by 1% counterparts. CAGR2017-2020 = 24% while in china by 24%. U.S. players Chinese players Value • Optics & Electronics component designers • High volume deployment and manufacturers • Cost drivers • Patent portfolio • High domestic demand • Standard leaders Characteristic Looking at other markets to levarage know-how Mostly focus on Datacom/Telecom and material platforms foundries → LiDAR for markets automotive, 3D sensing for consumer Optical Transceivers for Datacom & Telecom Market 2021 | Sample | www.yole.fr | ©2021 34
YOLE GROUP OF COMPANIES RELATED ANALYSES Yole Développement Silicon Photonics 2021 Edge Emitting Lasers – Technology VCSEL - Technology and and Market Trends 2021 Market Trends 2021 Contact our Sales Team for more information InP Wafer and Epiwafer Market GaAs Wafer and Epiwafer Market: RF, Photonics, LED, Display and PV – Photonic and RF Applications Applications 2020 Optical Transceivers for Datacom & Telecom Market 2021 | Sample | www.yole.fr | ©2021 35
YOLE GROUP OF COMPANIES RELATED ANALYSES System Plus Consulting InnoLight’s 400G QSFP-DD Intel Silicon Photonic 100G Optical Transceiver PSM4 QFSP28 Transceiver Contact our Sales Team for more information Intel Silicon Photonic 100G CWDM4 QFSP28 Transceiver Optical Transceivers for Datacom & Telecom Market 2021 | Sample | www.yole.fr | ©2021 36
HOW TO USE OUR DATA? The Yole Group of Companies, including Yole Développement, System Plus Consulting, Knowmade and PISEO, are pleased to provide you a glimpse of our accumulated knowledge. Feel free to share our data with your own network, within your presentations, press releases, dedicated articles and more. But before that, contact our Public Relations department to make sure you get up-to-date, licensed materials. We will be more than happy to give you our latest results and appropriate formats of our approved content. Your contact: Sandrine Leroy, Dir. Public Relations Email: leroy@yole.fr Optical Transceivers for Datacom & Telecom Market 2021 | Sample | www.yole.fr | ©2021 37
CONTACTS REPORTS, MONITORS & TRACKS Western US & Canada DACH (North Germany, Austria, Switzerland) Korea Steve Laferriere - steve.laferriere@yole.fr Neha CHAUDHURY - neha.chaudhury@yole.fr Peter Ok - peter.ok@yole.fr + 1 310 600 8267 +49 172 97 47 248 +82 10 4089 0233 Eastern US & Canada South Germany & France Japan Chris Youman - chris.youman@yole.fr Martine Komono - martine.komono@yole.fr Miho Ohtake - miho.ohtake@yole.fr +1 919 607 9839 +49 173 69 43 31 +81 34 4059 204 Europe and RoW India and RoA Japan and Singapore Lizzie Levenez - lizzie.levenez@yole.fr Takashi Onozawa - takashi.onozawa@yole.fr Itsuyo Oshiba - itsuyo.oshiba@yole.fr +49 15 123 544 182 +81 80 4371 4887 +81 80 3577 3042 Benelux, UK & Spain Greater China Japan Marine Wybranietz - marine.wybranietz@yole.fr Mavis Wang - mavis.wang@yole.fr Toru Hosaka – toru.hosaka@yole.fr +49 69 96 21 76 78 +886 979 336 809 +86 136 6156 6824 +81 90 1775 3866 FINANCIAL SERVICES CUSTOM PROJECT SERVICES GENERAL › Jean-Christophe Eloy - eloy@yole.fr › Jérome Azémar, Yole Développement - › Jean-Christophe Eloy, Marketing & Communication +33 4 72 83 01 80 jerome.azemar@yole.fr - +33 6 27 68 69 33 eloy@yole.fr - +33 472 83 01 01 › Sandrine Leroy, Public Relations › Ivan Donaldson - ivan.donaldson@yole.fr › Julie Coulon, System Plus Consulting - sandrine.leroy@yole.fr - +33 4 72 83 01 89 +1 208 850 3914 jcoulon@systemplus.fr - +33 2 72 17 89 85 › General inquiries: info@yole.fr - +33 4 72 83 01 80 Follow us on Optical Transceivers for Datacom & Telecom AboutMarket 2021 | Sample | |www.yole.fr Yole Développement www.yole.fr| |©2021 ©2020 38
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