NIMBLE WISDOM SA QUARTERLY - Q1 2021 - Sesfikile Capital
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2 Sesfikile Capital QUARTERLY REVIEW SECTOR PERFORMANCE Listed property set a solid foundation for the year as the ALPI and SAPY delivered returns of 8.1% and 6.4% respectively for the first quarter of 2021. Property comfortably outpaced bonds, which were negative for the period (-6.7%). Despite generally having a reasonably strong correlation to bonds in the past, a breakdown in the relationship between the two asset classes has seen property still lag bond returns over the past 18 months. The local long bond spiked from 9.06% to 9.83% driven almost exclusively by the weakness in global bond markets and the US in particular which saw yields almost double (albeit from a low base) from 0.92% to 1.75% as the expectations of both higher GDP and inflation were buoyed by the imminent reopening. Equities (+13.1%) followed the risk-on reopening trade higher, despite a bit of cooling off in the gold stocks. January got off to a slow start (-3.0%) due to both profit taking after a strong fourth quarter of 2020 and fresh uncertainty as we found ourselves in the midst of the second wave of the pandemic. Renewed optimism in global growth and a sharp decline in local Covid-19 cases spurred the sector on in both February and March. Results reported by REITs reflected a weak operating environment, but also a situation where management teams have worked tirelessly in securing their balance sheets and fighting tooth and nail for every cent. Companies on a whole, surpassed the underwhelming expectations. It has not been a case of strong fundamentals pushing the market, but rather an appreciation that the market was overly pessimistic which resulted in the value gap narrowing. Equities (+13.1%) followed the risk-on reopening trade higher with a particularly strong showing by the retailers. TABLE 01 ASSET CLASS TOTAL RETURN TO MARCH 2021 Jan Feb Mar Q1 / YTD SA Listed Property Index -3.2% 8.6% 1.2% 6.4% All Property Index -3.0% 9.7% 1.5% 8.1% Equites 5.2% 5.9% 1.6% 13.1% Bonds 0.7% 0.1% -2.5% -1.7% Cash 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.9% Source: Bloomberg Nimble Wisdom SA Quarterly Q1 2021 3 STOCK PERFORMANCE GRAPH 01 Q1/YTD:2021 STOCK/SECTOR TOTAL RETURN DISTRIBUTION (%) Source: Bloomberg Stock performances generally reflected a risk-on outlook, but the trend was not quite as pronounced as in recent quarters. Texton (+65.3%) and RDI REIT (+37.0%) topped the list with the latter receiving an offer 30% above the price it was trading at when the announcement was made, although still a 15% discount to its latest EPRA NAV; while the former has seen prominent individuals pick up material stakes of the company with an expectation that it will be taken private. Emira’s (+35.9%) results presented no surprises, with the only potential catalyst being the pickup in comparable US retail stock performances as compared to their investment in Ranier, which comprises roughly 12% of their total assets. The bounce was more likely due to a ‘return-to-mean’ in the rating of the stock as it relatively underperformed in the latter months of 2020. Dipula B (+35.5%), admittedly very illiquid, rallied on the back of the cautionary held over the company, with the prospect of corporate action and the ability of B-share to control the outcome. And lastly Hammerson (+34.4%) continued its rally through year-end despite a barrage of negative news, including further lockdowns in France and immense pressure on rentals. Hammerson appears to be perfectly placed for the risk on trade, like so many of the shopping mall operating peers who have rallied aggressively off their lows as economies threaten to reopen. Despite the prevailing cautionary hanging over the company and the Dipula B-share being so strong, Dipula A (-11.2%) retreated after the company announced that it was not going to pay a dividend (due to liquidity concerns), which effectively means that the A-share will forego the income to the benefit of the B-share as the company de-gears. Sirius (-5.8%) saw profit taking from a stock that delivered a positive return through Covid-19 and has temporarily fallen out of favour as investors look for value over growth. Germany also moved in and out of lockdowns through the period, which is likely to have created some negative sentiment, but did little to materially
4 Sesfikile Capital disrupt operations. Fortress B (-3.7%) was negatively impacted by its geared exposure to NEPI-Rockcastle earnings being revised below market consensus, but in truth, the price doubled in the previous quarter and some profit taking was also a likely explanation for the negative return. Finally EPP (-2.4%), which should have followed the risk on trades, the likes of what we saw in Hammerson, failed to gain any real momentum as the heavy burden of debt still weighs on the stock price. While management have explicitly stated that an orderly deleveraging is their main priority, the timeline to execute is long and the investment universe is yet to fully buy into the plan. • Listed property started on the back foot (-3%), underperforming equity and bonds in January, which delivered a positive 5.2% and 0.7% respectively. The relative underperformance in the absence of any material news flow makes us think that it was really just some profit taking on the back of the strong c.+34% November/ December rally. Coming out of the December break, company news was sparse. However, Redefine and Hyprop announced their respective strategies to retain capital and attend to their cash flow concerns. Hyprop proceeded to declare a dividend, offering a deeply discounted scrip alternative that achieved an 82% take up. Redefine’s Board decided not to declare a dividend, citing the risk it could breach the liquidity requirement in terms of the Companies Act; while this does not result in them relinquishing their REIT status they would incur a material tax liability should they not pay any distribution by the time of their tax submission later in the year. Our dividend expectations include the increasing frequency in which companies will withhold as much cash as possible as a result of fully geared balance sheets and uncertainty of property valuations ahead. • February saw the markets follow the ‘now familiar’ risk-on/reflation trade as bonds weakened, while equity and property rose. Higher bond yields are typically negative for property stocks in the short term, however their stark underperformance through 2020 combined with the sheer volume of capital chasing risk assets buoyed the sector once again. Even within the sector this pattern was evident as stocks with higher gearing and retail exposure generally topped the list. Pure offshore stocks also benefitted from the rand weakness towards the end of the month. RDI REIT was the best performer for the month, up 39.7% after the board had recommended the acceptance of a cash offer from Starwood Capital. Capital & Counties also rallied (26% higher) as the accelerated roll out of vaccines in the UK led to optimism of an earlier reopening. Defensive counters Sirius and Stor-age bore the brunt of the rotation into value stocks, falling 0.3% each. The reopening trade had also brought along with it an expectation of higher inflation and with that, weakness in the bond market. Listed property has historically been inversely correlated to bond yields, a relationship which seemed to have had been put on hold as property clawed back both relative and absolute losses. • March began where February left off, in full stride, pushing total returns over 4% into the middle of the month, before it retreated somewhat to a still respectable 1.5% higher for the period. The perceived value proposition of property has gained much traction through the year and has justified the recent rally, but as long-term interest rates (both local and foreign) continue to push higher in unison with property stock prices, the pricing is no longer quite as attractive. This coupled by threats of a South African third wave post the Easter break resulted in some profit taking. Nimble Wisdom SA Quarterly Q1 2021 5 Hammerson PLC was the sector’s best performing stock during the month with a total return of 27%. While results confirmed the dire state of the UK retail property sector, the market has begun to expect a trough in valuations and further disposals. The stock received further impetus as the vaccine rollout in the UK will lead to an earlier than expected reopening. Attacq returned 21% as it successfully executed on the sale of MSP shares and issued a cautionary announcement relating to the sale of a large asset – both boosting confidence in the company’s de- gearing strategy. Lighthouse achieved an 18% total return on the back of price appreciation in Hammerson, which is 57% of its total assets. The sector’s laggards were Redefine (-10%) and Capital & Counties (-4%), both of which had a very strong February and were subject to some profit taking. Lighthouse’s Forum Coimbra, a 50 000sqm mall in Coimbra, Portugal. Lockdowns across Western Europe mean malls remain under pressure.
6 Sesfikile Capital NEWSWORTHY • Hyprop Investsments announced the sale of Atterbury Value Mart for R1.12bn as part of its plans to lower its debt burden. The price was 4.6% below the asset’s most recent market valuation. The sale of Ikeja Mall hit a speedbump after the buyers had funding issues. The disposal is being renegotiated at present. • Vukile extended the Merev PUT option for 3 years. While there was no change in the strike price (¤6.50 per share), the extension allows Vukile additional time to reduce its LTV prior to expiry. Vukile has guaranteed a 6% yield on Castellana’s dividend. • Attacq Limited sold a stake in MAS Real Estate to PKM Development for c. R388m. This comes less than three months after Attacq sold a R500m stake in MAS to a group owned by the Oppenheimer family. Attacq currently owns 10.9% of MAS. • The board of RDI REIT accepted a cash offer from Starwood Capital for all the shares not currently held. The price of 121.35p is a significant 33% premium to its previous day closing price and 15% discount to its last reported EPRA NAV. The offer is still subject to shareholder approval. • Redefine Properties and Dipula Income Fund resolved not to pay a dividend in respect of their 2020 financials years. The board has determined that the company failed the liquidity test, a pre-requisite in the Companies Act for paying dividends. • Equites sold two UK distribution warehouses to real estate funds managed by Blackstone for £43.4m (about R883.9m), representing a 4.79% yield and 6% premium to Equites’ book value. The sale proceeds would be re- invested into distribution warehouse development by the Equites/Newlands joint venture. • Jackie van Niekerk was appointed CEO to Attacq, replacing Melt Hamman who resigned late last year. • 360 Capital REIT has acquired a 9.18% stake in Irongate Group for approximately A$78.6 million. The company increased its stake subsequently, and currently own 15.18% of Irongate. • Resilient REIT announced that it is in discussions with the PIC to dispose of a portfolio of assets, including Brits Mall, Jabulani Mall and Highveld Mall. It is envisaged that Resilient will continue to asset manage these assets for a period after disposal. • Deutsche Konsum Reit, which invests in convenience retail properties in the central and regional areas of Germany, completed its secondary listing on the JSE’s main board. The company has a primary listing on the Frankfurt Stock Exchange and the Berlin Stock Exchange. Nimble Wisdom SA Quarterly Q1 2021 7 • In March, Spear REIT announced that it had exercised its right to terminate the lease with Marriott at 15 on Orange in Cape Town. Following this, Spear signed a lease with Capital Apartments and Hotels to lease the premise at a fixed rental as opposed to a variable lease with Marriott.” 15 On Orange, Cape Town • Ster-Kinekor Theatres entered voluntary business rescue to rehabilitate the company as it continues to suffer due to the Covid-19 pandemic and lockdown. • Debenhams will disappear from British high streets after the sale of its brand to Boohoo. The deal marks a changing of the guard in UK retail prompted by a radical acceleration towards online during the pandemic. • Next plc saw profits for the last year drop by more than half after the lockdown closure of high street stores. Nonetheless, it raised its profit forecast for the current year and hailed soaring online sales - over eight weeks from the start of February, online sales were more than 60% ahead of the same period two years ago.
8 Sesfikile Capital PROPERTY FUNDAMENTALS SOUTH AFRICA The latest results season have highlighted the following key trends in the listed property sector: Rental collections have returned to near 100% levels. In some cases, collections are above 100% as landlords reduce arrears. Discounts continue to be provided for the restaurant, fast food and entertainment sectors but have abated for other retail, office and industrial tenants. Anecdotal evidence does however show that collections in January was lower than December in retail due to the second lockdown, albeit to a far lesser extent than we saw earlier in the year. It should be noted however, that despite a normalisation in collection rates, renewal rates are coming under pressure, especially in offices where the opportunity to access rental relief was harder (as compared to retail) in the initial stages of the pandemic. CHART 02 RENTAL COLLECTION Source: Company Data Valuation changes have been mild relative to the first-round adjustments. Similar to the first round, second round adjustments have been driven by changes primarily to income (lower base rentals, falling escalation rates and higher vacancy rate assumptions) rather than capitalisation rates. Based on discussions with management teams, the outlook for valuation hinges on the pace of the vaccine rollout, further lockdowns and stabilisation in the economy. At present, expectations are for another mild (0-5%) write-down in the next 6 to 12 months. The biggest risk to this number would be a sizable shift in global rates, however most central banks are still more focused on supporting growth at this stage than combatting expected inflation. Nimble Wisdom SA Quarterly Q1 2021 9 CHART 03 VALUATION CHANGES Source: Company data Despite valuation write-downs, efforts to manage LTV growth has been encouraging. While there has been a modest increase in LTVs, the fear of covenant breaches has subsided and expectations are that further efforts to reduce LTV coupled with a moderating outlook for valuation write-downs will see LTV ratios stabilise and potentially fall over the medium term. There is also a greater understanding from the market as to the broad range of tools these companies have in which to avoid covenant breaches as well as the rational and practical approaches taken by the banks to avoid such situations. CHART 04 LTV VS. COVENANTS Source: Company data, Sesfikile Analysis
10 Sesfikile Capital The pace of de-gearing intensified but will ultimately come at a cost to earnings. Across the board, companies have been selling assets in a challenging transactional environment and reducing pay-out ratios. The message from all companies is that REIT status remains a priority and thus a minimum 75% is being paid. In Redefine and Dipula’s case, failure to meet its liquidity test requirement has resulted in no dividend paid whilst maintaining the REIT status. In most instances, disposals at current valuations will result in earnings dilution, but protect balance sheets and dispute current valuations of certain stocks that imply default. Some of the more recent actions taken are detailed on page 6. Refinancing risk remains low. Most REITs have indicated that banks have not requested to reduce exposure to listed property. In fact, most companies have reported that banks’ appetite has improved. Margins have however been increasing (by c.20bps) over the last year, but base rates (3m JIBAR) remains low, still some 350bps below pre-Covid levels. Where refinancing is a concern is where companies have mismatched leverage on foreign assets, thereby accessing nominally lower rates. Normalising the gearing on these assets will come at a cost. Mid-market regional malls are underperforming while non-urban centres, rural centres and luxury retail is outperforming. Trading statistics from the last quarter have shown a segmented market performance, with non- urban and rural markets benefitting from social grants, family allowances as well as booming agricultural and mining sectors. Convenience retail continues to benefit from behavioural changes where consumers prefer shorter, more focussed shopping. A lack of offshore travel and pent-up demand amongst high-net-worth individuals has seen luxury spending in the likes of Sandton City and V&A Waterfront also surge. Mid-tier regional malls however, remain under pressure; the draw from entertainment is currently not a feature, while there is the innate desire to avoid closed environments. RDI REIT’s 20 Dunstans Hill office in London. RDI REIT may be de-listed if investors accept the offer from Starwood Capital. Nimble Wisdom SA Quarterly Q1 2021 11 CHART 05 TRADING DENSITY GROWTH - H2 2020 Source: Company data CHART 06 RETAIL RENTAL REVERSIONS - H2 2020 Source: Company data While retail vacancies have increased, demand from mid-market tenants in strong locations have increased. Tenants such as Studio 88, Bathu, Webbers and Refinery have been opportunistic in increasing their footprint, especially in non-urban and rural markets. Demand from certain larger national retailers such as Shoprite (with their Checkers FreshX store) and Truworths (with their lower market offering dubbed “Primark”) are also expanding.
12 Sesfikile Capital CHART 07 RETAIL VACANCY RATE Source: Company data Office vacancies are elevated and sub-letting in the market is rife. According to SAPOA’s Office Vacancy Survey, the level of unlet space in the market increased by 50bps during the last quarter of 2020 to 13.3%. While P-grade vacancies declined by 60bps to 11.3%, it remains higher than A-grade vacancies of 10.8% due to speculative development activity. This has led to market rentals continuing to slide. The level of rental reversions seen in the last reporting period was -11.4%. Anecdotal research shows discounting of rentals is as much as 50% on gross rentals. In other cases, the Work-from-home trend has seen the likes of PwC in Waterfall request subletting of some of its space. CENTRAL AND EASTERN EUROPE Due to the second wave in parts of Europe, a number of countries have had, and currently have lockdowns with various degrees of restrictions. In Poland, all non-essential stores were closed in November and January and restrictions were eased to include only restaurants and entertainment in December and February 2021. Restrictions in Romania are mainly around curfews, limits on the size of gatherings, and closing time for stores, but stores remained open. As a result, turnover growth especially in Poland, was impacted by the timing of lockdowns. In NEPI Rockcastle’s portfolio, turnover growth dipped to -40% in December but averaged c. -20% for the second half of the year. Nimble Wisdom SA Quarterly Q1 2021 13 CHART 08 RETAIL SALES GROWTH Source: Bloomberg The underlying reasons for investing in CEE retail space remains intact. Growth in income levels are expected to outpace Western Europe and, coupled with an undersupply of space, trading density growth is expected to remain strong in the medium term. CHART 08 SHOPPING CENTRE DENSITY (M2/1000 POPULATION) Source: Bloomberg
14 Sesfikile Capital UK The UK became the first country in the world to approve the Pfizer vaccine for emergency use in early December. Currently, it has administered more Covid-19 vaccine first doses per 100 people than any other nation of comparable population size. More than 31 million people in the UK have received at least one dose of a coronavirus vaccine and the resultant drop in infections is apparent. British Prime Minister Boris Johnson says the pace of vaccinations means Britain can expect a major relaxation of restrictions in early April. CHART 09 BEST AND WORST SUPPLIED The United Kingdom has pre-ordered enough vaccines for five doses per person. Source: Nature Shopping centres continue to see significant valuation write-downs as evidenced by Hammerson’s recent results. Values fell by 21% overall, including -36% in UK flagships, -15% in France and -17.5% in Ireland. UK shopping centres have now fallen in value by 54% since the peak and France -27%. Rental value decline in the UK shopping centres was -10% and footfall fell 53% in UK and 33% in France. Nimble Wisdom SA Quarterly Q1 2021 15 CHART 10 HAMMERSON UK SHOPPING CENTRES: RETAIL SALES, RENTAL VALUE & FOOTFALL INDICES Source: Company datat As vacancies increase on the back of the lockdowns, so too will the pressure on rental growth. The number of stores closed in 2020 was the highest since the GFC, and 2021 is shaping up to show a similar number. John Lewis earlier this year announced the closure of 8 department stores, citing the shift to online sales and the need to cut costs. CHART 11 STORES CLOSED Source: BRC
16 Sesfikile Capital Next PLC’s results highlight this pressure in rentals, where it said in 2021 and 2022, it expected rentals to decline by 58% and 47% respectively on expiry. While this is not necessarily reflective of the entire retail market, it shows the bargaining power amongst the stronger anchor retailers in UK malls. Furthermore, it has signed an average lease term of 3 years compared to the previous norms of 5 and 10-years. Capital & Counties also experienced a sharp decline in property valuations (-27%) in 2020 but is protected somewhat by its superior balance sheet and the appeal of its Central London portfolio. While the vaccine rollout bodes well for a pickup in activity, the lack of tourists (likely to be for some time) and a lacklustre return to the office means spending in the precinct will be limited. Hammerson’s Brent Cross Shopping Centre. Hammerson reported a 40% rental collection rate for Q2 2021. Nimble Wisdom SA Quarterly Q1 2021 17 ECONOMICS • In the SARB’s latest quarterly bulletin, the SA economy showed a contraction of -7.0% in 2020 from 0.2% in 2019, 0.8% in 2018 and 1.4% in 2017. The effect was that GDP per capita fell by -8.2% last year compared to -1.2% in 2019 and -0.6% in 2018. • The Reserve Bank’s leading business cycle indicator rose for the eighth consecutive month in January, to a record high of 117.5, from 115.1 in December. • In its latest April review, the IMF revised the forecast growth for the SA economy in 2021 upwards to 3.1%, compared with a forecast of 2.8% in January and one of 3.0% made in October last year. For 2022, the forecast has been revised upwards quite sharply, to 2.0%, from the 1.4% forecast made in January and the 1.5% forecast in October last year. Key issues outlined as holding back potential economic recovery in South Africa are the slow pace at which vaccinations stand to be delivered and the likelihood of extra load-shedding throughout the course of the year. • The National Executive Committee (NEC) decreed that party officials charged with criminal offences (especially those on corruption) would have to step aside within 30 days. This can be interpreted as suggesting that President Cyril Ramaphosa is gaining support within the party. • The Absa Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) rose for the third consecutive month in March to 57.4, from 53.0 in February. March marked the eighth consecutive month that the index remained above the 50 pointing towards expansionary conditions. It also came in higher than expected with consensus forecasts having expected a decline to 52.3. • The February trade surplus surged to R28.96bn, from a surplus of R12.42bn in January. This implies that there is less dependence on continuing large inflows of foreign capital, providing support to the ZAR. • Retail sales contracted by -3.5% y/y in January compared with -1.2% y/y in December. January was the 10th consecutive month that retail sales contracted. The January outcome was down on consensus forecasts of -1.5% y/y. Consumers remain under significant pressure due to job losses and salary cuts. Lower-income consumers have been assisted by various relief packages provided by the government such as the TERS grant.
18 Sesfikile Capital BONDS US bond markets led a global retreat in government debt since January as investors worry that huge amounts of government spending combined with monetary stimulus will lead to rising inflation. The US 10y treasury touched its highest point since the beginning of the coronavirus, peaking at 1.77%. European government debt yields were also dragged higher by the move in the US, with the German 10-year Bund yields reaching -0.28%. UK 10-year gilt yields reached 0.8%, up from 0.74% at the start of the year. A broad Bloomberg Barclays index of debt issued by developed market governments around the world has fallen 5% since the start of the year on a total return basis. In South Africa, bond yields climbed by 77bps to 9.8%. Bonds had in fact strengthened until mid-February as higher tax revenues led to some optimism after the Budget speech. However, the rising tide in global bonds ultimately pushed SA bond yields higher over the first quarter. CHART 12 GLOBAL BOND YIELDS (%) Source: Bloomberg Nimble Wisdom SA Quarterly Q1 2021 19 OUTLOOK One could argue that the level of pessimism has subsided from its peaks as the vaccine roll-out has shown us that there is an end to the pandemic; similarly, President Ramaphosa appears to have navigated the ship steadily through the choppy waters and may actually be on the ascendancy and and has garnished the strength to implement his reforms and revitalise the economy on a sustainable basis. Fundamentally, sectoral performance is mixed in that retail has shown relative improvement, office gives us cause for concern and logistics continues to hold up better than the rest. But ultimately, it is a tough grind out of an ailing economy. However, demand is showing signs of ‘green shoots’. Economic activity is starting to show as morning traffic builds up and shopping centres once again start to fill up. Retailers are cautiously looking for more space and assets (albeit smaller cheque sizes) are trading. Office demand is the one area which is pulling back our desire for optimism as current GDP levels and business confidence are not conducive to growth in demand and the ability for the slack in space to be taken up before there is any discussion on rental growth. While the impact on demand across most underlying asset classes is clear, it is well-worth pointing out that supply is also significantly lower than we have seen in recent years. Objectively the outlook is marginally better than our views last quarter, but admittedly off a very low base. Considering valuations, the reading is nearly an exact inverse of what we spelt out concerning fundamentals. Where last quarter, (and several months prior) the sector was screening deep value, the recent rally combined with a steadily increasing bond yield have all but eroded the strong value proposition. The sector is quite easily capable of delivering annualised mid-teen returns, so there is most definitely a case for holding a position in a balanced portfolio, however the blue-sky expectations on total returns must be moderated to a more normalised level. The one area of concern to focus on in the short-term is the long bond yield, both locally and abroad. The US 10y treasury yield has literally doubled over the last quarter and locally we have seen our long bond trough below 9% and push beyond 9.8%. Although the sector was able to shrug off this move as the relative pricing to bonds had created a material buffer through property’s recent underperformance, any further momentum in yields (without the commensurate earnings growth) could lower return expectations in the next 12 months.
20 Sesfikile Capital OUR TEAM Evan Jankelowitz, CFA® Mohamed Kalla, CFA® Kundayi Munzara, CFA® Director | Portfolio Manager Director | Portfolio Manager Director | Portfolio Manager BCom (Hons). Investment BCom. Investment Management Bsc. (Hons) Property Studies (UCT), Management (UJ), Chartered (UP) Chartered Financial Analyst PLD (HBS), Chartered Financial Financial Analyst 16 years experience Analyst 17 years experience 15 years experience Naeen Tilly, CFA® Anil Ramjee Nalika Pema Head of Research Global REIT Analyst Business Development Head BAcc (WITS), CA(SA), Masters Property Studies (UCT), BCom. Finance and Chartered Financial Analyst BEconSci, MCom EconSci (Wits) Economics (UKZN) 14 years experience 8 years experience 16 years experience Tintswalo Hlebela Kehilwe Mnyamana Nolwazi Maphalala Investment Operations Head Portfolio Administrator Team PA | Office Manager BSc. Mathematical Sciences Bcom. Economics (UCT), Dip. Public Relations Management (Wits), Bcom (Hons) BSc. Applied Mathematics and (TUT) Economics (UNISA) Statistics (UNISA) 5 years experience 14 years experience 4 years experience The information contained in this report is confidential and may be subject to legal privilege. Access to this information by anyone other than the intended recipient is unauthorized. This report is in its entirety specifically intended for use by institutional clients and is not intended for use and should accordingly not be relied upon by private individuals whether clients or otherwise. If you are not the intended recipient, you may not use, copy, disseminate, distribute and/or disclose the report or any part of its contents or take any action in reliance on it. If you have received this report in error, please notify us immediately by e-mail or telephone on (+27-11) 684 2677 and thereafter immediately destroy and/or delete the report. Sesfikile Capital (“Sesfikile”) makes no representations and gives no warranties of whatever nature in respect of the report and its contents including but not limited to the accuracy or completeness of any information, facts and/or opinions contained therein. The report is provided by Sesfikile solely for the recipient’s information, and all rights in and to the report including copyright and other intellectual property rights therein are proprietary to Sesfikile. Accordingly, the report may not be reproduced, distributed in any form and/or disseminated without the prior written consent of Sesfikile Capital. Nimble Wisdom SA Quarterly Q1 2021 21
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