INTELLIGENT INVESTING - August 2020 Market review - Canaccord Genuity
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INTELLIGENT INVESTING August 2020 Market review Contents Markets have been in pause mode for the last month or so. Market review 1 On the one hand, central banks across the world continue to hose investors with vast amounts UK large-cap equities of liquidity. In the US, the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) balance sheet has climbed to over US$7trn. Since mid-March the Fed has bought assets at the rate of approximately US$300,000 every Smurfit Kappa 2 single second, or almost US$25bn every day. Other central banks have been just as prolific. Smith & Nephew 2 Neither have governments shown themselves to be slouches; stimulus packages worth trillions have been put in place across the globe. And in further positive news there has been UK small-cap equities a slew of encouraging data on vaccine trials. Renew Holdings 3 On the other hand, COVID-19 shows no signs of abating. It is exploding in Latin America Vertu Motors 3 and India, and is re-accelerating in the southern and western United States, in Japan and the Middle East. Equity screen 4 Meanwhile the market recovery has been dramatic. The S&P 500 Index in the US is now close US equity to its February all-time highs, while the technology-rich NASDAQ Composite has comfortably Intuit 5 surpassed them. This has some investors asking whether this is all too far too fast, especially with no visibility of earnings in 2021 and some measures of valuation looking stretched. Investment fund In the UK, with a less appealing mix of companies, the market recovery has not been so good; Hipgnosis Songs 5 arguably with a potential hard Brexit looming in the background, neither are our prospects. The FTSE All-Share Index remains 17% down on the year-to-date and lower in capital terms Profit takers 6 than it was seven years ago. Finally, there are now worries about the longer-term affordability of all the spending by governments and central banks – and whether this will eventually find its way into higher inflation, or tax rises, or both. Intelligent Investing is defined as a marketing communication under These conflicting forces have created a two-way pull, with beneficiaries of the new world, FCA, GFSC, JFSC and IOM FSA like technology and healthcare, still making progress while those likely to be hurt, like banks and travel companies, languishing. We see this pattern persisting until we gain a better insight rules and is provided to clients as into how next year progresses. It seems extraordinary that consensus estimates for US part of their service with CGWM. company earnings for 2021 are actually higher than the level reached in 2019. The information provided here We reflect this lack of direction in this issue of Intelligent Investing. Among UK larger is not tailored advice – it has no companies we look at healthcare equipment maker Smith & Nephew and packaging company regard for the specific investment Smurfit Kappa. In smaller companies we consider Renew, the building services company, and objectives, financial situation Vertu, the motor retailer that has been hit hard by the impact of COVID-19. Our international or needs of any specific person. stock is Intuit, the US accounting and tax software specialist. In funds we look at music royalty Investment involves risk. The value investment trust Hipgnosis – an interesting approach, in our view. Finally, with so much focus of investments and the income on the loss of dividend income, our screen identifies possible dividend recovery plays. from them can go down as well as We think we are in for a choppy ride over the coming months. But choppy periods throw up up and you may not get back the good opportunities to buy long-term investments at knockdown prices. We spend a huge amount originally invested. amount of our time hunting for these for our clients. Past performance is not a reliable Richard Champion indicator of future returns. Deputy Chief Investment Officer, UK 1 Intelligent Investing | August 2020
• e-commerce Smurfit Kappa • Consumers stepping away from Share price 2,600p one shop per week to smaller, more Market cap £6.2bn frequent visits • Convenience and discount stores, such 2019A 2020F 2021F as Lidl and Tesco Metro, which use more Revenue (£bn) 9.0 8.6 8.8 corrugated packaging Earnings per share (p) 3.2 2.2 2.4 • More personalised packaging solutions Dividend per share (p) 0.3 0.8 1.1 Dividend yield 1.0% 2.8% 3.7% • Switching from plastic to corrugated Free cash flow yield 11.8% 6.8% 7.9% • Shelf-ready packaging which helps Price earnings ratio 8.7 12.8 11.9 staff by speeding up the shop floor shelf-stacking process. Return on capital employed 17.9% 10.0% 10.9% The complete package Ursula von der Leyen, the new European Source: Quest® Note: 2020 and 2021 are forecast years Commission President, is set on creating Smurfit Kappa (Smurfit) is Europe’s no.1 a new green industry which we expect of crisis (e.g. COVID-19) – while also providing producer (c.20% market share) of corrugated, corrugated packaging to be at the forefront more stable margins and cash flows. containerboard and ‘bag in box’ packaging. of. Smurfit is also the most innovative It is the only Pan-American producer of Despite all of its structural growth drivers, packaging company which leads to containerboard and corrugated packaging. the non-consumer packaging part of the higher margins. Recent examples of its It offers an unrivalled portfolio of paper- business (c.20% of sales) has been hit by proprietary solutions include ShelfSmart, packaging solutions (e.g. design consultancy, COVID-19 but is showing tentative signs which has increased customer sales by supply chain optimisation, packaging of recovery. But with shares down c.14% 10% and SupplySmart, which has reduced fulfilment), which it constantly innovates. since mid-February, we think the bad news total customer packaging costs by 10%+. is more than in the price with the shares As market leader, Smurfit leverages its Importantly, Smurfit is in a good place to trading on 12.8x current year consensus superior scale by offering a global solution take advantage of the growth opportunity earnings, falling to 11.9x next year’s through a network of 245 packaging in the Americas (21% of profits) which is earnings. It’s also worth noting that given conversion plants, 34 paper mills and several years behind Europe from both a the rapid rise of ESG (environmental, social 42 recycling plants, in 21 countries in green and innovation perspective. and governance) investing, Smurfit ranks Europe and 12 countries in the Americas. Smurfit has a fully vertically integrated* strongly with specialist data providers such The corrugated packaging market continues business model, producing all the paper as Sustainalytics and MSCI. to deliver robust growth (c.3% annually in requirements of its packaging business. Simon McGarry recent years) due to its multiple structural This makes its offering even stronger and Senior Equity Analyst growth drivers including: provides security of supply – crucial in times See glossary for definition. * Return to Contents • To grow margins, citing a number of leaner peers with superior margins. Smith & Nephew Share price 1,620p Early signs were encouraging with organic Market cap £14.2bn growth accelerating from c.2% previously to c.4.4% in 2019. In February, guidance 2019A 2020F 2021F In recovery for 2020 was set at 3.5%-4.5% organic Revenue (£bn) 3.9 3.6 4.1 growth with 0.75% of margin improvement. Earnings per share (p) 73.2 51.8 78.4 Smith & Nephew (S&N) is a medical There was also an increased desire to Dividend per share (p) 28.3 20.5 29.9 equipment manufacturer with strong grow via acquisitions having acquired market positions across a variety of clinical Dividend yield 1.7% 1.3% 1.8% four companies from March-June 2019. areas. It is also the global no.2 player in high- Free cash flow yield 4.1% 2.5% 4.1% growth markets such as sports medicine Despite a brief period of uncertainty as Price earnings ratio n/a 31.3 20.6 and advanced wound management. Nawal announced he was stepping down Return on capital employed 13.6% 9.1% 14.2% late last year, this was soon resolved with S&N has delivered consistently strong Source: Quest® Roland Diggelmann replacing him just margins (currently c.23%) which haven’t Note: 2020 and 2021 are forecast years 10 days later. Diggelmann, who previously dipped below 20% for 15 years – largely led Roche Diagnostics, had fully endorsed forced to cancel procedures such as hip due to the oligopolistic structure of the Nawana’s previous strategy having joined and knee replacements. orthopaedic market, with the four largest the board as a non-executive director in players having combined market share Despite S&N’s share price outperforming March 2018. of 85%. the market year-to-date, COVID-19 has S&N has been hit hard by COVID-19 due given investors an opportunity; once In recent years, S&N has reduced costs in to elective medical procedures being operations normalise, the business is slower-growth areas to redeploy elsewhere. postponed. However, there appear to capable of consistently delivering 10% This strategy accelerated under Namal be some green shoots of recovery with annual earnings per share. This is at a Nawana, who joined as CEO in May 2018 April revenue down 47% year-on-year multiple of just 22x last year’s earnings. with two key priorities: but June just 12%. And as we enter 2021, Simon McGarry • To re-establish growth which was erratic we expect a recovery of its end markets Senior Equity Analyst under previous management due to an influx of patients previously Return to Contents 2 Intelligent Investing | August 2020
Investments in smaller companies are not suitable for all investors as they are high risk and tend to be more volatile and illiquid. Selling may be difficult and they can fall further than the wider market. They are more exposed to fluctuations in the domestic economy and growth is not guaranteed. The remaining profit is derived from its smaller Specialist Building division. This Renew Holdings focuses on the high-quality residential Share price 446p market in London and the home counties Market cap £350m through its subsidiary, Walter Lilly. 2019A 2020F 2021F Renewed confidence Renew operates in regulated markets Revenue (£m) 600 600 664 with high barriers to entry including scale Earnings per share (p) 34.2 36.7 41.0 Renew provides essential engineering and safety. And as the work it carries out Dividend per share (p) 11.5 6.4 13.0 services to maintain and renew critical is linked to non-discretionary operating UK infrastructure and has a directly Dividend yield 3.0% 1.4% 2.9% budgets, trading has remained resilient in employed, highly skilled workforce of Free cash flow yield 9.7% 12.1% 13.5% the face of COVID-19, with approximately around 2,800 employees. Price earnings ratio 11.3 12.2 10.9 80% of activities continuing during the Around 95% of operating profit is derived peak of the crisis. Return on capital employed 30.0% 33.8% 39.0% from its Engineering Services division Source: Quest® Renew’s markets are driven by long-term which focuses on the key markets of Note: 2020 and 2021 are forecast years programmes of spending on asset renewal Energy (including Nuclear), Environmental and maintenance, often over many years. The shares trade on an undemanding and Infrastructure. These are largely Consequently, it has an order book of loyal, 12-month forward price earnings ratio governed by regulation and benefit from long-term customers. The rail business is of 11.2x, and with minimal debt (£16m non-discretionary spend with long-term the group’s largest end market (c.43% of in March 2020) there is also scope for visibility of committed funding. revenue) and is expected to benefit from earnings-enhancing acquisitions. This division has national coverage Network Rail’s ‘Control Period 6’ (CP6*) Ian Berry using its engineering workforce, budget plan which started in April. Renewals UK Small Cap Equity Analyst which is supplemented by specialist and maintenance spend is set to rise 25% under CP6 which ends in 2024. See glossary for definition. subcontractors in civil, mechanical and * electrical engineering applications. Return to Contents financial year end, COVID-19 caused the forced lockdown of Vertu’s dealerships Vertu Motors at the end of March impacting first-half Share price 21.6p trading. Most were reopened on 1 June Market cap £79.2m and the 12 Scottish sites opened at the 2020A 2021F 2022F The road ahead end of June. Revenue (£m) 3.1 3.1 3.2 Since reopening, sales and profit have Earnings per share (p) 8.9 4.9 5.5 Vertu Motors operates a nationwide recovered strongly. In June the business Dividend per share (p) 0.6 0.0 1.7 chain of franchised motor dealerships made £9m in profit – an increase on the offering sale, servicing, parts and Dividend yield 1.6% 0.0% 7.9% previous year. This is being attributed to bodyshop facilities for new and used Free cash flow yield 16.5% 33.7% 24.6% pent-up demand with consumers having cars and commercial vehicles. It is the Price earnings ratio 4.1 4.4 4.0 increased savings ratios during lockdown, fifth-largest motor retailer in the UK additional disposable income resulting Return on capital employed 13.7% 6.2% 6.4% with 133 sales and aftersales outlets. from cancelled travel plans and a desire Source: Quest® The group operates many of its to avoid public transport. Demand was Note: 2021 and 2022 are forecast years dealerships as Bristol Street Motors especially strong in used cars where Although there is some short-term trading which is one of the largest automotive supply constraints are resulting in uncertainty and concerns over Brexit, retail brands in the UK. It also has several margins significantly above normal levels. recent trade is encouraging, and the shares premium franchise dealerships such as An acceleration of technology uptake are underpinned by a strong balance sheet. Volvo, Volkswagen, Land Rover, Audi, across the group enabled Vertu to reduce Net tangible assets* are 46p a share (a Mercedes-Benz and Jaguar, and is the headcount by c.6% over July. This and 50% discount to the share price) backed largest operator of Honda dealerships other cost-saving measures are expected by freehold property assets (c.£181m) and in the UK. In Scotland it trades under the to deliver c.£10m in annualised savings. net cash. Macklin Motors brand. The shares currently trade on just 2.4x Ian Berry In Vertu’s financial year ending February prior financial year (to February 2020) UK Small Cap Equity Analyst 2020, group revenue was up from +3% on earnings per share, compared with an See glossary for definition. the previous financial year with profit and * average of 8.4x over the last 10 years. earnings broadly unchanged. After the Return to Contents When we talk about investing in smaller companies, we typically mean companies listed on AIM or those with a market capitalisation of less than £1bn, which are not within the FTSE 100. 3 Intelligent Investing | August 2020
from paying dividends for the rest of the level. For the companies fortunate to be year. Other areas that were forced to wind able to do this, we expect the share prices UK back on previous dividend commitments to react positively given the dearth of EQUITY include industrials and consumer reliable UK dividend income currently on SCREEN discretionary (e.g. retail, housebuilding offer, coupled with the number of income Dividend hunting etc) where at least 90% of companies cancelled their dividends completely. investment managers that became forced sellers once the dividends were cut. It’s no secret that in the last few months Nonetheless, there have been a few In the last two weeks companies such as UK dividend income has been decimated by pockets of resilience in sectors such as BAE Systems, Smurfit Kappa (featured as COVID-19, with 176 companies cancelling technology, healthcare, consumer staples, a separate article in this publication) and payouts altogether and 30 cutting them in mining and utilities who, for the most Bodycote have reinstated their dividends the second quarter alone. part, have paid their dividends. There has having postponed/cancelled them during Indeed, three quarters of the companies also been a divergence between big and the height of the pandemic. originally expected to pay a dividend during small with the top 100 biggest dividend The table below shows a list of some of the the second quarter, ended up either cutting payers seeing a decline of 45% in dividend companies with strong resilient balance or suspending them, culminating in a 57% payments compared with 76% for the next sheets that we believe are well placed to drop to £16.1bn - the worst on record. 250 biggest payers. reinstate their dividends in the coming To put this into context, in the aftermath To be clear, while we don’t expect an months, provided that they continue to of the 2008 financial crisis just two fifths immediate recovery in dividends to see improvements to their end markets in of companies cut or cancelled payouts. anywhere near 2019 levels, we do see the third quarter. At a sector level, financials were hit the scope for some of the companies that Simon McGarry hardest accounting for more than half of the cut their dividends in recent months to Senior Equity Analyst c.£16bn decline in dividend income, in part reinstate them in the latter part of this due to the FCA prohibiting the big UK banks year, albeit potentially rebased at a lower +12-month forward Dividend per share Prior year Price change over Price Return on Current Market earnings EPS capital 2 years year Net debt/ Company name Industry value (£m) ratio growth employed ago Prior year forecast EBITDA 3 mths 12 mths Persimmon Household Durables 7,901 12.2 -7% 31.4% 235.0 235.0 115.4 -0.8 9.1 18.4 Interactive Media and Rightmove 4,930 38.4 12% 821.7% 6.5 2.8 3.5 -0.1 10.8 6.2 Services Trading Companies and Howden Joinery 3,093 22.1 21% 41.4% 11.6 13.0 4.6 -0.9 -7.4 -9.7 Distributors Electronic Equipment Spectris Instruments and 3,042 21.3 -3% 13.1% 61.0 65.1 53.0 0.1 -0.4 -4.6 Components Dunelm Specialty Retail 2,488 25.9 9% 47.6% 26.5 28.0 4.0 0.2 27.7 32.5 Rotork Machinery 2,481 25.5 -5% 27.1% 5.9 2.3 5.5 -0.6 10.7 -9 Softcat IT Services 2,383 31.5 7% 161.7% 12.1 14.9 25.3 -0.9 4.5 24.2 Trading Companies and Diploma 2,088 30.4 6% 24.5% 25.5 29.0 16.1 0.1 5.3 23.5 Distributors QinetiQ Aerospace and Defense 1,692 15.7 -1% 14.8% 6.6 6.6 8.8 -0.4 -4.3 0.5 Keywords Studios IT Services 1,386 52.1 28% 13.9% 1.6 0.6 1.7 0.8 16.9 13.9 Learning Technologies Software 938 32.8 -5% 19.0% 0.5 0.8 0.7 0.2 -1.4 12.8 Electronic Equipment Oxford Instruments Instruments and 784 25.9 -23% 18.2% 14.4 14.4 12.9 -1 10.3 2.7 Components 4imprint Media 641 38.1 48% 75.5% 54.9 18.9 29.5 -0.7 17.9 -12.9 Source: Quest® and BloombergTM Return to Contents Past performance and future forecast figures are not a reliable indicator of future results. 4 Intelligent Investing | August 2020
returns filed in the US, highlighting the growth opportunity. Intuit Share price US$302 One of the key barriers TurboTax faces in Market cap US$78.8bn gaining market share is that individuals prefer professional advice when completing 2019A 2020F 2021F Tax doesn’t have to their tax return to guarantee accuracy. To Revenue (US$bn) 6.8 7.4 8.0 overcome this, Intuit launched TurboTax Live be taxing in 2017, a slightly more expensive version Earnings per share (US$) Dividend per share (US$) 6.0 1.9 5.5 2.1 6.6 2.2 Intuit Inc. (Intuit) is an American business of the software allowing users to speak via Dividend yield 0.8% 0.7% 0.7% that provides accounting and tax video call to professional accountants when Free cash flow yield 2.9% 1.9% 2.3% preparation software. It has two flagship filing returns. This has helped Intuit gain Price earnings ratio 38.7 54.5 45.6 products: QuickBooks, accounting market share since launch. software designed for self-employed Return on capital employed 128.0% 132.7% 145.7% Revenues in the Small Business and and small and medium-sized businesses; Source: Quest® Self-Employed segment are generated and TurboTax, software designed to help Note: 2020 and 2021 are forecast years from the sale of QuickBooks, which has individuals file their income tax returns practices has seen more individuals try multiple versions tailored to meet the in the US. The business consists of two the DIY tax software. However, the needs of each target market. main segments: Consumer, and Small pandemic has also disproportionately Business and Self-Employed. QuickBooks has two main growth impacted small businesses, leading to opportunities. The first is to expand The Consumer segment generates higher-than-average closures. internationally; most revenues are revenue from TurboTax sales, which Intuit reports on its first half of the year currently generated in the US, with the UK, provides a cheaper way for individuals on 21 August and we believe its value Canada and Australia seen as core target to file their tax return than paying a proposition, mission-critical software should markets. The second is through selling professional accountant. TurboTax has a support revenues over the second half. its software to medium-sized businesses leading market share of the so-called DIY (companies of 10-100 people). tax return market, but the DIY segment Dan Smith still represents less than 50% of all tax COVID-19 has had mixed impact on the International Equity Analyst business. The closure of accountancy Return to Contents These figures above are shown in US dollars (US$). These returns may differ significantly when converted to other currencies at the prevailing exchange rates. of songwriter and producer RedOne who has written for a ream of artists Hipgnosis Songs Fund including Lady Gaga, Jennifer Lopez and Market cap £720m One Direction. Lady Gaga’s songs with Share price 117p RedOne have achieved more than five Chart topper billion streams globally. Efficiencies in collecting revenue are also • The way it structures the purchases of The Hipgnosis Songs Fund aims to achieve expected as the fund’s administration is songwriters’ music royalties – so for income and capital growth by investing in transitioned to Kobalt Music over the next example, if a Jennifer Lopez song the songs (owning songwriters’ music royalties) two to three years. Kobalt is the preferred fund owns gets played on the latest rather than investing in companies, to administrator, which claims to be able to Apple advert, the fund gets paid before leverage the global rise of music streaming. recover 20% more income on a like-for-like the advert even airs. basis relative to other administrators. The fund owns 54 catalogues comprised A long-term tailwind is provided by the of multiple writers, performers and genres. Over the past year, the fund’s earnings have growth in global music streaming, which is In total, the portfolio features over 13,000 covered this year’s 5p dividend two times showing no signs of slowing. Additionally, songs, 1,810 number-one hits (in at least over. We see this as an attractive way to get a 2018 US Copyright Royalty Board ruling one country), 49 Grammy winners – and exposure to music royalties with a unique will increase the US songwriters’ royalty pot currently generates gross income of c.6.7%. and proven strategy. by 44% by 2022 meaning there is more for The fund is unique due to: the fund to potentially go and buy. Other Patrick Thomas initiatives include having a dedicated team Investment Director • The calibre of music it buys – for example, behind each song the fund owns, ensuring it owns the entire 337-song catalogue that revenues are maximised. Return to Contents Past performance and future forecast figures are not a reliable indicator of future results. 5 Intelligent Investing | August 2020
Profit takers In addition to providing insight and analysis of particular investment opportunities each month, we also review stocks that have shown strong performance in recent months and as a result investors might consider taking profits. Please do contact your Investment Manager to discuss any of these ideas or any other aspect of your portfolio held at Canaccord Genuity Wealth Management. Performance over previous Prior FY Current FY Prior FY Current FY Market Share price dividend per dividend per price earnings price earnings Company name cap (£m) (p) share (p) share (p) ratio ratio 1 mth 3 mths 6 mths Indivior 993 136 0.0 0.0 4.0 -586.1 62% 168% 265% ITM Power 1,281 268 0.0 0.0 -9.1 -15.0 -3% 71% 157% Petropavlovsk 1,319 40 0.0 0.0 83.4 10.9 28% 59% 129% AO World 765 162 0.0 0.0 -514.0 39.5 11% 182% 109% CMC Markets 941 326 15.0 15.3 3.9 10.7 20% 57% 107% Fresnillo 9,292 1,261 10.9 13.2 36.9 45.5 50% 75% 104% S4 CAPITAL 1,781 338 0.0 0.0 200.3 47.7 34% 88% 73% Hochschild 1,412 275 1.5 2.2 24.3 60.0 43% 105% 69% Ocado 15,178 2,059 0.0 0.0 -72.9 -90.6 2% 27% 59% Centamin 2,356 204 3.0 9.4 16.2 15.9 17% 26% 59% Polymetal 9,059 1,920 46.8 79.5 10.5 13.3 21% 17% 54% Fevertree Drinks 2,526 2,173 15.1 15.1 48.3 58.2 4% 27% 51% Avon Rubber 1,024 3,345 20.8 27.1 13.6 35.1 6% 22% 37% Games Workshop 2,993 9,160 145.0 100.0 24.3 44.7 14% 50% 37% Plus500 1,293 1,220 49.1 91.4 7.8 6.3 -7% -5% 34% Flutter Entertainment 17,905 11,585 196.7 39.4 43.0 33.8 7% 23% 32% Avast Plc 5,950 581 11.1 11.0 15.6 22.5 11% 23% 28% Ferrexpo 1,069 182 5.0 13.5 3.6 5.4 8% 27% 27% Gamesys Group 1,019 937 0.0 24.5 8.4 8.0 9% 2% 27% Reckitt Benckiser 56,604 7,960 174.6 174.7 17.3 25.1 7% 24% 27% Team17 Group 802 610 0.0 0.0 21.3 40.7 11% 6% 26% Kainos Group 1,292 1,058 3.5 12.2 38.9 60.2 41% 47% 24% B&M European Retail 4,637 463 8.1 12.1 18.4 16.3 16% 35% 24% Antofagasta 10,307 1,046 13.4 12.3 24.5 39.4 12% 24% 21% Kaz Minerals 2,637 558 9.1 5.9 5.7 8.7 16% 28% 21% Kingfisher 5,254 250 3.3 3.9 12.7 12.9 12% 57% 20% Codemasters Group 536 354 0.0 0.0 24.1 22.0 2% 30% 20% Spirax Sarco Eng 7,771 10,550 110.0 113.8 30.3 43.6 5% 19% 17% Renishaw 3,498 4,806 60.0 8.5 37.1 66.3 21% 35% 16% Rentokil Initial 10,127 548 5.1 4.1 26.4 46.9 7% 15% 15% Source: Quest® Return to Contents Past performance and future forecast figures are not a reliable indicator of future results. 6 Intelligent Investing | August 2020
Glossary The glossary is not intended as a technical definition as most of these metrics can be calculated in a number of different ways. Control Period 6 (CP6) Network Rail Control Periods are the five-year time spans into which Network Rail, the owner and operator of most of the rail infrastructure in Great Britain, works for financial and other planning purposes. Each Control Period begins on 1 April and ends on 31 March to coincide with the financial year. CP6 runs from 2019 to 2024. Dividend yield Dividend per share divided by the share price, often expressed as a percentage. For historic periods the average share price for the year is used, for forecasts the current share price is used. Earnings per share (EPS) An indicator of a company’s profitability, it is the portion of profit after tax allocated to each outstanding share in issue. EBITDA Earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation: enables better comparison between companies as it is not affected by the way that the company is financed or by subjective accounting charges for depreciation and amortisation. Free cash flow yield (FCF yield) Free cash flow yield is the free cash flow per share (after interest, tax and maintenance capital expenditure) but before dividend and share buybacks divided by the current share price. Net asset value (NAV) Net asset value (NAV) is the total value of all the securities in its portfolio, less any liabilities of the fund divided by the number of fund shares outstanding. Net tangible assets Calculated as the total assets of a company, minus any intangible assets such as goodwill, patents, and trademarks, less all liabilities and the par value of preferred stock. Price earnings ratio (P/E) Share price divided by EPS. For historic periods the average share price for the year is used; for forecast years, the current share price is used. It shows how much investors are willing to pay per pound of earnings. Quest® Canaccord Genuity’s proprietary online valuation and analytical tool which combines consensus market figures with the Quest® Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Valuation Model. Return on capital employed A measure of a company’s profitability and the efficiency with which it uses its capital. It is calculated (ROCE) as operating profit divided by capital employed. Tables F – forecast results, figures based on the combined estimates of analysts covering the company. A – actual results, figures based on the company’s published results. Vertically integrated The supply chain of the company is owned by that company. Investments discussed in this document may not be suitable for all investors. Investors should make their own investment decisions based upon their own financial objectives and resources, and if in any doubt, seek specific advice from an investment adviser. This document has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and we are not therefore subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of its dissemination of investment research. 7 Intelligent Investing | August 2020
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Accounts, Share Prices & Global Consensus Estimates Analyst Certification: data provided in conjunction with S&P Capital IQ © 2015; Benchmark Sector comparatives are based on the Global Industry Each authoring analyst of Canaccord Genuity Wealth Management Classification Standard (GICS®) and provided in conjunction whose name appears within the text of this document hereby with S&P Capital IQ © 2015 (and its affiliates, as applicable), certifies that (i) the recommendations and opinions expressed in see restrictions. Share prices are relative to the MSCI USA IMI this research accurately reflect the analyst’s personal, independent (see restrictions). CFROC, CITN and triAngle are trademarks of and objective views about any and all of the investments discussed Canaccord Genuity Limited. Quest® is at this stage registered in the herein and (ii) no part of the analyst’s compensation was, is, or will UK and in the US, and common law trademark rights are asserted in be, directly or indirectly, related to the specific recommendations other jurisdictions. or views expressed by the authoring analyst in this material. The information contained herein is based on a variety of materials Canaccord Genuity Wealth Management (CGWM) is the trading and sources that we believe to be reliable (including company name of Canaccord Genuity Financial Planning Limited (CGFPL), reports, investor presentations and company meetings), however, Canaccord Genuity Wealth Limited (CGWL), CG Wealth Planning Canaccord Genuity Wealth Management makes no representation Limited (CGWPL) and Canaccord Genuity Wealth (International) or warranty, either expressed or implied, in relation to the accuracy, Limited (CGWIL). They are all wholly owned subsidiaries of completeness or reliability of the information contained herein. Canaccord Genuity Group Inc. All opinions and estimates included in this document are subject to CGFPL, CGWL and CGWPL are authorised and regulated by the change without notice and Canaccord Genuity Wealth Management Financial Conduct Authority (registered numbers 154608, 194927 is under no obligation to update the information contained herein. and 594155). Investment Recommendation: CGFPL, CGWL and CGWPL have their registered office at Date and time of first dissemination: 03.08.2020 – 10.00AM ET 41 Lothbury, London, EC2R 7AE. Date and time of production: 03.08.2020 – 10.00AM ET CGFPL, CGWL and CGWPL are registered in England & Wales Buy: no. 02762351, 03739694 and 08284862. Unless otherwise stated, at the time of the recommendation we CGWIL is licensed and regulated by the Guernsey Financial Services consider there is a material upside to the current share price. Commission, the Isle of Man Financial Services Authority and the Jersey Financial Services Commission. CGWIL is registered in Price: Guernsey no. 22761 and has its registered office at Trafalgar Court, Prices are as at market close on 29.07.2020 Admiral Park, St. Peter Port, GY1 2JA. CGWL and CGWIL are members of the London Stock Exchange. Canaccord Genuity Wealth (International) Limited FSP number 48055 is a registered financial services provider with the Financial Sector Conduct Authority in South Africa.
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