Nexans Transforming Nexans' value delivery model - Strategic update, Nov. 9th 2018
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This presentation contains forward-looking statements which are subject to various expected or unexpected risks and uncertainties that could have a material impact on the Company's future performance. The uncertainty in the economic and political environment in Europe including the possible consequences of Brexit which could lead to lower growth ; The impact of protectionist trade policies triggered notably by the current US government as well as growing pressures to increase local content requirements ; Geopolitical instability including embargoes of Qatar and Iran, political instability in Libya and Ivory Coast, as well as persistent tensions in Lebanon, the Persian/Arabian Gulf and the Korean peninsula ; The continued uncertain political and economic situation in South America, particularly in Brazil, which is affecting the building market and major infrastructure projects in the region as well as creating exchange rate volatility and an increased risk of customer default ; Abrupt changes in non-ferrous metal costs that can impact short term customers’ purchasing patterns; A significant drop in metal prices leading to core exposure reevaluation and a direct impact on net income, though without impact on cash or operational margin; The impact of rising inflationary pressures, notably on raw material costs (resins, steel etc.) and labor costs which may impact competitiveness depending on the ability to pass them through into the selling prices to our customers; The impact of changes in exchange rates on the conversion of the financial statements of the Group’s subsidiaries located outside the euro zone. The sustainability of the high rates of growth and/or Nexans’ market penetration in the segments related to renewable energy development (wind and solar farms, interconnections etc.); The speed and magnitude of recovery in the LAN cabling markets in North America and the Group’s ability to take advantage of the strong growth in large data centers; The risk that the expected sustained growth in the automotive markets in North America and in the electric vehicle market worldwide does not materialize; The Group’s ability to adapt to changes in O&G customers’ investments in exploration and production in reaction to oil and gas price fluctuations; The risk that certain programs designed to improve the Group’s competitiveness such as programs of design to cost, fixed cost reductions, R&D and innovation programs, or certain business development plans targeting new markets, experience delays which can result from the speed in technology transfer on obtaining customer qualifications, or which otherwise do not fully meet their objectives; The risk in particular that the time and cost foreseen to return Land High Voltage activities to profitability will not be met; The risk that the timing of expected contract awards or entering into force of contracts in submarine cables are delayed, or accelerated, which can result in unused capacity, otherwise disrupt planning, or exceptional capacity utilization in any given year; The inherent risks related to carrying out major turnkey projects for submarine high-voltage cables. Those might be exacerbated in the coming years as this business becomes increasingly concentrated and centered on a small number of large scale projects (Beatrice, Nordlink, NSL, East Anglia One and DolWin6, which will be the first contract to supply and install HVDC extruded insulation cables), leading to a high capacity utilization rates of the plants involved; The inherent risks associated with major capex projects, particularly the risk of completion delays. These risks notably concern the construction of a new submarine cable laying ship and the extension of the Goose Creek plant in North America to add production of submarine high-voltage cables, two projects that will be instrumental to 2021 objectives. All figures presented in this document are not taking into account future application of IFRS/16 INVESTOR RELATIONS: Michel GÉDÉON +33 1 78 15 05 41 michel.gedeon@nexans.com Marième DIOP +33 1 78 15 05 40 marieme.diop@nexans.com 2
We h a v e c h a l l e n ge s … 1 Undertake further transformation ▪ The potential of turnaround remains high ▪ Manage for growth the 50% of the Group that generates a very good return ▪ Transform the remaining 50% to unlock value 2 Mindset change from volume to value growth ▪ More volume does not mean more profit, we need to scale more than to grow ▪ Move up the value chain rather than focus on growth at all cost ▪ Grow value by positioning Nexans as a service provider and conquer new white spaces 3 Adjust organization structure to introduce more accountability and agility ▪ Higher discipline in execution ▪ Stronger focus on Return on Capital Employed and Free Cash Flow generation ▪ Simplified, leaner and more agile organization The current strategic plan and the initiatives it describes are based on assumptions and scenarios used as hypothesis upon which the attached document is based. These assumptions and scenarios are exposed to all risk factors and main uncertainties described in the 2017 Registration document and in the 2018 Half-year financial report of the Group. Moreover, certain scenarios considered in the current strategic plan will be further analyzed prior to deciding their implementation, and projects resulting from those studies will be submitted to relevant legal bodies including to employee representatives bodies if applicable and when needed. 3
… a n d a g r e at p o t e n tial t o u n l oc k 1 A turnaround method already proven and scalable ▪ Europe and Middle East Africa Areas, have succeeded their transformation ▪ A methodology called SHIFT has been designed by Nexans ▪ Our teams are already starting to deploy it in underperforming units 2 A differentiation DNA ▪ Demonstrated capabilities to differentiate through deployment of services and use of marketing, creating value in very competitive markets such as Building & Territories ▪ Successfully managed to develop systems in segments such as wind turbines ▪ Our service team is being reinforced to scale this up 3 Megatrends support our value chain move ▪ Capturing new services, building modules & systems to escape commodity traps and future intermediation risks ▪ Address the €120Bn market services with new offerings and strategic partnerships The current strategic plan and the initiatives it describes are based on assumptions and scenarios used as hypothesis upon which the attached document is based. These assumptions and scenarios are exposed to all risk factors and main uncertainties described in the 2017 Registration document and in the 2018 Half-year financial report of the Group. Moreover, certain scenarios considered in the current strategic plan will be further analyzed prior to deciding their implementation, and projects resulting from those studies will be submitted to relevant legal bodies including to employee representatives bodies if applicable and when needed. 4
L E A D T H E V A L U E G R O W T H ( I N N O VAT I O N & S E R V I C E S ) 2030 Long term perspectives are excellent and require a move alongside the value chain leading to value growth more than volume growth. By capturing new services, building modules and systems Nexans will: The World population will increase 1- Deliver the best value for money for its clients by +20%, and urbanization by 2- Escape the commodity traps and future intermediation risks. +40% 3- Address the €120Bn market services with new offerings and strategic partnerships Energy consumption will jump by +40% Big picture view of the Energy & data management market Total ~€2,700Bn Focus on Transmission & Distribution (power & data out of scope) First estimate System management ~€20-25Bn Renewable energy will + (fast growing) double Operations ~€1,100-1,400Bn From basic to sophisticated Customer need Asset management Energy transition bringing huge (design, build and maintain equipment & infrastructures) ~€1,000-1,100Bn needs in Infrastructures and Networks Cable Services ~€120Bn Cable & connectivity production will Cable production €220Bn grow 3.9% per year to 2030 (Incl. accessories and cable assembly) System management will grow up to 9.2% per year to 2030. - 2018 All third party trademarks (including logos and icons) referenced here remain the property of their respective owners. Unless specifically identified as such, Nexans’ use of third party trademarks does not indicate any relationship, sponsorship, or endorsement between Nexans and the owners of these trademarks. 5
D e l i v e r o n t r an s for m at io n t o b ui l d o u r f u ture 2018 2019 2020 2021 TRANSFORM OUR POSITIONING Change Playfield to grow value Management focus Scale up the new model TRANSFORM OUR OPERATIONAL MODEL Pay our performance Debt FOCUS SIMPLIFY ADAPT CONNECT DIGITALIZE DISRUPT Reduce operation Reduce organization Optimize operations & Develop new customers’ Digital transformation to Penetrate new white complexity, be more complexity, increase Shift the portfolio offering with partners capture higher returns spaces with less capital selective efficiency intensity Agile organization, Talent Management, Corporate Social Responsibility The current strategic plan and the initiatives it describes are based on assumptions and scenarios used as hypothesis upon which the attached document is based. These assumptions and scenarios are exposed to all risk factors and main uncertainties described in the 2017 Registration document and in the 2018 Half-year financial report of the Group. Moreover, certain scenarios considered in the current strategic plan will be further analyzed prior to deciding their implementation, and projects resulting from those studies will be submitted to relevant legal bodies including to employee representatives bodies if applicable and when needed. 6
O u r 2 0 2 1 o b j e cti ve s Based on the current market conditions In Millions Euros In % (Before taxes) In Millions Euros (Before M&A and dividends) +175M€ +7.0 pts 500 M€ > 200M€ 15.5 % ~ 325 M€ ~ 8.5 % -190 M€ 2018E 2021P 2018E 2021P 2016-2018E 2019E-2021P EBITDA ROCE FREE CASH FLOW C U M U L A T E D • Transform underperforming units towards greater profitability • Focus profitable units on growth for value via differentiation and innovation • Restore competitiveness through ambitious cost reduction plan • Enforce more discipline in CAPEX management and ROI monitoring EBITDA: Operating Margin (OM) before depreciations ROCE: 12months on end-of-period capital employed restated for antitrust provisions. Yearly depreciation amounting to approximately 140M€ in 2018 and 150M€ beyond, Operating Margin can be computed accordingly. The current strategic plan and the initiatives it describes are based on assumptions and scenarios used as hypothesis upon which the attached document is based. These assumptions and scenarios are exposed to all risk factors and main uncertainties described in the 2017 Registration document and in the 2018 Half-year financial report of the Group. Moreover, certain scenarios considered in the current strategic plan will be further analyzed prior to deciding their implementation, and projects resulting from those studies will be submitted to relevant legal bodies including to employee representatives bodies if applicable and when needed. 7
Strategic scorecard : 2 Sequences, 6 Management streams 2018 2019 2020 2021 Management focus TRANSFORM OUR POSITIONING Change Playfield to grow value TRANSFORM OUR OPERATIONAL MODEL Scale up the new model Pay our performance Debt FOCUS SIMPLIFY ADAPT CONNECT DIGITALIZE DISRUPT Business Unit portfolio Cost reduction management – p10 to Zoom on selected initiatives initiatives – p11 p11 Transformation plan – p12 to p13 KPI & Routines – p14 Dedicated presentation in 2019 CSR priorities – p15 The current strategic plan and the initiatives it describes are based on assumptions and scenarios used as hypothesis upon which the attached document is based. These assumptions and scenarios are exposed to all risk factors and main uncertainties described in the 2017 Registration document and in the 2018 Half-year financial report of the Group. Moreover, certain scenarios considered in the current strategic plan will be further analyzed prior to deciding their implementation, and projects resulting from those studies will be submitted to relevant legal bodies including to employee representatives bodies if applicable and when needed. 9
FOCUS Strong business unit portfolio management NEXANS BUSINESS UNIT PORTFOLIO ANALYSIS BY 2021 WE TARGET A COMPLETE TURNAROUND OF A granular view VALUE BURNERS, ONE THIRD OF THE COMPANY WILL STILL BE IN TRANSFORMATION PHASE Split of the estimated 2018 turnover per Business Unit segment (Simplified and at iso-volume) EBIT % of Net 2018E Building & Constant Profitable 1 Profit drivers Territories 2021P sales cash tanks Milk 2018E High Voltage & Projects 2021P Transformation Cash tanks 2 candidates 2018E Telecom & Data 2021P 3 ValueRestructure burners 2018E Industry & Solutions 2021P Net Constant sales 1 Profit drivers and Profitable Cash tanks % of OWC 2 Transformation candidates and Cash tanks 3 Value Burners The current strategic plan and the initiatives it describes are based on assumptions and scenarios used as hypothesis upon which the attached document is based. These assumptions and scenarios are exposed to all risk factors and main uncertainties described in the 2017 Registration document and in the 2018 Half-year financial report of the Group. Moreover, certain scenarios considered in the current strategic plan will be further analyzed prior to deciding their implementation, and projects resulting from those studies will be submitted to relevant legal bodies including to employee representatives bodies if applicable and when needed. 10
FOCUS Strong business unit portfolio management ALL UNITS Our Turnaround Restructure 1 Manage for Value Growth 2 3 Offset Price cost squeeze & labor Strategy Manage for 2cash Manage for cash inflation Our Differentiate Allocate Freeze Sales Initiatives Grow Value Transform Cost reduction initiatives & Innovate CAPEX CAPEX Attrition Seed for 400M€ value growth focused on a No volume New Incremental 100M€ EBITDA CAPEX freeze 210M€ fixed and variable cost reduction Our limited growth or offerings, Focused & profitable growth run rate by 2021 Except run rate by 2021 targets number of attrition to Smart targeting 55M€ EBITDA run Reduction of 190M€ OWC maintenance To offset the Price cost squeeze & Labor initiative of target products rate by 2021 through SHIFT and other safety and inflation, estimated at ~190M€ over the which Aurora margin ratios Turnkey, new initiatives environment period new HV increase capabilities subsea boat ▪ Deploy Service & Innovation task forces ▪ Deploy transformation task force ▪ Industrial Footprint optimization ▪ Carry out Differentiated offers methods ▪ Focus KPIs on cost control and free cash flow ▪ Indirect spend reductions Status ▪ Focus KPIs on growth and free cash flow ▪ Favor attrition of the activities to target margin ratios increase ▪ LEAN manufacturing implementation ▪ Boost value growth ▪ Optimize Industrial footprint ▪ Support functions optimization The current strategic plan and the initiatives it describes are based on assumptions and scenarios used as hypothesis upon which the attached document is based. These assumptions and scenarios are exposed to all risk factors and main uncertainties described in the 2017 Registration document and in the 2018 Half-year financial report of the Group. Moreover, certain scenarios considered in the current strategic plan will be further analyzed prior to deciding their implementation, and projects resulting from those studies will be submitted to relevant legal bodies including to employee representatives bodies if applicable and when needed. 11 11
FOCUS & ADAPT Transformation plan Squad turnaround forces transforming Data into Actions and Actions into Results. CASE STUDY – European Activities – 2014-2016 € The transformation project is split into Business Units that correspond to existing profit centers. Make KPIs simple: EBITDA, OWC, FCF What has been done? Rethink business portfolio Reduce complexity, enhance density The mission is organized in project mode for 12 to18 months with a weekly Break silos, become systemic, and holistic tempo under direct supervision Nexans top management. Results A task force fully dedicated to support and drive the transformation is 10 Business Units have been covered between being deployed on sites. Composed of consultants & Nexans leaders. December 2014 and December 2016 on a Sales perimeter of 0,9Bn€ (Constant metal prices) : • An additional 20M€ EBITDA has been generated in 2016 vs. 2014. More than 30 transformation levers have been codified and adapted to • The OWC decreased of 70M€ on the period. the cable industry covering sales, logistics and operations into a holistic approach. The current strategic plan and the initiatives it describes are based on assumptions and scenarios used as hypothesis upon which the attached document is based. These assumptions and scenarios are exposed to all risk factors and main uncertainties described in the 2017 Registration document and in the 2018 Half-year financial report of the Group. Moreover, certain scenarios considered in the current strategic plan will be further analyzed prior to deciding their implementation, and projects resulting from those studies will be submitted to relevant legal bodies including to employee representatives bodies if applicable and when needed. 12 12
FOCUS & ADAPT Transformation plan We will stick with a time-tested approach that generates big returns from dramatic improvements in operations. Since 2014 HY 2018 2019 2020 Building & Deployed on 5 6 Business Units 14 Business Units 6 Business Units Territories Business Units covered covered covered The full transformation program targets a contribution of Deployed on 2 100M€ EBITDA Telecom & Data 1 Business Units 1 Business Units Business Units covered covered and 190M€ OWC reduction by 2021 Estimate is based Industry & on the results of Deployed on 3 2 Business Units 2 Business Units Solutions Business Units covered covered our ‘financial stress test’ ran in Q3 2018, and our past The Land HV business unit is currently going through a special experiences. High Voltage & Projects transformation plan, covering sales, OWC and industrial performance The current strategic plan and the initiatives it describes are based on assumptions and scenarios used as hypothesis upon which the attached document is based. These assumptions and scenarios are exposed to all risk factors and main uncertainties described in the 2017 Registration document and in the 2018 Half-year financial report of the Group. Moreover, certain scenarios considered in the current strategic plan will be further analyzed prior to deciding their implementation, and projects resulting from those studies will be submitted to relevant legal bodies including to employee representatives bodies if applicable and when needed. 13 13
ADAPT New management routines, new kpi, Central control tower Accountability for results Switch the culture from Understanding to Acting Foster a results-oriented mindset by creating repeatable processes that spur performance improvements again and again. Develop managers hard skills on turnaround practices Indicators & targets Stronger weighting of ROCE & Free cash flow Adapt KPIs to the business cluster (Growth vs. Turnaround) Align management variable remuneration Pace & routines Increase the pace: from quarterly routines to monthly & weekly ones Actions & projects linked to financial result Increase routine frequency when results deviate from target Central control tower to lead and monitor weekly all initiatives The current strategic plan and the initiatives it describes are based on assumptions and scenarios used as hypothesis upon which the attached document is based. These assumptions and scenarios are exposed to all risk factors and main uncertainties described in the 2017 Registration document and in the 2018 Half-year financial report of the Group. Moreover, certain scenarios considered in the current strategic plan will be further analyzed prior to deciding their implementation, and projects 14 14 resulting from those studies will be submitted to relevant legal bodies including to employee representatives bodies if applicable and when needed.
CSR as a value creation lever Our TOP 4 priorities Safety Ensure health and safety at sites CSR ranking 2014 2017 C+ Leverage safety rules enforcement to reinforce our discipline in execution D ‘Prime’ D B Trainings 63/100 2017: 72/100 Build people who build business Reinforce Nexans employees hard skills (finance, sales & marketing, lean manufacturing) KPI Target 2021 Energy transition Safety Engage with customers to contribute to a more sustainable economy Workplace accident frequency rate
Transforming Nexans’ Value Delivery Model A financial New Deal 16
2 0 1 8 - 2 0 2 1 B r i dge Overall Trajectory – Waterfall from Baseline to 2021 EBITDA EBITDA In million € 500 55 100 ~ 325 190 210 2018E Price cost squeeze Cost reduction Transformation Plan Organic Growth 2021P & labor inflation initiatives & Value Growth Initiatives EBITDA: Operating Margin (OM) before depreciations ROCE: 12months on end-of-period capital employed restated for antitrust provisions. Yearly depreciation amounting to approximately 140M€ in 2018 and 150M€ beyond, Operating Margin can be computed accordingly. The current strategic plan and the initiatives it describes are based on assumptions and scenarios used as hypothesis upon which the attached document is based. These assumptions and scenarios are exposed to all risk factors and main uncertainties described in the 2017 Registration document and in the 2018 Half-year financial report of the Group. Moreover, certain scenarios considered in the current strategic plan will be further analyzed prior to deciding their implementation, and projects 17 resulting from those studies will be submitted to relevant legal bodies including to employee representatives bodies if applicable and when needed.
2 0 1 8 - 2 0 2 1 t r aj e ct o r y EBITDA 500 In million € 350 to 390 ~ 325 FY18E FY19P FY20P FY21P Transformation Plan 20-30% 60-70% 100% Actions financial Organic growth & value growth init. 5-15% 55-65% 100% impact (Cumulated % of 2021 Cost reduction init. 30-40% 60-70% 100% Run Rate) Price cost squeeze & labor inflation 33% 66% 100% EBITDA: Operating Margin (OM) before depreciations ROCE: 12months on end-of-period capital employed restated for antitrust provisions. Yearly depreciation amounting to approximately 140M€ in 2018 and 150M€ beyond, Operating Margin can be computed accordingly. The current strategic plan and the initiatives it describes are based on assumptions and scenarios used as hypothesis upon which the attached document is based. These assumptions and scenarios are exposed to all risk factors and main uncertainties described in the 2017 Registration document and in the 2018 Half-year financial report of the Group. Moreover, certain scenarios considered in the current strategic plan will be further analyzed prior to deciding their implementation, and projects resulting from those studies will be submitted to relevant legal bodies including to employee representatives bodies if applicable and when needed. 18
2 0 1 8 - 2 0 2 1 t r aj e cto ry ROCE 15.5% Before taxes 9% to 11% 8.5% FY18E FY19P FY20P FY21P Sales ~3% CAGR Constant metal prices 4.4 Bn€ FY18E FY19P FY20P FY21P EBITDA: Operating Margin (OM) before depreciations ROCE: 12months on end-of-period capital employed restated for antitrust provisions. Yearly depreciation amounting to approximately 140M€ in 2018 and 150M€ beyond, Operating Margin can be computed accordingly. The current strategic plan and the initiatives it describes are based on assumptions and scenarios used as hypothesis upon which the attached document is based. These assumptions and scenarios are exposed to all risk factors and main uncertainties described in the 2017 Registration document and in the 2018 Half-year financial report of the Group. Moreover, certain scenarios considered in the current strategic plan will be further analyzed prior to deciding their implementation, and projects resulting from those studies will be submitted to relevant legal bodies including to employee representatives bodies if applicable and when needed. 19
2 0 1 8 - 2 0 2 1 t r aj e cto ry Cumulated Free Cash Flow 2019P-2021P Before dividends and M&A 1.3 to 1.4Bn€ >200M€ EBITDA CAPEX Delta OWC Delta OWC Cost reduction CF Before Taxes Cash Debt interest Cumulative CF2 (Growth) (Transf.) One-offs & Interest Taxes & pensions1 • Cost reduction one-offs estimated at ~250M€ on the period will be self financed within 2 years. • CAPEX : Includes 400M€ focused on a limited number of Profit Drivers segment initiative such as Aurora new HV subsea boat and North America EBITDA: Operating Margin (OM) before depreciations ROCE: 12months on end-of-period capital employed restated for antitrust provisions. Yearly depreciation amounting to approximately 140M€ in 2018 and 150M€ beyond, Operating Margin can be computed accordingly. The current strategic plan and the initiatives it describes are based on assumptions and scenarios used as hypothesis upon which the attached document is based. These assumptions and scenarios are exposed to all risk factors and main uncertainties described in the 2017 Registration document and in the 2018 Half-year financial report of the Group. Moreover, certain scenarios considered in the current strategic plan will be further analyzed prior to deciding their implementation, and projects resulting from those studies will be submitted to relevant legal bodies including to employee representatives bodies if applicable and when needed. 20
Conclusion 21
Wa l k t h e t a l k The communication agenda on our initiatives TRANSFORM OUR POSITIONING TRANSFORM OUR OPERATIONAL MODEL Full Year 2018 results Half Year 2019 results Full Year 2019 results Half Year 2020 results New group operational organization Cost reduction initiatives – Follow up and results SHIFT– Status and results Transform Our Positioning – Strategic update The current strategic plan and the initiatives it describes are based on assumptions and scenarios used as hypothesis upon which the attached document is based. These assumptions and scenarios are exposed to all risk factors and main uncertainties described in the 2017 Registration document and in the 2018 Half-year financial report of the Group. Moreover, certain scenarios considered in the current strategic plan will be further analyzed prior to deciding their implementation, and projects resulting from those studies will be submitted to relevant legal bodies including to employee representatives bodies if applicable and when needed. 22
Transforming Nexans’ value delivery model Fact based Comprehensive review Snapshot We have gone deeper than ever before to understand our strengths and weaknesses building a view of the Nexans’ future based on a clear understanding of where we can succeed and how we must change to get there. Sequential Continued Transformation Focus Transformation We have a clear, concise and actionable plan forward rooted on the past success of SHIFT. The turnaround we proved for 50% of Nexans’ will now be the focus for the rest of the company as we ramp up our value drivers delivering cash and building our future potential. Changing the company culture and structure from one of understanding to acting. Future proof Future based on customer success Delivering on a future not based on wishful thinking but on the fundamental market trends Positioning driving our customers of today and those of tomorrow. Constructed on the market megatrends that spell out the future growth cycles, Nexans’ after its transformation will be uniquely positioned to drive customer and shareholder value. The current strategic plan and the initiatives it describes are based on assumptions and scenarios used as hypothesis upon which the attached document is based. These assumptions and scenarios are exposed to all risk factors and main uncertainties described in the 2017 Registration document and in the 2018 Half-year financial report of the Group. Moreover, certain scenarios considered in the current strategic plan will be further analyzed prior to deciding their implementation, and projects 23 resulting from those studies will be submitted to relevant legal bodies including to employee representatives bodies if applicable and when needed.
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