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MSCI ESG MSCI ESG Ratings and Indexes - Stefan Hüttermann - FAZ-Konferenzen
Information Classification: GENERAL

                               MSCI ESG RATINGS | INDEXES

MSCI ESG
MSCI ESG Ratings and Indexes

Stefan Hüttermann
stefan.huettermann@msci.com

September 2020

                                                          © 2019 MSCI Inc. All rights reserved.
                                    Please refer to the disclaimer at the end of this document.
Information Classification: GENERAL

1
    What is ESG?
    Why ESG
    Matters?

                                         © 2019 MSCI Inc. All rights reserved.
                   Please refer to the disclaimer at the end of this document.
Information Classification: GENERAL

ESG investing is growing dramatically…why now?
                   UN PRI* Has Grown to Over 1,900 Signatories                                                                                                   99% CAGR in ETF AUM Tracking
                            with $81.7 Trillion In AUM                                                                                                            MSCI ESG Indexes since 2013

                                90                                                                       2500                                                                     As of Mar. 31, 2019                    163
                                                                                                                                                     20                                                                         180
 Assets Under Management (US$

                                80                                                                                                                                                                           149
                                                                                                         2000                                                                                                            1.7
                                70

                                                                                                                                 AUM (US$ billion)
                                                                                                                                                     15                                                                         130

                                                                                                                N° Signatories
                                60
                                                                                                         1500                                                                                      89        1.5

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      # of ETFs
                                50
            trillion)

                                                                                                                                                                                        71
                                40                                                                                                                   10                                                                         80
                                                                                                         1000                                                                                      0.8
                                30                                                                                                                                                                                       16.8
                                                                                                                                                                             34
                                20                                                                       500                                                       18                                       12.4
                                10                                                                                                                    5    6                            0.4
                                                                                                                                                                                                   9.0                          30
                                 0                                                                       0                                                                  0.1        4.1
                                     2006      2008      2010     2012      2014      2016      2018                                                                        1.7
                                                                                                                                                      0    0.5     1.0                                                          -20
                                                                                                                                                          2013    2014      2015       2016        2017     2018     Mar'19
                                     AO Assets under Management                 Total AUM
                                     Number of Asset Owners                     Number of signatories                                                              Equity           Fixed Income            # of Funds

                                                                                                        HERE’S WHY:

   1. Investors have                                                                                                                                      3. Greater                                      4. Improved
                                                                                2. Investors
become less tolerant of                                                                                                                               understanding of
                                                                              demonstrating                                                                                                                    ESG
        corporate                                                                                                                                     potential financial
                                                                             willingness to act                                                                                                              ratings
     ESG incidents                                                                                                                                         benefit

                                                  *United Nations Principles for Responsible Investing                                                                                                                                 3
Information Classification: GENERAL

 Investors have become less tolerant of
 Corporate ESG incidents
 30 years ago, Exxon’s stock price barely moved when Exxon Valdez spilled 11mm gallons of oil on the
 Alaskan shore.* Today, with social media allowing for immediate, global communication of issues,
 investors are making companies accountable for their actions.

                                                     VALEANT 2015                                          ZHEJIANG HUAHAI 2018
EQUIFAX 2017
                                                                         -71%
         -25%                   ACCOUNTING                                                                                                    -30%
                                                                                                         PRODUCT
                                                                                                          SAFETY
                         PRIVACY
                          & DATA
                         SECURITY                                  CORPORATE
                                                                  GOVERNANCE

     VALE 2019

                                       HEALTH &                                                  -30%
                -25%                    SAFETY

                                                                          VOLKSWAGEN 2015

              *Source: https://www.fool.com/investing/general/2014/03/24/25-years-on-from-exxon-valdez-what-weve-learned-wh.aspx;
              Examples only. Past performance is not indicative of future results, which may differ materially.                                        4
Information Classification: GENERAL

Greater understanding of potential financial
benefit of ESG strategies, and longer track records
                                A MSCI ESG Research study1 found that companies                                         MSCI has a broad range of ESG Indexes with
                                with high ESG Ratings had higher profitability, lower                                significant live history. More than 120 have five or
                                tail risk and lower systematic risk on average based                                more years of live history, with MSCI KLD 400 having
                                                  on 10 years of data                                                       the longest track record (28+ years).

                                 Companies with higher MSCI ESG scores had                                             MSCI KLD 400: 28+ years of live history
                                higher profitability and were more competitive
                                                                                                                                     MSCI KLD 400 vs MSCI USA
                                                                                                            1000                                                                        1000
                                0.3                                                                          900                                                                        900
                                                                                                             800                                                                        800
                                                                                                             700                                                                        700
Gross Profitability – Z-Score

                                0.2                                                                          600                                                                        600
                                                                                                             500                                                                        500
                                0.1                                                                          400                                                                        400

                                  0                                                                          300                                                                        300

                                -0.1                                                                         200                                                                        200

                                -0.2

                                                                                                             100                                                                        100
                                -0.3                                                                          90                                                                        90
                                            01         02          03         04         05                          92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06 08 10 12 14 16
                                                            Mean        Current                                                  MSCI KLD 400 Social                   MSCI USA

                                             1. “Foundations of ESG Investing, Part 1: How ESG affects Equity Valuation, Risk and Performance,” MSCI, November 2017.
                                             Giese, Lee, Melas, Nagy, Nishikawa.                                                                                                          5
Information Classification: GENERAL

   Asset owner adoption of MSCI ESG Indexes
Incorporating ESG into investment strategy or creating products typically starts with understanding client
objectives, which may combine elements of managing long-term risk, reflecting values and positive impact.

               Investment Objectives                                   Individual Objectives

                                                                                           “Our investments
                                                                                             should reflect
                                                                                          our clients’ values”
  “Incorporating ESG
   may improve our
 investment results”

                                                                                            “We want our
                                                                                           investments to
                                                                                          make a difference
                                                                                            in the world”

                                                                                                                       6
Information Classification: GENERAL

     Asset owner adoption of MSCI ESG Indexes
 Approximately $277 bn allocated to investments tracking / benchmarked to MSCI ESG equity & fixed income indexes since 20141

2014-2015            2016                          2017                                         2018                                 2019                              2020

                                                       GPIF                         Ontario                                                    PenSam
                    CalSTRS                        Commenced                                                Willis Towers
   AMF                                                                             Teachers                    Watson                        adopts MSCI
MSCI ACWI          Committed                        with 3% of                   Pension Fund
                    $2.5bn to                                                                                  $750M                            Climate
   ESG                                            domestic equity                MSCI ACWI Ex                                                  Index for            Shell Pension
                  MSCI ACWI                         MSCI Japan                                             MSCI ACWI ex
 Leaders                                                                          Canada Ex                 Thermal Coal                        €4.8bn                  (SSPF)
  policy          Low Carbon                        ESG Select                     Tobacco
                  Target Index                                                                                Adaptive                          equities            Moved 22.6%
benchmark                                         Leaders Index +                   policy                                                     portfolio             of its €30bn
                                                    MSCI Japan                                              Capped ESG
                                                                                  benchmark                Universal Index                                           portfolio to
                                                   Empowering                                                                                                       MSCI’s custom
                                                     Women                                                                       Fonds de
                                     VBV                                                                                       solidarité FTQ                             ESG
                                 Approximatel                                                                                   announced                            benchmark
  UK EAPF                          y $0.9bn                              Migros                United Nations                  integration of
   $400m                         MSCI World                              $4.5bn                 Pension Fund                    MSCI World                   UC
 MSCI World                      Low Carbon                            MSCI ACWI               MSCI ACWI Ex                     Low Carbon             Investments
 Low Carbon                         Target                              ex China                 Tobacco Ex                     ESG Target               MSCI’s ex
   Target                                                                 ESG                   Controversial                    Screened               tobacco ex
    Index                                                               Universal              Weapons policy                       Index                fossil fuel
                    Taiwan                                                                                                                                 index
                     BLF                        Swiss Re                                         benchmark
                    $2.4bn                       $130bn
                  MSCI ACWI                Active listed equity
                  ESG Factor                   and credit                          London                                                                Swiss Federal
                   Mix Index               MSCI ESG Leaders                   Borough of Tower                                                            Pension Fund
                                             + Bloomberg                          Hamlets                  Brunel Pension                                    PUBLICA
                                            Barclays MSCI                      MSCI World Low                Partnership                                  MSCI custom
                                               Corporate                        Carbon Target                MSCI low-                                  climate efficient
                                             Sustainability                   Index benchmark               carbon target                                  index for its
                  AP4                                                            for its Low                  index for                                 equity portfolio.
               Targeting                                                       Carbon Passive               passive low-                                     Based on
            100% of equity                                                      Global Equity              carbon equities                             transition risk and
               portfolio                                                          mandate                                                                 physical risk
              allocation                                         Ilmarinen
                by 2020              New Zealand
                                        Super                        ESG                        London                                     Ilmarinen
              MSCI Low                                          benchmark                                                                                                PostNL
            Carbon indexes          40% of passive                                             Borough of                                   invested
                                        equity                     indices                                                                 $2.2 Bn in                  Sustainable
                                                                                                Hackney                                                                 (custom)
                                       portfolio                 based on                      MSCI Low                                   ETFs linked
                                     MSCI custom                   MSCI’s                                                                to MSCI ESG                     index -
                                                                                                Carbon                                                                  European
                                     Low Carbon                sustainability                 Target index                                  Leaders
                                        Index                      ratings                                                                                                equity
                                                                                                  fund                                                                  holdings

                             1Based on publicly available information or press releases published from 2014 to date. Some of the examples listed have not publicly disclosed
                             allocations and are not included in this total
                                                                                                                                                                                7
Information Classification: GENERAL

Introducing ESG Ratings

                                                  8
Information Classification: GENERAL

     MSCI ESG Ratings methodology
               1                                         2                          3                               4

        EVALUATE CORPORATE                        IDENTIFY KEY ISSUES         SCORE KEY ISSUES                FINAL ESG RATINGS
            GOVERNANCE                               BY INDUSTRY                   (0-10)                         (AAA-CCC)

 Analysis begins with a                      Focus on most                 Focus on risk                Identify leaders and
   deep governance                        relevant ESG factors           exposure not just            laggards, not business
      assessment                               by industry                  disclosure                     type exclusion
                                             Quantitative Approach +     Scoring Models Assess Risk         Industry-Relative
Ownership, Board, Pay, Accounting,
                                              Annual Consultation       Exposure + Risk Management       ESG Ratings (AAA-CCC)
      Corporate Behavior

                         Sources: MSCI ESG Research                                                                                 9
Information Classification: GENERAL

   Selecting economically relevant issues
  QUANTITATIVE APPROACH TO OBJECTIVELY DEFINE THE ECONOMICALLY
  RELEVANT E&S ISSUES FOR EACH OF THE 156 INDUSTRY MODELS

                       CARBON                  WATER                  HEALTH &                        BRIBERY &
                       EMISSIONS               STRESS                 SAFETY                          ETHICS
                       t CO2e / $M             m3 / $M                fatalities per                  # of active
                                                                      1m workers                      controversies

                             1853              79
Utilities
                550                  26                                0.29                53
Energy
                      1270                44                   0.09                       42
Materials
                                                         121                              46
Cons. Staples
                                     25                        0.09                              96
Industrials
                                                                                          35
Telecom
                                     19                                                     61
Health Care
                                     23                                                    51
Cons. Disc.
                                     23                                                   39
Info Tech
                                                                                                               201
Financials

                                                                                                                  10
Information Classification: GENERAL

Measuring ESG risk exposure

                                                                          RISK MANAGEMENT
 LEVEL OF RISK                                                                CAPACITY
   EXPOSURE

                                                          • Policies & commitments
                                                            • Programs & initiatives
         • Type of operations                              • Performance indicators
       • Location of operations                                 • Controversies
        • Size of operation, etc

                            EVALUATE MANAGEMENT STRATEGY IN THE
                                  CONTEXT OF RISK EXPOSURE

                                                                                                              11
Information Classification: GENERAL

Index Methodologies
MSCI SRI S-Series (FEBELFIN screen)

                                                        12
Information Classification: GENERAL

MSCI ESG INDEXES
                                      INDEXES THAT USE THE ESG RATING

            ESG                ESG             ESG                ESG
  ACWI    SCREENED          UNIVERSAL        LEADERS             FOCUS                   SRI
                      AAA

                                                                                       PERFORMERS
                                                                                       SECTOR ESG
                                              PERFORMERS

                                                                                          TOP
                                               GOOD ESG

                                                                  TOP SECTOR ESG
                                                                    PERFORMERS
                                                                                   25%
                                                                                                       A

                               TILT
                                           50%
                                                           BB

                                                                                          ineligible
                                              PERFORMERS
                                               POOR ESG

                                                                  PERFORMERS
                                                                   POOR ESG
         Exclusions                         Exclusions                              Exclusions
                                                                Exclusions
                      CCC

                                                                                                              13
Information Classification: GENERAL

    Index Methodologies: MSCI SRI
                                                             Identify companies
Index                              MSCI SRI              1   whose business lines or
                                                             behavior
                   Combines a best in class selection        is contrary to your
Description        approach with a set of values-based       values and exclude
                   screens                                   them
                                                             •   Controversial weapons
                   • 25% target sector representation        •   Civilian firearms
                                                             •   Nuclear weapons
                   • Values-based exclusions
                                                             •   Tobacco
Methodology                                                  •   Alcohol
                   New index constituents must have          •   Adult Entertainment
                   • Min ESG rating A                        •   Conventional weapons
                   • Min ESG controversy score 4             •   Gambling
                                                             •   Genetically modified
Weighting scheme   Market capitalization                         organisms
                                                             •   Nuclear power
Rebalancing        Quarterly                                 •   Thermal Coal

                                                             Identify ESG Leaders
                                                         2   able to manage their
                                                             ESG risks and
                                                             opportunities in the
                                                             medium to long term

                                                                                            14
Information Classification: GENERAL

FEBELFIN Screen on SRI S-Series

                                     Screen                           SRI                  SRI S-Series

                   % Thermal Coal Extraction                    ≥ 30% Revenue             > 10% Revenue

                   % Unconventional Oil & Gas Extraction                -                 > 10% Revenue

                   Conventional Oil & Gas Supply
                   % Natural Gas Extraction and Renewable               -                  > 0% Revenue
ENERGY / CLIMATE

                   Energy

                                                                                        > 10% Installed Cap /
                   % Coal-based Power                           ≥ 30% Revenue            > 10% Gen Output /
                                                                                           > 10% Revenue

                                                                                        > 30% Installed Cap /
                   % Oil & Gas-based Power                              -                > 30% Gen Output /
                                                                                           > 30% Revenue

                                                                                        ≥ 5% Installed Cap /
                                                            ≥ 5% Installed Cap / ≥ 5%
                                                                                         ≥ 5% Gen Output /
                   % Nuclear Power                                Gen Output /
                                                                                          > 30% Revenue /
                                                                ≥ 15% Aggregate
                                                                                          ≥ 15% Aggregate

                                                                                                                                   15
Information Classification: GENERAL

Key Metrics
 Key Metrics

                                                            MSCI World SRI S-
                                     MSCI World
                                                            Series 5% Capped

 Total Return* (%)                         8.3                         9.7
 Total Risk (%)                           11.8                        11.9
 Return/Risk                              0.71                        0.82
 Sharpe Ratio                             0.58                        0.70
 Active Return (%)                         0.0                         1.4
 Tracking Error (%)                        0.0                         2.0
 Information Ratio                        NaN                         0.69
 Historical Beta                          1.00                        0.99
 No of Stocks***                          1646                        367
 Turnover** (%)                            2.4                        15.9
 Price To Book***                          2.3                         2.7
 Price to Earnings***                     19.7                        18.9
 Dividend Yield*** (%)                     2.5                         2.4
 Period: 30-Nov-2015 to 28-Feb-2020
 * Gross returns annualized in USD
 ** Annualized one-way index turnover over index reviews
 *** Monthly averages
 The definitions of all statistical parameters are available in the Appendix

           Performance (%)
                                                    MSCI World SRI
                             MSCI World              S-Series 5%
                                                       Capped
           YTD                    -8.9                      -7.5
           1 Yr                    5.2                       9.2
           3 Yr                    7.8                       9.9
           5 Yr                   NaN                       NaN
           10 Yr                  NaN                       NaN
           Gross returns in USD for the period ending 28-Feb-2020
           Returns are annualized for periods longer than one year

                                                                                                           16
Information Classification: GENERAL

 ESG Metrics
ESG Metrics > Integration & Values
                                                                             MSCI World
                                                                  MSCI World SRI S-Series
                                                                             5% Capped
Integration
ESG Score                                                               6.1       8.0
ESG Leaders (AAA-AA) (%)                                               29.2      69.8
ESG Laggards (B-CCC) (%)                                                6.2       0.0
ESG Trend Positive (%)                                                 12.4       6.2
ESG Trend Negative (%)                                                  5.1       5.0
Index ESG Rating                                                         A        AA
Environmental Pillar Score                                              5.6       6.4
Social Pillar Score                                                     4.8       5.7
Governance Pillar Score                                                 5.4       6.1
Key Governance Metrics
Board Independence (Wtd Avg %)                                         77.9      80.2
Female Directors (Wtd Avg %)                                           28.8      30.4
Deviation from One Share One Vote (%)                                  21.8      18.5
Values
Tobacco Involvement (%)                                                 1.2       0.0
Civilian Firearms Producers (%)                                         0.2       0.0
Ties to Controversial Weapons (%)                                       0.8       0.0
Global Compact Compliance Violation (%)                                 1.9       0.0
Red Flag Controversies (%)                                              2.7       0.0
Orange Flag Controversies (%)                                          28.2      10.5
As of 28-Feb-2020
The definitions of all statistical parameters are available in the Appendix

                                                                                                                       17
Information Classification: GENERAL

 Climate Change Metrics
ESG Metrics > Climate Change
                                                                                         MSCI World
                                                                              MSCI World SRI S-Series
                                                                                         5% Capped
Carbon Footprint
Carbon Emissions (t CO2e/$M Invested)                                            115          52
Carbon Intensity (t CO2e/$M Sales)                                               188          91
Wtd Avg Carbon Intensity (t CO2e/$M Sales)                                       169          94
Low Carbon Transition Risks
Low Carbon Transition Score                                                       6.0         6.3
Solutions (%)                                                                     2.9         3.0
Product & Operational Transition (%)                                             15.8        10.0
Asset Stranding (%)                                                               0.3         0.0
Exposure to Asset Stranding Risks
Potential Carbon Emissions (t CO2e/$M Invested)                                  2006          0
Fossil Fuel Reserves (%)                                                          5.9         0.1
Thermal Coal Mining (%)                                                           1.2         0.0
Thermal Coal-based Power Generation (%)                                           3.6         0.1
Unconventional Oil & Gas Extraction (%)                                           3.1         0.0
Exposure to Clean Technology Solutions
Clean Technologies Solutions (>= 20% Revenue)                                    4.6          8.6
Clean Technologies Solutions Revenue (Wtd Avg %)                                 3.5          5.5
Green Share/Brown Share Ratio (Wtd Avg % Revenue)                                1.6        1332.7
Other Climate Metrics
Exposure to Carbon-related Assets (%)                                             7.7         1.9
Climate-related Controversies (%, Score
Information Classification: GENERAL

Top Constituents & Top Active Positions
       Top Constituents by Index Weight in the MSCI World SRI S-Series 5% Capped
                                                                                    Active
                                                                           Weight             ESG
                               Country          Sector                              Weight
                                                                            (%)              Rating
                                                                                     (%)
       Microsoft Corp          USA              Information Technology       5.7     2.8      AAA
       Procter & Gamble Co     USA              Consumer Staples             3.2     2.5       AA
       Home Depot              USA              Consumer Discretionary       2.7     2.1       AA
       Disney (Walt)           USA              Communication Services       2.4     1.8      BBB
       Pepsico                 USA              Consumer Staples             2.1     1.6       AA
       Adobe                   USA              Information Technology       1.9     1.5       AA
       Nvidia                  USA              Information Technology       1.7     1.4      AAA
       Salesforce.Com          USA              Information Technology       1.6     1.2      AAA
       Sap                     GERMANY          Information Technology       1.3     1.0      AAA
       Amgen                   USA              Health Care                  1.3     1.0       AA
       Asml Hldg               NETHERLANDS      Information Technology       1.3     1.0      AAA
       Accenture A             USA              Information Technology       1.3     1.0      AAA
       Novo Nordisk B          DENMARK          Health Care                  1.1     0.9      AAA
       American Tower Corp     USA              Real Estate                  1.1     0.9       A
       Toronto-Dominion Bank   CANADA           Financials                   1.0     0.8       AA
       Allianz                 GERMANY          Financials                   1.0     0.8      AAA
       Csl                     AUSTRALIA        Health Care                  1.0     0.8       A
       Tesla                   USA              Consumer Discretionary       1.0     0.8       A
       Gilead Sciences         USA              Health Care                  1.0     0.8       AA
       Siemens                 GERMANY          Industrials                  0.9     0.7      AAA
       Sony Corp               JAPAN            Consumer Discretionary       0.9     0.7      AAA
       American Express        USA              Financials                   0.9     0.7       AA
       Caterpillar             USA              Industrials                  0.8     0.6       A
       L'oreal                 FRANCE           Consumer Staples             0.7     0.6      AAA
       Chubb                   USA              Financials                   0.7     0.6      BBB
       As of 28-Feb-2020

                                                                                                                               19
Information Classification: GENERAL

About MSCI

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