MSCI ESG MSCI ESG Ratings and Indexes - Stefan Hüttermann - FAZ-Konferenzen
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Information Classification: GENERAL MSCI ESG RATINGS | INDEXES MSCI ESG MSCI ESG Ratings and Indexes Stefan Hüttermann stefan.huettermann@msci.com September 2020 © 2019 MSCI Inc. All rights reserved. Please refer to the disclaimer at the end of this document.
Information Classification: GENERAL 1 What is ESG? Why ESG Matters? © 2019 MSCI Inc. All rights reserved. Please refer to the disclaimer at the end of this document.
Information Classification: GENERAL ESG investing is growing dramatically…why now? UN PRI* Has Grown to Over 1,900 Signatories 99% CAGR in ETF AUM Tracking with $81.7 Trillion In AUM MSCI ESG Indexes since 2013 90 2500 As of Mar. 31, 2019 163 20 180 Assets Under Management (US$ 80 149 2000 1.7 70 AUM (US$ billion) 15 130 N° Signatories 60 1500 89 1.5 # of ETFs 50 trillion) 71 40 10 80 1000 0.8 30 16.8 34 20 500 18 12.4 10 5 6 0.4 9.0 30 0 0 0.1 4.1 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 1.7 0 0.5 1.0 -20 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Mar'19 AO Assets under Management Total AUM Number of Asset Owners Number of signatories Equity Fixed Income # of Funds HERE’S WHY: 1. Investors have 3. Greater 4. Improved 2. Investors become less tolerant of understanding of demonstrating ESG corporate potential financial willingness to act ratings ESG incidents benefit *United Nations Principles for Responsible Investing 3
Information Classification: GENERAL Investors have become less tolerant of Corporate ESG incidents 30 years ago, Exxon’s stock price barely moved when Exxon Valdez spilled 11mm gallons of oil on the Alaskan shore.* Today, with social media allowing for immediate, global communication of issues, investors are making companies accountable for their actions. VALEANT 2015 ZHEJIANG HUAHAI 2018 EQUIFAX 2017 -71% -25% ACCOUNTING -30% PRODUCT SAFETY PRIVACY & DATA SECURITY CORPORATE GOVERNANCE VALE 2019 HEALTH & -30% -25% SAFETY VOLKSWAGEN 2015 *Source: https://www.fool.com/investing/general/2014/03/24/25-years-on-from-exxon-valdez-what-weve-learned-wh.aspx; Examples only. Past performance is not indicative of future results, which may differ materially. 4
Information Classification: GENERAL Greater understanding of potential financial benefit of ESG strategies, and longer track records A MSCI ESG Research study1 found that companies MSCI has a broad range of ESG Indexes with with high ESG Ratings had higher profitability, lower significant live history. More than 120 have five or tail risk and lower systematic risk on average based more years of live history, with MSCI KLD 400 having on 10 years of data the longest track record (28+ years). Companies with higher MSCI ESG scores had MSCI KLD 400: 28+ years of live history higher profitability and were more competitive MSCI KLD 400 vs MSCI USA 1000 1000 0.3 900 900 800 800 700 700 Gross Profitability – Z-Score 0.2 600 600 500 500 0.1 400 400 0 300 300 -0.1 200 200 -0.2 100 100 -0.3 90 90 01 02 03 04 05 92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06 08 10 12 14 16 Mean Current MSCI KLD 400 Social MSCI USA 1. “Foundations of ESG Investing, Part 1: How ESG affects Equity Valuation, Risk and Performance,” MSCI, November 2017. Giese, Lee, Melas, Nagy, Nishikawa. 5
Information Classification: GENERAL Asset owner adoption of MSCI ESG Indexes Incorporating ESG into investment strategy or creating products typically starts with understanding client objectives, which may combine elements of managing long-term risk, reflecting values and positive impact. Investment Objectives Individual Objectives “Our investments should reflect our clients’ values” “Incorporating ESG may improve our investment results” “We want our investments to make a difference in the world” 6
Information Classification: GENERAL Asset owner adoption of MSCI ESG Indexes Approximately $277 bn allocated to investments tracking / benchmarked to MSCI ESG equity & fixed income indexes since 20141 2014-2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 GPIF Ontario PenSam CalSTRS Commenced Willis Towers AMF Teachers Watson adopts MSCI MSCI ACWI Committed with 3% of Pension Fund $2.5bn to $750M Climate ESG domestic equity MSCI ACWI Ex Index for Shell Pension MSCI ACWI MSCI Japan MSCI ACWI ex Leaders Canada Ex Thermal Coal €4.8bn (SSPF) policy Low Carbon ESG Select Tobacco Target Index Adaptive equities Moved 22.6% benchmark Leaders Index + policy portfolio of its €30bn MSCI Japan Capped ESG benchmark Universal Index portfolio to Empowering MSCI’s custom Women Fonds de VBV solidarité FTQ ESG Approximatel announced benchmark UK EAPF y $0.9bn Migros United Nations integration of $400m MSCI World $4.5bn Pension Fund MSCI World UC MSCI World Low Carbon MSCI ACWI MSCI ACWI Ex Low Carbon Investments Low Carbon Target ex China Tobacco Ex ESG Target MSCI’s ex Target ESG Controversial Screened tobacco ex Index Universal Weapons policy Index fossil fuel Taiwan index BLF Swiss Re benchmark $2.4bn $130bn MSCI ACWI Active listed equity ESG Factor and credit London Swiss Federal Mix Index MSCI ESG Leaders Borough of Tower Pension Fund + Bloomberg Hamlets Brunel Pension PUBLICA Barclays MSCI MSCI World Low Partnership MSCI custom Corporate Carbon Target MSCI low- climate efficient Sustainability Index benchmark carbon target index for its AP4 for its Low index for equity portfolio. Targeting Carbon Passive passive low- Based on 100% of equity Global Equity carbon equities transition risk and portfolio mandate physical risk allocation Ilmarinen by 2020 New Zealand Super ESG London Ilmarinen MSCI Low benchmark PostNL Carbon indexes 40% of passive Borough of invested equity indices $2.2 Bn in Sustainable Hackney (custom) portfolio based on MSCI Low ETFs linked MSCI custom MSCI’s to MSCI ESG index - Carbon European Low Carbon sustainability Target index Leaders Index ratings equity fund holdings 1Based on publicly available information or press releases published from 2014 to date. Some of the examples listed have not publicly disclosed allocations and are not included in this total 7
Information Classification: GENERAL Introducing ESG Ratings 8
Information Classification: GENERAL MSCI ESG Ratings methodology 1 2 3 4 EVALUATE CORPORATE IDENTIFY KEY ISSUES SCORE KEY ISSUES FINAL ESG RATINGS GOVERNANCE BY INDUSTRY (0-10) (AAA-CCC) Analysis begins with a Focus on most Focus on risk Identify leaders and deep governance relevant ESG factors exposure not just laggards, not business assessment by industry disclosure type exclusion Quantitative Approach + Scoring Models Assess Risk Industry-Relative Ownership, Board, Pay, Accounting, Annual Consultation Exposure + Risk Management ESG Ratings (AAA-CCC) Corporate Behavior Sources: MSCI ESG Research 9
Information Classification: GENERAL Selecting economically relevant issues QUANTITATIVE APPROACH TO OBJECTIVELY DEFINE THE ECONOMICALLY RELEVANT E&S ISSUES FOR EACH OF THE 156 INDUSTRY MODELS CARBON WATER HEALTH & BRIBERY & EMISSIONS STRESS SAFETY ETHICS t CO2e / $M m3 / $M fatalities per # of active 1m workers controversies 1853 79 Utilities 550 26 0.29 53 Energy 1270 44 0.09 42 Materials 121 46 Cons. Staples 25 0.09 96 Industrials 35 Telecom 19 61 Health Care 23 51 Cons. Disc. 23 39 Info Tech 201 Financials 10
Information Classification: GENERAL Measuring ESG risk exposure RISK MANAGEMENT LEVEL OF RISK CAPACITY EXPOSURE • Policies & commitments • Programs & initiatives • Type of operations • Performance indicators • Location of operations • Controversies • Size of operation, etc EVALUATE MANAGEMENT STRATEGY IN THE CONTEXT OF RISK EXPOSURE 11
Information Classification: GENERAL Index Methodologies MSCI SRI S-Series (FEBELFIN screen) 12
Information Classification: GENERAL MSCI ESG INDEXES INDEXES THAT USE THE ESG RATING ESG ESG ESG ESG ACWI SCREENED UNIVERSAL LEADERS FOCUS SRI AAA PERFORMERS SECTOR ESG PERFORMERS TOP GOOD ESG TOP SECTOR ESG PERFORMERS 25% A TILT 50% BB ineligible PERFORMERS POOR ESG PERFORMERS POOR ESG Exclusions Exclusions Exclusions Exclusions CCC 13
Information Classification: GENERAL Index Methodologies: MSCI SRI Identify companies Index MSCI SRI 1 whose business lines or behavior Combines a best in class selection is contrary to your Description approach with a set of values-based values and exclude screens them • Controversial weapons • 25% target sector representation • Civilian firearms • Nuclear weapons • Values-based exclusions • Tobacco Methodology • Alcohol New index constituents must have • Adult Entertainment • Min ESG rating A • Conventional weapons • Min ESG controversy score 4 • Gambling • Genetically modified Weighting scheme Market capitalization organisms • Nuclear power Rebalancing Quarterly • Thermal Coal Identify ESG Leaders 2 able to manage their ESG risks and opportunities in the medium to long term 14
Information Classification: GENERAL FEBELFIN Screen on SRI S-Series Screen SRI SRI S-Series % Thermal Coal Extraction ≥ 30% Revenue > 10% Revenue % Unconventional Oil & Gas Extraction - > 10% Revenue Conventional Oil & Gas Supply % Natural Gas Extraction and Renewable - > 0% Revenue ENERGY / CLIMATE Energy > 10% Installed Cap / % Coal-based Power ≥ 30% Revenue > 10% Gen Output / > 10% Revenue > 30% Installed Cap / % Oil & Gas-based Power - > 30% Gen Output / > 30% Revenue ≥ 5% Installed Cap / ≥ 5% Installed Cap / ≥ 5% ≥ 5% Gen Output / % Nuclear Power Gen Output / > 30% Revenue / ≥ 15% Aggregate ≥ 15% Aggregate 15
Information Classification: GENERAL Key Metrics Key Metrics MSCI World SRI S- MSCI World Series 5% Capped Total Return* (%) 8.3 9.7 Total Risk (%) 11.8 11.9 Return/Risk 0.71 0.82 Sharpe Ratio 0.58 0.70 Active Return (%) 0.0 1.4 Tracking Error (%) 0.0 2.0 Information Ratio NaN 0.69 Historical Beta 1.00 0.99 No of Stocks*** 1646 367 Turnover** (%) 2.4 15.9 Price To Book*** 2.3 2.7 Price to Earnings*** 19.7 18.9 Dividend Yield*** (%) 2.5 2.4 Period: 30-Nov-2015 to 28-Feb-2020 * Gross returns annualized in USD ** Annualized one-way index turnover over index reviews *** Monthly averages The definitions of all statistical parameters are available in the Appendix Performance (%) MSCI World SRI MSCI World S-Series 5% Capped YTD -8.9 -7.5 1 Yr 5.2 9.2 3 Yr 7.8 9.9 5 Yr NaN NaN 10 Yr NaN NaN Gross returns in USD for the period ending 28-Feb-2020 Returns are annualized for periods longer than one year 16
Information Classification: GENERAL ESG Metrics ESG Metrics > Integration & Values MSCI World MSCI World SRI S-Series 5% Capped Integration ESG Score 6.1 8.0 ESG Leaders (AAA-AA) (%) 29.2 69.8 ESG Laggards (B-CCC) (%) 6.2 0.0 ESG Trend Positive (%) 12.4 6.2 ESG Trend Negative (%) 5.1 5.0 Index ESG Rating A AA Environmental Pillar Score 5.6 6.4 Social Pillar Score 4.8 5.7 Governance Pillar Score 5.4 6.1 Key Governance Metrics Board Independence (Wtd Avg %) 77.9 80.2 Female Directors (Wtd Avg %) 28.8 30.4 Deviation from One Share One Vote (%) 21.8 18.5 Values Tobacco Involvement (%) 1.2 0.0 Civilian Firearms Producers (%) 0.2 0.0 Ties to Controversial Weapons (%) 0.8 0.0 Global Compact Compliance Violation (%) 1.9 0.0 Red Flag Controversies (%) 2.7 0.0 Orange Flag Controversies (%) 28.2 10.5 As of 28-Feb-2020 The definitions of all statistical parameters are available in the Appendix 17
Information Classification: GENERAL Climate Change Metrics ESG Metrics > Climate Change MSCI World MSCI World SRI S-Series 5% Capped Carbon Footprint Carbon Emissions (t CO2e/$M Invested) 115 52 Carbon Intensity (t CO2e/$M Sales) 188 91 Wtd Avg Carbon Intensity (t CO2e/$M Sales) 169 94 Low Carbon Transition Risks Low Carbon Transition Score 6.0 6.3 Solutions (%) 2.9 3.0 Product & Operational Transition (%) 15.8 10.0 Asset Stranding (%) 0.3 0.0 Exposure to Asset Stranding Risks Potential Carbon Emissions (t CO2e/$M Invested) 2006 0 Fossil Fuel Reserves (%) 5.9 0.1 Thermal Coal Mining (%) 1.2 0.0 Thermal Coal-based Power Generation (%) 3.6 0.1 Unconventional Oil & Gas Extraction (%) 3.1 0.0 Exposure to Clean Technology Solutions Clean Technologies Solutions (>= 20% Revenue) 4.6 8.6 Clean Technologies Solutions Revenue (Wtd Avg %) 3.5 5.5 Green Share/Brown Share Ratio (Wtd Avg % Revenue) 1.6 1332.7 Other Climate Metrics Exposure to Carbon-related Assets (%) 7.7 1.9 Climate-related Controversies (%, Score
Information Classification: GENERAL Top Constituents & Top Active Positions Top Constituents by Index Weight in the MSCI World SRI S-Series 5% Capped Active Weight ESG Country Sector Weight (%) Rating (%) Microsoft Corp USA Information Technology 5.7 2.8 AAA Procter & Gamble Co USA Consumer Staples 3.2 2.5 AA Home Depot USA Consumer Discretionary 2.7 2.1 AA Disney (Walt) USA Communication Services 2.4 1.8 BBB Pepsico USA Consumer Staples 2.1 1.6 AA Adobe USA Information Technology 1.9 1.5 AA Nvidia USA Information Technology 1.7 1.4 AAA Salesforce.Com USA Information Technology 1.6 1.2 AAA Sap GERMANY Information Technology 1.3 1.0 AAA Amgen USA Health Care 1.3 1.0 AA Asml Hldg NETHERLANDS Information Technology 1.3 1.0 AAA Accenture A USA Information Technology 1.3 1.0 AAA Novo Nordisk B DENMARK Health Care 1.1 0.9 AAA American Tower Corp USA Real Estate 1.1 0.9 A Toronto-Dominion Bank CANADA Financials 1.0 0.8 AA Allianz GERMANY Financials 1.0 0.8 AAA Csl AUSTRALIA Health Care 1.0 0.8 A Tesla USA Consumer Discretionary 1.0 0.8 A Gilead Sciences USA Health Care 1.0 0.8 AA Siemens GERMANY Industrials 0.9 0.7 AAA Sony Corp JAPAN Consumer Discretionary 0.9 0.7 AAA American Express USA Financials 0.9 0.7 AA Caterpillar USA Industrials 0.8 0.6 A L'oreal FRANCE Consumer Staples 0.7 0.6 AAA Chubb USA Financials 0.7 0.6 BBB As of 28-Feb-2020 19
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