Monthly Policy Note July 2021 - Primus Partners
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Monthly Policy note I July 2021 edition Grading the Graders! - Performance Grading Index Findings (2019-2020) State report card on performance in school education experience of students and teachers using measurable measured on the national Performance Grading Index key performance indicators (KPI). However, limiting such a (PGI) was released by the Ministry of Education, critical effort to a data gathering exercise for ranking will Government of India, early June for the year 2019-20. This dilute its significance and potential. is the third in the PGI series, and the first was released in 2019 for the year 2017-2018. Data for the index is Therefore, efforts should also be mounted to ascertain aggregated from existing data sources such as UDISE, correlation, interdependency, and causality among KPI, NAS surveys, mid-day meal, around 5 domains – learning and adding some more indicators that impact student outcomes, access, equity, infrastructure & facilities, and and teacher performance on a transactional level, with governance processes. implications for organizational learning. To mine the merits of this system, efforts around unifying databases at state Punjab, Chandigarh, Tamil Nadu, Kerala and Andaman & level and migrating to a state database modelling tool Nicobar Islands emerged as the top 5 performers in the would help prepare dashboards for school, block, district, 2019-2020 PGI and all of these have obtained Level II and state level - federated up to the national level. (total of 10 levels with level I being the highest), indicating a score between 901-950/ 1000. While in 2018-19, no state In addition, protocols pertaining to timing and frequency had reached level II, but the index reveals a gap of 38% of data collection should be mapped to various data between the total scores of best and worst performing sources in accordance with implementation of states. programme activities and fund utilisation against different KPIs. The PGI 2019-2020 indicates that the low performing indicators requiring improvement in infrastructure & And finally setting state wise annual targets for three years facilities are ICT facilities and availability of textbooks and and incorporating provisions in the Samagra Shiksha uniforms. Similarly, improvements required in governance annual plans to monitor progress against the annual processes include monitoring attendance of teachers, targets, would help measure progress on KPIs and provide transparent recruitment of teachers and principals, filling the basis for state school improvement plans and budgets vacancies of teachers, principals and administrative staff, linked to the Output Outcome Monitoring Framework. periodic supervision and inspection and availability of In the final analysis performance of schools on these KPIs finances. The PGI has great potential as a diagnostic, which carry relative weightages should ideally be able to planning, monitoring, ranking and school audit tool to throw up a school score card, to identify low performing track and measure school, district and state level schools and determine areas of improvement on a education performance and progress consistently. periodic basis. ‘Is data Use of such a tool should ideallyreally be ablethe new to solve oil?’ – Arguably yes, but synthesized for and control factors which impact student learning and school and analyzed data not exactly raw data Adding wings to thy ambition! - Propelling Ease of Doing Business in the BPO industry Government of India recently Some of the key features of the reforms include: announced further reforms for the BPO/ITES industry with the issuance of ❑ Non voice-based entities not to be governed by OSP rules revised Other Service Provider (OSP) guidelines. These reforms, coupled ❑ No distinction between domestic and international OSPs with the previous announcement in Nov 2020, would unshackle the ❑ Scope of avoiding double hop as remote agents of the OSP can connect industry and make it more to customer EPABX or any Centralized EPABX directly competitive. ❑ OSPs can take EPABX services from the Telecom Service Providers (TSPs) The Indian BPO industry is today at 37.6 billion USD and has the potential ❑ OSPs are allowed to place their EPABX in third party data centers to grow to 55.5 billion USD by 2025. ❑ Doing away with requirement of submitting report / return to DOT or term These reforms can help the industry cells achieve the same as there is scope ❑ OSPs exempted from registration requirement of cost optimization, moving to newer geographies to tap into fresh talent ❑ No Bank Guarantees need to be furnished and reduce regulatory and operational overheads. ❑ Work from Home / Work from Anywhere permitted.
Monthly Policy note I July 2021 edition Is the Model Tenancy Act a Hit or a Miss – Wait and watch! In India, as per Census 2011, there are around 1.1 crore Model Tenancy Act 2021 is a big step towards ensuring vacant houses in urban areas. This is sufficient stock to balanced development of rental Sector in India. It aims house around 5 Crore citizens. It is astonishing that on to protect the interests of both tenants and landlords. It one hand, we have acute housing shortage in cities and also establishes speedy adjudication mechanism for on other hand we have large number of vacant houses. quick resolution of disputes. It clearly specifies the So, why are these houses empty? obligations of both tenants and landlords to reduce any trust deficit and also balancing rights of both. This Various research studies indicate that lack of balanced initiative has the potential of greatly enhancing legislation and poor contract enforcement is the key institutional rental housing in India, encouraging greater reason behind high vacancy. Almost every state in India investment in real estate sector while ensuring housing has its own Rent Control Act, however as the name for all. suggests, these acts were introduced to prevent exploitation of tenants by landowners. These acts were However the key challenge is implementation of the act introduced during world war and partition, where cities across states. Land is a state subject and accordingly were facing acute shortage of houses. However, while enactment of rental act shall be largely dependent on they served the purpose in short term and ensured the state government. The challenge shall be to affordable housing at stable rents but in long term, it led expedite enactment of the law across the states at to market distortion and curtailed development of rental earliest. housing sector. InvITs – why this fits! Diversification: InvITs with different underlying assets offer investors a chance to differentiate their portfolio. Such an element helps lower related risks and further permits financial backers to produce consistent returns over the long haul. Builds fixed pay: The choice to reallocate risks and gather a fixed pay enables many investor classes such as pension funds to earn over the years. Liquidity: By and large, it is not difficult to enter or exit from foundation venture trust, which upgrades the liquidity viewpoint. Quality resource on the Board: InvITs offer financial backers the chance to invest in resources that are overseen by experts. It guarantees successful administration and allocation of assets and assists with forestalling fracture of possessions. Promoters: By putting resources into InvITs, promoters would have the option to bring down their debt burden through an asset sale. Further, promoters can utilize the returns to reinvest in other portfolio projects. Punjab Anti Red Tape Bill – Commendable intent but execution is key for delivery Punjab’s recent endeavour towards enabling ease in accountability and transparency and the impact of not just doing business but also Living by introducing such Acts is not encouraging. Punjab Anti Red Tape Bill is truly commendable. It is a bold and forward looking step towards bringing much Therefore, it would be pertinent to formulate a needed objectivity in the delivery of services to Citizens watertight implementation and enforcement and Investors. mechanism for this new Act by Govt of Punjab. Having said that, it is indeed a progressive initiative and However, even in the past Acts like Right to Services / something which has the potential to be implemented Public Services Guarantee Act were implemented to across other states of the Country. achieve similar objective of delivering services with
Monthly Policy note I July 2021 edition Being fog light and cautious is imperative today! Given the existing inflation and RBI's accommodative stance, what are your views on the economy performance in the last year and your expectations for FY22 RBI through its monetary policy instrument and some out of box thinking has pushed liquidity into the system that is about 5% of the GDP since the last April. This has kept the 10-yr G-Sec rate low and helped keep cost of debt low, both for Government and corporate sector, in order to spur growth. The general narrative on inflation is that it is driven by supply side constraints. However, core inflation has been sticky for sometime now. Economic performance or its projections should be seen in terms of this “black swan” event that is the pandemic. The world economy that would come out of it, would be a completely different animal. Pandemic induced uncertainty has not gone away. That makes the business of growth rate projections that are y-o-y, a mere crystal ball gazing. Given this I will find it difficult to hazard a guess. What would be your two most important suggestions for the economy to be able to fast track its recovery towards pre-COVID estimates? Economic recovery can only start , if uncertainty arising out of pandemic dissolves. Thus research into the genome sequencing of the virus that feeds into vaccine research and vaccination program itself, in that order, have to be first priority. Needless to say programs like “Garib Kalyan Yojana” that prevent poverty and destitution would be key for social stability during this period. Getting back to the pre-COVID levels can only be done through a massive program of infrastructure building, something that was the center-piece of this year’s budget. The US is also using this time-tested mechanism. This will also give the much needed support to “Atmanirbhar Bharat” program. Looking at the corporate results broadly and performance of equities that are a proxy of their health, there is no case for any tax-deferrals or rebates. As the manufacturing industry returns back to normalcy post the second wave courtesy vaccinations and reduced COVID cases, do you see a significant rise in activity in the coming 6 months or should it be a cautious approach? Until full vaccination levels reach 40% or the virus abates by itself, it would be difficult to peer beyond the mist of uncertainty and decide on a full throttle movement ahead. I am an advocate of “Fog light” and cautious approach, as we are also negotiating the inflationary tendencies in the economy. Getting children back to schools and restoration of safe public transportation would bring confidence in urban centers that are hub of growth. The PLI Scheme can prove to be a game changer for India in the long term. For India to be able to fully reach the targets it is also important to have both a strong upstream as well as downstream which is varying across sectors currently. What would be your suggestions for the same? Yes. By its design PLI is supposed to enhance India’s share in the global supply chains and strengthen domestic supply chains as well. It is important that the current focused approach continues. Otherwise the butter would be spread too thin. Strongest backing for PLI would come from market oriented reforms, many of whom are already underway and strong push for infrastructure that is envisaged in the National Infrastructure Pipeline (NIP). While bitcoins have witnessed significant ups and downs in the last year or so, is it time India got a stricter regulatory framework for digital currencies? Most of the asset classes today are denominated in the prevailing currency, unlike earlier times when gold and land etc vied with currency. Thus sovereign control on currency is imperative and bitcoin has no role in that space. Even as a financial instrument, it has not shown merit as hedge against currency risk or volatility in any other asset class. I feel that bitcoin in its present usage is purely speculative. However, we should continuously look at the use of block-chain technology in the financial or other market and harness its advantages. I would place greater stress on making the payment systems and instruments more accessible and safe. That makes movement of currency virtual. India too should move towards a more regulated crypto market as more and more participants are getting attracted to digital currency speculation with many new platforms sprouting up that give investors the chance to speculate. Mr. Atanu Chakraborty is currently the Chairman at HDFC Bank. A 1985 batch IAS officer of Gujarat cadre, Mr Chakraborty retired as Secretary of Department of Economic Affairs in April 2020. Prior to that, he was Secretary of Department of Investment and Public Asset Management (DIPAM).
About Primus Partners Primus Partners has been set up to partner with clients in ‘navigating’ India, by experts with decades of experience in doing so for large global firms. Set up on the principle of ‘Idea Realization’, it brings to bear ‘experience in action’. ‘Idea Realization’— a unique approach to examine futuristic ideas required for the growth of an organization or a sector or geography, from the perspective of assured on ground implementability. Our core strength comes from our founding partners, who are goal-oriented, with extensive hands-on experience and subject-matter expertise, which is well recognized in the industry. Our core founders form a diverse cohort of leaders from both genders with experience across industries (Public Sector, Healthcare, Transport, Education, etc), and with varied specialization (engineers, lawyers, tax professionals, management, etc). PASSION RESPECT INTEGRITY MASTERY US STEWARDSHIP for providing solutions For all and of thoughts and of our chosen subject Representing the for building a better to help clients alternate actions to drive innovative Primus collective, tomorrow achieve their goals viewpoints and insightful solutions where each individual matters Bengaluru Chandigarh Delhi Jaipur Mumbai Contact Details T1, GN, 25th A Cross, 2nd Floor, Netsmartz, Rear Block, Upper Ground 86/SP, 63, 601, 6th floor, Behind Yes Bank, Amit Dugar 25th Main, HSR Layout, Rajiv Gandhi Chandigarh Floor, Pratap Nagar, Jaipur, Raheja Centre, Bengaluru – 560102 Technology Park, ALPS Building, Nariman point. Chandigarh – 160019 56 Janpath, 302033 Mumbai – 400021 amit@primuspartners.in New Delhi – 110001 Primus Partners India @partners_primus DISCLAIMER The report is prepared using information of a general nature and is not intended to address the circumstances of any particular individual or entity. The report has been prepared from various public sources and the information received from these sources is believed to be reliable. The information available in the report is selective and subject to updation, revision and amendment. While the information provided herein is believed to be accurate and reliable, Primus Partners Pvt. Ltd. does not make any representations or warranties, expressed or implied, as to the accuracy or completeness of such information and data available in the public domain. While due care has been taken while preparing the report, Primus Partners Pvt. Ltd. does not accept any liability whatsoever, for any direct of consequential loss arising from this document or its contents.
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