Mesoscale Atmospheric Systems - Introduction Spring Semester 2022 Heini Wernli
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Outline of lecture course see also www.iac.ethz.ch/edu/courses/master/modules/mesoscale-atmospheric-systems.html 22.02.2022 Introduction; Precipitation measurements 01.03.2022 Extreme precipitation events 08.03.2022 Water vapour transport 15.03.2022 Radar I (U. Germann) 22.03.2022 Radar II (U. Germann) 29.03.2022 Surface fronts 05.04.2022 Upper-level fronts 12.04.2022 Frontal instability 19.04.2012 Easter vacation - no lecture 26.04.2022 Stratosphere-troposphere exchange 03.05.2022 Ocean evaporation 10.05.2022 Stable water isotopes 17.05.2022 Moist convection (S. Schemm) 24.05.2022 Gravity waves (S. Schemm) 31.05.2022 … still open … 22 Feb 2022 H. Wernli 2
Prerequisites Large-scale atmospheric dynamics (Q-vectors, PV concept, baroclinic instability) Atmospheric physics (thermodynamics) These topics are essential for this lecture course! This is an MSc course that covers a very broad spectrum of topics à please actively fill your gaps if they exist 22 Feb 2022 H. Wernli 3
The examination Oral exam in “Prüfungssession” 30 Min. with Heini Wernli and Sebastian Schemm Essential: • basic physical understanding • interpretation of diagrams (and equations) • precise scientific language • not so much about “learning things by heart” 22 Feb 2022 H. Wernli 4
Introduction I: What is the mesoscale? II: Which are mesoscale systems? III: What is distinctive about / What characterizes mesoscale systems? IV: Why are there mesoscale systems? V: How are they observed? VI: Are they important? 22 Feb 2022 H. Wernli 5
What is the Mesoscale? TENTATIVE DEFINITIONS First appearance of the term “mesoscale”: “It is anticipated that radar will provide useful information concerning the structure and behavior of that portion of the atmosphere which is not covered by either micro- or synoptic-meteorological studies. We have already observed with radar that precipitation formations which are undoubtedly of significance occur on a scale too gross to be observed from a single station, yet too small to appear even on sectional synoptic charts. Phenomena of this size might well be designated as mesometeorological.” Extract from “Radar Storm Observations” in Compendium of Meteorology (Ligda 1951) Glossary Definition (- in fact, this is a “non-definition”!) Mesometeorology - that portion of meteorology concerned with the study of atmospheric phenomena on a scale larger than that of micrometeorology, but smaller than the cyclonic scale. 22 Feb 2022 H. Wernli 6
Internal Thermal Transition Zones à “fronts” occur on different scales Sub-synoptic tropopause-fold Meso-a scale elongated cold front Meso-b scale sea-breeze front Meso-g scale gust front 22 Feb 2022 H. Wernli 8
Destructive wind systems à also occur on different scales Sub-synoptic windstorm “Lothar” Meso-b scale hurricane annular wind maximum Meso-g scale thunderstorm gust front 22 Feb 2022 H. Wernli 9
Mesoscale systems are complex Consider the formation & evolution of one of the simplest meso-scale systems - the sea-breeze FORCING … differential response to solar heating of land & sea, influenced by large-scale setting RESULTING IN … differential heating, horizontal pressure gradient, surface flow with ascent at interface, possible condensation & cloud activity, inland penetration modified by friction, three-dimensional effects, and subsequent evidence of Coriolis effects 22 Feb 2022 H. Wernli 10
Mesoscale systems are embedded within larger-scale flow; they contain distinctive sub-structures Easterly waves tend to form and propagate on the large-scale inter- tropical convergence zone System’s wavelength ~2000 km Each wave has a meso-b scale domain of convective activity Embedded within the overall domain are meso-g scale regions of enhanced convection 22 Feb 2022 H. Wernli 11
Why are there mesoscale systems? The range of conceivable causal mechanisms includes: (i) External mesoscale forcing (e.g., orographic effects) (ii) Scale contraction due to larger-scale internal forcing (e.g., frontogenesis à see lectures about surface fronts) (iii) Generation of a new system by the influence of external forcing upon a pre-existing mesoscale system (e.g., front incident upon orography à lee cyclone) (iv) Intrinsic mesoscale instability (e.g., frontal waves & frontal cloud bands) (v) Synergetic interaction of sub-mesoscale systems (e.g., self-organization of convective clouds à tropical cyclone) 22 Feb 2022 H. Wernli 12
External mesoscale forcing: Orographic effects 22 Feb 2022 H. Wernli 13
Generation of new system External forcing (Alps) + pre-existing system (front) produce lee cyclone … … and heavy precipitation 22 Feb 2022 H. Wernli 14
Intrinsic mesoscale instability: Break-up of a stratospheric PV streamer Examples show WV satellite images 22 Feb 2022 H. Wernli 15
How are mesoscale systems observed? Requisite : mesoscale space-time resolved observations Available : ROUTINE - conventional synoptic surface & free atmosphere networks - some mesoscale surface observational networks - zoo of radar & satellite measurements SPECIAL - suites of specialized instrumentation for deployment in targeted field programmes 22 Feb 2022 H. Wernli 16
Routine radiosonde network over Europe (black and red circles) 22 Feb 2022 H. Wernli 17
Swiss automatic network of surface measurements http://www.meteoswiss.admin.ch/home/measurement-and-forecasting-systems/land-based-stations/automatisches-messnetz.html 22 Feb 2022 H. Wernli 18
Alpine rain-gauge network Frei and Schär 1998 (IJC) 22 Feb 2022 H. Wernli 19
Field Programmes Design: Subject to logistic, instrumental and funding challenges Desiderata : - establish well-defined scientific objective(s) - specify precise observational requirements - deploy appropriate tools / facilities Proposed prototype setup for MAP Experiment in 1999 22 Feb 2022 H. Wernli 20
Are Aremesoscale mesoscalesystems systemsimportant? important? August 2002 - Elbe Economic losses € 16 billion Insured losses € 3.4 billion August 2005 – Alps THE most expensive Economic losses Swiss natural CHF 2.1 billion catastrophe Insured losses source: AP CHF 1.5 billion 28 22 Feb 2022 H. Wernli 21
Are mesoscale systems important? Contribution of hazard events to major natural disasters 1950-2005 Number of events: 276 Deaths: 7% 1.75 Million Geological events Earthquake/tsun 6% 7% 2% 25% ami, volcanic eruption 25 29 Weather related events % % Storm 36% Floods 55% Extreme 40 temperatures % Economic losses: 1,700 bn. US$* Insured losses: 340 bn. US$* 6% 5% 5% 11 31 % 25 25% % % 38% 79%79% *2005 values © 2006 Geo Risks Research, Munich Re 22 Feb 2022 H. Wernli 22
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Topics Topic overview STE Fronts Convection Evaporation (Extreme) precipitation Fronts Radar Moisture transport 31 22 Feb 2022 H. Wernli 24
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