Mesoscale Atmospheric Systems - Introduction Spring Semester 2022 Heini Wernli

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Mesoscale Atmospheric Systems - Introduction Spring Semester 2022 Heini Wernli
Mesoscale Atmospheric Systems
            Introduction
        Spring Semester 2022

           Heini Wernli
Mesoscale Atmospheric Systems - Introduction Spring Semester 2022 Heini Wernli
Outline of lecture course
see also www.iac.ethz.ch/edu/courses/master/modules/mesoscale-atmospheric-systems.html

22.02.2022           Introduction; Precipitation measurements
01.03.2022           Extreme precipitation events
08.03.2022           Water vapour transport
15.03.2022           Radar I (U. Germann)
22.03.2022           Radar II (U. Germann)
29.03.2022           Surface fronts
05.04.2022           Upper-level fronts
12.04.2022           Frontal instability
19.04.2012           Easter vacation - no lecture
26.04.2022           Stratosphere-troposphere exchange
03.05.2022           Ocean evaporation
10.05.2022           Stable water isotopes
17.05.2022           Moist convection (S. Schemm)
24.05.2022           Gravity waves (S. Schemm)
31.05.2022           … still open …

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Mesoscale Atmospheric Systems - Introduction Spring Semester 2022 Heini Wernli
Prerequisites

Large-scale atmospheric dynamics
(Q-vectors, PV concept, baroclinic instability)

Atmospheric physics (thermodynamics)

These topics are essential for this lecture course!

This is an MSc course that covers a very broad spectrum
of topics à please actively fill your gaps if they exist

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Mesoscale Atmospheric Systems - Introduction Spring Semester 2022 Heini Wernli
The examination

Oral exam in “Prüfungssession”
30 Min. with Heini Wernli and Sebastian Schemm

Essential:
• basic physical understanding
• interpretation of diagrams (and equations)
• precise scientific language
• not so much about “learning things by heart”

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Mesoscale Atmospheric Systems - Introduction Spring Semester 2022 Heini Wernli
Introduction

I:       What is the mesoscale?
II:      Which are mesoscale systems?
III:     What is distinctive about /
         What characterizes mesoscale systems?
IV:      Why are there mesoscale systems?
V:       How are they observed?
VI:      Are they important?

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Mesoscale Atmospheric Systems - Introduction Spring Semester 2022 Heini Wernli
What is the Mesoscale?
TENTATIVE DEFINITIONS

First appearance of the term “mesoscale”:
“It is anticipated that radar will provide useful information concerning the
structure and behavior of that portion of the atmosphere which is not
covered by either micro- or synoptic-meteorological studies. We have
already observed with radar that precipitation formations which are
undoubtedly of significance occur on a scale too gross to be observed from a
single station, yet too small to appear even on sectional synoptic charts.
Phenomena of this size might well be designated as mesometeorological.”

Extract from “Radar Storm Observations” in Compendium of Meteorology (Ligda 1951)

Glossary Definition (- in fact, this is a “non-definition”!)

Mesometeorology - that portion of meteorology concerned with the
study of atmospheric phenomena on a scale larger than that of
micrometeorology, but smaller than the cyclonic scale.

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Mesoscale Atmospheric Systems - Introduction Spring Semester 2022 Heini Wernli
A Preliminary Definition of Mesoscale Systems

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Mesoscale Atmospheric Systems - Introduction Spring Semester 2022 Heini Wernli
Internal Thermal Transition Zones

                                         à “fronts” occur on different scales

Sub-synoptic tropopause-fold

    Meso-a scale elongated cold front

                  Meso-b scale sea-breeze front

                       Meso-g scale gust front
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Mesoscale Atmospheric Systems - Introduction Spring Semester 2022 Heini Wernli
Destructive wind systems

                                              à also occur on different scales

Sub-synoptic
windstorm “Lothar”

Meso-b scale hurricane annular
wind maximum

Meso-g scale thunderstorm gust front

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Mesoscale Atmospheric Systems - Introduction Spring Semester 2022 Heini Wernli
Mesoscale systems are complex
Consider the formation & evolution of one of the simplest meso-scale systems
- the sea-breeze

FORCING
… differential response to solar heating of
land & sea, influenced by large-scale setting

RESULTING IN
… differential heating, horizontal pressure
gradient, surface flow with ascent at
interface, possible condensation & cloud
activity, inland penetration modified by
friction, three-dimensional effects, and
subsequent evidence of Coriolis effects

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Mesoscale systems are embedded within larger-scale flow;
they contain distinctive sub-structures

                                              Easterly waves tend to form and
                                              propagate on the large-scale inter-
                                              tropical convergence zone
                                              System’s wavelength ~2000 km

Each wave has a meso-b scale domain
of convective activity
Embedded within the overall domain are
meso-g scale regions of enhanced convection
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Why are there mesoscale systems?

The range of conceivable causal mechanisms includes:

(i)    External mesoscale forcing (e.g., orographic effects)
(ii)   Scale contraction due to larger-scale internal forcing (e.g.,
       frontogenesis à see lectures about surface fronts)
(iii) Generation of a new system by the influence of external
      forcing upon a pre-existing mesoscale system (e.g., front
      incident upon orography à lee cyclone)
(iv) Intrinsic mesoscale instability (e.g., frontal waves & frontal
     cloud bands)
(v)    Synergetic interaction of sub-mesoscale systems (e.g.,
       self-organization of convective clouds à tropical cyclone)

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External mesoscale forcing: Orographic effects

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Generation of new system

External forcing (Alps)
+ pre-existing system (front)

produce lee cyclone …

              … and heavy precipitation

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Intrinsic mesoscale instability:
Break-up of
a stratospheric PV streamer

Examples show WV satellite
images

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How are mesoscale systems observed?

Requisite :     mesoscale space-time resolved observations

Available :     ROUTINE

        - conventional synoptic surface & free atmosphere networks
        - some mesoscale surface observational networks
        - zoo of radar & satellite measurements

                SPECIAL

        - suites of specialized instrumentation for deployment
                  in targeted field programmes

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Routine radiosonde network
over Europe

(black and red circles)

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Swiss automatic network of surface measurements
http://www.meteoswiss.admin.ch/home/measurement-and-forecasting-systems/land-based-stations/automatisches-messnetz.html

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Alpine rain-gauge network

                                    Frei and Schär 1998 (IJC)

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Field Programmes
Design:        Subject to logistic, instrumental and funding challenges

Desiderata :   - establish well-defined scientific objective(s)
               - specify precise observational requirements
               - deploy appropriate tools / facilities

                                       Proposed prototype setup
                                       for MAP Experiment in 1999

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Are
   Aremesoscale
       mesoscalesystems
                 systemsimportant?
                         important?

 August 2002 - Elbe                   Economic losses
                                      € 16 billion

                                      Insured losses
                                      € 3.4 billion

August 2005 – Alps
THE most expensive                    Economic losses
Swiss natural                         CHF 2.1 billion
catastrophe
                                      Insured losses
                                                 source: AP
                                      CHF 1.5 billion

                                                        28
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Are mesoscale systems important?
Contribution of hazard events to major natural disasters 1950-2005
Number of events: 276                                         Deaths: 7%
                                                                      1.75 Million
                                Geological events
                                    Earthquake/tsun
                 6%                                               7%         2%
    25%                             ami, volcanic
                                    eruption

            25         29       Weather related events

            %          %            Storm                       36%
                                    Floods
                                                                         55%
                                    Extreme
                  40                temperatures
                  %
Economic losses: 1,700 bn. US$*
                                                          Insured losses: 340 bn. US$*

                 6%                                      5%
                                                         5%            11
                       31                                              %
           25
    25%                %
           %
                 38%                                                79%79%
                            *2005 values

                                                          © 2006 Geo Risks Research, Munich Re
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Topics
Topic overview

      STE                       Fronts
                                                        Convection

               Evaporation            (Extreme)
                                      precipitation

                                                      Fronts
                 Radar
                             Moisture transport

                                                               31
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