Market Outlook Report- 05th Jan 2021 - Webflow
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Market Outlook Report- 05th Jan 2021 Compiled by: CapitalVia Global Research Limited- Investment Advisor 903, B-1, 9th Floor, NRK Business Park, Scheme No. 54, P.U.-4,Vijay Nagar Square, Indore-452010 (M.P.) Head of Research - Gaurav Garg For feedback or queries, mail us at pr@capitalvia.com Ph no.: (+91) 88273 92806
Indian Markets Index Last High Low Change Change% Nifty 14132.90 14147.95 13953.75 114.40 0.82% Sensex 48176.80 48220.47 47594.47 307.82 0.64% Banknifty 31212.45 30893.65 31489.65 -13.40 -0.04% Nifty FUT 14173.35 14179.45 13970.05 119.50 0.84% Nifty opened with a gap up on 4th January with a gap up and took a correction to Overview fill the gap till 13953 before bouncing back and crossing 14100 and closing above it. The level of 13950 is acting as a support and 14150 seems to be resistance. With a breakout in Bank Nifty, Nifty may cross 14200. Investors may initiate long positions at dips in the range of 13950- 14000.
Global Markets Index Last High Low Change Change% ➢ Britain began vaccinating its population with the COVID-19 shot Dow 30 30,606.48 30,637.47 30,344.50 +0.65% +196.92 developed by Oxford University and AstraZeneca AZN.L on Monday, touting a scientific "triumph" that puts it at the Nasdaq 12,888.28 12,902.07 12,821.23 +0.14% +18.28 vanguard of the West in inoculating against the virus. DAX 13,808.15 13,922.20 13,768.70 +0.66% +90.37 FTSE 100 6,608.35 6,609.55 6,556.55 +2.32% +149.07 ➢ European shares rallied in the first trading session of the year as a landmark Brexit trade deal and coronavirus vaccine drives across the continent bolstered expectations of a strong Index S1 Pivot Points R1 economic rebound. Dow 30 30534.56 30584.07 30677.34 ➢ Asian share markets hit pause on Monday as reports of a Nasdaq 12885.31 12908.10 12922.34 possible tightening in coronavirus emergency rules for Tokyo DAX 13837.80 13847.30 13860.30 pulled Japanese stocks off 30-year highs, while also lifting the safe-haven yen. FTSE 100 6634.85 6653.95 6668.55
Currency Outlook ➢ The Indian Rupee appreciated against the U.S. currency tracking upbeat Asian peers on the back of a broad decline in the dollar index. The Rupee ended at 73.02 compared with 73.12 in the previous session. Earlier in the session, it appreciated to a four- month high of 72.91, but pared gains on the back of dollar purchases. ➢ Technically, the USDINR Spot pair has bounced back from 72.81 levels where it took a support of lower band of Falling Channel formation indicating a bounce back up to 73.12-73.25 levels. Support holds at 72.90-72.75 levels. ➢ In our anticipation, USDINR future is likely have negative opening around 73.10 levels in next trading session and if it breaks below 72.80 then we may expect some more bearish movement towards 72.65 levels. The trading range for pair is likely to be in Chart : Zerodha.com between 72.80 – 73.20 in upcoming session.
Derivative Outlook ⮚ Market indices closed on a positive note for the ninth consecutive trading session posting fresh high as on Monday, 4th January. Nifty settled near 14,150 level and closed with a gain of around 0.82 percent. On the sectoral front, except bank, which closed with a marginal cost, other indices ends in green led by metal which gained more than five percent. ⮚ In the coming trading session on Tuesday, 5th January market is expected to continue its rally with small corrections. Nifty is expected to continue its rally with resistance zone of 14,250 to 14,300. On the lower side, 13900 would be the major support level for the index below which downswing could be seen. ⮚ Highest Daily Nifty Call OI-14,000 ⮚ Highest Daily Nifty Put OI-14,000 Long built-up: Scrip Name Closing price Change in price Change in OI PNB 35.90 2.57% 29.78% SAIL 79.50 6.14% 14.10% IDFCFIRSTB 38.55 3.07% 10.71%
Short built-up: Scrip Name Closing price Change in price Change in OI NTPC 99.45 -0.15% 11.56% ZEEL 220.40 -2.48% 13.51% ITC 214.70 -0.14% 2.80% Short covering: Scrip Name Closing price Change in price Change in OI IDEA 11.90 5.31% -4.19% TATAPOWER 79.65 2.38% -2.76% APOLLOTYRE 188.75 4.31% -5.97% Long Unwinding: Scrip Name Closing price Change in price Change in OI IBULHSGFIN 221.60 -0.67% -3.74% JUBLFOOD 2766.45 -1.25% -0.60%
Nifty Option Chain Analysis : ⮚ Nifty continue to trade positive and closed around 0.82 percent up as on Monday, 4th January. The options data indicates immediate trading range of the Nifty is likely to be 13,900 - 14,200. Maximum Put open interest was at 14,000 followed by 13,600 strike, while maximum Call open interest was at 14,000 followed by 13,900 strike. Call writing was seen at 14,200 and 14,300 strikes while Put writing was seen at 14,000 and 13,900 strikes. IndiaVIX gained 2.40 percent and close at 20.03. Source: www.bloombergquint.com
Nifty Option Chain Analysis : ➢ As per monthly option data , Nifty should trade in the range of 9000-10000 . Maximum Put writing can be seen at 9000 and Maximum call writing can be seen at 10000 ➢ Nifty closed with gains on Wednesday,6th May. We expect Nifty to be range bound , Volatility is most likely to increase in the coming trading session. Indecisiveness can be seen in the market as trading range of Nifty is getting smaller. As per weekly option data, nearest support can be seen at 9200 and on the higher side, resistance can be seen at 9400. Source: www.bloombergquint.com
Global Markets Index Last High Low Change Change% Dow 30 23783.44 24054.59 23782.28 -99.65 -0.42% ➢ U.S. stocks opened higher on hopes of a pickup in business activity with states easing Coronavirus-induced curbs, while investors Nasdaq 8825.55 8913.85 8819.37 17.76 0.20% looked past a stunning 20 million plunge in U.S. private payrolls last DAX 10615.73 10771.68 10604.90 -111.74 -1.08% month. FTSE 100 5850.80 5898.33 5838.70 0.88 0.02% ➢ European stock markets traded slightly lower on Wednesday amid weak economic data, while better than expected earnings helped the U.K. to outperform. Index S1 Pivot Points R1 ➢ German factory orders slumped 15.6% in March to their lowest level Dow 30 23760.10 23906.82 23996.82 since records began in 1991, while IHS Markit's final Composite Nasdaq 8840.29 8876.96 8901.71 Purchasing Managers' Index for the euro zone, seen as a good indicator of economic health, plummeted to 13.6 in April from DAX 10624.80 10676.20 10704.30 March's already dire 29.7, easily its lowest reading since the survey FTSE 100 5850.41 5874.37 5889.24 began in 1998.
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