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MARINERS WEATHER LOG VOL.45,NO.2 AUGUST2001 - VOLUNTARY ...
Mariners Weather Log
       Vol. 45, No. 2                         August 2001

U.S. Coast Guard Women’s Rescue or SPARS Recruiting Poster (circa 1942).
        For more information read Women and the Sea on page 60.
       Image courtesy of the Mariners Museum, Newport News, VA.
MARINERS WEATHER LOG VOL.45,NO.2 AUGUST2001 - VOLUNTARY ...
Mariners Weather Log

                                                                   From the Editorial
                 Mariners Weather Log
                                                                   Supervisor
                                                                   Well, I guess I have it. This is my first real issue of the
                                                                   Mariners Weather Log. When I came aboard in late
                                                                   January, the April issue was already pretty well packaged
                                                                   up. I just scrambled to figure out where all the pieces
                                                                   went. I hope my shoulders are wide enough to carry on
                                                                   this great endeavor. Also, I do really appreciate all who
                                                                   have helped me on my indoctrination into the wonderful
                                                                   world of NOAA administration. As they say, what
                                                                   doesn’t kill you only makes you stronger.
       U.S. DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE
            Donald L. Evans, Secretary                             We have several great articles in this issue. The cover
                                                                   image depicts the spectrum of sea service by women
                                                                   over the years. Women and the Sea tells that while the
                                                                   ships were at sail, the women were not just counting the
                                                                   days to their men’s return. They were running
                                                                   businesses, working in factories, and even looting and
                                                                   plundering with the best (worst) of them.
              National Oceanic and
          Atmospheric Administration                               Another article outlines the SEAS software, past and
       Scott B. Gudes, Administrator (Acting)                      present. The Windows®-based SEAS 2000 software has
                                                                   now been officially released. SEAS 2000 offers a
                                                                   smoother, more capable input of weather information for
                                                                   transmitting into the NWS gateway. Quality control,
                                                                   handy references, and graphics have been built in to aid
                                                                   the observer in sending quality observations.
              National Weather Service
                  John J. Kelly, Jr.                               I hope you enjoy this issue of the Mariners Weather Log.
    Assistant Administrator for Weather Services                   Comments, complaints, and articles are always
                                                                   appreciated.

                                                                   Robert Luke

                  Editorial Supervisor
                    Robert A. Luke
                                                                       Some Important Web Page Addresses
                                                                     NOAA                               http://www.noaa.gov
                                                                     National Weather Service           http://www.nws.noaa.gov
                                                                     National Data Buoy Center          http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov
                                                                     AMVER Program                      http://www.amver.com
     Articles, photographs, and letters should be sent to:           VOS Program                        http://www.vos.noaa.gov
                                                                     SEAS Program                       http://seas.nos.noaa.gov/seas/
         Mr. Robert A. Luke, Editorial Supervisor
                                                                     Mariners Weather Log               http://www.nws.noaa.gov/pm/
         Mariners Weather Log
         NDBC (W/OPS 52)                                                                                 mwl/mwl.htm
         Building 1100, Room 353D                                    Marine Dissemination               http://www.nws.noaa.gov/om/
         Stennis Space Center, MS 39529-6000                                                             Marine/home/htm
                                                                     U.S. Coast Guard                   http://www.navcen.uscg.gov/
         Phone: (228) 688-1457
                                                                      Navigation Center                  marcomms/
         Fax: (228) 688-3153
         E--mail: robert.luke@noaa.gov
                                                                                    See these Web pages for further links.

2                                               Mariners Weather Log, August 2001
MARINERS WEATHER LOG VOL.45,NO.2 AUGUST2001 - VOLUNTARY ...
Mariners Weather Log

Table of Contents

John B. Lyon: Shipwreck . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4

Helsinki to Miami Aboard Azipod/V Carnival Spirit . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5

Marine Weather Review
      How to Invert a Buoy . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7
      Tropical Atlantic and Tropical East Pacific Areas — January through April 2001 . . . . 13
      Myrtle Beach, SC, Waterspout July 6, 2001 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 28
      Mean Circulation Highlights and Climate Anomalies January through April 2001 . . . . 29

Coastal Forecast Office News
       Familiarization Float Aboard the Ocean Mariner Tugboat May 16-18, 2001 . . . . . . . . 35
       Frenchmans Bay Front . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 39
       Waterspout from Keystone Cherry Valley July 5, 2001, Lake Charles, LA . . . . . . . . . . 40
       May 2001 Alaska Marine and Public Services Report . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 41
       Alaska Marine Program Award of Excellence . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 43

VOS Program
      SEAS 2000 — A Better Way to Encode Observations . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 44
      Data From Private Yachts and Cruise Ships Now Being Included in VOS Program . . . 45

Antartica . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 47

International News
        Changes to Australian Weather Radiofax Services . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 49

VOS Program
      SEAS — Then and Now . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 50
      AMVER/SEAS 2000 Tour . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 52
      Women and the Sea . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 59
      National Weather Service Voluntary Observing Ship Program
             New Recruits from April 1, 2001, through July 31, 2001 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 63

VOS Program Awards and Presentations Gallery . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 64

VOS Cooperative Ship Report — January through July 2001 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 70

Meteorological Services — Observations . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 88

                                                       Mariners Weather Log, August 2001                                                          3
High Seas Wrecks

John B. Lyon: Shipwreck
Skip Gillham
Vineland, Ontario, Canada

T
      he John B. Lyon had an      Lake St. Clair
      amazing streak of           on two
      misfortune in 20 years      occasions in
of service.                       1883. On
                                  August 28,
This wooden bulk carrier was      1884, John B.
built by Quayle and Sons and      Lyon was
launched at Cleveland in the      struck by the
spring of 1881. The oak hull      barge it was
was designed to carry coal or     towing, and,
grain, and the ship was           on September
equipped with sails to assist     19, 1884, the
the two compound steam            boilerhouse
engines.                          caught fire
                                  resulting in $500.00 worth of         1892 but ran aground later in
In May 1881, the 274-ft-long      damage.                               the year at Traverse Bay.
freighter spent 3 days
aground at Chicago while          A grounding leaving Chicago           Another collision and a
inbound with coal and twelve      on November 12, 1887                  grounding marred 1895, and
tugs were needed to pull her      sheared three blades off the          the cabins caught fire in Lake
free. She got stuck again in      wheel and, following repairs,         Huron on September 9, 1896.
the Chicago River on July 16      lost all four blades hitting a        The last voyage began at
and was in a collision in the     rock at the Lime Kiln                 Marquette, MI, early in
Buffalo River on October 2.       Crossing.                             September 1900 and after
The ship grounded again at                                              delivering ore to Ashtabula,
Chicago on October 12 and         In 1888, there were three             OH, the John B. Lyon set out
was mauled by a Lake              more groundings, two in               for Erie, PA, to load coal. It
Michigan storm on                 1889 and two more in April            never arrived and began
November 26 that toppled the      1891 before a collision on            taking water in a storm on
twin stacks, broke the steam      May 28, 1891, with a pair of          September 12. The poor old
pipes, and caused a loss of       barges. Two more minor                hull could not handle the
power. John B. Lyon reached       groundings in July and                conditions, cracked, and
port thanks to the sails. After   November closed out that              sank. Nine sailors perished
this disastrous first year,       season. The ship stranded at          while six more were spared.
things only improved              Forest Bay on May 10, 1892,
marginally. The wheel was         while loaded with oats and            After 20 years of groundings,
disabled when it caught a         corn and, after being                 collisions and fires, the career
towline in the spring of 1882,    released, sank in 9 ft of             of the John B. Lyon had come
and the vessel ran aground in     water. The ship was rebuilt in        to an end.

4                                   Mariners Weather Log, August 2001
Globalstar/SeaStation 2000

Helsinki to Miami Aboard Azipod/V Carnival Spirit
Captain Michael W. Carr
Faculty, Maritime Institute of Technology & Graduate Studies
mcarr@mitags.org

I
   n April of 2001, Carnival
   Cruise Lines took delivery
   of their newest and most
modern ship, the 960 ft,
80,000 gt Spirit. Spirit was
built at the Kaverna/Masa
Yard in Helsinki, Finland,
and brought across the
Atlantic to commence
passenger service in the
Caribbean and then Alaskan
waters.

I was fortunate to be aboard
during this transit and spent
time both on the ship’s bridge
and engineering spaces.
Spirit’s bridge is equipped
with modern, state-of-the-art
navigation and
communications equipment,        method quickly became the               of data is downloaded in
which permits a high level of    preferred method.                       approximately 8 minutes.
routing accuracy.                                                        These weather files are then
                                 In addition to MPC charts               displayed in color and can be
Weather information is           Spirit’s watch officers made            animated, placing the
obtained using Navtex,           use of the Ocean Routes                 weather in motion, and
Wefax, and INMARSAT.             ORION system, which                     allowing patterns and trends
Wefax reception,                 permits downloading of                  to be easily detected.
unfortunately, was poor for      weather data out to 10 days
the entire 5,000-mile voyage,    and includes surface,                   MPC charts were also
and so was not relied upon.      500-hPa, sea-state, ice, ocean          downloaded using an FTP
However, downloading             currents, and tropical                  batch download process,
Marine Prediction Center         information. These data                 which is most easily used as
(MPC) charts from the MPC        downloads are accomplished              a module within the OCENS
Internet server was the          via a satellite                         SeaStation program. The true
easiest and fastest method of    communications link to the              advantage of FTP chart and
obtaining charts and so this     Ocean Routes FTP Web site.              weather data downloads via
                                 A complete file for 10 days             satellite communications is

                                   Mariners Weather Log, August 2001                                     5
Globalstar/SeaStation 2000

                                                                          low-pressure systems. We
                                                                          did experience large swells
                                                                          while transiting the waters
                                                                          south of Bermuda. These
                                                                          10-ft swells were produced
                                                                          by a gale off New England,
                                                                          and precisely predicted by
                                                                          the MPC 24-, 48-, and 96-hr
                                                                          forecasts.

                                                                          I found that analysis and
                                                                          forecasts coming from both
                                                                          commercial sources such as
                                                                          Ocean Routes as well as the
                                                                          MPC very accurately
                                                                          portrayed the weather
                                                                          experienced by Spirit. I
                                                                          compared analysis and
                                                                          forecasts each day and was
                                                                          impressed by the high
                                                                          correlation of analysis and
the speed, clarity and           Once in the North Sea, Spirit            forecast products, both
simplicity of the process.       turned south and followed the            surface features, 500-hPa and
Charts are in the hands of       English Channel to the                   sea state. This high degree of
watchstanders within minutes     Atlantic. Upon exiting the               accuracy may be due in part
of being placed on the           English Channel a modified               to the new IBM super
Internet. Broadcast schedules    “bucket route” was taken to              computers that the NWS
are not a concern and charts     Miami, FL (26° N./80° W.).               made operational this past
are sharp and clear.             The modified bucket route                year. These computers seem
                                 involved a 100- to 200-mile              to be running computer
In addition to charts, Spirit    course deviation south of a              models faster, make use of
was equipped with a NOAA         rhumbline between Lands                  more data than was used
APT satellite capture system     End, UK, and Miami, to                   previously, resulting in more
that allowed real-time           provide sea room from                    accurate results.
capture and display of           several gale and storm force
NOAA 12, 14, and 16 visible      low-pressure systems                     Spirit arrived at Miami’s sea
and infrared imagery.            crossing the North Atlantic              buoy at 0600, on April 24, as
NOAA 16 was experiencing         between 40° N. and 50° N.                originally planned at
operational problems during      This route was tweaked and               departure from Helsinki at
the voyage period and so         updated as necessary when                0630, on April 12. On time
imagery from that satellite      charts and Ocean Route files             arrival accompanied by a
was not always usable.           became available at                      host of tugs spraying water
                                 0000 UTC and 1200 UTC                    from fire monitors, was a
Spirit’s route upon departing    daily.                                   credit to both the ship’s
Helsinki, Finland                                                         officers and engineers and to
(60° N./25° E.), took her west   Spirit, driven by twin azipod            the availability of accurate
across the Gulf of Finland,      propulsion units was able to             and timely weather
then south through the Baltic    make a consistent 22 kt for              information provided by
Sea to the Denmark Straits,      the entire voyage, facilitating          forecasters at the MPC and
where a northerly course was     the avoidance of                         Ocean Routes.
taken to reach the North Sea.
6                                   Mariners Weather Log, August 2001
Marine Weather Review

How to Invert a Buoy
David Gilhousen
National Data Buoy Center

A Coast Guard law               buoy reporting as                     weather forecasts in general
enforcement aircraft reported   station 46035 stopped                 and marine forecasts to
an unusual siting in the        transmitting during a fierce          support commercial fishing
Bering Sea this March, a        storm on February 8, 2001,            in particular. This article will
capsized 12-m discus buoy.      when the last reported                examine the extreme
The photograph, shown in        significant wave height was           conditions that caused the
Figure 1, confirmed what the    14.45 m. Observations from            capsizing.
National Data Buoy Center       46035 were a vital source of
(NDBC) had feared. The          information for Alaskan

Figure 1. Aerial photograph of the capsized 12-m buoy, which was still attached to its
mooring at 46035 in the Bering Sea.
                                  Mariners Weather Log, August 2001                                  7
Marine Weather Review

Historical Significance         height of 15.37 m with the            capsize when the
                                same 16.7-m dominant wave             height-to-buoy-diameter ratio
This was the first time an      period. However, no one               exceeded 1.0 and a wave
NDBC large discus buoy had      knows that actual maximum             steepness parameter
capsized since the 1970’s       wave height — which could             exceeded 0.19. Calculations
when two 10-m discus buoys      be close to twice the                 based on 46035’s last
in the Pacific capsized and     significant wave                      observation produced a ratio
one 12-m buoy that was          height — that toppled the             of 1.1 and a steepness
adrift capsized north of        12-m buoy. It could well              parameter of 0.20. Capsizing
Bermuda. As a result of         have been larger than the             was, therefore, possible. In
several postcapsizing studies   1996 storm.                           contrast, calculations based
and conferences in the late                                           on the last observations
1970’s, NDBC decided to use     The all-time highest                  reported by the three
the 6-m Naval                   significant wave height ever          previous capsizings did not
Oceanographic and               reported by an NDBC station           meet this criteria. It is
Meteorological Automated        was 16.91 m by a 6-m                  estimated that considerably
Device (NOMAD) hull in          NOMAD hull on                         less than 0.01 percent of all
place of the 10-m discus for    November 19, 1991, at                 NDBC observations taken
deployments in the north        station 46003 south of the            from discus buoys meet this
Pacific and north Atlantic.     Aleutians. Nevertheless,              criteria.
However, NDBC chose a           46035’s observation of
12-m discus hull for use at     14.45 m ranks this storm as           Meteorological Conditions
46035 in the mid-1980’s in      one of the top ten ever               at Time of Capsizing
order to support two            encountered by an NDBC
redundant reporting systems.    buoy on the basis of                  Surface meteorological
Redundant reporting systems     significant wave height. All          analyses and satellite photos
are desirable since 46035 is    significant wave heights over         were obtained to answer two
approximately 450 miles         14 m were reported at north           questions. First, is there a
away from the Coast Guard       Pacific buoy stations 46001           meteorological reason to
base in Kodiak, AK, and         through 46006, and 46035              expect that the conditions
servicing is possible only      most of them by NOMAD                 would rapidly deteriorate
during the summer months.       buoys. Stations 46001                 during the hour following the
Ironically, a specially         through 46006 were                    last report? Second, how well
designed 6-m NOMAD with         established in the                    do the meteorological
redundant reporting systems     mid-1970’s.                           features correlate with
was scheduled to replace the                                          previous capsizings?
12-m discus buoy this           A fascinating study of discus
summer.                         buoy capsizing was                    Figure 2 shows the Marine
                                conducted in the Oregon               Product Center’s (MPC)
Interestingly, the 14.45-m      State University wave flume           surface analysis at
significant wave height was     in the 1970’s. Model discus           1800 UTC. A strong,
not the highest ever reported   buoys were built and placed           occluded 966-hPa low
at this station. A              in the flume with waves of            pressure area was located
November 3, 1996, storm         known height and steepness.           approximately 400 km due
produced a significant wave     The discus buoys began to             north of the buoy. The low

8                                 Mariners Weather Log, August 2001
Marine Weather Review

Figure 2. The MPC surface analysis for the north Pacific at 1800 UTC, February 8, 2001.
X marks the location of 46035.

                                 Mariners Weather Log, August 2001                        9
Marine Weather Review

was stationary and beginning      with features identified in the       northeast of the buoy. Then,
to fill. It had reached 963 hPa   following discussion. Three           they locate the trough with
on the 1200 UTC analysis          strong convective cells               the thin line of convection
and was tracked within            oriented in a southeast to            extending west-southwest
100-km west of the buoy at        northwest line just to the            from the secondary low just
approximately 0500 UTC            north of the buoy mark the            north of the buoy. The
earlier that day on its journey   entrance of the polar surge of        occlusion appears to be
northward. A trough               Siberian air just to the west         rotating southward around
extended from the low to a        of the surface trough. An             the secondary low. The
position just west of the         independent assessment by             secondary low is not depicted
buoy.                             six MPC meteorologists                in the MPC surface analyses.
                                  place an abrupt kink in the           Multiple peaks in the wind
Figure 3 is a NOAA-12             trough where a secondary              speed and wave height
AVHRR multispectral image         low had formed                        reports from 46035 also
taken at 1740 UTC marked          approximately 100 km to the           provide evidence for the

Figure 3. The NOAA-12 AVHRR multispectral image for 1740 UTC, February 8, 2001. X
marks the location of 46035. The “L” is the occluded low and the “L” is the secondary low.
10                                  Mariners Weather Log, August 2001
Marine Weather Review

secondary low. The sustained     Possible Capsizing                    More likely, the wind shift
10-minute average winds,         Scenarios                             brought wind seas from the
shown in Figure 4, reached                                             west and caused a period of
26.4 m/s at 0440 UTC and         Based on this analysis, it’s          nonlinear wave interaction
the lowest pressure              quite possible that the trough        with the southwesterly
(969.9 hPa) was reported at      passed 46035 between 1800             swells. The building seas
0500 UTC with the passage        and 1900 UTC bringing a               from a slightly different
of the original occlusion. The   wind shift to the                     direction could have created
winds then dipped to             west-northwest and rapidly            breaking waves on top of the
22.8 m/s at 0640 UTC before      cooling the air temperature.          large swells, providing
rising even higher to 28.6 m/s   The destabilization would             enough energy for capsizing.
at 1130 UTC. The wind            bring stronger and very gusty         After analyzing this situation,
speed remained above 25 m/s      winds that could have                 Dr. Steve Lyons, tropical
until 1600 UTC. 46035’s          contributed to the capsizing.         weather expert on The
significant wave height,         Near hurricane force winds            Weather Channel, likens
which reached 13.56 m at         getting under an exposed part         these chaotic conditions to
0800 UTC with the original       of the 12-m hull as it came           those depicted in the famous
occlusion, peaked at 14.78 m     crashing through a wave can           opening scene from the old
at 1400 UTC with the             exert substantial torque.             Victory at Sea films. These
secondary low.

Figure 4. A time-series plot of consecutive 10-minute average wind speeds reported by the
Data Acquisition, Control, and Telemetry (DACT) at 46035.
                                   Mariners Weather Log, August 2001                                11
Marine Weather Review

westerly seas are probably      Conclusion and Recovery of            pattern of previous buoy
the reason why the wave         46035                                 capsizings.
heights at 46035 rose in the
last few hours before           Given the wave conditions             Magone Marine, under
1800 UTC.                       reported by 12D02 at the last         contract to NOAA, recovered
                                transmission, capsizing is            and towed the buoy into
Surface meteorological charts   well within the realm of              Dutch Harbor, AK. Figure 5
were compared with those        possibility. The observed             shows them righting the buoy
reported from previous          wave height-to-diameter ratio         that may one day be reused
capsizings. All three           and a steepness parameter             after refurbishment. In the
capsizings of 10- or 12-m       agree well with wave                  meantime, a 6-m NOMAD
discus buoys featured           conditions that capsized              buoy will be placed at 46035
occluded low pressure areas     model discus buoys in the             this fall.
approximately 200- to           Oregon State wave flume.
350-km north of the buoy at     Satellite imagery suggests            Acknowledgments
the time of capsizing.          that the wind speed could
Passage of deep, postfrontal,   increase immediately after            James Partain of NCEP’s
cold troughs with intense       the last transmission and that        MPC coordinated analysis of
convection cells occurred in    crossing seas could be                the satellite image among the
each instance. The capsizing    encountered. The location of          marine forecasters. Dr. Steve
of 12D02 at 46035 clearly       an intense low pressure area          Lyons of The Weather
                                just to the north of the buoy         Channel also provided
fits the pattern.
                                location agrees well with the         insightful comments.

Figure 5. The 12-m discus buoy being righted in the shipyards at Dutch Harbor, AK.
12                                Mariners Weather Log, August 2001
Marine Weather Review

Tropical Atlantic and Tropical East Pacific Areas –
January through April 2001
Daniel P. Brown and Christopher Burr (Chief)
Tropical Analysis and Forecast Branch
Topical Prediction Center
11691 SW 17th Street
Miami, FL 33149-2165

I. New TPC Graphical              •    Additional wind/seas               TAFB, at burr@nhc.noaa.gov
   Marine Products                     forecast charts for the            or 305-229-4430.
                                       Pacific (two 00-/24-hr

T
       he Tropical Prediction          charts, one 48-hr chart,           II. Strong Winds Across
       Center’s Tropical               and one 48-/72-hr chart)               Southern Caribbean
       Analysis and Forecast      •    Tropical Surface Analysis              Sea
Branch (TAFB) will begin               charts for the Pacific
issuing several new graphical          (issued four times daily)          Strong trade winds and large
charts for the Atlantic and the                                           seas are quite common across
Pacific on July 30, 2001          In addition, a Tropical                 the southern portion of the
(1200 UTC). The products,         Cyclone Danger Area graphic             Caribbean Sea, especially
covering the tropics and          will be issued four times               along the coast of Colombia.
subtropics, will be broadcast     daily for each basin. The               From mid-December to
over the New Orleans              charts (capable of displaying           March and again from
(Atlantic) and Pt. Reyes          multiple storms) will display           mid-June through July these
(Pacific) radiofax schedules.     a shaded danger area that is            easterly trade winds become
The new products include:         determined by adding 100,               very strong, occasionally
                                  200, and 300 nmi to the                 reach gale force. The strength
•   Atlantic Sea State            maximum 34-kt wind radii at             of the wind depends upon the
    Analysis charts (issued       the 24-, 48-, and 72-hr                 strength and position of the
    four times daily). These      forecast positions. Also, the           high pressure ridge across the
    charts will replace           Atlantic wind/seas forecasts            western Atlantic and how
    the 00-hr wind/seas           will extend eastward from the           low surface pressures are
    charts.                       current 55° W. to 35° W.                over northern South America.
•   Peak wave period/             (Sea state analysis and peak            During the winter, the
    prevailing swell direction    wave period/prevailing swell            Atlantic ridge is farther
    charts for both basins        direction charts will cover the         south, resulting in a tighter
    (issued twice daily for the   same area).                             pressure gradient over the
    48-hr forecast and once                                               Caribbean Sea. From
    daily for the 72-hr           Comments should be directed             mid-June to mid-July the
    forecast)                     to Christopher Burr, Chief              Atlantic ridge usually
                                                                          strengthens while surface

                                      Mariners Weather Log, August 2001                               13
Marine Weather Review

pressures are quite low over    to 30 kt occurred across the          winds near 12° N., 74° W. at
northern South America,         southern Caribbean between            0000 UTC and the ship
again resulting in a tight      70° W. and 80° W. On                  Eastern Express (call sign
pressure gradient across the    February 3–6, the Atlantic            3FDN7) observed 37-kt
southern Caribbean.             high pressure ridge and the           winds near 12° N., 78° W. at
                                Caribbean winds weakened              1200 UTC. On February 14,
White (1976) described an       as a weak cold front moved            several ships including the
event in which a boat           off the southeast United              Arcadia (call sign GRFP),
approximately 100 nmi south     States coast.                         Vision of the Seas (call sign
of Jamaica in early July                                              ELUY7), and J. Bennett
experienced 30- to 40-kt        However, beginning on                 Johnston (call sign C6QE3)
winds and seas of 5 to 8 m      February 8, stronger high             observed winds of 35 to 40 kt
(15 to 25 ft) for               pressure built across the             across the area. On
approximately 36 hr. The        western Atlantic while                February 17, the high
captain of the boat             pressures lowered over South          pressure ridge across the
questioned whether they had     America. The winds over the           western Atlantic weakened
unknowingly wandered into       southern Caribbean increased          and retreated east as a strong
the fringe of a tropical        and periods of gale force             cold front moved across the
cyclone. Such was not the       winds occurred from                   Gulf of Mexico. Winds
case. In the past it was very   February 8–17. The gale area          across the southern
difficult for forecasters to    was generally confined to the         Caribbean finally decreased
know just how strong these      area south of 15° N. between          below gale force, but
winds were blowing, but with    73° W. and 80° W., as                 remained at 20 to 25 kt for
regular SSM/I and Quikscat      indicated by Quikscat data. A         several more days.
data forecasters now realize    pass from February 15 at
that winds of 25 to 30 kt are   1044 UTC (Figure 1) was               It appears that most mariners
fairly common off the coast     representative of the                 who spend significant time in
of northwest Colombia, at       conditions during the period.         the Caribbean Sea are aware
certain times of the year.      The pass detected an area of          of the strong winds along the
                                30- to 35-kt winds across             coast of South America.
In February, a prolonged        much of the southern                  Nonetheless, this is a
wind event occurred and         Caribbean, which is the area          challenging area for marine
produced a period of gale       that normally has the                 forecasters at the Tropical
force winds over the southern   strongest winds in the                Prediction Center (TPC).
Caribbean. The event began      Caribbean Sea. Several ships          With better observational
on February 1 and               observed gale force winds             tools, such as SSM/I and
culminated between              during the event. At                  Quikscat, forecasters are now
February 8–17, when gale        0600 UTC, February 9, the             more cognizant of the
conditions and high seas        ship P&O Nedlloyd Houston             severity and duration of these
were observed by several        (call sign PGEB) encountered          strong wind events.
ships. On February 1, the       37-kt winds and seas of 5 m           Hopefully with better
western Atlantic high           (16 ft) near 12° N., 77.5° W.         forecasts, most mariners will
pressure ridge was quite        On February 13, the ship              be able to avoid these areas
strong and covered the          Alberni Dawn (call sign               during dangerous wind events.
western Atlantic. Strong        ELAC5) observed 38-kt
northeast to east winds of 25

14                                Mariners Weather Log, August 2001
Marine Weather Review

 Figure 1. Quikscat data at 1044 UTC, February15, 2001. Image courtesy of National
 Environment Satellite, Data, and Information Service.

III.Significant Weather of      nontropical gale warnings             gale force winds in February,
    the Period                  over the subtropical                  as noted in Section II of this
                                Atlantic, Caribbean, and the          article.
A. Tropical Cyclones:           Gulf of Mexico. Several gale
                                centers developed over the            Atlantic Cold Front
   None                         west Atlantic between                 January 10–11: A strong
                                January and March with one            cold front moved off the
B. Other Significant            becoming a storm center a             southeast U.S. coast
   Events:                      few hundred miles east of             around 0000 UTC,
                                Jacksonville, FL. In late             January 9. The front
1. Atlantic, Caribbean, and     February and early March, a           moved rapidly east and
   the Gulf of Mexico           storm developed over the              was located from
                                subtropical central Atlantic.         31° N., 66° W. to central
The first few months of 2001    Even portions of the                  Cuba by 0000 UTC,
were quite active in terms of   Caribbean Sea experienced             January 10. At this time, gale

                                  Mariners Weather Log, August 2001                                15
Marine Weather Review

winds were felt north of        while the trailing cold front          pressure system that
27° N. west of the cold front   had moved offshore and                 produced the rain and snow
to 75° W. By 1800 UTC, the      extended into northern                 in the Washington, D.C., area
cold front extended from        Mexico. At this time, winds            for the Presidential
31° N., 60° W. to the north     northwest of the front were            Inauguration.) By that time,
coast of Haiti. With gale       only approximately 20 kt               winds over the southwest
winds north of 27° N. within    with seas remaining less than          Gulf decreased below gale
300 nmi either side of the      8 ft. Later on the 18th, the low       force, but the northerly winds
front. A Quikscat pass at       pressure system moved                  over the area west of the
2140 UTC detected a large       northeast and by 0000 UTC,             front continued strong at 25
area of 30- to 35-kt winds      January 19, was located just           to 30 kt. The winds and seas
near the front. Two ships       south of Lake Charles, LA.             decreased over the Gulf later
confirmed the Quikscat gales.   The trailing cold front                on the 20th as high pressure
The Sea Princess (call sign     extended southwest to just             settled over east Texas and
KRCP) encountered south         north of Veracruz, Mexico.             the western Gulf of Mexico.
winds of 35 kt east of the      At that time, stronger high
front and the Albemarle         pressure began building over           West Atlantic Storm
Island (call sign C6LU3)        the western Gulf of Mexico             January 23–24: The event
observed northwest winds of     west of the cold front. By             began as a strong short-wave
37 kt and seas of 4.5 m         1200 UTC northerly gale                trough moved over the
(15 ft). At 0600 UTC,           force winds were occurring             western Atlantic and initiated
January 11, the cold front      south of 25° N. west of the            the development of a
reached from 31° N., 52° W.     cold front. Gale warnings              significant low pressure
to the north coast of the       were verified by a 1208 UTC            system along a stationary
Dominican Republic. At          Quikscat pass that detected a          front over the central
1200 UTC the ship Liberty       large area of 30- to 35-kt             Bahamas on January 22. At
Spirit (call sign WCPU)         winds over the southwest               0000 UTC, January 23, the
reported westerly winds of      Gulf. During the afternoon of          developing storm was
37 kt west of the front. At     January 19, Veracruz, which            analyzed as northward
1800 UTC, January 11, the       normally experiences very              moving 1012-hPa low
cold front extended from        strong north winds behind              centered near 27° N., 78° W.
31° N., 46° W. to the Mona      fronts due to the winds being          At 0600 UTC, gale force
Passage. By this time winds     funneled east of the Sierra            winds were observed by the
decreased quickly as gale       Madre Oriental mountain                Federal Kivalina (call sign
force winds moved north of      range, observed north winds            VRWK5) near
31° N.                          of 40 to 45 kt with gusts as           27° N., 79° W. By
                                high as 65 kt. At 0000 UTC,            1200 UTC, the system was a
Gulf of Mexico Cold Front       January 20, the low pressure           storm near 29° N., 76° W.
January 19–20: On               was located well inland                with a trailing cold front
January 17, a weak low          across the western Carolinas.          extending southwest across
pressure center developed       The cold front extended                the eastern tip of Cuba
along the coast of south        south from the low across the          through the northwest
Texas. The low pressure         Gulf from Apalachicola, FL,            Caribbean Sea to the
remained nearly stationary      to the Yucatan Peninsula.              northern coast of Nicaragua.
for approximately 24 hr         (This was the same low                 Drifting buoy 41501

16                                 Mariners Weather Log, August 2001
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reported northwest winds of       A Quikscat pass from just             between 60° W. and 75° W.,
39 kn at 1200 UTC near            before 0000 UTC (Figure 2)            including the Sea-Land
30° N., 79° W. The majority       confirmed the location of the         Expedition (call sign WPGJ),
of the storm force winds          center and detected gale              the Charles Island (call sign
remained along and just north     force winds over the                  C6JT), and the Jo Alder (call
of 31° N., and by 1800 UTC,       southwest semicircle of the           sign ELGG3), observed
storm warnings were               storm. The ship Edyth L. (call        30- to 35-kt winds and
discontinued south of 31° N.      sign C6YC) just southwest of          combined seas of 4 to 6 m
However, strong gale force        the storm center, encountered         (13 to 19 ft). At 1800 UTC,
winds continued north of          northwest winds of 40 kt at           January 24, the storm center
28° N. over the western           0600 UTC and 37 kt at                 moved well north of 31° N.
Atlantic for the next 24 hr. At   1200 UTC near 31° N.,                 with the trailing front through
0000 UTC, January 24, the         74° W. At 1200 UTC,                   31° N., 60° W. to the north
996-hPa storm center was          January 24, several ships             coast of the Dominican
located near 32° N., 74° W.       from 27° N. to 31° N.                 Republic. At this time, gale

 Figure 2. Quikscat data at 2252 UTC, January 23, 2001. Image courtesy of National
 Environment Satellite, Data, and Information Service.
                                    Mariners Weather Log, August 2001                                17
Marine Weather Review

force winds retreated north of   encountered 40-kt winds near          northern coast of Puerto Rico
31° N.; however, northerly       32° N., 71° W. The ship               and the Leeward Islands.
swells helped to produce         Maersk Surrey (call sign
combined seas of 3 to 4.5 m      MRSG8) observed west                  Central Atlantic Storm
(10 to 15 ft) over the western   winds of 38 kt at both                February 25–March 1 and
Atlantic for another 12 to       0600 UTC and 1200 UTC                 Gale March 4–5: During the
24 hr.                           near 27° N., 71° W. Quikscat          last few days of February and
                                 data at 1056 UTC,                     the first week of March a
Atlantic Gale                    January 26, indicated a large         significant upper level trough
January 26–27: The next          area of 35- to 45-kt winds            became established over the
western Atlantic storm           north of 27° N. west of the           central Atlantic. This trough
developed approximately          front to 75° W. An                    aided in the development of a
36 hr after the previous event   1815 UTC, GOES-8 visible              rather complex storm center
ended. This storm developed      satellite image (Figure 3)            north of 31° N. The main low
much farther north than the      showed that the center of the         pressure system drifted south
previous storm, but produced     storm was located well north          while several weaker lows
strong gale force winds and      of 31° N., while the front            rotated counterclockwise
very large seas well south of    extended through                      around the system. The result
31° N. The event began as a      31° N., 56° W. to the                 was a long period of gales
strong upper level trough        northeast tip of the                  and very large swells across
moved off the east coast of      Dominican Republic. At this           the central Atlantic.
the United States and into the   time, the Endeavor near
western Atlantic. At             30° N., 67° W. encountered            The event began at
1200 UTC, January 25, the        northwest winds of 35 kt and          1200UTC, February 25, as a
developing storm center was      northwest swells of 6.5 m             strong cold front associated
analyzed as a 1011-hPa low       (21 ft). By 0600 UTC,                 with the complex storm
pressure centered near           January 27, the front passed          center moved east across
34° N., 72° W. A developing      through 31° N., 52° W. to             the central and eastern
cold front trailed southwest     Puerto Rico. At this time,            portion of the TPC forecast
from the low to just east of     gale force winds moved north          area. At 1200 UTC, the cold
Miami, FL. The low pressure      of 31° N., but very large             front extended along
strengthened rapidly and by      swells produced combined              31° N., 43° W.; 25° N.,
0000 UTC, January 26, was        seas of 5 to 7 m (18 to 24 ft)        50° W.; 23° N., 60° W. Gale
analyzed as a 990-hPa storm      across much of the western            force winds of 35 to 45 kt
center located well north of     and central Atlantic. At              were felt north of 27° N. west
31° N. However, the by-now       1200 UTC, the ship Torm               of the front to 58° W. The
strong cold front extended       Freya (call sign ELVY8)               ship Green Island (call sign
through 31° N., 66° W. to the    observed 7 m (24 ft)                  KIBK) observed northwest
eastern tip of Cuba. At this     combined seas near                    winds of 40 kt near
time, gale force winds were      30° N., 64° W. Large                  31° N., 49° W. A Quikscat
occurring over the TPC           northerly swells continued to         pass from 2217 UTC
forecast area north of 27° N.    affect much of the central and        confirmed the large area of
and west of the front. At        western Atlantic for the next         gale force winds. At
0600 UTC, the ship               2 to 3 days. These swells             0600 UTC, February 26, the
Endeavor (call sign WAUW)        were seen as far south as the         storm center was still north

18                                 Mariners Weather Log, August 2001
Marine Weather Review

Figure 3. GOES-8 visible image of Atlantic storm at 1815 UTC, January 26, 2001. Image
courtesy of the National Climatic Data Center.

of the area while the cold     force and combined seas as            southward into the central
front extended through         high as 10 m (33 ft) swept            Atlantic producing gale
31° N., 38° W. to              across the northern portion of        conditions over the same area
22° N., 50° W. At this time,   the TPC forecast area north           for another 24 to 36 hr. Two
the gale conditions moved      of 27° N. between 35° W.              Quikscat passes on
south, and the ship James M.   and 55° W. from 1800 UTC,             February 28, detected a large
Sullivan (call sign C6FD3)     February 26, until 1800 UTC,          area of 30- to 35-kt winds
encountered west winds of      February 27. Although no              north of 27° N. and west of
36 kt and combined seas of     ships reported storm force            the new cold front. By
23 ft near 26° N., 49° W. By   winds, several encountered            1200 UTC, March 1, the gale
1800 UTC, the 985-hPa          gale force winds and very             center moved well north of
storm center moved farther     high seas. By February 28,            the area, and the front began
south and was located near     the storm center moved                to weaken across the eastern
33° N., 48° W. As the storm    northeast away from the area,         portion of the area. Gale
moved east along 31° N.        but another fast-moving gale          conditions finally ended,
(Figure 4), winds to storm     center and cold front dropped         however, west to northwest

                                 Mariners Weather Log, August 2001                              19
Marine Weather Review

Figure 4. GOES-8 infrared image of Atlantic storm at 0015 UTC, February 27, 2001.
Image courtesy of the National Climatic Data Center.

winds of 20 to 30 kt and         force winds of 30 to 40 kt            cold front moved east of
combined seas of 14 to 20 ft     occurred north of 27° N. and          35° W. However, gale force
continued across much of the     between 35° W. and 50° W.             winds continued over the
central Atlantic through         At 0600 UTC, March 5, the             area until 0000 UTC,
March 3.                         ship Looiersgracht (call sign         March 6. Winds decreased
                                 PFPQ) encountered                     rapidly late on March 6;
The second gale event over       northwest winds of 39 kt and          however, large northerly
the central Atlantic in 1 week   combined seas of 7.5 m                swells of 10 to 15 kt
began on March 4 when            (24 ft). A Quikscat pass from         continued over the eastern
another strong cold front        0812 UTC, March 5, verified           portion of the TPC forecast
swept southeast across the       the large area of gales, by           area for another 24 to 36 hr.
eastern portion of the TPC       indicating a large area of
forecast area. At 1200 UTC,      west to northwest winds of            West Atlantic Storm
March 4, the front extended      30- to 40-kt north of 27° N.          March 5–8: This was the
from 30° N., 35° W. to           between 35° W. and 50° W.             same storm system that
26° N., 50° W. Westerly gale     By 1200 UTC, March 5, the             brought more than 2 ft of

20                                 Mariners Weather Log, August 2001
Marine Weather Review

snow to portions of northern    1200 UTC, the ship Leader             winds had moved north of
New England. Early on           (call sign KMLD) and the              30° N. At 1800 UTC, the
March 3, a low pressure         Gus W. Darnell reported               front extended from
center developed along the      northwest gale force winds of         31° N., 52° W. to Puerto
coast of Texas and Louisiana.   35 to 38 kt. The buoy 41002           Rico. While winds had
The low strengthened and        near 32° N., 75° W. observed          decreased somewhat, gales
moved across the southeast      wind of 35 kt and seas of             continued north of 25° N.
United States on March 4. By    5.5 m (19 ft). By 0000 UTC,           west of the front to 60° W.
0000 UTC, March 5, the low      March 7, the cold front               Elsewhere west of the front,
was centered over West          extended through                      northwest winds remained 20
Virginia with a cold front      31° N., 52° W.,                       to 30 kt. By 1200 UTC,
trailing south along the        23° N., 60° W., across Puerto         March 8, gale conditions
southeast U.S. coast across     Rico and into the central             moved north of 31° N., but
central Florida into the        Caribbean. A postfrontal              very large swells of 3 to 5 m
extreme southeast Gulf of       trough had moved into the             (10 to 15 ft) continued across
Mexico. The original low        western Atlantic and                  much of the western Atlantic
pressure center began to        tightened the pressure                for the next several days.
weaken as a new low formed      gradient. This resulted in an         These swells produced some
off the North Carolina coast.   area of storm force winds             minor coastal flooding along
By 1200 UTC, March 5, the       north of 27° N. between               the north coast of Puerto
developing storm was located    58° W. and 74° W. At the              Rico.
just off the Virginia coast     same time, gale conditions
with the cold front trailing    extended south to 24° N. A            Gulf of Mexico Brief Gale
through 31° N., 75° W. to       Quikscat pass from just               March 18 and West
23° N., 80° W. At this time,    before 0000 UTC, March 7              Atlantic Gale March 20–21:
gale conditions were            (Figure 5), detected a large          On March 17, a front became
occurring north of 29° N.       area of 50-kt winds. At               stationary across the
west of the front to 80° W.     0000 UTC, the ship Star               southeast Gulf of Mexico.
The ship Gus W. Darnell         Florida (call sign LAVW4)             Late that day, a weak wave of
(call sign KCDK)                experienced storm force               low pressure developed on
experienced northwest winds     winds of 54 kt near                   the front over the
of 35 kt and 36 kt,             32° N., 73° W. and the ship           south-central Gulf. Between
respectively, at                Kolskiy Zaliv (call sign              0000 UTC and 1200 UTC,
1800 UTC, March 5, and          P3FY6) observed winds of              March 18, gale force winds
0000 UTC, March 6.              39 kt near 25° N., 65° W.             occurred north of 26° N.
                                Several ships reported 5- to          between 89° W. and 92° W.
By 1200 UTC, March 6, the       7-m (16- to 24-ft) seas with          Northeast winds at buoy
storm center was located off    the buoy 41002 observing              42001 (near 26° N., 90° W.)
the northern New England        seas of 7.5 m (24 ft) and             in the middle Gulf of Mexico
coast with the cold front       buoy 41010 near                       increased from 25 to 35 kt
extending through               29° N., 78° W. reported seas          shortly after 0000 UTC. By
31° N., 59° W.,                 of 5.5 m (18 ft). The next            0400 UTC, buoy 42001
24° N., 63° W., across          Quikscat pass from just               observed sustained
Hispaniola to the northern      before 1200 UTC, March 7,             east-northeast winds of 37 kt
coast of Nicaragua. At          indicated that the storm force

                                  Mariners Weather Log, August 2001                               21
Marine Weather Review

Figure 5. Quikscat data at 2330 UTC, March 6, 2001, Image courtesy of National
Environment Satellite, Data, and Information Service.

with gusts to 45 kt, and seas   discontinued. However,                over the south-central Gulf of
rose from 2.5 m (8 ft) to 4 m   northeast winds of 20 to 30 kt        Mexico. The low began
(13 ft) in only 4 hr. At 0600   continued over the northeast          moving slowly northeast and
UTC, the ship Santa Maria       Gulf as another low pressure          by 1200 UTC, March 19, was
(call sign DCUW) near           system developed later on             located near 25° N., 88° W.
28° N., 91° W. observed         March 18. This low pressure           At 0000 UTC, March 20, the
northeast winds of 37 kt and    center eventually produced            1008-hPa low was centered
seas of 3 m (10 ft). By         gale force winds over the             over the northeast Gulf of
1200 UTC, March 18, the         western Atlantic.                     Mexico near 27° N., 85° W.
wave of low pressure moved                                            A warm front extended
east over Florida. Winds over   Late on March 18, a low               through central Florida and
the Gulf decreased slightly     pressure center developed             across the western Atlantic
and gale warnings were          along the stationary front            from 27° N., 80° W. to

22                                Mariners Weather Log, August 2001
Marine Weather Review

25° N., 65° W. The tight        UCJR), and the XXLL (name             occasionally by reliable ship
pressure gradient between       unknown) observed gale                observations. The majority of
strong high pressure north of   force winds near                      the gale events lasted from 24
the warm front and the          30° N., 76° W. At 0000 UTC,           to 48 hr, but two events
developing storm center         March 22, the storm was               lasted approximately 72 hr.
produced an area of easterly    located along the coast of            Table 1 lists the beginning
gale force winds over the       Virginia with the cold front          times and dates for each Gulf
western Atlantic north of the   extending through                     of Tehuantepec gale event
warm front. At 0000 UTC         31° N., 69° W. to eastern             between January and
and 0600 UTC, the ship          Cuba. At this time, gale force        April 2001. The first Gulf of
Choyang Honour (call sign       winds moved north of 31° N.;          Tehuantepec event began at
DADD) near 28° N., 77° W.       however, strong winds of 25           0000 UTC, January 3. No
observed east winds of 39 kt    to 30 kt with seas of 3 to 5 m        ship observations of gale
and 41 kt, respectively. At     (10 to 15 ft) continued both          force winds were received,
1200 UTC, March 20, the         east and west of the cold             but several Quikscat passes
developing storm was located    front. The winds finally              confirmed the gale and
inland over southern Georgia    decreased on March 23, but            possible brief storm event. A
with the warm front             northerly swells of 2.5 to            Quikscat pass from
extending east along            3.5 m (8 to 12 ft) continued          0044 UTC, January 4
27° N., 75° W. to               across the western Atlantic           (Figure 7), indicated 35- to
25° N., 60° W. At this time,    until March 25. The same              45-kt winds over the area
the cold front extended         storm produced over a foot of         with a very small area of
across the Florida Peninsula    late season snowfall over             storm force winds in the
and western Cuba. Several       portions of the southern              Gulf. The event ended at
ships near 30° N., 79° W.,      Appalachians on                       1800 UTC, January 5.
including the Palmero           March 20–21.
Senator (call sign ELTY9),                                            The subsequent two Gulf of
XXHH (name unknown), and        2. Eastern Pacific                    Tehuantepec gale events
the Choyang Honour,                                                   occurred very close together
observed gale to storm force    The eastern north Pacific was         over a 3-day period in
winds of 40 to 50 kt. At        affected by eight Gulf of             January. The first one began
1815 UTC, GOES-8 visible        Tehuantepec gale events and           at 0600 UTC, January 20,
image (Figure 6) shows the      two other gale events                 and ended at 1200 UTC,
storm over the southeast        associated with strong cold           January 21. This event was
United States. At 0000 UTC,     fronts that moved east along          produced by the same strong
March 21, the storm was         30° N.                                high pressure and cold front
centered along the coast of                                           that produced gales in the
South Carolina with the cold    Gulf of Tehuantepec: The              southwest Gulf of Mexico on
front trailing across the       Gulf of Tehuantepec gale              January 19–20. Quikscat data
northern Bahamas to central     events resulted from strong           from 1143 UTC, January 20,
Cuba. At 0600 and               north to northeast winds              indicated 35- to 40-kt winds
1200 UTC, March 21, the         funneling through the                 in the Gulf of Tehuantepec.
                                Isthmus of Tehuantepec.               During this event the ship
ships Frances L (call sign
                                These events were verified            Dominica (call sign C6LF9)
C6YE), the Yuriy
                                by Quikscat data and                  encountered northeast winds
Arshenevskiy (call sign
                                                                      of 30 kt just south of the

                                  Mariners Weather Log, August 2001                               23
Marine Weather Review

Figure 6. GOES-8 visible image of developing storm over the southeast United States at
1815 UTC, March 20, 2001. Image courtesy of the National Climatic Data Center.

Table 1. List of Gulf of Tehuantepec gale events between January and April 2001.
     Event                  Beginning                                        End
       1               0000 UTC, January 3                            1800 UTC, January 5
       2               0600 UTC, January 20                          1200 UTC, January 21
       3               0600 UTC, January 22                          1630 UTC, January 23
       4               0600 UTC, February 3                          1800 UTC, February 6
       5              1030 UTC, February 11                          0000 UTC, February 12
       6              0000 UTC, February 18                          1200 UTC, February 19
       7                1200 UTC, March 5                             1800 UTC, March 6
       8               1030 UTC, March 20                             0000 UTC, March 22

24                               Mariners Weather Log, August 2001
Marine Weather Review

Figure 7. Quikscat data at 0044 UTC, January 4, 2001. Image courtesy of National
Environment Satellite, Data, and Information Service.

Gulf near 13° N., 95.5° W. at    40 kt were present in the Gulf        The ship Century Highway
1800 UTC, January 20. The        of Tehuantepec.                       No. 3 (call sign 8JNP)
next gale event began only                                             observed 32 kt at 1800 UTC,
18 hr after the previous event   The fourth Gulf of                    February 5, and 44 kt at
                                 Tehuantepec gale event of             0000 UTC, February 6.
ended and was the result of
another strong high pressure     the period began at
                                 0600 UTC, February 3.                 The event lasted for 3½ days
system, centered north of the                                          and finally ended at
                                 Several ships in and near the
area building south. The         Gulf of Tehuantepec reported          1800 UTC, February 6. The
event began at 0600 UTC,         strong winds between                  next event was quite brief,
January 22, and ended at         February 4 and 6. The ship            lasting a little more than
1800 UTC, January 23. A          Washington Highway (call              12 hr. The gale began shortly
Quikscat pass from               sign JKHH) observed                   before 1200 UTC,
1232 UTC, January 22,            northeast winds of 32 and             February 11, and ended at
                                 31 kt, respectively, at 1200          0000 UTC, February 12.
indicated that winds of 35 to                                          During this event a Quikscat
                                 and 1800 UTC, February 5.

                                   Mariners Weather Log, August 2001                               25
Marine Weather Review

pass from approximately          33 kt and seas of 3.5 m               data from 1322 UTC
1200 UTC indicated 25- to        (12 ft). The gale event lasted        confirmed the ship
30-kt winds in the Gulf of       another 24 hr and ended at            observations, and indicated a
Tehuantepec; however, the        0000 UTC, March 22.                   large area of 25- to 35-kt
ship Zim Iberia (call sign                                             winds north of 25° N. along
4XFP) confirmed the gale by      Gale Center and Strong                and west of the cold front to
encountering north winds of      Cold Front February 13:               131° W. At 1800 UTC,
40 kt at 1200 UTC,
February 11.                     On February 12, a low                 February 13, the gale center
                                 pressure center formed north          moved inland over southern
The sixth Gulf of                of the TPC forecast area. The         California and the winds
Tehuantepec gale event           low quickly became a gale             south of 30° N. began to
began at 0000 UTC,               center and moved southward            decrease; therefore, gale
February 18. Six hours later     around the circulation of a           warnings were discontinued.
the ship Alberni Dawn (call      large upper level low located         However, north to northwest
sign ELAC5) reported north       over north-central California.        winds of 20 to 25 kt and
winds of 37 kt. Quikscat data    By 0000 UTC, February 13,             combined seas of 3 to 5 m
from 2341 UTC,                   the 1008-hPa gale center was          (10 to 16 ft) continued north
February 18, indicated winds     located just north of the TPC         of 25° N. east of 130° W. for
of 35 to 40 kt in the Gulf. At   forecast area near                    the next 24 hr.
0600 UTC, February 19, the       31° N., 123° W. A cold front
ship ELX27 (name unknown)        extended southwest from the           Storm Center and
observed 29 kt winds just
                                 gale center to                        Associated Cold Front
south of the area. The gale
ended at 1200 UTC,               26° N., 131° W. Shortly after         March 3–4: On March 3–4,
February 19. The seventh         0000 UTC, gale conditions             a storm center moved
gale event occurred from         began impacting the northern          east-northeast at 25 kt, along
1200 UTC, March 5, until         portion of the TPC forecast           the northern boundary
0600 UTC, March 6. This          area. At 0209 UTC, Quikscat           (30° N.) of the TPC High
event was produced by the        pass detected an area of              Seas Forecast area. The storm
same weather system that         northwesterly gale force              and associated cold front
produced the west and central    winds north of 27° N.                 produced an area of gale
Atlantic Storm on                northwest of the cold front to        force winds over the northern
March 5–8. Quikscat data         128° W. The gale center               portion of the TPC forecast
from 2336 UTC, March 5,          began moving northeast and            area. At 0000 UTC, March 3,
detected 30- to 40-kt winds      at 0600 UTC, February 13,             the front approached the
over the Gulf of                 was centered just off the             northwest corner of the TPC
Tehuantepec.                     coast of southern California          forecast area near
                                 with the cold front trailing          30° N., 140° W. By
The last event of the period
                                 along 28° N., 121° W. to              1200 UTC, the front
began shortly before
                                 23° N., 128° W. As the gale           extended through
1200 UTC, March 20. A
                                 center moved into southern            30° N., 134° W. to
Quikscat pass from
                                 California at 1200 UTC,               26° N., 140° W. At this time,
1150 UTC, March 20,
                                 several ships well southwest          gale force winds were
detected northerly winds of
                                 of the center encountered 25-         occurring along 30° N. and
30 to 35 kt in the Gulf of
                                 to 30-kt winds. The NOAA              two ships reported gale force
Tehuantepec. At 0000 UTC,
                                 ship Ka’ Imimoana (call sign          winds near 30° N., 140° W.
March 21, the ship Albatros
                                 WTEU) observed southwest              The ship P&O Nedlloyd Sao
(call sign C6LV3)
                                 winds of 30 kn near                   Paulo (call sign DGSR)
encountered north winds of
                                 27° N., 119° W. Quikscat              encountered west winds of

26                                 Mariners Weather Log, August 2001
Marine Weather Review

45 kt near 32° N., 139° W.      By 0600 UTC, the front                forecast area. Combined seas
and the Sea-Land Enterprise     extended through                      of 3.5 to 5 m (12 to 16 ft)
(call sign KRGB) observed       30° N., 127° W. to                    continued across the area
northwest winds of 39 kt near   20° N., 140° W. Shortly               north of 25° N., until
31° N., 142° W. Quikscat        thereafter, the storm center          March 7, when the seas
data from 1407 UTC              moved northeast, and the gale         finally began to subside.
(Figure 8) confirmed the        conditions ended south of
presence of storm force         30° N. However, on March 5,           IV.    References
winds well north of 30° N.,     another low pressure moved
with gale force winds along     southeastward around the              White, R.R. (1976), High
and just south of 30° N. At     large circulation of the main         winds over the Caribbean
0000 UTC, March 4, the          storm center and continued            Sea. Mariners Weather Log,
P&O Nedlloyd Sao Paulo          producing an area of 25 to            20, 324–325.
reported northwest winds of     30 kt winds across the
39 kt near 30° N., 136° W.      northern portion of the TPC

Figure 8. Quikscat data at 1407 UTC, March 3, 2001. Image courtesy of National
Environment Satellite, Data, and Information Service.
                                  Mariners Weather Log, August 2001                                27
Myrtle Beach, SC, Waterspout July 6, 2001, (c)2001 Paul R. Donovan

The summer scare moved ashore injuring several people, destroying mobile homes,
overturning buses, and causing more than $8M in damages.

28                              Mariners Weather Log, August 2001
Marine Weather Review

Mean Circulation Highlights and Climate Anomalies
January Through April 2001
A. James Wagner
Climate Operations Branch
Climate Prediction Center/WCCP/NWS/NOAA

I
    am the Senior Forecaster     affecting that area and much          winter rains and snows in the
    in the Climate Operations    of Alaska, which had a                Pacific northwest and above
    Branch of the Climate        persistently mild and wet             normal precipitation in much
Prediction Center                winter in most areas.                 of California and Arizona
/NCEP/NWS/NOAA. I                Abnormally cold weather               being the opposite of the
participate in the preparation   afflicted much of northern            usual La Niña-associated
of all the types of forecasts    China and eastern Siberia. A          pattern. Dry conditions
done in the Branch: 6- to        stronger than normal                  accompanied by relatively
10-day extended forecasts,       subtropical ridge and                 mild temperatures prevailed
week two forecasts, threats      associated surface                    much of the time over the
assessments, ½-month lead        anticyclone stretched across          eastern U.S., while colder
monthly outlooks, and the        most of the Pacific at middle         than normal conditions
series of long-lead seasonal     and lower latitudes, with a           continued over the west and
outlooks going out to a year     strong jet stream between             developed over the northern
ahead. Other duties include      them over the western half of         and central Great Plains
applied research in              the ocean. The enhanced jet           during February. Both
developing and improving         over the western Pacific is           months were wet over the
tools for the forecasts and      typical of past years with            southern and central Great
giving special briefings on      La Niña, which was still              Plains, and the wet area
the forecasts and their          continuing, although with             extended northeastward to
methodology to the media         somewhat reduced intensity            the Great Lakes in February.
and visiting scientists.         compared with the past
                                 2 winters. Downstream over            Downstream over eastern
January-February 2001            the eastern Pacific, the flow         North America, an area of
                                 was highly difluent, with a           weak positive 500-hPa height
The middle tropospheric          weak trough near the                  anomaly covered the eastern
circulation over the Northern    California coast and a ridge          U.S., which represented more
Hemisphere had a very            extending northward from              of a weakening of the
strong cyclonic circulation      Washington state through              climatological trough than an
and below normal 500-hPa         western Canada to eastern             actual ridge, although in
heights over the northwestern    Alaska. This part of the              February there was a strong
Pacific and Bering Sea area,     pattern was not typical of            ridge in place, which is a
with frequent strong storms      La Niña, with deficient               typical La Niña winter

                                   Mariners Weather Log, August 2001                               29
Marine Weather Review

pattern in that region. Over     March was replaced by a               Note on the Tropics
the Atlantic, a pronounced       ridge in the middle of the            and Southern Hemisphere
negative phase of the North      U.S. and weak troughs near
Atlantic Oscillation (NAO)       the two coasts during most of         The La Niña conditions that
was in place, especially         April. The temperature                have prevailed since the
during January, continuing       pattern underwent a                   summer of 1998 continued
the mean pattern that had        correspondingly large                 through the first 4 months of
prevailed during the previous    dramatic change, with a               2000, but became rather
2 months. Moderate blocking      warm west and cold south              weak during late March and
as shown by above normal         and east in March being               April. Unusually warm water
heights prevailed at high        replaced by mild                      and conducive atmospheric
latitudes while below normal     temperatures over most of the         circulation patterns over the
heights were observed at         country except for the far            western Pacific and much of
lower latitudes. The storm       west. The precipitation               the Indian Ocean were again
track was displaced south of     pattern in March was almost           this year associated with an
its normal position, and         El Niño — like, with heavy            active tropical storm season
western and southern Europe      rainfall across the south, but        in Australia and the southern
continued to have abnormally     this was due primarily to an          Indian Ocean throughout
wet weather, while northern      extremely strong negative             most of the 4-month period.
and eastern Europe were dry      phase of the NAO associated
most of the time.                with extensive blocking               May-June 2001
                                 centered in the Davis Strait
March-April 2001                 that pushed the storm track           The map of mean 500-hPa
                                 and cold air far south of             height and height anomalies
The circulation pattern over     normal.                               (left) shows generally above
the Pacific during March and                                           normal heights over much of
April was anomalously            The middle tropospheric               the Pacific Basin, except for
anticyclonic at both the         anomalies and sea level               somewhat stronger than
surface and in the middle        patterns were even more               normal troughs east of Japan
troposphere, with a large area   anomalous during the early            and over the northeastern
of above normal 500-hPa          spring period than during the         Gulf of Alaska. Stronger than
heights and sea level            winter, with the storm track          normal ridges persisted for
pressures covering most of       quite well-defined across the         much of the period over the
the Pacific Basin, except for    central Atlantic, entering            Bering Sea and near the west
the far western part and the     Europe somewhat further               coast of the U.S., with a
northeastern Gulf of Alaska.     north than during the                 positive anomaly centered
The anomalies for this           previous 2 months, but still          near California. This pattern
2-month period were very         south of its climatological           dried and warmed the
weak over most of North          position. The weather across          southwest, while occasional
America, reflecting the          southern Europe and North             moderate rains that fell
cancellation of sharply          Africa was persistently mild          mainly in June when the
contrasting patterns in which    and dry, while periods of             trough moved closer to
a strong ridge centered near     unusually cold weather                British Columbia, prolonged
the West Coast and trough        affected the British Isles and        the, thus far, quite deficient
near the Atlantic coast during   Scandinavia.

30                                 Mariners Weather Log, August 2001
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