Low-Earth Orbit satellites: Spectrum access - Digital Transformation Monitor - European Commission
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Digital Transformation Monitor Low-Earth Orbit satellites: Spectrum access July 2017 Internal Market, Industry, Entrepreneurship and SMEs
Low-Earth Orbit satellites: Spectrum access © 3Dsculptor/Shutterstock.com Traditionally, geo stationary satellites located at more than 36,000 km above the earth have been used to provide satellite communication to a wide area. An alternative approach however, once unsuccessfully tried in the past is now surfacing again. The idea is to use considerably massive constellation of satellites at lower altitudes to both densify the network and reduce latency. Although technically feasible, those numerous projects come with challenges and access to spectrum is one of them. At stake, the possibility to provide enough capacity at the right price points to serve markets that remain up to now unserved. The cost of such solution however Above all, mobile terrestrial 1 remains important in the absolute and solutions are regularly looked after communication systems were about to be launched all over the world and all of tomake this solution more and more a sudden what was supposed to be a affordable revolutionary service was turned into a Why are Low Earth Already tried in the past but more more expensive and technically less interesting offer than the then exploding Orbit game prone to succeed today GSM. In the end, few low Earth orbit constellations were launched and at the changers? In the 1990’s, several players came with the idea of launching a multitude of beginning of 2000, most LEO projects satellites in low Earth orbit (LEO) with had been dropped or had gone bankrupt, Because of their high position above the only to be purchased by investors at a the aim of providing communication earth, satellites are very effective in fraction of the initial cost. services at low cost. providing wide coverage. Indeed when one cellular antenna on earth covers only Instead of using only a few high After that, it became pretty clear in the a few square km, one satellite, depending orbit satellites, especially geostationary industry that the geostationary satellite, on its elevation covers thousands of orbits where satellites have fixed with its wide-coverage capacities and its square km. positions relative to the Earth (at an more recent high throughput system elevation of around 36,000 km), the idea capabilities were the solution to This explains why, when terrestrial providing communication services in a was to place smaller and lighter satellites infrastructures have not been deployed, world with demand increasing by the orbiting at lower altitude (in the range of satellite is usually seen as a better day for broadband speeds anytime, 180 km to 2,000 km) and thus drastically economic and practical solution to bring anywhere. reduce the cost of the solution because of coverage to areas that would otherwise satellite less expensive to manufacture Fundamentally however the very be left completely unserved. and launch. This however came with concept of LEO communication satellites challenges, both technical and financial. was not dead. While the economic interest of providing voice and Figure 1: Presentation of LEO, MEO and GEO orbits narrowband coverage from a low elevation satellite position was not demonstrated, the idea of using LEO position to provide broadband access surfaced few years ago with several announcements from yet unknown players at that time. Technological progress had been made and the market prospect also had changed. If one satellite with a very broad coverage makes sense for narrowband usage, is it powerful enough to provide broadband capacity for a market that is still largely not served? Source: Communication satellites by William Stalling (2001) (1) 2
Low-Earth Orbit satellites: Spectrum access LEO: Densifying the network to bring Similarly, with a densified network, the most likely to succeed, except maybe increased capacity and reduced capacity is much more increased because for OneWeb, whose status is already well latency of more important frequency reuse advanced with 1.7 billion USD of funding capacity. By adding more satellites in the already secured. Reduced coverage as compared to GEO… constellations, capacity and as a result Globally, the full completion of all the The elevation that characterizes LEO has throughput per user can be easily added LEO projects would result, a direct impact on coverage. At an at a marginal cost. approximately, in more than 17,000 elevation of 36,000 km, coverage from a Who makes what? Which players, satellites in various LEOs providing a satellite is 2.7 wider than it is at 1000km which markets? total aggregated capacity of more above the surface of the Earth. When than150 Tbps. The main question that is three satellites are required to cover the Several new entrants not linked to raised here is whether there are enough Earth on GEO, at least 15 are required to traditional satellite players places on the market for all those cover the whole Earth on LEO. Since players.Most probably, only a few satellites at this elevation are moving, players will succeed in launching their many more are required to provide 17,000 satellites for more constellation. constant coverage. than 150 Tbps Backhauling, consumer and enterprise … But reduced latency and increased broadband as main markets capacity Among the more than 15 LEO projects that have surfaced in the last 3 years, a Given their characteristic, LEO are But the lower elevation of LEO satellite number of new players is vying to launch particularly relevant for use cases where constellation also has benefits. Indeed, new constellation projects focusing on a large capacity is required. Not since satellites are closer to the Earth market where high capacity and high surprisingly, most ambitious projects in than GEO satellites, the trip time throughputs are required. their size focus on broadband between the ground and the satellite and applications, something that can be the satellite and the ground is The three most publicized projects in served with different approaches: significantly reduced and so is the this regard are OneWeb, LeoSat and latency, which is one of the caveats of SpaceX initiatives. The latter has Through mobile backhauling: in areas GEO satellites in general. Latency is received much press because of its CEO where terrestrial backhauling is too critical for real time applications, of Elon Musk, also funder of Tesla, who costly to deploy. which VoIP notably. envisions sending people to Mars. Fixed Broadband access for B2C in SpaceX is also known for the remote/unserved/underserved areas development of a launcher, whose 1st including in emerging markets. stage can be reused (3). Typical latency of GE0 vs LEO: Broadband for high mobility This capability is aimed at further applications (trains, planes, boats). reducing the cost of launching satellite to 280 vs 20 ms (2) space. The fact that these projects have Dedicated governmental, scientific and been the most talked about does not enterprise connectivity. however necessarily mean that they are M2M and imaging targeted by other players While broadband focused projects have Figure 2: Main broadband-focused LEO constellations gotten much of the highlight, M2M, asset tracking and imaging are also targeted by other kind of players. The only three LEO projects of the 2000s to have survived after bankruptcy (Iridium, Orbcomm and Globalstar) have already launched a second generation of satellite to replace the first one. They, still focus on M2M and relatively narrowband applications (voice, messaging). Those projects thus require less satellite. Iridium NEXT for instance will have 66 operational satellites. As for imaging, this market has been invested by new players, often start-ups leveraging very low cost micro satellites. Planet is one of them. It aims at photographing the earth every day and thus take quasi real time imagery. Those updates will be critical for cartography and will pave the way for new innovative applications based on low cost earth Source: IDATE observation. 3
Low-Earth Orbit satellites: Spectrum access Figure 5: Market potential compared, by technology in low-density areas 2 How will LEO constellations fare with competition Source: IDATE Which impact of LEO constellation projects on the satellite industry? As another comparison point, Eutelsat Is 5G an opportunity or a threat for Because most ambitious LEO projects in expect to lower its CapEx required to the satellite industry? figures are carried out by new players provide 1 Gbps to this same 1 million (i.e. not traditional GEO operators), LEO The biggest competition however may USD threshold in the mid term (4). is often seen as a potential disruption in not come from the satellite industry but the industry together with the Figure 4: OneWeb vs ViaSat 3 from the further expansion of terrestrial technologies it involves. With their communication itself through 5G. If LEO capability to drastically reduce the cost projects can help decrease the cost of to deliver 1 Gbps, LEO could indeed satellite connectivity significantly, it still further increase a price competition that cannot compete with terrestrial network is already installed in some markets and when fixed infrastructures are already is causing financial difficulties even to there (backbone and backhaul). This is a biggest satellite operators on the market threat for the viability of LEO projects. (Intelsat, Eutelsat, SES…) Using satellite and especially LEO as a If we look at estimated CapEx to deliver a Complementarities between LEO and backhauling technology will be a way to Gbps, we indeed see a sizeable difference GEO exist Source: IDATE complement rather than compete with between OneWeb for instance and a such movement should operator really However, confrontation between orbits decide to bridge the connectivity gap. traditional GEO satellite operator. When holds true only if LEO, MEO and GEO Because 5G will use frequency bands OneWeb would invest 260,000 USD to players remain distinct. It does not now similar to satellites (mmWaves), satellite provide 1 Gbps, it takes between 2 and 9 seem to be the case as almost all GEO could also be more tightly integrated into million USD for a traditional GEO players are currently involved directly 5G. A 5G device would for instance satellite operator. (building) or indirectly (partnership) in seamlessly switch to any satellite The race toward cheaper satellite LEO / MEO activities. Of the top 5 fixed connectivity is however not over. GEO satellite operator, only Eutelsat has connectivity available once connection connectivity price has already well currently no implication in such projects. with terrestrial infrastructure lost. This decreased in the last years with the would enable the persistent coverage In a competitive environment, LEO and goal of 5G. Asset tracking is a good development of HTS satellites and MEO are increasingly seen as example of service that would benefit several innovations will enable GEO complementary to GEO and as a way to from this capability. A plane that would carriers to reduce cost even more. A GEO differentiate from the competition. If be connected to an Air To Ground 5G satellite such as ViaSat-3 due to be LEO seems more adequate to provide networks would similarly benefit from launched in 2019 should thus provide a high capacity and low latency for most this capability when crossing the oceans. 1 Tbps capacity. With 3 satellites demanding applications, GEO remains required to cover the earth, the cost to This kind of complementarity is the most adapted for broadcast purpose produce a 1 Gbps capacity could be well currently limited. Solutions exist but are in a context where video still account for below the 1million USD price point. often proprietary and costly, hence the the most important part of revenues in the industry. requirement for a, cooperation between terrestrial and space sector. This needs Figure 3: Evolution of GEO capacity in Gbps to materialize in the standardization space, especially within 3GPP where cellular technologies are defined but also on the regulatory field with the spectrum allocations decided on the international and local level. For cooperation to be possible or competition to be fair, each player must have a fair access to spectrum depending on its need and the value it bring to the market / society. Source: IDATE 4
Low-Earth Orbit satellites: Spectrum access Lower part of the spectrum favours This means that Ka band is currently propagations. It is better for instance much looked after and that using this 3 for indoor coverage or rural areas for terrestrial players. For satellites it is band will be increasingly complex in the future in order to limit interference. The also better in places where rain falls prospect of 5G networks to use part of are important, even though mitigation this frequency band is a concern for Spectrum is key to techniques have been developed satellite players. In the US, but also in South Korea, it has already been decided In turn, higher frequencies are more increase difficult to exploit but as a result have that the 28 GHz band, located in the Ka band will be devoted to 5G. more bandwidth to use. Satellite throughputs but players have been historically capable Other bands such as the L, S, C and X of using higher frequency because band are more common to applications limited in more power can be used for with less important need in throughput transmission and thus compensate for such as M2M. It is also commonly used availability signal degradation, by earth observation LEO projects. Higher frequency bands come with V bands, the future for next The more spectrum, the more smaller beams. Wider beam are better generation Very High Throughput capacity and bandwidth for broadcast usage while smaller Systems? Frequency bands are of course of critical beams are better for capacity. In June 2016, Boeing revealed its plan for importance for any wireless Ka band is the preferred band for a LEO constellation made up of 2956 communication system whether on earth capacity but its access could prove to satellites operating at 1200km in the V or in the space. This is all the more true be difficult in the future band. This band is currently quasi as more and more spectrum are required unused because of technical difficulties today to increase throughput and To facilitate the identification of associated with its high position in the capacity. In the past only limited amount frequency bands, letters have been spectrum. of spectrum was required to provide assigned to them. The main bands used voice or messaging services. With the by satellite players are presented in the However, this band has several merits development of new data intensive following figure, ordered according to because of the large amount of usages such as video consumption, their position in the spectrum. bandwidth available. There should not access to the cloud, holding a limited be thus any sharing issue similar to the This also corresponds historically to the amount of spectrum is no longer an one experienced in the C and Ka band time when those bands started being option and most players are fighting to today, especially for what pertains to the mastered and used. Ku band has been get this access. repartition of the usage between used for many years, while Ka band terrestrial and satellite players. Not all frequency bands are equal… usage, although growing rapidly is much more recent. Since Boeing announcement, several It is important to understand that not all other projects using this band have frequency bands have equal Because they provide enough capacity surfaced and been filled to the ITU. This characteristics. Therefore frequency and can be used with smaller antennas interest is not limited to LEO projects but bands have different values to players. but also because satellite operators now also shared by MEO and GEO players. The position of the band in the spectrum have enough experience with them, Ku is important but the width of the and above all Ka band are the preferred In many ways, the V band is today in the frequency band is important too. Below bands for LEO constellations projects. same position as the Ka band in the are basic principles that need to be Ka band is already the preferred band 1990s. It has been identified as understood: for GEO High Throughput Systems (HTS) promising but propagation with the notable exception of Intelsat characteristics still need to be further who prefers the Ku band because it is studied before commercial equipment less subject to interference created by can be developed. Those developments rain falls. could take 10 years, before equipment are available at an economical price point. Figure 6: Frequency bands and main areas of use References (1)Communication satellites by William Stalling (2) High Throughput Satellite Communications Systems: MEO vs. LEO vs. GEO (http://www.harriscaprock.com/blog/high- throughput-satellite-communications-systems-meo- vs-leo-vs-geo/) (3) http://www.reuters.com/article/us-space- spacex-launch-idUSKBN1711JY (4) http://spacenews.com/eutelsat-does-the-math- on-reducing-future-satellite-costs-by-at-least-20- Source: IDATE percent/ 5
About the Digital Transformation Monitor The Digital Transformation Monitor aims to foster the knowledge base on the state of play and evolution of digital transformation in Europe. The site provides a monitoring mechanism to examine key trends in digital transformation. It offers a unique insight into statistics and initiatives to support digital transformation, as well as reports on key industrial and technological opportunities, challenges and policy initiatives related to digital transformation. Web page: https://ec.europa.eu/growth/tools-databases/dem/ This report was prepared for the European Commission, Directorate-General Internal Market, Industry, Entrepreneurship and SMEs; Directorate F: Innovation and Advanced Manufacturing; Unit F/3 KETs, Digital Manufacturing and Interoperability by the consortium composed of PwC, CARSA, IDATE and ESN, under the contract Digital Entrepreneurship Monitor (EASME/COSME/2014/004) Authors: Vincent Bonneau & Basile Carle, IDATE; Laurent Probst & Bertrand Pedersen, PwC DISCLAIMER – The information and views set out in this publication are those of the author(s) and should not be considered as the official opinions or statements of the European Commission. The Commission does not guarantee the accuracy of the data included in this publication. Neither the Commission nor any person acting on the Commission’s behalf may be held responsible for the use which might be made of the information contained in this publication. © 2017 – European Union. All rights reserved.
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