Is Demography Still Destiny?
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BRONX M A N H AT TA N Is Demography QUEENS Still Destiny? Neighborhood Demographics and B R O O K LY N Public High School Students’ Readiness for College in New York City BRONX A RESEARCH AND POLICY BRIEF M A N H AT TA N QUEENS B R O O K LY N
IS DEMOGRAPHY ST ILL DEST INY? ABOUT THE ANNENBERG INSTITUTE FOR SCHOOL REFORM The Annenberg Institute for School Reform (AISR) is a national policy-research and reform-support organiza- tion, affiliated with Brown University, that focuses on improving conditions and outcomes for all students in urban public schools, especially those attended by traditionally underserved children. AISR’s vision is the transformation of traditional school systems into “smart education systems” that develop and integrate high- quality learning opportunities in all areas of students’ lives – at school, at home, and in the community. AISR conducts research; works with a variety of partners committed to educational improvement to build capacity in school districts and communities; and shares its work through print and Web publications. Rather than providing a specific reform design or model to be implemented, AISR’s approach is to offer an array of tools and strategies to help districts and communities strengthen their local capacity to provide and sustain high-quality education for all students. Written by Norm Fruchter Megan Hester Christina Mokhtar Zach Shahn b Editing Margaret Balch-Gonzalez Graphic Design Haewon Kim The authors would like to acknowledge Leonard Rodberg for access to the Infoshare Community Information System – a computerized database that allows community groups, nonprofit organizations, and others to access demographic, health, and economic information about New York City at different geographic levels – and for assistance in identifying the overlap between New York City zip codes and neighborhoods. Suggested Citation: Fruchter, N. M, M. Hester, C. Mokhtar, and Z. Shahn. 2012. Is Demography Still Destiny? Neighborhood Demographics and Public High School Students’ Readiness for College in New York City. Providence, RI: Annenberg Institute for School Reform, Brown University. This publication is available online at: http://annenberginstitute.org/product/IsDemographyStillDestiny © 2012 Brown University, Annenberg Institute for School Reform ■ Box 1985 Providence, Rhode Island 02912 ■ 233 Broadway, Suite 720 New York, New York 10279 www.annenberginstitute.org Twitter: @AnnenbergInst Facebook: www.facebook.com/AnnenbergInstituteForSchoolReform
Is Demography Still Destiny? Neighborhood Demographics and Public High School Students’ Readiness for College in New York City Summary college, while nearly 80 percent of Other policies that would begin to students from Tribeca do. address these gaps are: D uring the past decade, the Bloomberg administration has explicitly prioritized narrowing the • In the city’s neighborhoods with 100 percent Black and Latino res- idents, no more than 10 percent • Create a more equitable distribu- tion of in-school guidance and counseling resources to help fami- racial achievement gap. Former of high school students graduate lies successfully navigate the Chancellor Joel Klein has often ready for college. school choice maze. argued, “neither resources nor • In the Manhattan neighborhoods • Significantly increase the number demography is destiny in the class- with the highest college-readiness of educational-option seats to room,” and the New York City rates, fewer than 10 percent of the ensure that students of all aca- Department of Education has residents are Black or Latino. demic levels and all neighbor- invested heavily in school choice to • Eighteen of the twenty-one hoods have a fair shot at seats in neighborhoods with the lowest the high schools that are most achieve this goal, remaking the high college-readiness rates are in the likely to prepare them for college. school choice system to increase the Bronx (the other two are in • Invest heavily in school improve- scope and equity of student assign- Brooklyn). ment strategies, rather than just ment to high school. Yet a new • Thirteen of the fifteen neighbor- school creation and choice, to study by the Annenberg Institute for hoods with the highest college- increase the capacity of existing School Reform at Brown University readiness rates are in Manhattan schools to prepare students for indicates that the college readiness (the other two are in Queens). college. of New York City high school gradu- In spite of the city’s efforts to Without such comprehensive efforts, ates is still very highly correlated increase equity by expanding high the vast disparity in opportunity that with the neighborhood they come school choice and creating five hun- separates the city’s neighborhoods from. In particular, the racial compo- dred new small schools and one will persist. sition and average income of a stu- hundred charter schools, college dent’s home neighborhood are very readiness rates are still largely pre- strong predictors of a student’s dicted by the demographics of a stu- chance of graduating high school dent’s home neighborhood. This ready for college. The gaps between suggests that the strategies of school neighborhoods are enormous: choice and school creation are not • Only 8 percent of students from Mott Haven graduate ready for sufficient to create the equity that the administration has envisioned. Annenberg Institute for School Reform at Brown University 1
Introduction the nation’s most comprehensive sys- each of the three groups, while the IS DEMOGRAPHY STIL L DESTINY? tem of high school choice on equity other half were randomly assigned O ver the past decade, Mayor Michael Bloomberg has reor- ganized the New York City school of opportunity for the system’s high school students. Our findings sug- gest that while high school choice by computer. Edward R. Murrow, Murray Bergtraum, and Norman Thomas High Schools were subse- system using principles and strategies may have improved educational quently opened as educational option extrapolated from his corporate sec- options for individual students, schools in the 1970s and employed tor experience. The mayor and his choice has not been sufficient to the same selection criteria. administration have restructured the increase systemic equity of opportu- These large ed-op schools expanded public school system into a portfolio nity. Our results indicate that univer- the equity dimensions of choice by district centered on choice, auton- sal high school choice has not attracting a diverse mix of students omy, and accountability. These disrupted the relationship of demog- ranging from academically strug- strategies have been promoted as the raphy to educational destiny across gling to high achieving. In the fol- most effective and efficient way to the city’s struggling neighborhoods. lowing decades, more ed-op high reduce the school system’s substantial schools were created and other high racial achievement gap and improve Evolution of High School schools added discrete ed-op pro- the quality of education for all the city’s students. As a consequence, Choice grams, significantly expanding the New York City’s restructuring effort has been replicated in districts across the country, and the New York City T he New York City school sys- tem has developed the nation’s most comprehensive system of high Choice has not been sufficient to increase systemic equity of 2 school system is often defined as the school choice. In the century since nation’s foremost exemplar of a port- Stuyvesant High School was opened opportunity. folio district. as a citywide choice school, students’ After a decade of implementation, selection of high schools (and high range and equity of high school a variety of student, school, and schools’ selection of students) has choice offerings. These ed-op system-level outcomes offer a win- become an almost universal process.1 schools and programs represent an dow into the successes and shortcom- High school choice in New York early form of controlled school ings of New York City’s portfolio City has expanded and grown more choice by offering placements within district reforms. This research brief complex as efforts to extend the designated schools to a mix of stu- examines one aspect of the impact of scope and quality of student choice dents with varying academic abilities. have alternated with efforts to create In the mid-1980s, the creation of an equitable mix of students within 1 Central Park East Secondary School Stuyvesant High School began restricting schools. In the late 1960s, John admission based on academics in 1919. In as a high school of choice helped Dewey High School opened as the 1972, the New York State legislature linked it initiate a wave of small high school first educational option (or “ed-op”) with the Bronx High School of Science and development, pioneered by New high school. Dewey offered place- Brooklyn Technical High School and man- Visions for Public Schools and the dated admission to those three schools to ments to students categorized into Center for Collaborative Education students with the highest scores on a special three admissions groups – high, low, and supported by the Aaron Dia- citywide test. Five additional high schools and average achievers – according to were subsequently added to this elite cate- mond Foundation. Through these their citywide reading test scores. gory of specialized schools by the New York initiatives, in the early 1990s some Dewey selected half the students in City Department of Education during the thirty-five new small high schools of Bloomberg administration. choice were developed. An equiva- lent number of new small high
schools were developed as part of testing experts Howard Everson and the New York Networks for School “Neither resources nor demogra- Daniel Koretz (2010) showing that Renewal, the Annenberg Founda- phy is destiny in the classroom” students who reach these bench- tion’s New York City Challenge marks are significantly more likely ––Joel Klein grantee, in the mid-1990s. These to earn at least a C in a college-level efforts considerably expanded the course in that subject. universe of high school choice. improve the high school selection ■ Methods Starting in 2002, the Bloomberg process was to ensure that demogra- phy was not destiny for the city’s In 2011, the New York City Depart- administration, supported by grants high school students. As the econo- ment of Education (NYCDOE) from the Bill & Melinda Gates mists who developed the high school released data on college readiness Foundation, Carnegie Corporation, choice matching process observed in indicators for each New York City and the Open Society Institute, a journal article about the new high school, as an additional measure greatly intensified the pace of small process, of school performance on the NYC- high school creation. The adminis- DOE’s Annual Progress Reports. But tration also recalibrated the high One impetus for increasing school choice process. Under school choice was to make sure former Schools Chancellor Joel students who lived in disadvan- 2 Klein, the process was refined to taged neighborhoods were not New York State’s definition of college readi- increase the number of individual automatically assigned to disad- ness, based strictly on Regents scores, is called the Aspirational Performance Meas- schools each student could select, vantaged schools. (Abdulka- ure. For the purposes of this analysis, we and the selection process was diroglu, Pathak & Roth 2005, p. have used the NYCDOE’s more expansive improved by using a computer- 364) College Readiness Index, which is defined as driven algorithm similar to the the percentage of students who graduate formula that matches teaching hospi- High School Choice and with a Regents diploma, earn a 75 or higher tals and medical student interns to on the English Regents or score 480 or higher Demography/Destiny on the Critical Reading SAT, and earn an 80 pair students’ choices with schools’ or higher on one Math Regents and complete selections. As a result, the percentage of stu- B ut has the high school choice system succeeded in breaking the link between demography and coursework in Algebra II/Trigonometry or a higher-level math subject, or score 480 or higher on the Math SAT. A student can dents placed in one of their top destiny? The analysis in this brief demonstrate completion of math coursework choices of high school has increased by: (a) Passing a course in Algebra II/ begins to address that question. every year since 2009. In 2011, for Trigonometry or higher and taking one of example, 83 percent of high school In 2010 the New York State Educa- the following exams: the Math B Regents, applicants were matched with one tion Department developed a set of Algebra II/ Trigonometry Regents, AP Calcu- of their five top choices. Mayor indicators to assess student capacity lus, AP Statistics, or IB Math; or (b) Passing to succeed in college, based on stu- the Math B or Algebra II/Trigonometry Bloomberg and former Chancellor Regents. We used this metric because it was Klein frequently linked their school dent performance on Regents exams the latest data available at the time of our reform efforts to the goals of the civil and CUNY assessment tests. If stu- analysis. rights movement; for example, in dents pass the Math Regents exam 2009 Klein proclaimed that “neither with a score of at least 80 and the resources nor demography is destiny English Regents exam with a score of in the classroom.” One of the goals at least 75, they are now defined by of the administration’s efforts to New York State as college ready.2 This metric is based on research by Annenberg Institute for School Reform at Brown University 3
because the choice system often sev- scores of all the city’s public high No single neighborhood factor IS DEMOGRAPHY STIL L DESTINY? ers the connection between students’ school students, broken down by the home neighborhoods and the high students’ residential zip code. AISR was as strongly associated schools they attend (since students amalgamated the student data for choose schools throughout the city), individual zip codes into a citywide with college readiness as racial/ the data did not connect the demo- neighborhood index3 and then car- ethnic composition. graphics of students’ neighborhood ried out a series of analyses to assess residence with their college readiness the relationship between students’ scores to assess the extent to which residential neighborhood demo- ■ Findings neighborhood demographics are graphic factors 4 and students’ college associated with students’ college readiness scores, aggregated up to AISR’s analysis found that several readiness rates. the neighborhood level. neighborhood socio-economic fac- tors, such as single motherhood, In 2011, researchers at the Annen- AISR used an online data tool, devel- extent of mother’s education, unem- berg Institute for School Reform oped by the Infoshare Community ployment rate, and citizenship status, (AISR) at Brown University Information Service, to merge U.S. were significantly correlated with requested and received data from Census data, primarily neighborhood students’ college readiness rates. the NYCDOE on the high school indicators by New York City zip For example, the higher the average graduation and college readiness code, with the college readiness mother’s level of education in any scores by students’ residential zip New York City neighborhood, the code provided by the NYCDOE. To higher the college readiness scores aggregate from the zip code to the 4 3 We use Infoshare’s definition of a New of the students residing in that York City neighborhood: “one of 292 neighborhood level, we used data neighborhood. Conversely, the neighborhoods in which New Yorkers gener- provided by Infoshare that specifies higher a neighborhood’s percentage ally think of themselves as residing” the overlap of neighborhoods and of single mothers, the lower the col- (www.infoshare.org). zip codes. Whenever neighborhood lege readiness scores of students liv- boundaries did not coincide with ing in that neighborhood. The mean 4 These residential neighborhood demo- those of zip codes, we used 2009 income level in each neighborhood graphic factors were culled from the U.S. Census tract populations, broken was particularly strongly correlated Census 2005–2009 American Community Sur- vey averages for New York City. The five-year down by the Census tracts in each with students’ college readiness averages are the most reliable, have the zip code and neighborhood, to calcu- scores – the lower a neighborhood’s largest sample size, and are best used when late the proportion of the neighbor- mean income, the lower the college examining Census tracts and small areas hood’s population that comes from readiness scores of the students living such as neighborhoods. each zip code. We assigned each in that neighborhood. neighborhood a college readiness score that represents the weighted No single neighborhood factor was average of the college readiness as strongly associated with college scores of those zip codes that overlap readiness as racial/ethnic composi- with the neighborhood. We used tion. The strongest negative rela- the same procedures for any demo- tionship to students’ college graphic variable we converted to the readiness scores was the percentage neighborhood level. of Black and Latino residents in the city’s neighborhoods – the higher the percentage of Black and Latino resi- dents in specific neighborhoods, the
lower the college readiness scores of the high school graduates (in 2011) in those neighborhoods. Figure 1, with all the city’s neighborhoods represented by circles, illustrates this very strong negative log-linear relationship. The relationship between the two variables – students’ college readi- ness scores and the racial composi- FIGURE 1 tion of neighborhoods across New Proportion of Black and Latino neighborhood residents vs. college readiness York City – is remarkably tight. When we examined the relationship 80 of other demographic factors (e.g., income, single motherhood, citizen- ship status) to college readiness rates, we could identify several outliers – 60 Percent college ready neighborhoods that broke the pat- tern. But the very strong relationship between race and college readiness 40 yielded only one neighborhood (Woodlawn – see Figure 2 on next page) as a possible outlier, and this is explained by unusual population pat- 20 terns in the neighborhood. Figure 2 shows that no more than 10 percent of the high school students -3.0 -2.5 -2.0 -1.5 -1.0 -0.5 0.0 in the Bronx neighborhoods of Mor- log(Proportion Black or Latino) risania, Woodstock, Longwood, Claremont, and Mott Haven gradu- ated high school college ready in 2011. These neighborhoods with low college readiness rates have the high- est percentages of Black and Latino residents in New York City. In fact, eighteen of the twenty-one neigh- borhoods with the lowest college readiness rates are in the Bronx, the borough with the highest percentage of Black and Latino residents. Annenberg Institute for School Reform at Brown University 5
Conversely, as Figure 3 shows, 74 IS DEMOGRAPHY STIL L DESTINY? percent or more of the high school students in more advantaged Man- hattan neighborhoods such as Tribeca, Little Italy, Soho, and FIGURE 2 Lenox Hill graduated college ready New York City high schools with lowest college readiness rates in 2011. All four of these Manhattan Note high percentages of Black and Latino neighborhood residents neighborhoods with very high col- College Black/Latino* lege-ready rates have 10 percent or Neighborhood Borough Readiness (%) (%) less Black and Latino residents. An East New York Brooklyn 12 96 analysis of graduate rates showed a Ocean Hill Brooklyn 12 99 similar negative log-linear associa- North Baychester Bronx 12 93 tion with the proportion of Blacks and Latinos in the neighborhood Edenwald Bronx 12 93 populations. But there was more Melrose Bronx 12 100 variation in graduation rates than Hunt's Point Bronx 12 100 college readiness rates among neigh- East Tremont Bronx 12 98 borhoods with the most Black and Mount Hope Bronx 11 98 Latino residents, indicating that there is more equity in opportunity Bathgate Bronx 11 95 for high school outcomes than for 6 Brownsville Brooklyn 11 100 college readiness. Crotona Park Bronx 11 99 Given that only 13 percent of the Port Morris Bronx 11 96 city’s Black and Latino students East Concourse Bronx 11 100 currently graduate high school pre- Wakefield Bronx 11 83 pared for college, compared with Mount Eden Bronx 11 99 50 percent of White students and 50 percent of Asian students,5 these Morrisania Bronx 10 100 findings are not surprising. Yet it is Woodstock Bronx 10 100 quite sobering that despite efforts to Longwood Bronx 10 100 improve the high school choice sys- Claremont Bronx 10 100 tem to increase educational opportu- Mott Haven Bronx 8 100 nities for the city’s students, the relationship between demography Woodlawn Bronx 8 52** and college readiness is so strong * Black/Latino refers to the proportion Black plus the proportion Latino, which can across the city’s neighborhoods. sometimes be more than 100 percent because some people identify as both. Where Because the college-ready indicator percentages added up to more than 100, we rounded to 100. is so new, it has not been possible to ** Woodlawn, which has a large White population, shares a zip code with Eastchester, construct comparisons to determine a neighborhood that is predominately Black. There are disproportionately more Black high school students in this zip code, so its low college readiness rate reflects whether the relationship between the characteristics of Eastchester. neighborhood demographics and college readiness has changed across time. Thus our analysis is very time- limited – a snapshot based on one year of data. However, because the
relationship between race and out- comes demonstrated in Figure 1 could hardly be more tight, it is not likely to have lessened significantly in recent years. FIGURE 3 In a broadside that former Chancel- New York City high schools with highest college readiness rates lor Klein and Michelle Rhee pub- Note low percentages of Black and Latino neighborhood residents lished in 2010, they declared, “The College Black/Latino single most important factor deter- Neighborhood Borough Readiness (%) (%) mining whether students succeed in Tribeca Manhattan 79 9 school is not the color of their skin Little Italy Manhattan 77 10 or their ZIP code or even their par- ents’ income – it is the quality of Soho Manhattan 74 9 their teacher.” Yet our findings indi- Lenox Hill Manhattan 74 6 cate that ZIP code, income, and, Douglaston & Little Neck Queens 74 13 above all, the racial composition City Hall Manhattan 71 12 of students’ neighborhoods is very Upper East Side Manhattan 70 8 strongly correlated with student success. Chinatown Manhattan 68 16 Yorkville Manhattan 66 9 In spite of the NYCDOE’s efforts to enhance both the extent of selectivity World Trade Center Manhattan 66 9 and the equity of high school choice, Battery Park Manhattan 66 9 demography is still – and quite Oakland Gardens Queens 65 15 relentlessly – destiny in terms of the Bellevue Area Manhattan 65 13 relationship between neighborhood Turtle Bay Manhattan 65 8 race/ethnicity and college readiness across the city’s public school system. West Village Manhattan 65 11 Universal high school choice seems not to have provided equity of out- comes for the city’s high school students. 5 According to the NYCDOE School-Level Regents-Based Math/ELA Aspirational Per- formance Measure (2010), which is the only college readiness metric provided that is bro- ken down by race. See http://schools.nyc. gov/NR/rdonlyres/193BBD8A-5DE1-4EEE- B49B-C8C45357441B/0/Graduation_Rates _Public_School_Apm.xls. Annenberg Institute for School Reform at Brown University 7
Exploring the Causes Corcoran and Levin discovered that found that even given the students’ IS DEMOGRAPHY STIL L DESTINY? the average number of high school tendency to choose schools that of the Choice/ choices students made varied signifi- matched their own backgrounds: Demography Link cantly by the middle school they Students’ first-choice schools are W hat might help to explain these disturbing results? Sean Corcoran and Henry Levin’s attended. After controlling “for stu- dent characteristics (e.g., achieve- ment, race, poverty) and residential on average more advantaged and less racially isolated than stu- dents’ middle schools . . . [but] (2011) comprehensive analysis of the area,” the authors observed “sizable students’ final school assignment city’s high school choice system pro- middle school effects on choices” is more similar to the students’ vides some suggestions. Corcoran (p. 212). Efforts by the New York feeder school. (p. 218) and Levin found that under the City Coalition for Educational Jus- Thus, student preferences for Bloomberg administration, educa- tice (2007, 2008) have demonstrated schools that match their back- tional option program offerings, that patterns of inequity in middle grounds, combined with the opera- which control school choice to school curricula, as well as disparities tion of the matching process increase equity of student opportu- in resources such as teacher quality formula, tend to assign students to nity, have significantly diminished. and student support, are associated schools more similar to their middle Unscreened programs, in which stu- with low student achievement in the schools than the schools they dents are randomly selected by com- city’s middle schools. Given Corco- selected as their first choice. puter, with priority given to those ran and Levin’s finding of “sizable who attend a school open house or middle school effects,” research Corcoran and Levin acknowledge information session, have signifi- efforts should assess whether pre- in their study that the Bloomberg 8 cantly increased. Researchers need to dictable disparities in guidance- administration has improved the examine the equity implications of counselor-to-student ratios in middle choice system’s transparency and these policy changes. schools are shaping these effects on equity. If there is a cost, they suggest, high school choice.6 it lies in the system’s increased com- plexity and the administration’s neu- Corcoran and Levin (2011) also “Students’ first-choice schools are found: trality: “The DOE has shifted the burden of a complex choice decision on average more advantaged and Students tended to prefer high onto students, their parents, and schools that matched their own less racially isolated than students’ schools.” They conclude: academic, racial, and socioeco- Whether or not this shift middle schools . . . [but] students’ nomic background. . . . These improves academic outcomes . . . patterns suggest that universal final school assignment is more choice will be limited in its ability will depend on how students and their families make school similar to the students’ feeder to prevent stratification of stu- choices. If demand is relatively dents across schools by race, school.” insensitive to academic quality socio-economic status, and aca- and more responsive to location ––Sean Corcoran and Harry Levin, demic ability. (pp. 214–215) and/or social influences, even a “School Choice and Competition in But Corcoran and Levin also fair system of choice will fail to the New York City Schools” observed a pattern of disparity provide an impetus for academic between students’ first choice of high improvement. Moreover, to the school, students’ middle schools, and the high schools students were ulti- mately assigned to. Essentially, they
extent students vary in the values accumulated years of knowledge 2002 levels, but significantly they place on school characteris- about how to identify the most increased. The goal should be to tics, decentralized school choice appropriate high schools, combined ensure that students from all neigh- has the potential to increase with the accumulated experience borhoods have a fair shot at seats in stratification by race, academic of how to effectively negotiate the the high schools that are most likely ability, and socio-economic sta- choice process, can provide signifi- to prepare them for college.9 tus. (p. 224) cant advantages to students’ choice. Providing effective guidance and That last observation may offer an Evening out these imbalances will counseling support for students initial explanation of the very strong not only require a more equitable negotiating the high school choice relationship we found between col- distribution of in-school guidance process – and increasing the number lege readiness and racial composition and counseling resources. It will across the city’s neighborhoods. also require mobilizing neighbor- 6 The New York City Coalition for Educational Reducing the Choice/ Justice has also promoted a series of In-school advantages are often improvement measures, including expanded Demography Link learning time and social/emotional supports buttressed by the social capital such as improved guidance services, partic- W hat policies might reduce the strong correlation between neighborhood characteristics and that more-advantaged families ularly focused on the high school choice process, which might improve the appropri- ateness and effectiveness of student selec- and neighborhoods can wield. college readiness? Because our tion of high schools. research represents only an initial 7 step in exploring the relationships hood-based guidance and support Forms of community-based guidance and among these variables, our recom- efforts provided by community serv- counseling have been developed during the mendations are necessarily prelimi- past decades to help students and their fam- ice ilies negotiate the college admissions nary and limited. But one obvious and advocacy organizations 7 – and process. But to our knowledge, very few of way to begin is to investigate the perhaps by middle and high school these local forms of support have been mobi- middle school effects on choice that students through forms of peer lized to help negotiate the high school choice Corcoran and Levin observed. It may counseling 8 – to help students and process. well be, for example, that the rela- families in low-income Black and 8 tively small numbers of the system’s Latino neighborhood successfully One example of such programs is the effort middle schools that serve more- navigate the choice process. to adapt the Urban Youth Collaborative’s Stu- advantaged students have lower stu- dent Success Center model to the middle Corcoran and Levin’s finding that school level, now being explored at I.S. 302 in dent/guidance counselor ratios and the number of placements available Cypress Hills. more experienced and effective in education option schools and pro- counselors. If there are such in- 9 grams has been significantly reduced These recommendations are similar to those school counseling advantages, they made by Hemphill and Nauer (2009). suggests another appropriate policy may well produce more appropriate intervention. To increase the possi- choice of and placement in high bility that Black and Latino students schools. with low levels of achievement have Moreover, such in-school advantages appropriate placements available to are often buttressed by the social them through the choice process, capital that more-advantaged families educational options seats should and neighborhoods can wield. Fami- not only be restored to their pre- lies and neighborhoods that have Annenberg Institute for School Reform at Brown University 9
of ed-op placements – would school choice (and school creation) References IS DEMOGRAPHY STILL DESTINY? undoubtedly improve the quality as policies to achieve these goals. and equity of student choices (and However, our analysis suggests that Abdulkadiroglu, A., P. A. Pathak and ultimately, their college readiness the restructured system of choice A. E. Roth. 2005. “The New York scores). But such support will not be they created is far from sufficient to High School Match,” American sufficient to provide the new high meet the citywide equity challenge. Economic Review 95, no. 2, p. 364. school placements necessary to cor- Corcoran, S. P. and H. M. Levin. After a decade of expanding high rect the equity imbalances across the 2011. “School Choice and Compe- school choice and creating five hun- choice system. Corcoran and Levin’s tition in the New York City dred new small schools and one hun- finding that students choose more- Schools.” Invited chapter for the dred new charter schools, college advantaged and less-segregated American Institutes for Research. readiness rates are still largely pre- schools than those in which they are In Education Reform in New York dicted by the demographics of a student’s home neighborhood. If City: Ambitious Change in the The finding that students choose demography is no longer to deter- Nation’s Most Complex School mine destiny for the city’s students, System, edited by J. A. O’Day, more-advantaged and less-seg- the administration must not only C. S. Bitter, and L. M. Gomez. restructure the school choice system Cambridge, MA: Harvard Educa- regated schools than those in in the ways suggested above, but tion Press. which they are ultimately placed must also invest heavily in school Everson, H. T. 2010. “Relationship improvement strategies to of Regents ELA and Math Scores suggests a much larger prob- 10 increase the capacity of all schools to College Readiness Indicators.” lem: there are not enough good to effectively prepare students for Memo to David Steiner. New college. Without such comprehen- York: City University of New York, schools available within the sive efforts, the vast disparity in Center for Advanced Study in matching process. opportunity that separates the city’s Education, usny.nysed.gov/ neighborhoods will persist. scoring_changes/ ultimately placed suggests a much MemotoDavidSteinerJuly1.pdf. larger problem: there are not enough Hemphill, C., and K. Nauer, with good schools available within the H. Zelon and T. Jacobs. 2009. matching process. Indeed, the three The New Marketplace: How Small economists who developed the School Reforms and School Choice choice process’s matching algorithms Have Reshaped New York City’s High concluded, in a paper written after Schools. New York: Milano, The the new process was implemented, New School, Center for New York that “New York City needs more City Affairs. good schools” (Abdulkadiroglu, Klein, J. 2009. “Urban Schools Need Pathak & Roth 2005, p. 367). Better Teachers, Not Excuses, to Over the past decade, the Bloomberg Close the Education Gap,” U.S. administration has explicitly priori- News & World Report (May 4), tized narrowing the racial achieve- www.usnews.com/opinion/ ment gap and has invested heavily in articles/2009/05/04/urban- schools-need-better-teachers-not- excuses-to-close-the-education- gap.
New York City Coalition for Educa- tional Justice. 2007. New York City’s Middle-Grade Schools: Platforms for Success or Pathways to Failure? Providence, RI: Brown University, Annenberg Institute for School Reform, http://annenberginstitute. org/publication/new-york-citys- middle-grade-schools-platforms- success-or-pathways-failure. New York City Coalition for Educa- tional Justice. 2008. Our Children Can’t Wait: A Proposal to Close the Middle-Grades Achievement Gap. Providence, RI: Brown University, Annenberg Institute for School Reform, http://annenberginstitute. org/publication/our-children-cant- wait-proposal-close-middle-grades -achievement-gap. Annenberg Institute for School Reform at Brown University 11
Annenberg Institute for School Reform at Brown University 12
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