Iran Capital Market Insight - August 2018 - Securities & Exchange ...

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Iran Capital Market Insight - August 2018 - Securities & Exchange ...
Iran Capital

Market Insight
August 2018
Iran Capital Market Insight - August 2018 - Securities & Exchange ...
Capital Market Indices

The end of month figure of Iran capital market major indices including the TSE's (TEDPIX) and
the IFB's total return index (IFX) is compared with that of the previous month in Table 1.

              Table 1: Capital Market Indices

              Index                            Aug          July          Change (%)
                                               2018        2018

              TEDPIX                         136,911     108,831              25.8%

              IFX                              1,553      1,222               27.1%

The past year trend of the indices is illustrated in the following figure.

  Figure 1: Major Indices
145,000                                                                                 1,800

137,000                                                                                 1,700

                                                                                        1,600
129,000
                                                                                        1,500
121,000
                                                                                        1,400
113,000
                                                                                        1,300
105,000
                                                                                        1,200
 97,000
                                                                                        1,100
 89,000
                                                                                        1,000

 81,000                                                                                 900

 73,000                                                                                 800
           8/23/2017
           8/31/2017

           9/16/2017
           9/24/2017
           10/2/2017

           11/3/2017

           12/5/2017

           1/14/2018
           1/22/2018
           1/30/2018

           2/15/2018
           2/23/2018

           3/11/2018
           3/19/2018
           3/27/2018

           4/12/2018
           4/20/2018
           4/28/2018

           5/14/2018
           5/22/2018
           5/30/2018

           6/15/2018
           6/23/2018

           7/17/2018
           7/25/2018

           8/10/2018
           8/18/2018
          10/10/2017
          10/18/2017
          10/26/2017

          11/11/2017
          11/19/2017
          11/27/2017

          12/13/2017
          12/21/2017
          12/29/2017
            9/8/2017

            1/6/2018

            2/7/2018

            3/3/2018

            4/4/2018

            5/6/2018

            6/7/2018

            7/1/2018
            7/9/2018

            8/2/2018

                              TEDPIX - (Left Axis)           IFB - (Right Axis)

                                                       Iran Capital Market Insight            3
In addition, the performance (annual return in percent) of TEDPIX is compared with MSCI
Emerging Market TRI and S&P/OIC COMCEC 50 SHARIAH TRI.

  Figure 2: TEDPIX, MSCI, COMCEC Annual Returns in a Window
  70%

  60%

  50%

  40%

  30%

  20%

  10%

   0%

  -10%
                     9/2/2017

                                                                    10/12/2017
                                                                                 10/22/2017

                                                                                                          11/11/2017
                                                                                                                       11/21/2017

                                                                                                                                                12/11/2017
                                                                                                                                                             12/21/2017
                                                                                                                                                                           12/31/2017

                                                                                                                                                                                                                            2/9/2018

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   3/1/2018

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          6/9/2018

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             7/9/2018

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                8/8/2018
         8/23/2017

                                9/12/2017
                                            9/22/2017
                                                        10/2/2017

                                                                                              11/1/2017

                                                                                                                                    12/1/2017

                                                                                                                                                                                        1/10/2018
                                                                                                                                                                                                    1/20/2018
                                                                                                                                                                                                                1/30/2018

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       2/19/2018

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              3/11/2018
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          3/21/2018
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      3/31/2018
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  4/10/2018
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              4/20/2018
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          4/30/2018
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      5/10/2018
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  5/20/2018
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              5/30/2018

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     6/19/2018
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 6/29/2018

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        7/19/2018
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    7/29/2018

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           8/18/2018
                                                                                                                                                                          tri                                               MSCI                                                      COMCEC

MSCI Emerging Market TRI: The index includes securities from 23 countries; however, excludes stocks from
emerging and frontier economies.
COMCEC: The S&P/OIC COMCEC 50 Shariah is designed to provide investors with a Shariah-compliant
benchmark that measures the performance of leading companies from the Organization of Islamic Cooperation
(OIC) member states.

TSE and IFB Market Capitalization

Share of the IFB and the TSE market capitalization in comparision with end of July is
demonstrated below. The IFB is younger and smaller; yet, has differentiated itself in hosting
state-of-the-art financial instruments.

  Figure 3: TSE and IFB Market Capitalization Comparison

Aug-18                                                                                                                     5,231,137                                                                                                                                                                1,764,737

 Jul-18                                                                                           4,236,948                                                                                                                                        1,604,525

                     0                                              1,500,000                                                                   3,000,000                                                                   4,500,000                                                             6,000,000                                                               7,500,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             Billion Rials
                                                                                                Tehran Stock Exchange (TSE)                                                                                                                                           Iran Fara Bourse (IFB)

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         Iran Capital Market Insight                                                                                                                                                                                   4
Industries Market Capitalization

Tehran Stock Exchange

The break-down of top industries' market capitalization in the IFB and the TSE is depicted in
the next two figures.

    FIGURE 4: TSE TOP 10 INDUSTRIES
         Electricity, gas,           others, 12.6%
        steam and steam
                                                                                       Manufacture of
          supply, 2.5%
                                                                                      chemical products,
    Automotive and                                                                         27.0%
   manufacturing parts,
         2.7%

        Computer and
      related activities ,
            3.4%

          Post and                                                                              Manufacture of basic
    telecommunications,                                                                           metals , 17.9%
           5.1%

                                                                                     Manufacture of coke,
                                                                                  refined petroleum products
   Banking and financial           Multidisciplinary                                 and nuclear fuel, 8.8%
     institutions, 5.3%          industrial activities,    Mining of metal
                                        6.0%                 ores, 8.8%

Iran Fara Bourse

  FIGURE 5: IFB TOP 10 INDUSTRIES

                                                                                       Manufacture of
                                                                                      chemical products
                                                                                           25.1%

                                                  others
                                                  40.8%                                         Manufacture of basic
                                                                                                      metals
                                                                                                      12.9%

        Real estate activities                                                                   Banking and financial
                1.3%                                                                                 institutions
                                                                                                        5.8%
     Manufacture of food
    products and beverages                                                         Manufacture of coke, refined
             1.4%                                                               petroleum products and nuclear fuel
                                                                                              4.1%
    Monetary and financial   Insurance and pension
       intermediation      funding, except compulsory       Electricity, gas, steam         Investment
            1.6%                 social security              and steam supply                 2.7%
                                      2.2%                            2.2%

                                                                Iran Capital Market Insight                              5
Exchanges' Trading Statistics

Value and volume of trades for each exchange is depicted in the following table.

        Table 2: Value and Volume of Trades for Each Exchange

           Exchange                                                 Date

                                                                   Aug 2018

                         Trading Volume - Million Shares             50,229
        TSE
                         Trading Value - Billion Rials              142,810

                         Trading Volume - Million Shares             13,748
        IFB
                         Trading Value - Billion Rials               91,511

        IME              Trading Value - Billion Rials              110,113

        IRENEX           Trading Value - Billion Rials               8,028

                        Total Trading Value (Billion Rials)         352,462

                                                     Iran Capital Market Insight   6
Instruments' Trading Statistics

 Trading value and volume of each instrument is depicted in the following figures.

   Figure 7: Trading Value and Volume of Each Instrument

Commodity Markets Trading Statistics

                            Trading Value (Billion Rials)           Trading Volume (Million Stocks)
                                    8,304    3                                 0.1 697.3
                                     3%     0%                                 0% 1%
                                                                           67.4
Stocks                                                                      0%
                  58,093
                   25%
Sukuk

                                                       167,921
Derivatives                                              72%
                                                                                    63,212.7
                                                                                      99%
Exchange Traded
Funds (ETFs)

   Figure 8: IME Trade Value of Different Groups                                                       Aug
                                                                                                       Jul
                                   40,918
                                                                              197,886

                                  38,016
                                  37,310

                               25,255
                                28,948

                       5,802
                      2,675

                      170
                      462

                      -
                      48

                                                       110,161
                                                                                                      267,329

                  0             50,000       100,000         150,000     200,000        250,000
                                                                                           Billion Rials

                                                            Iran Capital Market Insight                    7
Aug
  Figure 9: IRENEX Trade Value of Different Groups
                                                                                          Jul

                                                                       7,348
                                                                               7,974

                            624
                       53

                       56
                       12

                                                                               8,028
                                                                               8,039

                 0                2000      4000           6000        8000               10000
                                                                                  Billion Rials

Share of Institutional and Individual Investors in Trading Value

Figure 10 reveals the proportion of individual and institutional investors in total market
trading value.

           Figure 10: Investors' Proportion in Trade Value of Four
                                  Exchanges

    Individual

97,303 Billion Rials
                                  41.5%

                                                                           Institutional
                                                            58.5%
                                                                       137,018 Billion Rials

                                                     Iran Capital Market Insight                  8
Institutional and Individual Transactions

Institutional and Individual contribution for each catogery of instruments is demonstrated in
the following figure.

 Figure 11: Investors Trading Value of Securities
                                                                                                                  100%

                                                                                                                  90%

                                                                                                                  80%
              45.9%
                                                                                                                  70%
                                         67.3%                                                  67.7%
                                                                                                                  60%

                                                                   93.4%
                                                                                                                  50%

                                                                                                                  40%

                                                                                                                  30%
              54.1%
                                                                                                                  20%
                                         32.7%                                                  32.3%
                                                                                                                  10%

                                                                    6.6%
                                                                                                                  0%
              Stocks                      ETFs                      Sukuk                     Derivatives

                   Share of Individual transactions value    Share of Institutional transactions value

   Figure 12: Comparing of Institutional and Individual Transactions Based on Markets

            Comparing of Institutional transactions based on                Comparing of Individual transactions based
                               markets                                                     on markets

                                      0.00%
                                                                                               3.93% 0.00%
                                                                                      2.79%
     Stocks

     ETFs
                       39.61%

     Sukuk
                                                    56.31%

     Derivatives
                                                                                                         93.28%

                        4.08%

                                                                Iran Capital Market Insight                             9
Sukuk
Outstanding Sukuk

The outstanding value of each Islamic securities (sukuk) is presented in the following figure.
It is noteworthy that all instruments in the Iran capital market are Shariah compliant.

  Figure 13: Outstanding Value of Each Type of Sukuk Amounting 763,057 Billion Rials

                                             15.9%
     Governmental Musharaka                                                   21.0%

     Governmental Ijarah Sukuk

                                    4.7%
     Governmental Salam

     Governmental Murabahah Sukuk6.6%                                                    6.4%

     Islamic Treasury Bills                                                             0.7%

     Governmental Manfaat                                                              7.5%

     Musharaka Securities Issued
     Municipalities

     Sukuk Issued by Corporations
                                                     37.2%

Number of Listed and Unlisted Companies
Number of listed and registered companies on the TSE and the IFB are presented in the
following table.

             Table 3: Number of Listed and Registered Companies on TSE and IFB

                                                                  Aug 2018

             Listed Companies in the TSE                             325

             Listed Companies in the IFB                              98

             Unlisted Companies in the IFB                           167

                                                      Iran Capital Market Insight               10
Initial Public Offerings
The detail of IPOs in the TSE and the IFB is shown in the following table.

Table 4: detail of IPOs

Exchange          Industry          Company Name        Ticker     No.Shares       Offering
                                                                                    Date

              Automotive and
                                      Iran Khodro
   IFB         manufacturing                             IKDP    4,989,000,000 2018/08/18
                                         Diese
                  parts

              Automotive and
   IFB         manufacturing        Ravan Fan Avar       RFNZ     100,000,000     2018/07/29
                  parts

              Automotive and
                                    Kerman Khodro
   IFB         manufacturing                             KKHP    5,000,000,000 2018/08/18
                                         E.
                  parts

               Manufacture of
                                       N. Pouneh
   IFB       food products and                          NPMP      641,116,000     2018/08/01
                                       Mashhad
                 beverages

                                                    Iran Capital Market Insight           11
MONTH IN REVIEW
2nd Round of League of Stock Market Stars
On its way to boost and enhance financial literacy and also to expand financial inclusion, the
SEO inaugurated the second edition of League of Stock Market Stars on July 7th, 2018. A two-
month competition among six-member teams from different universities across the country,
where higher portfolio value means a higher place in the competition, the League has
attracted 30 teams from different universities that are granted initial credit worth 50 million
IR rials to build and grow their portfolios.

It is believed that the event will elevate financial literacy and promote the capital market in
society. The League has attracted and involved students, professors, families and even
officials from different cities to remind society of the crucial role of financial markets in the
domestic economy.

Moreover, the participants will learn how to grow small resources in a transparent
environment while grappling practically with investments, regulations, mechanisms and
strategies of financial markets in an authentic arena.

Needless to mention, it was reported that last year 15 of the participants were recruited by
financial institutions soon after the League.

Apart from the unparalleled opportunity for the students, the event is a reminder for officials,
market participants and financial institutions of their responsibilities to benefit from these
young minds.

A New Chapter in Iran-China Capital Markets Relationship
During President Rouhani’s last visit to China, a memorandum of understanding was signed
off between the Securities and Exchange Organization and China Securities Regulatory
Commission on 11 Jun, aimed to strengthen reciprocal cooperation and exchange technical
expertise.

Dr. Shapour Mohammadi, CEO of SEO, referring to the MoU, mentioned that cooperation
with global organizations and enhancing constructive international interactions has always
been high on SEO’s agenda. The document was signed by the Minister of Economic Affairs
and Finance Masoud Karbasian as a part of cooperation agreements between the two
countries.

Dr. Mohamadi noted that both regulators were in constant contact in the past few years and
to make it effective and formalized, they entered into a MoU to start a new chapter in their
cooperation.

                                                   Iran Capital Market Insight                12
The details of the MoU encompasses connecting the department of Research, Development
and Islamic Studies of the SEO to China Institute of Finance and Capital Markets, developing
Islamic financial instruments for China and transferring Iran’s experience in the field,
conducting comparative studies, holding mutual training workshops, exchanging views and
experience regarding the two Iranian and the four Chinese commodity exchanges to boost
mutual exportation, issuing Iran’s sovereign debt securities in China to foreign investors as
well as including Iranian institutions in the One Belt, One Road Initiative which is a huge
program by China to revive the historic Silk Road as an economic belt.

Enhanced IT Infrastructures in Capital Market
Enhancing the infrastructure of the Iranian Capital market has always been a top agenda for
the SEO. Information and Financial technologies have been a great assistance to provide more
electronic services to the investors. The SEO Chairman, Shapour Mohammadi, named a
couple of developments during the current year that has advanced the markets. CODAL 360,
a comprehensive platform encompassing all disclosure requirements by the Iranian issuers,
was mentioned first. It provides investors with free and easy access to all the fundamental
information of the listed companies and issuers. It has considerably increased transparency
and velocity of issuers’ direct filings. The round-the-clock alert system sends notifications to
top managers of each issuer as their timely reports are due or their companies have breached
disclosure requirements e.g. missed a deadline. It has considerably lowered the number of
violations, which inevitably led to freeze or suspension of the companies’ ticker symbols due
to unintentional negligence. Companies in the process of capital raise will also be notified
about the latest status of their submitted application and will be immediately informed about
additional documents that may need to be filed in order to minimize the processing time. The
Iran Fara Bourse and Tehran Stock Exchange also enjoyed a fresh update for their core trading
systems. Due to a constantly increasing load of trading on the equity exchanges, it was
decided to first separate the trade engine of the IFB from that of the TSE and then upgrade
the cores with the help of international entities. It divided the load and increased the overall
stability of the systems to prevent possible sudden crashes. Mohammadi concluded that a
capital market empowered with top-notch technologies will be transparent and deter
fraudulent activities.

Crowd Funding Regulations Approved
Securities and Exchange High Council approved the proposed regulations for Crowd Funding
that helps financing SMEs and entrepreneurs with innovative ideas. The Chairman of the
Securities and Exchange Organization, Shapour Mohammadi, explained that the regulation,
approved by the High Council on May 14, is in line with the tripartite MoU signed January 13
among Ministries of Finance and Economic Affairs, Labor and Social Affairs, and
Communication and Information Technology.

The regulation was drafted with the help of beneficiaries including exchanges and submitted
to the By-Law Committee of the SEO, which is in charge of setting up multiple sessions to

                                                   Iran Capital Market Insight               13
review and make necessary modifications to all rules and regulations prior to submission to
SEO’s board. After approval by the SEO board, the regulation was approved by the High
Council.

Crowdfunding is a contemporary and popular fundraising method in the world, which is based
on the web platforms, where requesting party will use a specific platform to pitch their
project or idea to potential contributors. The whole process is supervised and regulated.

In many countries the investors will, in turn, receive certificates that can be transformed in
the future e.g. if the company is floated, the investors will receive shares in proportion to
their initial investment. This is a suitable exit strategy for investors.

Crowdfunding is applicable for small, innovative and short-term projects like developing
mobile apps, designing computer software, restoring and reconstructing buildings, producing
movies or any other project that can take the participation form.

Mr. Mohammadi underlined that based on the regulations, the requesting party can raise up
to 20 billion IR rials ($4.7 million) by using a licensed platform and issuing electronic
certificates, exempted from registration at SEO. The open projects have the ceiling of 200
billion IR rials ($47 million), which is not allowed for big enterprises and listed companies on
the Tehran Stock Exchange and Iran Fara Bourse, a decision to make it fully available for SMEs.

The request shall be submitted by or through one of the supervised financial institutions and
is decided upon by a working group at IFB. The kind of financial institutions allowed to bring
forward the requests will be subsequently announced by the SEO.

The Chairman hoped that the move will provide the suitable ground for financing innovating
companies.

Fund of Funds, in Iran Capital Market
The SEO ratified the statute of fund of funds, which is an investment strategy for holding a
portfolio of other investment funds. The Iran Farabourse is the first entity to apply for the
fund of funds establishment. This vehicle is another strategy for adding more diversity to the
capital market and in the foreseeable future, both foreign and domestic investors will benefit
from this new fund.

                                                   Iran Capital Market Insight               14
Iran Capital Market Insight   15
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