Iran Capital Market Insight - August 2018 - Securities & Exchange ...
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Capital Market Indices The end of month figure of Iran capital market major indices including the TSE's (TEDPIX) and the IFB's total return index (IFX) is compared with that of the previous month in Table 1. Table 1: Capital Market Indices Index Aug July Change (%) 2018 2018 TEDPIX 136,911 108,831 25.8% IFX 1,553 1,222 27.1% The past year trend of the indices is illustrated in the following figure. Figure 1: Major Indices 145,000 1,800 137,000 1,700 1,600 129,000 1,500 121,000 1,400 113,000 1,300 105,000 1,200 97,000 1,100 89,000 1,000 81,000 900 73,000 800 8/23/2017 8/31/2017 9/16/2017 9/24/2017 10/2/2017 11/3/2017 12/5/2017 1/14/2018 1/22/2018 1/30/2018 2/15/2018 2/23/2018 3/11/2018 3/19/2018 3/27/2018 4/12/2018 4/20/2018 4/28/2018 5/14/2018 5/22/2018 5/30/2018 6/15/2018 6/23/2018 7/17/2018 7/25/2018 8/10/2018 8/18/2018 10/10/2017 10/18/2017 10/26/2017 11/11/2017 11/19/2017 11/27/2017 12/13/2017 12/21/2017 12/29/2017 9/8/2017 1/6/2018 2/7/2018 3/3/2018 4/4/2018 5/6/2018 6/7/2018 7/1/2018 7/9/2018 8/2/2018 TEDPIX - (Left Axis) IFB - (Right Axis) Iran Capital Market Insight 3
In addition, the performance (annual return in percent) of TEDPIX is compared with MSCI Emerging Market TRI and S&P/OIC COMCEC 50 SHARIAH TRI. Figure 2: TEDPIX, MSCI, COMCEC Annual Returns in a Window 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% -10% 9/2/2017 10/12/2017 10/22/2017 11/11/2017 11/21/2017 12/11/2017 12/21/2017 12/31/2017 2/9/2018 3/1/2018 6/9/2018 7/9/2018 8/8/2018 8/23/2017 9/12/2017 9/22/2017 10/2/2017 11/1/2017 12/1/2017 1/10/2018 1/20/2018 1/30/2018 2/19/2018 3/11/2018 3/21/2018 3/31/2018 4/10/2018 4/20/2018 4/30/2018 5/10/2018 5/20/2018 5/30/2018 6/19/2018 6/29/2018 7/19/2018 7/29/2018 8/18/2018 tri MSCI COMCEC MSCI Emerging Market TRI: The index includes securities from 23 countries; however, excludes stocks from emerging and frontier economies. COMCEC: The S&P/OIC COMCEC 50 Shariah is designed to provide investors with a Shariah-compliant benchmark that measures the performance of leading companies from the Organization of Islamic Cooperation (OIC) member states. TSE and IFB Market Capitalization Share of the IFB and the TSE market capitalization in comparision with end of July is demonstrated below. The IFB is younger and smaller; yet, has differentiated itself in hosting state-of-the-art financial instruments. Figure 3: TSE and IFB Market Capitalization Comparison Aug-18 5,231,137 1,764,737 Jul-18 4,236,948 1,604,525 0 1,500,000 3,000,000 4,500,000 6,000,000 7,500,000 Billion Rials Tehran Stock Exchange (TSE) Iran Fara Bourse (IFB) Iran Capital Market Insight 4
Industries Market Capitalization Tehran Stock Exchange The break-down of top industries' market capitalization in the IFB and the TSE is depicted in the next two figures. FIGURE 4: TSE TOP 10 INDUSTRIES Electricity, gas, others, 12.6% steam and steam Manufacture of supply, 2.5% chemical products, Automotive and 27.0% manufacturing parts, 2.7% Computer and related activities , 3.4% Post and Manufacture of basic telecommunications, metals , 17.9% 5.1% Manufacture of coke, refined petroleum products Banking and financial Multidisciplinary and nuclear fuel, 8.8% institutions, 5.3% industrial activities, Mining of metal 6.0% ores, 8.8% Iran Fara Bourse FIGURE 5: IFB TOP 10 INDUSTRIES Manufacture of chemical products 25.1% others 40.8% Manufacture of basic metals 12.9% Real estate activities Banking and financial 1.3% institutions 5.8% Manufacture of food products and beverages Manufacture of coke, refined 1.4% petroleum products and nuclear fuel 4.1% Monetary and financial Insurance and pension intermediation funding, except compulsory Electricity, gas, steam Investment 1.6% social security and steam supply 2.7% 2.2% 2.2% Iran Capital Market Insight 5
Exchanges' Trading Statistics Value and volume of trades for each exchange is depicted in the following table. Table 2: Value and Volume of Trades for Each Exchange Exchange Date Aug 2018 Trading Volume - Million Shares 50,229 TSE Trading Value - Billion Rials 142,810 Trading Volume - Million Shares 13,748 IFB Trading Value - Billion Rials 91,511 IME Trading Value - Billion Rials 110,113 IRENEX Trading Value - Billion Rials 8,028 Total Trading Value (Billion Rials) 352,462 Iran Capital Market Insight 6
Instruments' Trading Statistics Trading value and volume of each instrument is depicted in the following figures. Figure 7: Trading Value and Volume of Each Instrument Commodity Markets Trading Statistics Trading Value (Billion Rials) Trading Volume (Million Stocks) 8,304 3 0.1 697.3 3% 0% 0% 1% 67.4 Stocks 0% 58,093 25% Sukuk 167,921 Derivatives 72% 63,212.7 99% Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) Figure 8: IME Trade Value of Different Groups Aug Jul 40,918 197,886 38,016 37,310 25,255 28,948 5,802 2,675 170 462 - 48 110,161 267,329 0 50,000 100,000 150,000 200,000 250,000 Billion Rials Iran Capital Market Insight 7
Aug Figure 9: IRENEX Trade Value of Different Groups Jul 7,348 7,974 624 53 56 12 8,028 8,039 0 2000 4000 6000 8000 10000 Billion Rials Share of Institutional and Individual Investors in Trading Value Figure 10 reveals the proportion of individual and institutional investors in total market trading value. Figure 10: Investors' Proportion in Trade Value of Four Exchanges Individual 97,303 Billion Rials 41.5% Institutional 58.5% 137,018 Billion Rials Iran Capital Market Insight 8
Institutional and Individual Transactions Institutional and Individual contribution for each catogery of instruments is demonstrated in the following figure. Figure 11: Investors Trading Value of Securities 100% 90% 80% 45.9% 70% 67.3% 67.7% 60% 93.4% 50% 40% 30% 54.1% 20% 32.7% 32.3% 10% 6.6% 0% Stocks ETFs Sukuk Derivatives Share of Individual transactions value Share of Institutional transactions value Figure 12: Comparing of Institutional and Individual Transactions Based on Markets Comparing of Institutional transactions based on Comparing of Individual transactions based markets on markets 0.00% 3.93% 0.00% 2.79% Stocks ETFs 39.61% Sukuk 56.31% Derivatives 93.28% 4.08% Iran Capital Market Insight 9
Sukuk Outstanding Sukuk The outstanding value of each Islamic securities (sukuk) is presented in the following figure. It is noteworthy that all instruments in the Iran capital market are Shariah compliant. Figure 13: Outstanding Value of Each Type of Sukuk Amounting 763,057 Billion Rials 15.9% Governmental Musharaka 21.0% Governmental Ijarah Sukuk 4.7% Governmental Salam Governmental Murabahah Sukuk6.6% 6.4% Islamic Treasury Bills 0.7% Governmental Manfaat 7.5% Musharaka Securities Issued Municipalities Sukuk Issued by Corporations 37.2% Number of Listed and Unlisted Companies Number of listed and registered companies on the TSE and the IFB are presented in the following table. Table 3: Number of Listed and Registered Companies on TSE and IFB Aug 2018 Listed Companies in the TSE 325 Listed Companies in the IFB 98 Unlisted Companies in the IFB 167 Iran Capital Market Insight 10
Initial Public Offerings The detail of IPOs in the TSE and the IFB is shown in the following table. Table 4: detail of IPOs Exchange Industry Company Name Ticker No.Shares Offering Date Automotive and Iran Khodro IFB manufacturing IKDP 4,989,000,000 2018/08/18 Diese parts Automotive and IFB manufacturing Ravan Fan Avar RFNZ 100,000,000 2018/07/29 parts Automotive and Kerman Khodro IFB manufacturing KKHP 5,000,000,000 2018/08/18 E. parts Manufacture of N. Pouneh IFB food products and NPMP 641,116,000 2018/08/01 Mashhad beverages Iran Capital Market Insight 11
MONTH IN REVIEW 2nd Round of League of Stock Market Stars On its way to boost and enhance financial literacy and also to expand financial inclusion, the SEO inaugurated the second edition of League of Stock Market Stars on July 7th, 2018. A two- month competition among six-member teams from different universities across the country, where higher portfolio value means a higher place in the competition, the League has attracted 30 teams from different universities that are granted initial credit worth 50 million IR rials to build and grow their portfolios. It is believed that the event will elevate financial literacy and promote the capital market in society. The League has attracted and involved students, professors, families and even officials from different cities to remind society of the crucial role of financial markets in the domestic economy. Moreover, the participants will learn how to grow small resources in a transparent environment while grappling practically with investments, regulations, mechanisms and strategies of financial markets in an authentic arena. Needless to mention, it was reported that last year 15 of the participants were recruited by financial institutions soon after the League. Apart from the unparalleled opportunity for the students, the event is a reminder for officials, market participants and financial institutions of their responsibilities to benefit from these young minds. A New Chapter in Iran-China Capital Markets Relationship During President Rouhani’s last visit to China, a memorandum of understanding was signed off between the Securities and Exchange Organization and China Securities Regulatory Commission on 11 Jun, aimed to strengthen reciprocal cooperation and exchange technical expertise. Dr. Shapour Mohammadi, CEO of SEO, referring to the MoU, mentioned that cooperation with global organizations and enhancing constructive international interactions has always been high on SEO’s agenda. The document was signed by the Minister of Economic Affairs and Finance Masoud Karbasian as a part of cooperation agreements between the two countries. Dr. Mohamadi noted that both regulators were in constant contact in the past few years and to make it effective and formalized, they entered into a MoU to start a new chapter in their cooperation. Iran Capital Market Insight 12
The details of the MoU encompasses connecting the department of Research, Development and Islamic Studies of the SEO to China Institute of Finance and Capital Markets, developing Islamic financial instruments for China and transferring Iran’s experience in the field, conducting comparative studies, holding mutual training workshops, exchanging views and experience regarding the two Iranian and the four Chinese commodity exchanges to boost mutual exportation, issuing Iran’s sovereign debt securities in China to foreign investors as well as including Iranian institutions in the One Belt, One Road Initiative which is a huge program by China to revive the historic Silk Road as an economic belt. Enhanced IT Infrastructures in Capital Market Enhancing the infrastructure of the Iranian Capital market has always been a top agenda for the SEO. Information and Financial technologies have been a great assistance to provide more electronic services to the investors. The SEO Chairman, Shapour Mohammadi, named a couple of developments during the current year that has advanced the markets. CODAL 360, a comprehensive platform encompassing all disclosure requirements by the Iranian issuers, was mentioned first. It provides investors with free and easy access to all the fundamental information of the listed companies and issuers. It has considerably increased transparency and velocity of issuers’ direct filings. The round-the-clock alert system sends notifications to top managers of each issuer as their timely reports are due or their companies have breached disclosure requirements e.g. missed a deadline. It has considerably lowered the number of violations, which inevitably led to freeze or suspension of the companies’ ticker symbols due to unintentional negligence. Companies in the process of capital raise will also be notified about the latest status of their submitted application and will be immediately informed about additional documents that may need to be filed in order to minimize the processing time. The Iran Fara Bourse and Tehran Stock Exchange also enjoyed a fresh update for their core trading systems. Due to a constantly increasing load of trading on the equity exchanges, it was decided to first separate the trade engine of the IFB from that of the TSE and then upgrade the cores with the help of international entities. It divided the load and increased the overall stability of the systems to prevent possible sudden crashes. Mohammadi concluded that a capital market empowered with top-notch technologies will be transparent and deter fraudulent activities. Crowd Funding Regulations Approved Securities and Exchange High Council approved the proposed regulations for Crowd Funding that helps financing SMEs and entrepreneurs with innovative ideas. The Chairman of the Securities and Exchange Organization, Shapour Mohammadi, explained that the regulation, approved by the High Council on May 14, is in line with the tripartite MoU signed January 13 among Ministries of Finance and Economic Affairs, Labor and Social Affairs, and Communication and Information Technology. The regulation was drafted with the help of beneficiaries including exchanges and submitted to the By-Law Committee of the SEO, which is in charge of setting up multiple sessions to Iran Capital Market Insight 13
review and make necessary modifications to all rules and regulations prior to submission to SEO’s board. After approval by the SEO board, the regulation was approved by the High Council. Crowdfunding is a contemporary and popular fundraising method in the world, which is based on the web platforms, where requesting party will use a specific platform to pitch their project or idea to potential contributors. The whole process is supervised and regulated. In many countries the investors will, in turn, receive certificates that can be transformed in the future e.g. if the company is floated, the investors will receive shares in proportion to their initial investment. This is a suitable exit strategy for investors. Crowdfunding is applicable for small, innovative and short-term projects like developing mobile apps, designing computer software, restoring and reconstructing buildings, producing movies or any other project that can take the participation form. Mr. Mohammadi underlined that based on the regulations, the requesting party can raise up to 20 billion IR rials ($4.7 million) by using a licensed platform and issuing electronic certificates, exempted from registration at SEO. The open projects have the ceiling of 200 billion IR rials ($47 million), which is not allowed for big enterprises and listed companies on the Tehran Stock Exchange and Iran Fara Bourse, a decision to make it fully available for SMEs. The request shall be submitted by or through one of the supervised financial institutions and is decided upon by a working group at IFB. The kind of financial institutions allowed to bring forward the requests will be subsequently announced by the SEO. The Chairman hoped that the move will provide the suitable ground for financing innovating companies. Fund of Funds, in Iran Capital Market The SEO ratified the statute of fund of funds, which is an investment strategy for holding a portfolio of other investment funds. The Iran Farabourse is the first entity to apply for the fund of funds establishment. This vehicle is another strategy for adding more diversity to the capital market and in the foreseeable future, both foreign and domestic investors will benefit from this new fund. Iran Capital Market Insight 14
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